1.A systematic review of application value of machine learning to prognostic prediction models for patients with lumbar disc herniation
Zhipeng WANG ; Xiaogang ZHANG ; Hongwei ZHANG ; Xiyun ZHAO ; Yuanzhen LI ; Chenglong GUO ; Daping QIN ; Zhen REN
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):740-748
OBJECTIVE:Based on different algorithms of machine learning,the prediction model of lumbar disc herniation has become a trend and hot spot in the development of precision medicine.However,there is limited evidence on the reporting quality and methodological quality of prediction models of lumbar disc herniation outcomes using machine learning.This article is aimed to explore the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting the prognosis of lumbar disc herniation by comprehensively analyzing the report quality and risk of bias of previous studies that developed and validated prognosis prediction models based on machine learning through a comprehensive literature search,in order to explore the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting the prognosis of lumbar disc herniation.METHODS:The databases of CNKI,WanFang,VIP,SinOMED,PubMed,Web of Science,Embase,and The Cochrane Library were searched by computer.Studies on the use of machine learning to develop(and/or validate)prognostic prediction models for lumbar disc herniation were collected from the inception of the database to December 31,2023.Two researchers independently screened the literature,extracted data,and assessed the risk of bias of the included studies.The reporting quality and risk of bias of the included studies were assessed by the Multivariable Transparent Reporting of Predictive Models(TRIPOD)statement and the Predictive Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool(PROBAST).The results of the evaluation were analyzed using descriptive statistics and visual charts.RESULTS:(1)A total of 23 articles were included,and the TRIPOD compliance of each study ranged from 11%to 87%,with a median compliance of 54%.The quality of reporting of titles,detailed descriptions of treatment measures,blinding of predictors,handling of missing data,details of risk stratification,specific procedures for enrollment,model interpretation,and model performance was mostly poor,with TRIPOD adherence rates ranging from 4%to 35%.(2)Of all included studies,61%had a high risk of bias and 39%had an unclear overall risk of bias.The area under the curve,accuracy,sensitivity and specificity were used to evaluate the performance of the model.The areas under the curve of 20 models were reported,ranging from 0.561 to 0.999.Three models reported the accuracy of the model,ranging from 82.07%to 89.65%.(3)Among all included studies,the statistical analysis domain was most often assessed as having a high risk of bias,mainly due to the small number of valid samples,the selection of predictors based on univariate analysis and the lack of calibration and discrimination assessment of the model in the study.CONCLUSION:These results indicate that machine learning can achieve good predictive ability in the development and validation of prognostic models for lumbar disc herniation.The commonly used algorithms include regression algorithm,support vector machine,decision tree,random forest,artificial neural network,naive Bayes and other algorithms.Reasonable algorithms combined with clinical practice can improve the accuracy of prognosis prediction of lumbar disc herniation.However,the reporting and methodological quality of prognosis prediction models based on machine learning are poor,the prediction performance of different models varies greatly,and the generalization and extrapolation of research models are unclear.There is an urgent need to improve the design,implementation and reporting of such studies.To promote the application of machine learning in the clinical practice of lumbar disc herniation prediction models,it is necessary to comprehensively consider various predictors related to the prognosis of the disease before modeling,and strictly follow the relevant standards of PROBAST tool during modeling.
2.A systematic review of application value of machine learning to prognostic prediction models for patients with lumbar disc herniation
Zhipeng WANG ; Xiaogang ZHANG ; Hongwei ZHANG ; Xiyun ZHAO ; Yuanzhen LI ; Chenglong GUO ; Daping QIN ; Zhen REN
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):740-748
OBJECTIVE:Based on different algorithms of machine learning,the prediction model of lumbar disc herniation has become a trend and hot spot in the development of precision medicine.However,there is limited evidence on the reporting quality and methodological quality of prediction models of lumbar disc herniation outcomes using machine learning.This article is aimed to explore the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting the prognosis of lumbar disc herniation by comprehensively analyzing the report quality and risk of bias of previous studies that developed and validated prognosis prediction models based on machine learning through a comprehensive literature search,in order to explore the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting the prognosis of lumbar disc herniation.METHODS:The databases of CNKI,WanFang,VIP,SinOMED,PubMed,Web of Science,Embase,and The Cochrane Library were searched by computer.Studies on the use of machine learning to develop(and/or validate)prognostic prediction models for lumbar disc herniation were collected from the inception of the database to December 31,2023.Two researchers independently screened the literature,extracted data,and assessed the risk of bias of the included studies.The reporting quality and risk of bias of the included studies were assessed by the Multivariable Transparent Reporting of Predictive Models(TRIPOD)statement and the Predictive Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool(PROBAST).The results of the evaluation were analyzed using descriptive statistics and visual charts.RESULTS:(1)A total of 23 articles were included,and the TRIPOD compliance of each study ranged from 11%to 87%,with a median compliance of 54%.The quality of reporting of titles,detailed descriptions of treatment measures,blinding of predictors,handling of missing data,details of risk stratification,specific procedures for enrollment,model interpretation,and model performance was mostly poor,with TRIPOD adherence rates ranging from 4%to 35%.(2)Of all included studies,61%had a high risk of bias and 39%had an unclear overall risk of bias.The area under the curve,accuracy,sensitivity and specificity were used to evaluate the performance of the model.The areas under the curve of 20 models were reported,ranging from 0.561 to 0.999.Three models reported the accuracy of the model,ranging from 82.07%to 89.65%.(3)Among all included studies,the statistical analysis domain was most often assessed as having a high risk of bias,mainly due to the small number of valid samples,the selection of predictors based on univariate analysis and the lack of calibration and discrimination assessment of the model in the study.CONCLUSION:These results indicate that machine learning can achieve good predictive ability in the development and validation of prognostic models for lumbar disc herniation.The commonly used algorithms include regression algorithm,support vector machine,decision tree,random forest,artificial neural network,naive Bayes and other algorithms.Reasonable algorithms combined with clinical practice can improve the accuracy of prognosis prediction of lumbar disc herniation.However,the reporting and methodological quality of prognosis prediction models based on machine learning are poor,the prediction performance of different models varies greatly,and the generalization and extrapolation of research models are unclear.There is an urgent need to improve the design,implementation and reporting of such studies.To promote the application of machine learning in the clinical practice of lumbar disc herniation prediction models,it is necessary to comprehensively consider various predictors related to the prognosis of the disease before modeling,and strictly follow the relevant standards of PROBAST tool during modeling.
3.Construction of a nomogram model for clinical cure of chronic hepatitis B with a low level of hepatitis B surface antigen treated with pegylated interferon α-2b
Yingyuan ZHANG ; Huan MU ; Lixian CHANG ; Danqing XU ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Chunyun LIU ; Weikun LI ; Huangchenghao ZHANG ; Chunyan MOU ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(5):1038-1047
ObjectiveTo investigate the predictive factors for HBsAg clearance in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with a low level of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) treated with pegylated interferon α-2b (PEG-IFN-α-2b), to establish a combined predictive model and a nomogram based on multiple factors, and to provide a reference for formulating individualized treatment regimens and predicting treatment outcome in clinical practice. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for 167 CHB patients with HBsAg <1 500 IU/mL who attended The Third People’s Hospital of Kunming from January 2022 to January 2024 and were treated with PEG-IFN-α-2b. According to whether clinical cure was achieved, the patients were divided into HBsAg clearance group and HBsAg non-clearance group. Related data were collected, including general information and serological/biochemical/virological indicators at different time points during treatment. The independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data. The multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent influencing factors. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the value of indicators used alone or in combination in predicting clinical cure, and calibration curves were plotted to assess the risk prediction model. ResultsThe univariate analysis showed that there were significant differences between the two groups in age (t=-6.839, P<0.05), history of nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment for over 1 year (χ2=59.339, P<0.05), genotype (χ2=4.610, P<0.05), nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (χ2=5.319, P<0.05), hepatitis B virus DNA status before treatment (χ2=60.861, P <0.05), compensated liver cirrhosis (χ2=10.960, P<0.05), HBeAg status before treatment (χ2=19.060, P<0.05), a history of interferon treatment (χ2=8.162, P<0.05), presence of interferon antibodies after treatment (χ2=12.858, P<0.05), HBsAg level before treatment (Z=-7.412, P<0.05), alanine aminotransaminase (ALT) level at baseline (Z=-6.117, P<0.05), ALT level at 12 weeks of treatment (Z=-7.171, P<0.05), platelet count (PLT) at 24 weeks of treatment (Z=-3.622, P<0.05), and thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) level at 24 weeks of treatment (Z=-2.830, P<0.05). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age (odds ratio [OR]=1.230, P=0.007), history of nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment for over 1 year (OR=0.008, P=0.011), HBeAg status before treatment (OR=0.003, P=0.012), HBsAg level before treatment (OR=1.005, P=0.014), ALT level at baseline (OR=0.949, P=0.014), ALT level at 12 weeks of treatment (OR=0.969, P=0.016), PLT at 24 weeks of treatment (OR=0.969, P=0.022), and TSH level at 24 weeks of treatment (OR=3.608, P=0.045) were independent influencing factors for HBsAg clearance at 48 weeks of treatment in CHB patients with HBsAg <1 500 IU/mL. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test yielded χ2=1.398, P=0.994, indicating that the model had good fitting. The Bootstrap method was used to perform internal validation of the nomogram model, and there was a good degree of fitting between the calibration curve and the ideal curve, with a mean absolute error of 0.029. The ROC curve analysis showed that the combination of predictive factors had an area under the ROC curve of 0.982 (95% confidence interval: 0.961 — 0.999), with a sensitivity of 94.10% and a specificity of 93.10%, suggesting that the nomogram model had a good discriminatory ability. For the CHB patients with HBsAg <1 500 IU/mL and different features, further analysis of HBsAg clearance rate at 48 weeks of treatment showed an HBsAg clearance rate of 69.60% for those with HBsAg ≤67.65 IU/mL before treatment, 58.30% for those with a baseline ALT level of ≥62.50 U/L, 68.30% for those with an ALT level of ≥92.50 U/L at 12 weeks of treatment, 42.40% for those with PLT ≥104×109/L at 24 weeks of treatment, and 48.30% for those with a TSH level of ≤1.38 μIU/mL at 24 weeks of treatment, with significant differences between the two groups (all P<0.001). ConclusionAge, history of nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment for over 1 year, HBeAg status before treatment, HBsAg level before treatment, baseline ALT level, ALT level at 12 weeks of treatment, PLT level at 24 weeks, and TSH level at 24 weeks of treatment are independent predictive factors. The combined prediction nomogram model constructed in this study has a relatively high value in predicting clinical cure at 48 weeks of PEG-IFN-α-2b treatment in CHB patients with HBsAg<1 500 IU/mL, thereby providing a reference for selecting suitable treatment population and predicting clinical cure.
4.Expression and clinical significance of Periostin in chronic rhinosinusitis
Longyan LIU ; Yuanzhen SHI ; Yuan HOU ; Wenjuan DING ; Yong LI ; Zengping LIU ; Shihong DUAN
Chinese Archives of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery 2025;32(8):486-491
OBJECTIVE To investigate the expression and clinical significance of Periostin in tissues of patients with chronic rhinosinusitis(CRS).METHODS Real-time quantitative PCR and immunohistochemistry were used to detect periostin expression in eosinophilic CRS with nasal polyps(ECRSwNP),non-eosinophilic CRS with nasal polyps(non-ECRSwNP),CRS without nasal polyps(CRSsNP),and control tissues.Correlations between periostin levels and blood eosinophil percentage(Eos%),Lund-Mackay score,modified endoscopic score,and Japanese epidemiological survey of refractory eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis(JESREC)score were analyzed.Additionally,changes in SNOT-22 and VAS scores were compared at different preoperative and postoperative times.The predictive value of periostin for ECRSwNP was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis.RESULTS Periostin expression was detected in all groups(ECRSwNP,non-ECRSwNP,CRSsNP,and controls),with predominant localization in the basement membrane and mucosal subepithelial lamina propria.Significantly elevated periostin levels were detected in the ECRSwNP group compared to the other three groups(P<0.001).Furthermore,Periostin mRNA expression showed significant positive correlations with blood Eos%,JESREC score,and Lund-Mackay score.SNOT-22 and VAS scores were significantly elevated in the ECRSwNP group at preoperative evaluation and 9 months postoperatively(P<0.001).ROC curve analysis demonstrated that periostin had a substantial predictive value for ECRSwNP(AUC=0.957).CONCLUSION Periostin plays a crucial role in the pathogenesis of chronic rhinosinusitis,contributing to the diagnosis,severity assessment,and prognosis evaluation of ECRSwNP,while offering potential therapeutic targets for CRS management.
5.Epithelial-mesenchymal transition and TGF-β1/Smad signaling in chronic rhinosinusitis and the correlation with surgical prognosis
Yuanzhen SHI ; Yuan HOU ; Longyan LIU ; Yong LI ; Xingjian CHEN ; Zengping LIU ; Shihong DUAN
Chinese Archives of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery 2025;32(9):579-584
OBJECTIVE To compare the expression characteristics of transforming growth factor-β1(TGF-β1),Smad2,Smad3,and epithelial-mesenchymal transition(EMT)-related markers(E-cadherin,N-cadherin,vimentin)in patients with different types of chronic sinusitis(CRS),to analyze the correlations of E-cadherin,N-cadherin and vimentin with TGF-β1 and the prognosis of surgical treatment in patients with different types of CRS.METHODS The expressions of E-cadherin,N-cadherin,vimentin,TGF-β1,Smad2 and Smad3 in patients with different types of CRS and the control group were compared by Western blotting(WB)and real-time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction(qRT-PCR).Analyze its correlation with the improvement degree of each clinical score after the operation.RESULTS Compared with the control group,the expression of E-cadherin decreased in the CRSsNP group,the non-ECRSwNP group and the ECRSwNP group,while the expressions of vimentin and N-cadherin increased.The protein expression of TGF-β1 in the CRSsNP group was higher than that in the non-ECRSwNP group and the control group(P<0.001),and the expressions of Smad2 and Smad3 in the CRSsNP group were higher than those in the ECRSwNP group,the non-ECRSwNP group and the control group(P<0.001).In the CRSsNP group,there was a positive correlation between TGF-β1 and vimentin(r=0.675,P=0.011),and a negative correlation with E-cadherin(r=-0.802,P=0.001).The expression of E-cadherin was negatively correlated with the improvement amplitude of SNOT-22 nasal symptom scores in patients with different types of CRS(P<0.05).CONCLUSION The EMT phenomenon occurs in different types of CRS.In CRS SNPS,EMT may be related to the TGF-β1/Smad signaling pathway.The expressions of EMT markers E-cadherin,N-cadherin and vimentin are correlated with the decrease in the severity of postoperative disease in patients with CRS,suggesting a potential association between the EMT process and the surgical prognosis of patients with CRS.
6.Risk factors for concurrent hepatic hydrothorax before intervention in primary liver cancer and construction of a nomogram prediction model
Yuanzhen WANG ; Renhai TIAN ; Yingyuan ZHANG ; Danqing XU ; Lixian CHANG ; Chunyun LIU ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(1):75-83
ObjectiveTo investigate the influencing factors for hepatic hydrothorax (HH) before intervention for primary hepatic carcinoma (PHC), and to construct and assess the nomogram risk prediction model. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 353 hospitalized patients who attended the Third People’s Hospital of Kunming for the first time from October 2012 to October 2021 and there diagnosed with PHC, and according to the presence or absence of HH, they were divided into HH group with 153 patients and non-HH group with 200 patients. General data and the data of initial clinical testing after admission were collected from all PHC patients. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups; the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. After the multicollinearity test was performed for the variables with statistical significance determined by the univariate analysis, the multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent influencing factors. The “rms” software package was used to construct a nomogram risk prediction model, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used to assess the risk prediction model; the “Calibration Curves” software package was used to plot the calibration curve, and the “rmda” software package was used to plot the clinical decision curve and the clinical impact curve. ResultsAmong the 353 patients with PHC, there were 153 patients with HH, with a prevalence rate of 43.34%. Child-Pugh class B (odds ratio [OR]=2.652, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.050 — 6.698, P=0.039), Child-Pugh class C (OR=7.963, 95%CI: 1.046 — 60.632, P=0.045), total protein (OR=0.947, 95%CI: 0.914 — 0.981, P=0.003), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (OR=1.007, 95%CI: 1.001 — 1.014, P=0.025), and interleukin-2 (OR=0.801, 95%CI: 0.653 — 0.981, P=0.032) were independent influencing factors for HH before PHC intervention, and a nomogram risk prediction model was established based on these factors. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the model had a good degree of fitting (χ2=5.006, P=0.757), with an area under the ROC curve of 0.752 (95%CI: 0.701 — 0.803), a sensitivity of 78.40%, and a specificity of 63.50%. The calibration curve showed that the model had good consistency in predicting HH before PHC intervention, and the clinical decision curve and the clinical impact curve showed that the model had good clinical practicability within a certain threshold range. ConclusionChild-Pugh class, total protein, interleukin-2, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein are independent influencing factors for developing HH before PHC intervention, and the nomogram model established based on these factors can effectively predict the risk of developing HH.
7.Influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis
Danqing XU ; Huan MU ; Yingyuan ZHANG ; Lixian CHANG ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Weikun LI ; Zhijian DONG ; Lihua ZHANG ; Yijing CHENG ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(2):269-276
ObjectiveTo investigate the influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, and to establish a predictive model. MethodsA total of 217 patients who were diagnosed with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis and were admitted to The Third People’s Hospital of Kunming l from January, 2019 to December, 2022 were enrolled, among whom 63 patients who were readmitted within at least 1 year and had no portal hypertension-related complications were enrolled as recompensation group, and 154 patients without recompensation were enrolled as control group. Related clinical data were collected, and univariate and multivariate analyses were performed for the factors that may affect the occurrence of recompensation. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed measurement data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed measurement data between two groups; the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. A binary Logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the predictive performance of the model. ResultsAmong the 217 patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, 63 (29.03%) had recompensation. There were significant differences between the recompensation group and the control group in HIV history (χ2=4.566, P=0.034), history of partial splenic embolism (χ2=6.687, P=0.014), Child-Pugh classification (χ2=11.978, P=0.003), grade of ascites (χ2=14.229, P<0.001), albumin (t=4.063, P<0.001), prealbumin (Z=-3.077, P=0.002), high-density lipoprotein (t=2.854, P=0.011), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (Z=-2.447, P=0.014), prothrombin time (Z=-2.441, P=0.015), carcinoembryonic antigen (Z=-2.113, P=0.035), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) (Z=-2.063, P=0.039), CA125 (Z=-2.270, P=0.023), TT3 (Z=-3.304, P<0.001), TT4 (Z=-2.221, P=0.026), CD45+ (Z=-2.278, P=0.023), interleukin-5 (Z=-2.845, P=0.004), tumor necrosis factor-α (Z=-2.176, P=0.030), and portal vein width (Z=-5.283, P=0.005). The multivariate analysis showed that history of partial splenic embolism (odds ratio [OR]=3.064, P=0.049), HIV history (OR=0.195, P=0.027), a small amount of ascites (OR=3.390, P=0.017), AFP (OR=1.003, P=0.004), and portal vein width (OR=0.600, P<0.001) were independent influencing factors for the occurrence of recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis. The ROC curve analysis showed that HIV history, grade of ascites, history of partial splenic embolism, AFP, portal vein width, and the combined predictive model of these indices had an area under the ROC curve of 0.556, 0.641, 0.560, 0.589, 0.745, and 0.817, respectively. ConclusionFor patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, those with a history of partial splenic embolism, a small amount of ascites, and an increase in AFP level are more likely to experience recompensation, while those with a history of HIV and an increase in portal vein width are less likely to experience recompensation.
8.Effect of Maxing Loushi Decoction on Inflammatory Factors, Immune Function, and PD-1/PD-L1 Signaling Pathway in Patients with Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease with Phlegm Turbidity Obstructing Lung Syndrome
Yuexin SHI ; Zhi YAO ; Jun YAN ; Caijun WU ; Li LI ; Yuanzhen JIAN ; Guangming ZHENG ; Yanchen CAO ; Haifeng GUO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(17):143-150
ObjectiveTo evaluate the clinical efficacy of Maxing Loushi decoction in the treatment of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) with phlegm turbidity obstructing lung syndrome, and to investigate its effects on inflammatory factors, immune function, and the programmed death-1(PD-1)/programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) signaling pathway. MethodsA randomized controlled study was conducted, enrolling 90 hospitalized patients with AECOPD and phlegm turbidity obstructing lung syndrome in the Respiratory and Emergency Departments of Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, from April 2024 to December 2024. Patients were randomly assigned to a control group and an observation group using a random number table, with 45 patients in each group. The control group received conventional Western medical treatment, while the observation group received additional Maxing Loushi decoction for 14 days. Clinical efficacy, COPD Assessment Test (CAT) score, modified Medical Research Council Dyspnea Scale (mMRC), 6-minute walk test (6MWT), serum inflammatory factors, T lymphocyte subsets, and serum PD-1/PD-L1 levels were compared between the two groups before and after treatment. ResultsThe total clinical effective rate was 78.57% (33/42) in the control group and 95.35% (41/43) in the observation group, with the observation group showing significantly higher efficacy than that of the control group. The difference was statistically significant (χ2 = 5.136, P<0.05). After treatment, both groups showed significant reductions in CAT and mMRC scores (P<0.05, P<0.01) and significant increases in 6MWT compared to baseline (P<0.01). The observation group demonstrated significantly greater improvements than the control group in this regard. Levels of inflammatory markers including C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), monocyte chemoattractant protein-1(MCP-1), and macrophage inflammatory protein-1α (MIP-1α) were significantly reduced in both groups (P<0.05, P<0.01), with greater reductions in the observation group (P<0.05, P<0.01). CD8+ levels were significantly reduced (P<0.01), while CD3+, CD4+, and CD4+/CD8+ levels were significantly increased in both groups after treatment (P<0.05, P<0.01), with more significant improvements observed in the observation group (P<0.05, P<0.01). Serum PD-1 levels were reduced (P<0.05, P<0.01), and PD-L1 levels were increased significantly in both groups after treatment (P<0.05, P<0.01), with more pronounced changes in the observation group (P<0.05). ConclusionMaxing Loushi decoction demonstrates definite therapeutic efficacy as an adjunctive treatment for patients with AECOPD and phlegm turbidity obstructing lung syndrome. It contributes to reducing serum inflammatory factors, improving immune function, and regulating the PD-1/PD-L1 signaling pathway.
9.Effect of Maxing Loushi Decoction on Inflammatory Factors, Immune Function, and PD-1/PD-L1 Signaling Pathway in Patients with Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease with Phlegm Turbidity Obstructing Lung Syndrome
Yuexin SHI ; Zhi YAO ; Jun YAN ; Caijun WU ; Li LI ; Yuanzhen JIAN ; Guangming ZHENG ; Yanchen CAO ; Haifeng GUO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(17):143-150
ObjectiveTo evaluate the clinical efficacy of Maxing Loushi decoction in the treatment of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) with phlegm turbidity obstructing lung syndrome, and to investigate its effects on inflammatory factors, immune function, and the programmed death-1(PD-1)/programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) signaling pathway. MethodsA randomized controlled study was conducted, enrolling 90 hospitalized patients with AECOPD and phlegm turbidity obstructing lung syndrome in the Respiratory and Emergency Departments of Dongzhimen Hospital, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, from April 2024 to December 2024. Patients were randomly assigned to a control group and an observation group using a random number table, with 45 patients in each group. The control group received conventional Western medical treatment, while the observation group received additional Maxing Loushi decoction for 14 days. Clinical efficacy, COPD Assessment Test (CAT) score, modified Medical Research Council Dyspnea Scale (mMRC), 6-minute walk test (6MWT), serum inflammatory factors, T lymphocyte subsets, and serum PD-1/PD-L1 levels were compared between the two groups before and after treatment. ResultsThe total clinical effective rate was 78.57% (33/42) in the control group and 95.35% (41/43) in the observation group, with the observation group showing significantly higher efficacy than that of the control group. The difference was statistically significant (χ2 = 5.136, P<0.05). After treatment, both groups showed significant reductions in CAT and mMRC scores (P<0.05, P<0.01) and significant increases in 6MWT compared to baseline (P<0.01). The observation group demonstrated significantly greater improvements than the control group in this regard. Levels of inflammatory markers including C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), monocyte chemoattractant protein-1(MCP-1), and macrophage inflammatory protein-1α (MIP-1α) were significantly reduced in both groups (P<0.05, P<0.01), with greater reductions in the observation group (P<0.05, P<0.01). CD8+ levels were significantly reduced (P<0.01), while CD3+, CD4+, and CD4+/CD8+ levels were significantly increased in both groups after treatment (P<0.05, P<0.01), with more significant improvements observed in the observation group (P<0.05, P<0.01). Serum PD-1 levels were reduced (P<0.05, P<0.01), and PD-L1 levels were increased significantly in both groups after treatment (P<0.05, P<0.01), with more pronounced changes in the observation group (P<0.05). ConclusionMaxing Loushi decoction demonstrates definite therapeutic efficacy as an adjunctive treatment for patients with AECOPD and phlegm turbidity obstructing lung syndrome. It contributes to reducing serum inflammatory factors, improving immune function, and regulating the PD-1/PD-L1 signaling pathway.
10.Value of FibroScan, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio, S index, interleukin-6, and tumor necrosis factor-α in the diagnosis of HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B liver fibrosis
Yingyuan ZHANG ; Danqing XU ; Huan MU ; Chunyan MOU ; Lixian CHANG ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Hongyan WEI ; Li LIU ; Weikun LI ; Chunyun LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(4):670-676
ObjectiveTo investigate the value of noninvasive imaging detection (FibroScan), two serological models of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR) score and S index, and two inflammatory factors of interleukin-6 (IL-6) and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) in predicting liver fibrosis in patients with HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B (CHB), as well as the consistency of liver biopsy in pathological staging, and to provide early warning for early intervention of CHB. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for 131 HBeAg-positive CHB patients who underwent liver biopsy in The Third People’s Hospital of Kunming from January 2019 to December 2023. The results of liver biopsy were collected from all patients, and related examinations were performed before liver biopsy, including total bilirubin, alanine aminotransferase, platelet count, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, albumin, IL-6, TNF-α, liver stiffness measurement (LSM), and abdominal ultrasound. An analysis of variance was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups, and the Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. A Kappa analysis was used to investigate the consistency between LSM noninvasive histological staging and pathological staging based on liver biopsy, and the Spearman analysis was used to investigate the correlation between each variable and FibroScan in the diagnosis of liver fibrosis stage. The Logistic regression analysis was used to construct joint predictive factors. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the value of each indicator alone and the joint predictive model in the diagnosis of liver fibrosis, and the Delong test was used for comparison of the area under the ROC curve (AUC). ResultsIn the consistency check, inflammation degree based on liver biopsy had a Kappa value of 0.807 (P<0.001), and liver fibrosis degree based on liver biopsy had a Kappa value of 0.827 (P<0.001), suggesting that FibroScan noninvasive histological staging and liver biopsy showed good consistency in assessing inflammation degree and liver fibrosis stage. Age was positively correlated with LSM, GPR score, S index, IL-6, and TNF-α (all P<0.05), and GPR score, S index, IL-6, and TNF-α were positively correlated with LSM (all P<0.05). GPR score, S index, IL-6, and TNF-α were all independent risk factors for diagnosing significant liver fibrosis (≥S2) and progressive liver fibrosis (≥S3) (all P<0.05). As for each indicator alone, GPR score had the highest value in the diagnosis of significant liver fibrosis (≥S2), followed by S index, IL-6, and TNF-α, while S index had the highest value in the diagnosis of progressive liver fibrosis (≥S3), followed by GPR score, TNF-α, and IL-6. The joint model had a higher predictive value than each indicator alone (all P<0.05). ConclusionThere is a good consistency between FibroScan noninvasive histological staging and pathological staging based on liver biopsy. GPR score, S index, IL-6, and TNF-α are independent risk factors for evaluating different degree of liver fibrosis in CHB, and the combined prediction model established by them can better diagnose liver fibrosis.

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