1.Establishment and validation of a model for femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fracture using logistic regression and SHAP analysis
Long LIAO ; Zepeng ZHAO ; Zongyuan LI ; Qinglong YU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jinyuan TANG ; Nan YE ; Han XU ; Bo SHI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):626-633
BACKGROUND:The most common complication of traumatic femoral neck fractures after internal fixation is femoral head necrosis.Currently,many studies have reported on the risk factors that affect the occurrence and development of postoperative femoral head necrosis,but there is still a lack of tools to predict the risk of femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.OBJECTIVE:To develop a predictive model that estimates the risk of femoral head necrosis shortly after patients with femoral neck fractures receive cannulated screw internal fixation.METHODS:A retrospective analysis reviewed clinical records of 172 patients who underwent cannulated screw internal fixation for femoral neck fractures at Department of Orthopedics of Mianyang Central Hospital from January 2013 to June 2023.Patients were categorized into two groups based on the presence or absence of femoral head necrosis within one year post-operation:the necrosis group and the non-necrosis group.Univariate analysis,Lasso regression,and multivariate Logistic regression techniques were employed to identify the determinants of femoral head necrosis.A nomogram prediction model was constructed using R language's"rms"package,version 4.0.The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the discriminatory ability of the model.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to evaluate the goodness of fit of the model,and the decision curve analysis was used to determine its clinical application benefits.Internal validation of the study was conducted using the Bootstrap method,involving 1 000 repeated samplings.To delve deeper into the primary factors influencing femoral head necrosis post-internal fixation of the femoral neck,this paper employed the SHAP method for data set analysis.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The risk factors leading to femoral head necrosis in the short term after cannulated screw fixation of femoral neck fractures include:smoking,diabetes,Garden classification,fracture line location,reduction quality,age,and operation time.(2)The prediction model demonstrated robust performance,evidenced by an area under the curve of 0.940(95%Confidence Interval:0.903 to 0.977),indicating a high level of prediction accuracy.The model achieved a sensitivity of 90.2%and a specificity of 87.6%,indicating that its diagnostic performance was stable.The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test yielded a chi-square value of 6.593 with a P-value of 0.581,confirming that the model's predictions closely align with the observed outcomes.(3)The calibration curve of the model also performed well,and its overall trend was very close to the ideal curve,further proving the high accuracy of the model.(4)The internal validation was carried out by the Bootstrap method with 1 000 repeated samplings,and the area under the curve of the model internal validation was still as high as 0.939,proving that the model had good stability.(5)Through the decision curve,it is found that within the probability threshold range of 1%to 92%,the model can obtain the maximum net benefit value.(6)The SHAP analysis results show that among the risk factors analyzed in this study,the location of the fracture line serves as the most significant predictor of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation with cannulated screws in femoral neck fractures,and subcapital fractures are extremely prone to femoral head necrosis after surgery.(7)It is concluded that the validated prediction model demonstrates strong discriminative power and reliability,offering practical clinical utility.It serves as a useful reference tool for short-term risk assessment of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.
2.Establishment and validation of a model for femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fracture using logistic regression and SHAP analysis
Long LIAO ; Zepeng ZHAO ; Zongyuan LI ; Qinglong YU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jinyuan TANG ; Nan YE ; Han XU ; Bo SHI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):626-633
BACKGROUND:The most common complication of traumatic femoral neck fractures after internal fixation is femoral head necrosis.Currently,many studies have reported on the risk factors that affect the occurrence and development of postoperative femoral head necrosis,but there is still a lack of tools to predict the risk of femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.OBJECTIVE:To develop a predictive model that estimates the risk of femoral head necrosis shortly after patients with femoral neck fractures receive cannulated screw internal fixation.METHODS:A retrospective analysis reviewed clinical records of 172 patients who underwent cannulated screw internal fixation for femoral neck fractures at Department of Orthopedics of Mianyang Central Hospital from January 2013 to June 2023.Patients were categorized into two groups based on the presence or absence of femoral head necrosis within one year post-operation:the necrosis group and the non-necrosis group.Univariate analysis,Lasso regression,and multivariate Logistic regression techniques were employed to identify the determinants of femoral head necrosis.A nomogram prediction model was constructed using R language's"rms"package,version 4.0.The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the discriminatory ability of the model.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to evaluate the goodness of fit of the model,and the decision curve analysis was used to determine its clinical application benefits.Internal validation of the study was conducted using the Bootstrap method,involving 1 000 repeated samplings.To delve deeper into the primary factors influencing femoral head necrosis post-internal fixation of the femoral neck,this paper employed the SHAP method for data set analysis.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The risk factors leading to femoral head necrosis in the short term after cannulated screw fixation of femoral neck fractures include:smoking,diabetes,Garden classification,fracture line location,reduction quality,age,and operation time.(2)The prediction model demonstrated robust performance,evidenced by an area under the curve of 0.940(95%Confidence Interval:0.903 to 0.977),indicating a high level of prediction accuracy.The model achieved a sensitivity of 90.2%and a specificity of 87.6%,indicating that its diagnostic performance was stable.The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test yielded a chi-square value of 6.593 with a P-value of 0.581,confirming that the model's predictions closely align with the observed outcomes.(3)The calibration curve of the model also performed well,and its overall trend was very close to the ideal curve,further proving the high accuracy of the model.(4)The internal validation was carried out by the Bootstrap method with 1 000 repeated samplings,and the area under the curve of the model internal validation was still as high as 0.939,proving that the model had good stability.(5)Through the decision curve,it is found that within the probability threshold range of 1%to 92%,the model can obtain the maximum net benefit value.(6)The SHAP analysis results show that among the risk factors analyzed in this study,the location of the fracture line serves as the most significant predictor of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation with cannulated screws in femoral neck fractures,and subcapital fractures are extremely prone to femoral head necrosis after surgery.(7)It is concluded that the validated prediction model demonstrates strong discriminative power and reliability,offering practical clinical utility.It serves as a useful reference tool for short-term risk assessment of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.
3.Downregulation of heat shock protein B8 protects retinal ganglion cell after optic nerve injury in mice
Feijia XIE ; Tao HE ; Ning YANG ; Jiayi YANG ; Dihao HUA ; Jinyuan LUO ; Zongyuan LI ; Yiqiao XING
Chinese Journal of Ocular Fundus Diseases 2021;37(4):298-306
Objective:To investigate the effect of heat shock protein B8 (HspB8) downregulation on retinal ganglion cell (RGC) and retinal function in the mice model of optic nerve injury (ONC).Methods:Adeno-Associated Virus (AAV) 2 AAV2-shHspB8-GFP was constructed to knockdown HspB8. 66 adult male C57/BL6 mice were randomly divided into the control group, the ONC group, the AAV2-shHspB8 group, the ONC+AAV2-shHspB8 group, and the ONC+AAV2-GFP group. There were 10, 20, 16, 10 and 10 mice respectively, and both eyes were used as experimental eyes. Western blot was used to evaluate the expression of HspB8 on day 3 and 7 after ONC. By GFP immunofluorescence staining, the efficacy of AAV2-shHspB8-GFP transfer was accessed. Moreover, it was possible to identify functional and RGC survival differences between groups by optomotor response (OMR), dark adapted full-field flash electroretinogram (ff-ERG), oscillatory potentials (OPs), photopic negative response (PhNR) and retinal flat-mount RGC counting 5 days after ONC. Comparisons between two groups were made using Mann-Whitney U test, unpaired t-test, unpaired t-test with Welch’s correction, one-way ANOVA, and Bonferroni t test. Results:Compared with the control group, the expression of HSPB8 protein in the retina of mice in ONC3 group was significantly increased, and the difference was statistically significant ( F=43.63, P<0.01). Compared with the control group, the ONC group showed obviously lower visual acuity ( P<0.01), lower a-wave, b-wave, OPs, PhNR amplitude, longer b-wave latency ( P<0.05), and the survival rates of RGC in ONC3 group, ONC5 group and ONC7 group decreased in a time-dependent manner( F=384.90, P<0.01). Transfection of AAV2 efficiency was highest on 4 weeks after IVT. Besides, there was no significant differences between the control group and the AAV2-shHspB8 group on visual acuity, ff-ERG, OPs, PhNR and RGC survival ( P>0.05). In comparison of the control group, we found that RGC survival of the ONC5+AAV2-shHspB8 group was significantly elevated ( F=10.62, P<0.01). Conclusions:Expression of HspB8 on the retina can be induced by ONC. The investigation of RGC counting, visual acuity, and ff-ERG revealed that optic nerve injury destructed functionality of mice retina and resulted to RGC death ultimately. The Most crucial finding of this research is that HspB8 knockdown had a neuroprotective effect in RGC after ONC.
4.Effects of Krüppel-like factor 7 on the survival of retinal ganglion cells and electroretinogram after retinal ischemia-reperfusion injury
Zongyuan LI ; Ning YANG ; Jinyuan LUO ; Jiayi YANG ; Tao HE ; Yiqiao XING
Chinese Journal of Ocular Fundus Diseases 2020;36(11):846-852
Objective:To investigate the effects of Krüppel-like factor 7 (KLF7) on the survival of retinal ganglion cells (RGCs) and electroretinogram (ERG) after retinal ischemia-reperfusion (RIR) injury in mice.Methods:A total of 126 male C57BL/6J mice were randomly divided into normal group, RIR group, normal-KLF7 group, normal-green fluorescent protein (GFP) group, RIR-KLF7 group and RIR-GFP group. At the age of 8 weeks, mice of normal-KLF7 group and RIR-KLF7 group were intravitreally injected 1ul of 1.0×10 12 vg/ml adeno-associated virus overexpressing KLF7 (AAV2-KLF7-GFP). Mice of normal-GFP group and RIR-GFP group were injected adeno-associated virus of AAV2-GFP with the same titer. At the age of 11 weeks, RIR injury was induced in mice of RIR group, RIR-KLF7 group and RIR-GFP group, and intraocular pressure was measured. Retinal cryosections were used to access the efficacy of virus transfection 4 weeks after AAV2-KLF7-GFP transfer. 7 days after RIR injury, RGCs' survival rate was observed and quantified by immunofluorescent staining. ERG was performed to observe the differences in amplitudes and incubation period of scotopic ERG a-, b-wave, oscillatory potentials (Ops), photopic negative responses (PhNR). Optomotor response was performed to observe the differences of visual acuity. Expression of KLF7 was detected by western blot 4 weeks after AAV2-KLF7-GFP transfer. Results:Compared with normal group, RGCs’ survival rates, amplitudes of ERG a-, b-wave, Ops, PhNR and visual acuity of mice in RIR group were decreased, and the differences were statistically significant ( t=12.860, 7.157, 5.735, 8.953, 4.744, 9.887; P<0.05). With the increase of light intensity, the amplitudes of scotopic ERG a- and b-wave were gradually increased while the incubation period was gradually shortened. Compared with RIR group, RGCs’ survival rates, amplitudes of ERG a-, b-wave, Ops, PhNR and visual acuity of mice in RIR-KLF7 group were increased, and the differences were statistically significant ( t=6.350, 3.253, 3.695, 5.825, 5.325, 4.591; P<0.05). Protein level of KLF7 was up-regulated in normal-KLF7 group than those in normal group, and the difference was statistically significant ( t=4.105, P<0.01). Conclusion:Overexpression of KLF7 can improve RGCs’ survival rates and preserve the electrophysiological function.
5.The application value of DCE-MRI in the preoperative TN staging of rectal cancer
Zongyuan XIE ; Xiangyang YU ; Jian DONG ; Zhibin TAN ; Zhiqiang WANG ; Yajing WANG ; Hui LI ; Tao LIU
Journal of Practical Radiology 2018;34(12):1878-1881
Objective To study the application of dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI)in preoperative TN staging of rectal cancer. Methods Seventy-two patients with rectal cancer confirmed by surgery and pathology underwent preoperative conventional MRI and DCE-MRI.The consistencies between conventional MRI and pathology,conventional MRI combined with DCE-MRI and pathology in diagnosing the TN staging were analyzed retrospectively.The quantitative parameters of DCE-MRI including Ktrans,Veand Kepwere measured to analyze the correlation with T staging and lymph nodes metastasis.Results The accuracy of conventional MRI and conventional MRI combined with DCE-MRI in diagnosing the T staging were 72.2% and 84.7%,respectively,in diagnosing the N staging were 65.3% and 77.8%, respectively.The DCE-MRI quantitative parameters (Ktransvalue,Vevalue and Kepvalue)were positively related to the T staging and lymph nodes metastasis(P<0.05).Conclusion DCE-MRI can improve the accuracy of the preoperative TN staging of rectal cancer. DCE-MRI quantitative parameters of Ktrans,Ve,Kepvalues can help to determine T staging and lymph node properties of rectal cancer.
6.Clinical value of MRI in differentiation of rectal cancer T staging
Zongyuan XIE ; Zhiqiang WANG ; Zhibin TAN ; Yajing WANG ; Jingjing WANG ; Hui LI ; Tao LIU
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2017;33(8):1303-1306
Objective To investigate the application value of functional magnetic resonance imaging nethods diffusion weighted imagingand dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging in theT stagingof rectal cancer.Methods Through the retrospectively analysis of DWI and DCE-MRI images of 78 rectal cancer patients confirmed by pathology,the different of routine sequence examination and functional magnetic resonance imaging combined with routine sequence examination in T thestaging diagnosis were contrasted analysis.The correlation of ADC value and quantitative parameters of Ktrans,Kep and Ve values with tumor T staging was analyzed.Results The functional magnetic resonance imaging combined with routine sequence examination in T staging screened 68 cases successfully,and the accuracy rate was 87.2%.preoperative T staging and postoperative pathology of rectal cancerwas better thanroutine sequence examinationin T staging (59 cases,with the accuracy rate 75.6%) (Kappavalue:0.81 vs 0.65,P < 0.05).The ADCvalue andDCE-MRI quantitative parameters values of K and Ve increased with the increase of tumor T staging (P < 0.05).There was no statistically significant difference of Kep values.Conclusions The ADC value and DCE-MRI quantitative parameters (K and Ve values) had certain relevance with Tstaging of rectal cancer.The functional magnetic resonance imaging had a high accuracy in the preoperative T staging of rectal cancer,which proves certain clinical value in judging invasion depth of tumor in the rectal wall.
7.Pharmacokinetics of tramadol hydrochloride in the extracellular fluid of mouse frontal cortex studied by in vivo microdialysis.
Zhangqing MA ; Fang TAO ; Hao FANG ; Tao XU ; Zongyuan HONG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica 2013;48(3):406-10
The paper aims to explore the studying method for the pharmacokinetics of drugs in target organs, the pharmacokinetic process of tramadol hydrochloride in the extracellular fluid of frontal cortex (FrCx) of mice was investigated. Six male mice (Kunming strain) were anaesthetized (urethane, 1.8 g x kg(-1), ip) and secured on a stereotaxic frame. A microdialysis probe was implanted into the FrCx and perfused with artificial cerebrospinal fluid at a flow rate of 2 microL x min(-1). One hour later, mice were administrated (ip) with tramadol hydrochloride (50 mg x kg(-1)) and dialysates were collected continuously at 12-min intervals (24 microL each) for 6 h. The tramadol concentration in dialysates was determined by HPLC-Ultraviolet detection method, and the concentration-time curve and pharmacokinetic parameters of tramadol were calculated with DAS software. The results showed that the pharmacokinetic process of tramadol in the FrCx extracellular fluid of mice was fitted to a two-compartment open model, and the main pharmacokinetic parameters t1/2alpha, t1/2beta, t(max), C(max) and AUC(0-infinity) were (0.27 +/- 0.05) h, (2.72 +/- 0.24) h, (0.50 +/- 0.10) h, (2 110.37 +/- 291.22) microg x L(-1) and (4 474.51 +/- 441.79) microg x L(-1) x h, respectively. In conclusion, a studying method for pharmacokinetics of drugs in the target organ is established, which is simple and feasible. Tramadol hydrochloride shows a two-compartment model in the extracellular fluid of the mouse FrCx, and the distribution- and elimination half-life are 0.5 h and 2.7 h, respectively.
8.Pharmacokinetics--pharmacodynamics of modafinil in mice.
Zhangqing MA ; Zongyuan HONG ; Wusan WANG ; Fang TAO
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica 2012;47(1):101-4
To guide the reasonable clinical application of modafinil (MOD), pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of MOD in mice and the correlation between them were investigated. Male mice (Kunming strain) were given a single oral dose of MOD (120 mg x kg(-1)). The plasma concentration of MOD was measured by HPLC and the pharmacokinetic parameters were calculated with DAS 3.0 software. For another batch of male Kunming strain mice, their locomotor activities were recorded by an infrared ray passive sensor after a same oral dose of MOD, and the synchronization and correlation between the changes of MOD plasma concentration and the locomotor activity induced by MOD were compared and analyzed. The results showed that the plasma concentration-time curve of MOD was fitted to two-compartment open model with a first order absorption. The main pharmacokinetic parameters t1/2alpha, t1/2beta, t(max), C(max) and AUC(0-inifinity) were 0.42 h, 3.10 h, 1.00 h, 41.34 mg x L(-1) and 142.22 mg x L(-1) x h, respectively. MOD significantly increased locomotor activity and the effect lasted for about 4 h. The changes of MOD plasma concentration and the locomotor activity induced by MOD were synchronous. In conclusion, there is a significant correlation between the effect of MOD and its plasma concentration after administration of 120 mg x kg(-1) in mice.
9.The solid-pseudopapillary tumor of pancreas:the clinical characteristics and diagnosis
Dongfeng CHENG ; Baiyong SHEN ; Baosan HAN ; Zhecheng ZHU ; Zongyuan TAO ; Jiabin JIN ; Jie CHEN ; Chenghong PENG
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2008;31(26):14-17
Objective To study the clinical characteristics and diagnosis of the solid-psendopapillary tumor of pancreas (SPT).Methods The clinical data of 40 SPT from January 1996 to January 2008 were retrospectively analyzed. The average age was (32.9 + 13.6 )years. The average clinical course was (8.6±0.1) months.Clinical symptoms usually included distensible pains and secret anguish in abdomen (60.0%).No jaundice appeared in any case.Results The surgical resection was favorable for the treatment of SPT,which had excellent prognosis.No tumor recurrence were found in those following-up patients. Grossly,the cut surface showed areas of solid and papillary tissue,cystic degeneration,hemorrhage,and necrosis.Pathological features included a combination of solid and cystic components with pseudopapillae formation and degenerative regions without glands.Conclusions SPT has its uniquely clinical and pathological characteristics.Its main diagnosed points are helpful for clinical doctors to make timely diagnosis and reduce the rate of misdiagnosis and mistreatment.
10.The management of vasculature during extended radical resection for pancreatic cancer
Zheng LU ; Chenghong PENG ; Quanning CHEN ; Guangwen ZHOU ; Boyong SHEN ; Jiqi YAN ; Dongfeng CHENG ; Xiaoming WANG ; Baoshan HAN ; Zongyuan TAO ; Hongwei LI
Chinese Journal of General Surgery 2008;23(10):742-746
Objective To explore the clinical significance and operational methods during extended radical excision for pancreatic cancer combined with portal vein ( PV )/superior mesentery vein ( SMV ) resection,and to investigate the management of iatrogenic arterial injury. Methods Clinical date of 242 patients with pancreatic cancer undergoing extended radical excision were retrospectively analyzed. All cases were divided into three groups, patients with PV/SMV resection were in group A (n = 51 ), patients with iatrogenic arterial injury during operation were in group B(n =5) ,patients without resection of vessels werein group C (n = 186 ). Operating time、volume of intraoperative blood transfusion, time of vascular interruption、the mean hospitalization,postoperative complications and postoperative survival analysis among three groups were compared with each other. Results Operating time in group A、B and C were (442. 85 ± 102. 32 ) min, ( 348. 62 ± 92. 31 ) min and ( 315.00 ± 83.43 ) min respectively, volume of intraoperative blood transfusion were ( 1430. 83 ± 1092. 43 ) ml、( 1420. 22 ± 794. 41 ) ml and ( 928. 19 ±571.57) ml respectively,operating time and volume of intraoperative blood transfusion were of significantly difference(P <0. 05) among the 3 groups,there was no significant difference in the mean hospitalization and postoperative complications. The postoperative median survival period was 18.4 months for patients of pancreatic adenocarcinoma with PV/SMV resection, the postoperative median survival period was 16. 1 months without PV/SMV resection, there was no significant difference between these by postoperative survival analysis. In the 51 cases with vessel resection,7 cases underwent partial resection of the vascular wall,44 cases underwent segmental resection, reconstruction of the portal vein was performed by end-to-end anastomosis in 38 patients, stent graft in 6 cases, the mean length of the PV/SMV resection was (2. 92 ±1.35 ) cm; latrngenic arterial injury occurred during operation in 5 patients ( 1 in hepatic artery, 1 in superior mesenteric artery, 3 in celiac think), the artery was reconstructed by end-to-end anastomosis in 4 cases,repair in 1 case. Conclusions Active and reasonable operation for pancreatic cancer with PV/SMV resection is important for improving the rate of surgical resection and the quality of life. Because of complex topography,iatrogenic vascular injury may happened frequently.

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