1.Mechanism of Sangpi Zhike Prescription in Treating Cough After Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection Based on "Lung-intestine Co-treatment" Theory
Chuang SUO ; Xiaohong BAI ; Zhitong YU ; Xue GONG ; Chan XIU ; Qihui LYU ; Zhihui LIU ; Kelin LI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(4):126-137
ObjectiveTo explore the mechanism of Sangpi Zhike prescription in treating cough after respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection through the "lung-intestine co-treatment" approach using network pharmacology and animal experimental validation. MethodsActive ingredients and targets of Sangpi Zhike prescription were retrieved from the Traditional Chinese Medicine Systems Pharmacology (TCMSP) database. Disease targets were obtained from GeneCards and Online Mendelian Inheritance in Man(OMIM) databases. Protein-protein interaction (PPI) networks and drug-component-target networks were constructed using overlapping targets between drugs and diseases to identify core targets. Gene ontology(GO) and Kyoto encyclopedia of genes and genomes(KEGG) pathway enrichment analyses were performed on the overlapping targets. Sixty mouse models were established: 10 as the normal group, and the remaining mice were infected with RSV via slow nasal drip of RSV suspension, with cough induced using capsaicin solution. After modeling, mice were divided into a model group, a Montelukast Sodium group (1 mg·kg-1·d-1), and low, medium, and high dose groups of Sangpi Zhike prescription (4.875,9.75,and 19.5 g·kg-1·d-1), with 10 mice per group. From day 14 after RSV infection, the normal and model groups received saline via gavage, while other groups received corresponding drug treatments once daily for 5 d. Hematoxylin-eosin(HE) staining was used to observe pathological changes in lung and intestinal tissue. The protein content of extracellular signal-regulated kinase 1/2 (ERK1/2) and phosphorylated (p)-ERK1/2 in the lung and colon tissue of mice was detected by Western blot. Real-time polymerase chain reaction(Real-time PCR) detected ERK1/2 mRNA expression in lung and intestinal tissue. Immunohistochemistry assessed p-MEK1/2, p-ERK1/2, p-c-Fos protein levels, and inflammatory cytokines interleukin(IL)-4 and (TNF)-α in lung and colon tissue. ResultsNetwork pharmacology identified 184 active ingredients and 684 targets in Sangpi Zhike prescription, with 1 344 RSV-related disease targets and 209 overlapping targets. Core targets included TNF, Fos, and Jun. KEGG enrichment revealed 179 pathways, primarily mitogen-activated protein kinase(MAPK), cancer, TNF, and IL-17 signaling pathways. Animal experiments showed that, compared to those of the normal group, the lung tissue sections of the model group showed typical inflammatory damage, infiltration of inflammatory cells, rupture of alveolar septa, extensive alveolar fusion, and disruption of tight junctions between single-layer columnar epithelial cells in the intestinal tissue. The values of p-ERK1/2 and ERK1/2 in lung and intestinal tissue were significantly increased (P<0.01), and the expression level of ERK1/2 mRNA was significantly elevated (P<0.01). The levels of ERK1/2, p-MEK1/2, p-ERK1/2, p-c-Fos, IL-4, and TNF-α along the ERK pathway were significantly increased (P<0.05, P<0.01). Compared to the model group, Sangpi Zhike prescription groups showed reduced lung and intestinal inflammation, decreased p-ERK1/2/ERK1/2 ratios (P<0.05,P<0.01), lower ERK1/2 mRNA levels, and downregulated ERK pathway proteins (P<0.05,P<0.01). ConclusionSangpi Zhike prescription alleviates cough and intestinal symptoms after RSV infection via the "lung-intestine co-treatment" mechanism by suppressing expression levels of ERK1/2, p-MEK1/2, p-ERK1/2, p-c-Fos, IL-4, and TNF-α on ERK pathway components, thereby mitigating lung and intestinal pathological damage.
2.Advances in perioperative nutritional management for patients with esophageal cancer
Zuyu ZHANG ; Bo YANG ; Rong NIU ; Jijun XUE ; Jian CHEN ; Dong LI ; Wentao ZHAO ; Wenfeng HAN ; Yue BAI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(01):157-162
Esophageal cancer is a prevalent malignant tumor of the digestive tract in China, and radical surgery remains the cornerstone of its comprehensive treatment. However, multifactorial challenges such as postoperative gastrointestinal tract reconstruction, traumatic stress, and tumor-related metabolic disturbances render esophageal cancer patients highly susceptible to malnutrition. Perioperative nutritional support therapy plays a crucial role in enhancing surgical safety, improving clinical outcomes, and elevating patients' quality of life by regulating metabolic homeostasis, preserving organ function, and optimizing the immune microenvironment. This article reviews the mechanisms underlying malnutrition in esophageal cancer, methods for nutritional status assessment, and precision intervention pathways based on multi-omics evaluations. The aim is to strengthen clinicians' awareness of standardized perioperative nutritional management for esophageal cancer patients and promote its clinical implementation, thereby facilitating postoperative recovery and improving long-term quality of life.
3.Development of a nomogram prediction model of 30-day mortality risk for elderly patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction after coronary artery bypass grafting
Fenlong XUE ; Yuhui ZHANG ; Yin YANG ; Yunpeng BAI ; Shaopeng ZHANG ; Qingliang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(04):597-604
Objective To investigate the 30-day mortality risk factors in elderly patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) after isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and to construct a nomogram for predicting mortality risk. Methods A retrospective analysis of elderly (≥70 years) HFrEF patients undergoing isolated CABG at Tianjin Chest Hospital from 2010 to 2024 was performed. Simple random sampling in R software was used to divide the dataset into training and validation sets in a 7 : 3 ratio. The training set was further divided into survivors and non-survivors. Univariate logistic regression was performed to identify differences between groups, followed by multivariate logistic regression to select independent risk factors for death and to establish a death-risk nomogram, which underwent internal validation. The predictive value of the nomogram was assessed by plotting receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision-curve analyses for both the training and validation sets. Results A total of 656 patients were included. The training set consisted of 458 patients (survivors 418, deaths 40); the validation set consisted of 198 patients (survivors 180, deaths 18). In the training set, univariate analysis showed significant differences between survivors and deaths for creatinine (Cr) level, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), maximum Cr, intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) use, assisted ventilation, reintubation, hyperlactatemia, low cardiac output syndrome, and renal failure (P<0.05). After multivariable logistic regression, five independent risk factors were identified: IABP use (OR=3.391, 95%CI 1.065-11.044, P=0.038), reintubation (OR=15.991, 95%CI 4.269-67.394, P<0.001), hyperlactatemia (OR=8.171, 95%CI 2.057-46.089, P=0.007), Cr (OR=4.330, 95%CI 0.997-6.022, P=0.024), and BNP (OR=1.603, 95%CI 1.000-2.000, P=0.010). Accordingly, a nomogram predicting mortality risk was constructed. The ROC and calibration analyses indicated good predictive value: area under the curve (AUC) in the training set was 0.898 (95%CI 0.831-0.966) and in the validation set was 0.912 (95%CI 0.805-1.000). Calibration and decision-curve analyses showed good agreement and clinical utility. Conclusion The nomogram incorporating IABP use, reintubation, hyperlactatemia, creatinine, and BNP provides good predictive value for 30-day mortality after CABG in elderly patients with HFrEF and demonstrates potential clinical utility.
4.Quality control of Sagina japonica by HPLC fingerprint combined with quantitative analysis of multi-components by single-marker
Junhong LIU ; Xue LI ; Meiqin ZHANG ; Han HU ; Chunmei BAI ; Chunhua LIU ; Yongjun LI
China Pharmacy 2026;37(7):883-888
OBJECTIVE To establish the high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) fingerprint of Sagina japonica , and to establish a quantitative analysis of multi-components by single-marker (QAMS) method for simultaneous determination of six componen ts in S. japonica , aiming to provide references for the quality control of this medicinal herb. METHODS HPLC method was used to establish the fingerprints of 12 batches (No. S1-S12) of S . japonica according to Similarity Evaluation System of Chromatographic Fingerprint of Traditional Chinese Medicine . The similarity evaluation and identification of common peaks were conducted, followed by cluster analysis (CA) and principal component analysis (PCA) for 12 batches of samples. Using vicenin-2 as internal reference, the contents of p-hydroxy cinnamic acid, apigenin-6-C-arabinoside-8-C-glucoside, isoorientin, vitexin and 20-hydroxyecdysone were determined by QAMS method. The results were then compared with those obtained by the external standard method. RESULTS The similarities of HPLC fingerprints for 12 batches of S . japonica ranged from 0.828-0.998. A total of 17 common peaks were calibrated, and 6 common peaks were identified. Specifically, peak 5 was identified as vicenin-2, peak 7 as p-hydroxycinnamic acid, peak 10 as apigenin-6-C-arabinoside-8-C-glucoside, peak 11 as isoorientin, peak 13 as vitexin, and peak 15 as 20-hydroxyecdysone. The results of CA showed that S1-S5, S7 and S9-S11 were clustered into one category, S6 was clustered into one category, and S8 and S12 were clustered into one category. The results of PCA revealed that the accumulative contribution rate of the four main components was 89.430%. The content ranges measured by QAMS method for p-hydroxy cinnamic acid, apigenin-6-C-arabinoside-8-C-glucoside, isoorientin, vitexin and 20-hydroxyecdysone were 0.017 4-0.269 4, 0.568 8-4.240 3, 0.503 2-5.040 3, 0.024 0-0.132 0 and 2.551 3-4.881 1 mg/g, respectively. There was no significant difference in the contents of components measured between QAMS method and the external standard method ( P >0.05). CONCLUSIONS The established HPLC fingerprint and QAMS method can be used for quality evaluation and quality control of S . japonica.
5.Antibody levels of diphtheria and tetanus in healthy population in Pudong New Area, Shanghai, 2018-2024
Yu BAI ; Dandan YANG ; Wanran CHENG ; Rui ZHANG ; Pengfei DENG ; Caoyi XUE ; Laibao YANG ; Yi FEI
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(3):52-55
Objective To understand the antibody levels of diphtheria and tetanus among healthy population in Shanghai Pudong New Area, and to provide a scientific basis for improving the vaccine immunization strategy. Methods Random sampling was used to select healthy people of all ages in 16 communities in Shanghai Pudong New Area from 2018 to 2024, and serum samples were collected and tested for serum anti-diphtheria and tetanus toxin IgG antibodies by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) method to analyze the antibody positivity rate (≥0.1 IU/ml) and the geometric mean concentration (GMC) of antibodies. Results A total of 3 312 serum samples were included, with a male-to-female ratio of 0.76:1, and 53.77% were local residents. The seropositivity rates and geometric mean concentrations (GMC) of both diphtheria and tetanus antibodies generally declined with increasing age, but exhibited a transient rebound in the 7y-. A total of 1 175 individuals (35.48%) were seropositive for diphtheria, with a GMC of 0.054 IU/mL. For tetanus, 988 individuals (29.83%) were seropositive, with a GMC of 0.033 IU/mL. Significant differences in seropositivity rates (χ2diphtheria=950.005,χ2tetanus=1 324.393) and GMC (Hdiphtheria=1027.160,Htetanus=1 142.007) were observed among different age groups (P<0.001). Significant differences in seropositivity rates (χ2diphtheria=950.005,χ2tetanus=1324.393) and GMC (Hdiphtheria=1027.160,Htetanus=1142.007) were also found across different years (P<0.001). Conclusion The prevalence of diphtheria and tetanus antibodies in the healthy population of Pudong New Area is relatively low, particularly among adults over 20 years of age with inadequate immunization. This underscores the need to reinforce the National Immunization Program (NIP) vaccine specifications for children under 6 years of age and implement an immunization strategy for adolescents or adults against diphtheria and tetanus.
6.Establishment and preliminary evaluation of a fluorescent recombinase-aided amplification assay for detection of Strongyloides stercoralis
Xiaodan CHEN ; Wanqiong CHENG ; Xiaoyin FU ; Jiayin LÜ ; Jiayue SUN ; Qiuhua BAI ; Xue HAN ; Yunliang SHI ; Dengyu LIU
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2026;38(2):160-168
Objective To establish a fluorescent recombinase-aided amplification (RAA) assay for detection of Strongyloides stercoralis nucleic acid and to preliminarily evaluate its performance. Methods Six sets of specific primers targeting S. stercoralis 18S ribosomal RNA (18S rRNA) gene and one fluorescent probe were designed and synthesized. The optimal primer-probe set was determined through systematic screening and optimization to establish the fluorescent RAA assay. The assay was evaluated using S. stercoralis genomic DNA at concentrations of 100, 10, and 1 pg/μL, and 100, 10, and 1 fg/μL, as well as recombinant pUC57 plasmids containing the target gene fragments at 1 × 105, 1 × 104, 1 × 103, 1 × 102, 1 × 101, 1 × 100 copies/reaction, to determine the analytical sensitivity. Genomic DNA from Ascaris lumbricoides, Ancylostoma duodenale, Enterobius vermicularis, Angiostrongylus cantonensis, Trichinella spiralis, Clonorchis sinensis, Schistosoma japonicum, and Taenia saginata was used to assess assay specificity. A total of 25 stool samples from patients suspected of S. stercoralis infection were tested by the modified Baermann funnel technique, PCR, and the established fluorescent RAA assay. The sensitivity, specificity, concordance rate and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) of these three techniques were estimated, and agreement between methods was evaluated using the Kappa coefficient. Results Exo-4 was identified as the optimal primer set screened from the six primer sets, and the best amplification performance was achieved when the final concentrations of the forward and reverse primers were 0.44 μmol/L and a probe concentration was 0.20 μmol/L. The limit of detection of the fluorescent RAA assay was 100 fg/μL for genomic DNA of S. stercoralis and 1 × 100 copies/reaction for recombinant plasmids. Specific fluorescence signals were detected within 5 min, with no cross-reactivity observed with A. lumbricoides, A. duodenale, E. vermicularis, A. cantonensis, T. spiralis, C. sinensis, S. japonicum, or T. saginata. Among the 25 clinical stool samples from patients suspected of S. stercoralis infections, the modified Baermann funnel technique and fluorescent RAA assay detected 19 positives and 6 negatives, whereas PCR detected 18 positives and 7 negatives. The fluorescent RAA assay showed a sensitivity of 100.00% [95% CI: (82.35%, 100.00%)], specificity of 100.00% [95% CI: (54.07%, 100.00%)], concordance rate of 100.00% [95% CI: (86.28%, 100.00%)], and a Kappa coefficient of 1.00 [95% CI: (1.00, 1.00)] (P < 0.001) relative to the modified Baermann funnel technique, and a sensitivity of 100.00% [95% CI: (81.47%, 100.00%)], specificity of 85.71% [95% CI: (42.13%, 99.64%)], concordance rate of 96.00% [95% CI: (79.65%, 99.90%)], and a Kappa coefficient of 0.90 [95% CI: (0.70, 1.00)] (P < 0.001). Positive amplification products emitted green fluorescence under a portable blue-light device, enabling visual interpretation of results. Conclusions The fluorescent RAA assay established in this study is rapid, highly sensitive, and highly specific. It enables detection of S. stercoralis nucleic acid under isothermal conditions and allows visual interpretation of results, providing a novel tool for rapid clinical diagnosis and field screening of S. stercoralis infections.
7.Predictive factors and prognostic value of textbook outcomes after radical resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma
Biyuan ZHANG ; Weixuan XIE ; Yang BAI ; Zheng FANG ; Kunlun LUO ; Xue MEI ; Haiting XU ; Zhihua ZHOU ; Qingzhou ZHU
Chinese Journal of General Surgery 2025;34(8):1688-1695
Background and Aims:Radical resection is the only potentially curative treatment for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma(ICC),yet the high recurrence rate results in poor prognosis.In recent years,"textbook outcome"(TO)has been proposed as a comprehensive quality metric,but its association with prognosis remains unclear.This study aimed to analyze the risk factors influencing the achievement of TO after radical resection of ICC and to explore the relationship between TO and survival.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 180 ICC patients who underwent radical resection at the 904th Hospital of the Joint Logistic Support Force of the PLA between February 2018 and February 2023.Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors associated with TO,and survival analysis was carried out using the Kaplan-Meier method and Log-rank test.Results:Of the 180 patients,66 achieved TO.Multivariate Logistic regression analysis indicated that preoperative total bilirubin>22 μmol/L,preoperative CA19-9>35 U/mL,maximum tumor diameter>5 cm,poor tumor differentiation,microvascular invasion(MVI),and lymph node metastasis were independent risk factors for failing to achieve TO(all P<0.05).Survival analysis demonstrated that patients who achieved TO had a significantly longer median survival compared with those who did not(36 months vs.16 months,P<0.001).Conclusion:Preoperative total bilirubin>22 μmol/L,preoperative CA19-9>35 U/mL,maximum tumor diameter>5 cm,poor tumor differentiation,MVI,and lymph node metastasis are independent risk factors for not achieving TO after radical resection of ICC.Patients who achieved TO exhibited markedly longer survival,suggesting that TO not only reflects perioperative treatment quality but also serves as an important prognostic indicator.Greater attention to these risk factors and optimization of perioperative management may improve the likelihood of achieving TO and enhance long-term outcomes.
8.Construction of a visual model for predicting the risk of recurrence of thyroid cancer after radical surgery via areola endoscopy
Qing-feng SHI ; Bu-yong ZHANG ; Xuan ZHANG ; Yang BAI ; Ling-bo XUE ; Jie LI
Chinese Journal of Current Advances in General Surgery 2025;28(10):769-775
Objective:To explore the risk factors for recurrence of thyroid cancer after radical resection via areola endoscopy,and to construct a visual risk prediction model.Methods:The clinical data of 350 thyroid cancer patients who underwent radical surgery via areola endoscopy in our hospital from January 2016 to October 2018 were retro-spectively analyzed,and they were randomly divided into the modeling group(233 cases)and the internal validation group(117 cases)in a 2:1 ratio.All patients were followed up for 3 years after surgery,and the patients of modeling group were further divided into recurrent group(51)and non recurrent group(182)according to whether they with or not recurrence.Another 163 patients with thyroid cancer who underwent laparoscopic radical mastectomy at our hos-pital from January 2019 to May 2020 were selected as the external validation group.The risk factors for recurrence of thyroid cancer after radical surgery via areola endoscopy was analyzed by using Cox regression method,and a risk prediction nomogram model was established based on this.Internal validation of the nomogram model was conducted by using the Bootstrap method,and the calibration,predictive efficacy and clinical net benefit of the nomogram model were evaluated by the calibration curve,receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and decision curve analysis(DCA).The external validation group data was used for external validation.Results:The recurrence rate of thyroid cancer patients after 5 years of radical surgery via areola endoscopy was 21.64%(111/513).The proportions of multiple le-sions,preoperative lymph node metastasis,TNM stages Ⅲ-Ⅳ and maximum tumor diameter,the levels of thyro-globulin(TG),triiodothyronine(T3),thyroxine(T4),free triiodothyronine(FT3),free thyroxine(FT4)and thyroid stimulating hormone(TSH)in the recurrence group were higher than those in the non recurrence group(P<0.05).The Cox regres-sion analysis results showed that the maximum tumor diameter,multiple lesions,preoperative lymph node metasta-sis,TNM stage Ⅲ-Ⅳ and TG,T3,T4,FT3,FT4 and TSH levels were all risk factors for recurrence of thyroid cancer after radical surgery via areola endoscopy(P<0.05).The risk prediction nomogram model of recurrence of thyroid cancer af-ter radical surgery under areola endoscopy was constructed based on the above influencing factors.After internal and external validation,the consistency indices of the modeling group,internal verification group and external verification group were 0.832,0.825 and 0.41 respectively,and the calibration curves of three groups were close to the standard curve.The ROC curve analysis and verification showed that the area under the curve predicted by the nomogram model of the modeling group,internal verification group and external verification group were 0.859,0.847 and 0.853 respectively.The DCA curve showed that the nomogram model had good clinical net benefits when the threshold probability of the modeling group,internal verification group and external verification group were 0.03-0.82,0.02-0.78 and 0.06-0.88 respectively.Conclusion:The maximum tumor diameter,multiple lesions,preoperative lymph node metastasis,TNM staging stage Ⅲ-Ⅳ and levels of TG,T3,T4,FT3,FT4 and TSH are all risk factors for recurrence of thy-roid cancer after radical surgery via areola endoscopy,and the risk prediction visualization nomogram model con-structed based on this is helpful for clinical screening of high-risk patients to guide early intervention and reduce the risk of recurrence.
9.Effect of Guanxinning injection on myocardial infarction by regulating cardiac immunity through CCL21
Yu-xin BAI ; Ying-xue ZHANG ; Ting-ting SHI ; Si-nan ZHU ; Zhen-kun XU ; Hong WANG ; Lu CHEN
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(5):960-969
Aim To investigate the mechanism of Guanxinning injection regulating cardiac immune mi-croenvironment to improve myocardial infarction in mice.Methods In this study,MI model was estab-lished by permanent ligation of left anterior descending coronary artery in mice.The mice were divided into five groups:sham operation group,model group,Guanxinning injection low dose group,Guanxinning in-jection high dose group and positive drug captopril group.Hearts were weighed,heart tissues were collect-ed,and Masson staining was used for pathological anal-ysis of heart tissues;immunofluorescence staining was used to detect apoptosis and CCL21 expression in the infarct border zone;flow cytometry was used to detect the proportion of immune cells in myocardial ischemia tissues and lymph nodes;PCR was used to detect CCL21 expression in heart and in vitro human lymphat-ic endothelial cells(HLEC).Results Compared with the model group,the low and high dose groups of Guanxinning injection significantly improved cardiac hypertrophy.Apoptosis in the border zone of myocardi-al infarction was reduced in the low and high dose groups of Guanxinning injection and captopril group.Compared with the model group,the proportion of leu-kocytes in the infarct border zone was dreduced and the proportion of CD4+T cells,Treg cells,and CD8+T cells in the mediastinal lymph nodes and infarct border zone of the heart was regulated in the low and high dose groups of Guanxinning injection;CCL21 secretion by the heart and lymphatic vessels increased.Conclu-sions Guanxinning injection can significantly improve cardiac hypertrophy and fibrosis in MI mice,reduce ap-optosis in the infarct border zone,and play a role in an-ti-myocardial ischemia injury by promoting CCL21 ex-pression in lymphatic vessels to regulate the proportion of mediastinal lymph nodes and cardiac T cells after myocardial infarction.
10.Establishment of a predictive model and analysis of risk factors for live birth outcomes in PCOS patients undergoing IVF/ICSI-ET
Sihan WANG ; Yuexin YU ; Xijing ZHANG ; Xue BAI
Chinese Journal of Reproduction and Contraception 2025;45(9):917-923
Objective:To investigate the risk factors affecting live birth outcomes in patients with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) undergoing in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection and embryo transfer (IVF/ICSI-ET) and to establish a predictive model. Methods:A retrospective case-control study was conducted by collecting data from 563 patients with PCOS who were treated at the Reproductive Medicine Department of the General Hospital of Northern Theater Command between June 2018 and January 2023. Patients were divided into live birth ( n=341) and non-live birth ( n=222) groups based on pregnancy outcomes. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors, followed by construction of a nomogram prediction model based on values with P<0.05 in multiple regression analysis. The model's predictive performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, calibration curves, Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) goodness-of-fit test, and decision curve analysis. Results:1) Univariate analysis revealed that there were statistically significant differences in age, body mass index (BMI), insulin level, the number of high-quality embryos, and the rate of high-quality embryos between the two groups (all P<0.05). 2) After adjusting for confounding factors, the results of multivariate logistic regression analysis on variables associated with live birth outcomes in the live birth group showed that: age ( OR=1.151, 95% CI: 1.061-1.249, P=0.001), body mass index ( OR=1.141, 95% CI: 1.074-1.214, P<0.001), and insulin level ( OR=1.206, 95% CI: 1.149-1.266, P<0.001) were independent risk factors for live birth outcome; top-quality embryo rate ( OR=0.101, 95% CI: 0.033-0.310, P<0.001) was a protective factor; and the number of top-quality embryos ( OR=0.949, 95% CI: 0.887-1.014, P=0.104) showed no statistically significant association with live birth outcome. 3) A predictive model for the live-birth outcome after IVF/ICSI-ET in PCOS patients was established. The area under the curve (AUC) values for predicting the live-birth outcome based on female age, BMI, the rate of high-quality embryos, and insulin level were 0.581, 0.747, 0.725, and 0.813, respectively. The combined model of these four factors had an AUC value of 0.846 for predicting the live-birth outcome. 4) A nomogram predictive model for the live-birth outcome after IVF/ICSI-ET in PCOS patients was established. The slope of the model's calibration curve was close to 1, and the H-L test yielded a P>0.05, indicating a high consistency between predicted and actual events. The decision analysis curve confirmed the clinical practicality of the predictive model. Conclusion:Age, BMI and insulin level are independent risk factors for live birth outcomes in PCOS patients undergoing IVF/ICSI-ET, while the high-quality embryo rate serves as a protective factor. The established predictive model demonstrates excellent performance and may facilitate clinical decision-making.


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