1.Multicenter machine learning-based construction of a model for predicting potential organ donors and validation with decision curve analysis
Xu WANG ; Wenxiu LI ; Fenghua WANG ; Shuli WU ; Dong JIA ; Xin GE ; Zhihua SHAN ; Tongzuo LI
Organ Transplantation 2026;17(1):106-115
Objective To evaluate the predictive value of different machine learning models constructed in a multicenter environment for potential organ donors and verify their clinical application feasibility. Methods The study included 2 000 inpatients admitted to five domestic tertiary hospitals from January 2020 to December 2023, who met the criteria for potential organ donation assessment. They were randomly divided into a training set and an internal validation set (7∶3). Another 300 similar patients admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University from January 2024 to April 2025 were included as an external validation set. The area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and F1-score of three models were compared, and the consistency of the potential organ donor determination process was tested. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictive factors of potential organ donors. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was employed to verify the resource efficiency of each model, and the threshold interval and intervention balance point were assessed. Results Apart from age, there were no significant differences in other basic characteristics among the centers (all P>0.05). The consistency of the potential organ donor determination process among researchers in each center was good [all 95% confidence interval (CI) lower limits >0]. In the internal validation set, the XGBoost model had the best predictive performance (AUC=0.92, 95% CI 0.89-0.94) and the best calibration (P=0.441, Brier score 0.099). In the external validation set, the XGBoost model also had the best predictive performance (AUC=0.91, 95% CI 0.88-0.94), outperforming logistic regression and random forest models. Multivariate logistic regression showed that mechanical ventilation had the greatest impact (odds ratio=2.06, 95% CI 1.54-2.76, P<0.001). DCA indicated that the XGBoost model had the highest net benefit in the threshold interval of 0.2-0.6. The “treat all” strategy only had a slight advantage at extremely low thresholds. The recommended threshold interval, which balances intervention costs and clinical benefits, considers ≥50% positive predictive value (PPV) and ≤50 referrals per 100 high-risk patients. Conclusions The XGBoost model established in a multicenter environment is accurate and well-calibrated in predicting potential organ donors. Combined with DCA, it may effectively guide the timing of clinical interventions and resource allocation, providing new ideas for the assessment and management of organ donation after brain death.
2.Influencing factors of chronic dyslipidemia in T2DM patients with diabetes point system management in Qingpu District,Shanghai
Zhouli WU ; Sen WANG ; Jie CHEN ; Zhihua REN ; Kaiyou YE ; Yueqin JIANG ; Ya WU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(2):56-60
Objective To understand the influencing factors of chronic dyslipidemia in T2DM patients who signed a contract for diabetes point system management in Qingpu District, and to provide a basis for comprehensive intervention and prevention and control of dyslipidemia in T2DM patients and to optimize the management strategy of Qingpu District diabetes point system. Methods Among the T2DM patients who signed the diabetes point system from 2017 to 2023, patients with chronic dyslipidemia and normal blood lipids were selected and included in the case group and the control group, respectively. A case-control study was conducted with 1:1 matching by age and gender to analyze the factors influencing dyslipidemia. Results Multifactorial paired logistic regression analysis showed that overweight/obesity and central obesity and smoking in T2DM patients increased the risk of dyslipidemia by 1.93, 2.27, and 2.16 times, respectively. Long-term use of lipid-lowering drugs, duration of diabetes for 5 years or more, regular physical exercise, knowledge of blood lipid status, and married status could reduce the risk of dyslipidemia in T2DM patients (OR values were 0.547, 0.452, 0.685, 0.386 and 0.354, respectively). Current complications (history of stroke, coronary heart disease, and renal insufficiency) were also associated with dyslipidemia (OR=1.802, 95% CI:1.125-2.888). Conclusion The management of diabetes point system in Qingpu District should strengthen the feedback and interpretation of blood lipid monitoring results, improve patients’ health awareness of blood lipid management, and actively take comprehensive management of lifestyle intervention and drug treatment to effectively control blood lipid and reduce the occurrence of related complications.
3.Optimizing 5-aminosalicylate for moderate ulcerative colitis: expert recommendations from the Asia-Pacific, Middle East, and Africa Inflammatory Bowel Disease Coalition
Filiz AKYÜZ ; Yoon Kyo AN ; Jakob BEGUN ; Satimai ANIWAN ; Huu Hoang BUI ; Webber CHAN ; Chang Hwan CHOI ; Nazeer CHOPDAT ; Susan J CONNOR ; Devendra DESAI ; Emma FLANAGAN ; Taku KOBAYASHI ; Allen Yu-Hung LAI ; Rupert W LEONG ; Alex Hwong-Ruey LEOW ; Wai Keung LEUNG ; Julajak LIMSRIVILAI ; Virly Nanda MUZELLINA ; Kiran PEDDI ; Zhihua RAN ; Shu Chen WEI ; Jose SOLLANO ; Michelle Mui Hian TEO ; Kaichun WU ; Byong Duk YE ; Choon Jin OOI
Intestinal Research 2025;23(1):37-55
The lack of clear definition and classification for “moderate ulcerative colitis (UC)” creates ambiguity regarding the suitability of step-up versus top-down treatment approaches. In this paper, experts address crucial gaps in assessing and managing moderate UC. The Asia-Pacific, Middle East, and Africa Inflammatory Bowel Disease Coalition comprised 24 experts who convened to share, discuss and vote electronically on management recommendations for moderate UC. Experts emphasized that the goal of treating UC is to attain clinical, biomarker, and endoscopic remission using cost-effective strategies such as 5-aminosalicylates (5-ASAs), well-tolerated therapy that can be optimized to improve outcomes. Experts agreed that 5-ASA therapy could be optimized by maximizing dosage (4 g/day for induction of remission), combining oral and topical administration, extending treatment duration beyond 8 weeks, and enhancing patient adherence through personalized counselling and reduced pill burden. Treatment escalation should ideally be reserved for patients with predictors of aggressive disease or those who do not respond to 5-ASA optimization. Premature treatment escalation to advanced therapies (including biologics and oral small molecules) may have long-term health and financial consequences. This paper provides consensus-based expert recommendations and a treatment algorithm, based on current evidence and practices, to assist decision-making in real-world settings.
4.Optimizing 5-aminosalicylate for moderate ulcerative colitis: expert recommendations from the Asia-Pacific, Middle East, and Africa Inflammatory Bowel Disease Coalition
Filiz AKYÜZ ; Yoon Kyo AN ; Jakob BEGUN ; Satimai ANIWAN ; Huu Hoang BUI ; Webber CHAN ; Chang Hwan CHOI ; Nazeer CHOPDAT ; Susan J CONNOR ; Devendra DESAI ; Emma FLANAGAN ; Taku KOBAYASHI ; Allen Yu-Hung LAI ; Rupert W LEONG ; Alex Hwong-Ruey LEOW ; Wai Keung LEUNG ; Julajak LIMSRIVILAI ; Virly Nanda MUZELLINA ; Kiran PEDDI ; Zhihua RAN ; Shu Chen WEI ; Jose SOLLANO ; Michelle Mui Hian TEO ; Kaichun WU ; Byong Duk YE ; Choon Jin OOI
Intestinal Research 2025;23(1):37-55
The lack of clear definition and classification for “moderate ulcerative colitis (UC)” creates ambiguity regarding the suitability of step-up versus top-down treatment approaches. In this paper, experts address crucial gaps in assessing and managing moderate UC. The Asia-Pacific, Middle East, and Africa Inflammatory Bowel Disease Coalition comprised 24 experts who convened to share, discuss and vote electronically on management recommendations for moderate UC. Experts emphasized that the goal of treating UC is to attain clinical, biomarker, and endoscopic remission using cost-effective strategies such as 5-aminosalicylates (5-ASAs), well-tolerated therapy that can be optimized to improve outcomes. Experts agreed that 5-ASA therapy could be optimized by maximizing dosage (4 g/day for induction of remission), combining oral and topical administration, extending treatment duration beyond 8 weeks, and enhancing patient adherence through personalized counselling and reduced pill burden. Treatment escalation should ideally be reserved for patients with predictors of aggressive disease or those who do not respond to 5-ASA optimization. Premature treatment escalation to advanced therapies (including biologics and oral small molecules) may have long-term health and financial consequences. This paper provides consensus-based expert recommendations and a treatment algorithm, based on current evidence and practices, to assist decision-making in real-world settings.
5.Optimizing 5-aminosalicylate for moderate ulcerative colitis: expert recommendations from the Asia-Pacific, Middle East, and Africa Inflammatory Bowel Disease Coalition
Filiz AKYÜZ ; Yoon Kyo AN ; Jakob BEGUN ; Satimai ANIWAN ; Huu Hoang BUI ; Webber CHAN ; Chang Hwan CHOI ; Nazeer CHOPDAT ; Susan J CONNOR ; Devendra DESAI ; Emma FLANAGAN ; Taku KOBAYASHI ; Allen Yu-Hung LAI ; Rupert W LEONG ; Alex Hwong-Ruey LEOW ; Wai Keung LEUNG ; Julajak LIMSRIVILAI ; Virly Nanda MUZELLINA ; Kiran PEDDI ; Zhihua RAN ; Shu Chen WEI ; Jose SOLLANO ; Michelle Mui Hian TEO ; Kaichun WU ; Byong Duk YE ; Choon Jin OOI
Intestinal Research 2025;23(1):37-55
The lack of clear definition and classification for “moderate ulcerative colitis (UC)” creates ambiguity regarding the suitability of step-up versus top-down treatment approaches. In this paper, experts address crucial gaps in assessing and managing moderate UC. The Asia-Pacific, Middle East, and Africa Inflammatory Bowel Disease Coalition comprised 24 experts who convened to share, discuss and vote electronically on management recommendations for moderate UC. Experts emphasized that the goal of treating UC is to attain clinical, biomarker, and endoscopic remission using cost-effective strategies such as 5-aminosalicylates (5-ASAs), well-tolerated therapy that can be optimized to improve outcomes. Experts agreed that 5-ASA therapy could be optimized by maximizing dosage (4 g/day for induction of remission), combining oral and topical administration, extending treatment duration beyond 8 weeks, and enhancing patient adherence through personalized counselling and reduced pill burden. Treatment escalation should ideally be reserved for patients with predictors of aggressive disease or those who do not respond to 5-ASA optimization. Premature treatment escalation to advanced therapies (including biologics and oral small molecules) may have long-term health and financial consequences. This paper provides consensus-based expert recommendations and a treatment algorithm, based on current evidence and practices, to assist decision-making in real-world settings.
6.Comparison of the effect of obesity indicators in predicting cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus
LU Jie ; ZHANG Ke ; WU Ya ; WANG Yue ; ZHANG Yue ; LU Ye ; WU Zhouli ; REN Zhihua ; HUANG Yiwen
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(9):886-891
Objective:
To explore the effect of different obesity indicators in predicting cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases (CVD) risk among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), so as to provide the evidence for the early identification of CVD risk among T2DM patients.
Methods:
The patients with T2DM under community management in Qingpu District, Shanghai Municipality were selected as the study subjects in January 2025. Basic information such as gender, age, and blood glucose control status were collected through the Shanghai Chronic Disease Information Management System, while history of CVD were obtained from residents' electronic health records and the Shanghai Disease Control Information Platform. Obesity was assessed using body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), BMI combined with WC, waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), and triglyceride (TG) combined with WC indicators. The association between obesity and CVD was analyzed using multivariable logistic regression models. The predictive effect of each obesity indicators for CVD was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).
Results:
A total of 4 367 patients with T2DM were included, including 2 121 males (48.57%) and 2 246 females (51.43%). The average age was (68.71±8.05) years. The prevalence of CVD was 44.49%. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that after adjusting for age, education level, history of hypertension, duration of T2DM, use of glucose-lowering medications, renal function, and blood glucose control status, obese T2DM patients had a 389.4% increased risk of CVD compared to those with normal BMI; centrally obese T2DM patients had a 100.4% increased risk compared to those with normal WC; T2DM patients with isolated general obesity and compound obesity had 161.0% and 241.1% increased risks of CVD, respectively, compared to those with normal BMI and WC; centrally obese T2DM patients had a 100.4% increased risk compared to those with normal WHtR; T2DM patients with normal TG-high WC and high TG-high WC phenotypes had 83.1% and 68.8% increased risks of CVD, respectively, compared to those with normal TG and normal WC (all P<0.05). BMI had the highest AUC, at 0.714, with sensitivity and specificity of 0.675 and 0.642, respectively. This was followed by BMI combined with WC, which had an AUC of 0.707, with sensitivity and specificity of 0.635 and 0.679, respectively.
Conclusions
Obesity defined by BMI, WC, BMI combined with WC, WHtR, and TG combined with WC increases the risk of CVD among patients with T2DM. BMI and BMI combined with WC have better predictive effect in predicting CVD risk among patients with T2DM, and can be used as the primary obesity indicators for CVD risk screening.
7.Expert consensus on the prevention and treatment of enamel demineralization in orthodontic treatment.
Lunguo XIA ; Chenchen ZHOU ; Peng MEI ; Zuolin JIN ; Hong HE ; Lin WANG ; Yuxing BAI ; Lili CHEN ; Weiran LI ; Jun WANG ; Min HU ; Jinlin SONG ; Yang CAO ; Yuehua LIU ; Benxiang HOU ; Xi WEI ; Lina NIU ; Haixia LU ; Wensheng MA ; Peijun WANG ; Guirong ZHANG ; Jie GUO ; Zhihua LI ; Haiyan LU ; Liling REN ; Linyu XU ; Xiuping WU ; Yanqin LU ; Jiangtian HU ; Lin YUE ; Xu ZHANG ; Bing FANG
International Journal of Oral Science 2025;17(1):13-13
Enamel demineralization, the formation of white spot lesions, is a common issue in clinical orthodontic treatment. The appearance of white spot lesions not only affects the texture and health of dental hard tissues but also impacts the health and aesthetics of teeth after orthodontic treatment. The prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of white spot lesions that occur throughout the orthodontic treatment process involve multiple dental specialties. This expert consensus will focus on providing guiding opinions on the management and prevention of white spot lesions during orthodontic treatment, advocating for proactive prevention, early detection, timely treatment, scientific follow-up, and multidisciplinary management of white spot lesions throughout the orthodontic process, thereby maintaining the dental health of patients during orthodontic treatment.
Humans
;
Consensus
;
Dental Caries/etiology*
;
Dental Enamel/pathology*
;
Tooth Demineralization/etiology*
;
Tooth Remineralization
8.Expert consensus on early orthodontic treatment of class III malocclusion.
Xin ZHOU ; Si CHEN ; Chenchen ZHOU ; Zuolin JIN ; Hong HE ; Yuxing BAI ; Weiran LI ; Jun WANG ; Min HU ; Yang CAO ; Yuehua LIU ; Bin YAN ; Jiejun SHI ; Jie GUO ; Zhihua LI ; Wensheng MA ; Yi LIU ; Huang LI ; Yanqin LU ; Liling REN ; Rui ZOU ; Linyu XU ; Jiangtian HU ; Xiuping WU ; Shuxia CUI ; Lulu XU ; Xudong WANG ; Songsong ZHU ; Li HU ; Qingming TANG ; Jinlin SONG ; Bing FANG ; Lili CHEN
International Journal of Oral Science 2025;17(1):20-20
The prevalence of Class III malocclusion varies among different countries and regions. The populations from Southeast Asian countries (Chinese and Malaysian) showed the highest prevalence rate of 15.8%, which can seriously affect oral function, facial appearance, and mental health. As anterior crossbite tends to worsen with growth, early orthodontic treatment can harness growth potential to normalize maxillofacial development or reduce skeletal malformation severity, thereby reducing the difficulty and shortening the treatment cycle of later-stage treatment. This is beneficial for the physical and mental growth of children. Therefore, early orthodontic treatment for Class III malocclusion is particularly important. Determining the optimal timing for early orthodontic treatment requires a comprehensive assessment of clinical manifestations, dental age, and skeletal age, and can lead to better results with less effort. Currently, standardized treatment guidelines for early orthodontic treatment of Class III malocclusion are lacking. This review provides a comprehensive summary of the etiology, clinical manifestations, classification, and early orthodontic techniques for Class III malocclusion, along with systematic discussions on selecting early treatment plans. The purpose of this expert consensus is to standardize clinical practices and improve the treatment outcomes of Class III malocclusion through early orthodontic treatment.
Humans
;
Malocclusion, Angle Class III/classification*
;
Orthodontics, Corrective/methods*
;
Consensus
;
Child
9.Molecular mechanisms of lung cancer induced by the insecticide lambda-cyhalothrin.
Yongshun DUAN ; Zifei WANG ; Mengxuan WU ; Shuo WANG ; Xin GUO ; Zhihua NI
Chinese Journal of Biotechnology 2025;41(10):3801-3816
The inappropriate utilisation of the agricultural insecticide lambda-cyhalothrin (LCT) has the potential to result in residues that compromise food safety and human health. Respiratory exposure represents a major route of LCT contact in humans. Nevertheless, its deleterious effects on the respiratory system remain inadequately characterized. It is imperative to elucidate the potential relationship and mechanisms by which lung cancer, a significant malignant neoplasm of the respiratory system, is associated with exposure to LCT. The objective of this study is to utilise bioinformatics methodologies to screen and analyse the key target molecules affected by LCT in the occurrence of lung cancer, and their mechanisms of action. Specifically, network toxicology methods were employed to identify core targets of LCT-induced lung cancer. Subsequently, functional annotation to delineate associated cellular pathways, and finally, molecular docking to simulate binding modes between LCT and shared core targets. Core target screening identified 50 targets for large cell lung cancer, 54 for small cell lung cancer, 29 for lung squamous cell carcinoma, and 28 for lung adenocarcinoma, with EGFR, HSP90AA1, JUN, CCL2, MYC, CXCL8, and HSPA4 shared in all subtypes. Functional annotation revealed that LCT-triggered oncogenic pathways predominantly involved ubiquitination, chemotaxis, and tumor immune signaling. Molecular docking demonstrated spontaneous binding of LCT to core targets mediated by hydrogen bonds and π-cation interactions. These results establish a theoretical framework for evaluating LCT-associated risks of lung cancer and respiratory system damage.
Lung Neoplasms/metabolism*
;
Pyrethrins/toxicity*
;
Humans
;
Insecticides/toxicity*
;
Nitriles/toxicity*
;
Molecular Docking Simulation
10.An accurate diagnostic approach for urothelial carcinomas based on novel dual methylated DNA markers in small-volume urine.
Yucai WU ; Di CAI ; Jian FAN ; Chang MENG ; Shiming HE ; Zhihua LI ; Lianghao ZHANG ; Kunlin YANG ; Aixiang WANG ; Xinfei LI ; Yicong DU ; Shengwei XIONG ; Mancheng XIA ; Tingting LI ; Lanlan DONG ; Yanqing GONG ; Liqun ZHOU ; Xuesong LI
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(2):232-234


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