1.Establishment and validation of a risk prediction model for 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure based on sarcopenia
Huina CHEN ; Ming KONG ; Siqi ZHANG ; Manman XU ; Yu CHEN ; Zhongping DUAN
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(6):1135-1142
ObjectiveTo establish and validate a new prediction model for the risk of death in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) based on sarcopenia and other clinical indicators, and to improve the accuracy of prognostic assessment for ACLF patients. MethodsA total of 380 patients with ACLF who were admitted to Beijing YouAn Hospital, Capital Medical University, from January 2019 to January 2022 were enrolled, and they were divided into training group with 228 patients and testing group with 152 patients in a ratio of 6∶4 using the stratified random sampling method. For the training group, CT images were used to measure the cross-sectional area of the skeletal muscle at the third lumbar vertebra (L3), and L3 skeletal muscle index (L3-SMI) was calculated. Sarcopenia was diagnosed based on the previously established L3-SMI reference values for healthy adults in northern China. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to establish a sarcopenia-ACLF model which integrated sarcopenia and clinical risk factors, and a nomogram was developed for presentation. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was used to assess the predictive performance of the model, the calibration curve was used to assess the degree of calibration, and a decision curve analysis was used to investigate the clinical application value of the model. The independent-samples t test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of continuous data between two groups, and the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curves, and the Log-rank test was used for comparison between groups. The DeLong test was used for comparison of AUC between different models. ResultsThe multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that sarcopenia (hazard ratio [HR]=1.962, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.185 — 3.250, P=0.009), total bilirubin (HR=1.003, 95%CI: 1.002 — 1.005, P<0.001), international normalized ratio (HR=1.997, 95%CI: 1.674 — 2.382, P<0.001), and lactic acid (HR=1.382, 95%CI: 1.170 — 1.632, P<0.001) were included in the sarcopenia-ACLF model. In the training cohort, the sarcopenia-ACLF model had a larger AUC than MELD-Na score in predicting 90-day mortality in patients with ACLF (0.80 vs 0.73, Z=1.97, P=0.049). In the test cohort, the sarcopenia-ACLF model had a significantly larger AUC than MELD score (0.79 vs 0.69, Z=2.70, P=0.007) and MELD-Na score (0.79 vs 0.68, Z=2.92, P=0.004). The calibration curve showed that the model had good calibration ability, with a relatively good consistency between the predicted risk of mortality and the observed results. The DCA results showed that within a reasonable range of threshold probabilities, the sarcopenia-ACLF model showed a greater net benefit than MELD and MELD-Na scores in both the training cohort and the test cohort. ConclusionThe sarcopenia-ACLF model developed in this study provides a more accurate tool for predicting the risk of 90-day mortality in ACLF patients, which provides support for clinical decision-making and helps to optimize treatment strategies.
2.Interpretation of guideline for diagnosis and treatment of acute-on-chronic liver failure (2025 edition)
Manman XU ; Huaibin ZOU ; Zhongping DUAN ; Tao HAN ; Yu CHEN
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(5):844-850
In 2025, Severe Liver Disease and Artificial Liver Group and Nutrition and Regeneration in End-Stage Liver Disease Group of Chinese Society of Hepatology, Chinese Medical Association, convened a panel of national experts to jointly develop China’s first guideline for the diagnosis and treatment of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Based on the latest research findings and clinical practice in China and globally, this guideline establishes a standardized definition of ACLF and provide recommendations for its diagnosis, treatment, and clinical management. This article gives an interpretation of the key points in the guideline, in order to provide a reference for standardized diagnosis and treatment of ACLF.
3.Application of zinc agents in Wilson's disease
Chen LIANG ; Wei HOU ; Zhongping DUAN ; Sujun ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2024;32(9):850-853
Wilson's disease (WD) is a kind of inherited metabolic liver disease in which most patients need lifelong medication to maintain copper homeostasis in the body. Zinc is one of the most commonly used drugs for WD treatment. However, there are currently few high-quality, large-sample, and prospective clinical trials on zinc agent-treated WD. The selection and application of zinc agents are mainly based on patients' clinical phenotype, tolerance to zinc agents, and physicians' experience in treating WD. This article summarizes the application of zinc agents in WD.
4.Efficacy of sandwich cheiloplasty on macrocheilia secondary to port-wine stain
Maozhong TAI ; Tao CHEN ; Chunxiao GE ; Kelei LI ; Zhenguo XU ; Zhongping QIN
Chinese Journal of Medical Aesthetics and Cosmetology 2024;30(6):576-581
Objective:To analyze the curative effect of sandwich cheiloplasty for the treatment of macrocheilia secondary to port-wine stain (PWS).Methods:A total of 43 patients, including 20 males and 23 females, aged 37.0 years (ranged from 4 to 69 years), who underwent sandwich cheiloplasty for the treatment of macrocheilia secondary to PWS from March 2008 to March 2022 were retrospectively enrolled. According to the location of the lesions, they were divided into two groups: upper lip group (21 cases) and lower lip group (22 cases). Pathological examinations were performed in all excised specimens. Postoperative attentions should be paid to keeping incisions locally clean, observing the blood supplying, and taking care of fluid accumulation or incision split. After discharge, the lip appearance and function were evaluated every six months in the outpatient department, and the long-term efficacy was further divided into three levels: grade Ⅰ (poor), grade Ⅱ (moderate), and grade Ⅲ (good). The comparison of grade data named long-term efficacy between the two groups was conducted by Mann-Whitney U test.Results:All 43 patients underwent sandwich cheiloplasty, of which 40 patients received one operation, whereas the other 3 received two due to recurrences. One-stage incision healing was achieved in 43 cases, whereas partial mucosal necrosis appeared in 2 cases, and slight incision dehiscence occurred in 1 case, which healed well after local dressing change. The pathological examination results of 43 excised tissue specimens all showed capillary malformations. After follow-up for 1 to 10 years, long-term efficacy evaluation was made up as follows: 36 cases were evaluated as grade Ⅲ, 7 cases as grade Ⅱ, and 0 case as grade Ⅰ. There were 18 cases of grade Ⅲ, and 3 cases of grade Ⅱ in group A, compared to 18 cases of grade Ⅲ, and 4 cases of grade Ⅱ in group B. By rank sum test, there was no significant difference in overal efficacy between the two groups ( Z=0.342, P>0.05). Conclusions:Sandwich cheiloplasty for the treatment of macrocheilia secondary to PWS effectively removes malformed vascular lesions, and consequently, it can achieve a good long-term therapeutic effect.
5.Epidemiological characteristics of inpatients with liver failure at the Beijing You'an Hospital from 2012 to 2021
Manman XU ; Shanshan LI ; Yanrong YANG ; Yu WU ; Xue YANG ; Zhongping DUAN ; Yu CHEN
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2024;32(1):49-57
Objective:To elucidate the epidemiological characteristics and changing trends of liver failure in order to provide evidence-based strategies for prevention and treatment.Methods:The epidemiological information of inpatients with liver failure admitted and treated at Beijing You'an Hospital from 2012 to 2021 was retrospectively collected. The trend test was used to analyze age, gender, as well as the year-by-year changes in the underlying acute and chronic etiology of acute liver failure (ALF), sub-acute liver failure (SALF), acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), and chronic liver failure (CLF).Results:During the study period, information on a total of 8512 inpatients, aged 51.3±13.5 years and mainly male (71.9%) with liver failure, was collected. The highest to lowest proportions of liver failure types were ACLF 4 023 (47.3%), CLF 3 571(42.0%), SALF 670 (7.9%), and ALF 248 (2.9%). The top five causes of liver failure in the overall population, accounting for 87.6% of the total, were hepatitis B 3 199 (37.58%), alcoholic liver disease 2 237 (26.28%), cryptogenic liver disease 906(10.61%), hepatitis B + alcoholic liver disease 603 (7.08%), drugs 488 (5.73%), The top three etiologies of patients with different types of liver failure were acute etiologies for acute liver failure (ALF), followed by drugs 107 (43.1%), hepatitis B 47(19.0%), and unknown etiology 36 (14.5%); sub-acute liver failure (SALF), followed by drugs 381(56.9%), unknown etiology 106 (15.8%), and sepsis 56 (8.4%); and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), followed by drugs 2 092(52.0%), alcoholic liver disease 813(20.2%), and cryptogenic liver disease 398(9.9%); and chronic etiologies for chronic liver failure (CLF), followed by alcoholic liver disease 1 410(39.5%), hepatitis B 1 028(28.8%), and cryptogenic liver disease 364(10.2%). Longitudinal analysis showed that the average age of patients with liver failure increased year by year, but the sex ratio trend did not change significantly, with male patients predominating throughout. The proportion of drug-induced liver failure in patients with ALF and SALF increased year by year, and the difference in the trend test was statistically significant ( P < 0.05). The proportion of patients with chronic etiologies of ACLF and CLF decreased year by year among hepatitis B, while the proportion of alcoholic liver disease, autoimmune liver disease, and cryptogenic liver disease increased year by year (the difference was statistically significant, P < 0.05). Conclusion:The etiological spectrum of liver failure is changing in our country. Although hepatitis B is still the main cause of liver failure, its proportion shows a decreasing trend year by year, with the exception of ACLF, which is no longer the primary etiology of other types of liver failure, while drug-induced liver disease, alcoholic liver disease, autoimmune liver disease, and cryptogenic liver disease are increasing year by year and will become the focus of liver disease prevention and treatment in the future.
6.Malaria re-importation risk and control needs in the border region, Yunnan
ZHOU Yaowu ; DING Chunli ; YANG Zhongping ; LIN Zurui ; TIAN Peng ; SUN Xiaodong ; DUAN Kaixia ; CHEN Qiyan ; ZHAO Yulong ; XU Jianwei ; ZHOU Hongning
China Tropical Medicine 2024;24(4):394-
Recently, malaria incidence has sharply resurgence in the border area of northern Myanmar, with the parasite incidence rate in 2023 being 21.47 times (95% CI: 18.84-24.48) that of 2019 in Kachin State's Razan and nearby areas. This resurgence caused the number of imported malaria cases to increase from 188 in 2019 to 398 in 2023 in Yunnan Province. In addition to the impact of military conflict, the border malaria joint prevention and control cooperation mechanism and malaria control measures established between China and Myanmar have failed to be implemented effectively due to the impact of the international COVID-19 epidemic. Hence, it is recommended that relevant departments evaluate the quality and effectiveness of the current cross-border transmission measures for malaria in the China-Myanmar border area from a technical perspective, and provide a large demand for primaquine, which can block the spread of malaria and cure vivax malaria, in response to the current prevalent characteristics of vivax malaria predominating in northern Myanmar. Moreover, to effectively reduce the mortality of imported malaria patients and prevent re-importation and transmission, it is necessary to enhance clinical physicians' knowledge, awareness, and vigilance regarding malaria diagnosis and treatment in the Yunnan border region, as well as China's ability and quality of appropriate response to imported malaria.
7.Role of mitochondrial DNA and its mediated inflammatory damage in kidney diseases
Houhui JIANG ; Zhongping WEI ; Zhaowei CHEN ; Guohua DING
Chinese Journal of Nephrology 2024;40(10):840-845
Kidney is a highly energy-demanding organ rich in mitochondria. Numerous studies have indicated that mitochondria play a crucial role in maintaining normal kidney function and in the pathogenesis of various kidney diseases. Mitochondrial DNA is the exclusive genome of mitochondria. Damage to mtDNA not only leads to mitochondrial dysfunction and degradation of mitochondrial quality, but also acts as an endogenous inflammatory molecule, activating various inflammatory pathways, which contribute to cellular damage and the progression of kidney diseases. This article reviews the mechanisms of mitochondrial DNA damage and its significant role in triggering inflammatory injury in kidney diseases. Additionally, it summarizes the current research progress on various intervention strategies targeting this type of damage.
8.Chinese experts consensus on chemotherapy for glioma
Chinese Society of Neuro-oncology ; Zhongping CHEN
Chinese Journal of Nervous and Mental Diseases 2024;50(8):449-462
Glioma is the most prevalent primary intracranial malignant tumor.At present,the main therapy is surgical resection,supplemented by radiotherapy and chemotherapy.Clinical practice has demonstrated that chemotherapy is highly significant and widely employed in postoperative adjuvant therapy for newly diagnosed gliomas as well as salvage therapy for recurrent cases.In order to further standardize the chemotherapy process of glioma and improve the therapeutic effect,Chinese experts consensus on chemotherapy for glioma was compiled by relevant experts organized by Chinese Society of Neuro-oncology,which aims to provide clinical reference for colleagues during neuro-oncology practice.The consensus introduces the chemotherapy regimen from the perspectives of pathological knowledge related to glioma chemotherapy,patient management during chemotherapy,imaging evaluation,different grades of glioma,newly diagnosed or relapsed patients and how to combine other treatment strategies.
9.Association of energy metabolism with serum thyroid hormone levels in patients with liver failure and their impact on prognosis
Xing LIU ; Ming KONG ; Xin HUA ; Yinchuan YANG ; Manman XU ; Yanzhen BI ; Lu LI ; Zhongping DUAN ; Yu CHEN
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2023;39(1):137-141
Objective To explore the predictive value of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, energy metabolism and serum thyroid hormone levels on the severity and prognosis of patients with liver failure and their correlation. Methods This study collected clinicopathological data from 60 liver failure patients, e.g., end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, energy metabolism, and serum thyroid hormone levels. The χ 2 test was performed to analyze the categorical variables, while the Mann-Whitney U test and independent sample t test were performed to assess the continuous variables between the two groups. Spearman correlation coefficient test was used to evaluate correlation of each index. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the optimal cut-off points of serum total triiodothyronine (TT3) and free triiodothyronine (FT3) levels in predicting prognosis of the patients. Results The rates of low TT3 and FT3 levels in liver failure patients were 78.2% and 69.1%, respectively, whereas the low TT3 rates were 95.2% and 67.6% and the low FT3 rates were 90.5% and 55.9% in survival and non-survival groups of patients, respectively (both P < 0.05). Moreover, the MELD score was significantly higher in the non-survival patients than in survival patients [26.0(21.0-29.0) vs 21.0 (19.0-24.0), Z =-3.396, P =0.001], while TT3 and FT3 levels were significantly lower in the non-survival patients than in the survival patients [0.69(0.62-0.73) vs 0.83(0.69-0.94) and 2.17(1.99-2.31) vs 2.54(2.12-2.86), respectively; Z =-2.884、-2.876, all P < 0.01]. The MELD score was negatively associated with serum TT3, FT3, and thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) levels and the respiratory quotient (RQ) ( r =-0.487、-0.329、-0.422、-0.350, all P < 0.01), whereas the RQ was associated with serum TT3 and FT3 levels ( r =0.271、0.265, all P < 0.05). The optimal cutoff values in predicting the severity and survival of patients was 0.75 nmol/L and 2.37pmol/L with the sensitivity values of 67.6% and 64.7% and the specificity of 90.5% and 81.0%, respectively. Conclusion Abnormal thyroid hormone levels and low respiratory quotient could be used to predict the severity and prognosis of patients with liver failure.
10.Value of combined baseline serum HBV markers in predicting HBeAg seroconversion in chronic hepatitis B patients treated by nucleos(t)ide analogues
Yang WANG ; Hao LIAO ; Zhongping DENG ; Jing ZHAO ; Dandan BIAN ; Yan REN ; Yingying JIANG ; Shuang LIU ; Yu CHEN ; Fengmin LU ; Zhongping DUAN ; Sujun ZHENG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2023;39(5):1070-1075
Objective To investigate the ability of combined baseline serum markers, i.e., HBV DNA, HBV RNA, HBsAg, and HBcrAg, to predict HBeAg seroconversion in patients with HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B (CHB) treated by nucleos(t)ide analogues. Methods A retrospective analysis was performed for 83 HBeAg-positive patients selected as subjects from the prospective CHB follow-up cohort established by Difficult & Complicated Liver Diseases and Artificial Liver Center, Beijing YouAn Hospital, Capital Medical University, from June 2007 to July 2008, and the baseline serum levels of HBV DNA, HBV RNA, HBsAg, and HBcrAg were analyzed. The t -test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of continuous data between two groups, and the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. The Spearman method was used for correlation analysis. A Cox regression model was established to calculate HBeAg seroconversion prediction score, and the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the ability of combined markers in predicting HBeAg seroconversion. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate cumulative seroconversion rate in each group, and the Log-rank test was used for comparison between groups. Results For the 83 HBeAg-positive patients, the median follow-up time was 108 months, and 44.58%(37/83) of these patients achieved HBeAg seroconversion. Compared with the non-seroconversion group, the HBeAg seroconversion group had significantly lower baseline serum levels of HBV DNA [6.23(1.99-9.28) log 10 IU/mL vs 7.69(2.05-8.96) log 10 IU/mL, Z =-2.345, P =0.019] and HBV RNA [4.81(1.40-7.53) log 10 copies/mL vs 6.22(2.00-8.49) log 10 copies/mL, Z =-1.702, P =0.010], and there were no significant differences in the levels of HBsAg and HBcrAg between the two groups ( P > 0.05). The Cox regression equation constructed based on the above serum markers showed a median score of 0.95(range 0.37-3.45) for predicting HBeAg seroconversion. In the total population, the combined score was negatively correlated with HBsAg, HBV DNA, HBV RNA, and HBcrAg ( r =-0.697, -0.787, -0.990, and -0.819, all P < 0.001). Based on the median prediction score, the patients were divided into high HBeAg seroconversion group and low HBeAg seroconversion group; as for the prediction of HBeAg seroconversion rate at 36, 60, and 84 months, the high HBeAg seroconversion group had a seroconversion rate of 43.90%, 51.20%, and 63.10%, respectively, while the low HBeAg seroconversion group had a seroconversion rate of 9.60%, 17.00%, and 19.8%, respectively, and there was a significant difference between the two groups ( χ 2 =11.6, P < 0.001). Conclusion The combined prediction score based on baseline serum HBV markers can predict HBeAg seroconversion in CHB patients treated by nucleos(t)ide analogues.

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