Background::Breast cancer (BC) risk-stratification tools for Asian women that are highly accurate and can provide improved interpretation ability are lacking. We aimed to develop risk-stratification models to predict long- and short-term BC risk among Chinese women and to simultaneously rank potential non-experimental risk factors.Methods::The Breast Cancer Cohort Study in Chinese Women, a large ongoing prospective dynamic cohort study, includes 122,058 women aged 25-70 years old from the eastern part of China. We developed multiple machine-learning risk prediction models using parametric models (penalized logistic regression, bootstrap, and ensemble learning), which were the short-term ensemble penalized logistic regression (EPLR) risk prediction model and the ensemble penalized long-term (EPLT) risk prediction model to estimate BC risk. The models were assessed based on calibration and discrimination, and following this assessment, they were externally validated in new study participants from 2017 to 2020.Results::The AUC values of the short-term EPLR risk prediction model were 0.800 for the internal validation and 0.751 for the external validation set. For the long-term EPLT risk prediction model, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.692 and 0.760 in internal and external validations, respectively. The net reclassification improvement index of the EPLT relative to the Gail and the Han Chinese Breast Cancer Prediction Model (HCBCP) models for external validation was 0.193 and 0.233, respectively, indicating that the EPLT model has higher classification accuracy.Conclusions::We developed the EPLR and EPLT models to screen populations with a high risk of developing BC. These can serve as useful tools to aid in risk-stratified screening and BC prevention.

Objective To form the expert consensus on the limb management of patients with transvenous temporary cardiac pacing,standardize the limb management of patients with transvenous temporary cardiac pacing,and reduce complications related to the limb.Methods Using evidence-based methods,the evidence in this field was searched,evaluated and summarized,and relevant recommendations and research conclusions were extracted and classified by the level of evidence quality,and then the first draft of the consensus was formed.From December 2023 to January 2024,through 2 rounds of expert consultation and 4 rounds of expert meetings,the content was adjusted and the consensus was reached.Results Totally 16 experts participated in the consultation.The positive coefficient is 100%;the authoritative coefficient is 0.847 and 0.836;the average value of each index is more than＞3.8;the coefficient of variation is less than 0.21.The Kendall's harmony coefficient of the 2 rounds of expert consultation is 0.372 and 0.314,respectively,which were statistically significant.The consensus covers the preoperative,intraoperative and postoperative on limb management of patients with transvenous temporary cardiac pacing.Totally 11 themes were involved,including the preoperative preparation,position and catheter fixation in operation,position and catheter fixation in postoperative,activity,turn and transfer,duty shift on limb,nursing care after withdrawal of the catheter,prevention of deep vein thrombosis of the operative limb and prevent infection.Conclusion The consensus is highly scientific,and it is helpful to standardize the limb management of patients with transvenous temporary cardiac pacing.

Objective:To investigate the risk factors associated with one-year mortality following surgery for intertrochanteric fractures in elderly patients and develop a survival prediction model.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data from 532 elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures admitted to the People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region and the People's Hospital of Xinyang between January 2020 and September 2022.Patient demographics, laboratory indicators, and surgical variables were documented.The primary outcome assessed was the one-year mortality rate.Risk factors were identified through univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, leading to the development of a prognostic model.The model's predictive performance was evaluated using the Concordance Index(C-Index), time-dependent receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis(DCA).Results:Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified several key factors associated with one-year mortality after intertrochanteric fractures in elderly patients.These factors included the modified five-item frailty index( OR=1.338, 95% CI: 1.147-1.561, P<0.001), ICU admission( OR=1.694, 95% CI: 1.230-2.333, P=0.001), preoperative hemoglobin levels( OR=1.281, 95% CI: 1.016-1.616, P=0.036), surgical waiting time( OR=1.570, 95% CI: 1.063-2.319, P=0.023), and age( OR=2.196, 95% CI: 1.712-2.816, P<0.001).The prediction model showed good consistency with a C-Index of 0.769(95% CI: 0.723-0.818)in the modeling group and 0.715(95% CI: 0.612-0.750)in the validation group.Time-dependent ROC areas under the curve were 0.802(95% CI: 0.722-0.850)and 0.718(95% CI: 0.640-0.808)for the modeling and validation groups, respectively.Calibration curves for both groups indicated a good model fit, and decision curve analysis demonstrated a positive net benefit, highlighting the clinical applicability of the model. Conclusions:The modified five-item frailty index, ICU admission, preoperative hemoglobin, surgical waiting time, and age independently predict one-year mortality after surgery for intertrochanteric fractures in elderly patients.This prognostic model, utilizing these factors, shows high predictive accuracy, assisting clinicians in quick personalized assessments and setting informed expectations in clinical practice.

AIM To investigate the effects of Zuogui Jiangtang Tongmai Recipe on necroptosis pathway in a rat model of type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM)complicated with cerebral infarction(CI).METHODS The SD rats were randomly divided into the sham operation group,the model group,the metformin group(0.045 g/kg),and the low,medium and high dose Zuogui Jiangtang Tongmai Recipe groups(6.5,13,26 g/kg),with 9 rats in each group.In contrast to rats of the sham operation group,rats of the other groups were given 4 weeks feeding of high-sugar and high-fat diet combined with intraperitoneal injection of streptozotocin to establish a T2DM rat model with one week stable blood glucose,followed by gavage of corresponding drugs 3 days before the establishment of the middle cerebral artery occlusion(MCAO)model.After 7 days of administration,the rats had their CI injury assessed by mNSS method and TTC staining;their level of blood glucose detected by blood glucose meter;their levels of glycated serum protein,serum TNF-α and IL-1β detected by ELISA;their cerebral mRNA expressions of FADD,RIPK1,RIPK3 and MLKL detected by RT-qPCR;and their cerebral protein expressions of FADD,p-RIPK1,p-RIPK3 and p-MLKL detected by Western blot.RESULTS Compared with the sham operation group,the model group displayed increased levels of blood glucose value,glycosylated serum protein,neurological function score,cerebral infarction volume,cerebral FADD,RIPK1,RIPK3 and MLKL mRNA expressions,cerebral FADD,p-RIPK1,p-RIPK3 and p-MLKL protein expressions,serum TNF-α and IL-1β levels(P＜0.01);and more disordered and morphologically diverse neurons with smaller nucleus.Compared with the model group,the groups intervened with medium or high dose Zuogui Jiangtang Tongmai Recipe,or metformin shared improvement in terms of the aforementioned indices(P＜0.05,P＜0.01);and more neurons with regular morphology neat arrangement,and reduced cell gap.CONCLUSION Zuogui Jiangtang Tongmai Recipe can improve the neurological dysfunction of the rat model of T2DM complicated with CI,which may associate with the inhibited activation of necroptosis signaling pathway.

Objective:To investigate the influencing factors of participation in free health check-up among community residents.Methods:From 2012 to 2022 Xinzhuang Community Health Service Center of Shanghai Minhang district provided 5 free health check-up for local residents, once every 2 years. Among 5 904 eligible community residents with a mean age of (66.01±5.87) years, 682 (11.55 %), 912 (15.45 %), 842 (14.26 %), 934 (15.82 %), 1 061 (17.97 %) and 1 473 (24.95 %) participated in 5, 4, 3, 2, 1 and 0 health check-ups during 10 years, respectively. The influencing factors of participant frequency were analyzed with multivariate logistic regression model.Results:Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age 65 years and above ( OR=0.685, 95% CI: 0.625-0.751, P<0.001), exercising once a week or more ( OR=1.142, 95% CI: 1.031-1.266, P=0.011), and underweight ( OR=0.665, 95% CI:0.496-0.891, P=0.006) were independent factors influencing the participant in free health check-up among community residents. Conclusion:Community residents with older age or underweight are less likely to participate free health check-up, while those with frequent exercise like to participate.

Objective:To explore the risk factors of all-cause death in hypertensive patients in the community.Methods:A cohort of 4 049 hypertensive patients who participated in annual health checkups at Xinzhuang Community Health Service Centre of Shanghai Minhang district from January to December 2012 were enrolled in the study. All-cause death was the endpoint event of this study, and patients were divided into a fatal group and a survival group. The collection date for the endpoint event was December 2022. A multivariate Cox regression model was used to analyse the independent risk factors of all-cause mortality among hypertensive patients in the community.Results:Among 4 049 patients aged (67.9±7.1) years, 1 856 (45.8%) were males. There were 610 cases in the fatal group and 3 439 cases in the survival group. Multivariate Cox proportional regression showed that male gender ( HR=1.446, 95% CI: 1.200-1.742, P<0.001), older age ( HR=1.130, 95% CI: 1.118-1.143, P<0.001), higher waist-to-height ratio ( HR=8.117, 95% CI: 2.235-29.481, P=0.001), positive urinary protein ( HR=2.974, 95% CI: 2.202-4.016, P<0.001), high fasting blood glucose ( HR=1.070, 95% CI: 1.012-1.131, P=0.017), and history of stroke ( HR=1.819, 95% CI: 1.414-2.340, P<0.001) were independent risk factors for all-cause mortality in hypertensive patients, while exercise≥1/week ( HR=0.816, 95% CI: 0.668-0.996, P=0.046) and taking lipid-lowering medications ( HR=0.459, 95% CI: 0.223-0.947, P=0.035) were protective factors for all-cause mortality. Conclusion:For hypertensive patients, male gender, older age, higher waist-to-height ratio, positive urinary protein, high fasting blood glucose, and history of stroke are risk factors for all-cause mortality, while exercise≥1/week and taking lipid-lowering medications are protective factors.

Objective:To analyze the association between sleep status and ambulatory blood pressure monitoring indicators in community-dwelling hypertensive patients.Methods:It was a cross sentional study. Hypertensive patients who underwent 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring from May 2021 to April 2023 in Shanghai Xinzhuang Town were enrolled. The demographic information and sleep status of patients were obtained from the questionnaire. A TM-2430 blood pressure monitor was used to measure 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure, and the relevant indicators, including blood pressure level and blood pressure coefficient of variation were documented. The association between sleep status and blood pressure indicators was analyzed with multivariate linear regression model.Results:A total 1 135 patients aged (65.07±12.61) years were enrolled, and 473 (41.67%) of whom were males. The sleep time was<7 hours in 76 cases, 7- 8 hours in 219 cases and >8 hours in 840 cases; the bedtime was earlier than 22∶00 in 415 cases, between 22∶00 and 23∶00 in 474 cases and later than 23∶00 in 246 cases; the wake-up time was before 6∶00 in 230 cases, between 6∶00 and 7∶00 in 521 cases and after 7∶00 in 384 cases. Multivariate linear regression analysis showed that after controlling for gender and age, the sleep time was negatively associated with diurnal, noctumal and 24-hour diastolic blood pressure levels (all P<0.05), and positively associated with diurnal and noctumal systolic blood pressure coefficient of variation, noctumal diastolic blood pressure coefficient of variation, and 24-hour systolic blood pressure coefficient of variation (all P<0.05).The bedtime was positively associated with diurnal, noctumal and 24-hour diastolic blood pressure (all P<0.05), diastolic blood pressure (all P<0.05); and negatively associated with diurnal systolic blood pressure coefficient of variation, diurnal diastolic blood pressure coefficient of variation, noctumal systolic blood pressure coefficient of variation, 24-hour systolic blood pressure coefficient of variation, and 24-hour diastolic blood pressure coefficient of variation (all P<0.05). The wake-up time was positively associated with diurnal systolic blood pressure, diurnal, noctumal and 24-hour diastolic blood pressure (all P<0.05), and positively associated with diurmal systolic blood pressure and diastolic blood pressure (both P<0.05). Conclusion:Sleep status is closely associated with ambulatory blood pressure monitoring indicators in community-dwelling hypertensive patients.

Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics and prognosis of pneumococcal meningitis(PM),and drug sensitivity of Streptococcus pneumoniae(SP)isolates in Chinese children.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical information,laboratory data,and microbiological data of 160 hospitalized children under 15 years old with PM from January 2019 to December 2020 in 33 tertiary hospitals across the country.Results Among the 160 children with PM,there were 103 males and 57 females.The age ranged from 15 days to 15 years,with 109 cases(68.1% )aged 3 months to under 3 years.SP strains were isolated from 95 cases(59.4% )in cerebrospinal fluid cultures and from 57 cases(35.6% )in blood cultures.The positive rates of SP detection by cerebrospinal fluid metagenomic next-generation sequencing and cerebrospinal fluid SP antigen testing were 40% (35/87)and 27% (21/78),respectively.Fifty-five cases(34.4% )had one or more risk factors for purulent meningitis,113 cases(70.6% )had one or more extra-cranial infectious foci,and 18 cases(11.3% )had underlying diseases.The most common clinical symptoms were fever(147 cases,91.9% ),followed by lethargy(98 cases,61.3% )and vomiting(61 cases,38.1% ).Sixty-nine cases(43.1% )experienced intracranial complications during hospitalization,with subdural effusion and/or empyema being the most common complication[43 cases(26.9% )],followed by hydrocephalus in 24 cases(15.0% ),brain abscess in 23 cases(14.4% ),and cerebral hemorrhage in 8 cases(5.0% ).Subdural effusion and/or empyema and hydrocephalus mainly occurred in children under 1 year old,with rates of 91% (39/43)and 83% (20/24),respectively.SP strains exhibited complete sensitivity to vancomycin(100% ,75/75),linezolid(100% ,56/56),and meropenem(100% ,6/6).High sensitivity rates were also observed for levofloxacin(81% ,22/27),moxifloxacin(82% ,14/17),rifampicin(96% ,25/26),and chloramphenicol(91% ,21/23).However,low sensitivity rates were found for penicillin(16% ,11/68)and clindamycin(6% ,1/17),and SP strains were completely resistant to erythromycin(100% ,31/31).The rates of discharge with cure and improvement were 22.5% (36/160)and 66.2% (106/160),respectively,while 18 cases(11.3% )had adverse outcomes.Conclusions Pediatric PM is more common in children aged 3 months to under 3 years.Intracranial complications are more frequently observed in children under 1 year old.Fever is the most common clinical manifestation of PM,and subdural effusion/emphysema and hydrocephalus are the most frequent complications.Non-culture detection methods for cerebrospinal fluid can improve pathogen detection rates.Adverse outcomes can be noted in more than 10% of PM cases.SP strains are high sensitivity to vancomycin,linezolid,meropenem,levofloxacin,moxifloxacin,rifampicin,and chloramphenicol.[Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics,2024,26(2):131-138]

Patients with severe trauma require an extremely timely treatment and transfusion plays an irreplaceable role in the emergency treatment of such patients. An increasing number of evidence-based medicinal evidences and clinical practices suggest that patients with severe traumatic bleeding benefit from early transfusion of low-titer group O whole blood or hemostatic resuscitation with red blood cells, plasma and platelet of a balanced ratio. However, the current domestic mode of blood supply cannot fully meet the requirements of timely and effective blood transfusion for emergency treatment of patients with severe trauma in clinical practice. In order to solve the key problems in blood supply and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma, Branch of Clinical Transfusion Medicine of Chinese Medical Association, Group for Trauma Emergency Care and Multiple Injuries of Trauma Branch of Chinese Medical Association, Young Scholar Group of Disaster Medicine Branch of Chinese Medical Association organized domestic experts of blood transfusion medicine and trauma treatment to jointly formulate Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients ( version 2024). Based on the evidence-based medical evidence and Delphi method of expert consultation and voting, 10 recommendations were put forward from two aspects of blood support mode and transfusion strategies, aiming to provide a reference for transfusion resuscitation in the emergency treatment of severe trauma and further improve the success rate of treatment of patients with severe trauma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma （HCC） is a common tumor in the digestive tract， the formation mechanism of which remains to be fully elucidated. Although surgery， radiation， chemotherapy， targeted therapy， and immunotherapy have achieved significant results in the treatment of HCC， these methods are accompanied by a considerable number of adverse reactions and complications. In recent years， Chinese medicine has shown remarkable efficacy in the treatment of HCC， and both basic experiments and clinical studies have confirmed the effectiveness of Chinese medicine， which exerts therapeutic effects via multiple components and multiple targets. However， the pathogenesis of HCC is exceptionally complex and not fully understood， which means that studies remain to be carried out regarding the specific mechanism of Chinese medicine in preventing and treating HCC. Network pharmacology and molecular biology can be employed to decipher the mechanism of Chinese medicine in the treatment of diseases. Studies have shown that Chinese medicine can regulate various pathways such as the mitogen-activated protein kinase （MAPK）， phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase/protein kinase B （PI3K/Akt）， Hedgehog， Wnt/β-catenin， nuclear factor-κB （NF-κB）， Janus kinase 2/signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 （JAK2/STAT3）， and transforming growth factor-β （TGF-β）/Smad signaling pathways. Chinese medicine can exhibit its anti-HCC effects by inducing cell apoptosis， inhibiting cell proliferation and migration， and blocking the cell cycle via the above pathways. However， the specific mechanisms remain to be systematically studied. This study comprehensively reviews the regulatory effects of Chinese medicine on HCC-related signaling pathways to reveal the molecular mechanisms of Chinese medicine in the treatment of HCC. This view holds the promise of providing new targets， new perspectives， and new therapies for HCC treatment and advancing the modernization and development of Chinese medicine.