1.Application of optimized combination prediction model in the prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease
Weijie TIAN ; Qian GAO ; Kun YANG ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Jian CHEN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):58-62
Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.
2.Prenatal diagnosis of 22q11.2 microduplication syndrome in a three-generation family: Clinical-genetic characteristics and literature review.
Yifan LIAO ; Yidong WEN ; Xiaoqin DENG ; Cimo WANG ; Zhirong SHANG ; Jinghong YANG ; Jiabing LI
Chinese Journal of Medical Genetics 2026;43(1):57-63
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the genetic etiology for a pregnant woman with a history of multiple adverse pregnancies and assess the phenotype-genotype correlation of 22q11.2 microduplication syndrome in her family.
METHODS:
Amniotic fluid sample was taken from a pregnant woman for whom non-invasive prenatal screening indicated chromosome 22 abnormalities in the fetus. Peripheral blood samples from the woman, her brother and parents were collected for high-throughput low-depth whole genome sequencing (CNV-seq). A pedigree traceability analysis of the results was conducted in conjunction with analysis of clinical manifestation. Relevant literature (from establishment to March 2025) was systematically searched. This study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Mianyang Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital (Ethics No.: Lun Shen [2024]009).
RESULTS:
CNV-seq revealed that the fetus had harbored a 6.02 Mb duplication at 22q11.21q11.23. Karyotyping confirmed it as 46,X?dup(22)(q11.2). Pedigree verification demonstrated that the pregnant woman, her brother and mother had all carried the same duplication. Phenotypic analysis of the affected family members showed classic features of 22q11.2 microduplication syndrome, including hypernasal speech, low nasal bridge, congenital heart disease, and cognitive impairment. A total of 44 cases with full information (including three patients from this pedigree) were included in the analysis. The penetrance of 22q11.2 duplication was approximately 29.5% (13/44), and 52.3% (23/44) of the cases had inherited the variant from a phenotypically normal parent.
CONCLUSION
This study has identified the genetic basis for the woman's recurrent adverse pregnancies and phenotypic abnormalities in her family members. The scoliosis identified in her younger brother has not been previously reported, thereby may enrich the clinical phenotype of this syndrome. For fetuses identified with a 22q11.2 microduplication, detailed fetal imaging is recommended, and genetic counseling should be provided to the couples.
Humans
;
Female
;
Pregnancy
;
Prenatal Diagnosis/methods*
;
Chromosome Duplication/genetics*
;
Male
;
Pedigree
;
DiGeorge Syndrome/diagnosis*
;
Adult
;
Chromosomes, Human, Pair 22/genetics*
;
Abnormalities, Multiple
3.National Multicenter Analysis of Serotype Distribution and Antimicrobial Resistance of Salmonella in China, 2021—2022
Qianqing LI ; Yanan NIU ; Pu QIN ; Honglian WEI ; Jie WANG ; Cuixin QIANG ; Jing YANG ; Zhirong LI ; Weigang WANG ; Min ZHAO ; Qiuyue HUO ; Kaixuan DUAN ; Jianhong ZHAO
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2025;16(5):1120-1130
To analyze the distribution of serotypes and antimicrobial resistance of clinical Non-duplicate A total of 605 Clinically isolated
4.Microbial metabolite 3-indolepropionic acid alleviated PD pathologies by decreasing enteric glia cell gliosis via suppressing IL-13Rα1 related signaling pathways.
Meiyu SHANG ; Jingwen NING ; Caixia ZANG ; Jingwei MA ; Yang YANG ; Zhirong WAN ; Jing ZHAO ; Yueqi JIANG ; Qiuzhu CHEN ; Yirong DONG ; Jinrong WANG ; Fangfang LI ; Xiuqi BAO ; Dan ZHANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(4):2024-2038
Although enteric glial cell (EGC) abnormal activation is reported to be involved in the pathogenesis of Parkinson's disease (PD), and inhibition of EGC gliosis alleviated gut and dopaminergic neuronal dysfunction was verified in our previous study, the potential role of gut microbiota on EGC function in PD still need to be addressed. In the present study, fecal microbiota transplantation revealed that EGC function was regulated by gut microbiota. By employing 16S rRNA and metabolomic analysis, we identified that 3-indolepropionic acid (IPA) was the most affected differential microbial metabolite that regulated EGC gliosis. The protective effects of IPA on PD were validated in rotenone-stimulated EGCs and rotenone (30 mg/kg i.g. for 4 weeks)-induced PD mice, as indicated by decreased inflammation, improved intestinal and brain barrier as well as dopaminergic neuronal function. Mechanistic study showed that IPA targeted pregnane X receptor (PXR) in EGCs, and inhibition of IL-13Rα1 involved cytokine-cytokine receptor interaction pathway, leading to inactivation of downstream JAK1-STAT6 pathway. Our data not only provided evidence that EGC gliosis was critical in spreading intestinal damage to brain, but also highlighted the potential role of microbial metabolite IPA in alleviating PD pathological damages through gut-brain axis.
5.Erratum: Author correction to "Microbial metabolite 3-indolepropionic acid alleviated PD pathologies by decreasing enteric glia cell gliosis via suppressing IL-13Rα1 related signaling pathways" Acta Pharm Sin B 15 (2025) 2024-2038.
Meiyu SHANG ; Jingwen NING ; Caixia ZANG ; Jingwei MA ; Yang YANG ; Zhirong WAN ; Jing ZHAO ; Yueqi JIANG ; Qiuzhu CHEN ; Yirong DONG ; Jinrong WANG ; Fangfang LI ; Xiuqi BAO ; Dan ZHANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(9):4972-4972
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1016/j.apsb.2025.02.029.].
6.Protein palmitoylation: A potential therapeutic target in cardiovascular diseases.
Sijia ZHAO ; Yanyan YANG ; Hong LI ; Pin SUN ; Xiangqin HE ; Chao WANG ; Jingjing ZHANG ; Yu TIAN ; Tao YU ; Zhirong JIANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(10):5127-5144
Palmitoylation, an essential covalent attachment of a fatty acid (usually C16 palmitate) to cysteine residues within proteins, is crucial for regulating protein functionality and enzymatic activities. This lipid modification facilitates the anchoring of proteins to cellular membranes, dictating their subcellular distribution and influencing protein transport dynamics and intracellular positioning. Additionally, it plays a role in regulating protein degradation through the ubiquitin-proteasome system. Palmitoylation is implicated in the pathogenesis and progression of cardiovascular diseases by modulating substrates and prompting additional post-translational modifications, as well as by interacting with other molecular alterations. Moreover, an intervention strategy focusing on palmitoylation processes is anticipated to offer novel therapeutic avenues for cardiovascular pathologies and address extant challenges in clinical settings. This review consolidates current research on the role and importance of palmitoylation in cardiovascular diseases by exploring its regulatory functions, the catalyzing enzymes, and the involved substrates. It highlights recent discoveries connecting palmitoylation-targeted therapies to cardiovascular health and examines potential approaches and future challenges in cardiovascular treatment.
7.Reassessing the scope of real-world data applications and the value of real-world evidence
Feng SUN ; Meng ZHANG ; Houyu ZHAO ; Zhirong YANG ; Junli ZHU ; Jing LI ; Linong JI ; Jiefu YANG ; Siyan ZHAN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(6):1079-1084
In the past decade, real-world data (RWD) research has undergone significant transformations due to data aggregation and processing technologies. However, there is still a lack of consensus regarding the scope of RWD applications and the value of real-world evidence (RWE). This study briefly outlined the origins of the concept of RWD study and its early research scope to promote further development in this area. We also reviewed the understanding of RWD applications and research models from the five perspectives of healthcare professionals, medical institutions, decision-making departments, cross-regional cooperation model, and the practice of the One-Health model. Finally, we systematically summarized the renewed understanding of the value of RWE while looking ahead to the challenges and future developments in this field.
8.Guide on Methodological Standards in Pharmacoepidemiology in China(2nd edition)and their series interpretation(7):selection of control groups
Qinxi TIAN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN ; Zhirong YANG
Chinese Journal of Pharmacoepidemiology 2025;34(7):725-733
The selection of an appropriate control group is a critical component of pharmacoepidemiologic research.This article provides an interpretation of the control selection methods outlined in the Guide on Methodological Standards in Pharmacoepidemiology in China(2nd edition).According to the 2nd edition,studies are categorized into interventional and non-interventional research.In interventional research,control group options include placebo controls,no-treatment controls,active controls,and dose-response controls.For non-interventional research,the gold standard design is the active comparator new user(ACNU)design.When the ACNU design is not feasible,alternative control group strategies should be selected based on the research objective,data sources,exposure characteristics,and potential confounding.These alternatives may include non-user comparators,prevalent user comparators,self-controlled comparators,and external controls.Finally,this article compares the applicability,strengths,and limitations of various control group types.It aims to provide methodological guidance for the scientific selection of control groups in pharmacoepidemiologic studies and to support the conduct of high-quality research.
9.Analysis of Antiviral Efficacy and Safety in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B in Indeterminate Phase
Qian AI ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Yue WU ; Haiwen LI ; Shenghao LI ; Yongrui YANG
Journal of Kunming Medical University 2025;46(1):51-59
Objective To analysis the efficacy and safety of antiviral therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus in indeterminate phase based on the new guidelines(2022 Edition of the Guidelines for the Prevention and Treatment of Chronic Hepatitis B).Methods A total of 170 patients with newly diagnosed HBV infection who visited the Third People's Hospital of Kunming from August 1,2020,to July 31,2024,were selected as study subjects.The clinical indicators of patients with normal ALT in the indeterminate phase were analyzed after 12 weeks,24 weeks,and 48 weeks of antiviral treatment,as well as those who did not receive antiviral treatment for 48 weeks.Results(1)Among the 170 patients with normal ALT during the indeterminate phase of HBV infection,the treatment group consisted of 125 patients(36 HBeAg positive and 89 HBeAg negative),while the untreated group had 45 patients.In the treatment group,the HBV-DNA load and HBsAg titer decreased significantly after 48 weeks compared to before treatment,with statistically significant differences(both P<0.05).In the untreated group,the HBV-DNA load showed an upward trend,and the HBsAg titer slightly decreased,with statistically significant differences(both P<0.05).(2)The CVR rate in the treatment group after 48 weeks was 66.67%(24/36)for HBeAg positive patients and 95.51%(85/89)for HBeAg negative patients,with a statistically significant difference(P<0.05).(3)The treatment group showed a significant decrease in GGT and AFP after 48 weeks compared to before treatment,while the untreated group saw an increase in ALT,GGT,and AFP,with statistically significant differences(all P<0.05).(4)The fibrosis indicators APRI,FIB-4,and LSM in the treatment group significantly decreased after 48 weeks compared to before treatment,with statistically significant differences(all P<0.05).(5)The safety indicators CREA,blood calcium,and blood phosphorus in the treatment group significantly decreased after 48 weeks compared to before treatment,with statistically significant differences(all P<0.05).Conclusion Expanding the antiviral treatment indications according to the new guidelines for patients with normal ALT in the indeterminate phase of HBV infection demonstrates good efficacy in controlling HBV-DNA,improving CVR rates,and enhancing fibrosis indicators,while also showing favorable renal safety.However,there may be a risk of osteoporosis due to calcium and phosphorus metabolism disorders,necessitating enhanced monitoring and prevention.
10.Family participatory multisensory support programme based on the enriched environment theory in preterm infants in the neonatal intensive care unit
Jiaying WANG ; Mei LIN ; Dongmei XU ; Zhirong HUANG ; Songmei YANG ; Ting HUANG ; Liling HUANG ; Yujuan LI ; Xin DENG
Chinese Journal of Practical Nursing 2025;41(4):241-250
Objective:To explore the application effect of family participatory multisensory support programme based on the theory of enriched environment on preterm infants and their mothers in neonatal intensive care unit (NICU).Methods:A historical comparative study was conducted. One hundred and sixteen pairs of preterm infants and their mothers admitted to NICU, Affiliated Hospital of Youjiang Medical University for Nationalities from March to October 2023 were selected by convenience sampling method and divided into control group and experimental group according to the time of admission. The control group was given routine care, while the experimental group implemented a family participatory multisensory support programme based on the enriched environment theory on the basis of the control group. The amplitude-integrated electroencephalography (aEEG) scores and the Chinese version of Parent-Child Interaction Feeding Scale (PCI-FS-C) scores before and after intervention, the Gesell developmental quotients at 40 weeks and 3 months of gestational age, the Chinese version of Maternal Attachment Inventory (CMAI) scores of preterm mothers on the day of discharge and 1 and 3 months after discharge were compared between the two groups.Results:A total of 105 pairs of premature infants and their mothers were included, 52 premature infants of control group, 29 males and 23 females; 53 premature infants of experimental group, including 32 males and 21 females. Before intervention, there were no significant differences in aEEG scores and PCI-FS-C scores between the two groups (all P>0.05). After intervention, the scores of aEEG and PCI-FS-C in the experimental group were (10.91 ± 2.18) and (12.62 ± 1.32) points, respectively, which were higher than (9.67 ± 1.94) and (10.42 ± 1.45) points in the control group, and the differences were statistically significant ( t=3.06, 8.15, both P<0.05). The Gesell developmental quotient were (54.03 ± 9.73), (55.17 ± 11.19), (57.20 ± 11.04), (53.60 ± 9.74), (55.17 ± 10.11) at 40 weeks of gestational age, and (77.15 ± 11.55), (76.62 ± 9.90), (72.76 ± 11.90), (81.47 ± 10.01), (76.51 ± 12.25) at 3 months of gestational age, respectively, which were higher than the control group (49.70 ± 9.07), (49.06 ± 8.61), (52.41 ± 9.01), (49.28 ± 8.78), (50.07 ± 12.52), and (71.10 ± 11.87), (69.02 ± 12.53), (65.77 ± 12.24), (75.08 ± 11.08), (68.63 ± 10.89), the differences were statistically significant ( t values were 2.30-3.49, all P<0.05). The CMAI scores of preterm mothers in the experimental group were (82.81 ± 12.85), (87.70 ± 10.29), (95.91 ± 8.76) points on the day of discharge and 1 and 3 months after discharge, respectively, which were higher than (68.71 ± 14.15), (82.04 ± 11.87), (90.98 ± 11.13) points of the control group, the differences were statistically significant ( t=5.35, 2.61, 2.52, all P<0.05). Conclusions:The family participatory multisensory support programme based on the theory of enriched environment can accelerate the maturation of brain electrical activity in preterm infants and promote brain function and neurobehavioural development; meanwhile, it improves maternal sensitivity and promotes the establishment of mother-infant attachment relationship in preterm infants.


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