1.Analysis of hepatitis B infection characteristics in HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ blood donors in Taiyuan
Zhiye LI ; Baifeng SHAN ; Liuming ZHANG ; Yixuan LI ; Aichun CHU ; Weiyu YUAN ; Lixia DOU ; Qiang ZHANG ; Yuan BAI ; Yuan ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(3):373-378
Objective: To analyze characteristics of hepatitis B infection in HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ blood donors in Taiyuan, so as to provide evidence for adjusting blood screening strategies. Methods: Blood samples of HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors were tested using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), chemiluminescence assay, nucleic acid qualitative test, and nucleic acid quantitative test. Data on HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors in Taiyuan region from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2024 were statistically analyzed to evaluate the detection rate, demographic characteristics, influencing factors of detection rate, nucleic acid quantitative results, and serological patterns of HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors. Results: From January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2024, 991 565 donor samples underwent nucleic acid testing in Taiyuan. A total of 309 HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ samples were detected, resulting in an HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ detection rate of 3.12 per 10 000. The detection rate varied significantly across different years (P<0.05). Males had a significantly higher HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ detection rate than females, first-time donors had a higher rate than repeat donors, and whole blood donors had a higher rate than apheresis donors (P<0.05). The detection rate also differed significantly among age groups (P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that gender, age, donation frequency, and donation type were all influencing factors for HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ detection (all P<0.05). The predominant serological patterns among HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors were HBsAb+/HBcAb+ (43.69%, 135/309) or HBcAb+ alone (24.27%, 75/309). Viral load was detectable in 53.40% (165/309) of the HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors. Among these, 61.21% (101/165) donors had a viral load<20 IU/mL, and 94.55% (156/165) had a viral load<200 IU/mL. Donors with viral load<200 IU/mL primarily exhibited HBsAb+/HBcAb+ (41.67%, 65/156) or HBcAb+alone (36.54%, 57/156) serological patterns. Conclusion: The prevalence of HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ is low among blood donors in Taiyuan. Higher detection rates were observed in the 46-55 years age group, males, first-time donors, and whole blood donors. HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors exhibit specific serological patterns and generally have low viral loads, indicating a potential residual transfusion risk. It is recommended to add HBcAb testing, together with high-sensitivity nucleic acid testing technologies and donor follow-up, to ensure blood safety and guide donor reentry.
2.Predictive effects of different motor evoked potential warning thresholds on motor function recovery fol-lowing decompression for cervical and thoracic ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament
Li LI ; Huan LI ; Kai CHEN ; Jia LIU ; Wenwen SHEN ; Yuqing WANG ; Xiufang WU ; Yushu BAI ; Qiang LI ; Jian-min LIU
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2025;41(18):2898-2905
Objective To explore the optimal warning threshold of motor evoked potentials(MEP)in decompression surgery for ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament(OPLL)at cervical and thoracic segments,and the predictive role of different MEP parameters on postoperative lower extremity motor function.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 227 patients diagnosed with cervical or thoracic OPLL and underwent decompression surgery from January 2022 to January 2024 in the hospital.There were 131 males and 96 females,with an average age of(60±10)years.All patients underwent continuous neuro-physiological monitoring during the operation,and the minimum ratio of MEP amplitude change to the baseline at the beginning of the operation(Dmax)and the ratio of MEP terminal amplitude change to the baseline at the end of the operation(Dend)were recorded.The correlations between these two ratios and the lower extremity motor func-tion immediately after the operation and at 1 year were compared.According to the Medical Research Council muscle strength score(MRC)standard,a postoperative score increase of≥1 point compared to preoperative was defined as postoperative motor dysfunction.Pearson correlation coefficients were used to evaluate the correlations between Dmax and Dend and the lower extremity motor function immediately after the operation and at 1 year.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were drawn to predict postoperative lower extremity motor dysfunc-tion using Dmax and Dend.Results Among the 227 patients,186 had cervical OPLL and 41 had thoracic OPLL.The incidence of lower extremity motor dysfunction immediately after the operation and at 1 year was 7 cases(3.76%)and 2 cases(1.08%)in the cervical group,and 9 cases(21.95%)and 3 cases(7.32%)in the thoracic group,respectively.The incidence of lower extremity motor dysfunction in the thoracic group was higher than that in the cervical group(P<0.001).The baseline induction rate of bilateral lower extremity MEPs was 98.92%(368/372)in the cervical group and 96.34%(79/82)in the thoracic group.The Pearson correlation coefficients of Dend with the bilateral lower extremity motor function immediately after the operation in the cervical and thoracic groups were both greater than those of Dmax,and the differences were statistically significant(cervical group:r=0.669,0.517,P=0.001 2;thoracic group:r=0.882,0.727,P=0.003 6),while the differences in the Pearson corre-lation coefficients of Dend and Dmax with the bilateral lower extremity motor function at 1 year were not statistically significant(cervical group:r=0.457,0.352,P=0.088;thoracic group:r=0.760,0.625,P=0.098).The cut-off values of Dend for the cervical group were 0.853 immediately after the operation and at 1 year,and the cut-off values of Dmax were 0.881 and 0.978,respectively.For the thoracic group,the cut-off values of Dend were 0.532 immediately after the operation and 0.639 at 1 year,and the cut-off values of Dmax were 0.532 and 0.640,respec-tively.Conclusions In OPLL surgery,the MEP monitoring strategy should be adjusted according to the surgical segment.For the cervical segment,Dmax should be emphasized to balance high sensitivity and specificity,while for the thoracic segment,Dmax or Dend can be flexibly selected.Higher MEP warning thresholds are required for cervical OPLL surgery(Dmax:0.881 immediately after the operation and 0.978 at 1 year;Dend:0.853),while significantly lower thresholds are needed for thoracic OPLL(Dmax/Dend:0.532 immediately after the operation and 0.640 at 1 year).
3.Research on quality control of medical flexible endoscope reprocessing and design of endoscope quality control workstation
Pengkai BAI ; Xiaoyang CHU ; Hai XIE ; Ximing FENG ; Jialin LI ; Rongfen WEI ; Zhicai LUO ; Hejiao HUANG ; Qiang HU
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(1):150-154
This paper summarized the current status of infection and quality control of medical flexible endoscope (abbreviation:endoscope),which can identify that defect of the quality control of endoscopic forceps channels was a major cause of nosocomial infections of endoscopy. Based on this,a multifunctional quality control workstation with forceps channel of detecting flexible endoscope,and precision components included top ends for medical endoscopes has been developed,which can clearly display residual contaminants and damages in the forceps channels and precision components after the endoscope was reprocessed. It is contribute to enhance the quality control of reprocessing endoscope,and reduce cross-infection of endoscope.
4.Application and development direction of finite element method in biomechanical analysis of thoracolumbar fractures of the spine
Kai HE ; Wenhua XING ; Feng LI ; Shengxiang LIU ; Xianming BAI ; Chen ZHOU ; Xu GAO ; Yu QIAO ; Qiang HE ; Zhiyu GAO ; Zhen GUO ; Aruhan BAO ; Chade LI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(15):3244-3252
BACKGROUND:The highest incidence of spinal fracture is in the thoracolumbar segment,and its symptoms are back pain,posterior convexity deformity,activity limitation,or with spinal cord nerve injury causing lower limb pain,numbness,and even paraplegia and other complications.The finite element method is a digital computer modeling technique,which can simulate the physical model and carry out force analysis realistically.OBJECTIVE:To review the application of finite element method in thoracolumbar spine fractures.METHODS:We searched the Chinese and English literature databases PubMed,Web of Science,and CNKI for relevant literature on the application of the finite element analysis method in spinal thoracolumbar fracture published before March 2024.The search terms in Chinese and English were:finite element analysis methods,biomechanical phenomena,stress analysis,thoracolumbar fractures,spinal fractures.Finally,55 papers were included.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The exploration of thoracolumbar fractures caused by different etiologies(osteoporotic,traumatic,and pathological)through the finite element method is conducive to a deeper understanding of the biomechanics of various types of thoracolumbar fractures,and to improve the individualized and fine-tuned treatment of thoracolumbar fractures.(2)The finite element analysis of a single sample or a small number of samples has the chance,and a larger number of samples are required for the future finite element analysis to reduce the chance caused by the sample.(3)The rigid structure of bones alone cannot meet the biomechanical working conditions of the integrity of the physical object,and future finite element models need to incorporate all the structures of the physical object(e.g.,soft tissues,such as muscles and ligaments)as far as possible.(4)The finite element method has been used in more studies on osteoporotic and traumatic thoracolumbar spine fractures,which will need to be more in-depth in the future,and less in the field of pathologic thoracolumbar fractures,which has a wider scope for future research.
5.Application of pedicle or perforator flaps transfer in the stage Ⅰ tissue defect repair after vulvar cancer surgery
Yufen CHEN ; Ping BAI ; Yuqiao ZHAO ; Linan CONG ; Nan LI ; Jing ZUO ; Gongyi ZHANG ; Yangchun SUN ; Shumin LI ; Qiang LI
Chinese Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology 2025;60(2):136-143
Objective:To investigate the application of pedicled or perforator flaps transfer in the stage Ⅰ tissue defect repair after vulvar cancer surgery.Methods:From January 2005 to December 2023, 20 patients with vulvar cancer who underwent extensive episiectomy or extended episiectomy±inguinal lymph node resection+vulvar defect flap transfer were collected in Huanxing Cancer Hospital of Chaoyang District and Cancer Hospital and Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences. The survival status, appearance structure, sexual function satisfaction, tumor recurrence, and survival were analyzed.Results:(1) The median age of the 20 patients was 59 years (ranged: 29-73 years). There were 14 patients with recurrence and 6 patients with initial treatment. Pathological types: 14 cases of squamous cell carcinoma, 4 cases of Paget′s disease, 1 case of malignant melanoma, 1 case of adenoid cystic carcinoma (salivary gland type carcinoma). (2) Among the 20 patients, 6 cases underwent extensive episiotomy and 14 underwent extended episiotomy (1 of them underwent extensive excision of inguinal masses). Simultaneous inguinal lymphadenectomy (or dissection) were performed in 11 cases, including 7 cases of bilateral inguinal lymph node resection (or dissection) and 4 cases of unilateral inguinal lymph node resection (or dissection). Flap source: pedicled flap in 12 cases, perforator flap in 8 cases. All the 20 patients were removed at 10-14 days after operation, and all of them survived with rosy skin color and good elasticity. Seventeen cases of transferred flaps healed at stage Ⅰ, 2 cases healed at about 6 weeks due to incision leakage, and 1 case healed at 6 weeks after incision infection debridement. Six months after the operation, 2 cases felt that the pubic mound was thick and swollen. The other 18 cases showed vulva fullness and elasticity, no displacement of urethral opening, no deviation of urethra during urination, no stenosis of vaginal opening, no vulvar scar pain. In addition to 1 unmarried 29-year-old patient and 6 patients over 65 years old who had no sexual life before and after surgery, the other 13 patients had normal sexual life after surgery. (3) The follow-up period were 6 to 100 months, and 9 cases (45%, 9/20) relapsed during the follow-up period. There were 5 deaths (25%, 5/20), who were due to recurrence of vulvar cancer. The 5-year survival rate of 20 patients was 75%, including 83% in 6 patients with initial treatment and 71% in 14 patients with recurrence and reoperation.Conclusions:The combination of flap transfer for episioplasty with vulvar cancer surgery does not affect the wound healing. Because the external structure of the vulva is repaired, it could effectively improve the local wound healing ability and improve the organ function, and has good clinical application value.
6.Influence of helical tomography radiotherapy planning parameters on threading effect
Ruo-qi CAO ; Xia-yu HANG ; Hua HUANG ; Xian-qiang SONG ; Jin-da ZHOU ; Yun-jie BAI ; Xiang-dong SUN ; Yi-kun LI
Chinese Medical Equipment Journal 2025;46(8):58-66
Objective To investigate the influence of helical tomographic radiotherapy plans with different combinations of lead gate width,pitch and algorithms on threading effects.Methods A target model was established with a Cheese Phantom used as the simulated human body,then three lead gate widths(1.0,2.5,and 5.0 cm),six screw pitches(0.143,0.172,0.215,0.287,0.430,and 0.500)and two computational grids(Fine algorithm and Normal algorithm)were respectively combined for designing the helical tomography radiotherapy plans.The radiotherapy plans with a pitch of 0.143,0.172,0.215,0.287 or 0.430 were enrolled into an experimental group,and the plans with a pitch of 0.500 were divided into a control group.The dosimetric parameters including maximum dose(Dmax),minimum dose(Dmin)and mean dose(Dmean)of the target area PTV1 and PTV2 were evaluated by the dose volume histogram(DVH).The dose homogeneity index(HI)of the target area was calculated,and the single rotation time and total treatment time of each plan were recorded and counted.SPSS 27.0 software was used for statistical analysis.Results No significant threading effect appeared regardless of the pitch value when the lead gate width was 1.0 cm.The threading effects in the experimental group were weaker than those in the control group when the lead gate width was 2.5 or 5.0 cm.The threading effect gradually rose with the pitch increased when the lead gate width was 5.0 cm.The most significant difference was found between the threading effect in case of the screw pitch being 0.500 and that with the screw pitch being 0.143,with the differenes being statistically obvious(P<0.05).The lead gate width had significant effects on the Dmax,Dmin,Dmean and HI of PTV1 and PTV2.When the lead gate width was 5.0 cm,high HI value and uneven dose distribution were detected and lowered screw pitch weakened the threading effect.The single rotation time first remained constant and then increased with the screw pitch was enlarged,with the changing points occurring in case of the screw pitches of 0.287 and 0.430.With a certain lead gate width,the treatment time for plans was shortened with the decrease of the pitches in case of the pritches lower than 0.287,and tended to be constant after the screw pitches reached 0.287.The changes of the computational grid had no significant effects on the results of radiotherapy plans when the lead gate width and screw pitch were kept constant.Conclusion When designing a spiral tomotherapy plan with conventional doses,a lead gate width of 1.0 or 2.5 cm and a screw pitch of 0.287 or 0.430 should be selected in order to minimize the threading effect while ensuring the efficiency of plan implementation.[Chinese Medical Equipment Journal,2025,46(8):58-66]
7.Effects of upper limb rehabilitation robot training combined with intermittent theta burst stimulation on upper limb motor and neurological function in stroke patients with hemiplegia
Ling ZHANG ; Changsheng LIN ; Min BAI ; Qiang LIN ; Teng MA ; Ran TIAN ; Yan ZHOU ; Xian LI ; Xueping LI
Chinese Journal of Cerebrovascular Diseases 2025;22(11):763-771
Objective To investigate the therapeutic effects of upper limb rehabilitation robot training combined with intermittent theta burst stimulation(iTBS)on upper limb motor and neurological function in stroke patients with hemiplegia.Methods This study retrospectively consecutive enrolled 46 stroke hemiparetic patients from the Department of Rehabilitation Medicine,Nanjing Pukou People's Hospital.The patients were randomly assigned to a control group and an experimental group(23patients in each)using a random number table.Baseline data,including sex,age,disease duration,side of hemiplegia,and stroke type,were collected from patients enrolled.All patients received conventional treatment.The control group received upper limb rehabilitation robot training combined with iTBS sham stimulation(coil placed perpendicular to the skull),while the experimental group received upper limb rehabilitation robot training combined with iTBS real stimulation(coil placed parallel to the skull).Both groups underwent treatment for 3 weeks.Upper limb motor function was assessed using the Fugl-Meyer upper extremity(FMA-UE)scale and Wolf motor function test(WMFT);while neurological function was evaluated using the motor-evoked potentials(MEP)latency,amplitude,and central motor conduction time(CMCT)of the affected thumb abductor muscle.Activities of daily living were assessed using the modified Barthel index(MBI).Results(1)No significant differences in baseline data were found between the two groups(all P>0.05).(2)Before treatment,the FMA-UE and WMFT scores in the experimental group were 27.48±7.87 and 28.22±3.87,respectively;and in the control group were 26.35±4.78 and 28.35±3.33,respectively;there were no significant differences in both FMA-UE and WMFT scores between the two groups(all P>0.05).After 3weeks of treatment,the FMA-UE and WMFT scores in the experimental group were 40.35±8.96 and 37.74±4.11,respectively;and in the control group were 32.78±4.50 and 32.57±4.11,respectively;there were significant interaction effects of time and group(Ftime×group values of 19.613 and 31.522,both P<0.01),main effects of group(Fgroup values of 5.401 and 5.897,both P<0.05),and main effects of time(Ftime values of 176.516 and 211.478,both P<0.01).(3)Before treatment,the MEP latency,amplitude,and CMCT in the experimental group were(24.39±3.56)ms,(137.77±42.67)μV,and(10.62±2.76)ms,respectively;and in the control group were(24.64±2.77)ms,(136.74±48.77)μV,and(10.73±1.84)ms,respectively,there were no significant differences between the two groups(all P>0.05).After 3weeks of treatment,the MEP latency,amplitude,and CMCT in the experimental group were(20.39±1.83)ms,(239.91±43.70)μV,and(6.58±1.23)ms,respectively,and in the control group were(22.53±3.53)ms,(198.54±50.37)μV,and(9.19±1.60)ms,respectively,there were significant interaction effects of time and group(Ftime×group values of 7.270,15.554,and 20.110,all P<0.05)and main effects of time(Ftime values of 76.540,256.706,and 100.629,all P<0.01),the main effect of group for CMCT was significant(Fgroup=7.406,P<0.01),but there were no significant difference in the main effect of group on MEP latency,amplitude between two groups(Fgroup values of 2.145,2.778,both P>0.05).(4)Before treatment,the MBI score in the experimental group was 42.83±7.36,and in the control group was 43.91±6.56,with no significant difference between two groups(P>0.05).After 3 weeks of treatments,the MBI score in the experimental group was 67.83±12.69,and in the control group was 54.13±5.57,there were significant interaction effects of time and group(Ftime×group=39.862,P<0.01),main effects of group(Fgroup=8.083,P=0.007),and main effects of time(Ftime=226.241,P<0.01).Conclusions Upper limb rehabilitation robot training combined with iTBS can improve upper limb motor function and neurological function and enhance the daily living activity ability of stroke patients.Real iTBS combined with robot training has a more significant effect than sham iTBS.
8.Macrophage galactose-type lectin 1 limits mouse hematopoietic stem cell differentiation in context of inflammation by inhibiting NF-κB signaling pathway
Manchun LI ; Qiang ZHAN ; Mi ZOU ; Ke BAI ; Weiwei YI ; Zhenyu JU ; Zhi-yang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Pathophysiology 2025;41(4):679-687
AIM:To investigate the effects of macrophage galactose-type lectin 1(Mgl1)gene deletion on he-matopoietic stem/progenitor cells(HSPCs)under steady-state conditions and inflammation.METHODS:Mice were di-vided into a control group(wild-type)and an experimental group(Mgl1 gene-deleted).Flow cytometry was used to ana-lyze the proportions of various hematopoietic cell lineages in the peripheral blood and bone marrow of both groups,assess-ing the impact of Mgl1 gene deletion on steady-state hematopoiesis(n=3~4).Transplantation and colony-forming assays were utilized to evaluate the effects of Mgl1 gene deletion onthe repopulation capacity and colony-forming ability of HSPCs(n=5).The LPS-induced inflammation model was employed to examine the effects of Mgl1 gene deletion on the inflamma-tory response of HSPCs both in vitro and in vivo(n=5~8).Western blot and RT-qPCR were conducted to analyze the alter-ations in signaling pathways regulated by Mgl1 in the inflammatory response of HSPCs(n=3).RESULTS:(1)Mgl1 gene deletion had no significant effecton steady-state hematopoiesis(P>0.05).(2)Mgl1 gene deletion promoted inflam-mation-induced cell differentiation of HSPCs(P<0.01).(3)Mgl1 gene deletion accelerated the exhaustion of HSPCs un-der prolonged inflammatory conditions(P<0.01).(4)Mgl1 was found to regulate the inflammatory response of HSPCs via the NF-κB signaling pathway.CONCLUSION:Mgl1 gene deletion enhances the inflammatory response of HSPCs via the NF-κB signaling pathway.
9.Constructing a model of degenerative scoliosis using finite element method:biomechanical analysis in etiology and treatment
Kai HE ; Wenhua XING ; Shengxiang LIU ; Xianming BAI ; Chen ZHOU ; Xu GAO ; Yu QIAO ; Qiang HE ; Zhiyu GAO ; Zhen GUO ; Aruhan BAO ; Chade LI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(3):572-578
BACKGROUND:Degenerative scoliosis is defined as a condition that occurs in adulthood with a coronal cobb angle of the spine>10° accompanied by sagittal deformity and rotational subluxation,which often produces symptoms of spinal cord and nerve compression,such as lumbar pain,lower limb pain,numbness,weakness,and neurogenic claudication.The finite element method is a mechanical analysis technique for computer modelling,which can be used for spinal mechanics research by building digital models that can realistically restore the human spine model and design modifications. OBJECTIVE:To review the application of finite element method in the etiology and treatment of degenerative scoliosis. METHODS:The literature databases CNKI,PubMed,and Web of Science were searched for articles on the application of finite element method in degenerative scoliosis published before October 2023.Search terms were"finite element analysis,biomechanics,stress analysis,degenerative scoliosis,adult spinal deformity"in Chinese and English.Fifty-four papers were finally included. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The biomechanical findings from the degenerative scoliosis model constructed using the finite element method were identical to those from the in vivo experimental studies,which proves that the finite element method has a high practical value in degenerative scoliosis.(2)The study of the etiology and treatment of degenerative scoliosis by the finite element method is conducive to the prevention of the occurrence of the scoliosis,slowing down the progress of the scoliosis,the development of a more appropriate treatment plan,the reduction of complications,and the promotion of the patients'surgical operation.(3)The finite element method has gradually evolved from a single bony structure to the inclusion of soft tissues such as muscle ligaments,and the small sample content is increasingly unable to meet the research needs.(4)The finite element method has much room for exploration in degenerative scoliosis.
10.Factors affecting Pomacea distribution and prediction of suitable distribution areas of Pomacea in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture of Yunnan Province
Zhongqiu LI ; Yuhua LIU ; Yunhai GUO ; Zixin WEI ; Junhu CHEN ; Qiang WANG ; Tianmei LI ; Shizhu LI
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2025;37(1):69-75
Objective To investigate the factors affecting the distribution of Pomacea and project the trends in the spread of suitable distribution areas of Pomacea in 2050 and 2070 in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture, so as to provide insights into Pomacea control in the prefecture. Methods The longitudes and latitudes of Pomacea sampling sites were captured based on Pomacea field survey data in 12 cities (counties) of Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture from 2023 to 2024. A total of 19 climatic factors (annual mean temperature, mean diurnal range, isothermality, temperature seasonality, maximum temperature of the warmest month, minimum temperature of the coldest month, temperature annual range, mean temperature of the wettest quarter, mean temperature of the driest quarter, mean temperature of the warmest month, mean temperature of the coldest month, annual precipitation, precipitation of the wettest month, precipitation of the driest month, precipitation seasonality, precipitation of the wettest quarter, precipitation of the driest quarter, mean temperature of the warmest quarter, and mean temperature of the coldest quarter) and representative concentration pathways (RCPs) were retrieved from the world climate database (www.worldclim.org). All climatic variables were employed to create a maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model. The predictive accuracy of the model was assessed with the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), and the contributions of these 19 climatic factors to the distribution of Pomacea were analyzed in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture using Jackknife test. In addition, the suitable distribution areas of Pomacea were predicted with the MaxEnt model in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture in 2024 and in 2050 and 2070 under RCP4.5. Results Data pertaining to 91 Pomacea sampling sites were captured. ROC analysis revealed the MaxEnt model had an AUC value of 0.885 ± 0.088 for predicting the suitable distribution areas of Pomacea in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture. Of the 19 climatic factors, the maximum temperature of the warmest month had the highest contribution to the distribution of Pomacea in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture, followed by mean temperature of the driest quarter, mean temperature of the wettest quarter and minimum temperature of the coldest month. The suitable distribution area of Pomacea was predicted to be 14 555.69 km2 in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture in 2024, and would expand gradually to the southeastern part of the prefecture in the future due to climatic factors. The suitable distribution areas of Pomacea were projected to expand to 21 475.61 km2 in 2050 and 25 782.52 km2 in 2070 in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture, respectively. Conclusions Temperature is an important contributor to the distribution of Pomacea in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture, and the suitable distribution area of Pomacea will gradually expand to the southeastern part of the prefecture in 2050 and 2070.

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