1.Dynamic prediction of JC polyomavirus reactivation after kidney transplantation
Mengyao LI ; Chengfeng ZHANG ; Difei REN ; Xin LIANG ; Shuyu CHEN ; Yushi PENG ; Yanjie WANG ; Meng ZHANG ; Jian XU ; Zheng CHEN ; Yun MIAO ; Yibin WANG
Organ Transplantation 2026;17(4):635-643
Objective To construct a dynamic prediction model for JC polyomavirus (JCV) reactivation after kidney transplantation. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 128 recipients who met the inclusion criteria and received kidney transplantation in Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, from June 2021 to December 2024. Dynamic Cox regression and dynamic restricted mean survival time (RMST) regression based on the landmark method were adopted to establish the dynamic prediction models, and Monte Carlo cross-validation was used to evaluate model performance. Results The dynamic models could predict the incidence and onset time of JCV reactivation within the subsequent 3 months according to covariates at each landmark time point from the 1st to the 6th month after transplantation. Remuzzi score, body mass index and warm ischemia time were independent risk factors for JCV reactivation, while a history of urinary BK polyomavirus reactivation served as a protective factor. The median values of the area under the curve, C-index and Brier score of the dynamic Cox model were 0.873, 0.851 and 0.065 respectively, and the C-index of the dynamic RMST model was 0.829, all of which were superior to those of the static model. Conclusions The landmark-based dynamic models exhibit excellent predictive performance, which may integrate baseline data and post-transplant follow-up information to realize dynamic assessment of the risk and time window of JCV reactivation, thereby providing evidence for optimizing post-operative monitoring and individualized intervention strategies.
2.Research progress on outdoor wet bulb globe temperature prediction models and their application to early warning for occupational heat stress
Xiaojun ZHANG ; Luyang WANG ; Xin SUI ; Xiaoshun WANG ; Tian LAN ; Yun ZHENG ; Dongsheng NIU ; Xiaowen DING
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2026;43(8):1032-1038
In the context of global warming, protecting outdoor workers from occupational heat exposure has become an important public health concern. This review summarized the principle, applicability, and limitation of three categories of wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) prediction models: empirical regression models, heat-balance models, and machine-learning models. Drawing on international experience from the United States, Europe, and Japan, this review further examined the technical challenges of applying WBGT-based prediction models to large-scale occupational heat stress early warning systems. In response to gaps in occupational heat stress management in China, WBGT should be considered a core assessment indicator to support a transition from passive response to proactive intervention. A localized implementation pathway is proposed, incorporating mechanism-based model calibration, regional parameter adaptation, and multi-source data fusion. Strengthening collaboration between public health and meteorological departments and developing platform-based flexible intervention strategies for workers in new forms of employment may improve the targeting of occupational heat stress early warning and health protection. Future research should focus on physics-constrained machine learning, refined microenvironmental prediction, and individualized risk assessment to support the development of a digitally enabled occupational heat-health protection framework.
3.Development and exploration of a closed-loop management model for externally dispensed intravenous prescriptions
Xuhua XIE ; Yun WU ; Songqing HUANG ; Yukun HUANG ; Siyan CHEN ; Zheng ZENG ; Weiyan TANG ; Zuolong HE ; Chunxia ZHOU ; Hongliang ZHANG
China Pharmacy 2026;37(10):1246-1250
OBJECTIVE To construct a closed-loop management model for externally dispensed intravenous prescriptions, and to provide reference for standardized management of externally dispensed intravenous prescriptions. METHODS Based on the Expert Consensus on Closed-loop Management of Externally Dispensed Intravenous Prescriptions in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region previously formulated by our hospital, risk points during the entire process were systematically identified through multidisciplinary team brainstorming and a fishbone diagram. A series of strategies were subsequently formulated and implemented, including qualifying designated external dispensing pharmacies and the drug catalogs, operating and maintaining the hospital information system and the Pharmacy Intravenous Admixture Service (PIVAS) intelligent management platform, and strengthening differentiated training for staff in the whole workflow. A whole-process closed-loop management system was constructed with PIVAS as the co re hub and the daytime chemotherapy center as the safety terminal. RESULTS A total of 3 cooperating pharmacies and an initial drug list comprising 35 product specifications were selected. A closed‑loop management process encompassing hospital outpatient prescribing, patient drug purchase in designated pharmacies, PIVAS drug dispensing, and medication use in daytime chemotherapy center was successfully established. This system enabled the mandatory grouping and association of externally dispensed intravenous prescriptions with in-hospital diluents, full-process verification based on drug traceability codes, intelligent monitoring of infusion parameters, and whole-process data traceability. CONCLUSIONS The constructed model effectively resolves the coordination and safety oversight during the use of externally dispensed intravenous drugs from out-of-hospital circulation to in-hospital use, and has preliminarily enabled procedural standardization, whole-process information traceability, and proactive control of medication risks.
4.The Clinical and Genetics Characteristics of Oculopharyngodistal Myopathy
Jiaxi YU ; Zhihao QUAN ; Yilei ZHENG ; Jing AN ; Jing LIU ; Qingqing WANG ; Lingchao MENG ; Meng YU ; Zhiying XIE ; Jianwen DENG ; He LYU ; Wei ZHANG ; Yun YUAN ; Zhaoxia WANG
JOURNAL OF RARE DISEASES 2026;5(2):164-174
To analyze the clinical and genetic features of oculopharyngodistal myopathy (OPDM) patients and compare the phenotypic differences among various causative genes. A total of 65 genetically confirmed OPDM patients from 43 unrelated families, who were admitted to the Department of Neurology, Peking University First Hospital between January 2008 and December 2025, were retrospectively included.The general demographic data, clinical manifestations, laboratory/auxiliary examinations, muscle pathology, and genetic test results were systematically collected and analyzed. The clinical and pathological characteristics among different OPDM subtypes were compared. Among the 65 patients(39 male and 26 female), the mean age of onset was (31.20±10.43) years (range: 14 to 63 years). The initial symptom was predominantly distal limb weakness (67.44%), which gradually progressed to involve the extraocular muscles, pharyngeal muscles, facial muscles and proximal limb muscles. Serum creatine kinase levels were mildly to moderately elevated. Muscle pathological examinations revealed rimmed vacuoles and intranuclear inclusions (within muscle fibers). The mean duration from onset to diagnosis was (12.33±7.88) years (range: 1 to 32 years). All probands had negative results on conventional next-generation whole-exome sequencing; pathogenic variants were identified through third-generation long-read sequencing or OPDM-targeted repeat-primed polymerase chain reaction(RP-PCR). Among the 43 families, OPDM2 subtype was the most common genetic subtype ( OPDM2 was the predominant subtype in this study. All subtypes share similar age of onset and muscular pathological changes, yet exhibit distinct disease progression patterns. Future multicenter prospective cohort studies are warranted to further elucidate the clinical characteristics, pathogenetic mechanisms, and prognostic differences among OPDM subtypes.
5.Long-term outcomes after infliximab discontinuation in patients with Crohn's disease: a single-center retrospective observational study
Danping ZHENG ; Yun QIU ; Yingfan ZHANG ; Baili CHEN ; Yao HE ; Zhirong ZENG ; Minhu CHEN
Chinese Journal of Inflammatory Bowel Diseases 2025;09(4):297-302
Objective:To assess the long-term risk of relapse in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) who discontinued infliximab (IFX) monoclonal antibody and to identify risk factors associated with relapse.Methods:A single-center retrospective observational study was conducted from February 2006 to October 2016. The study included CD patients who were treated with scheduled IFX infusions at the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University and assessed in corticosteroid-free clinical remission at the time of withdrawal were included. The primary outcome was clinical relapse. We evaluated the risk of relapse using Kaplan-Meier method. Factors associated with time to relapse was identified using the multiple Cox proportional hazards regression analysis.Results:We included 97 eligible patients, and 75 (77.3%) experienced a relapse after a median follow-up time of 124 months. Among them, 45 patients (46.4%) relapsed within 3 years after IFX withdrawal. The 1-, 2-, 3-, 5-, and 10-year relapse-free survival were 79.4%, 59.8%, 52.6%, 42.0% and 22.6%, respectively. Risk factors for relapse included age ≤ 16 ( HR = 2.62, 95% CI: 1.30-5.31; P = 0.007) and failure to achieve biological remission (CRP > 3 mg/L, HR = 2.37, 95% CI: 1.29-4.36; P = 0.006) at drug withdrawal. Induction with biologics or systemic steroids were both effective (89%-100% relieved) in relapsers. Conclusions:Nearly half of CD patients relapsed within 3 years after discontinuation of IFX treatment. Early age of discontinuation and failure to achieve serum biological remission at the time of discontinuation are independent predictors of clinical relapse.
6.Atlantodentoplasty using the anterior retropharyngeal approach for treating irreducible atlantoaxial dislocation with atlantodental bony obstruction: a retrospective study
Jia SHAO ; Yun Peng HAN ; Yan Zheng GAO ; Kun GAO ; Ke Zheng MAO ; Xiu Ru ZHANG
Asian Spine Journal 2025;19(1):54-63
Methods:
The clinical data of 26 patients diagnosed with irreducible atlantoaxial dislocation complicated by atlantodental bony obstruction were analyzed retrospectively. All patients underwent anterior retropharyngeal atlantodentoplasty, followed by posterior occipitocervical fusion. Details including surgical duration and blood loss volume were recorded. Radiographic data such as the anterior atlantodental interval, O–C2 angle, space available for the cord, clivus–canal angle, and cervical medullary angle, and clinical data including the Japanese Orthopedic Association (JOA) score were assessed. The fusion time of the grafted bone and the development of complications were examined.
Results:
In patients undergoing anterior retropharyngeal atlantodentoplasty, the surgical duration and blood loss volume were 120.1±16.4 minutes and 100.6±33.5 mL, respectively. The anterior atlantodental interval decreased significantly after the surgery (p <0.001). The O–C2 angle, space available for the cord, clivus–canal angle, and cervical medullary angle increased significantly after the surgery (p <0.001). The JOA score during the latest follow-up significantly increased compared with that before the surgery (p <0.001). The improvement rate of the JOA score was 80.8%±18.1%. The fusion time of the grafted bone was 3–8 months, with an average of 5.7±1.5 months. In total, 11 patients presented with postoperative dysphagia and three with irritating cough. However, none of them exhibited other major complications.
Conclusions
Anterior retropharyngeal atlantodentoplasty can anatomically reduce the atlantoaxial joint with a satisfactory clinical outcome in patients with irreducible atlantoaxial dislocation with atlantodental bony obstruction.
7.Clinical and pathological features of 52 patients with myofasciitis
Chongzhu FAN ; Qingyue YUAN ; Meng YU ; Yiming ZHENG ; Wei ZHANG ; Zhaoxia WANG ; Yawen ZHAO ; Yun YUAN
Chinese Journal of Neurology 2025;58(12):1259-1267
Objective:To describe the clinical and pathological features of patients with myofasciitis.Methods:The clinical manifestations and auxiliary examination (laboratory, electromyogram, imaging and muscle biopsy) results of 52 patients with myofasciitis diagnosed by pathology at Peking University First Hospital from August 2002 to December 2024 were collected and analyzed.Results:Among the 52 patients (33 males and 19 females), the age of disease onset was (34.4±16.4) years (6.0-73.0 years) and the disease duration was 17.7 (0.3, 120.0) months; the main symptoms included myalgia in the distal limbs (28 cases, 53.8%), diffuse cutaneous or muscle sclerosis (21 cases, 40.4%), muscle weakness (22 cases, 42.3%) and limited joint activity (23 cases, 44.2%); 12 patients (23.1%) were combined with other diseases. All patients had no history of vaccination. Laboratory examinations showed that 80.8% (21/26) of patients had elevated C-reactive protein, 80.0% (20/25) had elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and 26.5% (9/34) had elevated creatine kinase. Among 19 patients undergoing electromyography, 6 cases showed myogenic changes, 4 cases showed neurogenic changes, 1 case showed both myogenic and neurogenic changes, and 8 cases showed no obvious abnormality. Myofascial edema was observed in all 15 patients who underwent muscle magnetic resonance imaging, with partial involvement of adjacent muscles in some cases. According to myopathological changes, the 52 patients were divided into macrophagic myofasciitis in 41 cases (78.8%), lymphocytic myofasciitis in 7 cases (13.5%), and eosinophilic fasciitis in 4 cases (7.7%). Among the 52 patients, fibroblast proliferation in the myofascia was present in 39 cases (75.0%), subfascial muscle fiber atrophy in 28 cases (53.8%), and scattered muscle fiber necrosis and regeneration in 15 cases (28.8%). Major histocompatibility complex class Ⅰexpression on muscle fibers was positive in 89.5% (34/38) of patients, and membrane attack complex deposition on muscle fibers and/or capillary walls was present in 39.5% (15/38) of patients. Among 25 patients with follow-up, all received low-dose oral glucocorticoids, and 7 additionally received methotrexate, intravenous immunoglobulin, or hydroxychloroquine. During follow-up, 22 patients showed clinical improvement, 1 patient remained stable, and 2 patients died.Conclusions:Non-vaccine-associated macrophagic myofasciitis is the most common pathological subtype of myofasciitis. A few patients are concomitant with other diseases. Muscle magnetic resonance imaging is helpful in the diagnosis of the disease. Most patients respond to immunosuppressive treatment.
8.Establishment of near-infrared spectroscopy quantitative models for moisture and index components in Alismatis Rhizoma decoction pieces
Xun LU ; Zhe ZHANG ; Geng-zhi ZHAN ; Lu-yao CAI ; Cun-yu LI ; Yun-feng ZHENG ; Tuan-jie WANG ; Yu JIN ; Guo-ping PENG
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(10):3184-3190
AIM To establish the near-infrared spectroscopy quantitative models for moisture,23-acetylalismol B and 23-acetylalismol C in Alismatis Rhizoma decoction pieces.METHODS The near-infrared spectroscopy(NIRS)data were collected in 95 batches of decoction pieces,after which drying method was adopted in the content determination of moisture,HPLC was applied to determining the contents of 23-acetylalismol B and 23-acetylalismol C,the quantitative models were established by partial least squares method combined with feature extraction algorithms.RESULTS The model training determination coefficients were 0.952 6,0.958 1 and 0.920 8,along with the prediction determination coefficients of 0.930 0,0.905 2 and 0.906 4,the residual prediction deviations(PRD)of 4.00,3.58 and 3.46,and the root mean square error ratios of prediction values to calibration values(RMSEP/RMSEC)of 1.15,1.11 and 1.06,respectively.CONCLUSION The quantitative models based on NIRS exhibit good prediction effects,which can be used for the rapid quality detection of Alismatis Rhizoma decoction pieces.
9.Correlation and prognostic analysis of PRDX 4 with cervical lymph node metastasis in oral squamous cell carcinomas
Limei WANG ; Sujuan ZHOU ; Yun CHEN ; Ke ZHENG
Chongqing Medicine 2025;54(6):1286-1292
Objective To Explore the effect of expression of peroxidase reductase 4(PRDX4)on cervi-cal lymph node metastasis in oral squamous cell carcinomas(OSCC)and its relationship with prognosis.Methods Using bioinformatics databases to explore the expression,prognosis analysis,and related pathway prediction of PRDX4 gene in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.At the same time,clinical and pathologi-cal data including cervical lymph node metastasis were collected from 124 OSCC patients,the expression of PRDX4 was detected in 124 OSCC tissues using immunohistochemical experimental methods.Results Analy-sis of online bioinformatics databases showed that PRDX4 was highly expressed in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma and significantly correlated with tumor grade.The immunohistochemical results showed that the occurrence of cervical lymph node metastasis was significantly correlated with the intensity of PRDX4 stai-ning in 124 OSCC cases studied,and high expression of PRDX4 was an independent risk factor for cervical lymph node metastasis in OSCC(P=0.010).The staining intensity of PRDX4 was significantly correlated with the presence of multiple lymph node metastasis(P=0.020)and the the maximum diameter of lymph node metastasis(P=0.031),but not related to the invasion of lymph nodes outside the membrane.Survival a-nalysis showed that strong PRDX4 positivity was significantly correlated with poor disease-free survival(DFS)rate and overall survival(OS)rate in OSCC patients.Conclusion OSCC patients with strong expres-sion of PRDX4 have a higher incidence of cervical lymph node metastasis and a poorer prognosis.
10.Study on the application effect of logistic regression prediction model for stress ulcer after cerebral hemorrhage based on serum indicators
Lixiang WANG ; Yue ZHENG ; Chanchan FANG ; Sisi YE ; Yang ZHANG ; Yun LI
Chongqing Medicine 2025;54(6):1312-1318
Objective To construct a logistic regression prediction model for stress ulcer(SU)after cerebral hemorrhage.Methods A total of 230 patients with cerebral hemorrhage admitted to our hospital from January 2020 to January 2023 were prospectively selected as the study subjects.They were randomly di-vided into a training group and a validation group using a random number table method,with 115 patients in each group.The incidence of postoperative SU was statistically compared between the two groups.The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(Lasso)and logistic regression were used to analyze the influencing factors of SU after cerebral hemorrhage,and a logistic regression prediction model was established and valida-ted.Results The incidence of SU was 19.13%in the training group and 20.00%in the validation group.In-crement of age,blood loss≥30 mL,higher levels of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR),heat shock protein 70(HSP70)and HSP90 were identified as independent risk factors for SU after cerebral hemorrhage(P<0.05),while lower levels of Glasgow Coma Scale(GCS)score and albumin(Alb)were protective factors(P<0.05).The prediction model was logit(P)=0.409×age+1.288×blood loss-1.335×GCS score-1.126×Alb+0.452×NLR+1.483×HSP70+1.593×HSP90-10.325.The areas under the receiver operat-ing characteristic(ROC)curve(AUC)for the training group and the validation group were 0.845(95%CI:0.765-0.906)and 0.855(95%CI:0.777-0.913),respectively.The sensitivities were 81.82%and 90.91%,and the specificities were 76.34%and 70.97%,respectively.Conclusion A logistic regression prediction model was successfully constructed,which has certain predictive value for SU after cerebral hemorrhage.

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