1.Evaluation of the Angle Deviation between Pilot Holes and Actual Implanted Pedicle Screw Trajectories in Freehand Pedicle Screw Placement for Thoracolumbar Spine Surgery: The Impact of Tapping and Work Experience
Jie SHAO ; Shaokang HUANG ; Yiping LUO ; Bingkun MENG ; Qunfei YU ; Yi ZHANG ; Wei LI ; Yushu BAI ; Ziqiang CHEN
Clinics in Orthopedic Surgery 2026;18(1):87-95
Background:
To investigate directional deviations between pilot holes and final pedicle screw trajectories in freehand placement and analyze risk factors for misplacement. While pedicle screws are widely used in thoracolumbosacral surgery, directional deviations between pilot holes and final screw trajectories remain understudied as potential risk factors for misplacement.
Methods:
Thirty-three patients undergoing posterior fixation were prospectively enrolled. Inertial measurement units (IMUs) tracked the spatial positions of pedicle finders and screwdrivers via custom software. Surgeons (n = 6) were stratified into senior, middle, and junior groups. Analyzed variables included the use of tapping, surgeon experience, spinal deformity status, screw tip morphology, and surgical parameters.
Results:
Among 198 implanted screws (6.00 ± 2.88/patient), all exhibited trajectory deviations (8.12° ± 3.47°). Tapping significantly reduced deviations (7.23° ± 3.23° vs. 8.87° ± 3.31°, p < 0.01). Senior surgeons achieved smaller deviations (7.34° ± 3.33°) than the middle group (8.60° ± 3.51°, p = 0.039) and junior group (8.68° ± 3.49°, p = 0.022). Multivariate analysis confirmed tapping (p = 0.001) and senior experience (p = 0.023) as protective factors. No significant associations emerged for spinal deformity (8.43° ± 3.73° vs. 7.97° ± 3.35°, p = 0.377), screw tip type (cylindrical, 8.43° ± 3.26° vs. tapered, 8.07 ± 3.51°; p = 0.637), obesity, or surgical position parameters.
Conclusions
Freehand pedicle screw placement consistently produces trajectory deviations from pilot holes, and surgeon experience and tapping are modifiable protective factors. The IMU-based tracking system enables quantitative surgical motion analysis, suggesting its utility for training optimization and technique standardization.
2.Research Progress on Pathogenesis and Targeted Intervention Strategies of Chinese Herbal Active Components in Autism Spectrum Disorder: A Review
Lyuyuan LIANG ; Jialei CAO ; Shengjia DING ; Qirong WANG ; Yiping WANG ; Fangyuan CHEN ; Fengzhen GUO ; Yunkai WANG ; Yuxin ZHANG ; Yuxin LI ; Bingqi WEI ; Bingxiang MA ; Weili DANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(19):303-314
Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is a neurodevelopmental disorder with rapidly increasing global prevalence, characterized by core symptoms of social communication deficits and stereotyped repetitive behaviors. Although genetic predisposition, abnormal epigenetic regulation, perinatal environmental exposure, and nutritional-metabolic imbalances are recognized as major risk factors, the precise etiological mechanisms remain incompletely understood. Current clinical management primarily relies on behavioral interventions, with limited pharmacological options accompanied by adverse effects. Recent studies have demonstrated the unique therapeutic value of active components from Chinese herbal medicine in ASD intervention. This article reviews the mechanisms underlying various Chinese herbal active components in ASD treatment, including improvements in synaptic dysfunction, blood-brain barrier impairment, neurotransmitter regulation, cerebellar dysfunction, immune dysregulation and neuroinflammation, oxidative stress, programmed neuronal cell death, and lipid metabolism. These bioactive components exhibit multi-target and multi-pathway regulatory effects, providing novel therapeutic strategies and directions for ASD.
3.Analysis of Ancient and Modern Literature of Xiaoyaosan and Examination of Its Key Information
Zhe WANG ; Jialei CAO ; Lyuyuan LIANG ; Yiping WANG ; Chen CHEN ; Weixiao LI ; Bingqi WEI ; Yinli LI ; Yongbin YAN
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(15):227-237
First recorded in an official medical book from the Northern Song Dynasty called Taiping Huimin Heji Ju Fang (Prescriptions of the Bureau of Taiping People's Welfare Pharmacy), Xiaoyaosan has been developed and refined over generations and is preserved to this day. It specializes in soothing the liver,resolving stagnation,fortifying the spleen,and nourishing blood. In this study,ancient traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) books and contemporary studies were reviewed to obtain information on Xiaoyaosan using bibliometrics,including its historical development,dosage,origin,processing methods,decoction dosage,and ancient and modern indications. Furthermore,a question regarding the presence of Zingiberis Rhizoma Recens and Menthae Haplocalycis Herba in Xiaoyaosan was investigated,and a table of key information on Xiaoyaosan was compiled,providing references for developing Xiaoyaosan preparations. According to the weight and measurement system of the Song dynasty,the contemporary equivalent formulation of the decocted Xiaoyaosan consists of 20.65 g of Glycyrrhizae Radix et Rhizoma and 41.3 g of Angelica Sinensis Radix,Poria,Paeoniae Radix Alba,Atractylodis Macrocephalae Rhizoma,and Bupleuri Radix. The formulation is processed to obtain a mixed powder with a particle size of 10 mesh. For each dose,8.25 g of the mixed powder is combined with 1 g of unprocessed Zingiberis Rhizoma Recens and 0.62 g of Menthae Haplocalycis Herba in 300 mL of water. The mixture is decocted until the volume reaches 210 mL,and the residue is then removed,with no specific timing required for administration. After the processing,each dose consists of approximately 0.75 g of Glycyrrhizae Radix et Rhizoma and 1.50 g of Radix Angelica Sinensis,Poria,Paeoniae Radix Alba,Atractylodis Macrocephalae Rhizoma,and Bupleuri Radix. Ancient medical literature shows that Xiaoyaosan primarily treats blood deficiency and overstrain,specifically for symptoms including heat caused by blood deficiency and fatigue,irregular menstruation,headache,eye soreness,pain in the ribs and limbs,and emaciation and bone steaming. In the Qing Dynasty,ZHANG Lu clearly proposed the pathogenesis of liver depression,and since then,the use of Xiaoyaosan in treating various syndromes associated with liver depression has been highly praised by physicians in the Qing dynasty and modern times. Xiaoyaosan has a wide application in modern clinical practices,involving digestive diseases,gynecological diseases,psychological diseases,nervous system diseases,and otorhinolaryngologic diseases. Moreover,it is most commonly used to treat depression and other diseases complicated with depression,hyperplasia of the mammary gland,etc. The key information on Xiaoyaosan and its clinical applications in ancient and modern times investigated in the study could serve as a scientific reference for in-depth research and extended clinical applications of the prescription.
4.Antimicrobial resistance surveillance in the bacterial strains isolated from pediatric intensive care units in China:results from 2020 to 2022
Jing LIU ; Huiyuan YAN ; Gangfeng YAN ; Guoping LU ; Pan FU ; Chuanqing WANG ; Danqun JIN ; Wenjia TONG ; Chenyu ZHANG ; Jianli CHEN ; Yi LIN ; Jia LEI ; Yibing CHENG ; Qunqun ZHANG ; Kaijie GAO ; Yuanyuan CHEN ; Shufang XIAO ; Juan HE ; Li JIANG ; Huimin XU ; Yuxia LI ; Hanghai DING ; Hehe CHEN ; Yao ZHENG ; Qunying CHEN ; Ying WANG ; Hong REN ; Chenmei ZHANG ; Zhenjie CHEN ; Mingming ZHOU ; Yucai ZHANG ; Yiping ZHOU ; Zhenjiang BAI ; Saihu HUANG ; Lili HUANG ; Weiguo YANG ; Weike MA ; Qing MENG ; Pengwei ZHU ; Yong LI ; Yan XU ; Yi WANG ; Yanqiang DU ; Huijun CAI ; Bizhen ZHU ; Huixuan SHI ; Shaoxian HONG ; Yukun HUANG ; Meilian HUANG
Chinese Journal of Infection and Chemotherapy 2025;25(3):303-311
Objective This study aimed to investigate the antimicrobial resistance profiles of bacterial strains isolated from pediatric intensive care units(PICU)in China for better antimicrobial therapy.Methods Clinical isolates were collected from 17 institutions,including tertiary care children's hospitals and pediatric department of tertiary general hospitals in China from January 1,2020 to December 31,2022.Antimicrobial susceptibility testing was carried out according to a unified protocol using Kirby-Bauer method or automated systems.Results were interpreted according to the breakpoints released by the Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute(CLSI)in 2020.Results A total of 10 688 isolates were collected,including gram-positive organisms(39.2%)and gram-negative organisms(60.8%).The top three organisms were S.aureus(13.6%,1 453/10 688),A.baumannii(10.0%,1 067/10 688),and coagulase-negative Staphylococcus(9.9%,1 058/10 688).Multi-drug resistant organisms(MDROs)were very common in children.The prevalence of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus(MRSA),carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales(CRE),carbapenem-resistant E.coli,carbapenem-resistant K.pneumoniae(CRKP),carbapenem-resistant A.baumannii(CRAB),and carbapenem-resistant P.aeruginosa(CRPA)was 41.1%,19.4%,8.8%,30.9%,67.4%,and 28.8%,respectively.Overall,more than 50%of Enterobacteriales isolates were resistant to cephalosporins,while nearly 25%of Enterobacteriales isolates were resistant to carbapenems.MDROs were highly resistant to commonly used antibiotics.More than 80%of CRE and CRAB strains were resistant to all beta-lactam antibiotics.CRE and CRAB showed low resistance rates to tigecycline and polymyxin.CRPA showed lower resistance rates to piperacillin,beta-lactamase inhibitor combinations than the resistance rates to third and fourth generation cephalosporins.All of the Staphylococcus and Enterococcus isolates were susceptible to vancomycin and tigecycline.None of PRSP strains isolated from meningitis and nonmeningitis samples were resistant to rifampicin,vancomycin,or linezolid.The prevalence of β-lactamase-negative ampicillin-resistant(BLNAR)strains was 43.3%in Haemophilus influenzae.Conclusions MDROs were prevalent in PICU.It is necessary to establish an effective multidisciplinary team(MDT)to control the antimicrobial resistance.
5.Association of short-term air pollution with risk of major adverse cardiovascular event mortality and modification effects of lifestyle in Chinese adults.
Wendi XIAO ; Xin YAO ; Yinqi DING ; Junpei TAO ; Canqing YU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Pei PEI ; Ling YANG ; Yiping CHEN ; Huaidong DU ; Dan SCHMIDT ; Yaoming ZHAI ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Jun LV ; Liqiang ZHANG ; Tao HUANG ; Liming LI
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;30():38-38
BACKGROUND:
Previous evidence showed that ambient air pollution and cardiovascular mortality are related. However, there is a lack of evidence towards the modification effect of long-term lifestyle on the association between short-term ambient air pollution and death from cardiovascular events.
METHOD:
A total of 14,609 death from major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were identified among the China Kadoorie Biobank participants from 2013 to 2018. Ambient air pollution exposure including particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5), SO2, NO2, CO, and O3 from the same period were obtained from space-time model reconstructions based on remote sensing data. Case-crossover design and conditional logistic regression was applied to estimate the effect of short-term exposure to air pollutants on MACE mortality.
RESULTS:
We found MACE mortality was significantly associated with PM2.5 (relative percent increase 2.91% per 10 µg/m3 increase, 95% CI 1.32-4.53), NO2 (5.37% per 10 µg/m3 increase, 95% CI 1.56-9.33), SO2 (6.82% per 10 µg/m3 increase, 95% CI 2.99-10.80), and CO (2.24% per 0.1 mg/m3 increase, 95% CI 1.02-3.48). Stratified analyses indicated that drinking was associated with elevated risk of MACE mortality with NO2 and SO2 exposure; physical inactivity was associated with higher risk of death from MACE when exposed to PM2.5; and people who had balanced diet had lower risk of MACE mortality when exposed to CO and NO2.
CONCLUSIONS
The study results showed that short-term exposure to ambient PM2.5, NO2, SO2, and CO would aggravate the risk of cardiovascular mortality, yet healthy lifestyle conduct might mitigate such negative impact to some extent.
Humans
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Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology*
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China/epidemiology*
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Male
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Female
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Air Pollution/adverse effects*
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Middle Aged
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Air Pollutants/analysis*
;
Particulate Matter/analysis*
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Environmental Exposure/adverse effects*
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Life Style
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Aged
;
Adult
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Risk Factors
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Cross-Over Studies
;
East Asian People
6.Comparison of clinical features of severe mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in pediatric intensive care units preand post COVID-19 era
Yiping ZHOU ; Min GUO ; Yun CUI ; Guangyao ZHU ; Rongxin CHEN ; Chunxia WANG ; Yucai ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(4):540-546
Objective:To compare the clinical features of severe Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (SMPP) in pediatric intensive care units (PICU) before and after the COVID-19 pandemic.Methods:A retrospective study was conducted in the PICU of Shanghai Children's Hospital. Clinical and laboratory data were collected from medical records of SMPP patients admitted to the PICU before (January to December 2019) and after (March 2023 to February 2024) the COVID-19 pandemic. Patients admitted in 2019 were categorized as the pre-COVID-19 group, while those admitted in 2023-2024 were classified as the post-COVID-19 group.Results:A total of 287 children with SMPP were included, comprising 155 males and 132 females. The pre-pandemic group consisted of 180 cases, while the post-pandemic group had 107 cases. Macrolide-resistant Mycoplasma pneumoniae (MRMP) was detected in 270 cases (94.1%), with no significant difference in MRMP prevalence between the two groups [101 cases (94.4%) vs. 169 cases (93.9%), Z= 0.031, P = 0.861]. The median age of the post-pandemic group was higher than that of the pre-pandemic group [72 (42, 108) months vs. 42 (24, 68) months, Z= 6.438, P < 0.001].Comparisons of complications between the post-pandemic and pre-pandemic groups were as follows: pleural effusion [20 cases (18.7%) vs. 81 cases (45.0%), χ2=20.365, P< 0.001], shock [4 cases (3.7%) vs. 79 cases (43.9%), χ2=52.628, P< 0.001], gastrointestinal dysfunction [2 cases (1.9%) vs. 24 cases (13.3%), χ 2=9.359, P=0.002], liver dysfunction [9 cases (8.4%) vs. 46 cases (25.6%), χ2=12.733, P< 0.001], and renal injury [0 cases vs. 10 cases (5.6%), P=0.015].There was no significant difference in the incidence of respiratory failure [102 cases (95.3%) vs. 172 cases (95.6%), χ2=0.008, P=0.928]. However, the number of cases requiring high-flow oxygen therapy and mechanical ventilation was significantly lower in the post-pandemic group compared to the pre-pandemic group [14 cases (13.3%) vs. 48 cases (26.7%), 21 cases (20.3%) vs. 122 cases (67.8%), all P<0.05].The time from symptom onset to the initiation of tetracycline/quinolone therapy was shorter in the post-pandemic group compared to the pre-pandemic group [7 (3, 10) days vs. 9 (6.3, 11) days, χ2=-3.565, P< 0.001]. The proportion of patients who had already received tetracycline/quinolone therapy before admission to the PICU was significantly higher in the post-pandemic group compared to the pre-pandemic group [25 cases (23.4%) vs. 2 cases (1.1%), χ 2=10.009, P=0.002].Both the total hospital stay and PICU stay were shorter in the post-pandemic group compared to the pre-pandemic group [10.0 (8.0, 14.0) days vs. 15.5 (12.0, 22.0) days, 5 (3.0, 8.0) days vs. 7.0 (5.0, 10.0) days, all P=0.000]. All 7 deaths occurred in the pre-pandemic group, including 5 cases with co-infections and 2 cases with underlying diseases. Conclusions:In the post-COVID-19 era, SMPP cases in the PICU were predominantly observed in children over 5 years old, with a lower incidence of shock, gastrointestinal disorders, liver injury, and kidney injury compared to the pre-pandemic period. Patients with macrolide-resistant Mycoplasma pneumoniae who received timely treatment with tetracycline/quinolones exhibited favorable outcomes.
7.Laparoscopic surgical management and outcomes of diaphragmatic hernia after diaphragmatic rupture
Yiping LI ; Enmin HUANG ; Ning MA ; Zehui HOU ; Shuang CHEN ; Taicheng ZHOU
Chinese Journal of General Surgery 2025;40(9):691-695
Objective:To evaluate the clinical diagnosis and laparoscopic surgical management of diaphragmatic rupture.Methods:Clinical data of 19 patients diagnosed with diaphragmatic hernia secondary to diaphragmatic rupture, admitted to the Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University from Jan 2022 to Sep 2024 was retrospectively analyzed.Results:There were 7 males and 12 females. Traumatic etiology was confirmed in 9 cases, all developed after closed injuries, including one vehicular accident, seven blunt traumas, and one fall from height. Iatrogenic factors accounted for the remaining 10 cases. Left-sided diaphragmatic hernias were observed in 13 patients, while right-sided hernias occurred in 6 patients. Hiatal hernias were complicated in 5 patients. All patients underwent elective laparoscopic tension-free repair using composite patch for defect closure. Postoperatively, one patient was readmitted into ICU due to reexpansion pulmonary edema but was subsequently discharged following recovery. The median postoperative hospital stay was 10 days.Conclusions:The incidence of diaphragmatic rupture is relatively uncommon, primarily occurring as a result of traumatic or iatrogenic injuries. Early diagnosis coupled with prompt laparoscopic surgical intervention has proven to be effective in managing this condition.
8.Strategies for diagnosis and treatment of adult diaphragmatic hernia
Shangeng WENG ; Yiping CHEN ; Xiang ZHANG
Chinese Journal of General Surgery 2025;40(9):677-682
The incidence rate of adult diaphragmatic hernia is low, which can be divided into congenital diaphragmatic hernia and acquired diaphragmatic hernia. In emergency situations, it may present as incarceration or strangulation. In non-emergency situations, it may be asymptomatic or present with nonspecific respiratory and digestive symptoms, making it prone to misdiagnosis and missed diagnosis. For suspected cases, multi-slice spiral CT examination should be performed, with attention paid to sagittal imaging. In emergency situations, CT contrast-enhanced scanning should be focusing on assessing the viability of the hernia contents. Once diagnosed, surgical treatment should be performed, with transabdominal approach being the preferred choice. In emergency situations, laparoscopic exploration and repair can be considered for patients with stable hemodynamics. For delayed traumatic diaphragmatic hernia and adult congenital diaphragmatic hernia with large defects, the necessity of a thoracic approach should be considered. During surgery, the complete removal of the hernia sac should not be pursued. The decision to remove or partially remove the hernia sac should be evaluated based on intraoperative conditions. Intraoperative diaphragmatic defects should be closed as much as possible with non-absorbable sutures. For diaphragmatic defects that are tensioned after suturing, or those close to the costal margin, anti-adhesion mesh should be used by intraperitoneal repair approach. When fixing the patch near the pericardium, the use of tacks should be avoided.
9.Comparative efficacy of internal fixation with video thoracoscopy-assisted rib plating and open thoracotomy in the treatment of multiple rib fracture
Lei BI ; Zhengyu CHEN ; Yiping DENG ; Cheng AI ; Fuyu YANG ; Zhongzhu LYU
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(3):289-296
Objective:To compare the efficacy of internal fixation with video thoracoscopy-assisted rib plating and open thoracotomy in the treatment of multiple rib fracture.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 65 patients with multiple rib fracture who were admitted to Affiliated Bishan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University between May 2021 and May 2023, including 42 males and 23 females, aged 19-75 years [(51.6±7.0)years]. Of all, 33 patients were treated with internal fixation with video thoracoscopy-assisted rib plating (thoracoscopy group), while other 32 patients treated with internal fixation with open thoracotomy (thoracotomy group). Two groups were compared in terms of surgical incision length, intraoperative blood loss, surgical duration, duration of postoperative drainage tube placement, postoperative chest tube drainage, and length of hospital stay. Postoperative pain was assessed using the visual analogue scale (VAS) at 6, 12, 24, 48, and 72 hours postoperatively. Forced vital capacity (FVC), forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV1), and peak expiratory flow (PEF) were detected preoperatively, at 7 days, 6 months postoperatively and at the last follow-up. The excellent and good rate of fracture healing was evaluated at 6 months postoperatively and at the last follow-up. The incidence of postoperative complications was also assessed.Results:All the patients were followed up for 12-24 months [(15.2±2.2)months]. The surgical incision length, intraoperative blood loss, and surgical duration were (4.3±1.5)cm, (65.2±15.0)ml, and (68.8±13.1)minutes in the thoracoscopy group, shorter or less than (7.2±1.7)cm, (93.3±16.3)ml, and (93.7±15.9)minutes in the thoracotomy group ( P<0.01). The duration of drainage tube placement, postoperative chest tube drainage volume and length of hospital stay were (3.8±1.5)days, (357.3±38.6)ml and (12.3±1.7)days in the thoracoscopy group, shorter or less than (5.9±1.8)days, (424.9±45.4)ml, and (18.6±2.5)days in the thoracotomy group ( P<0.01). At 6, 12, 24, and 48 hours postoperatively, the VAS scores in the thoracoscopy group were (5.1±1.6)points, (4.7±1.5)points, (4.2±1.5)points, and (3.9±1.3)points, significantly lower than those in the thoracotomy group [(8.4±1.8)points, (7.3±1.5)points, (6.3±1.3)points, and (5.2±1.2)points] ( P<0.01). There was no statistically significant difference in the VAS scores between the two groups at 72 hours postoperatively ( P>0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in FVC, FEV1 and PEF between the two groups preoperatively, at 6 months postoperatively and at the last follow-up ( P>0.05). At 7 days postoperatively, FVC, FEV1 and PEF were (4.17±0.25)L, (2.24±0.24)L, and (5.53±0.50)L/s in the thoracoscopy group, significantly higher than those in the thoracotomy group [(4.01±0.23)L, (2.12±0.21)L, and (5.23±0.42)L/s] ( P<0.05). At 6 months postoperatively, the excellent and good rate was 94% (31/33) in the thoracoscopy group and 97% (31/32) in the thoracotomy group ( P>0.05). At the last follow-up, the excellent and good rate in both groups were 100% ( P>0.05). The incidence of complications was 15% (5/33) in the thoracoscopy group, lower than 41% (13/32) in the thoracotomy group ( P<0.05). Conclusion:Compared with internal fixation with open thoracotomy in the treatment of multiple rib fracture, the internal fixation with video thoracoscopy-assisted rib plating has the advantages of less surgical trauma, milder pain at the early stage after surgery, earlier postoperative recovery of pulmonary function and fewer complications.
10.Application of a multimodal model based on radiomics and 3D deep learning in predicting severe acute pancreatitis
Xianglin DING ; Xin CHEN ; Meiyu CHEN ; Yiping SHEN ; Yu WANG ; Minyue YIN ; Kai ZHAO ; Jinzhou ZHU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(10):2110-2117
ObjectiveTo investigate the application value of a multimodal model integrating radiomics features, deep learning features, and clinical structured data in predicting severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), and to provide more accurate tools for the early identification of SAP in clinical practice. MethodsThe patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) who attended The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Jintan Hospital Affiliated to Jiangsu University, and Suzhou Yongding Hospital from January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2023 were included. Related data were collected, including demographic information, previous medical history, etiology, laboratory test data, and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) within 24 hours after admission, as well as imaging data within 72 hours after admission, while related scores were calculated, including Ranson score, modified CT severity index (MCTSI), bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP), and systemic inflammatory response syndrome, albumin, blood urea nitrogen and pleural effusion (SABP) score. The model was constructed in the following process: (1) three-dimensional CT images were used to extract and identify radiomics features, and a radiomics classification model was established based on the extreme gradient Boost (XGBoost) algorithm; (2) U-Net is used to perform semantic segmentation of three-dimensional CT images, and then the results of segmentation were imported into 3D ResNet50 to construct a deep learning classification model; (3) the predicted values of the above two models were integrated with clinical structured data to establish a multimodal model based on the XGBoost algorithm. The variable importance plot and local interpretability plot were used to perform visual interpretation of the model. The independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups; the chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted for each model and existing scoring systems, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was calculated to assess their performance; the Delong test was used for comparison of AUC. ResultsA total of 609 patients who met the criteria were included, among whom 114 (18.7%) developed SAP. In this study, the data of 426 patients from The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University was used as the training set, and the data of 183 patients from Jintan Hospital Affiliated to Jiangsu University and Suzhou Yongding Hospital were used as the independent test set. The multimodal model had an AUC of 0.914 in the test set, which was significantly higher than the AUC of traditional scoring systems such as MCTSI (AUC=0.827), Ranson score (AUC=0.675), BISAP (AUC=0.791), and SABP score (AUC=0.648); in addition, the multimodal model showed a significant improvement in performance compared with the radiomics classification model (AUC=0.739) and the deep learning classification model (AUC=0.685) (the Delong test: Z=-3.23, -4.83, -3.48, -4.92, -4.31, and -4.59, all P <0.01). The top 10 variables in terms of importance in the multimodal model were pleural effusion, predicted value of the deep learning model, predicted value of the radiomics model, triglycerides, calcium ions, SIRS, white blood cell count, age, platelets, and C-reactive protein, suggesting that the above variables had significant contributions to the performance of the model in predicting SAP. ConclusionBased on structured data, radiomic features, and deep learning features, this study constructs a multicenter prediction model for SAP based on the XGBoost algorithm, which has a better predictive performance than existing traditional scoring systems and unimodal models.

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