1.Modified shock index as clinical predictor of in-hospital outcomes in cases of Acute Coronary Syndrome: A retrospective cohort study
Jilliane Estrada ; Timothy Bjorn Lagos
Philippine Journal of Internal Medicine 2025;63(2):122-129
BACKGROUND
In the Philippines, Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS) is a major cause of mortality. Recognizing high-risk ACS patients quickly is crucial. The Modified Shock Index (MSI), a concise bedside risk scoring system, may enhance triaging by predicting short-term outcomes, facilitating a more aggressive approach for timely intervention.
OBJECTIVESThe aim of this study is to determine MSI’s predictive value for in-hospital mortality in ACS patients, comparing its sensitivity and specificity to Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) risk scoring. It also intends to determine association between MSI and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE).
METHODSThis retrospective cohort study was conducted in a tertiary hospital with 172 patients aged 18 and above admitted for ACS from January 2017 to December 2022, focused on in-hospital mortality as the primary outcome and other MACE as secondary outcomes. Chi-square test customized for multiple response sets was done to determine association between MSI and clinical outcomes. The study employed ROC analysis for MSI, generating a curve to illustrate sensitivity-specificity trade-offs, Youden Index determined to identify optimal cut-off points, and DeLong’s test to compare efficacy of MSI and TIMI.
RESULTSA high MSI (≥1) was significantly and independently linked to in-hospital all-cause mortality in ACS patients (p < 0.001). MSI exhibits 82.35% sensitivity and 82.89% specificity for predicting in-hospital mortality. Chi-square test customized for multiple response sets revealed statistically significant association between MSI and the occurrences of cardiogenic shock, revascularization, life-threatening arrhythmia, and cardiac arrest. ROC analysis reveals MSI and TIMI scores as strong predictors (AUC values: 0.848 and 0.787 respectively), with comparable performance indicated by the DeLong test.
CONCLUSIONMSI proved a reliable parameter for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients presenting with ACS in Notre Dame de Chartres Hospital.
Human ; Acute Coronary Syndrome
2.A comparison of the performance of SVEAT score versus HEART score in predicting in-hospital MACE in patients admitted for chest pain
Philippine Journal of Internal Medicine 2025;63(3):5-15
BACKGROUND
Chest pain is a common reason for emergency room visits. The HEART score is used as a risk stratification tool to aid in clinical decision making. The HEART score is a useful tool due to its good sensitivity, however it has low specificity. The SVEAT score was developed as an improved risk stratification tool which outperformed the HEART score in previous studies. Both the performance of HEART and SVEAT scores lack data in our locality.
OBJECTIVETo compare the performance of Symptoms, Vascular disease, Electrocardiography, Age, Troponin-I (SVEAT) score and History, Electrocardiography, Age, Risk factors, Troponin-I (HEART) score as predictors of in-hospital Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE) among adult patients admitted in Chong Hua Hospital Cebu for chest pain.
METHODSThis single-center, retrospective, observational analytic study included adult patients, ages 18 years old and above, who were admitted for chest pain from January 1, 2022 to December 31, 2022. All patients who passed the inclusion and exclusion criteria were included in the data analysis. Both SVEAT and HEART scores were calculated for each of the included subjects. The performance of both scoring criteria was compared using logistic regression and area under the receiving-operator characteristic curve.
RESULTSA total of 113 cases were analyzed after exclusion criteria were applied. A total of 50 (44.2%) individuals suffered MACE. The difference in AUC of both SVEAT (0.946, 95%CI) and HEART (0.936, 95%CI) was not statistically significant (95% CI – 0.013 – 0.033, p = 0.400). With a cut-off ofCONCLUSION
SVEAT and HEART scores had similar performance in predicting in hospital MACE. Using a cut-off value of
Human
;
Chest Pain
;
Heart
;
Myocardial Infarction
;
Acute Coronary Syndrome
3.Machine learning to risk stratify chest pain patients with non-diagnostic electrocardiogram in an Asian emergency department.
Ziwei LIN ; Tar Choon AW ; Laurel JACKSON ; Cheryl Shumin KOW ; Gillian MURTAGH ; Siang Jin Terrance CHUA ; Arthur Mark RICHARDS ; Swee Han LIM
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2025;54(4):219-226
INTRODUCTION:
Elevated troponin, while essential for diagnosing myocardial infarction, can also be present in non-myocardial infarction conditions. The myocardial-ischaemic-injury-index (MI3) algorithm is a machine learning algorithm that considers age, sex and cardiac troponin I (TnI) results to risk-stratify patients for type 1 myocardial infarction.
METHOD:
Patients aged ≥25 years who presented to the emergency department (ED) of Singapore General Hospital with symptoms suggestive of acute coronary syndrome with no diagnostic 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) changes were included. Participants had serial ECGs and high-sensitivity troponin assays performed at 0, 2 and 7 hours. The primary outcome was the adjudicated diagnosis of type 1 myocardial infarction at 30 days. We compared the performance of MI3 in predicting the primary outcome with the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) 0/2-hour algorithm as well as the 99th percentile upper reference limit (URL) for TnI.
RESULTS:
There were 1351 patients included (66.7% male, mean age 56 years), 902 (66.8%) of whom had only 0-hour troponin results and 449 (33.2%) with serial (both 0 and 2-hour) troponin results available. MI3 ruled out type 1 myocardial infarction with a higher sensitivity (98.9, 95% confidence interval [CI] 93.4-99.9%) and similar negative predictive value (NPV) 99.8% (95% CI 98.6-100%) as compared to the ESC strategy. The 99th percentile cut-off strategy had the lowest sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and NPV.
CONCLUSION
The MI3 algorithm was accurate in risk stratifying ED patients for myocardial infarction. The 99th percentile URL cut-off was the least accurate in ruling in and out myocardial infarction compared to the other strategies.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Emergency Service, Hospital
;
Middle Aged
;
Electrocardiography
;
Machine Learning
;
Singapore
;
Chest Pain/blood*
;
Troponin I/blood*
;
Myocardial Infarction/blood*
;
Risk Assessment/methods*
;
Aged
;
Algorithms
;
Acute Coronary Syndrome/blood*
;
Adult
;
Sensitivity and Specificity
4.Impact of short-term proton pump inhibitors vs . histamine-2 receptor antagonists on gut microbiota in patients with acute coronary syndrome: A multicenter randomized trial.
Chen CHEN ; Huizhu LIANG ; Meibo HE ; Ruqiao DUAN ; Yu GUAN ; Fangfang WANG ; Liping DUAN
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(5):542-552
BACKGROUND:
Several randomized controlled studies have suggested that the prophylactic use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) in intensive care unit (ICU) patients could not reduce the incidence of gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) and may increase adverse events such as intestinal infection and pneumonia. Gut microbiota may play a critical role in the process. PPIs have been widely prescribed for GIB prophylaxis in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). This study aimed to determine the short-term effects of PPI and histamine-2 receptor antagonist (H2RA) treatment on gut microbiota of ACS patients.
METHODS:
The study was designed as a single-blind, multicenter, three-parallel-arm, randomized controlled trial conducted at three centers in Beijing, China. We enrolled ACS patients at low-to-medium risk of GIB and randomized (2:2:1) them to either PPI ( n = 40), H2RA ( n = 31), or control group ( n = 21). The primary outcomes were the alterations in gut microbiota after 7 days of acid suppressant therapy. Stool samples were collected at baseline and 7 days and analyzed by 16S ribosomal RNA (rRNA) gene sequencing.
RESULTS:
There were no significant changes in the diversity of gut microbiota after the short-term use of acid suppressants, but the abundance of Fusobacterium significantly increased and that of Bifidobacterium significantly decreased, especially in PPI users. In addition, the abundance of some pathogenic bacteria, including Enterococcus and Desulfovibrio, was significantly elevated in the PPI users. The fecal microbiota of the PPI users included more arachidonic acid metabolism than that of control group.
CONCLUSIONS:
PPIs may increase the risk of infection by adversely altering gut microbiota and elevating arachidonic acid metabolism, which may produce multiple proinflammatory mediators. For ACS patients at low-to-medium risk of GIB, sufficient caution should be paid when acid-suppressant drugs are prescribed, especially PPIs.
REGISTRATION
www.chictr.org.cn (ChiCTR2000029552).
Humans
;
Proton Pump Inhibitors/therapeutic use*
;
Acute Coronary Syndrome/microbiology*
;
Female
;
Gastrointestinal Microbiome/drug effects*
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Histamine H2 Antagonists/therapeutic use*
;
Aged
;
Single-Blind Method
5.A cross-sectional study on the association of red cell distribution width and Acute Coronary Syndrome among patients admitted to the Bataan General Hospital and Medical Center
Monica B. Alagon ; Almalyn C. Sevilla
Philippine Journal of Internal Medicine 2024;62(1):262-266
Introduction:
Red cell distribution width (RDW) is a parameter that is readily available as part of a standard complete blood
count (CBC). Studies have shown that an elevated RDW is associated with increased cardiovascular events including acute
coronary syndrome (ACS). This cross- sectional retrospective study was conducted to determine the association of RDW in
patients with ACS admitted to Bataan General Hospital and Medical Center (BGHMC).
Methods:
A cross-sectional study was performed in a 500-bed tertiary care hospital in Bataan, Philippines. The clinical
medical records of patients with ACS were analyzed retrospectively. A total of 811 patients was admitted as cases of ACS
from January 2017 to December 2019. Using Slovin’s formula, the computed sample size was 261 patients. However, only
205 cases were included in the study in accordance to the eligibility criteria. The baseline RDW were recorded from the
CBC obtained upon admission of patients with ACS.
Results:
Based on the data collected from January 2017 to December 2019 from patients admitted to BGHMC, there was
no significant association between RDW and in-house morbidity and mortality and classification of ACS.
Conclusions
There were no significant association between RDW and in-house morbidity and mortality and classification
of ACS. The authors recommend to conduct the study for a longer duration to have more population included and to
include other parameters such as cardiac enzymes, electrocardiogram (ECG) changes and presence of co-morbidities.
Erythrocyte Indices
;
Acute Coronary Syndrome
;
Angina, Unstable
;
ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction
6.The correlation of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio levels with clinical outcomes in acute coronary syndrome patients admitted in a tertiary hospital from January 2011 to December 2020
Jehaila B. Tenorio ; Brian Joseph M. Calinawagan ; Kara Kirsty V. Congjuico
Philippine Journal of Cardiology 2024;52(1):21-26
BACKGROUND:
Studies have shown that inflammation plays a role in the pathogenesis of acute coronary syndrome (ACS). The use of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) as a marker for inflammatory conditions such as malignancy, systemic lupus erythematosus, and rheumatoid arthritis has been demonstrated in several studies. The aim of this study is to determine whether an elevated PLR taken on admission is associated with in-hospital mortality and major adverse cardiac events among ACS patients.
METHODS:
This is a single-center, retrospective correlational study. It included all ACS STsegment elevation myocardial infarction and non–ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction adult patients admitted from January 2011 to December 2020. Complete blood count on admission was used to derive the PLR. Patient’s course in the ward was reviewed for development of adverse clinical outcomes such as in-hospital mortality, arrhythmias, heart failure, cardiogenic shock, and reinfarction. Primary outcome for this study was in-hospital mortality, and the secondary outcomes were the development of other complications previously mentioned. Optimal cutoff value associated with in-hospital mortality was determined using receiver operating characteristic curve.
RESULTS:
A total of 342 patients were included in the study. Forty-three (12.57%) of the sample had in-hospital mortality and was noted to have higher PLR compared with patients who did not develop complications. Univariate logistic regression analysis showed a significant relationship between a high PLR and occurrence of in-hospital mortality (P = 0.0039). The optimal cutoff value of PLR that can predict in-hospital mortality is 165, with 52.17% sensitivity, 56.76% specificity, and an area under the curve of 59.69%. On the other hand, a high PLR did not show association with the development of complications during the hospital stay.
CONCLUSION
A PLR of >165 is a cheap, readily available marker that can be used to predict in-hospital mortality among Filipino patients with ACS.
Acute Coronary Syndrome
7.Development of a clinical pathway for acute coronary syndrome at Philippine General Hospital
Cecileen Anne M. Tuazon ; Paul Anthony O. Alad ; Albert Roy M. Rollorazo ; Lauren Kay Evangelista ; Ruth Divine Agustin ; Valerie Ramiro ; John Christopher Pilapil ; Bianca Velando ; Mark Joseph M. Abaca ; Jerahmeel Aleson L. Mapili ; Diana R. Tamondong-Lachica ; Eric Oliver D. Sison ; John C. Añ ; onuevo ; Felix Eduardo R. Punzalan
Philippine Journal of Cardiology 2024;52(1):61-92
BACKGROUND:
Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is a leading cause of admission and mortality in a tertiary care hospital in the Philippines. The significant burden of the disease necessitates that evidence-based care set by international and local guidelines be met to improve service delivery and quality of care (QOC). Institution-specific QOC studies showed gaps between guideline recommendations and compliance. Development and utilization of a clinical pathway are among the identified strategies to improve compliance. It is also crucial for implementation of standard-of-care set specific to a hospital setting based on its needs and resources.
METHODS:
This is a descriptive research on the development of a clinical pathway for ACS appropriate for the emergency room setting of a tertiary care hospital from March 2021 to August 2022. Local QOC studies and evidence behind the latest international guideline recommendations on the management of ACS were reviewed to create the interim ACS Pathway. Two-level content validation of the interim pathway was done: internal validation with the consultants and fellows of the Division of Cardiovascular Medicine and external validation through focused group discussions with different hospital units and stakeholders to assess applicability and feasibility based on the resources of the setting, identify hindrances, and propose solutions in its implementation.
RESULTS:
An evidence-based clinical pathway for ACS that encompasses identification and management of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction and non–ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome with judicious use of locally available and feasible resources applicable for local emergency room hospital setting was created.
CONCLUSION
Review of local QOC studies and interdepartmental collaboration are necessary components in developing institution-specific clinical pathway for ACS.
Acute Coronary Syndrome
;
Critical Pathways
;
Quality of Health Care
8.The acute coronary syndrome risk in medically managed subjects with type 2 diabetes mellitus – Is the ASCVD risk score failing here?
Ameya Joshi ; Harminder Singh ; Sanjay Kalra
Journal of the ASEAN Federation of Endocrine Societies 2024;39(1):31-36
Objectives:
Type 2 Diabetics have elevated risk for acute coronary syndrome (ACS). The current management algorithm focuses on atherosclerotic cardiovascular (ASCVD) risk score to stratify this risk. However, in medically managed subjects, this algorithm may not be accurate. This study compares the ASCVD risk score in an Indian population with T2DM under medical supervision and the actual incidence of ACS. It also compared the ASCVD risk scores in cases with T2DM who developed ACS to controls and tried to estimate whether the ASCVD risk score is different in the two subsets, evaluating the utility of the ASCVD risk score in predicting ACS.
Methodology:
This is an electronic medical record (EMR) based case-control study. Only records of subjects with T2DM where details of age, sex, body mass index, blood pressure, duration of diabetes, family history of ACS, lipid profile, renal and liver function tests were included. The incidence of ACS was calculated in the selected records, and the records of subjects with ACS were compared with age and sex-matched subjects without ACS. Data are summarized as median and interquartile range (IQR). Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used for checking differences in continuous variables and Pearson’s Chi-squared test for categorical data. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to check the effect of ASCVD scores and other variables on the occurrence of ACS. Statistical data analyses were performed using JASP, version 0.16.4 (JASP Team [2022]) for MS Windows.
Results:
Of the 1226 EMRs included in the analysis, 207 had ACS. The actual incidence of ACS was 16.85% in 6 years, higher than the mean predicted 10-year incidence of 14.56 percent (p <0.05). The cases were age and sex-matched with controls and the ASCVD incidence was estimated in the two groups. The mean ASCVD score in the cases was 14.565 ± 8.709 (Min: 1.5, Max: 38.3) and controls 13.114 ± 8.247 (Min: 1.4, Max: 45). The chance of development of ACS increases with elevated systolic blood pressure (per mmHg rise OR: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.06; p <0.001), positive family history (OR: 5.70, 95% CI: 3.41, 9.77; p <0.001), statin use (OR: 2.26, 95% CI: 1.46, 3.52; p <0.001), and longer duration of diabetes (for every year increase OR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.13, 1.25; p <0.001)
Conclusion
The ASCVD risk score underestimates the ACS risk in subjects with T2DM under medical supervision and may not differ in those who developed and did not develop ACS. We also conclude that factors like a negative family history (30% less risk), longer duration of diabetes, and higher SBP are relevant in those who developed ACS.
Acute Coronary Syndrome
9.Anticoagulation status and adherence in patients with atrial fibrillation hospitalized for ACS and the impact on 1-year prognosis: a multicenter cohort study.
Long Yang ZHU ; Qing LI ; Lu Yao YU ; Ying LIU ; Yi Nong CHEN ; Zhe WANG ; Shi Yu ZHANG ; Jing LI ; Ying LIU ; Yu Lan ZHAO ; Yang XI ; Lin PI ; Yi Hong SUN
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2023;51(7):731-741
Objective: For patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) complicated with acute coronary syndrome (ACS), both anticoagulant and antiplatelet therapy should be applied, but the use of anticoagulation therapy is still poor in these patients in China. The purpose of this study was to explore the status and adherence of antithrombotic therapy in AF patients with ACS and the impact on 1 year clinical outcomes. Methods: Patients with AF hospitalized for ACS were retrospectively included from 6 tertiary hospitals in China between July 2015 and December 2020. According to the use of anticoagulant drugs at discharge, patients were divided into two groups: anticoagulant treatment group and non-anticoagulant treatment group. Logistic regression model was used to analyze the main factors influencing the use of anticoagulant drugs in patients with atrial fibrillation complicated with ACS. Major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) were defined as all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction or coronary revascularization, and ischemic stroke and Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC) 3 bleeding events were also collected at 1 year after discharge. After propensity score matching, Cox proportional hazards models and Kaplan-Meier analysis were used to evaluate the effect of anticoagulant treatment and non-anticoagulant treatment on 1-year prognosis. The patients were divided into different groups according to whether anticoagulation was performed at discharge and follow-up, and the sensitivity of the results was analyzed. Results: A total of 664 patients were enrolled, and 273 (41.1%) were treated with anticoagulant therapy, of whom 84 (30.8%) received triple antithrombotic therapy, 91 (33.3%) received double antithrombotic therapy (single antiplatelet combined with anticoagulant), and 98 (35.9%) received single anticoagulant therapy. Three hundred and ninety-one (58.9%) patients were treated with antiplatelet therapy, including 253 (64.7%) with dual antiplatelet therapy and 138 (35.3%) with single antiplatelet therapy. After 1∶1 propensity score matching between the anticoagulant group and the non-anticoagulant group, a total of 218 pairs were matched. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that history of diabetes, HAS-BLED score≥3, and percutaneous coronary intervention were predictors of the absence of anticoagulant therapy, while history of ischemic stroke and persistent atrial fibrillation were predictors of anticoagulant therapy. At 1-year follow-up, 218 patients (79.9%) in the anticoagulant group continued to receive anticoagulant therapy, and 333 patients (85.2%) in the antiplatelet group continued to receive antiplatelet therapy. At 1-year follow-up, 36 MACEs events (13.2%) occurred in the anticoagulant group, and 81 MACEs events (20.7%) in the non-anticoagulant group. HR values and confidence intervals were calculated by Cox proportional risk model. Patients in the non-anticoagulant group faced a higher risk of MACEs (HR=1.802, 95%CI 1.112-2.921, P=0.017), and the risk of bleeding events was similar between the two group (HR=0.825,95%CI 0.397-1.715, P=0.607). Conclusions: History of diabetes, HAS-BLED score≥3, and percutaneous coronary intervention are independent factors for the absence of anticoagulant therapy in patients with AF complicated with ACS. The incidence of MACEs, death and myocardial infarction is lower in the anticoagulant group, and the incidence of bleeding events is similar between the two groups. The risk of bleeding and ischemia/thrombosis should be dynamically assessed during follow-up and antithrombotic regiments should be adjusted accordingly.
Humans
;
Atrial Fibrillation/drug therapy*
;
Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors/adverse effects*
;
Acute Coronary Syndrome/drug therapy*
;
Fibrinolytic Agents/therapeutic use*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Anticoagulants
;
Myocardial Infarction/complications*
;
Hemorrhage
;
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention
;
Ischemic Stroke/drug therapy*
;
Stroke
10.Value of glycosylated hemoglobin A1c and apolipoprotein A-1 ratio on predicting outcome of patients with acute coronary syndrome.
Yi Jia WANG ; Hong Na MU ; Rui Yue YANG ; Wen Duo ZHANG ; Xin Yue WANG ; Si Ming WANG ; Fu Sui JI ; Jun DONG ; Xue YU
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2023;51(1):38-44
Objective: To investigate the predictive value of glycosylated hemoglobin A1c/apolipoprotein A-1 (HbA1c/ApoA-1) ratio for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Methods: The present study is a retrospective cohort study. ACS patients who were hospitalized and underwent coronary angiography at Beijing Hospital from March 2017 to March 2019 were enrolled. Baseline information such as sex, age, previous history, Gensini score, HbA1c and ApoA-1 were analyzed. Patients were divided into two groups according to presence or absence of MACEs and the difference on HbA1c/ApoA-1 ratio was compared between the two groups. According to the tertiles of HbA1c/ApoA-1 levels, patients were divided into high (5.87-16.12), medium (4.50-5.83) and low (2.11-4.48) HbA1c/ApoA-1 groups. Cox proportional risk model was used to evaluate the differences in MACEs and all-cause mortality among the three groups. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to compare the differences of MACEs between the various HbA1c/ApoA-1 groups. Results: A total of 366 ACS patients were included in this study. The mean age of the patients was (65.9±10.3) years. There were 59 MACEs and 10 all-cause deaths during the mean of (22.3±4.4) months follow-up. After adjusting for age, systolic blood pressure, history of diabetes and Gensini score, the incidence of MACEs was 2.45 times higher in the high HbA1c/ApoA-1 group than in the low HbA1c/ApoA-1 group (95%CI 1.16-5.18, P=0.019). There was no significant difference in all-cause mortality between the high and low HbA1c/ApoA-1 groups (P=1.000). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that patients in the high HbA1c/ApoA-1 group had the highest risk of MACEs, while patients in the low HbA1c/ApoA-1 group had the lowest risk of MACEs (P<0.01). Spearman rank correlation analysis showed that HbA1/ApoA-1 ratio was positively correlated with Gensini score in ACS patients (r=0.274, P<0.01). Conclusion: High HbA1c/ApoA-1 ratio was an independent risk factor for MACEs in ACS patients. Patients with high HbA1c/ApoA-1 ratio had more severe coronary artery disease lesions. HbA1c/ApoA-1 ratio may be used as a potential risk stratification biomarker for ACS patients, it might be useful for the early identification of high-risk population and for predicting the incidence of MACEs among ACS patients.
Aged
;
Humans
;
Middle Aged
;
Acute Coronary Syndrome/diagnosis*
;
Apolipoprotein A-I/analysis*
;
Biomarkers/analysis*
;
Glycated Hemoglobin/analysis*
;
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
;
Predictive Value of Tests


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