1.Impact of metabolic risk factor control on mortality risk in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease
Jingdan ZHANG ; Bingbing WANG ; Zeran WANG ; Fan FENG ; Ren NA ; Hongyan GE
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(7):1576-1585
ObjectiveTo investigate the association of comprehensive control of multiple metabolic risk factors with the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and its quantitative effect. MethodsA retrospective cohort study was conducted based on the data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) in 2003—2018. A total of 29 458 participants were enrolled, including 12 528 patients with MASLD and 16 930 non-MASLD controls. The control status of nine risk factors was assessed, i.e., hypertension, diabetes, liver fibrosis (assessed by fibrosis-4 index [FIB-4]), aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio, serum albumin, renal function (assessed by serum creatinine), systemic inflammation (assessed by neutrophil count), smoking, and physical activity. According to the status of comprehensive risk factor control, the patients with MASLD were further divided into low-control group with 1 107 patients, moderate-control group with 7 042 patients, and high-control group with 4 379 patients. A total of 397 participants were enrolled in the external validation cohort, among whom there were 266 participants with MASLD and 131 participants without MASLD. The Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparison of continuous data between multiple groups, and the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. The Cox proportional hazards model incorporating complex sampling weights for NHANES data were used to investigate the association between the degree of risk factor control and all-cause mortality, and the Kaplan-Meier curve, the log-rank test, restricted mean survival time (RMST), and population attributable fraction (PAF) were used for further assessment. The robustness of the findings was validated in an independent clinical cohort (n=397). ResultsThe cohort study based on the NHANES database showed that during the median follow-up time of 6.7 years, 1 171 deaths occurred among the 12 528 patients with MASLD. There was a significant reduction in mortality risk with the increase in the number of risk factors controlled (trend test: χ2=65.06, P<0.001). Compared with the low-control group, the mortality risk decreased successively in the moderate-control group (hazard ratio [HR]=0.59, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.51 — 0.69) and the high-control group (HR=0.36, 95%CI: 0.27 — 0.48), and the mortality risk was reduced by 22% for each additional risk factor controlled (HR=0.78, 95%CI: 0.74 — 0.82). The PAF analysis showed that AST/ALT ratio control (PAF=19.2%) and physical activity (PAF=18.9%) were the largest contributors. The survival analysis of the sub-cohort constructed based on nearest neighbor matching (with a maximum follow-up time of 13.3 years) showed that there was a significant difference in cumulative survival rate between the MASLD groups with different control levels and the non-MASLD group (P<0.001). The RMST analysis further quantified the survival benefit of each group, and the high-control group had the longest 10-year RMST (9.88 years), which was superior to that of the non-MASLD group (9.43 years), the moderate-control group (9.33 years), and the low-control group (7.96 years). The multivariable-adjusted model analysis of the complete cohort showed that compared with the non-MASLD population, the MASLD patients in the low-control group had a significant increase in mortality risk, the moderate-control group had a comparable mortality risk, and the high-control group had a significantly lower mortality risk. The subgroup analysis showed a significant protective effect of comprehensive control in both male and female individuals (P<0.05), and the interaction analysis suggested a potentially stronger protective effect in female individuals (Pfor interaction=0.031). The protective effect was statistically significant in patients aged ≥60 years (P<0.05). There was a significant difference in protective effect across the groups stratified based on waist circumference (P<0.05), but there was no significant interaction between groups (Pfor interaction=0.821). In the external validation cohort, among the 397 participants, there were 72 cases of all-cause mortality (18.1%). The survival analysis showed a significant gradient increase in the survival rate of MASLD patients with the increase in the level of control (P=0.022). The RMST analysis showed that the moderate- and high-control groups had a better RMST than the non-MASLD group at 5 years (4.47 years vs 4.56 years vs 4.40 years), with a more significant survival advantage at 10 years (8.67 years vs 8.95 years vs 8.44 years). The Cox regression analysis showed that, with the low-control MASLD group as the reference, there was a significant reduction in mortality risk in the moderate-control group (HR=0.41, 95%CI: 0.21 — 0.81) and the high-control group (HR=0.32, 95%CI: 0.14 — 0.71); with the non-MASLD population as the reference, there was a significant increase in mortality risk in the low-control group (HR=2.02, 95%CI: 1.03 — 3.95), with a comparable mortality risk in the moderate-control group (HR=0.83, 95%CI: 0.48 — 1.44) and the high-control group (HR=0.66, 95%CI: 0.30 — 1.38), and the point estimates of the effects were highly consistent with the main study. ConclusionAmong MASLD patients, better control of metabolic risk factors is associated with a lower mortality risk. Achieving optimal control can eliminate the excess mortality risk associated with MASLD, thereby helping patients achieve a better survival prognosis than the general population.
2.Research advances of immune checkpoint inhibitors for neoadjuvant therapy in locally advanced gastric cancer
Ying SHA ; Ke YU ; Jiajia JIA ; Yufan TANG ; Bingbing WEN ; Baiquan ZHOU ; Shumei XU ; Ruifang FAN
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2025;24(9):1214-1220
Gastric cancer is one of the most common malignant tumors in the digestive system, characterized by high incidence and mortality rates. In recent years, with the rapid develop-ment of molecular immunology, the application of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in neoadju-vant therapy has significantly improved pathological response rates and survival outcomes for patients with resectable locally advanced gastric cancer. The authors systematically review current research progress on combination strategies involving immune checkpoint inhibitors in neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced gastric cancer, aiming to provide an evidence for optimizing individua-lized therapeutic regimens.
3.Analysis of efficacy and safety of sintilimab combined with SOX regimen in adjuvant treatment of stage Ⅲ gastric cancer
Zhou BAIQUAN ; Liu LIN ; Tang YUFAN ; Wen BINGBING ; Sha YING ; Jia JIAJIA ; Yu KE ; Xu SHUMEI ; Fan RUIFANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Oncology 2025;52(17):870-876
Objective:To investigate the efficacy and safety of sintilimab combined with the SOX regimen for adjuvant treatment of stage Ⅲgastric cancer after D2 radical resection and to provide a reference for individualized clinical treatment.Methods:The clinical data of 245 pa-tients with stage III gastric cancer who underwent D2 radical resection at the 940th Hospital of the Joint Support Force of the People's Liber-ation Army from June 2019 to May 2022 were retrospectively analyzed.The 180 patients who received only the SOX regimen were desig-nated the control group,and the 65 patients who received sintilimab combined with the SOX regimen were designated the experimental group.The 3-year disease-free survival(DFS)rate,overall survival(OS)rate,and adverse reactions among the two groups and different sub-groups(HER-2 positive,dMMR,CPS≥5)were compared.Results:The 3-year DFS(81.5%vs.59.4%)and OS(84.6%vs.70.6%)rates in the experimental group were significantly higher than those in the control group(both P<0.05).Group analysis showed that in patients with CPS≥5,the 3-year DFS(91.5%vs.67.0%)and OS(95.7%vs.71.6%)rates within the experimental group were significantly better than those in the control group(both P<0.05).Intra-group analysis within the experimental group showed that the 3-year DFS rate(91.5%vs.55.6%)and OS rate(95.7%vs.55.6%)of patients with CPS≥5 were significantly better than those of patients with CPS<5(both P<0.05).The overall and grade≥3 incidences of liver and kidney function damage,thyroid dysfunction,colitis,pneumonia,and rash in the experimental group were higher than those in the control group(all P<0.05),while the differences in other adverse reactions,including leukopenia were not statistic-ally significant(all P>0.05).Conclusions:Sintilimab combined with the SOX regimen can significantly improve 3-year DFS and OS rates in pa-tients with stage Ⅲ gastric cancer after surgery,especially in the CPS≥5 subgroup,with significant benefits and controllable safety.
4.Dynamic Prediction of Alzheimer's Disease Risk based on Random Survival Forests with Multivariate Longitudinal Endogenous Covariates
Jiahao CHEN ; Chunxia LI ; Bingbing FAN
Chinese Journal of Health Statistics 2025;42(1):26-32
Objective To construct a dynamic prediction model for the risk of developing Alzheimer's disease(AD)based on baseline clinical data and longitudinal neuropsychological scores in patients with mild cognitive impairment(MCI).Methods A total of 380 MCI patients from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative 1 study from 2005 to 2011 were selected and were randomly divided into a training set and a test set in a 7∶3 randomization.The Alzheimer's disease assessment scale-cognitive 13 items(ADAS-Cog13),Rey auditory verbal learning test immediate score(RAVLT Immediate),functional activities questionnaire(FAQ),and mini-mental state examination(MMSE)were used as longitudinal neuropsychological score metrics.Random survival forests with multivariate longitudinal endogenous covariates were used to construct a dynamic prediction model of the risk of developing AD in patients with MCI in the training set.The predictive performance of the model was evaluated in the test set using time-dependent areas under the receiver operator characteristic curve(AUC)and Brier score(BS).Results For the prediction of the risk of developing AD in patients with MCI,longitudinal neuropsychological scores were more important predictors than baseline clinical data,with FAQ being the strongest predictor.The dynamic prediction model had high predictive performance in the test set,with AUC ranging from 0.7695 to 0.8987 and BS ranging from 0.1369 to 0.2184.Conclusion Random survival forests with multivariate longitudinal endogenous covariates can be used to combine multivariate longitudinal neuropsychological scores to construct a prediction model for the risk of developing AD in patients with MCI,with high predictive performance and the ability to achieve individual dynamic prediction.
5.Advances of neoadjuvant and conversion therapy with PD-1 inhibitors in gastric cancer
Yufan TANG ; Baiquan ZHOU ; Simeng DAI ; Bingbing WEN ; Jixiang LIU ; Luyao LI ; Ruifang FAN
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2025;28(2):217-224
Gastric cancer (GC) is one of the most common malignant tumors of the digestive system in China. With the progress of immunotherapy research, programmed death receptor-1 (PD-1) inhibitor-based combinatory therapy offers new ideas for the treatment of advanced gastric cancer. In recent years, with the increasing status of immunotherapy in the treatment of advanced gastric cancer, a growing number of domestic and international clinical studies shown that immunotherapy could achieve better efficacy in the neoadjuvant therapy and conversion therapy for patients with advanced gastric cancer. This paper reviews the current research progress on the application of PD-1 inhibitors in the neoadjuvant therapy and conversion therapy of gastric cancer.
6.Analysis of efficacy and safety of sintilimab combined with SOX regimen in adjuvant treatment of stage Ⅲ gastric cancer
Zhou BAIQUAN ; Liu LIN ; Tang YUFAN ; Wen BINGBING ; Sha YING ; Jia JIAJIA ; Yu KE ; Xu SHUMEI ; Fan RUIFANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Oncology 2025;52(17):870-876
Objective:To investigate the efficacy and safety of sintilimab combined with the SOX regimen for adjuvant treatment of stage Ⅲgastric cancer after D2 radical resection and to provide a reference for individualized clinical treatment.Methods:The clinical data of 245 pa-tients with stage III gastric cancer who underwent D2 radical resection at the 940th Hospital of the Joint Support Force of the People's Liber-ation Army from June 2019 to May 2022 were retrospectively analyzed.The 180 patients who received only the SOX regimen were desig-nated the control group,and the 65 patients who received sintilimab combined with the SOX regimen were designated the experimental group.The 3-year disease-free survival(DFS)rate,overall survival(OS)rate,and adverse reactions among the two groups and different sub-groups(HER-2 positive,dMMR,CPS≥5)were compared.Results:The 3-year DFS(81.5%vs.59.4%)and OS(84.6%vs.70.6%)rates in the experimental group were significantly higher than those in the control group(both P<0.05).Group analysis showed that in patients with CPS≥5,the 3-year DFS(91.5%vs.67.0%)and OS(95.7%vs.71.6%)rates within the experimental group were significantly better than those in the control group(both P<0.05).Intra-group analysis within the experimental group showed that the 3-year DFS rate(91.5%vs.55.6%)and OS rate(95.7%vs.55.6%)of patients with CPS≥5 were significantly better than those of patients with CPS<5(both P<0.05).The overall and grade≥3 incidences of liver and kidney function damage,thyroid dysfunction,colitis,pneumonia,and rash in the experimental group were higher than those in the control group(all P<0.05),while the differences in other adverse reactions,including leukopenia were not statistic-ally significant(all P>0.05).Conclusions:Sintilimab combined with the SOX regimen can significantly improve 3-year DFS and OS rates in pa-tients with stage Ⅲ gastric cancer after surgery,especially in the CPS≥5 subgroup,with significant benefits and controllable safety.
7.Advances in conversion therapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma
Ke YU ; Jiajia JIA ; Ying SHA ; Yufan TANG ; Baiquan ZHOU ; Bingbing WEN ; Luyao LI ; Jixiang LIU ; Ruifang FAN
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2025;31(9):706-711
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignancies worldwide. Surgical resection remains the preferred treatment modality, offering the potential for cure. However, over half of HCC patients present as intermediate to advanced stages at diagnosis, with multiple factors precluding surgical resection. Conversion therapy represents an important treatment strategy by enabling tumor downstaging, offering future resectability for patients with intermediate-to-advanced HCC who are initially unresectable. This article reviews the relevant concepts and research progress in conversion therapy for HCC.
8.Advances of neoadjuvant and conversion therapy with PD-1 inhibitors in gastric cancer
Yufan TANG ; Baiquan ZHOU ; Simeng DAI ; Bingbing WEN ; Jixiang LIU ; Luyao LI ; Ruifang FAN
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2025;28(2):217-224
Gastric cancer (GC) is one of the most common malignant tumors of the digestive system in China. With the progress of immunotherapy research, programmed death receptor-1 (PD-1) inhibitor-based combinatory therapy offers new ideas for the treatment of advanced gastric cancer. In recent years, with the increasing status of immunotherapy in the treatment of advanced gastric cancer, a growing number of domestic and international clinical studies shown that immunotherapy could achieve better efficacy in the neoadjuvant therapy and conversion therapy for patients with advanced gastric cancer. This paper reviews the current research progress on the application of PD-1 inhibitors in the neoadjuvant therapy and conversion therapy of gastric cancer.
9.Research advances of immune checkpoint inhibitors for neoadjuvant therapy in locally advanced gastric cancer
Ying SHA ; Ke YU ; Jiajia JIA ; Yufan TANG ; Bingbing WEN ; Baiquan ZHOU ; Shumei XU ; Ruifang FAN
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2025;24(9):1214-1220
Gastric cancer is one of the most common malignant tumors in the digestive system, characterized by high incidence and mortality rates. In recent years, with the rapid develop-ment of molecular immunology, the application of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in neoadju-vant therapy has significantly improved pathological response rates and survival outcomes for patients with resectable locally advanced gastric cancer. The authors systematically review current research progress on combination strategies involving immune checkpoint inhibitors in neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced gastric cancer, aiming to provide an evidence for optimizing individua-lized therapeutic regimens.
10.Dynamic Prediction of Alzheimer's Disease Risk based on Random Survival Forests with Multivariate Longitudinal Endogenous Covariates
Jiahao CHEN ; Chunxia LI ; Bingbing FAN
Chinese Journal of Health Statistics 2025;42(1):26-32
Objective To construct a dynamic prediction model for the risk of developing Alzheimer's disease(AD)based on baseline clinical data and longitudinal neuropsychological scores in patients with mild cognitive impairment(MCI).Methods A total of 380 MCI patients from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative 1 study from 2005 to 2011 were selected and were randomly divided into a training set and a test set in a 7∶3 randomization.The Alzheimer's disease assessment scale-cognitive 13 items(ADAS-Cog13),Rey auditory verbal learning test immediate score(RAVLT Immediate),functional activities questionnaire(FAQ),and mini-mental state examination(MMSE)were used as longitudinal neuropsychological score metrics.Random survival forests with multivariate longitudinal endogenous covariates were used to construct a dynamic prediction model of the risk of developing AD in patients with MCI in the training set.The predictive performance of the model was evaluated in the test set using time-dependent areas under the receiver operator characteristic curve(AUC)and Brier score(BS).Results For the prediction of the risk of developing AD in patients with MCI,longitudinal neuropsychological scores were more important predictors than baseline clinical data,with FAQ being the strongest predictor.The dynamic prediction model had high predictive performance in the test set,with AUC ranging from 0.7695 to 0.8987 and BS ranging from 0.1369 to 0.2184.Conclusion Random survival forests with multivariate longitudinal endogenous covariates can be used to combine multivariate longitudinal neuropsychological scores to construct a prediction model for the risk of developing AD in patients with MCI,with high predictive performance and the ability to achieve individual dynamic prediction.

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