1.Construction of a risk prediction model for the timing of weaning extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.
Dehua ZENG ; Xifeng LIU ; Zhibiao HE ; Aiqun ZHU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(9):866-870
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the timing of weaning extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) and analyze the risk factors that affect survival outcomes before weaning.
METHODS:
A retrospective case-control study was conducted. Patients who received ECMO treatment and were weaned according to physicians' orders at the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University from January 2020 to June 2024 were enrolled as the study subjects. The general information, underlying diseases, indications and processes of ECMO, vital signs and arterial blood gas analysis 1 hour before weaning test, and biochemical indicators 24 hours before weaning test were collected through the hospital electronic medical record system. The primary outcome measure was the hospital mortality. The variables with P < 0.1 in univariate analysis and correlation analysis were included into binary Logistic regression analysis to identify risk factors. A nomogram model was constructed to predict the risk of weaning death in patients with ECMO, and receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) and calibration curve were drawn to evaluate the model. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical net benefit rate of the model.
RESULTS:
A total of 32 ECMO patients were included, among whom 10 received veno-arterial ECMO (VA-ECMO) and 22 received veno-venous ECMO (VV-ECMO). During the hospitalization period, 23 patients survived, while 9 died. The time from mechanical ventilation to ECMO activation in the death group was significantly longer than that in the survival group, and the time from ECMO cessation to discharge was significantly shorter than that in the survival group. The levels of diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and albumin (Alb) before weaning were significantly lower than those in the survival group, and the level of procalcitonin (PCT) was significantly higher than that in the survival group (all P < 0.05). Spearman correlation analysis showed that DBP, PCT, Alb, and thrombin time (TT) were correlated with the weaning outcomes of ECMO patients (r values were -0.450, 0.373, -0.376, -0.346, all P < 0.1). Binary Logistic regression analysis showed that the final indicators entering the regression equation included DBP [odds ratio (OR) = 0.864, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.756-0.982], PCT (OR = 1.157, 95%CI was 0.679-1.973), and TT (OR = 0.852, 95%CI was 0.693-1.049), and a nomogram model was constructed to predict the weaning outcomes of ECMO patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram model for predicting the weaning outcome of ECMO patients was 0.831, with a sensitivity of 77.8% and a specificity of 65.2%. Its predictive value was better than that of single indicators DBP, PCT, and TT (AUC of 0.787, 0.739, and 0.722, respectively). The calibration curve showed that the prediction probability of the model was in good consistency with the actual observed results, the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test showed that, χ 2 = 8.3521, P = 0.400, indicating that the model fits well. DCA showed that across risk threshold of 0-0.8, the net benefit rate was greater than 0, which was significantly better than that of single indicator.
CONCLUSIONS
The nomogram model constructed with DBP, PCT, and TT has certain predictive value for the weaning outcomes of ECMO patients and can be used as a screening indicator for ECMO weaning timing.
Humans
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Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
;
Case-Control Studies
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Male
;
Female
;
Nomograms
;
Logistic Models
;
ROC Curve
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Ventilator Weaning
;
Time Factors
2.Construction of a risk prediction model for the timing of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation initiation.
Dehua ZENG ; Xifeng LIU ; Zhibiao HE ; Aiqun ZHU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(8):762-767
OBJECTIVE:
To identify the risk factors related to the timing of patients receiving extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) initiation and construct a risk prediction model for ECMO initiation timing.
METHODS:
Patients who received ECMO admitted to the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University from January 2020 to January 2024 were retrospectively collected. The case data mainly included physiological and biochemical indicators 1 hour before ECMO initiation. According to the outcome of the patients, they were divided into survival group and death group. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analysis were used to analyze the predictors of mortality risk in patients with ECMO, and a nomogram prediction model was constructed. The discrimination, calibration accuracy, and goodness of the model were evaluated by the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve), calibration curve, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, respectively. Decision curve analysis (DCA) evaluated the clinical net benefit rate of the model.
RESULTS:
A total of 81 ECMO patients were included, including 59 males and 22 females; age range from 16 to 61 years old, with a median age of 56.0 (39.5, 61.5) years old; 20 patients received veno-arterial (V-A) ECMO, and 61 patients received veno-venous (V-V) ECMO; 23 patients ultimately survived and 58 patients died. Univariate analysis showed that age, blood urea nitrogen, serum creatinine, D-dimer, arterial blood carbon dioxide partial pressure, and prothrombin time of the death group were all higher than those of the survival group, while albumin was slightly lower than that of the survival group. There was a statistically significant difference in the direct cause of ECMO initiation between the two groups. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that age [odds ratio (OR) = 1.069, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.015-1.125, P = 0.012], direct cause of ECMO initiation [with heart failure as the reference, return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) after cardiopulmonary support (OR = 30.672, 95%CI was 1.265-743.638, P = 0.035), novel coronavirus infection (OR = 8.666, 95%CI was 0.818-91.761, P = 0.073), other severe pneumonia (OR = 4.997, 95%CI was 0.558-44.765, P = 0.150)], pre-ECMO serum creatinine (OR = 1.008, 95%CI was 1.000-1.016, P = 0.044), prothrombin time (OR = 1.078, 95%CI was 0.948-1.226, P = 0.252), and D-dimer (OR = 1.135, 95%CI was 1.047-1.231, P = 0.002) were entered into the final regression equation. A nomogram prediction model was developed based on these five factors. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the model was 0.889 (95%CI was 0.819-0.959), higher than the AUC of the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA; AUC = 0.604, 95%CI was 0.467-0.742). The calibration curve showed good consistency between the model predictions and the observed results. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed that χ 2 = 4.668, P = 0.792. DCA analysis showed that when the risk threshold was 0-0.8, the net benefit rate was greater than 0, which was significantly better than that of SOFA score.
CONCLUSIONS
The risk prediction model for the timing of ECMO initiation, constructed using five factors (age, direct cause of ECMO initiation, thrombin time, serum creatinine, and D-dimer), demonstrated good discrimination and calibration. It can serve as a pre-initiation assessment tool to identify and predict post-initiation mortality risk in ECMO patients.
Humans
;
Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation
;
Middle Aged
;
Male
;
Female
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Adult
;
Risk Factors
;
Adolescent
;
Young Adult
;
Logistic Models
;
Nomograms
;
ROC Curve
;
Time Factors
;
Risk Assessment
3.Effect of occupational skills relearning on hemiplegic arm function after stroke:a randomized controlled trial
Aiqun HE ; Jingbo LI ; Maoli HE ; Simei YE ; Qiushuang SONG ; Haiou LIU ; Youshu XIE
Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice 2024;30(7):823-830
Objective To explore the effect of occupational skills relearning programme on hemiplegic arm motor function and ac-tivities of daily living(ADL)in stroke patients. Methods From February,2022 to August,2023,74 stroke patients in Guangdong Work Injury Rehabilitation Hospital were enrolled and randomly divided into control group(n=37)and experimental group(n=37).The control group received conventional rehabilitation training,and the experimental group received additional occupational skills relearning programme,for three weeks.They were assessed with Fugl-Meyer Assessment-Upper Extremi-ties(FMA-UE),Functional Test for the Hemiplegic Upper Extremity-Hong Kong(FTHUE-HK),Motor Activity Log(MAL)-amount of use(AOU)and MAL-quality of movement(QOM),modified Barthel Index(MBI),and Stroke Impact Scale(SIS)-Hand and SIS-ADL before and after treatment. Results The scores in all assessments improved significantly in both groups(|t|>3.597,P<0.05)after treatment,while the scores of FMA-UE,FTHUE-HK,MAL-AOU,MAL-QOM were higher in the experimental group than in the control group(|t|>2.352,P<0.05). Conclusion Occupational skills relearning programme could promote the recovery of hemiplegic arm motor and activity,and facilitate the use of the hemiplegic arm in daily life in stroke patients.
4.Effect of transcranial direct current stimulation combined with acupuncture on central and upper limb function in stroke patients based on central-peripheral-central theory
Haiyun WANG ; Yin WANG ; Xinjie ZHOU ; Aiqun HE
Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice 2023;29(8):919-925
ObjectiveTo explore the effect of transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) combined with acupuncture on central and upper limb function in stroke patients at flaccid stage based on central-peripheral-central theory. MethodsFrom September, 2018 to December, 2021, 120 patients with upper limb dysfunction after stroke in Guangdong Work Injury Rehabilitation Hospital were selected and randomly divided into control group 1 (n = 40), control group 2 (n = 40) and experimental group (n = 40). All the groups received conventional rehabilitation treatment. In addition, the control group 1 received acupuncture treatment, the control group 2 received anodal tDCS, and the experimental group received combined treatment of both, for four weeks. They were assessed with Fugl-Meyer Assessment-Upper Extremities (FMA-UE) and modified Barthel Index (MBI) before and after treatment. Electroencephalograph (EEG) was used to detect brain symmetry index (BSI), and electromyography (EMG) was used to detect root mean square values (RMS) of triceps brachii, biceps brachii, extensor wrist and flexor wrist of the affected upper limbs. ResultsTwo cases in the control group 1, one in the control group 2 and one in the experimental group dropped off, respectively. After treatment, the scores of FMA-UE and MBI significantly increased in all the groups (t > 11.757, P < 0.001), and they were higer in the experimental group than in the control groups (P < 0.001); the BSI decreased in the control group 2 and the experimental group (t > 2.324, P < 0.05), and it was less in the experimental group than in the control group 2 (P < 0.05); the RMS of biceps increased in all the groups (t > 2.953, P < 0.01), and was higer in the experimental group than in the control groups (P < 0.05); the RMS of flexor wrist and triceps increased in the control group 1 and the experimental group (t > 2.230, P < 0.05), and were higher in the experimental group than in the control group 1 (P < 0.05); the RMS of wrist extensor muscle increased only in the experimental group (t = 3.350, P < 0.01). ConclusiontDCS combined with acupuncture based on central-peripheral-central theory could effectively improve the upper limb function of stroke patients at flaccid stage, with advantages in improving hemispheric asymmetry and enhancing the activation level of affected muscles.
5.Study on the influence of COVID-19 pandemic on the operation and management of tertiary maternal and child health hospitals
Zhimin HE ; Rong LUO ; Aiqun HUANG ; Huanqing HU
Chinese Journal of Hospital Administration 2022;38(7):515-518
Objective:To acquire the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the operation of tertiary maternal and child health(MCH) hospitals in China, for decision making support of health administrative departments and hospital managers.Methods:The National Maternal and Child Health Institutions Resources and Operations Survey Direct Reporting System was used to collect the resource allocation, workload, treatment quality, work efficiency and asset operation of the tertiary MCH hospitals in China in 2019(pre pandemic) and 2020(during pandemic). Statistical descriptions were made using median.Results:In 2019 and 2020, the number of tertiary MCH hospitals in China was 236 and 258, respectively, and their relevant data were analyzed. In terms of resource allocation, the number of health technicians in 2019 and 2020 was 560 and 548, respectively, and the actual number of available beds was 308 and 305 respectively. In terms of workload, the annual outpatient visits in 2020 were 337 990, a decrease of 23.6%from that in 2019; The total number of emergency visits was 28 997, a decrease of 32.5%; The total number of discharged patients was 13 673, a decrease by 20.5%; A total of 4 723 training sessions on MCH were held for primary institutions, an increase of 1.2 percent. A total of 1 953 724 primary-level health technicians were trained, an increase of 175.2 percent. In terms of work efficiency, the average length of hospital stay of discharged patients decreased from 5.56 days in 2019 to 5.00 days in 2020. Bed utilization rate decreased from 88.90% to 69.15%; Bed turnover decreased from 53.69 to 44.22. In terms of treatment quality, the critical illness mortality rate of inpatients was 0.37% in 2020, 0.11% lower than that in 2019. The in-hospital mortality rate for neonatal patients was 0.04%, a 0.03% drop. In terms of asset operation, the total revenue in 2020 was 248.355 million yuan, an increase of 4.46% compared with 2019, in which the proportion of financial subsidies increased from 11.26% to 15.72%.Conclusions:The in-hospital services and institutional health care services of tertiary MCH hospitals in China were downsized by the COVID-19 pandemic, while the work efficiency was relatively stable, along with acceptable resource allocation, good treatment quality and asset operation.
6. Analysis of main result quality indicators of tertiary maternal and child health hospitals
Zhimin HE ; Rong LUO ; Aiqun HUANG ; Huanqing HU
Chinese Journal of Hospital Administration 2020;36(1):41-44
Objective:
To acquire the main result quality indicators status of tertiary maternal and child health(MCH) hospitals in China, supporting the decision making.
Methods:
The National Maternal and Child Health Institutions Resources and Operations Survey Direct Reporting System was used to collect the management operation, inpatient death, re-return, hospital-acquired infection, surgical complications and patient safety of these hospitals in China in 2017. Statistical descriptions were made using average, rate and composition comparison data.
Results:
The proportion of health technicians of tertiary MCH hospitals in China was 83.66%, the average hospitalization days were 5.96 days, with bed occupancy rate of 90.01%. The success rate of neonatal resuscitation was high. Meanwhile, the mortality rate of hospitalized maternal critical illness, the total hospitalization mortality rate of neonatal patients, the incidence of complications in surgical patients, the incidence of neonatal injury and the incidence of birth injury in vaginal delivery were higher in the institutions that had not participated in the MCH hospital accreditation.
Conclusions
The management of tertiary MCH hospitals in China was in good condition, and the relevant policies and projects have achieved remarkable results. Compared with general hospitals, hospital infection and re-return indicators were good. The quality and safety of tertiary MCH hospitals which have not participated in the MCH hospital assessment were poor. It is recommended to carry out MCH hospital accreditation to improve quality and safety.
7.Correlation of transforming growth factor β1 and interleukin 17 with al-lergic conjunctivitis
Wenlin LI ; Aiqun HE ; Xiao ZHUO ; Haibo LIN ; Mudan CHEN
China Modern Doctor 2015;(11):69-71
Objective To investigate the expression level of transforming growth factorβ1 (TGF-β1) and interleukin 17 (IL-17) in patients with allergic conjunctivitis. Methods TGF-β1 and IL-17 expression levels in allergic conjunctivitis patients hospitalized in the author's hospital and a healthy population were detected to explore the expression level in all types of patients with allergic conjunctivitis. Results TGF-β1 and IL-17 levels were significantly higher in patients with allergic conjunctivitis than in healthy population (P<0.01). Among the four clinical subtypes of allergic conjunctivi-tis, vernal keratoconjunctivitis had the highest expression level of TGF-β1 and IL-17 in spring, followed by perennial allergic conjunctivitis and seasonal allergic conjunctivitis, and atopic keratoconjunctivitis had the lowest expression level. However, the differences among the four subtypes were not significant (P>0.05). Conclusion Patients with allergic conjunctivitis have higher TGF-β1 and IL-17 expression levels than normal healthy people. TGF-β1 and IL-17 ex-pression level vary in different subtypes of allergic conjunctivitis, vernal keratoconjunctivitis has higher expression level than other types in spring.
8.The coagulation factor VII gene polymorphisms in patients with myocardial infarction in Ningxia Hui and Han populations.
Hui HUANG ; Shaobin JIA ; Shulan CHEN ; Yong SHA ; Aiqun MA ; Xueping MA ; Jinli ZHANG ; Xiangrong BAI ; Lin HE
Chinese Journal of Medical Genetics 2009;26(6):653-658
OBJECTIVETo investigate the characteristics for activated coagulation factor VII(F VIIa) and the R353Q, -323 0/10 bp, HVR4 polymorphisms in the gene in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) and myocardial infarction from Ningxia Hui and Han populations.
METHODSFour hundred and twenty angiographically proven CHD patients in the Hui population, and 508 healthy blood donors were tested for their plasma levels of coagulation factor VII using recombinant tissue factor method. The coagulation factor VII gene R353Q, -323 0/10 bp and HVR4 genotypes were identified by polymerase chain reaction. In addition, 600 Han patients with CHD and 604 healthy Han control subjects were also investigated.
RESULTS(1) The plasma F VIIa levels was significantly higher in patients with CHD and myocardial infarction than that in healthy control subjects and angor pectoris (P<0.01) in both Hui and Han populations. (2) There were significant differences in the distribution of genotypes and allelic frequencies of the R353Q between myocardial infarction and angor pectoris disease in the Hui population (P<0.05). So was the -323 0/10 bp locus in both the Hui and Han population. (3) The F VIIa level was significantly higher in individuals with RR genotype than those of Q allele carriers in the Hui population.
CONCLUSIONThere are polymorphisms of the F VII gene R353Q, -323 0/10 bp and HVR4 in the Hui and Han populations. The Q allele might be a protective factor against myocardial infarction in the Hui, and the plasma F VIIa level may be influenced by the R353Q polymorphism of the F VII gene. The 10 allele may be a protective factor against myocardial infarction in both the Hui and Han populations.
Aged ; Asian Continental Ancestry Group ; ethnology ; genetics ; Case-Control Studies ; Factor VII ; genetics ; metabolism ; Female ; Humans ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Myocardial Infarction ; ethnology ; genetics ; metabolism ; Polymorphism, Genetic
9.A study of body image,prosthesis satisfaction and quality of life of the amputees from 5·12 Wenchuan earthquake
Kuicheng LI ; Li CECILIA ; Zhenghong CHEN ; Yangchun WANG ; Kaiyi QIU ; Deming LIU ; Jingbo LI ; Aiqun HE
Chinese Journal of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation 2008;30(12):797-800
Objective To explore body image(BI),prosthesis satisfaction and quality of life(QOL)of amputees from Wenchuan earthquake and the relationship among them to provide evidence for the intervention.Methods A total of 21 amputees accepted a survey regarding QOL,BI,and satisfaction with prosthesis.The scale of SF-36 was used to assess QOL.Amputees Bodily Image Scale(ABIS)was;used to assess BI.A self-design questionnaire wag used to evaluate the prosthesis satisfaction of amputees.Results The scores of SF-36,ABIS,and prosthesis satisfaction wag 41.90 ±15.00,64.58 ±10.60,and 59.52±11.06,respectively.The ABIS scores in women(65.07 ±12.10)were hisher than that in men(63.20 ±5.0)(P<0.05).There was a positive correlation between score of QOL and prosthesis satisfaction,but a negative correlation between QOL and BI.The negative correlations were also observed between BI and Vitality,BI and mental health.Prosthesis satisfaction had positive correla tions with education level.QOL and mental health.Conclusion The body image disturbance(BID)and dissatis faction with prosthesis may cause negative influences on the amputees'quality of life.Relevant intervention should be provided of amputees handling their prostheses and body images correctly and raising QOL.

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