Objective To construct and evaluate the prediction model of maternal mortality in Yunnan Province,and predict the maternal mortality rate in Yunnan Province from 2024 to 2030.Methods Based on the maternal mortality rates in Yunnan Province from 1994 to 2023,a grey prediction model and a autoregressive integrated moving average model were constructed,The models were compared using mean absolute error,mean square error and root mean square error to assess their fitting performance,and the optimal model was used to predict the maternal mortality rate in Yunnan Province from 2024 to 2030.Resuls The maternal mortality rate in Yunnan Province showed a continuous decline from 1994 to 2023(χ2=50 170.0,P<0.05).The mean absolute error,mean-square error and root mean-square error for the grey prediction model were 2.424,12.389,3.519,respectively,while for the differential autoregressive moving average model,they were 3.966,27.651,5.258,respectively.The prediction effect of the grey prediction model is superior to that of the autoregressive integrated moving average model,with a posterior difference ratio C=0.079 and a low probability error P=1,indicating a prediction accuracy of level 1.Using the grey prediction model,the maternal mortality rates for Yunnan Province from 2024 to 2030 are 10.05/100 000,9.16/100 000,8.34/100 000,7.59/100 000,691/100 000,6.30/100 000 and 5.73/100 000,respectively.Conclusion The grey prediction model has a good prediction effect on maternal mortality in Yunnan Province.It is predicted that the maternal mortality rate in Yunnan Province in 2030 can meet the control targets outlined in the"Healthy China 2030 Plan",the"Outline of Chinese Women's Development(2021-2030)"and the"Yunnan Women's Development Plan(2021-2030)".

Objective:To analyze the clinical application value of a novel magnetic navigation ultrasound (MNU) combined with digital subtraction angiography (DSA) dual-guided percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage (PTCD) through the right hepatic duct for the treatment of malignant obstructive jaundice.Methods:Randomized controlled trial. The clinical data of 64 patients with malignant obstructive jaundice requiring PTCD through the right hepatic duct at the Hepatobiliary Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University (Jiangsu Province People′s Hospital) from December 2018 to December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. The MNU group ( n=32) underwent puncture guided by a novel domestic MNU combined with DSA, and the control group ( n=32) underwent puncture guided by traditional DSA. The operation time, number of punctures, X-ray dose after biliary stenting as shown by DSA, patients' tolerance of the operation, success rate of the operation, pre- and post-operative total bilirubin, and incidence of postoperative complications were compared between the two groups. Results:The operation time of the MNU group was significantly shorter than that of the control group [(17.8±7.3) vs. (31.6±9.9) min, t=-6.35, P=0.001]; the number of punctures in the MNU group was significantly lower [(1.7±0.6) vs. (6.3±3.9) times, t=-6.59, P=0.001]; and the X-ray dose after biliary stenting as shown by DSA in the MNU group was lower than that in the control group [(132±88) vs. (746±187) mGy, t=-16.81, P<0.001]; Five patients in the control group were unable to tolerate the operation, and two stopped the operation, however all patients in the MNU group could tolerate the operation, and all completed the operation, with a success rate of 100% (32/32) in the MNU group compared to 93.8%(30/32) in the control group; the common complications of PTCD were biliary bleeding and infection, and the incidence of biliary bleeding (25.0%, 8/32) and infection (18.8%, 6/32) in the MNU group was significantly lower than that in the control group, 53.1% (17/32) and 28.1% (9/32), respectively. Conclusion:Magnetic navigation ultrasound combined with DSA dual-guided PTCD through the right biliary system for the treatment of malignant obstructive jaundice is safe and feasible.

Objective To quantitatively evaluate the structure and content of the long-term care policy for the older people in the 14th Five-Year Plan in China. Methods The primary indicators were constructed based on multi-source flow model,using Policy Modeling Consisten-cy(PMC)model,and the secondary indicators were constructed based on World Health Organization reports Long-term care for older people:Package for universal health coverage and Decade of healthy ageing:Plan of action.An evaluation system was formed,containing nine primary indicators and 35 secondary indicators.A total of eight policies issued by the nation between November,2021 and January,2024 were included.High-frequency words were extracted using ROSTCM 6.0,a semantic network map of keywords was created using Gephi,and the policies were analyzed using the evaluation system. Results The policies mainly focused on nursing,community,rehabilitation and nursing home,etc.The average PMC in-dex was 6.77.For the policy content coverage,one policy was perfect,five were excellent and two were accept-able.In the dimension of policy content,the indexes of three primary indicators of policy function,policy recep-tors and infrastructure construction were 0.85 or more;while the indexes of three primary indicators of caregiver assistance,support for the elderly and human resources building were 0.7 or less. Conclusion The content of long-term care policies for the older people issued in the 14th Five-Year Plan in China covers well in policy functions,policy recipients and infrastructure,and needs to be upgraded in the three dimensions of caregiver assistance,support for the elderly and human resource building.It is important to strengthen the policy content and measures in three areas,namely,the comprehensive care support network,the creation of an age-friendly environment and support for informal care.

To investigate the associations of serum gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) levels with the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and its subtypes in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Jiangsu Province.Methods:The participants were enrolled in the Comprehensive Research project regarding 'Prevention and Control of Diabetes' in Jiangsu Province. The baseline survey was conducted from 2013 to 2014, and follow-up until December 31, 2021. After excluding the participants who self-reported with chronic liver disease/stroke/coronary heart disease at baseline survey and those with incomplete information on GGT, a total of 16 147 T2DM patients were included in the final analysis. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to calculate the hazard ratio ( HR) and their 95% CI of GGT for CVD, myocardial infarction, and stroke. Restricted cubic spline models were applied to analyze the dose-response relationship between GGT and the risk of CVD and its subtypes. Results:During the median follow-up time of 8.02 years, 2 860 CVD cases were registered, including 196 cases of myocardial infarction and 2 730 cases of stroke. Multivariate Cox proportional risk regression model indicated that compared to the lowest serum GGT level group, the highest GGT level group had a 24% increased risk of CVD ( HR=1.24, 95% CI: 1.09-1.41) and a 23% increased risk of stroke ( HR=1.23, 95% CI: 1.08-1.40). The restricted cubic spline model showed a nonlinear dose-response relationship between GGT and the risk of CVD, myocardial infarction, and stroke in T2DM patients. Conclusions:High levels of GGT may be associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease in T2DM patients, which needs further exploration and validation in future clinical practice.

Objective:To identify species type and analyze the homology of Brucella in a family cluster infection. Methods:Two patients with brucellosis from the same family who were treated at the First People's Hospital of Lianyungang City, Jiangsu Province in May 2022 were selected as the research subjects. Brucella strains (H4LYG01 and H2LYG02) were isolated through blood culture. The isolated strains were identified for species type and homology analysis using a fully automated microbial mass spectrometry detection system. Molecular typing of the isolated strains was performed using multiple locus variable-number tandem-repeat analysis (MLVA) and multilocus sequence typing (MLST). Results:H4LYG01 and H2LYG02 were both Brucella Maltese, and the credibility scores were 9.745 and 9.627, respectively, and the homology was 100%. The MLVA results showed that the gene loci of H4LYG01 and H2LYG02 were completely identical, with the same genotype. The MLST results showed that the sequence type (ST) of H4LYG01 and H2LYG02 were both ST8 types. Conclusion:The two isolated strains of Brucella from a family with clustered infections are both Brucella Maltese and from the same source.

Objective:To explore the effect of mixed reality (MR) application in the reconstruction of mandibular defects.Methods:Eighteen patients with mandibular defects were enrolled in this study, including 10 male patients and 8 female patients, whose age ranged from 27 to 45 years, and the mean age was 35.4 years. All the patients were from the Stomatological Hospital of the Fourth Military Medical University, during October 2019 to May 2021. Fibular flaps were used for the reconstruction of the mandibular defects. The patients were randomly divided into three groups, six in each group. In group one, MR-guided mandibular defect repair and reconstruction technique was used. In group two, 3D printed guide-assisted mandibular defect repair and reconstruction technique was used, and in the control group, traditional jaw defect repair and reconstruction technique was used. All the procedures were performed by the same team. Cone beam computed tomography (CBCT) was used for analysis of surgical accuracy, and questionnaires were used to evaluate the outcome of medical communication, occlusal relationship, appearance restoration, and medical experience satisfaction.Results:The mean surgical errors in the group one and group two were (1.75±0.44) mm and (1.81±0.16) mm respectively, which were both significantly lower than that in the control group (3.05±0.83) mm ( tMR=3.38, t3D=3.56, P<0.01). The medical communication (4.60±0.35, 4.52±0.28, tMR=2.90, t3D=2.77, P<0.05), occlusal relationship (4.17±0.32, 4.28±0.39, tMR=3.07, t3D=3.29, P<0.05), and medical experience satisfaction scores (4.26±0.45, 4.25±0.67, tMR=2.50, t3D=2.26, P<0.05) in the experimental groups were significantly higher than those in the control group (4.02±0.34, 3.58±0.33, 3.56±0.32, respectively). There was no significant difference in the satisfaction of appearance recovery among all the groups ( P>0.05). Conclusions:MR-guided mandibular repair and reconstruction surgery has high accuracy and is also beneficial to the recovery of occlusal relationship and medical communication.

Objective:To investigate the clinical experience of different types of femoral perforator flaps in the reconstruction of oral and maxillofacial head and neck defects.Methods:From January 2018 to January 2021, 573 patients with oral and maxillofacial head and neck defects reconstructed by femoral perforator flap were collected in the Department of Maxillofacial Oncology, the Third Affiliated Hospital of Air Force Military Medical University (age range of 21-76 years, with a male to female ratio of 1.23∶1). According to the type of perforator flap, the patients were divided into ALT group, AMT group, TFL flap group and free muscle flap group. The incidence of postoperative complications, wound healing time and drainage volume in femoral area were compared among the 4 groups.Results:The ALT flap was used in 527 cases: 22 flaps had vascular crisis, 14 flaps had infection, 8 flaps had necrosis, 519 flaps survived; the mean healing time of the wound was (14.50±3.19) days, and the mean drainage volume was (49.9±21.3) ml. 28 cases were repaired with AMT flap: 2 flaps had vascular crisis and 1 had infection. All the flaps survived; the mean healing time of the wound was (14.18±2.75) days, and the mean drainage volume was (50.3±23.0) ml. 11 cases were repaired by TFL flap: 1 flap had vascular crisis and 1 had infection. All the flaps survived. The mean healing time of the wound was (14.09±2.66) days, and the mean drainage volume was (54.1±25.0) ml. 7 cases were repaired by free muscle flap survived without vascular crisis, infection and other postoperative complications; the mean healing time of the wound was 14.14±1.86, and the mean postoperative drainage volume was (49.9±21.1) ml. There was no significant difference in complication rate (flap necrosis, vascular crisis, infection, etc.) and repair effect among 573 patients with different flap types. The postoperative follow-up was conducted for 6-24 months, and the donor area was smooth and good in appearance, without obvious scar or functional influence. The repair effect of the affected area was satisfactory.Conclusions:Although there is a certain proportion of perforator vessel variation in the femoral perforator flap, the flap can be designed freely according to different types of variation. The thigh perforator flap has an essential application value in the repair of oral and maxillofacial head and neck defects.

Objective:To investigate the application value of hepatic vein outflow tract reconstruction with ringed polytetrafluoroethylene vascular in right lobe living donor liver trans-plantation.Methods:The retrospective and descriptive study was conducted. The clinicopatho-logical data of 4 donors and 4 recipients undergoing right lobe living donor liver transplantation in Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, the Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School and 17 donors and 17 recipients undergoing right lobe living donor liver transplantation in the First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University from June 2015 to August 2018 were collected. Of 21 donors, there were 10 males and 11 females, aged from 35 to 57 years, with a median age of 46 years. The median body mass of 21 donors were 64 kg, with a range from 56 to 72 kg. Of 21 recipients, there were 16 males and 5 females, aged from 21 to 68 years, with a median age of 42 years. The median body mass of 21 recipients were 63 kg, with a range from 47 to 77 kg. Observation indicators: (1) surgical and postoperative situations; (2) follow-up. Follow-up was conducted by outpatient examination or telephone interview to detect graft function, tumor recurrence, vascular graft complications, patency of vascular graft and survival of recipients up to August 2020. All recipients will be followed up for all their lives. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean±SD and measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M (range). Count data were represented as absolute numbers or percentages. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate patency rates of hepatic vein outflow tract and survival rates to draw patency curve and survival curve. Results:(1) Surgical and postoperative situations: the operation time, the weight of donor graft, graft to recipient weight ratio and duration of hospital stay of 21 donors were (367±72)minutes, (557±68)g, 0.89%±0.16% and (10+2)days, respectively. No major complication requiring reoperation or intervention occurred in any of the 21 donors. One donor undergoing mild bile leakage preserved peritoneal drainage for one week. All 21 recipients underwent classic orthotopic liver transplantation successfully. The time of hepatic vein outflow tract reconstruction in donor graft, operation time and time of anhepatic phase of 21 recipients were (24±4)minutes, (326±66)minutes and (42±6)minutes, respectively. The number of reconstructed middle hepatic vein in hepatic segment 5 and 8 were 18 and 15, with the diameter of (6.1±1.3)mm and (7.2±1.2)mm, respectively. The number of reconstructed inferior right hepatic vein were 10, with the diameter of (6.3±1.3)mm. The postoperative treatment time at intensive care unit and duration of hospital stay of 21 recipients were (1.5±0.9)days and (22.6±6.7)days, respectively. Ten of 21 recipients underwent postoperative complications. Five recipients underwent graft dysfunction including the level of alanine aminotransferase and aspartate aminotransferase >1 000 IU/L and the level of bilirubin slightly increasing, combined with increased ascites. Enhanced computed tomography scan showed congestion in the right anterior of graft and thrombosis in the middle hepatic vein of hepatic segment 5 and segment 8. All 5 recipients undergoing graft dysfunction recovered with normal liver function and ascites decreasing after symptomatic treatment including liver protection therapy, anticoagulation and albumin infusion. Two recipients underwent inferior vena cava thrombosis and intractable pleural effusion one month after operation. Vena cava venography examination showed thrombosis in the graft vascular. Of the 2 recipients, one case with collateral circulation formation recovered undergoing balloon dilatation and stent placement combined with anticoagulation therapy of warfarin. The other one case recovered after anticoagulation therapy of warfarin. One recipient undergoing bile leakage and abdominal infection with klebsiella pneumoniae recovered after symptomatic treatment. Two recipients undergoing abdominal infection or pulmonary infection recovered after symptomatic treatment. There was no serious complication or death during perioperative period. (2) Follow-up: all 21 recipients were followed up for 10 to 57 months, with a median follow-up time of 38 months. During the follow-up, no recipient underwent graft dysfunction and 2 recipients had tumor recurrence at postoperative 6 months. Six of the 21 recipients died within 2 years after operation including 3 cases dying of tumor recurrence, 2 cases dying of acute hemorrhage and 1 case dying of liver failure. There was no death caused by vascular graft complica-tions. The postoperative 1, 3, 6-month, and 1-year and 2-year potency rates of hepatic vein outflow tract in 21 recipients were 88.4%, 88.4%, 82.4%, 68.0% and 42.1%, respectively. The 6-month, 1-year and 2-year overall survival rates in 21 recipients were 100%, 94.4%, 71.4%, respectively.Conclusion:Application of hepatic vein outflow tract reconstruction with ringed polytetrafluoroethylene vascular in right lobe living donor liver transplantation is safe and feasible.

Objective:To investigate the short-term clinical effect of using fibular flap with preserving the continuity of fibula in hip preservation surgery for femoral head necrosis.Methods:From September, 2017 to November, 2020, 13 cases of femoral head necrosis were repaired with fibular flap. The fibular flaps were cut with an improved method for preserving the continuity of the fibular cortex, and the donor sites were sutured directly. The fibuls were inserted into the femoral heads with single or double segment folding support. Autogenous iliac crest combined with platelet-rich plasma(PRP) was used for impaction of bone grafting in femoral head, and the fibular flaps were anastomosed with 1 artery and 2 veins. All follow-up data were obtained, including bone union by X-ray and CT as well as the functional recovery of the hip joint and donor site. Statistical analysis was performed. P<0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results:The followed-up time ranged from 6 to 23 months. The fibular bones were significantly thicker and the incisions healed well at the donor sites. There was neither abnormal sensation in toes, dorsal foot, and lateral of the leg, nor significant influence on foot function. The hip joint activities were normal. The outcome was proved to be remarkable according to the Harris score(from 58.9±10.6 points before surgery to 81.7±10.6 points after surgery), the difference was statistically significant ( P<0.05) . Conclusion:The method of the improved fibular flap in hip preservation surgery is beneficial to the repair and reconstruction of the necrotic femoral head since the donor area is less traumatic, and a satisfactory clinical effect can be obtained.

Objective:To explore the chain mediating effect of emotion dysregulation and trait anger between childhood trauma and aggressive behavior in adolescents.Methods:A sample of 1 333 undergraduates were recruited to complete the questionnaires about childhood trauma, aggressive behavior, emotion dysregulation, trait anger.The SPSS 23. 0 and Mplus 8.3 software were used to analysis data and test intermediate effect.Results:The scores of childhood trauma, aggressive behavior, difficulties in emotion regulation and trait anger were (33.624±8.211), (53.995±12.307), (91.781±17.518), (23.352±5.477), respectively. Correlation analysis showed that childhood trauma, aggressive behavior, emotion dysregulation and trait anger were positively correlated with each other( r=0.209-0.614; all P<0.01). Mediation modeling analysis showed that childhood trauma had a significant direct effect on aggressive behavior. The direct effect value was 0.121, accounting for 35.8% of the total effect. The total indirect effect of childhood trauma on aggressive behavior was 0.217, accounting for 64.2% of the total effect. The mediating effect of emotion dysregulation as mediator between childhood trauma and aggressive behavior was 0.035, accounting for 10.4% of the total effect. The mediating effect of trait anger as mediator between childhood trauma and aggressive behavior was 0.108, accounting for 31.9% of the total effect. The chain mediating effect of emotion dysregulation and trait anger was 0.074, accounting for 21.9% of the total effect. Conclusion:Emotion dysregulation and trait anger exert a multiple mediating effect on the relationship between childhood trauma and aggressive behavior.