1.Sex and age distribution of global disease burden of calcific aortic valve disease.
Xiangning DENG ; Xinyu SUI ; Nan LI ; Jieli FENG ; Shaomin CHEN ; Xinye XU ; Yida TANG ; Yupeng WANG
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;54(1):21-27
OBJECTIVES:
To analyze sex and age distribution of global disease burden of calcific aortic valve disease (CAVD) from 1990 to 2021.
METHODS:
CAVD data during 1990-2021 were obtained from the IHME website for Global Burden of Disease (GBD). The prevalence, mortality, years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were analyzed by gender and age groups. Joinpoint regression was used to calculate annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC).
RESULTS:
In 2021, there were 13.32 million CAVD patients and 142 000 deaths caused by CAVD globally. Age-standardized prevalence was higher in males (193.2/105) than that in females (128.9/105). Patients in 65-<85 age group accounted for 64.0% of total cases, while those ≥85 years old accounted for 16.1%. From 1990 to 2021, prevalence increased in both sexes with an AAPC of 0.72% for males and 0.57% for females, respectively. Prevalence grew fastest from 2000 to 2010, slowed thereafter, and declined from 2015 to 2021. In <65 years old, the mortality of males was 2.4 times higher than that of females, while in ≥85 years old, mortality of females (117.3/105) exceeded that of males (99.1/105). YLD rates increased with age, and were higher in males for all age groups. DALY rates decreased overall but increased in ≥85 years old, with a greater increase in females.
CONCLUSIONS
There are significant gender and age disparities in global disease burden of CAVD, with the elderly, especially super-elderly females deserving particular attention. It is recommended to develop personalized intervention strategies for these populations.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Aged
;
Calcinosis/mortality*
;
Prevalence
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Middle Aged
;
Aortic Valve/pathology*
;
Aortic Valve Stenosis/epidemiology*
;
Age Distribution
;
Adult
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Sex Distribution
;
Global Health
;
Aortic Valve Disease/epidemiology*
;
Sex Factors
2.Trends in the incidence and mortality of rheumatoid arthritis in China from 1990 to 2021: An age-period-cohort analysis.
Xuewei DOU ; Wenfei CUI ; Zhenzhen HAN ; Zhiying CHE ; Xiaobing LI ; Hongtao GUO
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(7):1214-1223
OBJECTIVES:
Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) imposes a heavy burden on individuals, families, and society. This study analyzed the incidence and mortality trends of RA in China from 1990 to 2023 to provide epidemiological evidence for precise prevention and control.
METHODS:
Data on RA incidence, age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), deaths, and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) in China by sex and age group from 1900 to 2021 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze trends in ASIR and ASMR. An age-period-cohort model was constructed using R4.3.1 to evaluate longitudinal age trends and estimate relative risk (RR) values for period and cohort effects.
RESULTS:
In 2021, the number of RA cases, ASIR, deaths, and ASMR in China were 247 300, 13.70 per 100 000, 10 300, and 0.54 per 100 000, respectively. From 1990 to 2021, the ASIR of RA increased annually among both females and males, with average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) of 0.44% and 0.72%, respectively. Over the same period, ASMR declined in the total population and among females, with AAPCs of -0.78% and -1.19%, while the change in males was not statistically significant. Age-period-cohort analysis showed that the peak incidence occurred in women aged 60-64 years and men aged 75-79 years, and mortality increased with age. The period effect for incidence rose in both sexes, reaching 1.10 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.94 to 1.27] for females and 1.14 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.27) for males during 2017 to 2021, compared with 2002 to 2006. The mortality period effect RR exhibited a downward-upward-downward pattern, decreasing to 0.56 (95% CI 0.52 to 0.61) in females and 0.75 (95% CI 0.68 to 0.82) in males in 2017 to 2021. Cohort analysis indicated that the highest incidence risk occurred in individuals born during 2012 to 2016, while the cohort effect RR for female RA mortality showed a continuous decline beginning with the 1922 to 1926 birth cohort.
CONCLUSIONS
The incidence and mortality risks of RA in China have continued to decline. However, with the aging of the population, the incidence and mortality risks among the elderly have increased. Middle-aged women and elderly men should receive focused attention. Health authorities should strengthen education, prevention, and screening among middle-aged women and enhance disease monitoring in elderly populations to reduce the national burden of RA.
Humans
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Arthritis, Rheumatoid/epidemiology*
;
Incidence
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Aged
;
Cohort Studies
;
Mortality/trends*
;
Age Distribution
;
Age Factors
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Adolescent
3.Trends of Oral Cancer Mortality in China from 1990 to 2019 and a 15-Year Predictive Analysis Based on a Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort Model.
Jian Chang GU ; Ji Wu SONG ; Yun LIU ; Xiao Lan WANG ; Shuang Shuang XU ; Liang Liang ZHANG ; Yun Xia LIU ; Gang DING
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2023;36(6):553-556
4.Analysis on the Incidence and Economic Burden of Patients with Lung Cancer.
Guo TIAN ; Li BIAN ; Xiaoli XU ; Shumei LI
Chinese Journal of Lung Cancer 2022;25(3):167-173
BACKGROUND:
The previous study has indicated that lung cancer has a high incidence and mortality in China, and has caused a large economic burden. The purpose of this study was to analyze the incidence and economic burden of lung cancer by analyzing the information on the home page of discharge history of lung cancer patients in Hebei Tumor Hospital, and to provide scientific basis for the prevention and treatment of lung cancer.
METHODS:
The information of all of the discharges, new cases, surgical patients, age, gender, length of stay and hospitalization cost of lung cancer patients in Hebei Tumor Hospital from January 2012 to December 2019 were retrieved based on the medical record management system, and the incidence trend, gender and age distribution as well as the economic burden of the disease were statistically described.
RESULTS:
The number of new cases of lung cancer increased year by year, from 2,235 cases in 2012 to 5,012 cases in 2019. The number of males always outnumbered females, but the gender ratio decreased year by year, from 2.25 in 2012 to 1.56 in 2019. Among new cases of lung cancer, the proportion of surgical treatment increased year by year, from 28.14% in 2012 to 44.83% in 2019. Except for 2012, the proportion of surgical operations in female patients was higher than that in male patients from 2013 to 2019. The proportion of surgical operations in male and female patients was 23.52% and 28.07% in 2013, and 36.14% and 58.37% in 2019, respectively. The median age at the onset of lung cancer has increased year by year, from 61 years old in 2012 to 63 years old in 2019. The median age of onset in all lung cancer patients was higher in males than in females. The number of new lung cancer patients and surgical patients both showed an increasing trend with the increase of age, and both reached the maximum value in the age group of 60-69 years old. With the increase of age, the number of patients gradually decreased. The median length of hospital stay for all discharged lung cancer patients or surgical patients decreased year by year, from 10 d and 19 d in 2012 to 8 d and 17 d in 2019, respectively, while the median hospitalization cost increased year by year. It increased from 10,611.46 yuan and 38,750.13 yuan in 2012 to 17,187.15 yuan and 84,030.16 yuan in 2019, respectively.
CONCLUSIONS
Lung cancer is still one of the main cancers endangering the health of Chinese residents. The incidence of lung cancer is increasing year by year, and the distribution of gender and age has certain characteristics. In order to reduce the number of cases and the economic burden, effective prevention and control measures should be formulated and medical reform should be strengthened.
Age Distribution
;
Aged
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Female
;
Financial Stress
;
Humans
;
Incidence
;
Lung Neoplasms/surgery*
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
5.Epidemiological characteristics of local outbreak of COVID-19 caused by SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Liwan district, Guangzhou.
WenYan LI ; ZhiCheng DU ; Ying WANG ; Xiao LIN ; Long LU ; Qiang FANG ; WanFang ZHANG ; MingWei CAI ; Lin XU ; YuanTao HAO
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2021;42(10):1763-1768
6.Evaluation of the risk factors associated with emergency department boarding: A retrospective cross-sectional study.
Yousef NOURI ; Changiz GHOLIPOUR ; Javad AGHAZADEH ; Shahriar KHANAHMADI ; Talayeh BEYGZADEH ; Danial NOURI ; Mehryar NAHAEI ; Reza KARIMI ; Elnaz HOSSEINALIPOUR
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2020;23(6):346-350
PURPOSE:
Boarding is a common problem in the emergency department (ED) and is associated with poor health care and outcome. Imam Khomeini Hospital is the main healthcare center in Urmia, a metropolis in the northwest of Iran. Due to the overcrowding and high patient load, we aim to characterize the rate, cause and consequence of boarding in the ED of this center.
METHODS:
All medical records of patients who presented to the ED of Imam Khomeini Hospital from August 1, 2017 to August 1, 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients with uncompleted records were excluded. Boarding was defined as the inability to transfer the admitted ED patients to a downstream ward in ≥2 h after the admission order. Demographic data, boarding rate, mortality and triage levels (1-5) assessed by emergency severity index were collected and analyzed. The first present time of patients was classified into 4 ranges as 0:00-5:59, 6:00-11:59, 12:00-17:59 and 18:00-23:59. Descriptive, parametric and non-parametric statistical tests were performed and the risk of boarding was determined by Pearson Chi-square test.
RESULTS:
Demographic data analysis showed that 941 (58.5%) male and 667 (41.5%) female, altogether 1608 patients were included in this study. Five patients (0.3%) died. The distribution of patients with the triage levels 1-5 was respectively 79 (4.9%), 1150 (71.5%), 374 (23.3%), 4 (0.2%) and 0 (0%). Most patients were of level 2. Only 75 (4.7%) patients required intensive care. The majority of patients (84.2%) were presented at weekdays. The maximum patient load was observed between 12:00-17:59. Of the 1608 patients, 340 (21.1%) experienced boarding within a mean admission time of 13.70 h. Among the 340-boarded patients, 20.1% belonged to surgery, 12.1% to orthopedics, 10.9% to neurosurgery and 10.3% to neurology. The boarding rate was higher in females, patients requiring intensive care and those with low triage levels. Compared with the non-boarded, the boarded patients had a higher mean age.
CONCLUSION
The boarding rate is higher in the older and female patients. Moreover, boarding is dependent on the downstream ward sections: patients requiring surgical management experience the maximum boarding rate.
Age Factors
;
Chi-Square Distribution
;
Cross-Sectional Studies
;
Crowding
;
Emergency Service, Hospital
;
Female
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data*
;
Humans
;
Iran
;
Length of Stay
;
Male
;
Patient Admission
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Assessment/methods*
;
Risk Factors
;
Sex Factors
;
Time Factors
;
Triage
7.Seasonality and etiology of croup in pediatric patients hospitalized with lower respiratory tract infections: A long-term study between 2009 and 2017.
Kyung Jin OH ; Dong Hwa YANG ; Hyeong Rok SHIN ; Eun Jin KIM ; Yong Han SUN ; Eell RYOO ; Hye Kyung CHO ; Hye Jung CHO
Allergy, Asthma & Respiratory Disease 2019;7(1):28-36
PURPOSE: Croup is a common respiratory disease in children. The aim of this study was to analyze the epidemiology, etiology, and seasonal variations of respiratory virus infections in children with croup. METHODS: From October 2009 to September 2017, children admitted with croup to Gachon University Gil Medical Center under the age of 18 years were enrolled in this study. We retrospectively reviewed patients' medical records. RESULTS: A total of 1,053 of 27,330 patients (3.9%) infected with lower respiratory infections were diagnosed as having croup. In the age distribution, croup was most common (50.0%) in children aged 1 to <2 years. There were 2 peaks, the major in summer (July to August) and the minor in spring (March to May). Parainfluenza virus type 1 (15.8%) was most prevalent and coincided with the summer peaks of croup. Influenza virus type B and parainfluenza virus type 3 were the most frequent etiologic agents in a spring peak of croup. Although parainfluenza virus type 1 was predominant of all ages, human coronavirus was a significant cause of croup in children younger than 1 year, whereas influenza virus played an important role in children above the age of 3 years. CONCLUSION: Seasonality and epidemiology of croup varied with age and regions. Two peaks of seasonal fluctuation were in summer and spring, which were related to the seasonality of respiratory viruses in croup. These results may be helpful in planning clinical and research needs.
Age Distribution
;
Child
;
Coronavirus
;
Croup*
;
Epidemiology
;
Humans
;
Medical Records
;
Orthomyxoviridae
;
Parainfluenza Virus 1, Human
;
Parainfluenza Virus 3, Human
;
Respiratory System*
;
Respiratory Tract Infections*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Seasons*
8.Characteristics of HIV-infected persons without long term disease progress and related factors in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region.
X J ZHOU ; Q Y ZHU ; J J LI ; G H LAN ; S S LIANG ; S F LIU ; X H LIU ; Q MENG ; C X ZHOU ; Z Y SHEN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2019;40(1):70-73
Objective: To understand the characteristics of HIV infected persons without long term disease progress [also known as long term non-progressors (LTNPs)], and related factors in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region (Guangxi). Methods: Data of persons living with HIV and receiving no antiretroviral therapy in Guangxi by the end of 2016 were collected from the national HIV/AIDS comprehensive control and prevention information system of China. Results: By the end of 2016, there were 313 LTNPs in Guangxi, accounting for 2.3% of those being reported for more than 10 years, 5.4% of those being reported for more than 10 years and surviving, and 26.6% of those being reported for more than 10 years, surviving and receiving no antiretroviral therapy. Among the LTNPs, 87.2%(273) were men, 94.9% (297) were aged ≤ 40 years, 32.3% (101) were farmers, 55.6% (174) were single, divorced or widowed, 69.3% (217) were of Han ethnic group, 68.1% (213) were injecting drug users, and 52.1% (163) were from custody facilities. Multiple logistic regression analysis indicated that factors associated with delayed disease progression included age ≤40 years (compared with age >40 years, aOR=1.55, 95%CI: 1.31-3.12) and injection drug use (compared with sexual transmission, aOR=1.23, 95%CI: 1.10-1.74). Conclusions: A number of LTNPs existed in HIV-infected individuals in Guangxi. Further research are needed to identify the related factors, and it is necessary to conduct large sample size studies on host immunology, genetics and the virology of HIV to explore the related mechanism.
Adolescent
;
Adult
;
Age Distribution
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Drug Users/statistics & numerical data*
;
Ethnicity/statistics & numerical data*
;
HIV Infections/ethnology*
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Socioeconomic Factors
9.Trend of epidemics and variation of pathogens of hand, foot and mouth disease in China: a dynamic series analysis, 2008-2017.
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2019;40(2):147-154
Objective: To understand the trend of epidemics and variation of pathogens on hand, foot and mouth diseases (HFMD) in China for setting up appropriate intervention measures. Methods: Data related to reported cases and outbreaks of HFMD from the National Notifiable Disease Surveillance Reporting System of China, 2008 to 2017, was collected and analyzed. Based on the geographical location and types of climate, the total 31 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities in the mainland of China, were divided into seven regions: north-west, north, mid-north, east, mid-south, south, and south-west regions, with epidemic trends and variation of pathogens analyzed. The average speed of growth on the dynamic series from 2008 to 2017 was calculated, using the Geometric Average method. Results: The overall reported incidence rate of HFMD during 2008-2017 was 134.59 per 100 000 population with an average increase of 15.92%. The proportion of severe cases was 0.84%, with 9.56% increase. The reported mortality rate of HFMD was 0.03/100 000, with an average decrease of 3.49%. The case fatality rate was 0.02% and with a decrease of 16.86%. A total of 6 000 outbreaks were reported during the decade. Except for 1.09% decrease on the incidence rate in the north region, all the other regions showed an increase on the morbidity rates, with the highest as25.20% in the south region. Mortality rates showed 27.53% and 0.60% increases in both the south-west and mid-north regions, respectively. Mortality rates in the other regions all showed a decreasing trend. In terms of case fatality rate, it increased 4.15% in the south-west region while all decreased in the other regions. Two higher age-special morbidity rates appeared in the 1 year olds as 3 184.19/100 000 and in the 2 year olds as 2 547.47/100 000, with the most increase seen in both 0 year (26.08%) and 1 year age groups (23.35%). High age-specific mortality rates were noticed in both the 1-year group as 0.86/100 000 and the 2-year group as 0.54/100 000, however with reductions as 1.21% and 10.70% respectively. As for the case fatalities, the 0 year olds and 1 year olds accounted for 0.039% and 0.027% but both of them had decreased by 19.12% and 19.91%, respectively. Case fatality rates decreased by 16.93% and 16.75%, in males and females. Proportions of EV71 and Cox A16 decreased by 4.28% and 3.07%, but the proportion of other entero-viruses increased by 16.07%. EV71 was responsible for the high frequency of epidemics in both mid-north and the mid-south regions. However, in other five regions, other strains of EV's were responsible for the epidemics. Conclusions: The characteristics of HFMD in China showed that the morbidity of HFMD and proportion of severe cases were both in increasing trends but both the mortality and case fatality of HFMD were decreasing. Children younger than 3 years old showed both high infection and death rates for HFMD. Epidemics caused by other enteroviruses of non-EV71 and non-Cox A16 were seen more. Variance and pathogens related to the epidemic cycles appeared different in the seven regions.
Adolescent
;
Age Distribution
;
Animals
;
Child
;
Child, Preschool
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Cities
;
Disease Outbreaks
;
Enterovirus A, Human
;
Epidemics
;
Female
;
Foot-and-Mouth Disease
;
Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease/epidemiology*
;
Humans
;
Infant
;
Male
;
Young Adult
10.Spatio-temporal distribution and correlation of reported cases of hepatitis C and HIV/AIDS in China, 2012-2017.
Y GAO ; X F FENG ; J WEN ; F X HEI ; G W DING ; L PANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2019;40(2):155-159
Objective: To compare the time and spatial distribution of hepatitis C and HIV/AIDS cases and its correlation, in China from 2012 to 2017. Methods: Data on reported hepatitis C and HIV/AIDS cases was gathered from the Direct Reporting System of Infectious Diseases Information Network in China, 2012 to 2017 while annually collected provincial data was based on the date of review and current address. Correlation of the data was analyzed, using both simple correlation and linear regression methods. Results: The number of reported cases of hepatitis C remained stable in China, in 2012-2017, with the number of annual reported cases as 201 622, 203 155, 202 803, 207 897, 206 832 and 214 023, respectively. The number of reported cases on HIV/AIDS showed a steady growing trend, from 82 434, 90 119, 103 501, 115 465, 124 555 to 134 512. However, the numbers of hepatitis C and HIV/AIDS cases were in the same, top six provinces: Henan, Guangdong, Xinjiang, Guangxi, Hunan and Yunnan. Results from the simple correlation analysis indicated that there was a positive correlation (r>0.5, P<0.01) existed between the above-said two kinds of cases at the provincial level in China, in 2012-2017. Again, results from the linear regression analysis also showed that the correlation coefficient r(s) and year was strongly correlated (r=0.966) while r(s) had been linearly increasing with time. Conclusions: Our data showed that there were temporal and spatial correlations existed between the reported cases of hepatitis C and HIV/AIDS at the provincial level, suggesting that relevant prevention and control programs be carried out in areas with serious epidemics. Combination of the two strategies should be encouraged, especially on prevention and treatment measures related to blood transmission.
Age Distribution
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Epidemics
;
HIV
;
HIV Infections/ethnology*
;
Hepatitis C/ethnology*
;
Humans
;
Linear Models
;
Spatial Analysis
;
Spatio-Temporal Analysis
;
Young Adult

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