2.ABC-AF-Stroke score predicts thromboembolism in non-anticoagulated patients following successful atrial fibrillation ablation: a report from the Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry.
Yufeng WANG ; Chao JIANG ; Liu HE ; Xin DU ; Xueyuan GUO ; Ribo TANG ; Caihua SANG ; Deyong LONG ; Jianzeng DONG ; Ziad HIJAZI ; Gregory Y H LIP ; Changsheng MA
Chinese Medical Journal 2023;136(20):2451-2458
BACKGROUND:
The age, biomarkers, and clinical history (ABC)-atrial fibrillation (AF)-Stroke score have been proposed to refine stroke risk stratification, beyond what clinical risk scores such as the CHA2DS2-VASc score can offer. This study aimed to identify risk factors associated with thromboembolism and evaluate the performance of the ABC-AF-Stroke score in predicting thromboembolism in non-anticoagulated AF patients following successful ablations.
METHODS:
A total of 2692 patients who underwent successful ablations with discontinued anticoagulation after a 3-month blanking period in the Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry (CAFR) between 2013 and 2019 were included. Cox regression analysis was conducted to present the association of risk factors with thromboembolism risk. The ABC-AF-Stroke score was evaluated in terms of discrimination, including concordance index (C-index), net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), clinical utilization by decision curve analysis (DCA), and calibration by comparing the predicted risk with the observed annualized event rate.
RESULTS:
After a median follow-up of 3.5 years, 64 patients experienced thromboembolism events. Age, prior history of stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (cTnT-hs), and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) were independently associated with thromboembolism risk. The ABC-AF-Stroke score performed statistically significantly better than the CHA2DS2-VASc score in terms of C-index (0.67, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.59-0.74 vs. 0.60, 95% CI: 0.52-0.67, P = 0.030) and reclassification capacity. The DCA implied that the ABC-AF-Stroke score could identify more thromboembolism events without increasing the false positive rate compared to the CHA2DS2-VASc score. The calibration curve showed that the ABC-AF-Stroke score was well calibrated in this population.
CONCLUSIONS
In this real-world study enrolling non-anticoagulated AF patients following successful ablations, age, prior history of stroke/TIA, level of NT-proBNP, and cTnT-hs were independently associated with an increased risk of thromboembolism. The ABC-AF-Stroke score was well-calibrated and statistically significantly outperformed the CHA2DS2-VASc score in predicting thromboembolism risk.
Humans
;
Anticoagulants/therapeutic use*
;
Atrial Fibrillation/complications*
;
East Asian People
;
Ischemic Attack, Transient
;
Registries
;
Risk Assessment
;
Risk Factors
;
Stroke/etiology*
;
Thromboembolism/etiology*
;
Troponin T
3.Summary of the 2022 Report on Cardiovascular Health and Diseases in China.
Zengwu WANG ; Liyuan MA ; Mingbo LIU ; Jing FAN ; Shengshou HU
Chinese Medical Journal 2023;136(24):2899-2908
Recent decades have seen the remarkable development of China in medical accessibility and quality index, and the application of a number of new advanced cardiovascular technologies benefits more patients. However, according to the Annual Report on Cardiovascular Health and Diseases in China published in this article, which was organized and summarized by National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, there is still a huge population living with risk factors of cardiovascular diseases (CVD), and the morbidity and mortality of CVD are increasing. It is estimated that there are around 330 million patients suffering from CVD currently, including 245 million of hypertension, 13 million of stroke, 45.3 million of peripheral artery disease, 11.39 million of coronary heart disease (CHD), 8.9 million of heart failure, 5 million of pulmonary heart disease, 4.87 million of atrial fibrillation, 2.5 million of rheumatic heart disease, and 2 million of congenital heart disease. Tobacco use, diet and nutrition factors, physical activity, overweight and obesity, and psychological factors are what affect cardiovascular health, while hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, metabolic syndrome, and air pollution are the risk factors for CVD. In this article, in addition to risk factors for CVD, we also report the epidemiological trends of CVD, including CHD, cerebrovascular disease, arrhythmias, valvular heart disease, congenital heart disease, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, pulmonary vascular disease and venous thromboembolism, and aortic and peripheral artery diseases, as well as the basic research and medical device development in CVD. In a word, China has entered a new stage of transforming from high-speed development focusing on scale growth to high-quality development emphasizing on strategic and key technological development to curb the trend of increasing incidence and mortality of CVD.
Humans
;
Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology*
;
Hypertension/complications*
;
Risk Factors
;
Cardiomyopathies
;
Heart Failure/complications*
;
Heart Defects, Congenital/complications*
;
Coronary Disease
;
Atrial Fibrillation/complications*
4.Analysis of the clinical characteristics and risk factors of postoperative atrial fibrillation in patients with critical burns.
Bin CHEN ; Wen Bin TANG ; Xiao Jian LI ; Sha Li OU ; Xin Ying LI ; Kui XIAO ; Si Si WANG
Chinese Journal of Burns 2022;38(5):408-414
Objective: To investigate the clinical characteristics and risk factors of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) in patients with critical burns. Methods: A retrospective case series study was conducted. From January 2017 to December 2021, two hundred and twenty-seven critically burned aldult patients who met the inclusion criteria were admitted to Guangzhou Red Cross Hospital of Jinan University, including 173 males and 54 females, aged 19-83 (43±14) years. The admission years of patients were collected, and the percentage of patients complicated with POAF in each year was calculated. According to whether the patients were complicated with POAF or not, they were divided into POAF group (n=17) and non-POAF group (n=210). Following data were collected in patients in POAF group, including operation methods, duration of operation, intraoperative blood loss before occurrence of POAF each time, occurrence time and times of POAF, postoperative body temperature, blood pressure, hemoglobin, blood glucose, blood lactate, sepsis, and electrolyte, and type, duration, and treatment of POAF. General data of patients in the two groups including age, gender, burn reason, total burn area, full-thickness burn area, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHEⅡ) and sepsis-related organ failure evaluation (SOFA) scores on admission, combined with underlying diseases (hypertension, diabetes, and other types of arrhythmias), and sepsis were collected and analyzed. The mortality and factors influencing the prognosis of patients in the two groups such as mechanical ventilation time, operations times, and burn intensive care unit (BICU) length of stay were also collected and analyzed. Data were statistically analyzed with independent sample t test, Mann-Whitney U test, chi-square test or Kruskal-Wallis H test. The multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed on the general data with statistically significant differences between the two groups, and the independent risk factors influencing the onset of POAF in 227 patients with critical burns were screened. Results: From 2017 to 2021, the percentage of critically burned patients complicated with POAF increased year by year. In POAF group, eschar debridement in limbs was the main surgical procedure prior to POAF complication, with the operation time of (3.5±1.2) h and the intraoperative blood loss volume of (365±148) mL.The POAF occurred 25 times in total in patients of POAF group, mostly within one week after the injury and within 6 hours after the operation with most of these patients having POAF only once. When POAF happened, the patients were often complicated with hypothermia, anemia, hyperglycemia, high blood lactate, sepsis, and electrolyte disturbance, and few patients had complications of hypotension. The POAF lasted (5±3) h, with all being paroxysmal atrial fibrillation, and most of POAF patients were reverted to sinus rhythm after amiodarone intervention. Most patients in the two groups suffered from flame burn, and the gender, age, and SOFA score on admission of patients in the two groups were similar (P>0.05); the APACHEⅡ score on admission, total burn area, full-thickness burn area, incidence proportion of sepsis, combined with diabetes and hypertension and other types of arrhythmias of patients in POAF group were significantly higher or larger than those in non-POAF group (t=3.47, with χ2 values of 7.44, 10.86, 12.63, 14.65, 6.49, and 7.52, respectively, P<0.05 or P<0.01). The full-thickness burn area, combined with other types of arrhythmias, and sepsis were the independent risk factors for POAF in 227 critically burned patients (with odds ratios of 4.45, 0.04, and 3.06, respectively, with 95% confidence intervals of 2.23-8.87, 0.01-0.22, and 1.77-5.30, respectively, P<0.01). Compared with those in non-POAF group, the mechanical ventilation time, BICU length of stay, number of operations, and mortality rate of patients in POAF group were significantly increased (Z=3.89, Z=2.57, t=3.41, χ2=3.72, P<0.05 or P<0.01). Conclusions: POAF is a common postoperative complication in critically burned patients, and the incidence is increasing year by year, which seriously affects the prognosis of patients. The full-thickness burn area together with other types of arrhythmias and sepsis are the high-risk factors for POAF complication in patients with critical burns.
Atrial Fibrillation/etiology*
;
Blood Loss, Surgical
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Hypertension
;
Lactates
;
Male
;
Prognosis
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
;
Sepsis
5.A comparison of CAS risk model and CHA2DS2-VASc risk model in guiding anticoagulation treatment in Chinese patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.
Jia Long DENG ; Liu HE ; Chao JIANG ; Yi Wei LAI ; De Yong LONG ; Cai Hua SANG ; Chang Qi JIA ; Li FENG ; Xu LI ; Man NING ; Rong HU ; Jian Zeng DONG ; Xin DU ; Ri Bo TANG ; Chang Sheng MA
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2022;50(9):888-894
Objective: To compare the differences between CAS risk model and CHA2DS2-VASc risk score in predicting all cause death, thromboembolic events, major bleeding events and composite endpoint in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study. From the China Atrial Fibrillation Registry cohort study, the patients with atrial fibrillation who were>18 years old were randomly divided into CAS risk score group and CHA2DS2-VASc risk score group respectively. According to the anticoagulant status at baseline and follow-up, patients in the 2 groups who complied with the scoring specifications for anticoagulation were selected for inclusion in this study. Baseline information such as age and gender in the two groups were collected and compared. Follow-up was performed periodically to collect information on anticoagulant therapy and endpoints. The endpoints were all-cause death, thromboembolism events and major bleeding, the composite endpoint events were all-cause death and thromboembolism events. The incidence of endpoints in CAS group and CHA2DS2-VASc group was analyzed, and multivariate Cox proportional risk model was used to analyze whether the incidence of the endpoints was statistically different between the two groups. Results: A total of 5 206 patients with AF were enrolled, average aged (63.6±12.2) years, and 2092 (40.2%) women. There were 2 447 cases (47.0%) in CAS risk score group and 2 759 cases (53.0%) in CHA2DS2-VASc risk score group. In the clinical baseline data of the two groups, the proportion of left ventricular ejection fraction<55%, non-paroxysmal atrial fibrillation, oral warfarin and HAS BLED score in the CAS group were lower than those in the CHA2DS2-VASc group, while the proportion of previous diabetes history and history of antiplatelet drugs in the CAS group was higher than that in the CHA2DS2-VASc group, and there was no statistical difference in other baseline data. Patients were followed up for (82.8±40.8) months. In CAS risk score group, 225(9.2%) had all-cause death, 186 (7.6%) had thromboembolic events, 81(3.3%) had major bleeding, and 368 (15.0%) had composite endpoint. In CHA2DS2-VASc risk score group, 261(9.5%) had all-cause death 209(7.6%) had thromboembolic events, 112(4.1%) had major bleeding, and 424 (15.4%) had composite endpoint. There were no significant differences in the occurrence of all-cause death, thromboembolic events, major bleeding and composite endpoint between anticoagulation in CAS risk score group and anticoagulation in CHA2DS2-VASc risk score group (log-rank P =0.643, 0.904, 0.126, 0.599, respectively). Compared with CAS risk score, multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models showed no significant differences for all-cause death, thromboembolic events, major bleeding and composite endpoint between the two groups with HR(95%CI) 0.95(0.80-1.14), 1.00(0.82-1.22), 0.83(0.62-1.10), 0.96(0.84-1.11), respectively. All P>0.05. Conclusions: There were no significant differences between CAS risk model and CHA2DS2-VASc risk score in predicting all-cause death, thromboembolic events, and major bleeding events in Chinese patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.
Adolescent
;
Anticoagulants
;
Atrial Fibrillation/drug therapy*
;
Cohort Studies
;
Female
;
Hemorrhage/complications*
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Assessment
;
Stroke/epidemiology*
;
Stroke Volume
;
Thromboembolism/etiology*
;
Ventricular Function, Left
6.Comparison on the prognosis of severe aortic stenosis patients treated with transcatheter aortic valve replacement versus surgical aortic valve replacement: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
Ping FAN ; Yuan Zheng YE ; Xiang MA
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2022;50(9):913-919
Objective: To systematically review the prognosis of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) versus surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) in patients with severe aortic stenosis. Methods: A systematic search of PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, Cochrane Library, China biomedical literature database, China journal full text database (CNKI), Wanfang database and VIP database from January 2012 to February 2022 was conducted for randomized controlled trial (RCT) that comparing TAVR and SAVR in the treatment of severe aortic stenosis. The primary outcomes were the incidence of all-cause mortality, stroke incidence, reoperation rate and complications (pacemaker implantation, atrial fibrillation) at 1 month and 1, 2, 5 years after operation. Jadad scale was used to evaluate the literature quality of RCTs. All statistical analyses were performed using the standard statistical procedures provided in RevMan 5.4.1. Results: A total of 17 studies including 11 712 patients were identified, including 6 007 patients treated with TAVR and 5 705 patients treated with SAVR. There were 4 high-quality studies and 13 medium-quality studies. The results of meta-analysis showed that the rate of new onset atrial fibrillation was lower in TAVR group than that in SAVR group (RR=0.28, 95%CI 0.21-0.38, P<0.001), and there was no significant difference in all-cause death, stroke, pacemaker implantation and reoperation rate (all P>0.05) at 30 days follow-up. At one year after TAVR and SAVR treatment, all-cause mortality (RR=0.85, 95%CI 0.74-0.97, P=0.01) and new onset atrial fibrillation (RR=0.28, 95%CI 0.20-0.39, P<0.001) were lower in TAVR group than SAVR group. However, the pacemaker implantation rate was higher in TAVR group than that of SAVR group (RR=1.79, 95%CI 1.11-2.89, P=0.02), while there was no significant difference in the incidence of stroke and reoperation between the two groups (P>0.05). At two years after TAVR and SAVR treatment, the pacemaker implantation rate was higher in TAVR group than that in SAVR group (RR=2.23, 95%CI 1.28-3.86, P=0.004), and the rate of new atrial fibrillation was lower in TAVR group than that in SAVR group (RR=0.46, 95%CI 0.38-0.56, P<0.001). There was no significant difference in all-cause death, stroke and reoperation rates between the two groups (P>0.05). At five years after TAVR and SAVR treatment, the pacemaker implantation rate (RR=1.89, 95%CI 1.13-3.17, P=0.02) and reoperation rate (RR=3.64, 95%CI 1.75-7.58, P=0.000 5) were higher in TAVR group than those in SAVR group, while the rate of new onset atrial fibrillation was lower in TAVR group than that in SAVR group (RR=0.45, 95%CI 0.37-0.55, P<0.001). There was no significant difference in all-cause death and stroke incidence between the two groups (all P>0.05). Conclusions: The all-cause mortality and the incidence of new onset atrial fibrillation after TAVR are lower than SAVR, and TAVR is a preferred therapy for patients with aortic stenosis.
Aortic Valve
;
Aortic Valve Stenosis/surgery*
;
Atrial Fibrillation/etiology*
;
Heart Valve Prosthesis Implantation
;
Humans
;
Prognosis
;
Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
;
Stroke
;
Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement/methods*
7.The relationship between fasting blood glucose level and thromboembolism events in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.
Xiao Wen BO ; Song ZUO ; Chao JIANG ; Liu HE ; Xin ZHAO ; Song Nan LI ; Ri Bo TANG ; De Yong LONG ; Xin DU ; Jian Zeng DONG ; Chang Sheng MA
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2022;50(3):243-248
Objective: To explore the relationship between fasting blood glucose level and thromboembolism events in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Methods: This was an observational study based on data from a multicenter, prospective Chinese atrial fibrillation registry cohort, which included 18 703 consecutive patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) in 31 hospitals in Beijing from August 2011 to December 2018. Patients were divided into 5 groups according to status of comorbid diabetes and fasting glucose levels at admission: normal blood glucose (normal glucose group), pre-diabetes group, strict glycemic control group, average glycemic control group and poor glycemic control group. Patients were followed up by telephone or outpatient service every 6 months. The primary follow-up endpoint was thromboembolic events, including ischemic stroke and systemic embolism. The secondary endpoint was the composite endpoint of cardiovascular death and thromboembolic events. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and multifactorial Cox regression were used to analyze the correlation between fasting glucose levels and endpoint events. Results: The age of 18 703 patients with NVAF was (63.8±12.0) years, and there were 11 503 (61.5%) male patients. There were 11 877 patients (63.5%) in normal blood glucose group, 2 023 patients (10.8%)in pre-diabetes group, 1 131 patients (6.0%) in strict glycemic control group, 811 patients in average glycemic control group and 2 861 patients(4.3%) in poor glycemic control group. Of the 4 803 diabetic patients, 1 131 patients (23.5%) achieved strict glycemic control, of whom 328 (29.0%) were hypoglycemic (fasting blood glucose level<4.4 mmol/L at admission). During a mean follow-up of (51±23) months (up to 82 months), thromboembolic events were reported in 984 patients (5.3%). The survival curve analysis of Kaplan Meier showed that the incidence rates of thromboembolic events in normal glucose group, pre-diabetes group, strict glycemic control group, average glycemic control group and poor glycemic control group were 1.10/100, 1.41/100, 2.09/100, 1.46/100 and 1.71/100 person-years, respectively (χ²=53.0, log-rank P<0.001). The incidence rates of composite endpoint events were 1.86/100, 2.17/100, 4.08/100, 2.58/100, 3.16/100 person-years (χ²=72.3, log-rank P<0.001). The incidence of thromboembolic events and composite endpoint events in the other four groups were higher than that in the normal blood glucose group (P<0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that compared with normal glucose group, the risk of thromboembolism increased in pre-diabetes group(HR=1.23, 95%CI 1.00-1.51, P=0.049), strict glycemic control group(HR=1.32, 95%CI 1.06-1.65, P=0.013) and poor glycemic control group(HR=1.26, 95%CI 1.01-1.58, P=0.044). Conclusion: Both high or low fasting glucose may be an independent risk factor for thromboembolic events in patients with NVAF.
Aged
;
Atrial Fibrillation/complications*
;
Blood Glucose/analysis*
;
Fasting
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Prospective Studies
;
Thromboembolism/etiology*
8.Previous history of hyperthyroidism in emergency department patients with atrial fibrillation does not increase the risk of thromboembolism and death.
Jing Jing CHAN ; Swee Han LIM ; Ru San TAN ; Jia WANG ; Jonas OLDGREN ; Jeff S HEALEY
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2022;51(4):250-252
9.Oral administration of TRPV4 inhibitor improves atrial calcium handling abnormalities in sterile pericarditis rats.
Jie LIAO ; Shuai-Tao YANG ; Kai LU ; Yang LU ; Yu-Wei WU ; Yi-Mei DU
Acta Physiologica Sinica 2022;74(2):188-200
Atrial Ca2+ handling abnormalities, mainly involving the dysfunction of ryanodine receptor (RyR) and sarcoplasmic reticulum Ca2+-ATPase (SERCA), play a role in the pathogenesis of atrial fibrillation (AF). Previously, we found that the expression and function of transient receptor potential vanilloid subtype 4 (TRPV4) are upregulated in a sterile pericarditis (SP) rat model of AF, and oral administration of TRPV4 inhibitor GSK2193874 alleviates AF in this animal model. The aim of this study was to investigate whether oral administration of GSK2193874 could alleviate atrial Ca2+ handling abnormalities in SP rats. A SP rat model of AF was established by daubing sterile talcum powder on both atria of Sprague-Dawley (SD) rats after a pericardiotomy, to simulate the pathogenesis of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF). On the 3rd postoperative day, Ca2+ signals of atria were collected in isolated perfused hearts by optical mapping. Ca2+ transient duration (CaD), alternan, and the recovery properties of Ca2+ transient (CaT) were quantified and analyzed. GSK2193874 treatment reversed the abnormal prolongation of time to peak (determined mainly by RyR activity) and CaD (determined mainly by SERCA activity), as well as the regional heterogeneity of CaD in SP rats. Furthermore, GSK2193874 treatment relieved alternan in SP rats, and reduced its incidence of discordant alternan (DIS-ALT). More importantly, GSK2193874 treatment prevented the reduction of the S2/S1 CaT ratio (determined mainly by RyR refractoriness) in SP rats, and decreased its regional heterogeneity. Taken together, oral administration of TRPV4 inhibitor alleviates Ca2+ handling abnormalities in SP rats primarily by blocking the TRPV4-Ca2+-RyR pathway, and thus exerts therapeutic effect on POAF.
Administration, Oral
;
Animals
;
Atrial Fibrillation/etiology*
;
Calcium/metabolism*
;
Myocytes, Cardiac/metabolism*
;
Pericarditis/pathology*
;
Rats
;
Rats, Sprague-Dawley
;
Ryanodine Receptor Calcium Release Channel/pharmacology*
;
Sarcoplasmic Reticulum/pathology*
;
TRPV Cation Channels
10.Stair climbing and incident atrial fibrillation: a prospective cohort study.
Ahmed ARAFA ; Yoshihiro KOKUBO ; Keiko SHIMAMOTO ; Rena KASHIMA ; Emi WATANABE ; Yukie SAKAI ; Jiaqi LI ; Masayuki TERAMOTO ; Haytham A SHEERAH ; Kengo KUSANO
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2022;27(0):10-10
BACKGROUND:
A protective role for physical activity against the development of atrial fibrillation (AF) has been suggested. Stair climbing is a readily available form of physical activity that many people practice. Herein, we investigated the association between stair climbing and the risk of AF in a Japanese population.
METHODS:
In this prospective cohort study, we used data of 6,575 people registered in the Suita Study, aged 30-84 years, and had no history of AF. The frequency of stair climbing was assessed by a baseline questionnaire, while AF was diagnosed during the follow-up using a 12-lead ECG, health records, check-ups, and death certificates. We used the Cox regression to calculate the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of AF incidence for climbing stairs in 20-39%, 40-59%, and ≥60% compared with <20% of the time.
RESULTS:
Within 91,389 person-years of follow-up, 295 participants developed AF. The incidence of AF was distributed across the stair climbing groups <20%, 20-39%, 40-59%, and ≥60% as follows: 3.57, 3.27, 3.46, and 2.63/1,000 person-years, respectively. Stair climbing ≥60% of the time was associated with a reduced risk of AF after adjustment for age and sex 0.69 (0.49, 0.96). Further adjustment for lifestyle and medical history did not affect the results 0.69 (0.49, 0.98).
CONCLUSION
Frequent stair climbing could protect from AF. From a preventive point of view, stair climbing could be a simple way to reduce AF risk at the population level.
Adult
;
Aged
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Atrial Fibrillation/etiology*
;
Humans
;
Incidence
;
Middle Aged
;
Prospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
;
Stair Climbing

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