1.Early prediction of growth patterns after pediatric kidney transplantation based on height-related single-nucleotide polymorphisms
Yi FENG ; Yonghua FENG ; Mingyao HU ; Hongen XU ; Zhigang WANG ; Shicheng XU ; Yongchuang YAN ; Chenghao FENG ; Zhou LI ; Guiwen FENG ; Wenjun SHANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(10):1199-1206
Background::Growth retardation is a common complication of chronic kidney disease in children, which can be partially relieved after renal transplantation. This study aimed to develop and validate a predictive model for growth patterns of children with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) after kidney transplantation using machine learning algorithms based on genomic and clinical variables.Methods::A retrospective cohort of 110 children who received kidney transplants between May 2013 and September 2021 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University were recruited for whole-exome sequencing (WES), and another 39 children who underwent transplant from October 2021 to March 2022 were enrolled for external validation. Based on previous studies, we comprehensively collected 729 height-related single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in exon regions. Seven machine learning algorithms and 10-fold cross-validation analysis were employed for model construction.Results::The 110 children were divided into two groups according to change in height-for-age Z-score. After univariate analysis, age and 19 SNPs were incorporated into the model and validated. The random forest model showed the best prediction efficacy with an accuracy of 0.8125 and an area under curve (AUC) of 0.924, and also performed well in the external validation cohort (accuracy, 0.7949; AUC, 0.796). Conclusions::A model with good performance for predicting post-transplant growth patterns in children based on SNPs and clinical variables was constructed and validated using machine learning algorithms. The model is expected to guide clinicians in the management of children after renal transplantation, including the use of growth hormone, glucocorticoid withdrawal, and nutritional supplementation, to alleviate growth retardation in children with ESRD.
2.An advanced machine learning method for simultaneous breast cancer risk prediction and risk ranking in Chinese population: A prospective cohort and modeling study
Liyuan LIU ; Yong HE ; Chunyu KAO ; Yeye FAN ; Fu YANG ; Fei WANG ; Lixiang YU ; Fei ZHOU ; Yujuan XIANG ; Shuya HUANG ; Chao ZHENG ; Han CAI ; Heling BAO ; Liwen FANG ; Linhong WANG ; Zengjing CHEN ; Zhigang YU
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(17):2084-2091
Background::Breast cancer (BC) risk-stratification tools for Asian women that are highly accurate and can provide improved interpretation ability are lacking. We aimed to develop risk-stratification models to predict long- and short-term BC risk among Chinese women and to simultaneously rank potential non-experimental risk factors.Methods::The Breast Cancer Cohort Study in Chinese Women, a large ongoing prospective dynamic cohort study, includes 122,058 women aged 25-70 years old from the eastern part of China. We developed multiple machine-learning risk prediction models using parametric models (penalized logistic regression, bootstrap, and ensemble learning), which were the short-term ensemble penalized logistic regression (EPLR) risk prediction model and the ensemble penalized long-term (EPLT) risk prediction model to estimate BC risk. The models were assessed based on calibration and discrimination, and following this assessment, they were externally validated in new study participants from 2017 to 2020.Results::The AUC values of the short-term EPLR risk prediction model were 0.800 for the internal validation and 0.751 for the external validation set. For the long-term EPLT risk prediction model, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.692 and 0.760 in internal and external validations, respectively. The net reclassification improvement index of the EPLT relative to the Gail and the Han Chinese Breast Cancer Prediction Model (HCBCP) models for external validation was 0.193 and 0.233, respectively, indicating that the EPLT model has higher classification accuracy.Conclusions::We developed the EPLR and EPLT models to screen populations with a high risk of developing BC. These can serve as useful tools to aid in risk-stratified screening and BC prevention.
3.Nomogram based on clinical-ultrasonic features for predicting short-term prognosis of acute ischemic stroke
Hang SU ; Zhigang ZHOU ; Jing LI
Chinese Journal of Interventional Imaging and Therapy 2024;21(6):338-342
Objective To explore the value of nomogram based on clinical-ultrasonic features for predicting short-term prognosis of acute ischemic stroke(AIS).Methods Totally 168 patients with AIS who underwent intravascular interventional therapies were retrospectively enrolled.The patients were divided into good prognosis group(n=134)and poor prognosis group(n=34)according to the score of modified Rankin scale 3 months after treatments.Clinical and ultrasonic data were compared between groups.Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)algorithm and Cox regression analysis were used to screen the independent impact factors for predicting short-term prognosis of AIS,and then clinical,ultrasonic and clinical-ultrasonic nomogram models were constructed based on the above independent impact factors,respectively.Receiver operating characteristic curves were drawn,and the areas under the curves(AUC)were calculated to evaluate the efficacy of each model for predicting short-term prognosis of AIS.Results The time span from onset to admission,National Institute of Health stroke scale(NIHSS)score,Alberta stroke program early CT score(ASPECTS),time-intensity curve-mean(TIC-M),time-intensity curve-peak(TIC-P)and the AUC of gamma curve were all independent impact factors for predicting short-term prognosis of AIS(all P<0.05).The AUC of clinical,ultrasonic and clinical-ultrasonic nomogram model was 0.888,0.758 and 0.921,respectively,among which clinical-ultrasonic nomogram model had the highest predictive efficacy(both P<0.05).Conclusion Clinical-ultrasonic nomogram could be used to effectively predict short-term prognosis of AIS.
4.Efficacy and safety of CT-guided percutaneous biopsy of gastrointestinal space-occupying lesions
Haojie ZHANG ; Kepu DU ; Meng WANG ; Fei GAO ; Zhigang ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Interventional Imaging and Therapy 2024;21(7):398-402
Objective To observe the efficacy and safety of CT-guided percutaneous biopsy of gastrointestinal space-occupying lesions.Methods Data of 116 patients with gastric,small intestinal or colorectal space-occupying lesions(totally 116 lesions)who underwent CT-guided percutaneous biopsy were retrospectively analyzed.The success rate of sampling was recorded.According to surgical pathology or follow-up results,the effectiveness of percutaneous biopsy,including the diagnostic sensitivity,specificity,accuracy and false negative rate were calculated.The impact of cavity wall thickness of the lesion(<1 cm and≥1 cm),needle insertion depth(<5 cm and≥5 cm)and puncture needle through gastrointestinal tract or not were observed and the related complications were recorded.Results All lesions were successfully sampled.The diagnostic sensitivity of percutaneous biopsy was 88.07%(96/109),with specificity of 100%(7/7),accuracy of 88.79%(103/116)and false negative rate of 11.93%(13/109).For lesions with cavity wall thickness≥1 cm and puncture needle insertion depth<5 cm,the sensitivity and accuracy of puncture biopsy were higher(all P<0.05),while the sensitivity and accuracy of puncture needle through gastrointestinal tract or not were not different(both P>0.05).Slight bleeding around the lesions occurred in 12 cases(12/116,10.34%),but no other complications happened.Conclusion CT-guided percutaneous biopsy of gastrointestinal space-occupying lesions was effective and safe.
5.A novel nomogram-based model to predict the postoperative overall survival in patients with gastric and colorectal cancer
Siwen WANG ; Kangjing XU ; Xuejin GAO ; Tingting GAO ; Guangming SUN ; Yaqin XIAO ; Haoyang WANG ; Chenghao ZENG ; Deshuai SONG ; Yupeng ZHANG ; Lingli HUANG ; Bo LIAN ; Jianjiao CHEN ; Dong GUO ; Zhenyi JIA ; Yong WANG ; Fangyou GONG ; Junde ZHOU ; Zhigang XUE ; Zhida CHEN ; Gang LI ; Mengbin LI ; Wei ZHAO ; Yanbing ZHOU ; Huanlong QIN ; Xiaoting WU ; Kunhua WANG ; Qiang CHI ; Jianchun YU ; Yun TANG ; Guoli LI ; Li ZHANG ; Xinying WANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Nutrition 2024;32(3):138-149
Objective:We aimed to develop a novel visualized model based on nomogram to predict postoperative overall survival.Methods:This was a multicenter, retrospective, observational cohort study, including participants with histologically confirmed gastric and colorectal cancer who underwent radical surgery from 11 medical centers in China from August 1, 2015 to June 30, 2018. Baseline characteristics, histopathological data and nutritional status, as assessed using Nutrition Risk Screening 2002 (NRS 2002) score and the scored Patient-Generated Subjective Global Assessment, were collected. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and Cox regression were used to identify variables to be included in the predictive model. Internal and external validations were performed.Results:There were 681 and 127 patients in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. A total of 188 deaths were observed over a median follow-up period of 59 (range: 58 to 60) months. Two independent predictors of NRS 2002 and Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) stage were identified and incorporated into the prediction nomogram model together with the factor of age. The model's concordance index for 1-, 3- and 5-year overall survival was 0.696, 0.724, and 0.738 in the training cohort and 0.801, 0.812, and 0.793 in the validation cohort, respectively.Conclusions:In this study, a new nomogram prediction model based on NRS 2002 score was developed and validated for predicting the overall postoperative survival of patients with gastric colorectal cancer. This model has good differentiation, calibration and clinical practicability in predicting the long-term survival rate of patients with gastrointestinal cancer after radical surgery.
6.Probing the anti-rheumatoid arthritis synovial neovascularization of alcoholic extracts of the Miao medicinal plant helleborus thibetanus franchon in rats based on the VEGF/VEGFR2 signaling pathway
Lei HOU ; Yunmei ZHOU ; Dong DING ; Zizhen LI ; Zhigang ZHU ; Wenting SHAN ; Xia LIU ; Fei AI
Acta Laboratorium Animalis Scientia Sinica 2024;32(10):1233-1242
Objective This project aimed to study the Miao medicine helleborus thibetanus franchon,including investigating its anti-inflammatory activity in collagen-induced arthritis CIA rats and its mechanism of VEGF/VEGFR2/P38 MAPK pathway regulation.Methods Sixty female Wistar rats were randomly divided into six groups:normal;model;positive drug;and low,medium,high dose groups,with 10 rats in each group.Bovine type Ⅱ collagen solution was injected into the tail of rats to construct the rheumatoid arthritis model,and the positive drug group was given MTX2.0 mg/(kg·d)by gavage once every other day.The three groups of helleborus thibetanus franchon low,medium,and high dose were gavaged with helleborus thibetanus franchon ethanol extract at 0.25,0.5 and 1 g/(kg·d)once a day.The normal and model groups were given an equivalent volume of NaCl solution,with continuous administration lasting for 28 days.During treatment,the general condition of the rats was observed,body weight changes recorded,and foot thickness measured.After treatment and euthanasia,the rats'hind limbs were removed for Micro-CT to detect bone destruction;hematoxylin and eosin staining for pathological investigattion of the synovial membrane;immunohistochemistry to observe neovascularization in the synovium;quantitative reverse-transcription PCR to detect mRNA levels of VEGF-A,VEGFR2,TNF-α in the synovial tissue;and Western Blot to detect the expression of VEGF,VEGFR2,p-P38,p-AKT.The analyses were used to explore the potential mechanisms of action of the Miao medicine helleborus thibetanus franchon in treating rheumatoid arthritis.Results Compared with the normal group,the model group showed significant weight loss(P<0.01),increased foot swelling(P<0.01),visible proliferative synovial tissue with inflammatory cell infiltration,erosive lesions on bone surfaces,increased neovascularization in the synovium,and significant bone destruction in Micro-CT,with reduced bone percentage,trabecular thickness,and bone density.The levels of VEGF-A,VEGFR2,TNF-α mRNA and VEGF-A,VEGFR2,p-P38,p-AKT proteins were significantly elevated(P<0.01).Compared with the model group,the helleborus thibetanus franchon ethanol extract-treated groups showed improvements in these conditions in a dose-dependent manner,with the high-dose group receiving the best effect.There was a significant increase in the rats'body weight(P<0.05);reduction in foot swelling(P<0.05);amelioration of synovial and erosive bone lesions;reduction in neovascularization in the synovium;and significantly lower levels of VEGF-A,VEGFR2,and TNF-α mRNA,and VEGF-A,VEGFR2,p-P38,and p-AKT protein(P<0.01).Conclusions The Miao medicine plant helleborus thibetanus franchon may alleviate joint inflammatory damage in CIA rats by modulating the VEGF/VEGFR2 signaling pathway,thereby exerting therapeutic effects on rheumatoid arthritis.
7.Prone position-cardiopulmonary resuscitation in adults: a scoping review
Xuhong LAN ; Longfei GUO ; Hongfang ZHOU ; Hengyang WANG ; Qian WANG ; Donghui JIA ; Wenjuan YUAN ; Yuchen WU ; Zhigang ZHANG ; Caili PENG
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2024;36(10):1049-1055
Objective:To comprehensively search the relevant literature on prone position-cardiopulmonary resuscitation (PP-CPR) in adults at home and abroad, analyze the content, summarize the evidence, and provide reference for clinical health care professionals.Methods:Systematic search of CNKI, China Biomedical Literature Service System (SinoMed), Wanfang Data, VIP database, PubMed, Embase, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), Cochran Library, Web of Science, Scopus literature database and other Chinese and English databases was conducted. The search period was from inception to June 15 in 2024. The contents of PP-CPR from randomized controlled trial (RCT), non-RCT (prospective or retrospective), cohort studies and case reports were extracted and systematically analyzed. The search results were standardized by the method of scoping review.Results:A total of 523 articles were obtained through preliminary search, and 14 references and gray literature were retrieved, totaling 537 articles. After strict screening by two researchers, a total of 26 literatures were included, 3 were non-RCT and 23 were case reports, involving 12 countries, including 3 in Chinese, 19 in English, 2 in French, 1 in German, and 1 in Korean. Three non-RCT demonstrated that compared with standard cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), PP-CPR could produce higher pressure, and provide good respiratory and circulatory support. A total of 25 adult patients were included in the 23 case reports, of which 17 reported total recovery time and 13 reported PP-CPR time ≤ 5 minutes, all of which recovered spontaneous circulation, indicating the effectiveness of PP-CPR technology. In terms of final outcome, 4 patients (16.0%) died and 21 patients (84.0%) survived, indicating that PP-CPR technology could provide timely blood circulation and improve clinical outcomes for prone cardiac arrest patients. Among the 11 patients who reported complications after resuscitation, no neurological damage was found in the short-term outcomes, indicating that PP-CPR technology had a certain level of safety.Conclusions:PP-CPR can provide timely blood circulation for patients with cardiac arrest who are unable to lie supine quickly, and win "golden time" for defibrillation and further treatment. In clinical practice, medical staff need to evaluate the emergency environment, the number of rescuers and the specific condition of the patient, and implement first aid as soon as possible, so as to reduce the time of no blood flow in the vital organs of patients with cardiac arrest in prone position, and improve the clinical prognosis.
8.Correlation between systemic immune inflammation index and diabetic epiretinal membranes
Daiying ZHOU ; Jing CHEN ; Cuicui LU ; Zhigang LYU
Chinese Journal of Ocular Fundus Diseases 2024;40(9):699-705
Objective:To investigate the correlation between systemic immune inflammatory index (SII) and other metabolic indicators and diabetic epiretinal membranes (dERM).Methods:A retrospective case-control study. From March 2022 to July 2023, 81 patients (81 eyes) with dERM in Department of Ophthalmology, Affiliated Jinhua Hospital of Zhejiang University of Medicine School diagnosed by fundus screening were included in the study. A total of 81 patients (81 eyes) with diabetes who were matched in age, gender, and duration of diabetes and had no dERM or diabetic macular edema in both eyes during fundus screening were selected as the control group. All patients underwent optical coherence tomography (OCT) examination and laboratory tests for peripheral blood neutrophil, lymphocyte, platelet counts, serum albumin, blood lipids, uric acid, and glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c). SII was calculated. Random urine samples were collected for urinary albumin/creatinine ratio (ACR) testing. The OCT device's own analysis software obtained the macular volume coefficient, including central foveal thickness (CMT), macular volume, and average macular thickness. The macular volume coefficient, SII, serum albumin, blood lipids, uric acid, HbA1c, and ACR between the two groups were compared using paired t tests or Mann-Whitney U tests. Conditional logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the risk factors for dERM; Spearman correlation test was used to analyze the correlation between CMT, SII, ACR, disorganization of retinal inner layers (DRIL), intraretinal cyst (IRC), and hyper-reflective foci (HRF) in patients with dERM. Results:There were significant differences in CMT, macular volume, average macular thickness, SII, serum albumin, and ACR between the dERM group and the control group ( Z=-7.234, -6.306, -6.400, -3.063, -2.631, -3.868; P<0.05). Conditional logistics regression analysis showed that high SII [odds ratio (OR)= 3.919, 95% confidence interval ( CI) 1.591-9.654, P=0.003] and ACR ( OR=4.432, 95% CI 1.885-10.420, P=0.001) were risk factors for dERM. Spearman correlation analysis showed that HRF, IRC, DRIL were positively correlated with CMT ( Rs=0.234, 0.330, 0.248; P=0.036, 0.003, 0.026); HRF was positively correlated with SII and ACR ( Rs=0.233, 0.278; P=0.036, 0.012). Conclusion:Elevated SII and ACR are independent risk factors for the occurrence of dERM.
9.Analysis of risk factors for atrial fibrillation in adult patients with critically severe burns after the first surgery
Nanhong JIANG ; Weiguo XIE ; Deyun WANG ; Zhigang CHU ; Maomao XI ; Jinxiu ZHOU ; Feng LI
Chinese Journal of Burns 2024;40(9):857-865
Objective:To explore the risk factors for atrial fibrillation in adult patients with critically severe burns after the first surgery.Methods:This study was a retrospective case series study. From January 1, 2018 to March 31, 2023, 211 adult patients with critically severe burns were admitted to the Department of Burns of Tongren Hospital of Wuhan University & Wuhan Third Hospital and met the inclusion criteria, including 158 males and 53 females, aged 24-81 years. According to whether atrial fibrillation occurred after the first surgery, the patients were divided into postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) group (23 cases) and non-POAF group (188 cases). The following indexes of patients in POAF group were collected, including the onset time, duration, treatment method, and number of patients with more than once of atrial fibrillation after the first surgery. The following data of the two groups of patients were collected, including general data, such as gender, age, burn type, total burn area, full-thickness burn area, inhalation injury, underlying diseases, mechanical ventilation, and sepsis; electrolyte imbalance and blood index level before the first surgery; the first surgery-related information such as surgical length and surgical method; volume changes and vital signs during the first surgery, such as total volume of fluid infusion, total volume of blood transfusion, volume of blood loss, hypotension, and hypothermia; postoperative hypothermia; inflammatory index levels before the first surgery and on the first day after the first surgery, such as procalcitonin levels, white blood cell count, neutrophil count, lymphocyte count, platelet count, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet count to lymphocyte ratio (PLR); mortality within 30 days of admission. The independent risk factors for occurrence of atrial fibrillation in adult patients with critically severe burns after the first surgery were screened.Results:The onset time of atrial fibrillation of patients in POAF group was 2 (2, 4) hours after the first surgery, and the duration of atrial fibrillation was 16 (6, 26) hours. Twenty-one patients were treated with intravenous injection of amiodarone, two patients were treated with cardiac electrical cardioversion, and atrial fibrillation of all patients converted to sinus rhythm after treatment. Three patients experienced atrial fibrillation more than once. The age was 59 (42, 70) years and the total burn area was 90% (70%, 94%) total body surface area (TBSA) in patients in POAF group, which were significantly higher than 48 (38, 56) years and 70% (60%, 83%) TBSA in non-POAF group (with Z values of -2.64 and -3.56, respectively, P<0.05). Compared with those in non-POAF group, the incidence rate of inhalation injury of patients in POAF group was significantly higher ( χ2=4.45, P<0.05), the total volumes of fluid infusion and blood transfusion during the first surgery were significantly increased (with Z values of -3.98 and -3.75, respectively, P<0.05), the incidence rates of hypothermia during the first surgery and hypothermia after the first surgery were significantly increased (with χ2 values of 8.24 and 18.72, respectively, P<0.05), the levels of procalcitonin before the first surgery and on the first day after the first surgery, as well as the NLR on the first day after the first surgery were significantly increased (with Z values of -3.03, -2.19, and -2.18, respectively, P<0.05), the lymphocyte count (with Z values of -2.07 and -2.60, respectively, P<0.05) and platelet count (with Z values of -3.35 and -3.58, respectively, P<0.05) were significantly reduced before the first surgery and on the first day after the first surgery, and the mortality rate within 30 days of admission was significantly higher ( χ2=4.03, P<0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in other indexes between the two groups of patients ( P>0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, total burn area, and intraoperative hypothermia were independent risk factors for the occurrence of atrial fibrillation in adult patients with critically severe burns after the first surgery (with odds ratios of 1.08, 1.07, and 4.18, 95% confidence intervals of 1.03-1.12, 1.03-1.11, and 1.48-11.80, respectively, P<0.05). Conclusions:Age, total burn area, and intraoperative hypothermia are independent risk factors for the occurrence of atrial fibrillation in adult patients with critically severe burns after the first surgery. Patients with atrial fibrillation have an increased risk of death.
10.Analysis of the Status and Influencing Factors of Medication Literacy Among Elderly Patients with Chronic Diseases in Urban Areas of Beijing:A Cross-sectional Survey
Wei JIN ; Jingyue GUO ; Boya ZHOU ; Hongya ZHEN ; Wei ZHANG ; Mingfen WU ; Zhigang ZHAO
Herald of Medicine 2024;43(12):1930-1936
Objective To analyze the current state of medication literacy among elderly patients with chronic diseases in urban areas of Beijing,identify its key influencing factors,and propose targeted improvement measures.Methods From February 1 to June 30,2023,a questionnaire survey was conducted among elderly chronic disease patients in 193 communities across 15 districts of Beijing using a convenience sampling method.Data was collected through face-to-face interviews,with a total of 787 questionnaires distributed and 755 valid responses received.The logistic regression analysis model was employed to systematically identify and evaluate the factors affecting patients'medication literacy.Results Among the 755 valid questionnaires collected,53.25%(402 cases)of patients met the medication literacy criteria.Regression analysis results showed that multiple factors significantly influenced medication literacy among elderly patients with chronic diseases,including using rural cooperative medical care or self-payment methods(OR=1.669,P=0.039),retaining medication instructions(OR=0.519,P=0.038),checking medication instructions before use(OR=1.993,P<0.01),and possessing the ability to understand medication instructions(partial understanding OR=2.805,P=0.038;fully understanding OR=3.084,P=0.022)as positive influencing factors;whereas having 2 to 3 chronic diseases(OR=0.574,P=0.039),taking 3 to 5 medications(OR=1.845,P=0.015),and experiencing drug-related problems(OR=1.993,P<0.01)were identified as negative influencing factors.Conclusion Multiple factors influence medication literacy among elderly patients with chronic diseases.To ensure the safety and efficacy of their medication use,It is recommended to implement targeted measures.These include revising patient medication guidance leaflets tailored to age,enhancing patients'understanding of drug instructions,and strengthening medication guidance and social support systems.

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