1.Development and validation of an XGBoost-based prediction model for acute liver injury in statin users
Xianglong MENG ; Yuelin YU ; Yexiang SUN ; Peng SHEN ; Zhiqin JIANG ; Yu ZHU ; Yueqi YIN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Shengfeng WANG
Chinese Journal of Pharmacoepidemiology 2025;34(8):867-876
Objective To develop and validate a prediction model to identify high-risk individuals who are at-risk to develop acute liver injury(ALI)within 180 days in new statin users,and to support early clinical intervention.Methods Data were sourced from the Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform,covering statin initiators aged 18 years and older from January 1,2010,to October 31,2021.The dataset was divided into a derivation cohort and a temporal validation cohort based on the time of statin initiation.Predictors were selected using LASSO regression,and the model was constructed using the extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)algorithm combined with cost-sensitive learning.Model performance was evaluated using Brier scores,Harrell's C-index,and calibration curves.Results A total of 126,440 statin initiators were included,with 90,542 in the derivation cohort and 35,898 in the validation cohort.Within 180 days of initial statin use,412(0.33%)patients developed ALI,including 305(0.34%)in the derivation cohort and 107(0.30%)in the validation cohort.The final model incorporated 16 predictors,which included demographic characteristics,lifestyle factors,family history,medical history,statin use,and concomitant medication use.The model demonstrated excellent overall performance[Brier score=0.0043,95%CI(0.0038,0.0049)],discrimination[Harrell's C-index=0.761,95%CI(0.725,0.794)],and calibration in internal validation.In temporal validation,the model also performed well[Brier score=0.0044,95%CI(0.0036,0.0052),Harrell's C-index=0.703,95%CI(0.614,0.781)].Conclusion This study develope and validate a prediction model for ALI in statin users,providing clinicians with a reliable tool for individualized risk assessment.This model can help achieve risk stratification and reduce the occurrence of ALI.
2.Establishment of duplex quantitative real-time PCR detection method for gyrovirus galga1 and gyrovirus homsa1
Dan YU ; Zhixun XIE ; Junke ZHAO ; Yanfang ZHANG ; Zhiqin XIE ; Liji XIE ; Wen-qiao YIN ; Huaying YU
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;45(1):59-65,73
Gyrovirus galga1(GyVg1)and gyrovirus homsa1(GyH1)are two newly discovered cir-coviruses that can cause symptoms related to transmissible viral proventriculitis of chickens.These viruses have been reported in various regions worldwide.This research aims to establish a duplex real-time PCR assay capable of identifying and detecting GyVg1 and GyH1.Specific primers and probes were designed based on the conserved regions of GyVg1 and GyH1 respectively using all genome sequence data currently available in GenBank.After optimizing reaction conditions,the du-plex real-time PCR detection method was established and further validated by comparing it with a conventional PCR assay and sequencing results from an analysis of 256 clinical samples collected in 2023 across eight regions of Nanning,Guangxi.The results showed that GyVg1 and GyH1 could be identified in 1 h by the duplex real-time PCR assay and two pairs of primer probes can amplify effectively but there is no any cross reaction with other pathogens.Besides,the detection limit was determined to be 7.5 copies/μL.The correlation coefficient of standard curves exceeded 0.99,and CV for intra-and inter-assay was less than 0.45%.Based on clinical performance,when the quanti-ty of template was greater than or equal to 100 copies,the agreements between the duplex real-time PCR assay and the conventional PCR assay were 94.3%(GyVg1)and 100%(GyH1).In con-clusion,the newly developed duplex real-time PCR assays exhibited good specificity,sensitivity and repeatability,which could contribute to the rapid detection and differentiation of GyVg1 and GyH1.
3.Establishment of duplex quantitative real-time PCR detection method for gyrovirus galga1 and gyrovirus homsa1
Dan YU ; Zhixun XIE ; Junke ZHAO ; Yanfang ZHANG ; Zhiqin XIE ; Liji XIE ; Wen-qiao YIN ; Huaying YU
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;45(1):59-65,73
Gyrovirus galga1(GyVg1)and gyrovirus homsa1(GyH1)are two newly discovered cir-coviruses that can cause symptoms related to transmissible viral proventriculitis of chickens.These viruses have been reported in various regions worldwide.This research aims to establish a duplex real-time PCR assay capable of identifying and detecting GyVg1 and GyH1.Specific primers and probes were designed based on the conserved regions of GyVg1 and GyH1 respectively using all genome sequence data currently available in GenBank.After optimizing reaction conditions,the du-plex real-time PCR detection method was established and further validated by comparing it with a conventional PCR assay and sequencing results from an analysis of 256 clinical samples collected in 2023 across eight regions of Nanning,Guangxi.The results showed that GyVg1 and GyH1 could be identified in 1 h by the duplex real-time PCR assay and two pairs of primer probes can amplify effectively but there is no any cross reaction with other pathogens.Besides,the detection limit was determined to be 7.5 copies/μL.The correlation coefficient of standard curves exceeded 0.99,and CV for intra-and inter-assay was less than 0.45%.Based on clinical performance,when the quanti-ty of template was greater than or equal to 100 copies,the agreements between the duplex real-time PCR assay and the conventional PCR assay were 94.3%(GyVg1)and 100%(GyH1).In con-clusion,the newly developed duplex real-time PCR assays exhibited good specificity,sensitivity and repeatability,which could contribute to the rapid detection and differentiation of GyVg1 and GyH1.
4.Establishment of a double fluorescence RT-LAMP method for detection of chicken astrovirus and avian nephritis virus
Junke ZHAO ; Dan YU ; Wenqiao YIN ; Yanfang ZHANG ; Zhiqin XIE ; Qing FAN ; Huaying YU ; Zhixun XIE
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;45(2):204-211,218
To establish a double fluorescent RT-LAMP that can distinguish between chicken astro-virus(CAstV)and avian nephritis virus(ANV),two sets of specific primers and probes labeled with fluorescent groups were designed by comparing the conserved sequences of CAstV ORF1b gene and ANV ORF1b gene downloaded from GenBank.The CAstV probe was labeled with CY3 fluorophore at the 3'end and the quencher BHQ2 at the 5'end.The ANV probe was labeled with CY3 fluorophore at the 3'end and the quencher BHQ2 at the 5'end.The reaction system of the method was optimized,and specificity,repeatability,interference,sensitivity,and clinical sample detection were performed.The results were compared with RT-qPCR and RT-PCR to verify the ef-fectiveness of the method.The experimental results showed that the established double fluorescence RT-LAMP method could complete the reaction within 60 min,and the optimal reac-tion temperature was 65 ℃.This method only detects ANV and CAstV,with no cross-reactivity to other common avian pathogens.The minimum detection limit of CAstV was 1.4 ×10 2 copies/μL,and the minimum detection limit of ANV was 1.5×10 2 copies/μL.The interference and reproduc-ibility tests were good.Compared with RT-qPCR,the coincidence rates of CAstV and ANV were 97.97%and 98.85%,respectively.In conclusion,the double fluorescence RT-LAMP method estab-lished in this study has the characteristics of rapidity,accuracy,good specificity,high sensitivity and good reproducibility,which is suitable for clinical diagnosis and provides technical support for the epidemiological investigation of CAstV and ANV.
5.Development and validation of an XGBoost-based prediction model for acute liver injury in statin users
Xianglong MENG ; Yuelin YU ; Yexiang SUN ; Peng SHEN ; Zhiqin JIANG ; Yu ZHU ; Yueqi YIN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Shengfeng WANG
Chinese Journal of Pharmacoepidemiology 2025;34(8):867-876
Objective To develop and validate a prediction model to identify high-risk individuals who are at-risk to develop acute liver injury(ALI)within 180 days in new statin users,and to support early clinical intervention.Methods Data were sourced from the Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform,covering statin initiators aged 18 years and older from January 1,2010,to October 31,2021.The dataset was divided into a derivation cohort and a temporal validation cohort based on the time of statin initiation.Predictors were selected using LASSO regression,and the model was constructed using the extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)algorithm combined with cost-sensitive learning.Model performance was evaluated using Brier scores,Harrell's C-index,and calibration curves.Results A total of 126,440 statin initiators were included,with 90,542 in the derivation cohort and 35,898 in the validation cohort.Within 180 days of initial statin use,412(0.33%)patients developed ALI,including 305(0.34%)in the derivation cohort and 107(0.30%)in the validation cohort.The final model incorporated 16 predictors,which included demographic characteristics,lifestyle factors,family history,medical history,statin use,and concomitant medication use.The model demonstrated excellent overall performance[Brier score=0.0043,95%CI(0.0038,0.0049)],discrimination[Harrell's C-index=0.761,95%CI(0.725,0.794)],and calibration in internal validation.In temporal validation,the model also performed well[Brier score=0.0044,95%CI(0.0036,0.0052),Harrell's C-index=0.703,95%CI(0.614,0.781)].Conclusion This study develope and validate a prediction model for ALI in statin users,providing clinicians with a reliable tool for individualized risk assessment.This model can help achieve risk stratification and reduce the occurrence of ALI.
6.Establishment of a double fluorescence RT-LAMP method for detection of chicken astrovirus and avian nephritis virus
Junke ZHAO ; Dan YU ; Wenqiao YIN ; Yanfang ZHANG ; Zhiqin XIE ; Qing FAN ; Huaying YU ; Zhixun XIE
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;45(2):204-211,218
To establish a double fluorescent RT-LAMP that can distinguish between chicken astro-virus(CAstV)and avian nephritis virus(ANV),two sets of specific primers and probes labeled with fluorescent groups were designed by comparing the conserved sequences of CAstV ORF1b gene and ANV ORF1b gene downloaded from GenBank.The CAstV probe was labeled with CY3 fluorophore at the 3'end and the quencher BHQ2 at the 5'end.The ANV probe was labeled with CY3 fluorophore at the 3'end and the quencher BHQ2 at the 5'end.The reaction system of the method was optimized,and specificity,repeatability,interference,sensitivity,and clinical sample detection were performed.The results were compared with RT-qPCR and RT-PCR to verify the ef-fectiveness of the method.The experimental results showed that the established double fluorescence RT-LAMP method could complete the reaction within 60 min,and the optimal reac-tion temperature was 65 ℃.This method only detects ANV and CAstV,with no cross-reactivity to other common avian pathogens.The minimum detection limit of CAstV was 1.4 ×10 2 copies/μL,and the minimum detection limit of ANV was 1.5×10 2 copies/μL.The interference and reproduc-ibility tests were good.Compared with RT-qPCR,the coincidence rates of CAstV and ANV were 97.97%and 98.85%,respectively.In conclusion,the double fluorescence RT-LAMP method estab-lished in this study has the characteristics of rapidity,accuracy,good specificity,high sensitivity and good reproducibility,which is suitable for clinical diagnosis and provides technical support for the epidemiological investigation of CAstV and ANV.
7.Incidence density of sleep disorders among adults in Yinzhou District
CHEN Yunpeng ; YIN Yueqi ; SUN Yexiang ; SHEN Peng ; ZHU Yu ; JIANG Zhiqin
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;36(12):1028-1031
Objective:
To investigate the incidence density of adult sleep disorders (SD) in Yinzhou District, Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province from 2017 to 2023, so as to provide insights into formulating the control measures of SD.
Methods:
The electronic health records of permanent residents aged 18 years and over in Yinzhou District from 2017 to 2023 were collected through the Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform. New cases of SD were diagnosed for the first time a year after establishing health records. The incidence density was estimated using Poisson distribution. The temporal, population and regional distribution characteristics of new cases of SD were analyzed using a descriptively epidemiological method.
Results:
From 2017 to 2023, there were 1 255 129 permanent residents aged 18 years and over in Yinzhou District, with a total observed person-time of 6 292 884 person-years and a median of 5.67 (interquartile range, 3.74) person-years. There were 165 490 new cases of SD, including 67 095 males (40.54%) and 98 385 females (59.46%). The incidence density of SD in Yinzhou District from 2017 to 2023 was 26.30/1 000 person-years, with no significant trend observed (P>0.05). The incidence density of SD was higher in females than in males (29.63/1 000 person-years vs. 22.57/1 000 person-years, P<0.05). The highest incidence density of SD was observed in individuals aged 70 to <80 years (63.30/1 000 person-years), and the lowest was in individuals aged 18 to <30 years (7.24/1 000 person-years). The incidence density of SD in individuals aged 30 years and over was higher than that in individuals aged 18 to <30 years (all P<0.05). The incidence density of SD was 32.03/1 000 person-years in individuals with junior high school education or below, which was higher than individuals with senior high school/technical secondary school education (25.93/1 000 person-years) and college degree and above (18.87/1 000 person-years, all P<0.05). Dongliu Street, Dongjiao Street, and Baihe Street had relatively higher incidence densities of SD, at 45.11/1 000 person-years, 42.87/1 000 person-years and 40.16/1 000 person-years, respectively.
Conclusions
From 2017 to 2023, there was no significant trend in the incidence density of SD in Yinzhou District. Higher incidence density were observed in females, the elderly, and individuals living in central urban areas.
8.Arthroscopic partial trapeziectomy and suture button suspensionplasty in the treatment of first carpometacarpal joint athrosis
Zhe ZHAO ; Hongli GENG ; Jianquan LIU ; Yongsheng LI ; Jianwen YIN ; Xiaoqiang CHEN ; Guanghui WANG ; Xiangyu CHENG ; Jiabei LI ; Zhiqin DENG ; Aozhengzheng DONG ; Manyi WANG ; Xiaofei ZHENG ; Wencui LI
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2024;44(1):25-32
Objective:To analyze the clinic effects of arthroscopic partial trapeziectomy and suture button suspensionplasty in the treatment of first carpometacarpal joint (CMCJ) Eaton stage II/III arthrosis.Methods:A retrospective study was conducted on a total of 15 cases (16 hands) of patients including 5 males (1 bilateral) and 10 females with CMCJ stage II/III arthrosis who underwent surgical treatment at the first affiliated hospital of Shenzhen university from January 2020 to June 2022, with mean age of 56.7±6.4 years (range, 46-75 years). The duration from pain to treatment was 7.8±3.2 months (range, 4-14 months). X-ray showed narrowing of CMCJ with osteophytes and distal radial subluxation. All the patients were treated with arthroscopic partial trapeziectomy and suture button suspensionplasty. The preoperative and last postoperative follow-up radiographs, visual analogue scale (VAS), thumb's Kapandji scores, disabilies of the arm, shoulder, and hand (DASH) scores, grip and pinch strength and time to return to work were compared.Results:All cases were followed up for 19.6±6.3 months (range, 11-36 months). The postoperative X-ray showed all the CMCJs were reduced with a normal height of first metacarpal. The mean time for patients to return to their daily activities was 18.69±3.70 d and the mean time to return to work was 24.63±4.91 d. The average VAS score decreased from 6.56±1.15 preoperatively to 1.00 (0.75, 1.25). The preoperative Kapandji's score was 8.00±0.82 and the postoperative Kapandji's score was 8.00 (7.25, 9.00). The average DASH values improved from 24.06±3.19 to 4.00 (3.00, 5.00). The were significant differences except for Kapandji score ( Z=-4.905, P<0.001; Z=-0.121, P=0.905; Z=-4.846, P<0.001). The mean grip and pinch strength showed improvement from an average of 16.4 (14.13, 18.68) kg and 1.70±0.35 kg to 26.14±3.27 kg and 3.58±0.91 kg with significant difference ( Z=-4.617, P<0.001; t=-7.669, P<0.001). Conclusion:Arthroscopic partial trapeziectomy and suture button suspensionplasty is a minimally invasive surgery for the treatment of first CMCJ Eaton stage II/III arthrosis. By this technique, the patients' existing instability and pain problems can be solved.
9.Analysis of the first frozen-thawed embryo transfer clinical outcomes in young patients applying natural cycle and hormone replacement therapy
Sichen LI ; Zhiqin BU ; Yueyue CUI ; Beining YIN ; Zhiyi YAO ; Yile ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Reproduction and Contraception 2024;44(5):463-470
Objective:To analyze the clinical outcomes of the first frozen-thawed embryo transfer (FET) in patients <35 years old applying natural cycle (NC) and hormone replacement therapy (HRT).Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze 4 814 young infertility patients who underwent the first FET in Reproductive Medicine Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from January 2016 to June 2021. According to different endometrial preparation protocols, they were divided into 2 groups: NC group and HRT group, who were matched the baseline data using 1∶1 propensity score matching (PSM). After the matching, the two groups of their baseline data, pregnancy outcomes and perinatal outcomes were compared, and then we adjusted the confounding factors which affect live birth rate by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Based on antral follicle count (AFC), number of embryos transferred and number of high-quality embryos transferred, the effect of NC and HRT on the live birth rate were further analyzed.Results:Before PSM, 2 131 patients in NC group and 2 683 patients in HRT group were included. The differences in female age, male age, body mass index (BMI), basal follicle-stimulating hormone (bFSH), anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH), AFC, endometrial thickness on conversion day, and number of embryos transferred were all statistically significant between the two groups (all P<0.05). And the differences in number of high-quality embryos transferred and type of embryos transferred between the two groups were not statistically significant (all P>0.05). After PSM, 1 441 patients in each of NC group and HRT group were included, and there were no significant differences in their baseline characteristics such as female age, male age and BMI between the two groups (all P<0.05). The live birth rate [50.66% (730/1 441)] and the clinical pregnancy rate [60.31% (869/1 441)] in NC group were significantly higher than those in HRT group [44.69% (644/1 441), P=0.001; 54.27% (782/1 441), P=0.001], and the incidence of very low birth weight in NC group was significantly lower than that in HRT group, and there were no statistical significances in other indicators between the two groups (all P>0.05). After adjusting confounders including bFSH, AMH, AFC, endometrial thickness on conversion day, number of embryos transferred and high-quality embryos transferred using multivariate logistic regression analysis, the results showed that NC was an independent protective factor for live birth rate in the first FET cycle ( aOR=1.280, 95% CI: 1.103-1.486, P=0.001). Stratified analysis showed that those with AFC<11, AFC 11-12, 2 embryos transferred and 2 high-quality embryos tranferred in NC group had significantly higher live birth rate [49.03% (151/308), 49.09% (349/711), 56.38% (442/784), 57.85% (350/605)] than those in HRT group [36.36% (120/330), P=0.001; 43.14% (286/663), P=0.027; 48.97% (379/774), P=0.003; 48.68% (294/604), P=0.001]. Conclusion:NC-FET had higher live birth rate and clinical pregnancy rate than HRT-FET in young patients.
10.Analysis of the first frozen-thawed embryo transfer clinical outcomes in young patients applying natural cycle and hormone replacement therapy
Sichen LI ; Zhiqin BU ; Yueyue CUI ; Beining YIN ; Zhiyi YAO ; Yile ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Reproduction and Contraception 2024;44(5):463-470
Objective:To analyze the clinical outcomes of the first frozen-thawed embryo transfer (FET) in patients <35 years old applying natural cycle (NC) and hormone replacement therapy (HRT).Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze 4 814 young infertility patients who underwent the first FET in Reproductive Medicine Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from January 2016 to June 2021. According to different endometrial preparation protocols, they were divided into 2 groups: NC group and HRT group, who were matched the baseline data using 1∶1 propensity score matching (PSM). After the matching, the two groups of their baseline data, pregnancy outcomes and perinatal outcomes were compared, and then we adjusted the confounding factors which affect live birth rate by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Based on antral follicle count (AFC), number of embryos transferred and number of high-quality embryos transferred, the effect of NC and HRT on the live birth rate were further analyzed.Results:Before PSM, 2 131 patients in NC group and 2 683 patients in HRT group were included. The differences in female age, male age, body mass index (BMI), basal follicle-stimulating hormone (bFSH), anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH), AFC, endometrial thickness on conversion day, and number of embryos transferred were all statistically significant between the two groups (all P<0.05). And the differences in number of high-quality embryos transferred and type of embryos transferred between the two groups were not statistically significant (all P>0.05). After PSM, 1 441 patients in each of NC group and HRT group were included, and there were no significant differences in their baseline characteristics such as female age, male age and BMI between the two groups (all P<0.05). The live birth rate [50.66% (730/1 441)] and the clinical pregnancy rate [60.31% (869/1 441)] in NC group were significantly higher than those in HRT group [44.69% (644/1 441), P=0.001; 54.27% (782/1 441), P=0.001], and the incidence of very low birth weight in NC group was significantly lower than that in HRT group, and there were no statistical significances in other indicators between the two groups (all P>0.05). After adjusting confounders including bFSH, AMH, AFC, endometrial thickness on conversion day, number of embryos transferred and high-quality embryos transferred using multivariate logistic regression analysis, the results showed that NC was an independent protective factor for live birth rate in the first FET cycle ( aOR=1.280, 95% CI: 1.103-1.486, P=0.001). Stratified analysis showed that those with AFC<11, AFC 11-12, 2 embryos transferred and 2 high-quality embryos tranferred in NC group had significantly higher live birth rate [49.03% (151/308), 49.09% (349/711), 56.38% (442/784), 57.85% (350/605)] than those in HRT group [36.36% (120/330), P=0.001; 43.14% (286/663), P=0.027; 48.97% (379/774), P=0.003; 48.68% (294/604), P=0.001]. Conclusion:NC-FET had higher live birth rate and clinical pregnancy rate than HRT-FET in young patients.


Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail