1.Application of optimized combination prediction model in the prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease
Weijie TIAN ; Qian GAO ; Kun YANG ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Jian CHEN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):58-62
Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.
2.Value of using ultrasound features to improve the Ovarian-Adnexal Image Reporting and Data System Category 4 in the benign-malignant differential diagnosis of ovarian-adnexal masses
Lei WU ; Yingnan WU ; Jing ZHAO ; Liping GONG ; Shuang ZHANG ; Jiawei TIAN ; Zhirong HE ; Litao SUN
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2025;34(3):232-238
Objective:To explore the value of ultrasound features modified version 2022 of the Ovarian-Adnexal Imaging Reporting and Data System(O-RADS)Category 4 in the differential diagnosis of benign and malignant ovarian-adnexal tumors.Methods:Retrospective analysis was conducted in 501 cases with ovarian masses classified into 4 categories according to the 2022 version of O-RADS who were collected from 4 clinical centers[the Second Afliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University(188 cases),Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital(146 cases),Sichuan Provincial Maternity and Child Health Care Hospital(90 cases),and Fuling Hospital of Chongqing University(77 cases)]from January 2018 to July 2024 with concomitant surgical resection.The 424 cases from 3 of the clinical centers(the Second Hospital of Harbin Medical University,Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital,and Sichuan Maternal and Child Health Hospital)were randomly divided into a training group(339 cases)and an internal validation group(85 cases)according to an 8∶2 randomization,while the cases from the other clinical center(Fuling Hospital of Chongqing University)were selected as the external validation group(77 cases),and the pathological diagnosis was used as the “gold standard”.Univariate and multifactorial logistic regression analyses were performed on the ultrasound characteristics of the training group to screen the independent predictors associated with ovarian carcinogenesis,and to formulate the stratification rules for the 4 types of masses in O-RADS. The ROC curve of this stratification method was plotted and the area under the curve(AUC)was calculated,and it was validated in the internal validation group and the external validation group;and the diagnostic accuracy was compared with that of the 2022 version of O-RADS.Results:Univariate logistic analysis showed that cysts with solid components,≥ 4 papillary projections,smooth inner wall of the cyst,color flow score ≥ 3 points,and acoustic shadowing were independent predictors of ovarian cancer(all P < 0.05);while multifactorial logistic analysis showed that cysts with a solid component and a color flow score ≥3 points were independent risk factors of ovarian cancer(all P < 0.05),and smooth cyst walls and acoustic shadows were independent protective factors(all P < 0.05).The diagnostic accuracies of the modified training group,internal validation group,and external validation group were 73.7%,68.2%,70.1%,respectively,which were significantly higher than the diagnostic accuracies of the 2022 version of the O-RADS(38.9%,37.6%,33.8%)(all P < 0.05).The diagnostic sensitivity,specificity and AUC of the training group were 0.871,0.652,0.762,respectively,while the internal validation group were 0.844,0.585,0.714,and 0.846,0.627,0.737 in the external validation group. Conclusions:Improvement of the 2022 version of O-RADS category 4 using ultrasound features may improve the identification of benign and malignant ovarian-adnexal tumors.
3.ARID1A regulates cell proliferation through AKT signaling pathway in lung adenocarcinoma
Zhirong LIU ; Shufang ZHAO ; Longfei WANG
Journal of Shenyang Medical College 2025;27(3):244-249
Objective:To investigate the regulatory role of the tumor suppressor gene ARID1A(AT-rich interaction domain 1A)in the proliferation of lung adenocarcinoma(LUAD)cells and its molecular mechanism associated with the protein kinase B(AKT)signaling pathway.Methods:Stable ARID1A-overexpressing A549/H1299 cell models were constructed via lentiviral transfection,with transfection efficiency validated by RT-PCR and Western blot.Cell viability was assessed using the CCK-8 assay,proliferation rate was evaluated using EdU staining,and migration capacity was analyzed by scratch assay.Cell death was evaluated through Calcein/PI live/dead staining and trypan blue exclusion.The phosphorylation level of AKT(p-AKT/AKT ratio)was detected by Western blot.The role of AKT in proliferation regulation was further validated by treating overexpressing cells with the AKT inhibitor MK-2206(1 μmol/L).Results:ARID1A overexpression significantly inhibited the proliferation and migration of A549/H1299 cells while upregulating p-AKT levels.MK-2206 treatment abolished the inhibitory effects of ARID1A overexpression on proliferation.Cell death assays demonstrated no significant impact of ARID1A overexpression on LUAD cell mortality.Conclusion:ARID1A specifically suppresses LUAD cell proliferation and migration by activating the AKT signaling pathway,suggesting that targeting AKT may provide a potential therapeutic strategy for LUAD patients with ARID1A deficiency.
4.Clinical features of dyskinesis and related risk factors in female patients with Parkinson disease
Journal of Apoplexy and Nervous Diseases 2025;42(2):109-114
Objective To investigate the clinical features of dyskinesia and related risk factors in female patients with Parkinson disease (PD). Methods A cross-sectional study was conducted among the female patients who met the diagnostic criteria for PD at the outpatient service of PD in Aerospace Center Hospital, and demographic data and clinical data were collected and compared between groups, including levodopa equivalent daily dose (LEDD), Unified Parkinson’s Disease Rating Scale-Ⅲ(UPDRS-Ⅲ), UPDRS-Ⅳ, scores of non-motor symptoms (cognition and depression), presence or absence of dyskinesia, and single levodopa dose (LD) during the onset of dyskinesia. A binary logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the influencing factors for dyskinesia in female patients with PD. Results A total of 146 female PD patients were enrolled, among whom 30 patients had dyskinesia, with an incidence rate of 20.5%. Compared with the non-dyskinesia group in terms of clinical features, the dyskinesia group had a significantly younger age of onset [(54.3±12.5) years vs (62.7±10.0) years, P<0.001], a significantly longer disease duration [(9.9±3.7) years vs (4.5±3.7) years, P<0.001], a significantly higher severity of disease [H-Y stage: (2.65±0.58) vs (2.35±0.83), P=0.03], a significantly longer duration of LD administration [(7.5±3.2) years vs (3.2±2.6) years, P<0.001], a significantly higher LEDD [(703.2±203.9) mg vs (442.1±226.3) mg, P<0.001], and significantly lower body weight [(54.1±8.2) kg vs (60.0±8.7) kg, P=0.001] and BMI [(20.9±3.1) kg/m2 vs (23.4±3.1) kg/m2, P<0.001]. The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that high BMI (OR=0.770, P=0.005) was a protective factor against dyskinesia in female PD patients, while long disease duration (OR=1.304, P=0.001) and high LEDD (OR=1.003, P=0.012) were risk factors for dyskinesia. Conclusion There is a relatively high incidence rate of dyskinesia in female PD patients, which should be taken seriously in clinical practice, and high BMI is a protective factor, while long disease duration and high LEDD are risk factors for dyskinesia in female PD patients.
Parkinson Disease
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Dyskinesias
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Levodopa
5.Analysis of Antiviral Efficacy and Safety in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B in Indeterminate Phase
Qian AI ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Yue WU ; Haiwen LI ; Shenghao LI ; Yongrui YANG
Journal of Kunming Medical University 2025;46(1):51-59
Objective To analysis the efficacy and safety of antiviral therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus in indeterminate phase based on the new guidelines(2022 Edition of the Guidelines for the Prevention and Treatment of Chronic Hepatitis B).Methods A total of 170 patients with newly diagnosed HBV infection who visited the Third People's Hospital of Kunming from August 1,2020,to July 31,2024,were selected as study subjects.The clinical indicators of patients with normal ALT in the indeterminate phase were analyzed after 12 weeks,24 weeks,and 48 weeks of antiviral treatment,as well as those who did not receive antiviral treatment for 48 weeks.Results(1)Among the 170 patients with normal ALT during the indeterminate phase of HBV infection,the treatment group consisted of 125 patients(36 HBeAg positive and 89 HBeAg negative),while the untreated group had 45 patients.In the treatment group,the HBV-DNA load and HBsAg titer decreased significantly after 48 weeks compared to before treatment,with statistically significant differences(both P<0.05).In the untreated group,the HBV-DNA load showed an upward trend,and the HBsAg titer slightly decreased,with statistically significant differences(both P<0.05).(2)The CVR rate in the treatment group after 48 weeks was 66.67%(24/36)for HBeAg positive patients and 95.51%(85/89)for HBeAg negative patients,with a statistically significant difference(P<0.05).(3)The treatment group showed a significant decrease in GGT and AFP after 48 weeks compared to before treatment,while the untreated group saw an increase in ALT,GGT,and AFP,with statistically significant differences(all P<0.05).(4)The fibrosis indicators APRI,FIB-4,and LSM in the treatment group significantly decreased after 48 weeks compared to before treatment,with statistically significant differences(all P<0.05).(5)The safety indicators CREA,blood calcium,and blood phosphorus in the treatment group significantly decreased after 48 weeks compared to before treatment,with statistically significant differences(all P<0.05).Conclusion Expanding the antiviral treatment indications according to the new guidelines for patients with normal ALT in the indeterminate phase of HBV infection demonstrates good efficacy in controlling HBV-DNA,improving CVR rates,and enhancing fibrosis indicators,while also showing favorable renal safety.However,there may be a risk of osteoporosis due to calcium and phosphorus metabolism disorders,necessitating enhanced monitoring and prevention.
6.Reassessing the scope of real-world data applications and the value of real-world evidence
Feng SUN ; Meng ZHANG ; Houyu ZHAO ; Zhirong YANG ; Junli ZHU ; Jing LI ; Linong JI ; Jiefu YANG ; Siyan ZHAN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(6):1079-1084
In the past decade, real-world data (RWD) research has undergone significant transformations due to data aggregation and processing technologies. However, there is still a lack of consensus regarding the scope of RWD applications and the value of real-world evidence (RWE). This study briefly outlined the origins of the concept of RWD study and its early research scope to promote further development in this area. We also reviewed the understanding of RWD applications and research models from the five perspectives of healthcare professionals, medical institutions, decision-making departments, cross-regional cooperation model, and the practice of the One-Health model. Finally, we systematically summarized the renewed understanding of the value of RWE while looking ahead to the challenges and future developments in this field.
7.Microbial metabolite 3-indolepropionic acid alleviated PD pathologies by decreasing enteric glia cell gliosis via suppressing IL-13Rα1 related signaling pathways.
Meiyu SHANG ; Jingwen NING ; Caixia ZANG ; Jingwei MA ; Yang YANG ; Zhirong WAN ; Jing ZHAO ; Yueqi JIANG ; Qiuzhu CHEN ; Yirong DONG ; Jinrong WANG ; Fangfang LI ; Xiuqi BAO ; Dan ZHANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(4):2024-2038
Although enteric glial cell (EGC) abnormal activation is reported to be involved in the pathogenesis of Parkinson's disease (PD), and inhibition of EGC gliosis alleviated gut and dopaminergic neuronal dysfunction was verified in our previous study, the potential role of gut microbiota on EGC function in PD still need to be addressed. In the present study, fecal microbiota transplantation revealed that EGC function was regulated by gut microbiota. By employing 16S rRNA and metabolomic analysis, we identified that 3-indolepropionic acid (IPA) was the most affected differential microbial metabolite that regulated EGC gliosis. The protective effects of IPA on PD were validated in rotenone-stimulated EGCs and rotenone (30 mg/kg i.g. for 4 weeks)-induced PD mice, as indicated by decreased inflammation, improved intestinal and brain barrier as well as dopaminergic neuronal function. Mechanistic study showed that IPA targeted pregnane X receptor (PXR) in EGCs, and inhibition of IL-13Rα1 involved cytokine-cytokine receptor interaction pathway, leading to inactivation of downstream JAK1-STAT6 pathway. Our data not only provided evidence that EGC gliosis was critical in spreading intestinal damage to brain, but also highlighted the potential role of microbial metabolite IPA in alleviating PD pathological damages through gut-brain axis.
8.Erratum: Author correction to "Microbial metabolite 3-indolepropionic acid alleviated PD pathologies by decreasing enteric glia cell gliosis via suppressing IL-13Rα1 related signaling pathways" Acta Pharm Sin B 15 (2025) 2024-2038.
Meiyu SHANG ; Jingwen NING ; Caixia ZANG ; Jingwei MA ; Yang YANG ; Zhirong WAN ; Jing ZHAO ; Yueqi JIANG ; Qiuzhu CHEN ; Yirong DONG ; Jinrong WANG ; Fangfang LI ; Xiuqi BAO ; Dan ZHANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(9):4972-4972
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1016/j.apsb.2025.02.029.].
9.Protein palmitoylation: A potential therapeutic target in cardiovascular diseases.
Sijia ZHAO ; Yanyan YANG ; Hong LI ; Pin SUN ; Xiangqin HE ; Chao WANG ; Jingjing ZHANG ; Yu TIAN ; Tao YU ; Zhirong JIANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(10):5127-5144
Palmitoylation, an essential covalent attachment of a fatty acid (usually C16 palmitate) to cysteine residues within proteins, is crucial for regulating protein functionality and enzymatic activities. This lipid modification facilitates the anchoring of proteins to cellular membranes, dictating their subcellular distribution and influencing protein transport dynamics and intracellular positioning. Additionally, it plays a role in regulating protein degradation through the ubiquitin-proteasome system. Palmitoylation is implicated in the pathogenesis and progression of cardiovascular diseases by modulating substrates and prompting additional post-translational modifications, as well as by interacting with other molecular alterations. Moreover, an intervention strategy focusing on palmitoylation processes is anticipated to offer novel therapeutic avenues for cardiovascular pathologies and address extant challenges in clinical settings. This review consolidates current research on the role and importance of palmitoylation in cardiovascular diseases by exploring its regulatory functions, the catalyzing enzymes, and the involved substrates. It highlights recent discoveries connecting palmitoylation-targeted therapies to cardiovascular health and examines potential approaches and future challenges in cardiovascular treatment.
10.ARID1A regulates cell proliferation through AKT signaling pathway in lung adenocarcinoma
Zhirong LIU ; Shufang ZHAO ; Longfei WANG
Journal of Shenyang Medical College 2025;27(3):244-249
Objective:To investigate the regulatory role of the tumor suppressor gene ARID1A(AT-rich interaction domain 1A)in the proliferation of lung adenocarcinoma(LUAD)cells and its molecular mechanism associated with the protein kinase B(AKT)signaling pathway.Methods:Stable ARID1A-overexpressing A549/H1299 cell models were constructed via lentiviral transfection,with transfection efficiency validated by RT-PCR and Western blot.Cell viability was assessed using the CCK-8 assay,proliferation rate was evaluated using EdU staining,and migration capacity was analyzed by scratch assay.Cell death was evaluated through Calcein/PI live/dead staining and trypan blue exclusion.The phosphorylation level of AKT(p-AKT/AKT ratio)was detected by Western blot.The role of AKT in proliferation regulation was further validated by treating overexpressing cells with the AKT inhibitor MK-2206(1 μmol/L).Results:ARID1A overexpression significantly inhibited the proliferation and migration of A549/H1299 cells while upregulating p-AKT levels.MK-2206 treatment abolished the inhibitory effects of ARID1A overexpression on proliferation.Cell death assays demonstrated no significant impact of ARID1A overexpression on LUAD cell mortality.Conclusion:ARID1A specifically suppresses LUAD cell proliferation and migration by activating the AKT signaling pathway,suggesting that targeting AKT may provide a potential therapeutic strategy for LUAD patients with ARID1A deficiency.


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