1.Premature mortality projection for diabetes to 2030: a subnational evaluation towards the Healthy China 2030 Goals.
Hongrui ZHAO ; Zhenping ZHAO ; Xuan YANG ; Yuchang ZHOU ; Ainan JIA ; Jiangmei LIU ; Peng YIN ; Yamin BAI ; Zhenxing YANG ; Maigeng ZHOU ; Xiujuan ZHANG
Frontiers of Medicine 2025;19(4):626-635
The Healthy China 2030 Plan set the goal of reducing premature deaths from diabetes by 30% by 2030. However, there has been a lack of assessment of premature mortality for diabetes since the action plan was issued. This study used data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, calculated the premature deaths for diabetes by sex, provinces, and subtypes from 1990 to 2021. We explored the temporal trend of premature mortality using the average annual percent change (AAPC) for different sexes, provinces, and subtypes from 1990 to 2021. Furthermore, we predicted premature mortality for diabetes through 2030 for China and its provinces according to the average annual change rate from 2010 to 2021. There was a first slow upward trend in premature mortality for diabetes from 0.5% in 1990 to 0.6% in 2004, and then a decline until 2021 with premature mortality of 0.4%. By 2030, only Fujian (30.3%) will achieve the desired level of reduction, with only seven provinces meeting the target for females and none for males. There is a large range in the degree of decline between inland and coastal regions, showing obvious geographic differences, and there should be a focus on balancing medical resources.
Humans
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China/epidemiology*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Mortality, Premature/trends*
;
Diabetes Mellitus/mortality*
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Goals
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Middle Aged
;
Adult
2.Research Progress in the Diagnosis and Treatment of Pancreatic Acinar Cell Carcinoma
Wenfei LI ; Yuan XIE ; Liyang MO ; Junjie DANG ; Qi WANG ; Yang YANG ; Qiuying SUN ; Zhenping WEN ; Sai GE ; Xiaotian ZHANG
JOURNAL OF RARE DISEASES 2025;4(4):437-445
Pancreatic acinar cell carcinoma (PACC) is a rare exocrine tumor of the pancreas with distinct clinical and pathological features. In recent years, advancements in molecular biology techniques have led to a deeper understanding of the molecular mechanisms underlying PACC. Progress in imaging, endoscopic, and molecular diagnostic technologies has improved the early detection rate of PACC. The primary treatment modalities for PACC include surgical resection, chemotherapy, targeted therapy and immunotherapy; however, the therapeutic efficacy still requires further improvement. This article reviews the current research status of PACC, covering its epidemiology, pathological characteristics, molecular alterations, diagnostic methods, and treatment strategies, and discusses the controversies and future directions in PACC research.
3.Association between prediabetes and glomerular hyperfiltration status in residents in China
Yue HOU ; Mei ZHANG ; Xiao ZHANG ; Zhenping ZHAO ; Chun LI ; Mengting YU ; Limin WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):18-25
Objective:To explore the association between pre-diabetes and glomerular hyperfiltration status in residents in China.Methods:The study subjects were the non-diabetes population in China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance in 2018. According to the definition of prediabetes, the study subjects were divided into normoglycemic and pre-diabetes groups, and multivariate factorial logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between prediabetes and the risk for glomerular hyperfiltration and glomerular filtration rate decline, respectively. Restricted cubic spline was used to explore the dose-response relationship between different glycemic indexes and the risk for glomerular hyperfiltration.Results:A total of 129 735 eligible study subjects aged 18 to 74 years were included, including 45 336 persons with prediabetes. After adjusting for confounders, the OR for glomerular hyperfiltration in the prediabetes group was 1.26 (95% CI: 1.20-1.32) compared with the normoglycemic group, and prediabetes was not associated with decreased glomerular filtration rate ( OR=1.03, 95% CI: 0.96-1.12). Age-stratified results showed a 28% increase of risk for glomerular hyperfiltration in prediabetes group compared with normoglycemic group in those aged 18-59 year ( OR=1.28, 95% CI: 1.21-1.35), and a 15% increase of risk in old adults aged 60-74 years ( OR=1.15, 95% CI: 1.05-1.25); the risk for glomerular hyperfiltration in women with prediabetes ( OR=1.38, 95% CI: 1.29-1.47) was higher than that in men with prediabetes ( OR=1.14, 95% CI: 1.06-1.22); and the risk for prediabetes glomerular hyperfiltration was higher in those with insufficient physical activity ( OR=1.29, 95% CI: 1.22-1.36) than in those who were physically active ( OR=1.16, 95% CI: 1.04-1.29). Restricted cubic spline results showed that fasting plasma glucose, glycosylated hemoglobin and glomerular hyperfiltration risk all showed U-shaped associations, and 2 hours blood glucose glomerular hyperfiltration risk after taking sugar showed an approximate J-shaped association. Conclusions:The risk for glomerular hyperfiltration exists in the prediabetes population, and prediabetes is not associated with the decrease in glomerular filtration rate. Hyperglycemia control at an early and reversible stage is important to prevent glomerular hyperfiltration developing to hypofiltration and renal impairment.
4.Prevalence of chronic kidney disease and risk factors in adults with hypertension in China
Yanmei CHEN ; Zhenping ZHAO ; Mei ZHANG ; Xiao ZHANG ; Chun LI ; Mengting YU ; Limin WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):33-42
Objective:To understand the prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and influencing factors in adults with hypertension in China and provide evidence for the management of CKD in hypertension patients.Methods:The prevalence data of CKD in hypertension patients in China were collected from China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance in 2018, the data of 68 829 hypertension patients were analyzed. After complex weighting, the prevalence of CKD in the study population was compared. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to explore the influencing factors of CKD in adults with hypertension.Results:The prevalence of CKD in the hypertension patients was 18.2% (95% CI: 17.4%-19.0%) and increased with age, and the prevalence was 16.4% in men and 20.6% in women ( P<0.001). In different age groups, CKD at stage G1 mainly occurred in those aged 18-44 and 45-59 years, with the prevalence of 10.8% and 7.8%, respectively, while CKD at stages G2 and G3a mainly occurred in those aged >60 years, with the prevalence of 9.4% and 9.7%. Multivariate logistic regression results showed that in the hypertension patients, being aged ≥60 years, being women, smoking (including current and ever smoking), physical inactivity, being underweight or obese, and suffering from diabetes, dyslipidemia and hyperuricemia were the potential risk factors for CKD (all P<0.05). Conclusion:The prevalence of CKD was higher in people with hypertension than in general population in China, and age, gender, smoking status, physical activity level, and suffering from diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hyperuricemia or not were significant influencing factors. It is necessary to strengthen health education and kidney function testing in adults with hypertension and develop comprehensive CKD prevention and control measures targeting high-risk population.
5.The trend of change in insulin resistance among Chinese adults from 2010 to 2018
Chunli YE ; Limin WANG ; Yanfang ZHAO ; Xiao ZHANG ; Chun LI ; Zhenping ZHAO ; Yue HOU ; Yanmei CHEN ; Mei ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(2):179-187
Objective:To investigate the trends in insulin resistance, as represented by the triglyceride-glucose index (TyG index), among Chinese adult residents from 2010 to 2018 and to explore influencing factors.Methods:China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance was conducted in 2010, 2013, and 2018, using a multi-stage stratified cluster random sampling method across all 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) in China. This study sampled 98 712 adults in 2010, 176 534 adults in 2013, and 184 876 adults in 2018, all aged ≥18 years, totaling 406 933 participants. Individuals with a TyG index > P75 were classified as having insulin resistance. The mean TyG index and the prevalence of insulin resistance were calculated for different years, sexes, age groups, provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities), and subgroups for 2018. Linear and logistic regression models were used to test trends in means and rates over time, and multivariate logistic regression models were conducted to analyze potential factors associated with insulin resistance. All analyses were adjusted for complex sampling weights based on the study design. Results:From 2010 to 2018, the mean TyG index among Chinese adults increased from 8.44±0.63 to 8.70±0.64, with significant upward trends observed across different age groups, sexes, and urban-rural residencies (all P<0.001). The mean TyG index was higher among males, urban residents, and those aged 45-59. There were significant differences in the mean TyG indices and prevalence of insulin resistance across provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) (all P<0.05). Higher insulin resistance prevalence was independently associated with being male, aged ≥45 years, living in urban areas, excessive alcohol consumption, and insufficient physical activity (all P<0.05). Conclusions:From 2010 to 2018, the level of insulin resistance, as indicated by the TyG index, showed an increasing trend among Chinese adults. Males, individuals aged ≥45 years, urban residents, and individuals with unhealthy lifestyles such as excessive alcohol consumption or insufficient physical activity should be the focus of efforts to prevent and control metabolic diseases related to insulin resistance.
6.Mismatch analysis of individual identity alignments from STRtyper-21G DNA-typing database
Jiahui SONG ; Zhenping LIU ; Xiaoxia ZHANG ; Jingkai YANG ; Xudong LV ; Qiannan XU ; Xiandun ZHAI
Chinese Journal of Forensic Medicine 2025;40(4):434-437
Objective To investigate the loci in the STRtyper-21G kit that are prone to tolerance mismatches when compared with the GlobalFilerTM kit and the PowerPlex? 21 kit,and to analyze the underlying causes.Methods A total of 5,870 database comparison reports involving STRtyper-21G profiles and other autosomal STR kits were examined for identity alignment.Samples showing mismatched loci were re-tested using the STRtyper-21G,GlobalFilerTM,and PowerPlex? 21 kits.For loci with mismatches,primers were redesigned and sequencing was performed.Results Eight mismatched samples(8/5 870)were identified,involving the loci D18S51,D8S1179,and D2S1338.Sequencing revealed that the allele dropout at D18S51 was due to a G→A mutation at the 79th base upstream of the core sequence;at D8S1179,a C→A mutation at the 4th base upstream;and at D2S1338,a C→T mutation at the 22nd base downstream.Conclusion All mismatches were attributable to mutations in primer binding regions.These findings provide reference for interpreting mismatch results in the STRtyper-21G database.When mismatches occur at these loci and the profiles are homozygous,exclusion conclusions should be made with caution.
7.Mismatch analysis of individual identity alignments from STRtyper-21G DNA-typing database
Jiahui SONG ; Zhenping LIU ; Xiaoxia ZHANG ; Jingkai YANG ; Xudong LV ; Qiannan XU ; Xiandun ZHAI
Chinese Journal of Forensic Medicine 2025;40(4):434-437
Objective To investigate the loci in the STRtyper-21G kit that are prone to tolerance mismatches when compared with the GlobalFilerTM kit and the PowerPlex? 21 kit,and to analyze the underlying causes.Methods A total of 5,870 database comparison reports involving STRtyper-21G profiles and other autosomal STR kits were examined for identity alignment.Samples showing mismatched loci were re-tested using the STRtyper-21G,GlobalFilerTM,and PowerPlex? 21 kits.For loci with mismatches,primers were redesigned and sequencing was performed.Results Eight mismatched samples(8/5 870)were identified,involving the loci D18S51,D8S1179,and D2S1338.Sequencing revealed that the allele dropout at D18S51 was due to a G→A mutation at the 79th base upstream of the core sequence;at D8S1179,a C→A mutation at the 4th base upstream;and at D2S1338,a C→T mutation at the 22nd base downstream.Conclusion All mismatches were attributable to mutations in primer binding regions.These findings provide reference for interpreting mismatch results in the STRtyper-21G database.When mismatches occur at these loci and the profiles are homozygous,exclusion conclusions should be made with caution.
8.Prevalence of chronic kidney disease and risk factors in adults with hypertension in China
Yanmei CHEN ; Zhenping ZHAO ; Mei ZHANG ; Xiao ZHANG ; Chun LI ; Mengting YU ; Limin WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):33-42
Objective:To understand the prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and influencing factors in adults with hypertension in China and provide evidence for the management of CKD in hypertension patients.Methods:The prevalence data of CKD in hypertension patients in China were collected from China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance in 2018, the data of 68 829 hypertension patients were analyzed. After complex weighting, the prevalence of CKD in the study population was compared. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to explore the influencing factors of CKD in adults with hypertension.Results:The prevalence of CKD in the hypertension patients was 18.2% (95% CI: 17.4%-19.0%) and increased with age, and the prevalence was 16.4% in men and 20.6% in women ( P<0.001). In different age groups, CKD at stage G1 mainly occurred in those aged 18-44 and 45-59 years, with the prevalence of 10.8% and 7.8%, respectively, while CKD at stages G2 and G3a mainly occurred in those aged >60 years, with the prevalence of 9.4% and 9.7%. Multivariate logistic regression results showed that in the hypertension patients, being aged ≥60 years, being women, smoking (including current and ever smoking), physical inactivity, being underweight or obese, and suffering from diabetes, dyslipidemia and hyperuricemia were the potential risk factors for CKD (all P<0.05). Conclusion:The prevalence of CKD was higher in people with hypertension than in general population in China, and age, gender, smoking status, physical activity level, and suffering from diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hyperuricemia or not were significant influencing factors. It is necessary to strengthen health education and kidney function testing in adults with hypertension and develop comprehensive CKD prevention and control measures targeting high-risk population.
9.The trend of change in insulin resistance among Chinese adults from 2010 to 2018
Chunli YE ; Limin WANG ; Yanfang ZHAO ; Xiao ZHANG ; Chun LI ; Zhenping ZHAO ; Yue HOU ; Yanmei CHEN ; Mei ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(2):179-187
Objective:To investigate the trends in insulin resistance, as represented by the triglyceride-glucose index (TyG index), among Chinese adult residents from 2010 to 2018 and to explore influencing factors.Methods:China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance was conducted in 2010, 2013, and 2018, using a multi-stage stratified cluster random sampling method across all 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) in China. This study sampled 98 712 adults in 2010, 176 534 adults in 2013, and 184 876 adults in 2018, all aged ≥18 years, totaling 406 933 participants. Individuals with a TyG index > P75 were classified as having insulin resistance. The mean TyG index and the prevalence of insulin resistance were calculated for different years, sexes, age groups, provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities), and subgroups for 2018. Linear and logistic regression models were used to test trends in means and rates over time, and multivariate logistic regression models were conducted to analyze potential factors associated with insulin resistance. All analyses were adjusted for complex sampling weights based on the study design. Results:From 2010 to 2018, the mean TyG index among Chinese adults increased from 8.44±0.63 to 8.70±0.64, with significant upward trends observed across different age groups, sexes, and urban-rural residencies (all P<0.001). The mean TyG index was higher among males, urban residents, and those aged 45-59. There were significant differences in the mean TyG indices and prevalence of insulin resistance across provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) (all P<0.05). Higher insulin resistance prevalence was independently associated with being male, aged ≥45 years, living in urban areas, excessive alcohol consumption, and insufficient physical activity (all P<0.05). Conclusions:From 2010 to 2018, the level of insulin resistance, as indicated by the TyG index, showed an increasing trend among Chinese adults. Males, individuals aged ≥45 years, urban residents, and individuals with unhealthy lifestyles such as excessive alcohol consumption or insufficient physical activity should be the focus of efforts to prevent and control metabolic diseases related to insulin resistance.
10.Association between prediabetes and glomerular hyperfiltration status in residents in China
Yue HOU ; Mei ZHANG ; Xiao ZHANG ; Zhenping ZHAO ; Chun LI ; Mengting YU ; Limin WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):18-25
Objective:To explore the association between pre-diabetes and glomerular hyperfiltration status in residents in China.Methods:The study subjects were the non-diabetes population in China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance in 2018. According to the definition of prediabetes, the study subjects were divided into normoglycemic and pre-diabetes groups, and multivariate factorial logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between prediabetes and the risk for glomerular hyperfiltration and glomerular filtration rate decline, respectively. Restricted cubic spline was used to explore the dose-response relationship between different glycemic indexes and the risk for glomerular hyperfiltration.Results:A total of 129 735 eligible study subjects aged 18 to 74 years were included, including 45 336 persons with prediabetes. After adjusting for confounders, the OR for glomerular hyperfiltration in the prediabetes group was 1.26 (95% CI: 1.20-1.32) compared with the normoglycemic group, and prediabetes was not associated with decreased glomerular filtration rate ( OR=1.03, 95% CI: 0.96-1.12). Age-stratified results showed a 28% increase of risk for glomerular hyperfiltration in prediabetes group compared with normoglycemic group in those aged 18-59 year ( OR=1.28, 95% CI: 1.21-1.35), and a 15% increase of risk in old adults aged 60-74 years ( OR=1.15, 95% CI: 1.05-1.25); the risk for glomerular hyperfiltration in women with prediabetes ( OR=1.38, 95% CI: 1.29-1.47) was higher than that in men with prediabetes ( OR=1.14, 95% CI: 1.06-1.22); and the risk for prediabetes glomerular hyperfiltration was higher in those with insufficient physical activity ( OR=1.29, 95% CI: 1.22-1.36) than in those who were physically active ( OR=1.16, 95% CI: 1.04-1.29). Restricted cubic spline results showed that fasting plasma glucose, glycosylated hemoglobin and glomerular hyperfiltration risk all showed U-shaped associations, and 2 hours blood glucose glomerular hyperfiltration risk after taking sugar showed an approximate J-shaped association. Conclusions:The risk for glomerular hyperfiltration exists in the prediabetes population, and prediabetes is not associated with the decrease in glomerular filtration rate. Hyperglycemia control at an early and reversible stage is important to prevent glomerular hyperfiltration developing to hypofiltration and renal impairment.

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