1.Impact of antimicrobial volume-based procurement and classification manage-ment policy on the use of carbapenem antibiotics in Hunan Province
Zehua WU ; Junyu CHEN ; Linyong XU ; Yuxing MING ; Yusong ZHOU ; Xun HUANG ; Chenchao FU ; Zhaohui WANG ; Shikun LIU ; Zuojun LI
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2025;24(1):105-112
Objective To explore the impact of antimicrobial volume-based procurement(VBP)and classification management policy on the clinical use of carbapenem antibiotics.Methods Changing trend in defined daily doses(DDDs),procurement cost(Cost),defined daily dose cost(DDDc),and DDDs per 1 000 inhabitants daily(DID)of carbapenem antibiotics in all levels of medical institutions were analyzed by Mann-Kendall trend test.May 1,2020 was taken as the intervention cut-off point of VBP policy,September 2021 was as intervention cut-off point of cla-ssification management list.The impact of VBP and classification management policy on the clinical use of carbape-nem antibiotics were studied by interrupted time series analysis.Results After implementing VBP policy,the DDDs and DID of carbapenem antibiotics increased obviously,but the long-term trend didn't change significantly.Compared with before the implementation of the policy,the cost and DDDc of carbapenem antibiotics decreased im-mediately,the long-term trend of DDDc changed significantly,but the long-term trend of cost didn't change signifi-cantly.The DDDs and Cost of carbapenem antibiotics decreased immediately after the update of classification ma-nagement list,but the long-term downward trend was not significant,and DDDc presented a long-term upward trend.Conclusion VBP policy reduces the DDDc and short-term cost of carbapenem antibiotics,but its long-term impact on DDDs,cost and DID is limited.Classification management has limited impact on the use of carbapenem antibiotics in medical institutions.
2.Research on the construction of quality management evaluation indicators for medical imaging equipment based on data envelopment analysis and TOPSIS
Qiaojiao HE ; Zengxu WANG ; Yusong ZOU ; Chenpeng LIU ; Yong LIANG
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(10):79-85
Objective:To construct an evaluation indicator system based on data envelopment analysis(DEA)and technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution(TOPSIS)of quality management for medical equipment,so as to explore the applied effect of that in quality management for equipment of the department of radiology in hospital.Methods:The DEA method was applied to analyze the quality management situation of equipment at the department of radiology,Beijing Chao-yang Hospital,Capital Medical University.The TOPSIS was used to conduct a comprehensive evaluation and ranking for the quality of managing equipment,and the evaluation indicator system was combined to evaluate results and carried out management of quality control for equipment.A total of 90 medical imaging equipment in clinical use at our hospital from January to December 2023 were selected,and they were divided into conventional management method group,and DEA combined with TOPSIS management method group by using random number table method,with 45 medical imaging equipment in each management method.The scores for multi-dimensional performance,the scores for management quality,the operational quality and the rates of management defect between different management methods were compared.Results:The scores of use efficiency,operation efficiency and maintenance efficiency of adopting DEA combined with TOPSIS management method were(92.03±5.02)points,(93.52±5.14)points and(92.698±4.36)points,respectively,which were significantly higher than those of conventional management methods,and the differences were statistically significant(t=10.260,7.826,6.413,P<0.05).The scores of the allocation of equipment resource,technical support,information basis,and management performance indicator of the DEA combined with TOPSIS management method were significantly higher than those of conventional management method,and the differences were statistically significant(t=6.855,9.279,8.246,P<0.05).The damage rate and maintenance rate of equipment of combining DEA with TOPSIS management method were significantly lower than those of the conventional management methods,and the differences were statistically significant(x2=6.944,6.480,P<0.05).Conclusion:The application of the constructed system,which based on DEA and TOPSIS for evaluation indicator of quality management for medical imaging equipment of hospital,can improve the multidimensional efficiency of equipment,and enhance the quality of management and operation for equipment,and reduce the defect rate of managing equipment,and ensure the stable and efficient application of equipment.
3.Research on the construction of quality management evaluation indicators for medical imaging equipment based on data envelopment analysis and TOPSIS
Qiaojiao HE ; Zengxu WANG ; Yusong ZOU ; Chenpeng LIU ; Yong LIANG
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(10):79-85
Objective:To construct an evaluation indicator system based on data envelopment analysis(DEA)and technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution(TOPSIS)of quality management for medical equipment,so as to explore the applied effect of that in quality management for equipment of the department of radiology in hospital.Methods:The DEA method was applied to analyze the quality management situation of equipment at the department of radiology,Beijing Chao-yang Hospital,Capital Medical University.The TOPSIS was used to conduct a comprehensive evaluation and ranking for the quality of managing equipment,and the evaluation indicator system was combined to evaluate results and carried out management of quality control for equipment.A total of 90 medical imaging equipment in clinical use at our hospital from January to December 2023 were selected,and they were divided into conventional management method group,and DEA combined with TOPSIS management method group by using random number table method,with 45 medical imaging equipment in each management method.The scores for multi-dimensional performance,the scores for management quality,the operational quality and the rates of management defect between different management methods were compared.Results:The scores of use efficiency,operation efficiency and maintenance efficiency of adopting DEA combined with TOPSIS management method were(92.03±5.02)points,(93.52±5.14)points and(92.698±4.36)points,respectively,which were significantly higher than those of conventional management methods,and the differences were statistically significant(t=10.260,7.826,6.413,P<0.05).The scores of the allocation of equipment resource,technical support,information basis,and management performance indicator of the DEA combined with TOPSIS management method were significantly higher than those of conventional management method,and the differences were statistically significant(t=6.855,9.279,8.246,P<0.05).The damage rate and maintenance rate of equipment of combining DEA with TOPSIS management method were significantly lower than those of the conventional management methods,and the differences were statistically significant(x2=6.944,6.480,P<0.05).Conclusion:The application of the constructed system,which based on DEA and TOPSIS for evaluation indicator of quality management for medical imaging equipment of hospital,can improve the multidimensional efficiency of equipment,and enhance the quality of management and operation for equipment,and reduce the defect rate of managing equipment,and ensure the stable and efficient application of equipment.
4.Impact of antimicrobial volume-based procurement and classification manage-ment policy on the use of carbapenem antibiotics in Hunan Province
Zehua WU ; Junyu CHEN ; Linyong XU ; Yuxing MING ; Yusong ZHOU ; Xun HUANG ; Chenchao FU ; Zhaohui WANG ; Shikun LIU ; Zuojun LI
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2025;24(1):105-112
Objective To explore the impact of antimicrobial volume-based procurement(VBP)and classification management policy on the clinical use of carbapenem antibiotics.Methods Changing trend in defined daily doses(DDDs),procurement cost(Cost),defined daily dose cost(DDDc),and DDDs per 1 000 inhabitants daily(DID)of carbapenem antibiotics in all levels of medical institutions were analyzed by Mann-Kendall trend test.May 1,2020 was taken as the intervention cut-off point of VBP policy,September 2021 was as intervention cut-off point of cla-ssification management list.The impact of VBP and classification management policy on the clinical use of carbape-nem antibiotics were studied by interrupted time series analysis.Results After implementing VBP policy,the DDDs and DID of carbapenem antibiotics increased obviously,but the long-term trend didn't change significantly.Compared with before the implementation of the policy,the cost and DDDc of carbapenem antibiotics decreased im-mediately,the long-term trend of DDDc changed significantly,but the long-term trend of cost didn't change signifi-cantly.The DDDs and Cost of carbapenem antibiotics decreased immediately after the update of classification ma-nagement list,but the long-term downward trend was not significant,and DDDc presented a long-term upward trend.Conclusion VBP policy reduces the DDDc and short-term cost of carbapenem antibiotics,but its long-term impact on DDDs,cost and DID is limited.Classification management has limited impact on the use of carbapenem antibiotics in medical institutions.
5.Spectral CT multi-parameter imaging for preoperative predicting lymph node metastasis of gastric cancer
Yusong CHEN ; Yiyang LIU ; Shuai ZHAO ; Mengchen YUAN ; Weixing LI ; Yaru YOU ; Yue ZHENG ; Songmei FAN ; Jianbo GAO
Chinese Journal of Interventional Imaging and Therapy 2024;21(10):596-601
Objective To observe the value of spectral CT multi-parameter imaging for preoperative predicting lymph node metastasis(LNM)of gastric cancer.Methods Totally 136 patients with gastric adenocarcinoma were retrospectively enrolled.The patients were further divided into LNM group(n=74)and non-LNM group(n=62)according to postoperative pathological findings of lymph nodes status.Clinical data,conventional CT findings and spectral CT parameters were compared between groups.Factors being significant different between groups were included in multivariate logistic regression analysis to screen independent predictors of gastric cancer LNM.Clinical+conventional CT model(model 1),spectrum CT model(model 2)and combined model(model 3)were constructed based on the above independent predictors,respectively.Receiver operating characteristic curve was drawn,and the area under the curve(AUC)was calculated to evaluate the efficacy of each model for preoperative predicting LNM of gastric cancer.Results CT-N stage,CT-T stage,70,100 and 140 keV CT valuestumor at arterial phase(AP),arterial enhancement fraction(AEF)and normalized iodine concentration at venous phase(NICVP)were all independent predictors of gastric cancer LNM(all P<0.05).AUC of model 3 was 0.846,higher than that of model 1 and model 2(AUC=0.767,0.774,Z=-0.368,-2.373,both P<0.05)for preoperative predicting LNM of gastric cancer,while the latter two were not significantly different(Z=-0.152,P=0.879).Conclusion Spectral CT multi-parameter imaging could effectively predict LNM of gastric cancer preoperatively.
6.Multicenter retrospect analysis of early clinical features and analysis of risk factors on prognosis of elderly patients with severe burns
Qimin MA ; Wenbin TANG ; Xiaojian LI ; Fei CHANG ; Xi YIN ; Zhaohong CHEN ; Guohua WU ; Chengde XIA ; Xiaoliang LI ; Deyun WANG ; Zhigang CHU ; Yi ZHANG ; Lei WANG ; Choulang WU ; Yalin TONG ; Pei CUI ; Guanghua GUO ; Zhihao ZHU ; Shengyu HUANG ; Liu CHANG ; Rui LIU ; Yongji LIU ; Yusong WANG ; Xiaobin LIU ; Tuo SHEN ; Feng ZHU
Chinese Journal of Burns 2024;40(3):249-257
Objective:To investigate the early clinical characteristics of elderly patients with severe burns and the risk factors on prognosis.Methods:This study was a retrospective case series study. Clinical data of 124 elderly patients with severe burns who met the inclusion criteria and were admitted to the 12 hospitals from January 2015 to December 2020 were collected, including 4 patients from the Fourth People's Hospital of Dalian, 5 patients from Fujian Medical University Union Hospital, 22 patients from Guangzhou Red Cross Hospital of Jinan University, 5 patients from Heilongjiang Provincial Hospital, 27 patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Naval Medical University, 9 patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 10 patients from Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University, 9 patients from Tongren Hospital of Wuhan University & Wuhan Third Hospital, 12 patients from the 924 th Hospital of PLA, 6 patients from Zhangjiagang First People's Hospital, 4 patients from Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province, and 11 patients from Zhengzhou First People's Hospital. The patients' overall clinical characteristics, such as gender, age, body mass index, total burn area, full-thickness burn area, inhalation injury, causative factors, whether combined with underlying medical diseases, and admission time after injury were recorded. According to the survival outcome within 28 days after injury, the patients were divided into survival group (89 cases) and death group (35 cases). The following data of patients were compared between the two groups, including the basic data and injuries (the same as the overall clinical characteristics ahead); the coagulation indexes within the first 24 hours of injury such as prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), thrombin time, D-dimer, fibrinogen degradation product (FDP), international normalized ratio (INR), and fibrinogen; the blood routine indexes within the first 24 hours of injury such as white blood cell count, platelet count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, monocyte count, red blood cell count, hemoglobin, and hematocrit; the organ function indexes within the first 24 hours of injury such as direct bilirubin, total bilirubin, urea, serum creatinine, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, total protein, albumin, globulin, blood glucose, triglyceride, total cholesterol, alkaline phosphatase, creatine kinase, electrolyte indexes (potassium, sodium, chlorine, calcium, magnesium, and phosphorus in blood), uric acid, myoglobin, and brain natriuretic peptide; the infection and blood gas indexes within the first 24 hours of injury such as procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, pH value, oxygenation index, base excess, and lactate; treatment such as whether conducted with mechanical ventilation, whether conducted with continuous renal replacement therapy, whether conducted with anticoagulation therapy, whether applied with vasoactive drugs, and fluid resuscitation. The analysis was conducted to screen the independent risk factors for the mortality within 28 days after injury in elderly patients with severe burns. Results:Among 124 patients, there were 82 males and 42 females, aged 60-97 years, with body mass index of 23.44 (21.09, 25.95) kg/m 2, total burn area of 54.00% (42.00%, 75.00%) total body surface area (TBSA), and full-thickness burn area of 25.00% (10.00%, 40.00%) TBSA. The patients were mainly combined with moderate to severe inhalation injury and caused by flame burns. There were 43 cases with underlying medical diseases. The majority of patients were admitted to the hospital within 8 hours after injury. There were statistically significant differences between patients in the 2 groups in terms of age, total burn area, full-thickness burn area, and inhalation injury, and PT, APTT, D-dimer, FDP, INR, white blood cell count, platelet count, urea, serum creatinine, blood glucose, blood sodium, uric acid, myoglobin, and urine volume within the first 24 hours of injury (with Z values of 2.37, 5.49, 5.26, 5.97, 2.18, 1.95, 2.68, 2.68, 2.51, 2.82, 2.14, 3.40, 5.31, 3.41, 2.35, 3.81, 2.16, and -3.82, respectively, P<0.05); there were statistically significant differences between two groups of patients in whether conducted with mechanical ventilation and whether applied with vasoactive drugs (with χ2 values of 9.44 and 28.50, respectively, P<0.05). Age, total burn area, full-thickness burn area, serum creatinine within the first 24 hours of injury, and APTT within the first 24 hours of injury were the independent risk factors for the mortality within 28 days after injury in elderly patients with severe burns (with odds ratios of 1.17, 1.10, 1.10, 1.09, and 1.27, 95% confidence intervals of 1.03-1.40, 1.04-1.21, 1.05-1.19, 1.05-1.17, and 1.07-1.69, respectively, P<0.05). Conclusions:The elderly patients with severe burns had the injuries mainly from flame burns, often accompanied by moderate to severe inhalation injury and enhanced inflammatory response, elevated blood glucose levels, activated fibrinolysis, and impaired organ function in the early stage, which are associated with their prognosis. Age, total burn area, full-thickness burn area, and serum creatinine and APTT within the first 24 hours of injury are the independent risk factors for death within 28 days after injury in this population.
7.A multicenter study on the impact of the early infusion rate on prognosis and the factors of influencing the infusion rate in patients with severe burns and inhalation injury
Shengyu HUANG ; Qimin MA ; Yusong WANG ; Wenbin TANG ; Zhigang CHU ; Haiming XIN ; Liu CHANG ; Xiaoliang LI ; Guanghua GUO ; Feng ZHU
Chinese Journal of Burns 2024;40(11):1024-1033
Objective:To investigate the impact of the early infusion rate on prognosis and the factors of influencing the infusion rate in patients with severe burns and inhalation injury.Methods:This study was a retrospective case series research. From January 2015 to December 2020, 220 patients with severe burns and inhalation injury meeting the inclusion criteria were admitted to 7 burn treatment centers in China, including 13 cases in the Fourth People's Hospital of Dalian, 26 cases in the First Affiliated Hospital of Naval Medical University, 73 cases in Guangzhou Red Cross Hospital of Jinan University, 21 cases in the 924 th Hospital of PLA, 30 cases in the First Affiliated Hospital of Jiangxi Medical College of Nanchang University, 30 cases in Tongren Hospital of Wuhan University & Wuhan Third Hospital, and 27 cases in Zhengzhou First People's Hospital. There were 163 males and 57 females, and their ages ranged from 18 to 91 years. The patients were divided into survival group and death group according to the survival within 28 d post injury. The following data of patients in the 2 groups were collected, including basic information (gender, age, body weight, body temperature, etc.), the injury characteristics (total burn area, post-injury admission time, etc.), the underlying diseases, the post-injury fluid resuscitation condition (infusion rate and ratio of infused electrolyte solution to colloid solution in the first 24 h post injury, etc.), the results of laboratory tests on admission (blood urea nitrogen, blood creatinine, albumin, pH value, base excess, blood lactate, oxygenation index, etc.), and treatment condition (inhaled oxygen volume fraction, hospitalization day, renal replacement therapy, etc.). After adjusting covariates using univariate Cox regression analysis, the multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate the impact of infusion rate in the first 24 h post injury on patient death. The receiver operator characteristic curve for the infusion rate in the first 24 h post injury to predict the risk of death was plotted, and the maximum Youden index was calculated. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to the cutoff value (2.03 mL·kg -1·% total body surface area (TBSA) -1) for predicting risk of death by the infusion rate in the first 24 h post injury determined by the maximum Youden index, and the risk of death was compared between the 2 groups. The correlation between the previously mentioned clinical data and the infusion rate in the first 24 h post injury was analyzed; after the univariate linear regression analysis was used to screen the independent variables, the multivariate linear regression analysis was performed to screen the independent influential factors on the infusion rate in the first 24 h post injury. Results:Compared with those in survival group, patients in death group had significantly higher age and total burn area (with Z values of 12.08 and 23.71, respectively, P<0.05), the infusion rate in the first 24 h post injury, inhaled oxygen volume fraction, and blood urea nitrogen, blood creatinine, blood lactic acid on admission (with Z values of 7.99, 4.01, 11.76, 23.24, and 5.97, respectively, P<0.05), and the proportion of patients treated with renal replacement therapy ( P<0.05) were significantly higher, the albumin, pH value, and base excess on admission were significantly lower ( t=2.72, with Z values of 8.18 and 9.70, respectively, P<0.05), and the hospitalization day was significantly reduced ( Z=85.47, P<0.05). After adjusting covariates, the infusion rate in the first 24 h post injury was the independent influential factor on death (with standardized hazard ratio of 1.69, 95% confidence interval of 1.21-2.37, P<0.05). Patients in infusion rate ≥2.03 mL·kg -1·%TBSA -1 group had a significantly higher risk of death than those in infusion rate <2.03 mL·kg -1·% TBSA -1 group (with hazard ratio of 3.47, 95% confidence interval of 1.48-8.13, P<0.05). There was a significant correlation between total burn area, body weight, inhaled oxygen volume fraction, body temperature, post-injury admission time, the ratio of infused electrolyte solution to colloid solution in the first 24 h post injury, and oxygenation index <300 on admission and the infusion rate in the first 24 h post injury (with r values of -0.192, -0.215, 0.137, -0.162, -0.252, and 0.314, respectively, Z=4.48, P<0.05). After screening the independent variables, total burn area, body weight, post-injury admission time, and oxygenation index <300 on admission were the independent influential factors on the infusion rate in the first 24 h post injury (with standardized β values of -0.22, -0.22, -0.19, and 0.46, respectively, 95% confidence intervals of -0.34 to 0.09, -0.34 to 0.10, -0.32 to 0.06, and 0.22 to 0.71, respectively, P<0.05). Conclusions:The infusion rate in the first 24 h post injury in patients with severe burns and inhalation injury is the independent factor of influencing death, and patients with infusion rate ≥2.03 mL·kg -1·%TBSA -1 in the first 24 h post injury have a significantly increased risk of death. The total burn area, body weight, post-injury admission time, and oxygenation index <300 on admission were the independent factors of influencing the infusion rate in the first 24 h post injury in patients with severe burns and inhalation injury.
8.Recent advance in role of resolvin D1 in inflammatory injury of major neurological diseases
Xiaoyu LYU ; Ziyou ZHANG ; Zhuang LI ; Dandan LI ; Mingrui LIU ; Yangyang ZHONG ; Yusong HE ; Yannan SHAO ; Yan YU ; Bensi ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Neuromedicine 2024;23(11):1172-1178
Neurodegenerative diseases are often associated with inflammatory mechanisms, where persistent or excessive inflammatory responses can lead to neuronal damage and subsequent pathological changes. In acute neurological conditions such as stroke or traumatic brain injury, inflammation is a key factor that triggers acute neuronal injury and long-term sequelae. In chronic neurodegenerative diseases, including Alzheimer's disease, cognitive dysfunction, Parkinson's disease, and multiple sclerosis, the chronic activation of inflammation is closely related to gradual degeneration of neurons. Resolvin D1 (RvD1), an endogenous pro-resolving mediator, plays a crucial role in controlling the intensity and duration of inflammation by inhibiting excessive activation of immune cells, modulating the release of pro-inflammatory cytokines, and maintaining the integrity of the blood-brain barrier. This review focuses on the mechanisms of RvD1 in mediating inflammatory damage in major neurological diseases, aiming to provide theoretical support for a deeper understanding of disease mechanism, optimized therapeutic strategies, and enhanced outcome.
9.Spectral CT quantitative parameters for evaluating T stage of advanced gastric cancer
Yaru YOU ; Yiyang LIU ; Mengchen YUAN ; Shuai ZHAO ; Liming LI ; Yusong CHEN ; Yue ZHENG ; Jianbo GAO
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging Technology 2024;40(11):1704-1709
Objective To observe the value of spectral CT parameters for evaluating T staging of advanced gastric cancer(AGC).Methods Totally 155 AGC patients were collected and divided into T2 stage(n=40)and T3/4a stage(n=115)according to postoperative pathology.CT values,water concentration(WC)and iodine concentration(IC)of AGC lesions on 40-140 keV arteriovenous phase single energy level images were measured,and the standardized IC(nIC)and spectral curve slopes k1 and k2 were calculated.Clinical variables and spectral quantitative parameters were compared between groups,and receiver operating characteristic curve was plotted,the area under the curve(AUC)was calculated to evaluate the value of each parameter and model for identifying T2 and T3/4a stage AGC.Results Tumor thickness,proportion of low differentiation degree,CT100kev,CT140kev,and WC values in T3/4a group were all significantly higher than those in T2 group(all P<0.05).CT140keV of AGC lesions on venous phase images presented the highest discrimination efficacy among single parameters,with AUC of 0.782.AUC of clinical-arterial phase-venous phase model was 0.848,higher than that of clinical model and arterial phase model alone(both P<0.05)but not significantly different compared with AUC of venous phase model(P>0.05).Conclusion Spectral CT quantitative parameters,especially venous phase parameters could be used to effectively identify T stage of AGC.Multi-parameter combined models had higher diagnostic value.
10.Correlation between blood pressure indexes and prognosis in sepsis patients: a cohort study based on MIMIC-III database.
Xiaobin LIU ; Yu ZHAO ; Yingyi QIN ; Qimin MA ; Yusong WANG ; Zuquan WENG ; Feng ZHU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2023;35(6):578-585
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the correlation between early-stage blood pressure indexes and prognosis in sepsis patients.
METHODS:
A retrospective cohort study was conducted on the medical records of patients diagnosed with sepsis from 2001 to 2012 in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) database. Patients were divided into survival group and death group according to the 28-day prognosis. General data of patients and heart rate (HR) and blood pressure at admission to ICU and within 24 hours after admission were collected. The blood pressure indexes including the maximum, median and mean value of systolic index, diastolic index and mean arterial pressure (MAP) index were calculated. The data were randomly divided into training set and validation set (4 : 1). Univariate Logistic regression analysis was used to screen covariates, and multivariate Logistic stepwise regression models were further developed. Model 1 (including HR, blood pressure, and blood pressure index related variables with P < 0.1 and other variables with P < 0.05) and Model 2 (including HR, blood pressure, and blood pressure index related variables with P < 0.1) were developed respectively. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve), precision recall curve (PRC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) curve were used to evaluate the quality of the two models, and the influencing factors of the prognosis of sepsis patients were analyzed. Finally, nomogram model was developed according to the better model and effectiveness of it was evaluated.
RESULTS:
A total of 11 559 sepsis patients were included in the study, with 10 012 patients in the survival group and 1 547 patients in the death group. There were significant differences in age, survival time, Elixhauser comorbidity score and other 46 variables between the two groups (all P < 0.05). Thirty-seven variables were preliminarily screened by univariate Logistic regression analysis. After multivariate Logistic stepwise regression model screening, among the indicators related to HR, blood pressure and blood pressure index, the HR at admission to ICU [odds ratio (OR) = 0.992, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.988-0.997] and the maximum HR (OR = 1.006, 95%CI was 1.001-1.011), maximum MAP index (OR = 1.620, 95%CI was 1.244-2.126), mean diastolic index (OR = 0.283, 95%CI was 0.091-0.856), median systolic index (OR = 2.149, 95%CI was 0.805-4.461), median diastolic index (OR = 3.986, 95%CI was 1.376-11.758) were selected (all P < 0.1). There were 14 other variables with P < 0.05, including age, Elixhauser comorbidity score, continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT), use of ventilator, sedation and analgesia, norepinephrine, norepinephrine, highest serum creatinine (SCr), maximum blood urea nitrogen (BUN), highest prothrombin time (PT), highest activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), lowest platelet count (PLT), highest white blood cell count (WBC), minimum hemoglobin (Hb). The ROC curve showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of Model 1 and Model 2 were 0.769 and 0.637, respectively, indicating that model 1 had higher prediction accuracy. The PRC curve showed that the AUC of Model 1 and Model 2 were 0.381 and 0.240, respectively, indicating that Model 1 had a better effect. The DCA curve showed that when the threshold was 0-0.8 (the probability of death was 0-80%), the net benefit rate of Model 1 was higher than that of Model 2. The calibration curve showed that the prediction effect of the nomogram model developed according to Model 1 was in good agreement with the actual outcome. The Bootstrap verification results showed that the nomogram model was consistent with the above results and had good prediction effects.
CONCLUSIONS
The nomogram model constructed has good prediction effects on the 28-day prognosis in sepsis patients, and the blood pressure indexes are important predictors in the model.
Humans
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Cohort Studies
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Retrospective Studies
;
Blood Pressure
;
Intensive Care Units
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ROC Curve
;
Sepsis/diagnosis*
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Prognosis
;
Critical Care
;
Norepinephrine

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