1.Guideline for clinical comprehensive evaluation of Chinese patent medicine (2022 version).
Wei-An YUAN ; Jun-Hua ZHANG ; Jian-Ping LIU ; Zhong-Qi YANG ; Jun-Ling CAO ; Xing LIAO ; Xiao-Yu XI ; Mei HAN ; Wen-Yuan LI ; Zhen-Wen QIU ; Shi-Yin FENG ; Yuan-Yuan GUO ; Lu-Jia CAO ; Xiao-Hong LIAO ; Yan-Ling AI ; Ju HUANG ; Lu-Lu JIA ; Xiang-Fei SU ; Xue WU ; Ze-Qi DAI ; Ji-Hua GUO ; Bing-Qing LU ; Xiao-Xiao ZHANG ; Jian-Yuan TANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2023;48(1):256-264
Currently,the research or publications related to the clinical comprehensive evaluation of Chinese patent medicine are increasing,which attracts the broad attention of all circles. According to the completed clinical evaluation report on Chinese patent medicine,there are still practical problems and technical difficulties such as unclear responsibility of the evaluation organization,unclear evaluation subject,miscellaneous evaluation objects,and incomplete and nonstandard evaluation process. In terms of evaluation standards and specifications,there are different types of specifications or guidelines with different emphases issued by different academic groups or relevant institutions. The professional guideline is required to guide the standardized and efficient clinical comprehensive evaluation of Chinese patent medicine and further improve the authority and quality of evaluation. In combination with the characteristics of Chinese patent medicine and the latest research achievement at home and abroad,the detailed specifications were formulated from six aspects including design,theme selection,content and index,outcome,application and appraisal,and quality control. The guideline was developed based on the guideline development requirements of China Assoication of Chinese medicine. After several rounds of expert consensus and public consultation,the current version of the guideline has been developed.
Medicine, Chinese Traditional
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Nonprescription Drugs
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Consensus
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China
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Reference Standards
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal
2.Effect and safety of 10-day decitabine-containing conditioning regimen for allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in 31 patients with acute myeloid leukemia/myelodysplastic syndrome.
Jia LIU ; Yi Geng CAO ; Rong Li ZHANG ; Wei Hua ZHAI ; Xin CHEN ; Qiao Ling MA ; Ai Ming PANG ; Dong Lin YANG ; Jia Lin WEI ; Yi HE ; Si Zhou FENG ; Ming Zhe HAN ; Er Lie JIANG
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2023;44(6):472-478
Objective: To investigate the early effect and safety of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) with a 10-day decitabine-containing conditioning regimen in the treatment of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) /myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) . Methods: From April 2021 to May 2022, 31 AML/MDS patients who received allo-HSCT with a 10-day decitabine-containing conditioning regimen were analyzed. Results: AML (n=10), MDS-AML (n=6), CMML-AML (n=1), and MDS (n=14) were identified in 31 patients, 16 males, and 15 females, with a median age of 41 (20-55) yr. Neutrophils and platelets were successfully implanted in 31 patients (100%), with a median implantation duration of 12 (9-30) and 14 (9-42) days, respectively. During the preconditioning period, 16 patients (51.6%) developed oral mucositis, with 15 cases of Ⅰ/Ⅱ grade (48.4%) and one case of Ⅲ grade (3.2%). After transplantation, 13 patients (41.9%) developed CMV viremia, six patients (19.4%) developed hemorrhagic cystitis, and four patients (12.9%) developed a local infection. The median time of acute graft versus host disease (aGVHD) following transplantation was 33 (12-111) days. The cumulative incidence of aGVHD and Ⅲ/Ⅳ grade aGVHD was 41.9% (95% CI 26.9%-61.0%) and 22.9% (95% CI 13.5%-47.5%), respectively. There was no severe cGVHD, and mild and moderate chronic GVHD (cGVHD) incidence was 23.5% (95% CI 12.1%-43.6%). As of November 30, 2022, only one of the 31 patients had relapsed, with a 1-yr cumulative relapse rate (CIR) of 3.2% (95% CI 0.5%-20.7%). There was only one relapse patient death and no non-relapse deaths. The 1-yr overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates were 92.9% (95% CI 80.3%-100%) and 96.8% (95% CI 90.8%-100%), respectively. Conclusions: A 10-day decitabine-containing conditioning regimen for allo-HSCT reduced relapse and was safe and feasible in treating AML/MDS.
Male
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Female
;
Humans
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Decitabine
;
Myelodysplastic Syndromes/therapy*
;
Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/complications*
;
Disease-Free Survival
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Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/adverse effects*
;
Recurrence
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Chronic Disease
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Graft vs Host Disease/etiology*
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Transplantation Conditioning/adverse effects*
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Bronchiolitis Obliterans Syndrome
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Retrospective Studies
3.Efficacy and safety of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in the treatment of 28 patients with hepatitis-related aplastic anemia.
Yan WANG ; Jia LI ; Ai Ming PANG ; Dong Lin YANG ; Xin CHEN ; Rong Li ZHANG ; Jia Lin WEI ; Qiao Ling MA ; Wei Hua ZHAI ; Yi HE ; Er Lie JIANG ; Ming Zhe HAN ; Si Zhou FENG
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2023;44(8):628-634
Objective: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of HLA-haploidentical hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) for hepatitis-related aplastic anemia (HRAA) patients. Methods: Retrospective analysis was performed on hepatitis-associated aplastic anemia patients who received haplo-HSCT at our center between January 2012 and June 2022. October 30, 2022 was the final date of follow-up. Results: This study included 28 HRAA patients receiving allo-HSCT, including 18 males (64.3% ) and 10 females (35.7% ), with a median age of 25.5 (9-44) years. About 17 cases of severe aplastic anemia (SAA), 10 cases of very severe aplastic anemia (VSAA), and 1 case of transfusion-dependent aplastic anemia (TD-NSAA) were identified. Among 28 patients, 15 patients received haplo-HSCT, and 13 received MSD-HSCT. The 2-year overall survival (OS) rate, the 2-year failure-free survival (FFS) rate, the 2-year transplant-related mortality (TRM) rate, the 100-day grade Ⅱ-Ⅳ acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) cumulative incidence rate, and the 2-year chronic graft-versus-host disease (cGVHD) cumulative incidence rate were 81.4%, 81.4% (95% CI 10.5% -20.6% ), 14.6% (95% CI 5.7% -34.3% ), 25.0% (95% CI 12.8% -45.4% ), and 4.2% (95% CI 0.6% -25.4% ), respectively. After transplantation, all patients had no significant liver function damage. Compared with the MSD-HSCT group, only the incidence of cytomegaloviremia was significantly higher in the haplo-HSCT group [60.0% (95% CI 35.2% -84.8% ) vs 7.7% (95% CI 0-22.2% ), P=0.004]. No statistically significant difference in the Epstein-Barr virus was found in the 2-year OS, 2-year FFS, 2-year TRM, and 100-day grade Ⅱ-Ⅳ aGVHD cumulative incidence rates and 2-year cGVHD cumulative incidence rate. Conclusion: Allo-HSCT is safe and effective for HRAA, and haplo-HSCT can be used as a safe and effective alternative for newly diagnosed HRAA patients who cannot obtain HLA-matched sibling donors.
Male
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Female
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Humans
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Adult
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Treatment Outcome
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Anemia, Aplastic/therapy*
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Retrospective Studies
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Epstein-Barr Virus Infections
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Herpesvirus 4, Human
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Graft vs Host Disease/etiology*
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Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/adverse effects*
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Hepatitis/etiology*
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Bronchiolitis Obliterans Syndrome
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Transplantation Conditioning
4.Incidence and related factors of antiviral drug resistance in HIV-infected pregnant and postpartum women in some areas of three western provinces of China from 2017 to 2019.
He SUN ; Ai Ling WANG ; Jun YAO ; Jia Rui ZHENG ; Qing Hua QIN ; Wu Li SHA ; Xiao Yan WANG ; Ya GAO ; Zhen LI ; Dong Xu HUANG ; Qian WANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57(11):1788-1793
Objective: To analyze the incidence and related factors of drug resistance in HIV-infected pregnant and postpartum women in some areas of three western provinces of China from 2017 to 2019. Methods: From April 2017 to April 2019, face-to-face questionnaires and blood sample testing were conducted in all health care institutions providing maternal and perinatal care and midwifery-assisted services in 7 prevention of mother-to-child transmissi project areas in Xinjiang, Yunnan and Guangxi provinces/autonomous regions. Information was collected during the perinatal period and viral load, CD4+T lymphocytes and drug resistance genes were detected at the same time. The multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze the relationship between different factors and drug resistance in HIV-infected pregnant and postpartum women. Results: A total of 655 HIV-infected pregnant and postpartum women were included in this study. The incidence of drug resistance was 3.4% (22/655), all of whom were cross-drug resistant. The rate of low, moderate and high drug resistance was 2.1% (14/655), 1.2% (8/655) and 0.8% (5/655), respectively. The drug resistance rate in the people who had previously used antiviral drugs was 1.9% (8/418), and the drug resistance rate in the people who had not used drugs was 5.9% (14/237). The NNRTI drug resistance accounted for 2.8% (18/655) and the NRTI drug resistance rate was 2.5% (16/655). The multivariate logistic regression model showed that the risk of HIV resistance was lower in pregnant women who had previously used antiviral drugs (OR=0.32, 95%CI: 0.11-0.76). Conclusion: Strengthening the management of antiviral drug use and focusing on pregnant and postpartum women who have not previously used antiviral drugs can help reduce the occurrence of drug-resistant mutations. Personalized antiviral therapy should be considered to achieve viral inhibition effects in clinical practice.
Female
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Humans
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Pregnancy
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HIV Infections/drug therapy*
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Incidence
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China/epidemiology*
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Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical/prevention & control*
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Postpartum Period
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Drug Resistance, Viral/genetics*
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Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use*
5.Incidence and related factors of antiviral drug resistance in HIV-infected pregnant and postpartum women in some areas of three western provinces of China from 2017 to 2019.
He SUN ; Ai Ling WANG ; Jun YAO ; Jia Rui ZHENG ; Qing Hua QIN ; Wu Li SHA ; Xiao Yan WANG ; Ya GAO ; Zhen LI ; Dong Xu HUANG ; Qian WANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57(11):1788-1793
Objective: To analyze the incidence and related factors of drug resistance in HIV-infected pregnant and postpartum women in some areas of three western provinces of China from 2017 to 2019. Methods: From April 2017 to April 2019, face-to-face questionnaires and blood sample testing were conducted in all health care institutions providing maternal and perinatal care and midwifery-assisted services in 7 prevention of mother-to-child transmissi project areas in Xinjiang, Yunnan and Guangxi provinces/autonomous regions. Information was collected during the perinatal period and viral load, CD4+T lymphocytes and drug resistance genes were detected at the same time. The multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze the relationship between different factors and drug resistance in HIV-infected pregnant and postpartum women. Results: A total of 655 HIV-infected pregnant and postpartum women were included in this study. The incidence of drug resistance was 3.4% (22/655), all of whom were cross-drug resistant. The rate of low, moderate and high drug resistance was 2.1% (14/655), 1.2% (8/655) and 0.8% (5/655), respectively. The drug resistance rate in the people who had previously used antiviral drugs was 1.9% (8/418), and the drug resistance rate in the people who had not used drugs was 5.9% (14/237). The NNRTI drug resistance accounted for 2.8% (18/655) and the NRTI drug resistance rate was 2.5% (16/655). The multivariate logistic regression model showed that the risk of HIV resistance was lower in pregnant women who had previously used antiviral drugs (OR=0.32, 95%CI: 0.11-0.76). Conclusion: Strengthening the management of antiviral drug use and focusing on pregnant and postpartum women who have not previously used antiviral drugs can help reduce the occurrence of drug-resistant mutations. Personalized antiviral therapy should be considered to achieve viral inhibition effects in clinical practice.
Female
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Humans
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Pregnancy
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HIV Infections/drug therapy*
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Incidence
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China/epidemiology*
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Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical/prevention & control*
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Postpartum Period
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Drug Resistance, Viral/genetics*
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Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use*
6. Betulinic Acid Improves Cardiac Function in Septic Rats Through AKT / mTOR and AKT / AMPK -modulated Autophagy
Xiang-Fei MENG ; Xin-Ru ZHOU ; Jing HUANG ; Meng-Yuan CHEN ; Li-Juan LIU ; Lu-Jia SHI ; Ci-Ai CHEN ; Ling-Bo QIAN
Chinese Journal of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology 2023;39(6):840-847
Betulinic acid (BA) exerts protective effects on organs in septic animals. However, whether BA can improve cardiac function in sepsis and the underlying mechanism remain unclear. Here, male Sprague-Dawley rats were pretreated with BA (25 mg/ kg/ d, i. g.) for 5 days and then intraperitoneally injected with lipopolysaccharide (LPS, 10 mg/ kg). The rats were anesthetized to determine transthoracic echocardiography using a high-resolution imaging system for small animals after they were treated with LPS for 6 h. Histopathologic alterations were examined by HE staining. Myocardial injury markers (cTnI and CK-MB) and inflammatory factors (TNF-α, IL-1β and IL-6) in the serum were measured by the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Autophagy-related proteins (p62 and LC3 Ⅱ) and AKT-modulated autophagy pathways in the myocardium were determined by Western blotting. Pretreatment with BA markedly improved left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) and fraction shortening (FS) (P<0. 05), improved myocardial histomorphology, and significantly inhibited cTnI, CK-MB, TNF-α, IL-1β and IL-6 (P<0. 05) in the septic rat serum. BA markedly decreased p62 (P<0. 01), increased LC3 Ⅱ (P< 0. 001), and significantly down-regulated p-AKT (Thr308), p-AMPKα (Ser485/ 491), p-mTOR (Ser2448) and p-S6K (Thr389) (P<0. 05), while markedly up-regulated p-AMPKα (Thr172) and pULK1 (Ser317) (P<0. 01) in septic rat hearts. The findings indicate that BA can attenuate sepsis-induced myocardial dysfunctions associated with down-regulating autophagy inhibiting pathways mediated by AKT/ mTOR and AKT/ AMPK pathways.
7.Effect of Ethyl Acetate Extract of Acanthopanacis Senticosi Radix et Rhizoma seu Caulis on Intestinal Flora in ApoE-/- Mice with Atherosclerosis
Ai-ling JIA ; Yu-hang ZHANG ; Yuan-yuan DIAO ; Yu-wen SHI ; Meng-cheng JIANG ; Jun-ge LI ; Ye QIU ; Zhi-dong QIU ; Chao-mei FU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2022;28(5):108-115
ObjectiveTo observe the effect of ethyl acetate extract of Acanthopanacis Senticosi Radix et Rhizoma seu Caulis on high-fat diet-induced apolipoprotein E gene knockout (ApoE-/-) mice, and explore its mechanism of treating atherosclerosis by regulating intestinal flora. MethodThirty-two 8-week-old male ApoE-/- mice were randomly divided into model group, rosuvastatin group (10 mg·kg-1), high-, low-dose groups of ethyl acetate extract of Acanthopanacis Senticosi Radix et Rhizoma seu Caulis (75, 25 mg·kg-1), with 8 mice in each group. Eight C57BL/6 mice were used as blank group. After 8 weeks of continuous administration, blood was taken to determine the blood lipid level. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was used to detect the contents of related indexes in serum of mice. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to observe the formation of aortic plaque in mice. Cecal contents were collected and 16S rRNA amplicon sequencing was used to detect intestinal flora. ResultCompared with the blank group, the plaque area of the model group was significantly increased with inflammatory infiltration, the contents of triglyceride (TG), total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), inflammatory factors and inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS) were increased, while the content of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) was decreased. Compared with the model group, rosuvastatin group and high- and low-dose groups of ethyl acetate extract of Acanthopanacis Senticosi Radix et Rhizoma seu Caulis could improve the deposition of aortic plaque, reduce the contents of TG, TC, LDL-C, inflammatory factors and iNOS, and increase the content of HDL-C. Compared with the blank group, the relative abundances of Firmicutes and Proteobacteria in the model group increased, while the relative abundance of Bacteroidetes decreased. Alpha and Beta diversity analysis showed that samples of each group could be significantly isolated, and the total number and abundance of intestinal flora species in the model group were low. Compared with the model group, ethyl acetate extract of Acanthopanacis Senticosi Radix et Rhizoma seu Caulis could increase the relative abundance of beneficial bacteria and decrease the relative abundance of pathogenic bacteria. ConclusionEthyl acetate extract of Acanthopanacis Senticosi Radix et Rhizoma seu Caulis was mainly composed of flavonoids, which can treat atherosclerosis by regulating the intestinal flora and improve the pathological changes in the aorta of ApoE-/- mice induced by high-fat diet. The mechanism may be related to its ability to reduce the level of inflammatory factors, improve antioxidant capacity and repair the disorder of intestinal flora structure.
8.Bear bile powder attenuates senecionine-induced hepatic sinusoidal obstruction syndrome in mice.
Kai-Yuan JIANG ; Yi ZHANG ; Xuan-Ling YE ; Fen XIONG ; Yan CHEN ; Xia-Li JIA ; Yi-Xin ZHANG ; Li YANG ; Ai-Zhen XIONG ; Zheng-Tao WANG
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2022;20(4):270-281
Hepatic sinusoidal obstruction syndrome (HSOS) via exposure to pyrrolizidine alkaloids (PAs) is with high mortality and there is no effective treatment in clinics. Bear bile powder (BBP) is a famous traditional animal drug for curing a variety of hepatobiliary diseases such as cholestasis, inflammation, and fibrosis. Here, we aim to evaluate the protective effect of BBP against HSOS induced by senecionine, a highly hepatotoxic PA compound. Our results showed that BBP treatment protected mice from senecionine-induced HSOS dose-dependently, which was evident by improved liver histology including reduced infiltration of inflammatory cells and collagen positive cells, alleviated intrahepatic hemorrhage and hepatic sinusoidal endothelial cells, as well as decreased conventional serum liver function indicators. In addition, BBP treatment lowered matrix metalloproteinase 9 and pyrrole-protein adducts, two well-known markers positively associated with the severity of PA-induced HSOS. Further investigation showed that BBP treatment prevents the development of liver fibrosis by decreasing transforming growth factor beta and downstream fibrotic molecules. BBP treatment also alleviated senecionine-induced liver inflammation and lowered the pro-inflammatory cytokines, in which tauroursodeoxycholic acid played an important role. What's more, BBP treatment also decreased the accumulation of hydrophobic bile acids, such as cholic acid, taurocholic acid, glycocholic acid, as well. We concluded that BBP attenuates senecionine-induced HSOS in mice by repairing the bile acids homeostasis, preventing liver fibrosis, and alleviating liver inflammation. Our present study helps to pave the way to therapeutic approaches of the treatment of PA-induced liver injury in clinics.
Animals
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Bile
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Bile Acids and Salts
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Endothelial Cells/metabolism*
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Hepatic Veno-Occlusive Disease/pathology*
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Inflammation/pathology*
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Liver Cirrhosis/drug therapy*
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Mice
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Powders
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Pyrrolizidine Alkaloids/adverse effects*
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Ursidae
9.Efficacy of basiliximab in the treatment of 87 cases of steroid-refractory or steroid-dependent acute graft-versus-host disease.
Zhen Xin HE ; Rong Li ZHANG ; Wei Hua ZHAI ; Qiao Ling MA ; Ai Ming PANG ; Dong Lin YANG ; Yi HE ; Jia Lin WEI ; Xin CHEN ; Er Lie JIANG ; Si Zhou FENG ; Ming Zhe HAN
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2022;43(2):120-127
Objective: To evaluate the efficacy and prognosis of basiliximab in the treatment of steroid-refractory or steroid-dependent acute graft-versus-host disease (SR/SD-aGVHD) after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) . Methods: Clinical data of 87 patients with SR/SD-aGVHD in the skin, intestine, and liver after allo-HSCT at the Institute of Hematology & Blood Diseases Hospital Transplantation Center from January 2015 to December 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. The administration plan of basiliximab was as follows: 20 mg for adults and children weighing ≥35 kg and 10 mg for children weighing<35 kg. The drug was administered once on the 1st, 4th, and 8th days, respectively, and then once weekly. The efficacy was evaluated on the 7th, 14th, 21st, and 28th days after basiliximab treatment. Results: ①There were 51 males (58.6%) and 36 females (41.4%) , with a median (range) age of 34 (4-63) years. There were 54 cases of classic aGVHD, 33 of late aGVHD, 49 of steroid-refractory aGVHD, and 38 of steroid-dependent aGVHD. ②Thirty-five patients (40.2%) achieved complete remission (CR) , 23 (26.4%) achieved partial remission (PR) , and 29 had no remission (NR) . The total effective rate[overall response rate (ORR) ] was 66.7% (58/87) . ③The ORR of the classic and late aGVHD groups was 77.8% (42/54) and 48.5% (16/33) , respectively. ④The median (range) follow-up time was 154 (4-1813) days, the 6-month overall survival (OS) rate of the 87 patients was 44.8% (95% CI 39.5%-50.1%) and the 1-year OS was 39.4% (95%CI 34.2%-44.3%) . ⑤After treatment with basiliximab, the 6-month OS in the CR (35 cases) , PR (23 cases) , and NR (29 cases) groups was 80.0% (95%CI 73.2%-86.8%) , 39.1% (95%CI 28.9%-49.3%) , and 6.9% (95%CI 2.2%-11.6%) , respectively (χ(2)=34.679, P<0.001) , and the 1-year OS was 74.3% (95%CI 66.9%-81.7%) , 30.4% (95%CI 20.8%-40.0%) , and 3.4% (95%CI 0%-6.8%) , respectively (χ(2)=43.339, P<0.001) . The OS of the classic and late aGVHD groups was 57.4% (95%CI 50.7%-64.1%) and 24.2% (95%CI 16.7%-31.7%) , respectively (χ(2)=9.109, P=0.004) , and the 1-year OS was 51.9% (95%CI 45.1%-58.7%) and 18.2% (95%CI 11.5%-24.9%) , respectively (χ(2)=9.753, P=0.003) . ⑥Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that late aGVHD (OR=3.121, 95%CI 1.770-5.503, P<0.001) , Minnesota score high-risk group before medication (OR=3.591, 95%CI 1.931-6.679, P<0.001) , active infection before medication (OR=1.881, 95%CI 1.029-3.438, P=0.040) , and impairment of important organ function caused by non-GVHD (OR=3.100, 95%CI 1.570-6.121, P=0.001) were independent risk factors affecting the efficacy of basiliximab. Conclusion: Basiliximab has good efficacy and safety for SR/SD-aGVHD, but not in patients with late aGVHD, high-risk group of Minnesota score, and infection or impaired function of important organs.
Acute Disease
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Adult
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Basiliximab/therapeutic use*
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Child
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Female
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Graft vs Host Disease/drug therapy*
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Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/adverse effects*
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Humans
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Male
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Middle Aged
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Retrospective Studies
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Steroids/therapeutic use*
10.Course of disease and related epidemiological parameters of COVID-19: a prospective study based on contact tracing cohort.
Yan ZHOU ; Wen Jia LIANG ; Zi Hui CHEN ; Tao LIU ; Tie SONG ; Shao Wei CHEN ; Ping WANG ; Jia Ling LI ; Yun Hua LAN ; Ming Ji CHENG ; Jin Xu HUANG ; Ji Wei NIU ; Jian Peng XIAO ; Jian Xiong HU ; Li Feng LIN ; Qiong HUANG ; Ai Ping DENG ; Xiao Hua TAN ; Min KANG ; Gui Min CHEN ; Mo Ran DONG ; Hao Jie ZHONG ; Wen Jun MA
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2022;56(4):474-478
Objective: To analyze the course of disease and epidemiological parameters of COVID-19 and provide evidence for making prevention and control strategies. Methods: To display the distribution of course of disease of the infectors who had close contacts with COVID-19 cases from January 1 to March 15, 2020 in Guangdong Provincial, the models of Lognormal, Weibull and gamma distribution were applied. A descriptive analysis was conducted on the basic characteristics and epidemiological parameters of course of disease. Results: In total, 515 of 11 580 close contacts were infected, with an attack rate about 4.4%, including 449 confirmed cases and 66 asymptomatic cases. Lognormal distribution was fitting best for latent period, incubation period, pre-symptomatic infection period of confirmed cases and infection period of asymptomatic cases; Gamma distribution was fitting best for infectious period and clinical symptom period of confirmed cases; Weibull distribution was fitting best for latent period of asymptomatic cases. The latent period, incubation period, pre-symptomatic infection period, infectious period and clinical symptoms period of confirmed cases were 4.50 (95%CI:3.86-5.13) days, 5.12 (95%CI:4.63-5.62) days, 0.87 (95%CI:0.67-1.07) days, 11.89 (95%CI:9.81-13.98) days and 22.00 (95%CI:21.24-22.77) days, respectively. The latent period and infectious period of asymptomatic cases were 8.88 (95%CI:6.89-10.86) days and 6.18 (95%CI:1.89-10.47) days, respectively. Conclusion: The estimated course of COVID-19 and related epidemiological parameters are similar to the existing data.
COVID-19
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Cohort Studies
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Contact Tracing
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Humans
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Incidence
;
Prospective Studies

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