1.Effects of different types of acute exercise on working memory among sedentary college students
CHEN Jiu, LIU Peiyu, KONG Zhe, XIE Jun
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(3):330-334
Objective:
To explore the effects of different types of acute exercise on the working memory of sedentary college students,so as to provide a basis for exercise intervention.
Methods:
From April 15 to May 30, 2023, a total of 42 sedentary college students were recruited from one university in Beijing. Using a single blind, completely randomized experimental design, participants were randomly assigned to an open skill exercise group, a closed skill exercise group, or a control group, with 14 participants in each group. The open skill exercise group engaged in 30 minutes of badminton, the closed skill exercise group performed 30 minutes of running, and the control group remained seated for 30 minutes. All participants completed a 2-back working memory task and had their electroencephalogram (EEG) data recorded before and after the intervention.
Results:
The accuracy rates of the open skill exercise group, closed skill exercise group, and control group (0.90±0.06, 0.94±0.05; 0.88±0.05, 0.94±0.05; 0.85±0.10, 0.90±0.06) showed a significant main effect of time ( F=37.14, P <0.01). Reaction times [(923.65±145.08, 711.56± 140.93 ; 909.59±180.28, 807.85±169.66; 917.05±166.35, 871.86±186.07)ms] showed both a significant main effect of time and a significant interaction between group and time ( F=70.55, 11.83, P <0.01). Repeated measures ANOVA revealed that all three groups improved in accuracy and reaction time compared to pre test values, with no significant difference in accuracy between groups. However, the reaction time of the open skill exercise group was significantly faster than that of the control group ( P <0.05), while there was no significant difference between the closed skill exercise group and the control group ( P >0.05). For EEG data, the P2 amplitude showed a significant main effect of time and a significant interaction between groups and time ( F=10.60, 7.66, P < 0.01 ), with the open skill exercise group exhibiting a higher P2 amplitude than the control group ( P <0.05), while the closed skill exercise group showed no significant difference compared to the control group ( P >0.05). The N2 amplitude showed a significant main effect of time ( F=5.94, P <0.05). The P3 amplitude showed significant main effects of time and electrode position, as well as a significant interaction between groups and time ( F=23.16, 4.53, 5.85, P <0.05), with both exercise groups exhibiting higher P3 amplitudes than the control group ( P <0.05), but no significant difference between the two exercise groups ( P >0.05).
Conclusion
Open skill exercise is more effective than closed skill exercise in improving the working memory of sedentary college students.
2.Influencing factors of school sports environment on physical activity levels among middle school students
XIE Dan, HOU Xiao, WANG Yunliang, CHEN Weijie, WANG Ying, JI Zhe, LI Hongjuan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(5):685-689
Objective:
To explore the relationship between school sports environment and physical activity levels of middle school students, so as to provide theoretical and empirical support for optimizing school sports environment and enhance adolescent physical activity.
Methods:
Using multi-stage random cluster sampling, from September to December 2023, 1 329 junior and senior high school students from Xuancheng City of Anhui Province, Lianyungang City of Jiangsu Province, Wuhan City of Hubei Province, Qiqihar City and Suihua City of Heilongjiang Province, and Shenzhen City of Guangdong Province were selected. The International Physical Activity Questionnaire-Short Form (IPAQ-SF) assessed students physical activity levels, and the questionnaire on the characteristics of school sports environment was developed to evaluate the factors of school sports environment. Multivariate ordered Logistic regression was performed to analyze the correlation between school sports environment factors and physical activity levels, and the analytic hierarchy process determined the weight of key influencing factors.
Results:
The results showed that weekly vigorous physical activity time was [60 (25, 90)] minutes, moderate physical activity time was [60 (30, 90)] minutes, light physical activity time was [105 (40, 200)] minutes, and sedentary behavior time was [ 3 300 (2 100, 4 500)] minutes, only 10.53% of the students met World Health Organization physical activity recommendations, and 89.69% of the students averaged >8 h daily sedentary time. Multivariate ordered Logistic regression showed that adequate sports equipment significantly promoted physical activity across all intensities and reduced sedentary time ( OR = 4.97, 11.54, 4.03, 0.11); diverse sports activities improved vigorous and moderate physical activity while reducing sedentary time ( OR =4.20, 14.06, 0.17); and peer encouragement was associated with increased low-intensity physical activities and decreased sedentary time ( OR =10.40, 0.15)( P <0.05). The analytic hierarchy process weighting analysis identified the top three influential factors related to physical activity among middle school students: sufficient sports equipment, varied physical education activities, frequent peer encouragement, the influence weight accounts for 23.55% , 14.18% and 11.77% of the total, respectively.
Conclusion
Key school sports environmental factors for adolescent physical activity level include ensuring adequate sports equipment and class availability, diversifying activity content, fostering peer support, and cultivating an active sports culture and a comprehensive approach encourage students participation in extracurricular physical activities.
3.Clinical observation of 450 nm blue laser vaporization for the treatment of benign prostatic hyperplasia in frail elderly patients
Guowei CHEN ; Zunke XIE ; Lei SHI ; Xuejing GUO ; Zhe JIN ; Lianchao JIN
Journal of Modern Urology 2025;30(6):508-512
Objective: To investigate the clinical efficacy of transurethral 450 nm blue laser vaporization of prostate (BVP) and transurethral plasmakinetic resection of the prostate (PKRP) in the treatment of frail elderly patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 62 frail elderly BPH patients undergoing BVP (n=32) or PKRP (n=30) in our hospital during Jan.2023 and Jun.2024.The two groups were compared in terms of postoperative hemoglobin drop, operation time, hospital stay, catheter indwelling time, bladder irrigation time, preoperative and postoperative 3-month postvoid residual (PVR), maximum urinary flow rate (Qmax), international prostate symptom score (IPSS), quality of life score (QoL), and postoperative complications. Results: The postoperative hemoglobin drop was lower in the BVP group than in the PKRP group [(1.62±1.04) g/L vs.(7.37±2.37) g/L, P<0.001].The operation time [(24.53±7.52) min vs. (47.77±11.12) min], hospital stay [(2.78±1.62) d vs. (8.13±0.82) d], catheter indwelling time [(1.84±0.99) d vs. (5.40±0.81) d], and bladder irrigation time [(7.37±2.35) h vs. (51.60±19.72) h] were significantly shorter in the BVP group than in the PKRP group (all P<0.001).At 3 months postoperatively, both groups showed significant improvements in IPSS, QoL, Qmax, and PVR compared to preoperative levels (P<0.05), but there were no significant differences between the two groups (P>0.05).The overall incidence of early postoperative complications in the BVP group was lower than that in PKRP group (18.75% vs. 43.33%, P<0.05).After 3 months of follow-up, there was no significant difference in the incidence of complications between the BVP group and PKRP group(3.13% vs. 13.33%, P=0.14). Conclusion: BVP for the treatment of frail elderly BPH patients is safe and reliable, associated with minimal bleeding, short operation time, catheterization time and hospital stay, and there is no need to discontinue anticoagulant drugs.
4.Multi-organ inflammatory phenotypes and transcriptomic characterization in an inflammation-driven mouse model of preeclampsia induced by LPS.
Ning WANG ; Jing-Qiu FENG ; Ying XIE ; Meng-Can SUN ; Qi WANG ; Zhe WANG ; Lu GAO
Acta Physiologica Sinica 2025;77(5):775-791
Preeclampsia (PE) is a severe gestational disorder characterized by hypertension and proteinuria, with a subset of cases exhibiting an immune-driven phenotype marked by placental overexpression of proinflammatory cytokines and chronic inflammatory damage, profoundly impacting fetal development. To elucidate the pathophysiology of this PE subtype, we established an inflammation-driven PE mouse model via lipopolysaccharide (LPS) intraperitoneal injection, systematically evaluating histopathological changes in maternal heart, liver, lung, kidney, and placenta, and integrating transcriptomic profiling to uncover molecular mechanisms. LPS administration robustly induced maternal hypertension and proteinuria, hallmarks of PE, without significantly altering organ or fetal weights. Histological analyses revealed pronounced inflammatory damage in the maternal lung, kidney, and placenta, with the lung exhibiting the most severe pathology, characterized by inflammatory cell infiltration, alveolar wall thickening, and interstitial edema-challenging the conventional focus on placental and renal primacy in PE. Placental labyrinth and junctional zones displayed extensive structural disruption and necrosis, indicating functional impairment. Transcriptomic analysis identified 27 inflammation-related genes consistently upregulated across tissues, with protein-protein interaction networks pinpointing Il1β, Il6, Ccl5, Ccl2, Cxcl10, Tlr2, and Icam1 as hub genes. Quantitative PCR validation confirmed Tlr2 as a central regulator, evidenced by significant upregulation of Tlr2 in lung, kidney, and placenta of LPS-induced PE mice, while Cxcl10 exhibited placenta-specific upregulation, suggesting a synergistic inflammatory axis in placental pathology. These findings highlight the lung as a critical, yet underappreciated, target in inflammation-driven PE, reframe the multi-organ inflammatory landscape of the disease, and nominate Tlr2 and Cxcl10 as potential diagnostic biomarkers and therapeutic targets, offering new avenues for precision intervention in PE.
Animals
;
Female
;
Pregnancy
;
Mice
;
Pre-Eclampsia/genetics*
;
Inflammation
;
Lipopolysaccharides/adverse effects*
;
Disease Models, Animal
;
Transcriptome
;
Placenta/pathology*
;
Phenotype
5.Mechanism of Guben Jiannao Liquid on Alzheimer's disease by regulating autophagy based on LKB1/AMPK/mTOR pathway.
Jing-Fan ZHANG ; Qing-Hua LONG ; Chu-Hua ZENG ; Yi-Min CHEN ; Zhe-Yao XIE ; Yuan-Qin CAI ; Xi WANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(2):293-300
This study explores the mechanism of Guben Jiannao Liquid on Alzheimer's disease(AD) by regulating autophagy based on the liver kinase B1(LKB1)/adenosine monophosphate-activated protein kinase(AMPK)/mammalian target of rapamycin(mTOR) pathway. Male SD rats were randomly divided into the blank group, model group, low-dose and high-dose groups of Guben Jiannao Liquid, and rapamycin group, with 10 rats in each group. Except for the blank group, all other groups of rats were injected bilaterally in the hippocampus with β-amyloid(Aβ)_(1-42) to establish the AD model. The low-dose(6.21 g·kg~(-1)) and high-dose(12.42 g·kg~(-1)) groups of Guben Jiannao Liquid and rapamycin group(1 mg·kg~(-1)) were given the corresponding drugs by gavage, and the blank and model groups were given an equal volume of saline by gavage for four weeks. Morris water maze was used to test the learning and memory ability of rats in each group; hematoxylin-eosin(HE) and Nissl staining were used to observe the morphological and quantitative changes of neurons and Nissl bodies in the CA1 region of rat hippocampus; immunohistochemistry was utilized to detect Aβ-positive cell expression in the CA1 region of rat hippocampus; transmission electron microscopy was employed to observe ultrastructural changes in rat hippocampal tissue, and Western blot was used to examine the protein expression levels of LKB1, p-AMPK/AMPK, p-mTOR/mTOR, Beclin1, p62, and LC3-Ⅱ in the hippocampal tissue of the rats. The results showed that compared with those in the blank group, rats in the model group had elevated evasion latency and decreased number of platform transversal and residence time in the platform quadrant. The number of neurons in the hippocampal area was reduced, and the morphology was impaired. The average integral optical density value of Aβ-positive cells was elevated; the expression levels of LKB1, p-AMPK/AMPK, Beclin1, and LC3-Ⅱ were decreased, and the expression levels of p-mTOR/mTOR and p62 were increased. Compared with those in the model group, rats in the low-dose and high-dose groups of Guben Jiannao Liquid had shorter evasion latency, higher number of platform transversal, longer residence time in the platform quadrant, increased number of neurons, decreased expression of Aβ-positive cells and average integral optical density values, and increased number of autophagic lysosomes in hippocampal tissue. The expression levels of LKB1, Beclin1, and LC3-Ⅱ were elevated in the hippocampus of rats in the low-dose group of Guben Jiannao Liquid. The expression levels of LKB1, p-AMPK/AMPK, Beclin1, and LC3-Ⅱ were elevated in the hippocampal tissue of rats in the high-dose group of Guben Jiannao Liquid, and the expression levels of p-mTOR/mTOR and p62 were decreased. The findings suggest that Guben Jiannao Liquid can improve cognitive impairment in AD rats, and its mechanism of action may be related to the activation of the LKB1/AMPK/mTOR signaling pathway and the up-regulation of autophagy level.
Animals
;
Alzheimer Disease/physiopathology*
;
Male
;
TOR Serine-Threonine Kinases/genetics*
;
Autophagy/drug effects*
;
Rats, Sprague-Dawley
;
Protein Serine-Threonine Kinases/genetics*
;
AMP-Activated Protein Kinases/genetics*
;
Rats
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage*
;
Signal Transduction/drug effects*
;
AMP-Activated Protein Kinase Kinases
;
Humans
;
Hippocampus/metabolism*
6.Application of the modified Byars staged procedure for severe hypospadias repair.
Qi-Gen XIE ; Ting-Ting XUE ; Xu-Ren CHEN ; Zhao-Ying LI ; Zhe XU ; Zuo-Qing LI ; Peng LUO
Asian Journal of Andrology 2025;27(1):65-71
This study aimed to introduce a modified Byars staged procedure and investigate its application value in patients with severe hypospadias. We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of patients with severe hypospadias admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University (Guangzhou, China) between October 2012 and October 2022. In total, 31 patients underwent the conventional Byars procedure (conventional group), and 45 patients underwent the modified Byars staged procedure (modified group). Our modified strategy was built upon the standard Byars procedure by incorporating glansplasty during the first stage and employing a Y-shaped flap in conjunction with a glandular tunnel for urethroplasty during the second stage. Notably, there were no statistically significant differences in the preoperative baseline characteristics, duration of surgery, amount of blood loss, or occurrence of postoperative complications, including urethral fistula, stricture and diverticulum, or penile curvature, between the conventional and modified groups. However, there was a significantly lower incidence of coronal sulcus fistula (0 vs 16.1%, P = 0.02) and glans dehiscence (0 vs 12.9%, P = 0.02) in the surgical group than that in the conventional group. In addition, the modified group exhibited a notably greater rate of normotopic urethral opening (100.0% vs 83.9%, P = 0.01) and a higher mean score on the Hypospadias Objective Penile Evaluation (HOPE; mean ± standard error of mean: 8.6 ± 0.2 vs 7.9 ± 0.3, P = 0.02) than did the conventional group. In conclusion, the modified Byars staged procedure significantly reduced the risks of glans dehiscence and coronal sulcus fistula. Consequently, it offers a promising approach for achieving favorable penile esthetics, thereby providing a reliable therapeutic option for severe hypospadias.
Humans
;
Hypospadias/surgery*
;
Male
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Urologic Surgical Procedures, Male/methods*
;
Child, Preschool
;
Child
;
Postoperative Complications/etiology*
;
Urethra/surgery*
;
Plastic Surgery Procedures/methods*
;
Surgical Flaps
;
Penis/surgery*
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Infant
7.Prediction of testicular histology in azoospermia patients through deep learning-enabled two-dimensional grayscale ultrasound.
Jia-Ying HU ; Zhen-Zhe LIN ; Li DING ; Zhi-Xing ZHANG ; Wan-Ling HUANG ; Sha-Sha HUANG ; Bin LI ; Xiao-Yan XIE ; Ming-De LU ; Chun-Hua DENG ; Hao-Tian LIN ; Yong GAO ; Zhu WANG
Asian Journal of Andrology 2025;27(2):254-260
Testicular histology based on testicular biopsy is an important factor for determining appropriate testicular sperm extraction surgery and predicting sperm retrieval outcomes in patients with azoospermia. Therefore, we developed a deep learning (DL) model to establish the associations between testicular grayscale ultrasound images and testicular histology. We retrospectively included two-dimensional testicular grayscale ultrasound from patients with azoospermia (353 men with 4357 images between July 2017 and December 2021 in The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China) to develop a DL model. We obtained testicular histology during conventional testicular sperm extraction. Our DL model was trained based on ultrasound images or fusion data (ultrasound images fused with the corresponding testicular volume) to distinguish spermatozoa presence in pathology (SPP) and spermatozoa absence in pathology (SAP) and to classify maturation arrest (MA) and Sertoli cell-only syndrome (SCOS) in patients with SAP. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were used to analyze model performance. DL based on images achieved an AUC of 0.922 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.908-0.935), a sensitivity of 80.9%, a specificity of 84.6%, and an accuracy of 83.5% in predicting SPP (including normal spermatogenesis and hypospermatogenesis) and SAP (including MA and SCOS). In the identification of SCOS and MA, DL on fusion data yielded better diagnostic performance with an AUC of 0.979 (95% CI: 0.969-0.989), a sensitivity of 89.7%, a specificity of 97.1%, and an accuracy of 92.1%. Our study provides a noninvasive method to predict testicular histology for patients with azoospermia, which would avoid unnecessary testicular biopsy.
Humans
;
Male
;
Azoospermia/diagnostic imaging*
;
Deep Learning
;
Testis/pathology*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Adult
;
Ultrasonography/methods*
;
Sperm Retrieval
;
Sertoli Cell-Only Syndrome/diagnostic imaging*
8.Construction of a mixed valvular heart disease-related age-adjusted comorbidity index and its predictive value for patient prognosis.
Murong XIE ; Haiyan XU ; Bin ZHANG ; Yunqing YE ; Zhe LI ; Qingrong LIU ; Zhenyan ZHAO ; Junxing LYU ; Yongjian WU
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;54(2):230-240
OBJECTIVES:
To create a mixed valvular heart disease (MVHD)-related age-adjusted comorbidity index (MVACI) model for predicting mortality risk of patients with MVHD.
METHODS:
A total of 4080 patients with moderate or severe MVHD in the China-VHD study were included. The primary endpoint was 2-year all-cause mortality. A MVACI model prediction model was constructed based on the mortality risk factors identified by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Restricted cubic splines were used to assess the relationship between MVACI scores and 2-year all-cause mortality. The optimal threshold, determined by the maximum Youden index from receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, was used to stratify patients. Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate 2-year all-cause mortality and compared using the Log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were employed to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI), evaluating the association between MVACI scores and mortality. Paired ROC curves were used to compare the discriminative ability of MVACI scores with the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation Ⅱ(EuroSCORE Ⅱ) or the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) in predicting 2-year clinical outcomes, while calibration curves assessed the calibration of these models. Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap method. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on etiology, treatment strategies, and disease severity.
RESULTS:
Multivariate analysis identified the following variables independently associated with 2-year all-cause mortality in patients: pulmonary hypertension, myocardiopathy, heart failure, low body weight (body mass index <18.5 kg/m2), anaemia, hypoalbuminemia, renal insufficiency, cancer, New York Heart Association (NYHA) class and age. The score was independently associated with the risk of all-cause mortality, and exhibited good discrimination (AUC=0.777, 95%CI: 0.755-0.799) and calibration (Brier score 0.062), with significantly better predictive performance than EuroSCORE Ⅱ or ACCI (both adjusted P<0.01). The internal validation showed that the MVACI model's predicted probability of 2-year all-cause mortality was generally consistent with the actual probability. The AUCs for predicting all-cause mortality risk were all above 0.750, and those for predicting adverse events were all above 0.630. The prognostic value of the score remained consistent in patients regardless of their etiology, therapeutic option, and disease severity.
CONCLUSIONS
The MVACI was constructed in this study based on age and comorbidities, and can be used for mortality risk prediction and risk stratification of MVHD patients. It is a simple algorithmic index and easy to use.
Humans
;
Prognosis
;
Comorbidity
;
Heart Valve Diseases/epidemiology*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Risk Factors
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Age Factors
;
Risk Assessment
;
Adult
;
ROC Curve
9.Can greenspace modify the combined effects of multiple air pollutants on pulmonary tuberculosis treatment outcomes? An empirical study conducted in Zhejiang Province, China.
Bo XIE ; Maolin WU ; Zhe PANG ; Bin CHEN
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;30():31-31
BACKGROUND:
Evidence on the combined effects of air pollutants and greenspace exposure on pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) treatment is limited, particularly in developing countries with high levels of air pollution.
OBJECTIVE:
We aimed to examine the individual and combined effects of long-term exposure to air pollutants on PTB treatment outcomes while also investigating the potential modifying effect of greenspace.
METHODS:
This population-based study included 82,784 PTB cases notified in Zhejiang Province, China, from 2015 to 2019. The 24-month average concentrations of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 µm (PM2.5), ozone (O3), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and sulfur dioxide (SO2) before PTB diagnosis were estimated using a dataset derived from satellite-based machine learning models and monitoring stations. Greenspace exposure was assessed using the annual China Land Cover Dataset. We conducted analyses using time-varying Cox proportional hazards models and cumulative risk indices.
RESULTS:
In individual effect models, each 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5, NO2, O3, and SO2 concentrations was associated with hazard ratios for PTB treatment success of 0.95 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.93-0.97), 0.92 (95% CI: 0.91-0.94), 0.98 (95% CI: 0.97-0.99), and 1.52 (95% CI: 1.49-1.56), respectively. In combined effect models, long-term exposure to the combination of air pollutants was negatively associated with PTB treatment success, with a joint hazard ratio (JHR) of 0.79 (95% CI: 0.63-0.96). Among the pollutants examined, O3 contributed the most to the increased risks, followed by PM2.5 and NO2. Additionally, areas with moderate levels of greenspace showed a reduced risk (JHR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.62-0.98) compared with the estimate from the third quantile model (JHR = 0.68, 95% CI: 0.52-0.83).
CONCLUSIONS
Combined air pollutants significantly impede successful PTB treatment outcomes, with O3 and PM2.5 accounting for nearly 75% of this detrimental effect. Moderate levels of greenspace can mitigate the adverse effects associated with combined air pollutants, leading to improved treatment success for patients with PTB.
Humans
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Air Pollutants/analysis*
;
Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/drug therapy*
;
Particulate Matter/adverse effects*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Environmental Exposure/analysis*
;
Ozone/adverse effects*
;
Adult
;
Sulfur Dioxide/adverse effects*
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Air Pollution/adverse effects*
;
Aged
;
Nitrogen Dioxide/adverse effects*
;
Young Adult
;
Adolescent
10.The Valvular Heart Disease-specific Age-adjusted Comorbidity Index (VHD-ACI) score in patients with moderate or severe valvular heart disease.
Mu-Rong XIE ; Bin ZHANG ; Yun-Qing YE ; Zhe LI ; Qing-Rong LIU ; Zhen-Yan ZHAO ; Jun-Xing LV ; De-Jing FENG ; Qing-Hao ZHAO ; Hai-Tong ZHANG ; Zhen-Ya DUAN ; Bin-Cheng WANG ; Shuai GUO ; Yan-Yan ZHAO ; Run-Lin GAO ; Hai-Yan XU ; Yong-Jian WU
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2025;22(9):759-774
BACKGROUND:
Based on the China-VHD database, this study sought to develop and validate a Valvular Heart Disease- specific Age-adjusted Comorbidity Index (VHD-ACI) for predicting mortality risk in patients with VHD.
METHODS & RESULTS:
The China-VHD study was a nationwide, multi-centre multi-centre cohort study enrolling 13,917 patients with moderate or severe VHD across 46 medical centres in China between April-June 2018. After excluding cases with missing key variables, 11,459 patients were retained for final analysis. The primary endpoint was 2-year all-cause mortality, with 941 deaths (10.0%) observed during follow-up. The VHD-ACI was derived after identifying 13 independent mortality predictors: cardiomyopathy, myocardial infarction, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, pulmonary artery hypertension, low body weight, anaemia, hypoalbuminaemia, renal insufficiency, moderate/severe hepatic dysfunction, heart failure, cancer, NYHA functional class and age. The index exhibited good discrimination (AUC, 0.79) and calibration (Brier score, 0.062) in the total cohort, outperforming both EuroSCORE II and ACCI (P < 0.001 for comparison). Internal validation through 100 bootstrap iterations yielded a C statistic of 0.694 (95% CI: 0.665-0.723) for 2-year mortality prediction. VHD-ACI scores, as a continuous variable (VHD-ACI score: adjusted HR (95% CI): 1.263 (1.245-1.282), P < 0.001) or categorized using thresholds determined by the Yoden index (VHD-ACI ≥ 9 vs. < 9, adjusted HR (95% CI): 6.216 (5.378-7.184), P < 0.001), were independently associated with mortality. The prognostic performance remained consistent across all VHD subtypes (aortic stenosis, aortic regurgitation, mitral stenosis, mitral regurgitation, tricuspid valve disease, mixed aortic/mitral valve disease and multiple VHD), and clinical subgroups stratified by therapeutic strategy, LVEF status (preserved vs. reduced), disease severity and etiology.
CONCLUSION
The VHD-ACI is a simple 13-comorbidity algorithm for the prediction of mortality in VHD patients and providing a simple and rapid tool for risk stratification.


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