1.Constructing a clinical diagnostic model for pulmonary tuberculosis based on CD161
Ying Zhang ; Zhisu Zhang ; Zilun Shi ; Feng Zhao ; Yingru Xing
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2025;60(3):515-523
Objective:
To construct and validate a clinical diagnostic model to differentiate between pulmonary tuberculosis and non-tuberculous lung diseases.
Methods :
Information was collected from 258 patients with respiratory system diseases, and they were divided into a training set of 152 cases and a test set of 106 cases with a ratio of 6 ∶4 using the random number seed method in R software. The training set was further divided into a tuberculosis group of 95 cases and a non-tuberculosis group of 57 cases, and the test set into a tuberculosis group of 65 cases and a non-tuberculosis group of 41 cases based on the diagnosis of pulmonary tuberculosis. A diagnostic model was constructed using multivariate logistic regression analysis to determine the influencing factors of pulmonary tuberculosis. The diagnostic value and clinical utility of the model were assessed using the receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis(DCA).
Results :
CD161+%(OR=0.768; 95%CI0.697-0.845;P<0.001), AST(OR=0.961; 95%CI0.930-0.993;P=0.019), and smoking history(OR=3.181; 95%CI1.149-8.804;P=0.026) were identified as independent risk factors for the occurrence of pulmonary tuberculosis. In both the training and test sets, the area under the ROC curve(AUC) reached 0.870(95%CI0.816-0.924) and 0.887(95%CI0.827-0.948), respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed a good fit(training set χ2=6.213,P=0.623; test set χ2=6.197,P=0.625). DCA indicated that the model had good reference significance for the diagnosis of the probability of pulmonary tuberculosis occurrence.
Conclusion
The diagnostic model constructed using the percentage of CD161+%, AST levels, and smoking history has certain diagnostic performance, facilitating rapid clinical differentiation between pulmonary tuberculosis and non-tuberculous lung diseases.
2.Comparative study on physical activity and its influencing factors in patients with cardiovascular disease between China and the United Kingdom
Yalei KE ; Hongjing SHI ; Jun LYU ; Yuanyuan CHEN ; Zilun SHAO ; Liming LI ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Canqing YU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(11):1709-1716
Objective:To explore the differences of physical activity levels between Chinese and British patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and its influencing factors.Methods:Based on the baseline survey of China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) and United Kingdom Biobank (UKB), we identified the case and control group according to the self-reported disease history in the questionnaire. Metabolic equivalent of task, as the assessment of physical activity level, was graded according to the tertiles of specific ages and genders. Multiple logistic regression models were used to analyze the correlation between CVD status and physical activity levels.Results:We included 509 170 Chinese adults and 360 360 British adults in the analysis. After adjusting for multiple factors, we found a positive correlation between CVD patients and low physical activity levels in both CKB and UKB populations (CKB: OR=1.21, 95% CI:1.17-1.25; UKB: OR=1.24, 95% CI:1.20-1.28). There was a high correlation between the prevalence of CVD and low physical activity levels in males with CKB ( OR=1.33, 95% CI:1.27-1.40).Unlike the UKB population, as the length of CVD increased, the physical activity levels of CKB patients gradually approached that of the non-CVD population, and stroke was positively correlated with low physical activity levels ( OR=1.46, 95% CI:1.38-1.53). The decline in physical activity was more pronounced among CKB and UKB CVD patients with lower educational levels, current or former smokers or drinkers, and those with other chronic diseases. In CKB, there showed a high correlation between CVD disease and low physical activity levels in rural areas and non-retired populations. In UKB, there appeared a higher correlation between CVD disease and low physical activity levels in urban and non-working populations. Conclusions:The physical activity levels of CVD patients in both China and the UK were lower than that in non-CVD population. In addition to low-educated individuals, current or former smokers or drinkers, and those with other chronic diseases, it is critical to pay attention to the physical activity levels of rural, male, and non-retirees among Chinese patients.
3.Comparative study on physical activity and its influencing factors in patients with chronic pulmonary obstructive disease between China and the United Kingdom
Hongjing SHI ; Jianuo JIANG ; Jun LYU ; Yuanyuan CHEN ; Zilun SHAO ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Liming LI ; Canqing YU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(12):1851-1857
Objective:To compare physical activity and its influencing factors in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) between China and the United Kingdom.Methods:We analyzed baseline data from China Kadoorie Biobank and the United Kingdom Biobank among COPD patients who were diagnosed with a one-second rate (FEV 1/FVC) less than 70%. Physical activity level was calculated as metabolic equivalent (MET) and divided into three levels: low, medium, and high, according to tertiles stratified by gender and age. Multiple logistic regression was used to estimate ORs and 95% CIs for COPD and Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) grade about physical activity level, and subgroup analysis was conducted. Results:A total of 506 073 Chinese adults and 231 884 British adults were included. After adjusting for potential confounders, COPD was associated with lower physical activity levels in both Chinese and British COPD patients, with OR (95% CI) of 1.07(1.03-1.10) and 1.03(1.01-1.06) compared with non COPD patients, respectively. The GOLD grade was inversely correlated with physical activity level, particularly in a dose-response manner in the CKB population (trend test P<0.001). The negative relationship was stronger among the elderly, people with less education and lower economic status, and those with a smoking or chronic disease history. Chinese rural COPD patients were at high risk of decline of physical activity. Conclusions:Physical activity is inversely related to COPD, with a dose-response connection to GOLD grade. Therefore, physical activity maintenance and improvement should be encouraged and promoted in COPD patients, especially in high-risk groups.
4.Mid- and long-term results of endovascular aneurysm repair for abdominal aortic aneurysms: a single center′s experience for 10 years
Rui WANG ; Chen YAO ; Jinsong WANG ; Zuojun HU ; Mian WANG ; Zilun LI ; Ridong WU ; Siwen WANG ; Junjie NING ; Yuansen QIN ; Yi SHI ; Jin CUI ; Guangqi CHANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2020;58(11):841-846
Objective:To examine the mid- and long-term outcomes of endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR).Methods:This was a retrospective cohort study of 540 patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm who received EVAR at Department of Vascular Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University from January 2009 to December 2018. There were 503 males and 37 females, aged of (69±8) years (range: 44 to 87 years). Clinical data including concomitant disease, aneurysm size and surgical data were collected and patients were followed up after operation. The cumulative survival rate was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier estimator and multivariate Cox regression was used to analyze the independent prognosis factors.Results:The technical success rate was 91.1% (492/540). The perioperative mortality rate was 1.3% (7/540) and the follow-up rate was 91.7% (489/533). The median follow-up time was 45(63) months (range: 1 to 133 months). The all-cause mortality rate was 21.3% (104/489) and the aneurysm-related mortality rate was 6.3% (31/489) during follow-up period. The overall cumulative survival rate of 1-, 3-, 5- and 10-year were 95.1%, 84.0%, 69.5% and 38.6%, respectively, while freedom from aneurysm-related death were 98.4%, 93.3%, 88.4% and 84.4%. During the follow-up period, the complications rate was 9.0% (44/489), and the re-intervention rate was 4.9% (24/489). Cox regression analysis showed that elder age ( HR=2.15, 95 %CI: 1.41 to 3.26, P<0.01), preoperative aneurysm rupture ( HR=2.72, 95 %CI: 1.78 to 4.15, P<0.01) and short neck aneurysm ( HR=1.97, 95 %CI: 1.07 to 3.61, P=0.029) were independent prognosis factors for long-term survival after EVAR. Connclusion:EVAR has low perioperative mortality, high technical success rate, and satisfactory mid-and long-term outcomes.
5.Mid- and long-term results of endovascular aneurysm repair for abdominal aortic aneurysms: a single center′s experience for 10 years
Rui WANG ; Chen YAO ; Jinsong WANG ; Zuojun HU ; Mian WANG ; Zilun LI ; Ridong WU ; Siwen WANG ; Junjie NING ; Yuansen QIN ; Yi SHI ; Jin CUI ; Guangqi CHANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2020;58(11):841-846
Objective:To examine the mid- and long-term outcomes of endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR).Methods:This was a retrospective cohort study of 540 patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm who received EVAR at Department of Vascular Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University from January 2009 to December 2018. There were 503 males and 37 females, aged of (69±8) years (range: 44 to 87 years). Clinical data including concomitant disease, aneurysm size and surgical data were collected and patients were followed up after operation. The cumulative survival rate was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier estimator and multivariate Cox regression was used to analyze the independent prognosis factors.Results:The technical success rate was 91.1% (492/540). The perioperative mortality rate was 1.3% (7/540) and the follow-up rate was 91.7% (489/533). The median follow-up time was 45(63) months (range: 1 to 133 months). The all-cause mortality rate was 21.3% (104/489) and the aneurysm-related mortality rate was 6.3% (31/489) during follow-up period. The overall cumulative survival rate of 1-, 3-, 5- and 10-year were 95.1%, 84.0%, 69.5% and 38.6%, respectively, while freedom from aneurysm-related death were 98.4%, 93.3%, 88.4% and 84.4%. During the follow-up period, the complications rate was 9.0% (44/489), and the re-intervention rate was 4.9% (24/489). Cox regression analysis showed that elder age ( HR=2.15, 95 %CI: 1.41 to 3.26, P<0.01), preoperative aneurysm rupture ( HR=2.72, 95 %CI: 1.78 to 4.15, P<0.01) and short neck aneurysm ( HR=1.97, 95 %CI: 1.07 to 3.61, P=0.029) were independent prognosis factors for long-term survival after EVAR. Connclusion:EVAR has low perioperative mortality, high technical success rate, and satisfactory mid-and long-term outcomes.


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