Objective To develop a risk assessment scale for immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)-associated myocarditis based on multidisciplinary collaboration, and to evaluate its diagnostic performance. Methods Based on multidisciplinary cooperation, integrating clinical experience from oncology and cardiology, literature data, and patient conditions, a risk assessment scale for ICI-associated myocarditis was developed. A total of 101 patients with malignancies who received immunotherapy at Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, from October 2020 to October 2024 were included as the validation cohort. Patients were stratified into low-risk (0-1 point), medium-risk (2-4 points), and high-risk (≥5 points) groups based on their scale scores. The association between pretictive risk stratifications and actual assessment results was assessed using the Cox proportional hazards regression model. The predictive value of the scale for ICI-associated myocarditis was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Agreement between the scale scores and actual assessment results was assessed using Cohen’s Kappa coefficient. Results Based on the scale pretictive results, 28(27.7%), 8(7.9%), 65(64.4%) patients were at low risk, medium risk, and high risk for ICI-related myocarditis, respectively; however, 46(45.5%), 8(7.9%), 47(46.5%) were at low risk, medium risk, and high risk actually. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the cumulative incidence of ICI-related myocarditis in the high-risk group was significantly higher than that in the medium- and low-risk groups (P＜0.05). In the multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards model, the ICI-related myocarditis risk in high-risk group was about 4 times that in the low-risk group. ROC curve analysis demonstrated that the average area under the curve (AUC) for predicting ICI-related myocarditis was 0.81, with an accuracy of 0.74. The Cohen’s Kappa coefficient was 0.55, indicating moderate agreement. In the actual high-risk group, no patient was predicted to be at low risk; in the actual low-risk group, 16 patients were predicted to be at high risk. Conclusions This risk assessment scale for ICI-associated myocarditis shows high predictive performance. It provides oncologists with a simple yet effective multidisciplinary diagnostic reference tool, potentially enhancing early identification of ICI-associated myocarditis.

Objective To explore the association between the relative expression level of SNORD55 in peripheral blood and the outcomes of all-cause mortality and stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation(AF),and to evaluate the predictive value of SNORD55 for prognosis.Methods A total of 133 patients with non-valvular AF admitted in Department of Cardiology of the First Affiliated Hospital of Army Medical University from January 2014 to December 2017 were enrolled in this study.Their baseline information was collected,and the relative expression level of plasma SNORD55 was detected.Cox proportional hazards model was used to explore the association between the relative expression level of SNORD55 in peripheral blood and all-cause mortality as well as stroke in the patients.The predictive performance of CHA2DS2-VASc score for all-cause mortality and stroke was compared with the score combined with the relative expression level of SNORD55 in the AF patients.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC)was utilized to evaluate the discrimination,and the net reclassification index(NRI)and comprehensive discriminant improvement index(IDI)were calculated to evaluate the improvement of reclassification ability.Decision curve analysis(DCA)was applied to analyze the change in clinical net benefit.Results The results of multivariate Cox regression showed that high expression of SNORD55 in peripheral blood was an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality and stroke in the AF patients.In predicting the outcomes of all-cause mortality and stroke,the addition of relative expression SNORD55 level with the CHA2DS2-VASc score obtained higher AUC value[0.80(95％CI:0.67～0.93)vs 0.67(95％CI:0.53～0.81),P＜0.05].In predicting the outcome of all-cause death and stroke,combination of the relative expression level of SNORD55 with CHA2DS2-VASc score increased both NRI[54.3(95％CI:10.6～61.9)vs 31.9(95％CI:2.8～47.5),P＜0.05]and IDI[16.1(95％CI:2.4～27.0)vs 7.9(95％CI:0.5～14.8),P＜0.05].The results of DCA showed that our combination of CHA2DS2-VASc score relative expression level of SNORD55 had higher clinical net benefits than the foreign ABC score in the prediction of the outcomes.Conclusion Peripheral blood SNORD55 level is an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality and stroke in AF patients,and has good predictive performance for all-cause mortality and stroke in the patients.

Objectives To explore the association of peripheral blood PIWI-interacting RNA,piR-hsa-2700592,with all-cause mortality and stroke outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation(AF),and to determine whether piR-hsa-2700592 has the potential to be an AF biomarker.Methods A total of 127 patients with non-valvular AF were enrolled,and the relative expression level of plasma piR-hsa-2700592 was detected.Cox proportional hazard regression was used to analyze the correlation between the expression of piR-hsa-2700592 and all-cause death as well as stroke outcome in the patients.Then the molecule expression level was combined with CHA2DS2-VASc score and ABC stroke(or death)score to establish 2 new prediction models,the improvement of the predictive performance was compared and analyzed.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis(area under the curve,AUC),net reclassification index(NRI),and comprehensive discriminant improvement index(IDI)were used to evaluate the predictive performance,and decision curve analysis(DCA)was employed to assess the clinical benefit.Results Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the patients with higher expression level of piR-hsa-2700592 in peripheral blood had a higher risk of stroke(HR:2.203,95%CI:1.120～4.332;P=0.022).In the stroke outcome,combination of plasma piR-hsa-2700592 expression level with CHA2DS2-VASc score and ABC stroke score obtained an AUC of 0.70(95%CI:0.55～0.85,P＜0.001)and 0.84(95%CI:0.73～0.96,P=0.02),respectively.But,no significant association was observed between high plasma piR-hsa-2700592 level and all-cause mortality in the AF patients(HR:1.997;95%CI:0.884～4.509;P=0.096).Combination of plasma piR-hsa-2700592 level improved the discriminative capability than the single CHA2DS2-VASc score and ABC stroke score models,with an NRI and IDI value of 44.20%(95%CI:3.40～59.90,P＜0.001)and 8.20%(95%CI:0.60～15.40,P＜0.001),respectively for the new CHA2DS2-VASc score model,and an NRI and IDI value of 44.20%(95%CI:9.80～58.90,P＜0.001)and 10.40%(95%CI:0.70～21.40,P＜0.001),respectively for the new ABC stroke score model.The DCA curve showed that both new prediction models obtained better net clinical benefits.Conclusion High peripheral blood expression of piR-hsa-2700592 is an independent risk factor for stroke in the AF patients,and the indicator has a good predictive value for prognosis of the patients.piR-hsa-2700592 might be used as a potential biomarker in the diagnosis and prevention of cardiovascular diseases.

【Objective】 To study and compare the effects of different storage temperature and time on coagulation factor after cryoprecipitated antihemophilic factor(CAF) melting, and to provide reference for the establishment of industry standards. 【Methods】 From June 2021 to May 2023, a total of 96 bags of CAF were sampled in 4 bags per month, and timely detected in the same month. After the CAF was melted in a 37℃ water bath, the mild to moderate lipemic blood was labeled. Each bag of CAF and two 50 mL transfer bags were divided into two bags and two groups of 20 mL each using a sterile adapter. One group was placed in a 4℃ refrigerator and the other in a 22℃ water bath for 0 h, 4 h, 8 h, 12 h, 24 h and 48 h. Then 2 mL of aseptic sample was taken separately and put into the test tube, and 1mL of sample and 3 mL of buffer were added into the other test tube with the sampling gun and mixed on the machine for testing. The experimental data of 60 bags without mild to moderate lipemic blood cryoprecipitation and coagulation factor were randomly selected and statistically analyzed by SPSS21.0. 【Results】 After melting, CAF was stored for 0 h, 4 h, 8 h, 12 h, 24 h and 48 h to detect the average content and growth rate of coagulation factor in the two groups: 1) Storage at 4℃, factor Ⅷ content was 118.62, 111.57(-5.95%), 105.51(-11.05%), 103.30(-12.92%), 94.35(-20.46%) and 83.25(-29.82%) IU/ bag, respectively; Storage at 22℃, the factor Ⅷ content was 118.62, 112.69(-5.00%), 111.41(-6.08%), 109.01(-8.10%), 101.55(-14.39%) and 92.75(-21.81%) IU/ bag, and the storage results of the two groups were compared. At 24 h at 4℃ and 48 h at 22℃, the content of factor Ⅷ had significant statistical significance(P<0.01), and when stored at 22℃, the decay rate of factor Ⅷ was slower; 2) When stored at 4℃, the content of factor V was 41.19, 41.31(0.29%), 40.52(-1.64%), 40.27(-2.23%), 39.05(-5.19%) and 36.99(-10.21%) IU/ bag, respectively; Stored at 22℃, the factor V content was 41.19, 41.71(1.25%), 42.54(3.28%), 41.94(1.80%), 39.21(-4.80%) and 35.64(-13.48%) IU/ bag, respectively. Comparison of storage results between the two groups showed that the content of factor V was statistically significant(P<0.05) and significantly significant(P<0.01) at 4℃48 h and 22℃48 h, respectively, and the decay rate of factor V was faster when stored at 22℃; 3) When stored at 4℃, the Fbg content was 268.86, 268.17(-0.26%), 262.46(-2.38%), 270.50(0.61%), 267.52(-0.50%) and 261.92(-2.58%) mg/ bag, respectively; Stored at 22℃, the Fbg content was 268.86, 265.86(-1.12%), 264.12(-1.77%), 265.89(-1.11%), 266.04(-1.05%) and 261.04(-2.91%) mg/ bag, respectively. There was no statistical significance between the 2 groups and the original 0 h content in each time period(P>0.05). 【Conclusion】 After CAF melting, coagulation factor decreased with the extension of storage time, especially the decrease of factor Ⅷ, followed by factor V, while Fbg basically unchanged. Comparison between the two groups showed that, factor Ⅷ decay rate is slower, factor V decay rate is faster of storage at 22℃. CAF should be transfused as soon as possible after melting. If the delay is unavoidable, for the delay time less than 12 h, storage at 4℃ is recommended, fot the delay time more than 12 h and less than 24 h, storage at 22℃ is recommended.

Objective:To explore the establishment of a Cox proportional hazard prediction model for the re-cent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm labor(28-33+6 weeks).Meth-ods:The clinical data of 293 patients with threatened early preterm labor at 28-33+6 weeks admitted to the De-partment of Obstetrics,Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College from January 2021 to December 2022 were retrospectively collected.According to whether the patient gave birth recently(within a week)during hospi-talization,they were divided into delivery group(n=88)and non-delivery group(n=205).Demographic data,specialty conditions and clinical biochemical indicators were collected,and the differences of each observation in-dex between the two groups were compared.Cox multivariate analysis was used to screen variables,and then the Cox proportional hazard prediction model was constructed to calculate the hazard ratio(HR).The C-index was used to test the predictive ability of the model,and the nomogram was drawn to visualize the Cox proportional hazard prediction model.The calibration curve was used to test the consistency between the model prediction re-sults and the actual situation.Results:The average age of the delivery group was 30.2±5.0 years old,and the average prolonged pregnancy time was 61.3±47.5 hours.Compared to the group that gave birth and did not give birth,the proportion of patients with body mass index(BMI)at admission,parity＞1,gestational diabetes mellitus or diabetic pregnancy combined(GDM/PGDM),abnormal fetal orientation,regular contractions at admis-sion,vaginal cleanliness≥ Ⅲ,white blood cell count ≥10 ×109/L at admission and cervical length＜20 mm,the difference was statistically significant(P＜0.05).Multivariate Cox regression analysis:BMI＞30 kg/m2(HR 2.178,95％CI 1.208-3.928,P=0.010),parity＞1(HR 3.095,95％CI 1.759-5.447,P＜0.001),regular uterine contraction(HR3.447,95％CI 2.216-5.362,P＜0.001),cervical length＜20 mm(HR3.594,95％CI 2.289-5.646,P＜0.001)and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L(HR2.124,95％CI 1.352-3.335,P=0.001)on admission were independent risk factors for recent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm birth.When the above 5 indicators were included in the prediction model,the C-index was 0.797(95％CI 0.750-0.844),indicating that the model had good prediction ability.The calibration chart shows that the prediction results of the model are in good agreement with the actual results.Conclusions:Preg-nant women with BMI＞30 kg/m2 at admission,parity＞1,regular uterine contraction at admission,cervical length＜20 mm at admission and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L at admission are prone to premature delivery in the near future.Cox proportional risk prediction model based on the above risk factors has certain accuracy,which can be used to guide clinical workers to take corresponding intervention measures in advance to avoid or reduce the possibility of premature delivery in the near future and improve maternal and infant outcomes.

Objective:To explore the establishment of a Cox proportional hazard prediction model for the re-cent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm labor(28-33+6 weeks).Meth-ods:The clinical data of 293 patients with threatened early preterm labor at 28-33+6 weeks admitted to the De-partment of Obstetrics,Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College from January 2021 to December 2022 were retrospectively collected.According to whether the patient gave birth recently(within a week)during hospi-talization,they were divided into delivery group(n=88)and non-delivery group(n=205).Demographic data,specialty conditions and clinical biochemical indicators were collected,and the differences of each observation in-dex between the two groups were compared.Cox multivariate analysis was used to screen variables,and then the Cox proportional hazard prediction model was constructed to calculate the hazard ratio(HR).The C-index was used to test the predictive ability of the model,and the nomogram was drawn to visualize the Cox proportional hazard prediction model.The calibration curve was used to test the consistency between the model prediction re-sults and the actual situation.Results:The average age of the delivery group was 30.2±5.0 years old,and the average prolonged pregnancy time was 61.3±47.5 hours.Compared to the group that gave birth and did not give birth,the proportion of patients with body mass index(BMI)at admission,parity＞1,gestational diabetes mellitus or diabetic pregnancy combined(GDM/PGDM),abnormal fetal orientation,regular contractions at admis-sion,vaginal cleanliness≥ Ⅲ,white blood cell count ≥10 ×109/L at admission and cervical length＜20 mm,the difference was statistically significant(P＜0.05).Multivariate Cox regression analysis:BMI＞30 kg/m2(HR 2.178,95％CI 1.208-3.928,P=0.010),parity＞1(HR 3.095,95％CI 1.759-5.447,P＜0.001),regular uterine contraction(HR3.447,95％CI 2.216-5.362,P＜0.001),cervical length＜20 mm(HR3.594,95％CI 2.289-5.646,P＜0.001)and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L(HR2.124,95％CI 1.352-3.335,P=0.001)on admission were independent risk factors for recent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm birth.When the above 5 indicators were included in the prediction model,the C-index was 0.797(95％CI 0.750-0.844),indicating that the model had good prediction ability.The calibration chart shows that the prediction results of the model are in good agreement with the actual results.Conclusions:Preg-nant women with BMI＞30 kg/m2 at admission,parity＞1,regular uterine contraction at admission,cervical length＜20 mm at admission and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L at admission are prone to premature delivery in the near future.Cox proportional risk prediction model based on the above risk factors has certain accuracy,which can be used to guide clinical workers to take corresponding intervention measures in advance to avoid or reduce the possibility of premature delivery in the near future and improve maternal and infant outcomes.

Objective:To explore the establishment of a Cox proportional hazard prediction model for the re-cent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm labor(28-33+6 weeks).Meth-ods:The clinical data of 293 patients with threatened early preterm labor at 28-33+6 weeks admitted to the De-partment of Obstetrics,Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College from January 2021 to December 2022 were retrospectively collected.According to whether the patient gave birth recently(within a week)during hospi-talization,they were divided into delivery group(n=88)and non-delivery group(n=205).Demographic data,specialty conditions and clinical biochemical indicators were collected,and the differences of each observation in-dex between the two groups were compared.Cox multivariate analysis was used to screen variables,and then the Cox proportional hazard prediction model was constructed to calculate the hazard ratio(HR).The C-index was used to test the predictive ability of the model,and the nomogram was drawn to visualize the Cox proportional hazard prediction model.The calibration curve was used to test the consistency between the model prediction re-sults and the actual situation.Results:The average age of the delivery group was 30.2±5.0 years old,and the average prolonged pregnancy time was 61.3±47.5 hours.Compared to the group that gave birth and did not give birth,the proportion of patients with body mass index(BMI)at admission,parity＞1,gestational diabetes mellitus or diabetic pregnancy combined(GDM/PGDM),abnormal fetal orientation,regular contractions at admis-sion,vaginal cleanliness≥ Ⅲ,white blood cell count ≥10 ×109/L at admission and cervical length＜20 mm,the difference was statistically significant(P＜0.05).Multivariate Cox regression analysis:BMI＞30 kg/m2(HR 2.178,95％CI 1.208-3.928,P=0.010),parity＞1(HR 3.095,95％CI 1.759-5.447,P＜0.001),regular uterine contraction(HR3.447,95％CI 2.216-5.362,P＜0.001),cervical length＜20 mm(HR3.594,95％CI 2.289-5.646,P＜0.001)and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L(HR2.124,95％CI 1.352-3.335,P=0.001)on admission were independent risk factors for recent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm birth.When the above 5 indicators were included in the prediction model,the C-index was 0.797(95％CI 0.750-0.844),indicating that the model had good prediction ability.The calibration chart shows that the prediction results of the model are in good agreement with the actual results.Conclusions:Preg-nant women with BMI＞30 kg/m2 at admission,parity＞1,regular uterine contraction at admission,cervical length＜20 mm at admission and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L at admission are prone to premature delivery in the near future.Cox proportional risk prediction model based on the above risk factors has certain accuracy,which can be used to guide clinical workers to take corresponding intervention measures in advance to avoid or reduce the possibility of premature delivery in the near future and improve maternal and infant outcomes.

Objective:To explore the establishment of a Cox proportional hazard prediction model for the re-cent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm labor(28-33+6 weeks).Meth-ods:The clinical data of 293 patients with threatened early preterm labor at 28-33+6 weeks admitted to the De-partment of Obstetrics,Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College from January 2021 to December 2022 were retrospectively collected.According to whether the patient gave birth recently(within a week)during hospi-talization,they were divided into delivery group(n=88)and non-delivery group(n=205).Demographic data,specialty conditions and clinical biochemical indicators were collected,and the differences of each observation in-dex between the two groups were compared.Cox multivariate analysis was used to screen variables,and then the Cox proportional hazard prediction model was constructed to calculate the hazard ratio(HR).The C-index was used to test the predictive ability of the model,and the nomogram was drawn to visualize the Cox proportional hazard prediction model.The calibration curve was used to test the consistency between the model prediction re-sults and the actual situation.Results:The average age of the delivery group was 30.2±5.0 years old,and the average prolonged pregnancy time was 61.3±47.5 hours.Compared to the group that gave birth and did not give birth,the proportion of patients with body mass index(BMI)at admission,parity＞1,gestational diabetes mellitus or diabetic pregnancy combined(GDM/PGDM),abnormal fetal orientation,regular contractions at admis-sion,vaginal cleanliness≥ Ⅲ,white blood cell count ≥10 ×109/L at admission and cervical length＜20 mm,the difference was statistically significant(P＜0.05).Multivariate Cox regression analysis:BMI＞30 kg/m2(HR 2.178,95％CI 1.208-3.928,P=0.010),parity＞1(HR 3.095,95％CI 1.759-5.447,P＜0.001),regular uterine contraction(HR3.447,95％CI 2.216-5.362,P＜0.001),cervical length＜20 mm(HR3.594,95％CI 2.289-5.646,P＜0.001)and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L(HR2.124,95％CI 1.352-3.335,P=0.001)on admission were independent risk factors for recent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm birth.When the above 5 indicators were included in the prediction model,the C-index was 0.797(95％CI 0.750-0.844),indicating that the model had good prediction ability.The calibration chart shows that the prediction results of the model are in good agreement with the actual results.Conclusions:Preg-nant women with BMI＞30 kg/m2 at admission,parity＞1,regular uterine contraction at admission,cervical length＜20 mm at admission and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L at admission are prone to premature delivery in the near future.Cox proportional risk prediction model based on the above risk factors has certain accuracy,which can be used to guide clinical workers to take corresponding intervention measures in advance to avoid or reduce the possibility of premature delivery in the near future and improve maternal and infant outcomes.

Objective:To explore the establishment of a Cox proportional hazard prediction model for the re-cent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm labor(28-33+6 weeks).Meth-ods:The clinical data of 293 patients with threatened early preterm labor at 28-33+6 weeks admitted to the De-partment of Obstetrics,Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College from January 2021 to December 2022 were retrospectively collected.According to whether the patient gave birth recently(within a week)during hospi-talization,they were divided into delivery group(n=88)and non-delivery group(n=205).Demographic data,specialty conditions and clinical biochemical indicators were collected,and the differences of each observation in-dex between the two groups were compared.Cox multivariate analysis was used to screen variables,and then the Cox proportional hazard prediction model was constructed to calculate the hazard ratio(HR).The C-index was used to test the predictive ability of the model,and the nomogram was drawn to visualize the Cox proportional hazard prediction model.The calibration curve was used to test the consistency between the model prediction re-sults and the actual situation.Results:The average age of the delivery group was 30.2±5.0 years old,and the average prolonged pregnancy time was 61.3±47.5 hours.Compared to the group that gave birth and did not give birth,the proportion of patients with body mass index(BMI)at admission,parity＞1,gestational diabetes mellitus or diabetic pregnancy combined(GDM/PGDM),abnormal fetal orientation,regular contractions at admis-sion,vaginal cleanliness≥ Ⅲ,white blood cell count ≥10 ×109/L at admission and cervical length＜20 mm,the difference was statistically significant(P＜0.05).Multivariate Cox regression analysis:BMI＞30 kg/m2(HR 2.178,95％CI 1.208-3.928,P=0.010),parity＞1(HR 3.095,95％CI 1.759-5.447,P＜0.001),regular uterine contraction(HR3.447,95％CI 2.216-5.362,P＜0.001),cervical length＜20 mm(HR3.594,95％CI 2.289-5.646,P＜0.001)and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L(HR2.124,95％CI 1.352-3.335,P=0.001)on admission were independent risk factors for recent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm birth.When the above 5 indicators were included in the prediction model,the C-index was 0.797(95％CI 0.750-0.844),indicating that the model had good prediction ability.The calibration chart shows that the prediction results of the model are in good agreement with the actual results.Conclusions:Preg-nant women with BMI＞30 kg/m2 at admission,parity＞1,regular uterine contraction at admission,cervical length＜20 mm at admission and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L at admission are prone to premature delivery in the near future.Cox proportional risk prediction model based on the above risk factors has certain accuracy,which can be used to guide clinical workers to take corresponding intervention measures in advance to avoid or reduce the possibility of premature delivery in the near future and improve maternal and infant outcomes.

Objective:To explore the establishment of a Cox proportional hazard prediction model for the re-cent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm labor(28-33+6 weeks).Meth-ods:The clinical data of 293 patients with threatened early preterm labor at 28-33+6 weeks admitted to the De-partment of Obstetrics,Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College from January 2021 to December 2022 were retrospectively collected.According to whether the patient gave birth recently(within a week)during hospi-talization,they were divided into delivery group(n=88)and non-delivery group(n=205).Demographic data,specialty conditions and clinical biochemical indicators were collected,and the differences of each observation in-dex between the two groups were compared.Cox multivariate analysis was used to screen variables,and then the Cox proportional hazard prediction model was constructed to calculate the hazard ratio(HR).The C-index was used to test the predictive ability of the model,and the nomogram was drawn to visualize the Cox proportional hazard prediction model.The calibration curve was used to test the consistency between the model prediction re-sults and the actual situation.Results:The average age of the delivery group was 30.2±5.0 years old,and the average prolonged pregnancy time was 61.3±47.5 hours.Compared to the group that gave birth and did not give birth,the proportion of patients with body mass index(BMI)at admission,parity＞1,gestational diabetes mellitus or diabetic pregnancy combined(GDM/PGDM),abnormal fetal orientation,regular contractions at admis-sion,vaginal cleanliness≥ Ⅲ,white blood cell count ≥10 ×109/L at admission and cervical length＜20 mm,the difference was statistically significant(P＜0.05).Multivariate Cox regression analysis:BMI＞30 kg/m2(HR 2.178,95％CI 1.208-3.928,P=0.010),parity＞1(HR 3.095,95％CI 1.759-5.447,P＜0.001),regular uterine contraction(HR3.447,95％CI 2.216-5.362,P＜0.001),cervical length＜20 mm(HR3.594,95％CI 2.289-5.646,P＜0.001)and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L(HR2.124,95％CI 1.352-3.335,P=0.001)on admission were independent risk factors for recent(within a week)delivery of pregnant women with threatened early preterm birth.When the above 5 indicators were included in the prediction model,the C-index was 0.797(95％CI 0.750-0.844),indicating that the model had good prediction ability.The calibration chart shows that the prediction results of the model are in good agreement with the actual results.Conclusions:Preg-nant women with BMI＞30 kg/m2 at admission,parity＞1,regular uterine contraction at admission,cervical length＜20 mm at admission and white blood cell count≥10 ×109/L at admission are prone to premature delivery in the near future.Cox proportional risk prediction model based on the above risk factors has certain accuracy,which can be used to guide clinical workers to take corresponding intervention measures in advance to avoid or reduce the possibility of premature delivery in the near future and improve maternal and infant outcomes.