1.Design and practice of three-dimensional teaching mode for Medical Immunology
Pengtao JIANG ; Zhifang HU ; Minghua LYU ; Ning WANG ; Xingchun GAO ; Ailian LI ; Dian ZHANG ; Fengliang JIANG ; Na GUO
Chinese Journal of Immunology 2025;41(5):1223-1227
In order to adapt to teaching reform of Medical Immunology and create a"golden course",through teaching prac-tice,our research group proposes a"three-dimensional curriculum teaching system",which organically combines teaching concepts with teaching design and process,with construction of various resources(material libraries),and finally,multi-level teaching evalua-tion is completed to achieve overall unity of teaching.
2.Application of diffusion tensor imaging combined with magnetic resonance spectroscopy for clinical grading and prognosis assessment of brain glioma
Long YAN ; Peng WU ; Shenghai WANG ; Yanfeng SONG ; Ailian YANG
Chinese Journal of Primary Medicine and Pharmacy 2025;32(3):336-341
Objective:To analyze the value of diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) combined with magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS) in the clinical grading and prognosis assessment of brain glioma.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 72 patients with brain glioma admitted to Yan'an People's Hospital from January 2010 to December 2023. The cohort included 40 males and 32 females, with ages ranging from 25 to 76 years and an average age of (40.3 ± 6.8) years. All patients underwent routine magnetic resonance imaging plain scans, contrast-enhanced ultrasound examination, DTI, and MRS prior to surgery. Measurements were conducted for fractional anisotropy (FA), N-acetyl aspartate (NAA), choline compounds (Cho), and creatinine (Cr). Additionally, the ratios of NAA/Cho, Cho/Cr, and NAA/Cr were calculated. The imaging characteristics of brain glioma were analyzed, and the clinical utility of these indicators for grading and prognosis assessment of brain glioma was evaluated.Results:DTI results of the 72 included patients revealed disruption of the white matter fiber tracts surrounding the tumors. MRS of the 72 included patients showed either approximately normal values or indicated elevated Cho and Cr levels, along with decreased NAA levels. Diffuse mild to moderate enhancement was observed in 35 patients (48.61%), presenting with a patchy pattern that suggested a higher tumor grade. When comparing low-grade gliomas (LGG) and high-grade gliomas (HGG) to the corresponding healthy tissue, significant differences were observed in FA value in the peritumoral edema region [(0.20 ± 0.06) × 10 -3 mm2/s vs. (0.62 ± 0.08) × 10 -3 mm2/s for LGG, and (0.17 ± 0.05) × 10 -3 mm2/s vs. (0.62 ± 0.09) × 10 -3 mm2/s for HGG] , NAA/Cho ratio [(0.36 ± 0.11) vs. (1.41 ± 0.33) for LGG, and (0.19 ± 0.06) vs. (1.42 ± 0.35) for HGG], Cho/Cr ratio [(2.39 ± 0.51) vs. (1.12 ± 0.26) for LGG, and (3.81 ± 0.94) vs. (1.12 ± 0.28) for HGG], and NAA/Cr ratio [(0.75 ± 0.24) vs. (1.52 ± 0.31) for LGG, and (0.38 ± 0.12) vs. (1.52 ± 0.29) for HGG]. All observed differences were statistically significant ( tLGG = 26.56, 19.09, 14.03, 12.42; tHGG = 27.64, 21.90, 17.34, 22.97, all P < 0.05). There were statistically significant differences in FA [(0.20 ± 0.06) × 10 -3 mm2/s vs. (0.17 ± 0.05) × 10 -3 mm2/s], NAA/Cho [(0.36 ± 0.11) vs. (0.19 ± 0.06)], Cho/Cr [(2.39 ± 0.51) vs. (3.81 ± 0.94)], and NAA/Cr [(0.75 ± 0.24) vs. (0.38 ± 0.12)] between LGG and HGG ( t = 2.26, 7.85, 8.17, 7.95, all P < 0.05). Follow-up conducted 6 months to 3 years postoperatively revealed that the Cho/Cr ratio in the death group was significantly higher than that in the survival group [2.172 (1.662, 2.863) vs. 2.729 (2.431, 3.689), U = 2.17, P < 0.05]. However, there were no statistically significant differences in FA, NAA/Cho, and NAA/Cr values between survival and death groups ( P > 0.05). Conclusions:Combined DTI and MRS can reveal specific imaging characteristics of brain gliomas, providing valuable information for clinical grading of brain gliomas. Furthermore, the Cho/Cr ratio is associated with prognosis and may serve as a potential imaging biomarker for predicting the outcome of brain gliomas.
3.Expression of NLRP3 inflammatory vesicles,Cav-1,and S1P1 in children with Kawasaki disease and their association with coronary artery injury
Bin DENG ; Ailian WANG ; Boli CHENG ; Jiahao CHEN ; Yun HE ; Chonghai LIU
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2025;41(13):2094-2099
Objective To explore the expression of peripheral blood Nod-like receptor protein 3(NLRP3)inflammasomes,serum caveolin-1(Cav-1),and sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor 1(S1P1)in children with Kawasaki disease(KD),and to elucidate their associations with coronary artery lesion(CAL).Methods A total of 223 children diagnosed with KD were recruited from our hospital between March 2023 and December 2024 and served as the KD study group.These children were classified into the CAL group(n=71)and the non-CAL group(n=152)based on their CAL status.Additionally,223 healthy children who underwent physical examinations at our hospital were selected as the healthy control group.Clinical data,levels of routine laboratory test indices,peripheral blood NLRP3 inflammasomes,serum Cav-1,and S1P1 were compared among the groups.Risk factors for CAL in children with KD were analyzed,and the diagnostic value of peripheral blood NLRP3 inflammasomes,serum Cav-1,and S1P1 levels for CAL in children with KD was evaluated.Results The levels of NLRP3,caspase-1,ASC in peripheral blood and messenger ribonucleic acid(mRNA)of serum Cav-1 were significantly higher in the KD study group than in the healthy control group(P<0.05).Conversely,the serum level of S1P1 was significantly lower in the KD study group compared to the healthy control group(P<0.05).In the CAL group,the levels of peripheral blood white blood cell count(WBC),NLRP3,caspase-1,ASC mRNA,serum C-reactive protein(CRP),and Cav-1 were all higher than those in the non-CAL group(P<0.05),while the serum level of S1P1 was lower than that in the non-CAL group(P<0.05).The levels of NLRP3,caspase-1,ASC mRNA in peripheral blood,along with serum Cav-1 and S1P1,were identified as independent risk factors for CAL in children with KD(P<0.05).The results of receiver operating characteristic(ROC)analysis indicated that the combined test of the levels of NLRP3,caspase-1,ASC mRNA in peripheral blood,serum Cav-1,and S1P1 for diagnosing CAL in children with KD had an area under the curve(AUC)value of 0.926.This value was significantly higher than that of each individual index(0.844,0.785,0.821,0.843,0.833,P<0.05).Conclusions The levels of NLRP3 inflamma-tory vesicles in peripheral blood and serum Cav-1 were highly expressed in children with KD,whereas the serum S1P1 was poorly expressed.These indices may be involved in the development process of CAL in children with KD.Moreover,the combination of these indices is more beneficial for the diagnosis of CAL in children with KD.
4.Design and practice of three-dimensional teaching mode for Medical Immunology
Pengtao JIANG ; Zhifang HU ; Minghua LYU ; Ning WANG ; Xingchun GAO ; Ailian LI ; Dian ZHANG ; Fengliang JIANG ; Na GUO
Chinese Journal of Immunology 2025;41(5):1223-1227
In order to adapt to teaching reform of Medical Immunology and create a"golden course",through teaching prac-tice,our research group proposes a"three-dimensional curriculum teaching system",which organically combines teaching concepts with teaching design and process,with construction of various resources(material libraries),and finally,multi-level teaching evalua-tion is completed to achieve overall unity of teaching.
5.Expression of NLRP3 inflammatory vesicles,Cav-1,and S1P1 in children with Kawasaki disease and their association with coronary artery injury
Bin DENG ; Ailian WANG ; Boli CHENG ; Jiahao CHEN ; Yun HE ; Chonghai LIU
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2025;41(13):2094-2099
Objective To explore the expression of peripheral blood Nod-like receptor protein 3(NLRP3)inflammasomes,serum caveolin-1(Cav-1),and sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor 1(S1P1)in children with Kawasaki disease(KD),and to elucidate their associations with coronary artery lesion(CAL).Methods A total of 223 children diagnosed with KD were recruited from our hospital between March 2023 and December 2024 and served as the KD study group.These children were classified into the CAL group(n=71)and the non-CAL group(n=152)based on their CAL status.Additionally,223 healthy children who underwent physical examinations at our hospital were selected as the healthy control group.Clinical data,levels of routine laboratory test indices,peripheral blood NLRP3 inflammasomes,serum Cav-1,and S1P1 were compared among the groups.Risk factors for CAL in children with KD were analyzed,and the diagnostic value of peripheral blood NLRP3 inflammasomes,serum Cav-1,and S1P1 levels for CAL in children with KD was evaluated.Results The levels of NLRP3,caspase-1,ASC in peripheral blood and messenger ribonucleic acid(mRNA)of serum Cav-1 were significantly higher in the KD study group than in the healthy control group(P<0.05).Conversely,the serum level of S1P1 was significantly lower in the KD study group compared to the healthy control group(P<0.05).In the CAL group,the levels of peripheral blood white blood cell count(WBC),NLRP3,caspase-1,ASC mRNA,serum C-reactive protein(CRP),and Cav-1 were all higher than those in the non-CAL group(P<0.05),while the serum level of S1P1 was lower than that in the non-CAL group(P<0.05).The levels of NLRP3,caspase-1,ASC mRNA in peripheral blood,along with serum Cav-1 and S1P1,were identified as independent risk factors for CAL in children with KD(P<0.05).The results of receiver operating characteristic(ROC)analysis indicated that the combined test of the levels of NLRP3,caspase-1,ASC mRNA in peripheral blood,serum Cav-1,and S1P1 for diagnosing CAL in children with KD had an area under the curve(AUC)value of 0.926.This value was significantly higher than that of each individual index(0.844,0.785,0.821,0.843,0.833,P<0.05).Conclusions The levels of NLRP3 inflamma-tory vesicles in peripheral blood and serum Cav-1 were highly expressed in children with KD,whereas the serum S1P1 was poorly expressed.These indices may be involved in the development process of CAL in children with KD.Moreover,the combination of these indices is more beneficial for the diagnosis of CAL in children with KD.
6.Application of diffusion tensor imaging combined with magnetic resonance spectroscopy for clinical grading and prognosis assessment of brain glioma
Long YAN ; Peng WU ; Shenghai WANG ; Yanfeng SONG ; Ailian YANG
Chinese Journal of Primary Medicine and Pharmacy 2025;32(3):336-341
Objective:To analyze the value of diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) combined with magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS) in the clinical grading and prognosis assessment of brain glioma.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 72 patients with brain glioma admitted to Yan'an People's Hospital from January 2010 to December 2023. The cohort included 40 males and 32 females, with ages ranging from 25 to 76 years and an average age of (40.3 ± 6.8) years. All patients underwent routine magnetic resonance imaging plain scans, contrast-enhanced ultrasound examination, DTI, and MRS prior to surgery. Measurements were conducted for fractional anisotropy (FA), N-acetyl aspartate (NAA), choline compounds (Cho), and creatinine (Cr). Additionally, the ratios of NAA/Cho, Cho/Cr, and NAA/Cr were calculated. The imaging characteristics of brain glioma were analyzed, and the clinical utility of these indicators for grading and prognosis assessment of brain glioma was evaluated.Results:DTI results of the 72 included patients revealed disruption of the white matter fiber tracts surrounding the tumors. MRS of the 72 included patients showed either approximately normal values or indicated elevated Cho and Cr levels, along with decreased NAA levels. Diffuse mild to moderate enhancement was observed in 35 patients (48.61%), presenting with a patchy pattern that suggested a higher tumor grade. When comparing low-grade gliomas (LGG) and high-grade gliomas (HGG) to the corresponding healthy tissue, significant differences were observed in FA value in the peritumoral edema region [(0.20 ± 0.06) × 10 -3 mm2/s vs. (0.62 ± 0.08) × 10 -3 mm2/s for LGG, and (0.17 ± 0.05) × 10 -3 mm2/s vs. (0.62 ± 0.09) × 10 -3 mm2/s for HGG] , NAA/Cho ratio [(0.36 ± 0.11) vs. (1.41 ± 0.33) for LGG, and (0.19 ± 0.06) vs. (1.42 ± 0.35) for HGG], Cho/Cr ratio [(2.39 ± 0.51) vs. (1.12 ± 0.26) for LGG, and (3.81 ± 0.94) vs. (1.12 ± 0.28) for HGG], and NAA/Cr ratio [(0.75 ± 0.24) vs. (1.52 ± 0.31) for LGG, and (0.38 ± 0.12) vs. (1.52 ± 0.29) for HGG]. All observed differences were statistically significant ( tLGG = 26.56, 19.09, 14.03, 12.42; tHGG = 27.64, 21.90, 17.34, 22.97, all P < 0.05). There were statistically significant differences in FA [(0.20 ± 0.06) × 10 -3 mm2/s vs. (0.17 ± 0.05) × 10 -3 mm2/s], NAA/Cho [(0.36 ± 0.11) vs. (0.19 ± 0.06)], Cho/Cr [(2.39 ± 0.51) vs. (3.81 ± 0.94)], and NAA/Cr [(0.75 ± 0.24) vs. (0.38 ± 0.12)] between LGG and HGG ( t = 2.26, 7.85, 8.17, 7.95, all P < 0.05). Follow-up conducted 6 months to 3 years postoperatively revealed that the Cho/Cr ratio in the death group was significantly higher than that in the survival group [2.172 (1.662, 2.863) vs. 2.729 (2.431, 3.689), U = 2.17, P < 0.05]. However, there were no statistically significant differences in FA, NAA/Cho, and NAA/Cr values between survival and death groups ( P > 0.05). Conclusions:Combined DTI and MRS can reveal specific imaging characteristics of brain gliomas, providing valuable information for clinical grading of brain gliomas. Furthermore, the Cho/Cr ratio is associated with prognosis and may serve as a potential imaging biomarker for predicting the outcome of brain gliomas.
7.Value of curvature value of liver surface nodularity based on MRI in liver function evaluation of liver cirrhosis
Nan WANG ; Jisui HUANG ; Yuhui LIU ; Yingchao CUI ; Qihao XU ; Qingwei SONG ; Na LEI ; Ailian LIU
Journal of Practical Radiology 2024;40(4):581-585
Objective To explore the value of curvature value of liver surface nodularity(LSN)based on MRI in evaluating liver function in patients with liver cirrhosis.Methods A retrospective analysis was made on the patients who underwent upper abdomen MR examination at 3.0T.The normal liver function patients and cirrhosis patients were enrolled in the study and then the Child-Pugh score of the patients were calculated.The patients were divided into three groups:normal liver group,compensated cirrhosis group and decompensated cirrhosis group.The water phase imaging of 3D modified Dixon fast field echo(mDixon-FFE)sequence was copied in DICOM format.ITK software was used to manually draw the full-thickness liver edge by two observers.The curvature value of LSN was obtained by using matlab self compiled code for follow up analysis.Kruskal-Wallis H test was used to compare the curvature value between the groups.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was drawn and the area under the curve(AUC)was obtained.Spearman test was used for the correlation analysis.Results The curvature values of LSN among the normal liver,compensated cirrhosis and decompensated cirrhosis groups gradually increased(P<0.05).Comparing normal liver with compensated cirrhosis,the AUC of diagnosing compensated cirrhosis was 0.84,with the sensitivity of 72.7%and the specificity of 89.3%.Comparing compensated cirrhosis with decompensated cirrhosis,the AUC of diagnosing decompensated cirrhosis was 0.91,with the sensitivity of 80%and the specificity of 90.9%.There was a moderate positive correlation between the curvature value of LSN and liver function score in patients with cirrhosis(r=0.63,P=0.002).Conclusion The curvature value of LSN based on MRI can be used for preliminary evaluation of liver function of liver cirrhosis,with the AUC more than 0.80 and higher sensitivity and specificity.
8.Mediation effects of serum uric acid levels in the association between air pollutants and atrial fibrillation
Bo LIU ; Xinyue ZHANG ; Ge GE ; Hong ZHI ; Ailian WANG ; Lina WANG
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2024;52(5):519-524
Objective:To investigate the association between air pollutant exposure levels and the risk of atrial fibrillation and to evaluate the mediating role of serum uric acid levels in the association between air pollutant levels and atrial fibrillation risks.Methods:This study was a case-control study, and the data of the atrial fibrillation group was derived from atrial fibrillation patients diagnosed at the Zhongda Hospital, Affiliated to Southeast University, from January 2014 to April 2021, and data of control group was derived from those without atrial fibrillation at the screening in Qixia District, Nanjing City, in March to April 2019. A 1∶1 propensity score matching was performed with the matched variables of age and sex. Air pollutant exposure data were collected from 9 air quality monitoring stations in Nanjing from January 2014 to April 2021, including NO 2, CO, PM 2.5 and PM 10. Exposure to air pollutants was converted to respiratory exposure levels according to an approximate formula. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to analyze the association between air pollutants and the risk of atrial fibrillation. Mediation analysis was used to investigate the mediating role and magnitude of serum uric acid in the association pathway between the four air pollutants (PM 2.5, PM 10, NO 2, and CO) and atrial fibrillation. Results:The atrial fibrillation group was aged (68.7±11.3) years, with 544 (51.8%) males; the control group was aged (68.5±8.9) years, with 543 (51.7%) males. Multivariate logistic regression models suggested that individual exposure levels of all four air pollutants were associated with the increased risks of atrial fibrillation. Every 1 μg·kg -1·d -1 increased in NO 2 was associated 12.1% increased risk of atrial fibrillation among the individuals ( OR=1.121, 95% CI:1.098-1.144); For every 1 μg·kg -1·d -1 increased in CO, the individual risk of atrial fibrillation increased by 0.7% ( OR=1.007, 95% CI: 1.006-1.008). For each 1 μg·kg -1·d -1 increase in PM 2.5 exposure level, the individual risk of atrial fibrillation increased by 14.2% ( OR=1.142, 95% CI: 1.120-1.164). For each 1 μg·kg -1·d -1 increase in PM 10 exposure level, the individual risk of atrial fibrillation increased by 3.7% ( OR=1.037, 95% CI: 1.028-1.046). The results of the mediation analysis suggested that serum uric acid levels mediated 5.6% ( P=0.032) causal effects of PM 2.5 on atrial fibrillation risks and 7.5% ( P=0.010) mediated by CO. Conclusion:Air pollutant exposure was a risk factor for the development of atrial fibrillation and uric acid mediated the increased risk of atrial fibrillation by PM 2.5 and CO.
9.Value of APTw imaging combined with DCE-MRI quantitative parameters for preoperative assessment of Her-2 gene expression in endometrial cancer
Changjun MA ; Shifeng TIAN ; Qingling SONG ; Lihua CHEN ; Nan WANG ; Qingwei SONG ; Ailian LIU
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2024;58(6):620-626
Objective:To investigate the value of quantitative parameters of amide proton transfer-weighted (APTw) imaging and dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE)-MRI for preoperative assessment of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (Her-2) gene expression in endometrial cancer (EC).Methods:This research conducted a diagnostic pilot study involving 68 patients with pathologically confirmed EC at the First Hospital of Dalian Medical University from August 2019 to August 2023. Patients were categorized into Her-2-positive group (33 cases) and Her-2-negative group (35 cases) based on postoperative Her-2 gene expression results. Utilizing the APTw and DCE-MRI sequences, quantitative parameters including the asymmetric magnetization transfer ratio (MTR asym) for APTw and the volumetric transfer constant (K trans), plasma volume fraction (V p), extracellular mesenchymal space (V e), and rate constant (K ep) for DCE-MRI were acquired for the lesion site. Statistical differences in the values of each quantitative parameter between the two groups were evaluated using two independent sample t test or Mann-Whitney U test. The study incorporated quantitative parameters and clinicopathological data of patients to identify independent predictors of EC Her-2 gene expression through logistic regression analysis. A diagnostic model was developed using binary logistic regression analysis. The effectiveness of the parameters and diagnostic model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves. DeLong test was used to compare the differences between the areas under the curves (AUC). Results:The study found statistically significant differences in MTR asym, K trans, and V e between the Her-2-positive group and the Her-2-negative group ( Z=2.55, P=0.011; t=-2.03, P=0.047; t=-2.13, P=0.037). However, the differences in V p and K ep were not statistically significant ( Z=0.58, P=0.560; Z=0.19, P=0.849). MTR asym emerged as a significant independent predictor of Her-2 gene expression in EC ( OR=1.016, 95% CI 1.003-1.030, P=0.014). Incorporating MTR asym, K trans, and V e, the diagnostic model yielded an AUC (95% CI) of 0.745 (0.625-0.864). The AUC (95% CI) for MTR asym, K trans, and V e alone were 0.680 (0.551-0.808), 0.623 (0.485-0.760), and 0.656 (0.523-0.789) respectively. The differences in AUC between the diagnostic model and individual predictors MTR asym, K trans, and V e were not found to be statistically significant ( Z=1.40, 1.92, 1.37, P=0.163, 0.055, 0.171). Conclusion:The quantitative parameters of APTw and DCE-MRI sequences can preoperatively assess EC Her-2 gene expression from a different perspective, with MTR asym potentially serving as a valuable independent predictor.
10.A multicenter prospective study on early identification of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children
Dan XU ; Ailian ZHANG ; Jishan ZHENG ; Mingwei YE ; Fan LI ; Gencai QIAN ; Hongbo SHI ; Xiaohong JIN ; Lieping HUANG ; Jiangang MEI ; Guohua MEI ; Zhen XU ; Hong FU ; Jianjun LIN ; Hongzhou YE ; Yan ZHENG ; Lingling HUA ; Min YANG ; Jiangmin TONG ; Lingling CHEN ; Yuanyuan ZHANG ; Dehua YANG ; Yunlian ZHOU ; Huiwen LI ; Yinle LAN ; Yulan XU ; Jinyan FENG ; Xing CHEN ; Min GONG ; Zhimin CHEN ; Yingshuo WANG
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2024;62(4):317-322
Objective:To explore potential predictors of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (RMPP) in early stage. Methods:The prospective multicenter study was conducted in Zhejiang, China from May 1 st, 2019 to January 31 st, 2020. A total of 1 428 patients with fever >48 hours to <120 hours were studied. Their clinical data and oral pharyngeal swab samples were collected; Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA in pharyngeal swab specimens was detected. Patients with positive Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA results underwent a series of tests, including chest X-ray, complete blood count, C-reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and procalcitonin. According to the occurrence of RMPP, the patients were divided into two groups, RMPP group and general Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (GMPP) group. Measurement data between the 2 groups were compared using Mann-Whitney U test. Logistic regression analyses were used to examine the associations between clinical data and RMPP. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to analyse the power of the markers for predicting RMPP. Results:A total of 1 428 patients finished the study, with 801 boys and 627 girls, aged 4.3 (2.7, 6.3) years. Mycoplasma pneumoniae DNA was positive in 534 cases (37.4%), of whom 446 cases (83.5%) were diagnosed with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia, including 251 boys and 195 girls, aged 5.2 (3.3, 6.9) years. Macrolides-resistant variation was positive in 410 cases (91.9%). Fifty-five cases were with RMPP, 391 cases with GMPP. The peak body temperature before the first visit and LDH levels in RMPP patients were higher than that in GMPP patients (39.6 (39.1, 40.0) vs. 39.2 (38.9, 39.7) ℃, 333 (279, 392) vs. 311 (259, 359) U/L, both P<0.05). Logistic regression showed the prediction probability π=exp (-29.7+0.667×Peak body temperature (℃)+0.004×LDH (U/L))/(1+exp (-29.7+0.667×Peak body temperature (℃)+0.004 × LDH (U/L))), the cut-off value to predict RMPP was 0.12, with a consensus of probability forecast of 0.89, sensitivity of 0.89, and specificity of 0.67; and the area under ROC curve was 0.682 (95% CI 0.593-0.771, P<0.01). Conclusion:In MPP patients with fever over 48 to <120 hours, a prediction probability π of RMPP can be calculated based on the peak body temperature and LDH level before the first visit, which can facilitate early identification of RMPP.

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