1.Evaluation of the application of a predictive model for red blood cell demand in surgical procedures
Xiaoyu CAI ; Yannan FENG ; Chunya MA ; Yuan ZHUANG ; Yang YU
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(1):51-55
Objective: To assess the clinical application value of a prediction model for red blood cell (RBC) demand in surgical procedures. Methods: Demographic data, laboratory parameters, anesthesia and transfusion records, and model prediction data were retrospectively collected from surgical patients at the First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital between 2018 and 2024. Statistical analysis was performed using the Chi-square test, t-test, and Mann-Kendall trend test. Results: From 2018 to 2024, the predictive model for RBC demand in surgical procedures was used to evaluate a total of 112 293 surgeries. During this period, the model call rate (77.49%-98.91%, P<0.05), compliance rate (56.81%-84.92%, P<0.05), and prediction accuracy rate (66.82%-94.17%, P<0.05) all showed significant upward trends. The total blood usage across the hospital (13645.4-7723.5 units, P<0.05) and the average blood usage per surgery (0.21-0.1 units, P<0.05) exhibited overall downward trends. Postoperative average hemoglobin levels in the non-compliance group (112.1-105.3 g/L in the non-compliance group vs 106.9-92.7 g/L in the compliance group, P<0.05) and the intraoperative excessive transfusion rate (5.06%-6.05% in the non-compliance group vs 0.09%-0.04% in the compliance group, P<0.05) were significantly higher in the non-compliance group compared to the compliance group. Conclusion: The predictive model for RBC demand in surgical procedures has played a positive role in conserving blood resources, optimizing blood resource allocation, and reducing intraoperative risks.
2.Comparative analyses of the detection performance of five multiplex polymerase chain reaction nucleic acid detection kits for respiratory pathogens
Fang YUAN ; Lei BI ; Jiajing LIU ; Huanru WANG ; Jun FENG ; Yuan ZHUANG ; Min CHEN ; Zheng TENG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2026;38(2):165-169
ObjectiveTo evaluate the detection specificity for clinical samples and the detection capability for standard substances of five commercially available multiplex polymerase chain reaction (PCR) nucleic acid detection kits (hereinafter referred to as the kits) for respiratory pathogens, and to provide a reference for selecting appropriate detection kits for multi-pathogen nucleic acid testing of respiratory infections. MethodsA total of 60 respiratory pathogen-positive clinical samples with known redults were selected and tested using the five kits (labeled as A, B, C, D, and E). The detection rates and Kappa coefficients were calculated to evaluate the consistency between the results from these kits and those from single-pathogen PCR kits. According to the limit of detection (LOD) provided by the kits, standard substances of respiratory pathogens (including 12 types such as influenza virus, Mycoplasma pneumoniae, and Bordetella pertussis) were diluted to four concentrations (250, 500, 1 000, and 2 000 copies·mL⁻¹). All five kits were used for detection to evaluate their respective detection capabilities. ResultsCompared with the results from single-pathogen PCR kits, the five tested kits demonstrated good consistency (all Kappa >0.80). Among them, Kit A had the highest detection rate (100.00%), followed by Kits C and E (98.33%), and then Kits B and D (95.00%). All five kits showed a relatively low false negative rate (FNR) for samples with a cycle threshold (Ct) value ≤35 (≤2.38%). However, for samples with Ct values>35, the FNR increased accordingly(average FNR=6.67%, P=0.029). Kit C exhibited the highest detection sensitivity for the tested standard substances (average LOD: 458.33 copies·mL⁻¹), followed by Kit D, then Kits A/E, and finally Kit B. ConclusionThe five multiplex PCR kits showed good consistency with single-pathogen detection results, but each had its own performance emphasis. Kit A, with the highest detection rate and high throughput, is suitable for targeted viral screening. Kit B, covering the broadest pathogen spectrum (including fungi/bacteria), is suitable for comprehensive respiratory pathogen screening. Kits C, D and E, are applicable for rapid detection. It is important to note that the detection efficacy of all kits decreases for low viral load samples with Ct values >35. In practical application, selection should be based on specific screening objectives, throughput requirements, and sample types.
3.Disease burden and changing trends of bladder cancer in China and globally in 1992 - 2021
Zhengnan LI ; Zhuang LI ; Yuanyuan LUO ; Bo YU ; Hao SU ; GuangYong CAO ; Kai YIN ; Dongbo YUAN ; Jianguo ZHU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(3):8-13
Objective To analyze the disease burden and trends of bladder cancer in China and globally from 1992 to 2021. Methods Using the GBD 2021 database, the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates of bladder cancer in China and globally from 1992–2021 were analyzed. Average annual percentage change (AAPC) was calculated using Joinpoint regression. Subgroup analyses by sex and age were conducted, and a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to predict trends in age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) for the next 15 years. Results In 2021, China reported 106 000 new cases (ASIR: 5.14/100 000), 571 000 prevalent cases (age-standardized prevalence rate, ASPR: 26.61/100 000), 43 000 deaths (ASMR: 2.34/100 000), and a DALY rate of 45.31/100 000. From 1992–2021, China showed upward trends in ASIR and ASPR but declines in ASMR and DALYs, while global ASIR, ASMR, and DALYs decreased overall with slow ASPR growth. The peak cases in China and globally were both concentrated in the 65-79 age group, with a significantly higher burden on males than females. In China, smoking-related ASMR and ASDR exceeded global averages and rose, whereas high glucose-related indexes were lower and declined. Projections for 2021–2036 indicated that the global incidence and mortality rates would be rising, but ASIR/ASPR would be declining, while in China, the incidence rate would continue to rise, and the mortality rate will stabilize, with a significant increase in ASIR and a gradual decrease in ASPR. Conclusion From 1992 to 2021, the incidence of bladder cancer in China has shown a continuous upward trend and is projected to persist in the future, with significant gender and age differences. Particular attention should be given to elderly males aged 85-89. The disease burden of bladder cancer attributable to smoking continues to rise, highlighting the urgent need to strengthen tobacco control policies.
4.Pathogen spectrum of diarrheal disease surveillance in Fengxian District, Shanghai, 2013‒2023
Meihua LIU ; Yuan ZHUANG ; Xiaohong XIE ; Hongwei ZHAO ; Yuan SHI ; Lijuan DING ; Yi HU ; Lixin TAO
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(4):336-341
ObjectiveTo investigate the pathogenic spectrum and epidemiological characteristics of diarrheal disease in Fengxian District of Shanghai, and to provide scientific basis for the prevention and control of diarrheal diseases. MethodsBasic information of the initial adult cases visited diarrheal disease surveillance sentinel hospital in Fengxian District, Shanghai, was collected from August 2013 to 2023, and fecal samples were collected at 1∶5 sampling intervals to isolate and identify 5 kinds of diarrheagenic Escherichia coli (DEC), Salmonella (SAL), Vibrio parahaemolyticus, Campylobacter, Vibrio cholerae, Shigella and Yersinia enterocolitica (YE). Simultaneously, nucleic acid detection was performed for 3 kinds of rotavirus, 2 kinds of norovirus, intestinal adenovirus, astrovirus and sapovirus. ResultsA total of 1 861 cases of newly diagnosed diarrheal disease were reported, with the peak in July to August. Additionally, 704 surveillance samples were detected, with a total positive detection rate of 50.57%. The detection rates of bacterial, viral and mixed infection were 25.14%, 21.02% and 4.40%, respectively. Among the pathogens detected, DEC accounted for the highest (17.61%, 124/704), followed by norovirus (16.48%, 116/704), rotavirus (6.39%, 45/704), SAL (5.97%, 42/704) and Campylobacter (3.84%, 27/704). DEC detected were mainly enteroaggregative Escherichia coli and enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli, with no detection of Vibrio cholerae, Shigella and YE. The highest total pathogen detection rate was observed from June to September, and the detection peaks of norovirus were from March to June and from October to December, whereas that of DEC was from June to October. The detection rate of rotavirus peaked from January to February, but which was not detected between 2020‒2023. The SAL positive rate peak was in September, whereas that of Campylobacter was from July to September. ConclusionThe main pathogens detected in Fengxian District from 2013‒2019 are DEC, norovirus, rotavirus, SAL and Campylobacter. Different pathogens have different detection peaks, with bacteria predominating in summer and viruses in winter and spring. Prevention and control measures should be carried out according to the epidemiological characteristics of different seasons.
5.Functional decellularized porcine cartilage particles promote the repair of articular osteochondral de-fects
Peixue ZHUANG ; Pingping YUAN ; Na WEI ; Xinchi ZHANG ; Yujiao WANG ; Wei WU
Journal of Practical Stomatology 2025;41(3):305-313
Objectives:To evaluate the effectiveness of functionalized decellularized extracellular matrix(F-dECM)prepared from porcine auricular cartilage or porcine rib cartilage in repairing xenogeneic articular osteochondral defects.Methods:The por-cine auricular cartilage and rib cartilage were crushed and decellularized.Heparin modification and multi-factor loading were a-chieved through amide bond reaction.The physical characteristics of the particles were characterized by SEM observation and mer-cury intrusion.The chemical characteristics of the particles were characterized by tissue section staining and kit detection.The rabbit knee joint full-thickness defect models were established and implanted by different particles respectively.After 6 weeks and 12 weeks of operation,the samples were taken for gross observation,CT scanning and tissue sectioning to comprehensively evaluate the repair effect.Results:After heparin modification,the glycosaminoglycan lost during the decellularization process was replen-ished.Both heparinized auricular cartilage and costal cartilage presented a highly developed porous structure.Among them,the porosity and pore diameter of costal cartilage were both lower than those of auricular cartilage(P<0.05).During the observation periods of 6 weeks and 12 weeks,the porcine costal cartilage F-dECM implantation group was superior to other experimental groups in knee joint repair effects(P<0.05).Conclusion:Costal-derived F-dECM is a joint osteochondral defect repair material with application potential.
6.A Retrospective Cohort Study on the Improvement of Prognosis of Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients Using Traditional Chinese Medicine Preparations
Li DOU ; Wei WANG ; Manshu YU ; Sicheng YUAN ; Jingyi HU ; Yuwen ZHUANG ; Minghao QI ; Yuanyuan WANG ; Fei YANG ; Jiale MENG ; Tao GUO ; Xiaoxiao WANG
Journal of Nanjing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;41(11):1585-1595
OBJECTIVE The emergence of evolving variants of Coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)has fostered the need for change of newer and adaptive treatments for these infections.During the COVID-19 pandemic and persists,traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)herbs exhibit significant bioactivity and therapeutic effect.This study is aimed to evaluate the efficacy of four TCM preparations on 28-day mortality risk of patients and changes of the laboratory indicators.METHODS The retrospective cohort study included patients with COVID-19 who were admitted to the Jiangsu Province Hospital of Chinese Medicine from December 15,2022 to January 15,2023,and those died within 48 hours of admission or cannot be tracked for outcomes were excluded.The pri-mary outcome was survival status in 28 days(death or survival)starting from the day of admission.The second outcomes were labora-tory indicators,including absolute lymphocyte count,lactate dehydrogenase,creatinine,and blood urea nitrogen.Binary logistic re-gressions were used to estimate the effect of TCM preparations on the primary and secondary outcomes in main analysis.Meanwhile,heterogeneity and robustness of results from main analysis were assessed by subgroup analyses and multiple sensitivity analyses.RESULTS 1 816 eligible patients were included in analysis dataset,including 573 patients received standard care(control group)and 1 243 patients received TCM preparations(hospital preparation group).The 28-day mortality rate of hospital preparation group was lower than that of control group(4.75%vs.14.83%),and the difference was statistically significant(χ2=54.666,P<0.001).The risk of 28-day mortality was 0.535 times lower in the hospital preparation group as compared with the control group(OR=0.46,95%CI:0.305-0.708,P<0.001)showed by multivariable binary logistic regressions.Subgroup analyses showed that taking TCM preparations reduced the 28-day mortality risk.Sensitivity analyses demonstrated that the results of the main analysis for primary outcomes were robust.For secondary outcomes,the risk of abnormal absolute lymphocyte counts at discharge in the hospital prepara-tion group decreased by 0.284 times(OR=0.703,95%CI:0.515-0.961,P=0.027).CONCLUSION Compared with standard of care,taking four hospital preparations including Kanggan Heji,Feining Heji,Qishen Gubiao Keli,and Qianghuo Qushi Qingwen Heji decreased risk of 28-day mortality among hospitalized COVID-19 patients.TCM therapy achieves adequate therapeutic effects in COVID-19.
7.Consensus of experts on the management of thoracic anesthesia with spontaneous respiration
Qisen FAN ; Lan LAN ; Jingxiang WU ; Yuan QIU ; Guiping XU ; Jiang WANG ; Duozhi WU ; Jinhui LUO ; Jian RAN ; Ying-fen LI ; Peng PAN ; Bing ZHANG ; Yuelan ZHOU ; Yiwen ZHANG ; Xuebing XU ; Yatao LIU ; Yingbin WANG ; Yan WANG ; Yulong WANG ; Youyang HU ; Shoushi WANG ; Hongwei MENG ; Haixia XU ; Peijia TANG ; Xia-oxue ZHUANG ; Canzhou ZHANG
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2025;41(13):1945-1951
Thoracic anesthesia with spontaneous respiration represents a form of precision anesthesia meticulously customized to individual patients.Considering the more stringent requirements this anesthesia approach imposes on the regulation of respiratory function,the writing group of the"Consensus of Experts on the Management of Thoracic Anesthesia with Spontaneous Respiration"has formulated elaborate guidelines regarding indications and contraindications,preoperative evaluation,anesthesia implementation,common complications,and treatment strategies.This was accomplished by referencing relevant domestic and international literature and integrating it with actual clinical requirements.The objective is to standardize the rational application of this anesthesia method.
8.Two cases of female monozygotic twins with schizophrenia carrying a balanced translocation between 22q11.2 and 4p15.3
Xuyuan YIN ; Chuanwei LI ; Qing YANG ; Yuan CAI ; Wenlong HOU ; Lijuan MAN ; Nannan ZHUANG ; Jiaqi CAO ; Qi QI ; Zhenhua ZHU ; Li HUI
Chinese Journal of Psychiatry 2025;58(1):47-50
Schizophrenia is a common, severe, and complex psychiatric disorder worldwide. Genetic factors account for around 80% of the etiology of schizophrenia, yet objective diagnostic biomarkers remain lacking. This article reports two cases of female monozygotic twins diagnosed with schizophrenia, exhibiting a balanced translocation between 22q11.2 and 4p15.3. Reviewing the literature, we analyze and discuss the correlation between chromosomal balanced translocation regions and the pathogenesis of mental disorders. This aims to encourage psychiatrists to consider new perspectives on the diagnosis of schizophrenia.
9.Predictive value of refeeding syndrome and its influencing factors for 30-day intensive care unit readmission in critically ill patients
Liuqing DUAN ; Bingyan LIU ; Yue ZHANG ; Xin LI ; Lina ZHAO ; Haiying LIU ; Dongxue HUANG ; Shumei ZHUANG ; Yuan LIU ; Yuanyuan QU ; Yuehao SHEN
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(10):944-949
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of refeeding syndrome (RFS) and its influencing factors for 30-day intensive care unit (ICU) readmission in critically ill patients.Methods:A prospective cohort study was conducted. Critically ill patients admitted to the department of critical care medicine, department of respiratory and critical care medicine, and department of neurology at Tianjin Medical University General Hospital from January to April in 2025 were enrolled. Patients were assessed for RFS according to the American Society for Parenteral and Enteral Nutrition (ASPEN) criteria. General information within 24 hours of ICU admission was collected via the electronic medical record system. Treatment details and 30-day ICU readmission status were dynamically recorded. Participants were divided into readmission and non-readmission groups based on whether ICU readmission occurred within 30 days. Intergroup comparisons were performed to identify differences. Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the relationship between RFS and its influencing factors with 30-day ICU readmission. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was plotted to evaluate the predictive performance of risk factors.Results:A total of 196 critically ill patients were enrolled, among whom 25 (12.76%) were readmitted to ICU within 30 days and 171 (87.24%) were not. Significant differences were observed in the readmission group compared with the non-readmission group, including significantly higher rates of nasogastric decompression, higher acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHEⅡ) score, a higher incidence of RFS, and a longer duration of nasogastric decompression. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that RFS was an independent risk factor for 30-day ICU readmission [odds ratio ( OR) = 5.756, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was 1.603-20.670, P = 0.007]. APACHEⅡ score showed a positive correlation trend with 30-day ICU readmission ( OR = 1.057, 95% CI was 0.991-1.127, P = 0.092). ROC curve analysis showed that the combined prediction model incorporating RFS and APACHEⅡ score had an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.766 (95% CI was 0.668-0.864), with a sensitivity of 88.0% and a specificity of 62.0%, which was significantly superior to a single indicator (the AUC of RFS and APACHEⅡ score was 0.639 and 0.624, respectively). Conclusions:RFS significantly increases the risk of 30-day ICU readmission in critically ill patients. A combined model incorporating RFS and APACHEⅡ score demonstrates good predictive efficacy for 30-day ICU readmission in critically ill patients.
10.Etiological surveillance and antimicrobial resistance analysis of Legionella pneumophila in the aqueous environment of public places in Shanghai, 2011-2020
Jun FENG ; Wei GAO ; Yuan ZHUANG ; Lingyue YUAN ; Yanxin CHEN ; Zhen XU ; Jiayuan LUO ; Yong CHEN ; Huanyu WU ; Xin CHEN ; Jing ZHANG ; Min CHEN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(9):1600-1609
Objective:To understand the etiological surveillance and drug resistance characteristics of Legionella pneumophila (LP) from the aqueous environment of public places in Shanghai, from 2011 to 2020, and provide evidence for surveillance of the disease. Methods:Environmental water samples were systematically collected from public venues in urban and suburban districts of Shanghai for LP surveillance. All the identified LP isolates underwent a series of testings including serotyping, pulsed field gel electrophoresis (PFGE), sequence-based typing, and antimicrobial susceptibility testing. χ2 test or Cochran-Armitage trend tests were used for statistical analysis and for temporal resistance patterns. Results:Among 6 263 water samples, the LP-positive rate was 20.93% (1 311/6 263). The positivity rate decreased from 24.98% (287/1 149) in 2011-2012 to 20.02% (1 024/5 114) in 2013-2020 ( χ2=13.92, P<0.001), with the highest monthly positivity observed from June to August (23.79%, 745/3 132). A total of 1 365 LP strains were isolated, of which 912 were further characterized, including 10 serotypes, 149 PFGE patterns, and 33 sequence types (ST). The predominant serotype was Lp1 (86.84%, 792/912), and the dominant ST was ST752 (29.50%, 269/912). ST clustering revealed two major clonal groups CG1 and CG2, accounting for 91.12% (831/912) of the isolates. The 190 LPs involved in the drug sensitivity test showed three resistance profiles: azithromycin resistance (31.05%, 59/190), ciprofloxacin resistance (0.53%, 1/190) and azithromycin+ciprofloxacin resistance (0.53%, 1/190). Azithromycin-resistant strains were predominantly ST1 (64.41%, 38/59). The antimicrobial resistance rate showed a significant decline, from 48.65% (18/37) in 2011-2012 to 28.10% (43/153) in 2013-2020 ( χ2=9.38, P=0.002). Conclusions:Compared to from 2011 to 2012, both the positivity rate and antimicrobial resistance prevalence of LP in public aqueous environments of Shanghai exhibited an overall decline from 2013 to 2020. The predominant types of LP were serotype Lp1 and sequence type ST752, with notable high-level resistance to azithromycin. Measures as enhancing the enforcement of water safety regulations and prioritizing surveillance of azithromycin resistance in LP were recommended to mitigate public health risks.


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