1.Randomized, double-blind, parallel-controlled, multicenter, equivalence clinical trial of Jiuwei Xifeng Granules(Os Draconis replaced by Ostreae Concha) for treating tic disorder in children.
Qiu-Han CAI ; Cheng-Liang ZHONG ; Si-Yuan HU ; Xin-Min LI ; Zhi-Chun XU ; Hui CHEN ; Ying HUA ; Jun-Hong WANG ; Ji-Hong TANG ; Bing-Xiang MA ; Xiu-Xia WANG ; Ai-Zhen WANG ; Meng-Qing WANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Chun WANG ; Yi-Qun TENG ; Yi-Hui SHAN ; Sheng-Xuan GUO
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(6):1699-1705
Jiuwei Xifeng Granules have become a Chinese patent medicine in the market. Because the formula contains Os Draconis, a top-level protected fossil of ancient organisms, the formula was to be improved by replacing Os Draconis with Ostreae Concha. To evaluate whether the improved formula has the same effectiveness and safety as the original formula, a randomized, double-blind, parallel-controlled, equivalence clinical trial was conducted. This study enrolled 288 tic disorder(TD) of children and assigned them into two groups in 1∶1. The treatment group and control group took the modified formula and original formula, respectively. The treatment lasted for 6 weeks, and follow-up visits were conducted at weeks 2, 4, and 6. The primary efficacy endpoint was the difference in Yale global tic severity scale(YGTSS)-total tic severity(TTS) score from baseline after 6 weeks of treatment. The results showed that after 6 weeks of treatment, the declines in YGTSS-TSS score showed no statistically significant difference between the two groups. The difference in YGTSS-TSS score(treatment group-control group) and the 95%CI of the full analysis set(FAS) were-0.17[-1.42, 1.08] and those of per-protocol set(PPS) were 0.29[-0.97, 1.56], which were within the equivalence boundary [-3, 3]. The equivalence test was therefore concluded. The two groups showed no significant differences in the secondary efficacy endpoints of effective rate for TD, total score and factor scores of YGTSS, clinical global impressions-severity(CGI-S) score, traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) response rate, or symptom disappearance rate, and thus a complete evidence chain with the primary outcome was formed. A total of 6 adverse reactions were reported, including 4(2.82%) cases in the treatment group and 2(1.41%) cases in the control group, which showed no statistically significant difference between the two groups. No serious suspected unexpected adverse reactions were reported, and no laboratory test results indicated serious clinically significant abnormalities. The results support the replacement of Os Draconis by Ostreae Concha in the original formula, and the efficacy and safety of the modified formula are consistent with those of the original formula.
Adolescent
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Child
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Child, Preschool
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Double-Blind Method
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
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Tic Disorders/drug therapy*
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Treatment Outcome
2.Expert consensus on the clinical strategies for orthodontic treatment with clear aligners.
Yan WANG ; Hu LONG ; Zhihe ZHAO ; Ding BAI ; Xianglong HAN ; Jun WANG ; Bing FANG ; Zuolin JIN ; Hong HE ; Yuxin BAI ; Weiran LI ; Min HU ; Yanheng ZHOU ; Hong AI ; Yuehua LIU ; Yang CAO ; Jun LIN ; Huang LI ; Jie GUO ; Wenli LAI
International Journal of Oral Science 2025;17(1):19-19
Clear aligner treatment is a novel technique in current orthodontic practice. Distinct from traditional fixed orthodontic appliances, clear aligners have different material features and biomechanical characteristics and treatment efficiencies, presenting new clinical challenges. Therefore, a comprehensive and systematic description of the key clinical aspects of clear aligner treatment is essential to enhance treatment efficacy and facilitate the advancement and wide adoption of this new technique. This expert consensus discusses case selection and grading of treatment difficulty, principle of clear aligner therapy, clinical procedures and potential complications, which are crucial to the clinical success of clear aligner treatment.
Humans
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Consensus
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Orthodontic Appliance Design
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Orthodontic Appliances, Removable
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Tooth Movement Techniques/methods*
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Malocclusion/therapy*
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Orthodontics, Corrective/instrumentation*
3.Study on the Analgesic Effect and Mechanism of Buyang Huanwu Decoction on Diabetic Peripheral Neuropathy Rats
Jing ZHAO ; Jian ZHANG ; Ai-Min HU
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;41(4):1002-1010
Objective To investigate the analgesic effect and mechanism of Buyang Huanwu Decoction on diabetic peripheral neuropathy(DPN)rats.Methods Sixty rats were divided into normal group,model group,low-,medium-and high-dose groups of Chinese medicine,and high-dose + H-89[protein kinase A(PKA)inhibitor]group,with 10 rats in each group.Except for the normal group,rats in all other groups were fed with high-fat and high-sugar chow combined with intraperitoneal injection of streptozotocin(STZ)method to construct DPN model.At the end of drug administration,the foot thermal pain threshold of rats was detected,the motor nerve conduction velocity(MNCV)and sensory nerve conduction velocity(SNCV)of rats was measured,the intraepidermal nerve fiber(IENF)in the epidermis was observed by immunohistochemistry,and serum fasting insulin(FINS),total cholesterol(TC),triglyceride(TG),low-density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C),high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C),insulin resistance index(HOMA-IR),and the interleukin(IL)-1β,IL-6,tumor necrosis factor α(TNF-α),vascular endothelial growth factor(VEGF),angiopoietin 1(Ang-1),CD34 levels,cyclic adenosine monophosphate(cAMP)concentration in the sciatic nerve tissues were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA),and Western Blot assay to detect the PKA and the carbohydrate responsive element binding(CREB)in the sciatic nerve tissues.Results Compared with the normal group,foot thermal pain threshold,TC,TG,LDL-C,HOMA-IR,IL-1β,IL-6 and TNF-α levels were significantly increased in the model group(P<0.05),HDL-C,FINS,VEGF,Ang-1,CD34,IENF,MNCV and SNCV values,cAMP concentration levels,PKA and CREB phosphorylation levels were significantly reduced(P<0.05).Compared with the model group,the above indexes were significantly improved in the low-,medium-and high-dose groups of Chinese medicine(P<0.05)in a dose-dependent manner.Compared with the Chinese medicine high-dose + H-89 group,all the indexes were reversed in the Chinese medicine high-dose group.Conclusion Buyang Huanwu Decoction can improve insulin resistance and lipid metabolism,reduce limb pain,improve local microcirculation disorder,and protect nerve function in DPN rats,which reflects the therapeutic characteristics of"activating blood circulation and relieving pain".The pain-relieving effect of Buyang Huanwu Decoction may be related to the improvement of local microcirculation,inhibition of inflammatory factor release and regulation of cAMP/PKA/CREB signaling pathway protein expression.
4.A multi-center epidemiological study on pneumococcal meningitis in children from 2019 to 2020
Cai-Yun WANG ; Hong-Mei XU ; Gang LIU ; Jing LIU ; Hui YU ; Bi-Quan CHEN ; Guo ZHENG ; Min SHU ; Li-Jun DU ; Zhi-Wei XU ; Li-Su HUANG ; Hai-Bo LI ; Dong WANG ; Song-Ting BAI ; Qing-Wen SHAN ; Chun-Hui ZHU ; Jian-Mei TIAN ; Jian-Hua HAO ; Ai-Wei LIN ; Dao-Jiong LIN ; Jin-Zhun WU ; Xin-Hua ZHANG ; Qing CAO ; Zhong-Bin TAO ; Yuan CHEN ; Guo-Long ZHU ; Ping XUE ; Zheng-Zhen TANG ; Xue-Wen SU ; Zheng-Hai QU ; Shi-Yong ZHAO ; Lin PANG ; Hui-Ling DENG ; Sai-Nan SHU ; Ying-Hu CHEN
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(2):131-138
Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics and prognosis of pneumococcal meningitis(PM),and drug sensitivity of Streptococcus pneumoniae(SP)isolates in Chinese children.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical information,laboratory data,and microbiological data of 160 hospitalized children under 15 years old with PM from January 2019 to December 2020 in 33 tertiary hospitals across the country.Results Among the 160 children with PM,there were 103 males and 57 females.The age ranged from 15 days to 15 years,with 109 cases(68.1% )aged 3 months to under 3 years.SP strains were isolated from 95 cases(59.4% )in cerebrospinal fluid cultures and from 57 cases(35.6% )in blood cultures.The positive rates of SP detection by cerebrospinal fluid metagenomic next-generation sequencing and cerebrospinal fluid SP antigen testing were 40% (35/87)and 27% (21/78),respectively.Fifty-five cases(34.4% )had one or more risk factors for purulent meningitis,113 cases(70.6% )had one or more extra-cranial infectious foci,and 18 cases(11.3% )had underlying diseases.The most common clinical symptoms were fever(147 cases,91.9% ),followed by lethargy(98 cases,61.3% )and vomiting(61 cases,38.1% ).Sixty-nine cases(43.1% )experienced intracranial complications during hospitalization,with subdural effusion and/or empyema being the most common complication[43 cases(26.9% )],followed by hydrocephalus in 24 cases(15.0% ),brain abscess in 23 cases(14.4% ),and cerebral hemorrhage in 8 cases(5.0% ).Subdural effusion and/or empyema and hydrocephalus mainly occurred in children under 1 year old,with rates of 91% (39/43)and 83% (20/24),respectively.SP strains exhibited complete sensitivity to vancomycin(100% ,75/75),linezolid(100% ,56/56),and meropenem(100% ,6/6).High sensitivity rates were also observed for levofloxacin(81% ,22/27),moxifloxacin(82% ,14/17),rifampicin(96% ,25/26),and chloramphenicol(91% ,21/23).However,low sensitivity rates were found for penicillin(16% ,11/68)and clindamycin(6% ,1/17),and SP strains were completely resistant to erythromycin(100% ,31/31).The rates of discharge with cure and improvement were 22.5% (36/160)and 66.2% (106/160),respectively,while 18 cases(11.3% )had adverse outcomes.Conclusions Pediatric PM is more common in children aged 3 months to under 3 years.Intracranial complications are more frequently observed in children under 1 year old.Fever is the most common clinical manifestation of PM,and subdural effusion/emphysema and hydrocephalus are the most frequent complications.Non-culture detection methods for cerebrospinal fluid can improve pathogen detection rates.Adverse outcomes can be noted in more than 10% of PM cases.SP strains are high sensitivity to vancomycin,linezolid,meropenem,levofloxacin,moxifloxacin,rifampicin,and chloramphenicol.[Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics,2024,26(2):131-138]
5.Influencing factors for surgical site infection after gastrointestinal perfora-tion repair surgery:analysis based on decision tree and logistic regression model
Deng-Min HU ; Run XU ; Jian LI ; Yu AI
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(7):826-832
Objective To analyze the influencing factors for surgical site infection(SSI)after gastrointestinal per-foration repair surgery by decision tree and logistic regression model.Methods Patients who underwent gastroin-testinal perforation repair surgery at a hospital of Mianyang City from January 2018 to January 2023 were selected as the research subjects.Clinical data of the patients were collected.Patients were divided into the SSI(+)group(n-41)and the SSI(-)group(n-322)based on whether SSI occurred after surgery.Influencing factors for SSI after gastrointestinal perforation repair surgery were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression.Re-levant decision tree prediction model was constructed.Results Among the 363 patients who underwent gastrointes-tinal perforation repair surgery,41 developed postoperative SSI,with an incidence of 11.29%.Univariate analysis results showed that there were statistically significant differences between two groups of patients in body mass index(BMI),albumin level,preoperative antimicrobial use,duration of preoperative abdominal pain,and duration of sur-gery(all P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that higher BMI(OR=2.059,95%CI:1.103-3.842),albumin levels<35 g/L(OR=2.761,95%CI:1.312-5.811),duration of preoperative abdominal pain≥24 hours(OR=3.589,95%CI:1.659-7.763),and duration of surgery ≥2 hours(OR=3.314,95%CI:1.477-7.435)were independent risk factors for postoperative SSI in patients after gastrointestinal perforation re-pair surgery(P<0.05),while preoperative antimicrobial use was a protective factor(OR=0.338,95%CI:0.166-0.690,P<0.05).The decision tree model based on the above factors was constructed to predict the risk of SSI in patients after gastrointestinal perforation repair surgery.Validation of the model showed that the area under the re-ceiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve(AUC)was 0.811(95%CI:0.794-0.825).Conclusion The risk factors for postoperative SSI in patients after gastrointestinal perforation repair surgery include high BMI,albumin level<35 g/L,duration of preoperative abdominal pain ≥24 hours,and duration of surgery ≥2 hours.The pro-tective factor is antimicrobial use before surgery.The decision tree model constructed based on the influencing factors has good predictive ability for the risk of postoperative SSI in patients after gastrointestinal perforation repair surgery.
6.Surveillance of bacterial resistance in tertiary hospitals across China:results of CHINET Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Program in 2022
Yan GUO ; Fupin HU ; Demei ZHU ; Fu WANG ; Xiaofei JIANG ; Yingchun XU ; Xiaojiang ZHANG ; Fengbo ZHANG ; Ping JI ; Yi XIE ; Yuling XIAO ; Chuanqing WANG ; Pan FU ; Yuanhong XU ; Ying HUANG ; Ziyong SUN ; Zhongju CHEN ; Jingyong SUN ; Qing CHEN ; Yunzhuo CHU ; Sufei TIAN ; Zhidong HU ; Jin LI ; Yunsong YU ; Jie LIN ; Bin SHAN ; Yunmin XU ; Sufang GUO ; Yanyan WANG ; Lianhua WEI ; Keke LI ; Hong ZHANG ; Fen PAN ; Yunjian HU ; Xiaoman AI ; Chao ZHUO ; Danhong SU ; Dawen GUO ; Jinying ZHAO ; Hua YU ; Xiangning HUANG ; Wen'en LIU ; Yanming LI ; Yan JIN ; Chunhong SHAO ; Xuesong XU ; Wei LI ; Shanmei WANG ; Yafei CHU ; Lixia ZHANG ; Juan MA ; Shuping ZHOU ; Yan ZHOU ; Lei ZHU ; Jinhua MENG ; Fang DONG ; Zhiyong LÜ ; Fangfang HU ; Han SHEN ; Wanqing ZHOU ; Wei JIA ; Gang LI ; Jinsong WU ; Yuemei LU ; Jihong LI ; Qian SUN ; Jinju DUAN ; Jianbang KANG ; Xiaobo MA ; Yanqing ZHENG ; Ruyi GUO ; Yan ZHU ; Yunsheng CHEN ; Qing MENG ; Shifu WANG ; Xuefei HU ; Wenhui HUANG ; Juan LI ; Quangui SHI ; Juan YANG ; Abulimiti REZIWAGULI ; Lili HUANG ; Xuejun SHAO ; Xiaoyan REN ; Dong LI ; Qun ZHANG ; Xue CHEN ; Rihai LI ; Jieli XU ; Kaijie GAO ; Lu XU ; Lin LIN ; Zhuo ZHANG ; Jianlong LIU ; Min FU ; Yinghui GUO ; Wenchao ZHANG ; Zengguo WANG ; Kai JIA ; Yun XIA ; Shan SUN ; Huimin YANG ; Yan MIAO ; Mingming ZHOU ; Shihai ZHANG ; Hongjuan LIU ; Nan CHEN ; Chan LI ; Jilu SHEN ; Wanqi MEN ; Peng WANG ; Xiaowei ZHANG ; Yanyan LIU ; Yong AN
Chinese Journal of Infection and Chemotherapy 2024;24(3):277-286
Objective To monitor the susceptibility of clinical isolates to antimicrobial agents in tertiary hospitals in major regions of China in 2022.Methods Clinical isolates from 58 hospitals in China were tested for antimicrobial susceptibility using a unified protocol based on disc diffusion method or automated testing systems.Results were interpreted using the 2022 Clinical &Laboratory Standards Institute(CLSI)breakpoints.Results A total of 318 013 clinical isolates were collected from January 1,2022 to December 31,2022,of which 29.5%were gram-positive and 70.5%were gram-negative.The prevalence of methicillin-resistant strains in Staphylococcus aureus,Staphylococcus epidermidis and other coagulase-negative Staphylococcus species(excluding Staphylococcus pseudintermedius and Staphylococcus schleiferi)was 28.3%,76.7%and 77.9%,respectively.Overall,94.0%of MRSA strains were susceptible to trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole and 90.8%of MRSE strains were susceptible to rifampicin.No vancomycin-resistant strains were found.Enterococcus faecalis showed significantly lower resistance rates to most antimicrobial agents tested than Enterococcus faecium.A few vancomycin-resistant strains were identified in both E.faecalis and E.faecium.The prevalence of penicillin-susceptible Streptococcus pneumoniae was 94.2%in the isolates from children and 95.7%in the isolates from adults.The resistance rate to carbapenems was lower than 13.1%in most Enterobacterales species except for Klebsiella,21.7%-23.1%of which were resistant to carbapenems.Most Enterobacterales isolates were highly susceptible to tigecycline,colistin and polymyxin B,with resistance rates ranging from 0.1%to 13.3%.The prevalence of meropenem-resistant strains decreased from 23.5%in 2019 to 18.0%in 2022 in Pseudomonas aeruginosa,and decreased from 79.0%in 2019 to 72.5%in 2022 in Acinetobacter baumannii.Conclusions The resistance of clinical isolates to the commonly used antimicrobial agents is still increasing in tertiary hospitals.However,the prevalence of important carbapenem-resistant organisms such as carbapenem-resistant K.pneumoniae,P.aeruginosa,and A.baumannii showed a downward trend in recent years.This finding suggests that the strategy of combining antimicrobial resistance surveillance with multidisciplinary concerted action works well in curbing the spread of resistant bacteria.
7.Triaging patients in the outbreak of COVID-2019
Guo-Qing HUANG ; Wei-Qian ZENG ; Wen-Bo WANG ; Yan-Min SONG ; Xiao-Ye MO ; Jia LI ; Ping WU ; Ruo-Long WANG ; Fang-Yi ZHOU ; Jing WU ; Bin YI ; Zeng XIONG ; Lu ZHOU ; Fan-Qi WANG ; Yang-Jing TIAN ; Wen-Bao HU ; Xia XU ; Kai YUAN ; Xiang-Min LI ; Xin-Jian QIU ; Jian QIU ; Ai-Min WANG
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2023;22(3):295-303
In the outbreak of COVID-19,triage procedures based on epidemiology were implemented in a local hospital in Changsha to control the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and avoid healthcare-associated infection.This re-trospective study analyzed the data collected during the triage period and found that COVID-19 patients were en-riched 7 folds into the Section A designated for patients with obvious epidemiological history.On the other side,nearly triple amounts of visits were received at the Section B for patients without obvious epidemiological history.8 COVID-19 cases were spotted out of 247 suspected patients.More than 50%of the suspected patients were submi-tted to multiple rounds of nucleic acid analysis for SARS-CoV-2 infection.Of the 239 patients who were diagnosed as negative of the virus infection,188 were successfully revisited and none was reported as COVID-19 case.Of the 8 COVID-19 patients,3 were confirmed only after multiple rounds of nucleic acid analysis.Besides comorbidities,delayed sharing of epidemiological history added complexity to the diagnosis in practice.The triaging experience and strategy will be helpful for the control of infectious diseases in the future.
8.Epidemiologic characteristics and influencing factors of influenza outbreaks in Guangdong Province, 2015-2022.
Ya Li ZHUANG ; Jie LU ; Shu Kai WU ; Zhan Hui ZHANG ; Zhi Mei WEI ; Yi Hong LI ; Ting HU ; Min KANG ; Ai Ping DENG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(6):942-948
Objective: To grasp the epidemiological characteristics of influenza outbreaks in Guangdong Province by analyzing the outbreaks of influenza-like cases reported in Guangdong Province from January 2015 to the end of August 2022. Methods: In response to the outbreak of epidemics in Guangdong Province from 2015 to 2022, information on on-site epidemic control was collected, and epidemiological analysis was conducted to describe the characteristics of the epidemics. The factors that influence the intensity and duration of the outbreak were determined through a logistic regression model. Results: A total of 1 901 influenza outbreaks were reported in Guangdong Province, with an overall incidence of 2.05%. Most outbreak reports occurred from November to January of the following year (50.24%, 955/1 901) and from April to June (29.88%, 568/1 901). A total of 59.23% (1 126/1 901) of the outbreaks were reported in the Pearl River Delta region, and primary and secondary schools were the main places where outbreaks occurred (88.01%, 1 673/1 901). Outbreaks with 10-29 cases were the most common (66.18%, 1 258/1 901), and most outbreaks lasted less than seven days (50.93%,906/1 779). The size of the outbreak was related to the nursery school (aOR=0.38, 95%CI:0.15-0.93), the Pearl River Delta region (aOR=0.60, 95%CI:0.44-0.83), the time interval between the onset of the first case and the time of report (>7 days compared with ≤3 days: aOR=3.01, 95%CI:1.84-4.90), the influenza A(H1N1) (aOR=2.02, 95%CI:1.15-3.55) and the influenza B (Yamagata) (aOR=2.94, 95%CI: 1.50-5.76). The duration of outbreaks was related to school closures (aOR=0.65, 95%CI: 0.47-0.89), the Pearl River Delta region (aOR=0.65, 95%CI: 0.50-0.83) and the time interval between the onset of the first case and the time of report (>7 days compared with ≤3 days: aOR=13.33, 95%CI: 8.80-20.19; 4-7 days compared with ≤3 days: aOR=2.56, 95%CI: 1.81-3.61). Conclusions: An influenza outbreak in Guangdong Province exhibits two peaks, one in the winter and spring seasons and the other in the summer. Primary and secondary schools are high-risk areas, and early reporting of outbreaks is critical for controlling influenza outbreaks in schools. Furthermore, comprehensive measures should be taken to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
Humans
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Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype
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Influenza, Human/epidemiology*
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Disease Outbreaks
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Epidemics
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China/epidemiology*
9.The value of preoperative MRI in predicting the pathological response of breast cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy
Qilan HU ; Min HUO ; Yiqi HU ; Litong HE ; Caili TANG ; Yanjin QIN ; Tao AI
Journal of Practical Radiology 2023;39(12):1962-1966
Objective To evaluate the performance of MRI in predicting pathological response of different breast cancer subtypes after neoadjuvant chemotherapy(NAC).Methods The MRI images and postoperative pathological results of 91 patients with breast cancer after NAC were analyzed retrospectively.The correlation between the imaging features of different molecular subtypes of breast cancer and postoperative pathological results was studied,and the diagnostic performance of MRI in predicting pathological response after NAC was evaluated,with postoperative pathological results referred as the diagnostic standard.Results Of 91 patients,27(29.7%)and 35(38.5%)cases were diagnosed as imaging complete response(iCR)and pathological complete response(pCR),respectively.The accuracy of MRI in predicting pathological response after NAC was 84.62%,with 94.64%sensitivity,68.57%specificity,and positive predictive value(PPV)and negative predictive value(NPV)of 82.81%and 88.89%,respectively.Conclusion MRI can accurately predict the pathological response of the human epidermal growth factor receptor-2(HER-2)+and triple-negative breast cancer after NAC.
10.Course of disease and related epidemiological parameters of COVID-19: a prospective study based on contact tracing cohort.
Yan ZHOU ; Wen Jia LIANG ; Zi Hui CHEN ; Tao LIU ; Tie SONG ; Shao Wei CHEN ; Ping WANG ; Jia Ling LI ; Yun Hua LAN ; Ming Ji CHENG ; Jin Xu HUANG ; Ji Wei NIU ; Jian Peng XIAO ; Jian Xiong HU ; Li Feng LIN ; Qiong HUANG ; Ai Ping DENG ; Xiao Hua TAN ; Min KANG ; Gui Min CHEN ; Mo Ran DONG ; Hao Jie ZHONG ; Wen Jun MA
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2022;56(4):474-478
Objective: To analyze the course of disease and epidemiological parameters of COVID-19 and provide evidence for making prevention and control strategies. Methods: To display the distribution of course of disease of the infectors who had close contacts with COVID-19 cases from January 1 to March 15, 2020 in Guangdong Provincial, the models of Lognormal, Weibull and gamma distribution were applied. A descriptive analysis was conducted on the basic characteristics and epidemiological parameters of course of disease. Results: In total, 515 of 11 580 close contacts were infected, with an attack rate about 4.4%, including 449 confirmed cases and 66 asymptomatic cases. Lognormal distribution was fitting best for latent period, incubation period, pre-symptomatic infection period of confirmed cases and infection period of asymptomatic cases; Gamma distribution was fitting best for infectious period and clinical symptom period of confirmed cases; Weibull distribution was fitting best for latent period of asymptomatic cases. The latent period, incubation period, pre-symptomatic infection period, infectious period and clinical symptoms period of confirmed cases were 4.50 (95%CI:3.86-5.13) days, 5.12 (95%CI:4.63-5.62) days, 0.87 (95%CI:0.67-1.07) days, 11.89 (95%CI:9.81-13.98) days and 22.00 (95%CI:21.24-22.77) days, respectively. The latent period and infectious period of asymptomatic cases were 8.88 (95%CI:6.89-10.86) days and 6.18 (95%CI:1.89-10.47) days, respectively. Conclusion: The estimated course of COVID-19 and related epidemiological parameters are similar to the existing data.
COVID-19
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Cohort Studies
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Contact Tracing
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Humans
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Incidence
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Prospective Studies

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