Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of hepatitis E (HE) in Huai'an City from 2015 to 2024, and construct and validate the prediction effect of the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model, and to provide a scientific basis for HE prevention and control. Methods Data of reported HE cases in Huai'an City from January 2015 to December 2024 were extracted from the National Disease Control and Prevention Information System. Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to analyze the temporal, regional and population distribution characteristics of HE incidence. After data preprocessing, stationarity test and randomness test, the SARIMA model was constructed. The optimal model was selected by minimizing the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). The model performance was evaluated by adjusted R-squared (Adj R²) and root mean square error (RMSE). The monthly incidence rate of HE in Huai'an City in 2025 was predicted and compared with the actual incidence data to validate the model. Results A total of 1 713 HE cases were reported in Huai'an City from 2015 to 2024, showing a fluctuating upward trend. Huaiyin District (339 cases) and Lianshui County (334 cases) were high-incidence areas. The cases were mainly concentrated in people aged 45 and above (83.3%), males (gender ratio 2.37:1) and farmers (70.8%). The optimal model was SARIMA (1,1,1)×(2,0,1)₁₂, with residual as white noise sequence. There was no statistical difference between the actual incidence and predicted value from January to August 2025 (P>0.05). Conclusion HE incidence in Huai'an has obvious aggregation and temporal fluctuation characteristics. The SARIMA model has a good prediction effect, which can provide reference for formulating targeted prevention and control strategies.

Objective: o investigate the epidemiological characteristics and spatial-temporal clustering of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) in Huai'an City, Jiangsu Province from 2011 to 2024, so as to provide a basis for optimizing local SFTS prevention and control strategies, and identifying high-risk areas and key populations. Methods: Data on SFTS incidence and deaths in Huai'an City from 2011 to 2024 were collected from the Infectious Disease Reporting Information System of the Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System. The reported incidence, mortality, and fatality rates were calculated. Descriptive analysis was performed on temporal, population, and regional distribution. The average annual percent change (AAPC) was used to analyze the trend in the reported incidence of SFTS. Global and local spatial autocorrelation analyses were employed to examine the spatial distribution patterns and spatial association patterns of SFTS incidence while spatio-temporal scanning analyses was used to assess the spatial-temporal clustering of SFTS. Results: A total of 337 SFTS cases were reported in Huai'an City from 2011 to 2024, with the reported incidence rising from 0.17/105 to 1.88/105. There were 20 deaths, with an average annual mortality of 0.03/105, and a fatality rate of 5.93%. The incidence showed obvious seasonality, with a peak in May and June (148 cases, accounting for 43.92%). Spring and summer accounted for 107 cases (31.75%) and 159 cases (47.18%), respectively. The reported SFTS cases were mainly male, farmers, and individuals aged ≥41 years, accounting for 56.38%, 79.23%, and 96.74%, respectively. The population distribution of death cases was basically consistent with that of incident cases. Xuyi County was a high-incidence area, with a total of 332 reported cases, accounting for 98.52%. All death cases were reported in this county. Spatial autocorrelation analyses revealed a positive spatial correlation in SFTS incidence from 2019 to 2024, with Moran's I values ranging from 0.214 to 0.336 (all P<0.05). Heqiao Town, Tianquanhu Town, and Guiwu Town in Xuyi County were identified as high-high clustering areas. Spatio-temporal scanning analyses showed that cluster 1 was consistent with the high-high clustering areas, with an aggregation time from the second quarter of 2019 to the second quarter of 2022. Conclusions From 2011 to 2024, the reported incidence of SFTS in Huai'an City showed an upward trend, with a high incidence in spring and summer. Males, farmers, and the middle-aged and elderly population were the key populations for prevention and control. Xuyi County was the key area for prevention and control.

OBJECTIVE: Xuebijing injection has been recommended as a therapeutic approach for individuals with severe and critical COVID-19. This study aims to explore the correlation of neutrophil to lymphocyte platelet ratio (NLPR) with the severity and prognosis of COVID-19, and the effect of XBJ on the prognosis of patients with COVID-19 in different inflammatory states. METHODS: This was a retrospective study conducted at Wuhan Union Hospital in China. COVID-19 patients admitted between November 1, 2022 and February 1, 2023 were included. In predicting prognosis for individuals with COVID-19, new inflammatory indicators were used, and their prognostic value was assessed by using Cox regression models and receiver operating characteristic curves. Furthermore, a calculation was made to determine the cutoff value for NLPR. Relative risk and Cox regression models were used to examine the effects of Xuebijing injection on prognosis in patient cohorts that had been stratified by the NLPR cutoff. RESULTS: This research included 455 participants with COVID-19, with a mean age of 72 years. Several inflammatory indicators were found to be strongly correlated with prognosis, and NLPR shows the greatest predictive power. Patients with NLPR > 3.29 exhibited a mortality rate of 17.3%, which was 6.2 times higher than in patients with NLPR ≤ 3.29. Importantly, providing Xuebijing injection to patients with NLPR > 3.29 was associated with a lower risk of 60-day all-cause mortality. However, there was no discernible improvement in survival among patients with NLPR ≤ 3.29 who received Xuebijing injection. CONCLUSION NLPR is the most reliable inflammatory marker for predicting prognosis among individuals with COVID-19, and can accurately identify individuals who may benefit from Xuebijing injection. Please cite this article as: Liao M, Zhang LT, Bai LJ, Wang RY, Liu Y, Han J, Liu LH, Qi BL. Xuebijing injection reduces COVID-19 patients mortality as influenced by the neutrophil to lymphocyte platelet ratio. J Integr Med. 2025; 23(3): 282-288.
Humans ; Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage* ; Male ; Female ; Retrospective Studies ; Aged ; Neutrophils ; COVID-19 Drug Treatment ; COVID-19/blood* ; Middle Aged ; Prognosis ; Lymphocytes ; Blood Platelets ; Platelet Count ; SARS-CoV-2 ; Aged, 80 and over ; Adult

Objective:To observe effectiveness of combining diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) with motor evoked potentials (MEPs) in evaluating the upper limb motor functioning of stroke survivors.Methods:Thirty-seven stroke survivors with upper limb motor dysfunction were selected. At the 4th, 12th and 24th week after their onset, each was were assessed using Fugl-Meyer Upper Limb (FMA-UE) scoring, the National Institutes of Health stroke scale (NIHSS), the modified Rankin Scale (mRS), the Barthel Index (BI) and hemiplegic hand function classification. DTI was also applied and MEPs were measured. The patients were divided into an MEP positive group and an MEP negative group according to the existence of the MEP waveform. The DTI and MEP parameters were correlated with the FMA-UE scores, linear regressions were evaluated and a receiver operating characteristics curve was prepared to estimate the utility of DTI in predicting hand function. The sensitivity and specificity of MEPs in predicting hand function recovery were evaluated.Results:The asymmetry index (FAa) of the average anisotropy score of the posterior limb of the internal capsule and the FAa of the cerebral peduncle were both significantly correlated with the FMA-UE scores at the 12th and 24th weeks. The best cut-off points for predicting functional recovery of a patient′s hand were 0.155 for the FAa of the posterior limb of the internal capsule and 0.145 for the cerebral peduncle. Among the 37 patients, the MEPs of 8 (the MEP positive group) could be extracted, and their hand functions recovered completely. The sensitivity of the MEPs in predicting the complete recovery of hand function was 80% with 100% specificity. The linear regression analysis showed 77% prediction accuracy for the FAa and MEPs of the cerebral peduncle for upper limb motor function at the 24th week after onset. In the MEP negative group, two patients completely recovered their hand function, with one′s FAa less than 0.145, and the other′s more than 0.145. When the MEP was negative, the sensitivity of DTI in predicting the recovery of hand function was 50% with 81.5% specificity.Conclusions:DTI combined with MEPs can be used as an index to evaluate the prognosis of upper limb motor function in stroke patients.

Objective:This study aims to develop a laboratory-based predictive model for early neurological deterioration (END) in patients with acute cerebral infarction (ACI) using baseline data collected at hospital admission.Methods:This study was a retrospective cohort study. Clinical and baseline laboratory test data from 502 patients with ACI admitted to the Department of Neurology at our hospital between January 1, 2022 and May 31, 2025. Of these patients, 313 were male and 189 were female, with a median age of 67 years (interquartile range: 58-73). Patients were classified into an END group and a non-END group according to the occurrence of END within 7 days of admission. Subsequently, using the caret package in R (version 4.4.2), the dataset was randomly divided into a training set ( n=351) and a validation set ( n=151) at a 7∶3 ratio, with END status as the stratification variable and a fixed random seed to ensure reproducibility. Following baseline characteristic comparisons between groups, these datasets were used for model development and validation, respectively. The differences in clinical indicators between the two patients groups were assessed using the chi-square test and the Wilcoxon rank sum test. In the training group, Lasso regression was utilized to identify variables significantly associated with END. Seven machine learning algorithms-decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), light gradient boosting machine (LGBM), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), support vector machine (SVM), and logistic regression (LR)-were employed to develop predictive models. The optimal hyperparameters were determined via grid search integrated with 5-fold cross-validation. The final algorithm was selected based on comprehensive model performance evaluation. Additionally, clinical data of 79 patients with ACI, collected between June 1 to August 31, 2025, were compiled as an independent test set for external validation. The cohort comprised 49 males and 30 females, with a median age of 68 years (interquartile range: 57-72). The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was employed to access feature importance and model interpretability. SHAP dependence plots and interaction plots were utilized to emplore the nonlinear relationships and interaction effects among the featurevariables. Results:Among the 502 patients, 166 experienced END during 7 days of hospitalization. Lasso regression identified nine significant predictors: history of hyperlipidemia, admission NIHSS score, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), hemoglobin, D-dimer, albumin, neuron-specific enolase (NSE), homocysteine (HCY), and vitamin B12. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the seven machine learning models ranged from 0.709 to 0.946. The XGB model achieved the highest predictive performance, with an AUC of 0.946 (95% CI 0.924-0.960) in the training cohort and 0.867 (95% CI 0.902-0.933) in the validation cohort. SHAP analysis revealed that the top five variables contributing to END prediction were admission NIHSS score, HCY, D-dimer, history of hyperlipidemia, and vitamin B12. Conclusion:This study successfully developed a laboratory-based prediction model for END using the XGB machine learning algorithm, which demonstrated strong predictive performance.

Objective:To observe effectiveness of combining diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) with motor evoked potentials (MEPs) in evaluating the upper limb motor functioning of stroke survivors.Methods:Thirty-seven stroke survivors with upper limb motor dysfunction were selected. At the 4th, 12th and 24th week after their onset, each was were assessed using Fugl-Meyer Upper Limb (FMA-UE) scoring, the National Institutes of Health stroke scale (NIHSS), the modified Rankin Scale (mRS), the Barthel Index (BI) and hemiplegic hand function classification. DTI was also applied and MEPs were measured. The patients were divided into an MEP positive group and an MEP negative group according to the existence of the MEP waveform. The DTI and MEP parameters were correlated with the FMA-UE scores, linear regressions were evaluated and a receiver operating characteristics curve was prepared to estimate the utility of DTI in predicting hand function. The sensitivity and specificity of MEPs in predicting hand function recovery were evaluated.Results:The asymmetry index (FAa) of the average anisotropy score of the posterior limb of the internal capsule and the FAa of the cerebral peduncle were both significantly correlated with the FMA-UE scores at the 12th and 24th weeks. The best cut-off points for predicting functional recovery of a patient′s hand were 0.155 for the FAa of the posterior limb of the internal capsule and 0.145 for the cerebral peduncle. Among the 37 patients, the MEPs of 8 (the MEP positive group) could be extracted, and their hand functions recovered completely. The sensitivity of the MEPs in predicting the complete recovery of hand function was 80% with 100% specificity. The linear regression analysis showed 77% prediction accuracy for the FAa and MEPs of the cerebral peduncle for upper limb motor function at the 24th week after onset. In the MEP negative group, two patients completely recovered their hand function, with one′s FAa less than 0.145, and the other′s more than 0.145. When the MEP was negative, the sensitivity of DTI in predicting the recovery of hand function was 50% with 81.5% specificity.Conclusions:DTI combined with MEPs can be used as an index to evaluate the prognosis of upper limb motor function in stroke patients.

Objective:To investigate the uptake patterns of 18F-fluorodeoxy glucose ( 18F-FDG) in the endometrium using positron emission tomography (PET) imaging and to differentiate these from stage IA endometrial cancer. Methods:From September 2022 to April 2024, a prospective inclusion of 354 women without gynecological diseases and no hormone usage who underwent 18F-FDG PET-CT examinations at the affiliated hospital of Qingdao University were set as the physiological group, while a group containing 42 cases of Stage IA endometrial carcinoma was also set. The physiological group was divided into five groups based on the menstrual cycle: menstrual period, proliferative phase, ovulatory phase, secretory phase, and menopausal phase. The images were analyzed using visual and quantitative measurements; quantitative analysis indicators were standardized uptake value maximum (SUVmax) and the region of interest/liver ratio (R/L value). Receiver operating characteristic (ROCs) curve was used to determine the optimal cutoff values for SUVmax and R/L value. A clinical model was established using binary logistic regression, and ROC curves were drawn to evaluate the predictive performance of the model. Results:The uptake of 18F-FDG in the endometrium exhibited cyclical variations throughout different physiological phases, with higher uptakes observed during the menstrual and ovulation phases (SUVmax values of 6.66±3.26 and 3.89±1.21, respectively), which are significantly higher than those in the proliferative phase [median SUVmax of 2.54 (2.02, 3.47)], secretory phase (SUVmax of 2.55±0.86), and menopausal phase [SUVmax median of 2.04 (1.69, 2.29)]. During the menstrual and ovulation phases, the radiotracer accumulation patterns were triangular in 105 cases, oval in 32 cases, and round-like in 2 cases. All 42 cases of endometrial cancer showed 18F-FDG uptake, with radiotracer accumulation patterns being round-like in 17 cases, oval in 10 cases, triangular in 9 cases, and irregular in 6 cases. There were statistically significant differences in the shapes of radiotracer concentration between the menstrual, ovulatory periods, and endometrial carcinoma (both P＜0.001). The SUVmax and R/L values in menstrual period and ovulatory period were significantly lower than that in endometrial carcinoma group ( P＜0.001). During the menstrual phase, the optimal cutoff values for SUVmax and R/L in distinguishing between endometrial and endometrial cancer were 12.59 and 3.81, respectively, with corresponding AUCs of 0.885 and 0.842. After incorporating endometrial uptake morphology into the model, the AUCs was improved to 0.969 and 0.948, respectively. During the ovulatory phase, the optimal cutoff values for SUVmax and R/L were 5.96 and 2.85, respectively, with AUCs of 0.984 and 0.968. After integrating endometrial uptake morphology into the model, the AUCs were increased to 0.999 and 0.998, respectively. Conclusions:The 18F-FDG PET imaging of the endometrium shows higher uptake during the menstrual and ovulatory periods, primarily triangular in shape; endometrial carcinoma uptake is significantly higher than the physiological uptake during the menstrual and ovulatory periods, mainly in circular, oval, and irregular shapes. When SUVmax≥5.96, R/L≥2.85, combined with the physiological cycle of the subjects and the morphological characteristics of the radiotracer concentration, it is possible to effectively differentiate between physiological uptake and Stage IA endometrial carcinoma.

Objective To observe the clinical efficacy of lumbar disc resection under unilateral biportal endoscopy(UBE)for calcified lumbar disc herniation(CLDH).Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 25 patients with single-segment CLDH who underwent lumbar disc resection under UBE from January 2020 to January 2022.The operation time,postoperative hospital stay,and postoperative complications were recorded.The visual analogue scale(VAS)score for low back and leg pain,Japanese Orthopaedic Association(JOA)score for the lumbar spine,and Oswestry disability index(ODI)were used to evaluate the efficacy before surgery,3 d after surgery,1 month after surgery,and at the last follow-up.At the last follow-up,the modified Macnab standard was used to assess the excellent and good rate.Results The patients were followed up for 12～24 months,with an average of(15.60±2.60)months.The average operation time was(58.67±10.73)min,and the postoperative hospital stay was(4.65±0.63)d.The VAS score,and ODI were lower,and JOA score was higher at 3 d after surgery,1 month after surgery,and the last follow-up compared with those before surgery,and the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).At the last follow-up,according to the modified Macnab criteria,15 cases were rated as excellent,9 cases as good,and 1 case as fair.The excellent and good rate was 96.00%(24/25).Postoperative complications included a tear of the ventral dural sac of the nerve root,about 5 mm in length,without dural sac repair.The patient was instructed to stay in bed for 5 d after surgery and was given fluid replacement.The patient did not complain of discomfort such as headache when he got out of bed,and the postoperative MRI showed no massive epidural effusion.One patient had lower limb sensory disturbance and was treated with neurotrophic drugs,and recovered at the 1-month follow-up after surgery.Postoperative imaging examinations showed that the free calcified tissues were basically completely resected and the nerve roots were adequately decompressed.At the last follow-up,no recurrent cases were found.Conclusion Lumbar disc resection under UBE for CLDH is an effective and safe minimally invasive technique.

AIM To explore the clinical effects of Jiawei Yanghe Decoction combined with Budesonide and Formoterol Fumarate Powder for Inhalation on patients with mild to moderate bronchial asthma in chronic and persistent period.METHODS One hundred and eighteen patients were randomly assigned into control group(59 cases)for 4-week administration of Budesonide and Formoterol Fumarate Powder for Inhalation,and observation group(59 cases)for 4-week administration of both Jiawei Yanghe Decoction and Budesonide and Formoterol Fumarate Powder for Inhalation.The changes in clinical effects,ACT score,bronchial asthma control rate,pulmonary function indices(FEV1,PEF,FEV1％,PEF％),inflammatory indices(EOS,EOS％,FeNO),TCM syndrome score and incidence of adverse reactions were detected.RESULTS The observation group demonstrated higher total effective rate than the control group(P＜0.05).After the treatment,the two groups displayed increased bronchial asthma control rate,ACT score,PEF(P＜0.05),and decreased TCM syndrome score(P＜0.05),especially for the observation group(P＜0.05);the observation group exhibited increased FEV1,FEV1％,PEF％(P＜0.05),among which FEV1,PEF％were higher than those in the control group(P＜0.05);the observation group showed decreased inflammatory indices(P＜0.05),among which FeNO was lower than that in the control group(P＜0.05).No significant difference in incidence of adverse reactions was found between the two groups(P＞0.05).CONCLUSION For the patients with mild to moderate bronchial asthma in chronic and persistent period,Jiawei Yanghe Decoction combined with Budesonide and Formoterol Fumarate Powder for Inhalation can safely and effectively alleviate clinical symptoms,improve pulmonary functions,airway inflammatory reactions,and enhance bronchial asthma control rate.

Objective To observe the clinical efficacy of lumbar disc resection under unilateral biportal endoscopy(UBE)for calcified lumbar disc herniation(CLDH).Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 25 patients with single-segment CLDH who underwent lumbar disc resection under UBE from January 2020 to January 2022.The operation time,postoperative hospital stay,and postoperative complications were recorded.The visual analogue scale(VAS)score for low back and leg pain,Japanese Orthopaedic Association(JOA)score for the lumbar spine,and Oswestry disability index(ODI)were used to evaluate the efficacy before surgery,3 d after surgery,1 month after surgery,and at the last follow-up.At the last follow-up,the modified Macnab standard was used to assess the excellent and good rate.Results The patients were followed up for 12～24 months,with an average of(15.60±2.60)months.The average operation time was(58.67±10.73)min,and the postoperative hospital stay was(4.65±0.63)d.The VAS score,and ODI were lower,and JOA score was higher at 3 d after surgery,1 month after surgery,and the last follow-up compared with those before surgery,and the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).At the last follow-up,according to the modified Macnab criteria,15 cases were rated as excellent,9 cases as good,and 1 case as fair.The excellent and good rate was 96.00%(24/25).Postoperative complications included a tear of the ventral dural sac of the nerve root,about 5 mm in length,without dural sac repair.The patient was instructed to stay in bed for 5 d after surgery and was given fluid replacement.The patient did not complain of discomfort such as headache when he got out of bed,and the postoperative MRI showed no massive epidural effusion.One patient had lower limb sensory disturbance and was treated with neurotrophic drugs,and recovered at the 1-month follow-up after surgery.Postoperative imaging examinations showed that the free calcified tissues were basically completely resected and the nerve roots were adequately decompressed.At the last follow-up,no recurrent cases were found.Conclusion Lumbar disc resection under UBE for CLDH is an effective and safe minimally invasive technique.