1.Application of ARIMA model in predicting the incidence of hepatitis E in Yunnan Province
Bilian ZHU ; Yingmei TANG ; Zhengrong DING ; Jibo HE ; Weimin BAO ; Qinnian LI
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(4):37-41
Objective To explore the application of the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model in predicting the number of reported hepatitis E cases in Yunnan Province,to use this model to predict the incidence trend of hepatitis E, and to provide reference for the scientific prevention and control of hepatitis E. Methods Monthly reported cases of hepatitis E in Yunnan Province from 2012 to 2021 were collected. The ARIMA model was established using SPSS 27.0, and the model was validated and parameters were optimized with data from January 2022 to December 2022. The optimal fitting model was used to predict the incidence of hepatitis E in 2023. Results Hepatitis E incidence in Yunnan Province showed a certain seasonal distribution, with most cases concentrated from March to August. All parameters of ARIMA(3,1,4)(1,1,1)12 passed statistical tests. The Ljung-Box test showed statistic Q =10.050, P = 0.346, residual sequence was a white noise sequence, and goodness-of-fit index stationary R² was 0.591. The model extrapolation effect was verified with 2022 data, and MAPE was 14.747, indicating that the model extrapolation effect was effective. The number of hepatitis E cases in Yunnan Province in 2023 was expected to be 1,086. Conclusion The ARIMA (3,1,4)(1,1,1)12 model shows good fitting performance for hepatitis E cases in Yunnan Province and can effectively predict short-term disease trends, providing a theoretical basis for formulating prevention and control measures for hepatitis E.
2.Genome-wide DNA methylation and mRNA transcription analysis revealed aberrant gene regulation pathways in patients with dermatomyositis and polymyositis.
Hui LUO ; Honglin ZHU ; Ding BAO ; Yizhi XIAO ; Bin ZHOU ; Gong XIAO ; Lihua ZHANG ; Siming GAO ; Liya LI ; Yangtengyu LIU ; Di LIU ; Junjiao WU ; Qiming MENG ; Meng MENG ; Tao CHEN ; Xiaoxia ZUO ; Quanzhen LI ; Huali ZHANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(1):120-122
3.An anti-complement homogeneous polysaccharide from Houttuynia cordata ameliorates acute pneumonia with H1N1 and MRSA coinfection through rectifying Treg/Th17 imbalance in the gut-lung axis and NLRP3 inflammasome activation.
Xinxing LI ; Wenxin DING ; Yan LU ; Haiyan ZHU ; Weilian BAO ; Yang LIU ; Jiaren LYU ; Lishuang ZHOU ; Hong LI ; Jiyang LI ; Daofeng CHEN
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(6):3073-3091
The coinfection of respiratory viruses and bacteria is a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, despite the development of vaccines and powerful antibiotics. As a macromolecule that is difficult to absorb in the gastrointestinal tract, a homogeneous polysaccharide from Houttuynia cordata (HCPM) has been reported to exhibit anti-complement properties and alleviate influenza A virus (H1N1)-induced lung injury; however, the effects of HCPM without in vitro antiviral and antibacterial activities on more complicated pulmonary diseases resulting from viral-bacterial coinfection remains unclear. This study established a representative coinfection murine pneumonia model infected with H1N1 (0.2 LD50) and methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA, 107 CFU). HCPM significantly improved survival rate and weight loss, and ameliorated gut-lung damage and inflammatory cytokine production. Interestingly, the therapeutic effect of HCPM on intestinal damage preceded that in the lungs. Mechanistically, HCPM inhibited the overactivation of the intestinal complement (C3a and C5a) and suppressed the activation of the NLR family pyrin domain-containing 3 (NLRP3) pathway, which contributes to the regulation of the Treg/Th17 cell balance in the gut-lung axis. The results indicate the beneficial effects of an anti-complement polysaccharide against viral-bacterial coinfection pneumonia by modulating crosstalk between multiple immune regulatory networks.
4.Downregulation of Serum PTEN Expression in Mercury-Exposed Population and PI3K/AKT Pathway-Induced Inflammation
Peng MEI ; Min En DING ; Yang Hao YIN ; Xue Xue DING ; Huan WANG ; Feng Jian WANG ; Lei HAN ; Dong Heng ZHANG ; Li Bao ZHU
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2024;37(4):354-366
Objective This study investigated the impact of occupational mercury(Hg)exposure on human gene transcription and expression,and its potential biological mechanisms. Methods Differentially expressed genes related to Hg exposure were identified and validated using gene expression microarray analysis and extended validation.Hg-exposed cell models and PTEN low-expression models were established in vitro using 293T cells.PTEN gene expression was assessed using qRT-PCR,and Western blotting was used to measure PTEN,AKT,and PI3K protein levels.IL-6 expression was determined by ELISA. Results Combined findings from gene expression microarray analysis,bioinformatics,and population expansion validation indicated significant downregulation of the PTEN gene in the high-concentration Hg exposure group.In the Hg-exposed cell model(25 and 10 μmol/L),a significant decrease in PTEN expression was observed,accompanied by a significant increase in PI3K,AKT,and IL-6 expression.Similarly,a low-expression cell model demonstrated that PTEN gene knockdown led to a significant decrease in PTEN protein expression and a substantial increase in PI3K,AKT,and IL-6 levels. Conclusion This is the first study to report that Hg exposure downregulates the PTEN gene,activates the PI3K/AKT regulatory pathway,and increases the expression of inflammatory factors,ultimately resulting in kidney inflammation.
5.Study on the changes of skeletal muscle index during chemoradiotherapy for patients with cervical cancer and its correlation with prognosis
Fan ZHOU ; Jin-Feng BAO ; Hui LU ; Mei-Qing DING ; Li-Ping DENG ; Zi YIN ; Zi-Qi CHEN ; Li-Jing ZHU
Parenteral & Enteral Nutrition 2024;31(4):211-219
Objective:To study the changes in skeletal muscle and serum nutritional indicators during concurrent chemoradiotherapy in cervical cancer patients,and to evaluate their correlation with short-term efficacy and long-term prognosis. Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 114 patients with cervical cancer who underwent radical concurrent chemoradiotherapy in the Department of Oncology,Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital from February 2019 to February 2023. All patients underwent a treatment regimen comprising external beam radiation (EBRT),internal radiation,and concurrent chemotherapy. Serum nutritional data of the patients were collected before radiotherapy,one week,two weeks and five weeks after the onset of radiotherapy. CT images of the patients at the time of simulation and about five weeks after the onset of radiotherapy were imported into the Pinnacle 39.10 planning system,and the skeletal muscle index (SMI) of the third lumbar vertebra (L3) were calculated for each patients. The changes of the serum nutritional indicators of the patients prior to and post EBRT were analyzed statistically. The patients are categorized into two groups according to the baseline SMI:a sarcopenic group consisting of 35 cases and a non-sarcopenic group comprising 79 cases. The therapeutic outcomes between the two groups were compared,and logistic analysis of the relevant factors affecting the occurrence of sarcopenia during radiotherapy was conducted. The survival curves were drawn using Kaplan-Meier method and disease-free survival (DFS) between the two groups was compared using Log Rank test. We used Cox univariate and multivariate regression analysis to identify prognostic factors related to DFS. Results:The serum nutritional indicators of the patient at one week,two weeks,and five weeks after the beginning of EBRT were significantly lower than those before radiotherapy (P<0.05). The SMI from the CT images of simulation at five weeks after the onset of radiotherapy was significantly lower than that before radiotherapy (P<0.001). There was a significant correlation between hemoglobin levels prior to radiotherapy and incidence of sarcopenia during radiotherapy (P=0.046). There was no significant difference in efficacy between the two groups at the end of EBRT (P>0.05). At the end of radiotherapy,the complete response (CR) rate of the non-sarcopenia group was significantly higher than that of the sarcopenia group (P=0.040). However,the objective response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) of both groups at the end of radiotherapy were 100%. The 2-year DFS of the sarcopenia group and the non-sarcopenia group were 66.7% and 85.5%,respectively,and the difference was statistically significant (P=0.016). Only four patients died during the 2-year follow-up,so OS was not reached. Baseline SMI,serum squamous cell antigen levels prior to radiotherapy,and degree of bone marrow suppression were three independent prognostic factors affecting DFS in the patients. Conclusion:Cervical cancer patients experience significant nutritional loss during chemoradiotherapy,and baseline SMI is significantly correlated with short-term efficacy and long-term prognosis and can serve as a predictive marker for patients with cervical cancer receiving chemoradiotherapy.
6.Effects of Shenxiao Jiedu Tongluo Recipe on AIM2-mediated pyroptosis of renal cells in a golden hamster model of diabetic nephropathy
Yu-Peng XIAO ; Ying-Jun DING ; Bao-Zhu DING ; Shu-Jie HOU ; Si-Yang LIU ; Zi-Wei ZHANG ; Xiao-Xia LI ; Wen-Jie LIANG ; Nan ZHANG
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2024;46(11):3603-3612
AIM To investigate the effects and mechanism of Shenxiao Jiedu Tongluo Recipe on renal AIM 2-mediated pyroptosis of a golden hamster model of diabetic nephropathy(DN).METHODS Fifty male golden hamsters of SPF grade were randomly divided into the control group and the model group.The golden hamsters of the model group successfully developed into DN models by feeding of high glucose and high fat diet and intraperitoneal injection of STZ were further randomly assigned into the model group,the enagliflozin group(10 mg/kg),and the low-dose and the high-dose Shenxiao Jiedu Tongluo Recipe groups(12.8,25.6 g/kg)for 8 weeks gavage of the corresponding administration.The golden hamsters had their levels of fasting blood glucose,24 h-UTP,serum TC,LDL-C,Scr,and Sur detected by automatic biochemical analyzer;their serum SOD activity and MDA level detected by biochemical method;their serum levels of IL-1β,IL-18,and TNF-α detected by ELISA method;their pathomorphological changes of kidney tissue observed by HE and PAS staining;their protein expressions of ROS and γH2AX detected by immunofluorescence or immunohistochemistry;and their renal protein expressions of AIM 2,caspase-1 and GSDMD detected by Western blot and immunohistochemistry.RESULTS Compared with the control group,the model group showed atrophic glomeruli;enlarged glomerular capsule cavity;mesangial expansion;edema and necrosis in the dilated renal tubules;increased levels of fasting blood glucose,24 h-UTP,serum TC,LDL-C,Scr,Sur,IL-1β,IL-18,TNF-α,MDA and renal protein expressions of ROS,γH2AX,AIM2,caspase-1,GSDMD(P<0.01);and decreased serum SOD activity(P<0.01).Compared with the model group,the high-dose Shenxiao Jiedu Tongluo Recipe group and the enagliflozin group displayed improved renal histopathology,decreased levels of 24 h-UTP,serum TC,LDL-C,Scr,Sur,IL-1β,IL-18,TNF-α,MDA and renal protein expressions of ROS,γH2AX,AIM2,caspase-1,GSDMD(P<0.05,P<0.01);and increased serum SOD activity(P<0.01).CONCLUSION Shenxiao Jiedu Tongluo Recipe can inhibit AIM 2-mediated cell death and alleviate renal inflammatory damage in golden hamsters by inhibiting their expression of ROS-dsDNA-AIM 2 signal pathway to attain reduction of their renal ROS level,DNA damage of renal intrinsic cells,and synthesis of AIM 2 inflammatory corpuscles as well.
7.Fu's subcutaneous needling for non-acute idiopathic facial paralysis : a randomized controlled trial.
Lamei TAO ; Jing LI ; Jin LU ; Maohui ZHU ; Zhihong XIE ; Xiaoli BAO ; Xinghao DING
Chinese Acupuncture & Moxibustion 2024;44(11):1249-1253
OBJECTIVE:
To observe the effect of Fu's subcutaneous needling in the treatment of non-acute idiopathic facial paralysis and its effect on serum levels of nitric oxide (NO) and endothelin (ET).
METHODS:
A total of 76 patients with non-acute idiopathic facial paralysis were randomly divided into an observation group (38 cases, 2 cases dropped out) and a control group (38 cases, 2 cases dropped out). The patients in the control group received basic treatment (mecobalamin tablets orally, specific electromagnetic spectrum irradiation, facial muscle rehabilitation training). The patients in the observation group were treated with Fu's subcutaneous needling on the basis of the control group. The needling points included brachioradialis muscle, sternocleidomastoid muscle, trapezius muscle, etc., and the needling was inserted around the affected muscle, and the reperfusion activity was carried out at the same time, once every other day, 3 times a week. Both groups were treated for 4 weeks. The House-Brackmann (H-B) grade and H-B symptom score were observed before treatment, after 2 and 4 weeks of treatment in the two groups. The facial disability index (FDI) score [including physical function (FDIP) score and social life function (FDIS) score] and the serum levels of NO and ET were compared before and after 4 weeks of treatment in the two groups. The clinical effect and safety of the two groups were assessed.
RESULTS:
After 2 and 4 weeks of treatment, the H-B grade of the two groups was lower than that before treatment, and the H-B symptom scores were higher than those before treatment (P<0.001, P<0.05); the H-B grade of the observation group was lower than that of the control group, and the H-B symptom score was higher than that of the control group (P<0.01, P<0.05). After 4 weeks of treatment, the FDIP scores of the two groups were higher than those before treatment, and the FDIS scores were lower than those before treatment (P<0.05 ); the FDIP score of the observation group was higher than that of the control group, and the FDIS score was lower than that of the control group (P<0.05). After 4 weeks of treatment, the serum level of NO in the observation group was higher than that before treatment, and the serum level of ET was lower than that before treatment (P<0.05); the increase of serum level of NO and the decrease of serum level of ET in the observation group were greater than those in the control group (P<0.05). The cure rate of the observation group was 55.6% (20/36), which was higher than 22.2% (8/36) of the control group (P<0.05). There were no serious adverse reactions in both groups.
CONCLUSION
Fu's subcutaneous needling combined with basic treatment can effectively improve the motor function of facial muscles in patients with non-acute idiopathic facial paralysis, which may be related to the regulation of serum NO and ET levels.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Acupuncture Therapy
;
Aged
;
Facial Paralysis/physiopathology*
;
Young Adult
;
Nitric Oxide/blood*
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Acupuncture Points
;
Endothelins/blood*
;
Adolescent
8.Impact of COVID-19 epidemic on inventory of red blood cells in local and municipal blood stations in China
Weina CHEN ; Jianling ZHONG ; Yueping DING ; Weizhen LYU ; Jian ZHANG ; Lin BAO ; Feng YAN ; Li LI ; Dexu CHU ; Guanlin HU ; Ruijuan YANG ; Bo LI ; Xiaofeng ZHEN ; Youhua SHEN ; Wen ZHANG ; Jie YANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Yunfei LI ; Liang BAI ; Ning LI ; Yian LIANG ; Lili ZHU ; Qingsong YUAN ; Qingjie MA
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2023;36(10):903-906
【Objective】 To evaluate and analyze the impact of COVID-19 epidemic on inventory of red blood cells (RBCs)in local and municipal blood stations in China, and to provide reference for the management of public health emergencies. 【Methods】 Relevant data from 2018 to 2021 were collected, and the differences in the volume of qualified RBCs, the usage efficiency of inventory RBCs, the average daily distribution of RBCs,the blood distribution rate of RBCs prepared by 400 mL whole blood, the difference in the average storage days of RBCs at the time of distribution, the average daily inventory of RBCs and the time of the average daily inventory of RBCs to maintain the distribution in 24 local and municipal blood stations in China during the COVID-19 epidemic and non-epidemic periods were retrospectively analyzed. 【Results】 Compared with non-epidemic periods, the volume of qualified RBCs [(117 525.979 ±52 203.175)U] and the average daily distribution of RBCs [( 156. 468 ± 70. 186) U ] increased significantly, but the usage efficiency of inventory RBCs decreased(97.24%±0.51%) significantly (P<0.05).There was no significant difference in the blood distribution rate of RBCs prepared by 400 mL whole blood(73.88%±20.30%), the average storage days of RBCs distribution(13.040 ±3.486), the average daily stock quantity of RBCs[(2 280.542 ±1 446.538) U ] and the time of the average daily inventory of RBCs to maintain the distribution[(15.062 ±7.453) d] (P>0.5). 【Conclusion】 During the COVID-19 epidemic, the inventory management of RBCs operated well, the overall inventory remained relatively stable, the stock composition and storage period showed no significant change.
9.Clinical analysis of chronic mild occupational carbon disulfide poisoning
Xiaoyan CAO ; Xiaomin ZHU ; Zhongjie XU ; Xiaoqing JI ; Youhong BAO ; Bangmei DING
China Occupational Medicine 2023;50(1):73-78
10.Development of Surgical Robots in Recent Years.
Lixiao YANG ; Zhengsong HOU ; Wei TANG ; Sinan ZHU ; Qi BAO ; Jiabin TONG ; Xiuwen DING
Chinese Journal of Medical Instrumentation 2023;47(1):1-12
OBJECTIVE:
To study the development of surgical robots at home and abroad in recent years.
METHODS:
Through a large number of literature review and analysis, the qualification approval and technical function characteristics of domestic and foreign surgical robots from January 2019 to July 2022 were analyzed.
RESULTS:
The related situations of 39 surgical robots were analyzed and reported, and the shortcomings and future development direction of the current surgical robots were summarized.
CONCLUSIONS
The development of surgical robots in China is now in a rapid development stage. At present, surgical robots generally have the disadvantages of high cost, lack of tactile feedback (force feedback), large size, large space occupation and difficult to move. In the future, it will develop towards intelligent, miniaturized, remote, open and low-cost.
China
;
Robotics
;
Robotic Surgical Procedures


Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail