1.Research progress in the application of supercooling preservation technology in graft preservation
Heng ZHAO ; Jinteng FENG ; Bangrui YU ; Yixing LI ; Haotian BAI ; Haishui HUANG ; Guangjian ZHANG
Organ Transplantation 2025;16(3):394-403
Supercooling preservation technology, as a groundbreaking innovation in the field of organ preservation, significantly reduces the metabolic rate of cells and inhibits ice crystal formation by placing organs in a low-temperature environment near or below the freezing point. This technology extends the preservation time of organs and maintains their biological activity. Compared with the traditional low-temperature preservation at 4 °C, supercooling preservation effectively avoids cell damage and the accumulation of metabolic products, demonstrating significant advantages in the preservation of cells, tissues and organs. In recent years, important progress has been made in the optimization of cryoprotectants, the application of antifreeze proteins, the improvement of vitrification technology, and the development of nanotechnology-based rewarming techniques. These advancements provide new pathways to address the challenges of toxicity, ice crystal formation and uneven rewarming rates during supercooling preservation. This review summarizes the basic principles of supercooling preservation, the application of key technologies, and their practical effects in organ transplantation. It also analyzes the challenges of toxicity and rewarming efficiency, aiming to provide theoretical support and research directions for the future optimization of organ low-temperature preservation technology and its clinical application.
2.The value of Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI habitat radiomic features in predicting CK19 expression and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma
Weihao CHEN ; Yixing YU ; Wenhao GU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jiyun ZHANG ; Cen SHI ; Yanfen FAN ; Qian WU ; Ximing WANG ; Chunhong HU
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2025;59(11):1275-1285
Objective:To investigate the value of habitat radiomic features based on gadolinium ethoxybenzyl diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA)-enhanced MRI in establishing a predictive model for cytokeratin 19 (CK19) expression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to evaluate its role in prognostic risk stratification.Methods:This multicenter case-control study retrospectively enrolled 489 patients with pathologically confirmed HCC who underwent Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI between June 2016 and June 2024. Among them, 346 patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University were divided into a training cohort ( n=245) and an internal test cohort ( n=101) via stratified sampling at a 7∶3 ratio. And 143 patients from Nantong Third Hospital Affiliated to Nantong University served as an external validation cohort. The training cohort included 53 CK19-positive and 192 CK19-negative patients. The internal test cohort included 21 CK19-positive and 80 CK19-negative patients. The external validation cohort included 30 CK19-positive and 113 CK19-negative patients. Univariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify potential factors associated with CK19 expression, and a clinical-radiologic model was constructed. The k-means clustering algorithm was applied to segment target HCC lesions into 3 subregions. Radiomic features were extracted and selected from these habitat subregions. Habitat radiomics models were constructed for the arterial phase (AP), portal venous phase, hepatobiliary phase (HBP), and combined phases (CP). Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified independent clinical and radiologic predictors of CK19 expression, and the optimal habitat model score was integrated to build a clinical-radiologic-habitat combined model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate model predictive performance. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and the differences in survival curves were compared with the log-rank test. Results:Univariate logistic regression analysis revealed that alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ( OR=2.629, 95% CI 1.412-4.896, P=0.002), AP enhancement ( OR=3.636, 95% CI 1.642-8.052, P=0.001), AP peritumoral enhancement ( OR=2.219, 95% CI 1.084-4.542, P=0.029), and HBP peritumoral hypointensity ( OR=2.010, 95% CI 1.004-4.021, P=0.049) were potential factors associated with CK19 expression, which were incorporated into the clinical-radiologic model. In the internal and external validation cohorts, the AUC of the clinical-radiologic model was 0.690 (95% CI 0.590-0.778) and 0.650 (95% CI 0.565-0.727), respectively. The habitat radiomics model based on CP images demonstrated the highest performance. It achieved AUC of 0.729 (95% CI 0.622-0.836) and 0.725 (95% CI 0.607-0.842) in the internal and external validation cohorts, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified AFP ( OR=2.494, 95% CI 1.163-5.348, P=0.019), AP enhancement ( OR=5.230, 95% CI 1.868-14.643, P=0.002) and habitat radiomics model score ( OR=4.105, 95% CI 2.643-6.368, P<0.001) as independent predictors of CK19 positivity. Based on these factors, a combined clinical-radiologic-habitat combined model was established. The clinical-radiologic-habitat combined model achieved AUCs of 0.767 (95% CI 0.671-0.846) and 0.730 (95% CI 0.649-0.801) in the internal and external validation cohorts, respectively. Significant differences in RFS were observed between the CK19-positive group (25.1 month) and CK19-negative group (51.0 month) as predicted by the clinical-radiologic-habitat model ( χ2=4.17, P=0.041). Conclusion:The clinical-radiologic-habitat combined model based on Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI habitat radiomics demonstrates good predictive performance for CK19 expression in HCC and offers valuable prognostic stratification for clinical practice.
3.The value of Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI deep learning in preoperative prediction of vessels completely encapsulating tumor clusters of hepatocellular carcinoma
Jinjing WANG ; Cen SHI ; Yanfen FAN ; Qian WU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jiyun ZHANG ; Wenhao GU ; Ximing WANG ; Chunhong HU ; Yixing YU
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2025;59(6):657-664
Objective:To explore the value of the deep learning model based on gadolinium ethoxybenzyl diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA) enhanced MRI in preoperatively predicting vessels completely encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).Methods:This study adopted a case-control design to retrospectively analyze 420 patients with HCC confirmed by postoperative pathology who underwent Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI between June 2016 and March 2023. A total of 420 patients were divided into a training set ( n=305) from the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University and an external validation set ( n=115) from Affiliated Nantong Hospital 3 of Nantong University. Based on postoperative pathological findings, patients were stratified into VETC-positive and VETC-negative groups. The training set comprised 161 VETC-positive cases and 144 VETC-negative cases, while the external validation set included 55 VETC-positive cases and 60 VETC-negative cases. Tumor regions of interest in arterial, portal venous, and hepatobiliary phases were manually delineated using ITK-SNAP software. Pre-trained Vgg19, Densenet121, and Vision Transformer (ViT) models were employed for transfer learning, extracting deep learning features from each image. Feature data were processed using FAE software, and 12 logistic regression models (arterial phase, portal venous phase, hepatobiliary phase, and combined three-phase models) were constructed to select the optimal deep learning model. Independent predictors in clinical characteristics were identified through univariate and multivariate logistic analyses to establish a clinical model for predicting VETC pattern. Subsequently, a clinical-deep learning fusion model was developed by integrating these clinical predictors with the optimal deep learning features. Model performance in predicting VETC-positive HCC was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results:In the external validation set, the area under the curve (AUC) of the Vgg19 model in the arterial phase, portal venous phase, hepatobiliary phase, and combined three-phase, respectively were 0.799,0.756,0.789,0.821, which were higher than those of Densenet121 (AUC: 0.544,0.581,0.544,0.583) and ViT (AUC: 0.740,0.752,0.785,0.767) model. The three-phase combined Vgg19 model achieved the highest AUC of 0.821 (95% CI 0.746-0.897). Multivariate logistic regression identified alpha-fetoprotein level ( OR=1.826,95% CI 1.069-3.120, P=0.028) and tumor diameter ( OR=1.329,95% CI 1.206-1.466, P<0.001) as independent predictors of VETC-positive HCC, forming the clinical model with an AUC of 0.789 (95% CI 0.703-0.859). The clinical-deep learning fusion model further achieved the AUC of 0.825 (95% CI 0.749-0.900). Calibration curves confirmed high concordance between predicted and actual probabilities for the three-phase Vgg19 model, while DCA revealed greater net clinical benefit for the combined Vgg19 and fusion models compared with the clinical model alone. Conclusions:The deep learning model based on Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI can be used to predict VETC of HCC preoperatively, among which the three-phase combined Vgg19 model and the clinical-deep learning model provide high predictive value.
4.Construction and evaluation of a nomogram for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion and vascular encirulation of tumor cell nests in double-positive hepatocellular carcinoma
Jiyun ZHANG ; Xueqin ZHANG ; Qi QU ; Jifeng JIANG ; Chunyan GU ; Yixing YU ; Tao ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2025;31(11):811-816
Objective:A nomogram model for predicting double positivity of microvascular invasion (MVI) and vascular endothelial-to-mesenchymal transition (VETC) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was constructed and its predictive performance was evaluated.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 326 HCC patients who were treated at the Third People's Hospital of Nantong and the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from January 2013 to June 2023, including 240 males and 86 females, with an average age of (58.7±9.0) years. The 326 patients were randomly divided into a training set ( n=228) and a test set ( n=98) at a ratio of 7: 3 using the random number table method. The training set was divided into a double-positive group ( n=54) and a control group ( n=174) based on whether the HCC patients were double positive for MVI and VETC. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the influencing factors of double positivity of microvascular invasion in HCC patients, and a nomogram for predicting double positivity of microvascular invasion patterns was constructed based on the multivariate. The predictive performance and clinical net benefit of the nomogram were evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. Results:There were statistically significant differences in alpha-fetoprotein, gamma-glutamyl transferase, and phosphatidylinositol proteoglycan between the two groups (all P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that LI-RADS category ( OR=8.58, 95% CI: 1.87-39.38), intratumoral hemorrhage ( OR=2.16, 95% CI: 1.14-4.07), and intratumoral arteries ( OR=2.59, 95% CI: 1.19-5.64) were all influencing factors of double positivity of microvascular invasion patterns in HCC patients (all P<0.05). Based on the multivariate results, a nomogram was constructed. In the training set, the area under the ROC curve for predicting double positivity of microvascular invasion patterns in HCC patients was 0.769 (95% CI: 0.720-0.814). In the test set, the area under the ROC curve for predicting double positivity of microvascular invasion patterns in HCC patients was 0.756 (95% CI: 0.622-0.850). The calibration curve showed a good fit between the predicted model and the ideal curve. Decision curve analysis showed that the clinical applicability was good when the threshold was 0.01-0.80 in the training set and 0.01-0.65 in the test set. Conclusion:The nomogram model based on LI-RADS category, intratumoral hemorrhage, and intratumoral arteries can effectively predict double positivity of microvascular invasion patterns in HCC patients and has good clinical applicability.
5.Diagnosis and differential diagnosis of small hepatocellular carcinoma in the context of cirrhosis
Li CHEN ; Shengwei LU ; Tiandan XIANG ; Yixing YU ; Weifeng ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2025;33(4):323-328
In China, most patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have progressed to the middle and advanced stages when they are diagnosed, so early-stage diagnosis is a significant key to improving the prognosis. Tumor diameter significantly correlates with the prognosis of patients with small hepatocellular carcinoma (sHCC), which is further classified as early-stage HCC (eHCC) and advanced HCC (pHCC). The "fast in and fast out" enhancement pattern is a typical feature of liver cancer imaging (CECT/CEMRI/CEUS); yet, eHCC with a diameter of <2 cm frequently exhibits hypovascularity. Hepatocyte-specific enhanced MRI (EOB-MRI) displays a unique hepatobiliary-specific phase (HBP) hypointensity, along with atypical manifestations such as lipid-containing nodules, T2 hyperintensity, and restricted diffusion. HBP is a functional radiographic imaging feature for cancerous nodules in cirrhosis. EOB-MRI can significantly increase the hypovascularity detection rate of eHCC in conjunction with serologic markers like alpha-fetoprotein. With a focus on the dynamic changes in hypovascular hypointense nodules in HBP (including diameter size, APHE, DWI, and other parameters), it is recommended that high-risk cirrhotic cohorts undergo routine monitoring (EOB-MRI follow-up every three months) to diagnose early-stage eHCC, based on the existing evidence-based medicine. This recommendation in clinical practice guidelines provides a crucial strategy that can markedly enhance patients' five-year survival rates.
6.The value of Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI radiomics and signal intensity in hepatobiliary phase in predicting the degree of pathological differentiation of hepatocellular carcinoma
Kaiying WU ; Yixing YU ; Zhu ZHU ; Dabo XU ; Sunxian DAI ; Wei FANG ; Xinyu LU ; Ximing WANG ; Chunhong HU ; Wenhao GU
Journal of Practical Radiology 2025;41(7):1158-1162
Objective To investigate the value of gadolinium ethoxybenzyl diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid(Gd-EOB-DTPA)enhanced MRI radiomics and signal intensity in hepatobiliary phase(HBP)in predicting the pathological differentiation degree of hep-atocellular carcinoma(HCC).Methods The clinical and imaging data of 224 patients pathologically confirmed with HCC were col-lected.All patients were randomly divided into test group(68 cases)and training group(156 cases)at a ratio of 7︰3.The ITK-SNAP software was used to delineate region of interest(ROI)on arterial phase(AP),portal venous phase(PVP)and HBP,the radiomics features of the tumor tissues were extracted and the radiomics models were established using the FAE software.Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the clinical independent predictors associated with the pathological differentiation degree of HCC and to construct clinical model and clinical-radiomics model.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was plotted for each model and the area under the curve(AUC)was calculated to compare the diagnostic efficacy of the models.Results Age,alpha-fetoprotein(AFP),and r-glutamyltransferase(r-GT)were independent risk factors for predicting the degree of pathological differentiation of HCC.The AUC of the clinical-radiomics model in the training group and test group were 0.825 and 0.779,respectively,which were higher than those of the radiomics model(0.812 and 0.771)and the clinical model(0.687 and 0.666).Conclusion Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI radiomics have certain value in predicting the degree of pathological differentiation of HCC,while the predictive value of the signal intensity on HBP and the signal intensity ratio(SIR)on HBP is limited.
7.The value of Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI radiomics and signal intensity in hepatobiliary phase in predicting the degree of pathological differentiation of hepatocellular carcinoma
Kaiying WU ; Yixing YU ; Zhu ZHU ; Dabo XU ; Sunxian DAI ; Wei FANG ; Xinyu LU ; Ximing WANG ; Chunhong HU ; Wenhao GU
Journal of Practical Radiology 2025;41(7):1158-1162
Objective To investigate the value of gadolinium ethoxybenzyl diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid(Gd-EOB-DTPA)enhanced MRI radiomics and signal intensity in hepatobiliary phase(HBP)in predicting the pathological differentiation degree of hep-atocellular carcinoma(HCC).Methods The clinical and imaging data of 224 patients pathologically confirmed with HCC were col-lected.All patients were randomly divided into test group(68 cases)and training group(156 cases)at a ratio of 7︰3.The ITK-SNAP software was used to delineate region of interest(ROI)on arterial phase(AP),portal venous phase(PVP)and HBP,the radiomics features of the tumor tissues were extracted and the radiomics models were established using the FAE software.Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the clinical independent predictors associated with the pathological differentiation degree of HCC and to construct clinical model and clinical-radiomics model.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was plotted for each model and the area under the curve(AUC)was calculated to compare the diagnostic efficacy of the models.Results Age,alpha-fetoprotein(AFP),and r-glutamyltransferase(r-GT)were independent risk factors for predicting the degree of pathological differentiation of HCC.The AUC of the clinical-radiomics model in the training group and test group were 0.825 and 0.779,respectively,which were higher than those of the radiomics model(0.812 and 0.771)and the clinical model(0.687 and 0.666).Conclusion Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI radiomics have certain value in predicting the degree of pathological differentiation of HCC,while the predictive value of the signal intensity on HBP and the signal intensity ratio(SIR)on HBP is limited.
8.The value of Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI habitat radiomic features in predicting CK19 expression and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma
Weihao CHEN ; Yixing YU ; Wenhao GU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jiyun ZHANG ; Cen SHI ; Yanfen FAN ; Qian WU ; Ximing WANG ; Chunhong HU
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2025;59(11):1275-1285
Objective:To investigate the value of habitat radiomic features based on gadolinium ethoxybenzyl diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA)-enhanced MRI in establishing a predictive model for cytokeratin 19 (CK19) expression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to evaluate its role in prognostic risk stratification.Methods:This multicenter case-control study retrospectively enrolled 489 patients with pathologically confirmed HCC who underwent Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI between June 2016 and June 2024. Among them, 346 patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University were divided into a training cohort ( n=245) and an internal test cohort ( n=101) via stratified sampling at a 7∶3 ratio. And 143 patients from Nantong Third Hospital Affiliated to Nantong University served as an external validation cohort. The training cohort included 53 CK19-positive and 192 CK19-negative patients. The internal test cohort included 21 CK19-positive and 80 CK19-negative patients. The external validation cohort included 30 CK19-positive and 113 CK19-negative patients. Univariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify potential factors associated with CK19 expression, and a clinical-radiologic model was constructed. The k-means clustering algorithm was applied to segment target HCC lesions into 3 subregions. Radiomic features were extracted and selected from these habitat subregions. Habitat radiomics models were constructed for the arterial phase (AP), portal venous phase, hepatobiliary phase (HBP), and combined phases (CP). Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified independent clinical and radiologic predictors of CK19 expression, and the optimal habitat model score was integrated to build a clinical-radiologic-habitat combined model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate model predictive performance. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and the differences in survival curves were compared with the log-rank test. Results:Univariate logistic regression analysis revealed that alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ( OR=2.629, 95% CI 1.412-4.896, P=0.002), AP enhancement ( OR=3.636, 95% CI 1.642-8.052, P=0.001), AP peritumoral enhancement ( OR=2.219, 95% CI 1.084-4.542, P=0.029), and HBP peritumoral hypointensity ( OR=2.010, 95% CI 1.004-4.021, P=0.049) were potential factors associated with CK19 expression, which were incorporated into the clinical-radiologic model. In the internal and external validation cohorts, the AUC of the clinical-radiologic model was 0.690 (95% CI 0.590-0.778) and 0.650 (95% CI 0.565-0.727), respectively. The habitat radiomics model based on CP images demonstrated the highest performance. It achieved AUC of 0.729 (95% CI 0.622-0.836) and 0.725 (95% CI 0.607-0.842) in the internal and external validation cohorts, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified AFP ( OR=2.494, 95% CI 1.163-5.348, P=0.019), AP enhancement ( OR=5.230, 95% CI 1.868-14.643, P=0.002) and habitat radiomics model score ( OR=4.105, 95% CI 2.643-6.368, P<0.001) as independent predictors of CK19 positivity. Based on these factors, a combined clinical-radiologic-habitat combined model was established. The clinical-radiologic-habitat combined model achieved AUCs of 0.767 (95% CI 0.671-0.846) and 0.730 (95% CI 0.649-0.801) in the internal and external validation cohorts, respectively. Significant differences in RFS were observed between the CK19-positive group (25.1 month) and CK19-negative group (51.0 month) as predicted by the clinical-radiologic-habitat model ( χ2=4.17, P=0.041). Conclusion:The clinical-radiologic-habitat combined model based on Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI habitat radiomics demonstrates good predictive performance for CK19 expression in HCC and offers valuable prognostic stratification for clinical practice.
9.The value of Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI deep learning in preoperative prediction of vessels completely encapsulating tumor clusters of hepatocellular carcinoma
Jinjing WANG ; Cen SHI ; Yanfen FAN ; Qian WU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jiyun ZHANG ; Wenhao GU ; Ximing WANG ; Chunhong HU ; Yixing YU
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2025;59(6):657-664
Objective:To explore the value of the deep learning model based on gadolinium ethoxybenzyl diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA) enhanced MRI in preoperatively predicting vessels completely encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).Methods:This study adopted a case-control design to retrospectively analyze 420 patients with HCC confirmed by postoperative pathology who underwent Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI between June 2016 and March 2023. A total of 420 patients were divided into a training set ( n=305) from the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University and an external validation set ( n=115) from Affiliated Nantong Hospital 3 of Nantong University. Based on postoperative pathological findings, patients were stratified into VETC-positive and VETC-negative groups. The training set comprised 161 VETC-positive cases and 144 VETC-negative cases, while the external validation set included 55 VETC-positive cases and 60 VETC-negative cases. Tumor regions of interest in arterial, portal venous, and hepatobiliary phases were manually delineated using ITK-SNAP software. Pre-trained Vgg19, Densenet121, and Vision Transformer (ViT) models were employed for transfer learning, extracting deep learning features from each image. Feature data were processed using FAE software, and 12 logistic regression models (arterial phase, portal venous phase, hepatobiliary phase, and combined three-phase models) were constructed to select the optimal deep learning model. Independent predictors in clinical characteristics were identified through univariate and multivariate logistic analyses to establish a clinical model for predicting VETC pattern. Subsequently, a clinical-deep learning fusion model was developed by integrating these clinical predictors with the optimal deep learning features. Model performance in predicting VETC-positive HCC was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results:In the external validation set, the area under the curve (AUC) of the Vgg19 model in the arterial phase, portal venous phase, hepatobiliary phase, and combined three-phase, respectively were 0.799,0.756,0.789,0.821, which were higher than those of Densenet121 (AUC: 0.544,0.581,0.544,0.583) and ViT (AUC: 0.740,0.752,0.785,0.767) model. The three-phase combined Vgg19 model achieved the highest AUC of 0.821 (95% CI 0.746-0.897). Multivariate logistic regression identified alpha-fetoprotein level ( OR=1.826,95% CI 1.069-3.120, P=0.028) and tumor diameter ( OR=1.329,95% CI 1.206-1.466, P<0.001) as independent predictors of VETC-positive HCC, forming the clinical model with an AUC of 0.789 (95% CI 0.703-0.859). The clinical-deep learning fusion model further achieved the AUC of 0.825 (95% CI 0.749-0.900). Calibration curves confirmed high concordance between predicted and actual probabilities for the three-phase Vgg19 model, while DCA revealed greater net clinical benefit for the combined Vgg19 and fusion models compared with the clinical model alone. Conclusions:The deep learning model based on Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI can be used to predict VETC of HCC preoperatively, among which the three-phase combined Vgg19 model and the clinical-deep learning model provide high predictive value.
10.Construction and evaluation of a nomogram for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion and vascular encirulation of tumor cell nests in double-positive hepatocellular carcinoma
Jiyun ZHANG ; Xueqin ZHANG ; Qi QU ; Jifeng JIANG ; Chunyan GU ; Yixing YU ; Tao ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2025;31(11):811-816
Objective:A nomogram model for predicting double positivity of microvascular invasion (MVI) and vascular endothelial-to-mesenchymal transition (VETC) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was constructed and its predictive performance was evaluated.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 326 HCC patients who were treated at the Third People's Hospital of Nantong and the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from January 2013 to June 2023, including 240 males and 86 females, with an average age of (58.7±9.0) years. The 326 patients were randomly divided into a training set ( n=228) and a test set ( n=98) at a ratio of 7: 3 using the random number table method. The training set was divided into a double-positive group ( n=54) and a control group ( n=174) based on whether the HCC patients were double positive for MVI and VETC. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the influencing factors of double positivity of microvascular invasion in HCC patients, and a nomogram for predicting double positivity of microvascular invasion patterns was constructed based on the multivariate. The predictive performance and clinical net benefit of the nomogram were evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. Results:There were statistically significant differences in alpha-fetoprotein, gamma-glutamyl transferase, and phosphatidylinositol proteoglycan between the two groups (all P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that LI-RADS category ( OR=8.58, 95% CI: 1.87-39.38), intratumoral hemorrhage ( OR=2.16, 95% CI: 1.14-4.07), and intratumoral arteries ( OR=2.59, 95% CI: 1.19-5.64) were all influencing factors of double positivity of microvascular invasion patterns in HCC patients (all P<0.05). Based on the multivariate results, a nomogram was constructed. In the training set, the area under the ROC curve for predicting double positivity of microvascular invasion patterns in HCC patients was 0.769 (95% CI: 0.720-0.814). In the test set, the area under the ROC curve for predicting double positivity of microvascular invasion patterns in HCC patients was 0.756 (95% CI: 0.622-0.850). The calibration curve showed a good fit between the predicted model and the ideal curve. Decision curve analysis showed that the clinical applicability was good when the threshold was 0.01-0.80 in the training set and 0.01-0.65 in the test set. Conclusion:The nomogram model based on LI-RADS category, intratumoral hemorrhage, and intratumoral arteries can effectively predict double positivity of microvascular invasion patterns in HCC patients and has good clinical applicability.

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