1.Factors affecting and identification of key environmental determinants of the Oncomelania hupensis snail density in the Yangtze River Delta based on machine learning models
Yinlong LI ; Qin LI ; Suying GUO ; Shizhen LI ; Lijuan ZHANG ; Chunli CAO ; Jing XU
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2026;38(1):14-19
Objective To identify factors affecting and key environmental factors of the Oncomelania hupensis snail density in the Yangtze River Delta region using machine learning methods. Methods Administrative village-level O. hupensis snail survey data in the Yangtze River Delta (including Shanghai Municipality, Jiangsu Province, Zhejiang Province and Anhui Province) from 2011 to 2021 were retrieved from the Information Management System for Parasitic Disease Control of Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Environmental factor data were captured from the Google Earth Engine platform, including elevation, slope, terrain, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), vegetation type, soil type, total petroleum hydrocarbon (TPH), ammonium nitrogen, inorganic nitrogen, dissolved oxygen, pH of water, chemical oxygen demand (COD) and inorganic phosphorus, and climatic factor data in the study region were retrieved from the Copernicus Climate Data Store, including annual precipitation, aridity index and annual mean temperature (AMT). O. hupensis snail survey data in the Yangtze River Delta region from 2011 to 2021 were randomly divided into a training set (70%) and a test set (30%), and five machine learning models were selected for machine learning model construction and comparative analysis of the O. hupensis snail density using the software R 4.3.0, including random forest (RF), eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), gradient boosting machine (GBM) and neural network (NN). The XGBoost model was employed to construct a predictive model for the O. hupensis snail density, and the impact of each environmental factor on O. hupensis snail distribution was quantified. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAPs) values were calculated to estimate the average contribution of each variable to the model prediction, and the core environmental factors affecting the O. hupensis snail population density were screened. Results Among the five machine learning models, the XGBoost model exhibited the optimal comprehensive performance, with the coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.855, mean squared error (MSE) of 0.188, root mean squared error (RMSE) of 0.434 and mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.155, respectively. Analysis of factors affecting the O. hupensis snail density with the XGBoost model showed that among the 16 environmental factors, the top four high-impact factors ranked by SHAPs values included annual precipitation, elevation, aridity index and NDVI, with cumulative SHAPs contributions of 75%, which was higher than that of other environmental factors. If NDVI was higher than 0.6, the O. hupensis snail density increased with NDVI and peaked if NDVI was 0.8 (1.60 snails/0.1 m2). The O. hupensis snail density increased with elevation if the elevation ranged from 14 to 40 m, and slowly rose if the annual precipitation ranged from 900 to 1 300 mm, and then increased rapidly to the peak (1.52 snails/0.1 m2) if the annual precipitation ranged from 1 300 to 1 500 mm. In addition, the O. hupensis snail density increased rapidly to the maximum (1.60 snails/0.1 m2) if the aridity index ranged from 0.8 to 1.1, and decreased gradually if the aridity index exceeded 1.1. Conclusions The XGBoost model shows excellent performance in prediction of the O. hupensis snail density and identification of key environmental factors in the Yangtze River Delta region. Annual precipitation, elevation, aridity index and NDVI are key environmental factors affecting the distribution and density of O. hupensis snails in the Yangtze River Delta region.
2.Progress of research on the potential impacts of extreme climates on the distribution of Oncomelania hupensis
Yu PENG ; Jingbo XUE ; Yinlong LI ; Lijuan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2026;38(1):96-99
The frequent extreme climatic events post multifaceted impacts on the distribution of Oncomelania hupensis, the intermediate host of Schistosoma japonicum in the context of global climate change. This article systematically reviews the effects of four types of extreme climatic events, including floods, droughts, heat waves, and cold waves, on the survival, reproduction, and distribution of Oncomelania hupensis. Floods may expand suitable snail habitats, and increase both emerging and re-emerging snail habitats; however, the impact of floods on O. hupensis density is characterized by a lag effect of a decline followed by a rise. Droughts may cause fragmentation of suitable O. hupensis snail habitats, reduced O. hupensis snail egg production rates, and increased O. hupensis snail mortality, and heat waves may cause an increase in O. hupensis snail mortality, a reduction in numbers of O. hupensis snail populations and shrinking of O. hupensis snail distribution, while cold waves may cause a reduction in O. hupensis snail density and a rise in O. hupensis snail mortality. Extreme climate events pose both shortand long-term effects on the distribution of O. hupensis. Intensified surveillance of O. hupensis snails is required in high-risk environments.
3.Assessment of survival vulnerability of Oncomelania hupensis in Jiangxi Province under climate change
Yu PENG ; Jingbo XUE ; Zongguang LI ; Shizhen LI ; Yinlong LI ; Lijuan ZHANG ; Yifeng LI ; Jing XU
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2026;38(2):127-136
Objective To assess the survival vulnerability of Oncomelania hupensis in Jiangxi Province under future climate scenarios, and to identify low-vulnerability areas for its survival in this province. Methods Village-level O. hupensis snail survey and O. hupensis snail control with chemical treatments in Jiangxi Province from 2016 to 2024 were captured from the Parasitic Disease Prevention and Control Information Management System of China Disease Prevention and Control Information System. Climatic data were primarily sourced from the Resource and Environmental Science Data Platform, Chinese Academy of Sciences (http://www.resdc.cn/), including annual average temperature, annual average precipitation, annual accumulated temperature above 10 °C, annual accumulated temperature above 0 °C, annual maximum temperature, annual minimum temperature, and annual average relative humidity, and nineteen bioclimatic variables were downloaded from the WorldClim website (https://www.worldclim.org/), including mean diurnal range, isothermality, temperature seasonality, and so on. Elevation and normalized difference vegetation index were catprued from the Resource and Environmental Science Data Platform, Chinese Academy of Sciences (http://www.resdc.cn/), and distance to rivers was downloaded from the WorldPop website (http://www.worldpop.org), and land use and land cover (LULC) data were downloaded from the Big Earth Data Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences (https://data.casearth.cn/), and nature reserve data were obtained from the China Nature Reserve Specimen Resource Sharing Platform (http://www.papc.cn/). Three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) from the Beijing Climate Center-Climate System Model version 2-Medium Resolution (BCC-CSM2-MR) global climate model were employed as future climate scenarios, including SSP126, SSP245, SSP585, and the biomod2 ensemble model in R package was used to simulate suitable habitats for O. hupensis snails in Jiangxi Province in 2050 and 2070 under these scenarios. A snail survival vulnerability index was constructed based on the area of suitable snail habitats, area covered by snail control through chemical treatment, area covered by nature reserves, and changes in snail habitat fragmentation, and a map of snail survival vulnerability distribution was plotted. Results The real area of snail habitats ranged from 78 486.76 to 85 309.47 hm2, and the area of snail control with chemical treatment ranged from 10 138.98 to 13 240.16 hm2 in Jiangxi Province from 2016 to 2024. There were 429 to 531 villages detected with snails during the nine-year period, and the number of actually snail-infested villages ranged from 645 to 686. A total of 818 snail-present points and 1 996 snail-absent points were obtained from snail survey records. The best performance of the biomod2 ensemble model was achieved if a weighted mean approach was used as the ensemble strategy, with a true skill statistic value of 0.799 and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.957, and modeling identified annual average relative humidity and annual average precipitation as two most influencing climatic variables for snail distribution. Relative to the current areas of suitable snail habitats under present climate conditions, the area of suitable snail habitats was projected to expand by 24.49% to 46.28% in Jiangxi Province under future climate scenarios, and the proportion of nature reserves areas in the areas of suitable snail habitats was projected to decrease slightly from the current 2.77% to approximately 2.52%, while the proportion of areas of snail control through chemical treatment in areas of suitable snail habitats varied from 0.64% to 19.57%, and the percentage of changes in snail habitat fragmentation ranged from 3.86% to 12.23%. Based on these four indicators, the snail survival vulnerability index was estimated to range from –1.96 to 0.62 in Jiangxi Province. The arithmetic mean of the snail survival vulnerability index differed under three SSP scenarios (SSP126, SSP245 and SSP585), with the highest mean value (–0.69) in 2070 under SSP126, and the lowest mean value (–0.78) in 2070 under SSP585. Conclusions The snail survival vulnerability index ranges from –1.96 to 0.62 in Jiangxi Province under future climate scenarios, and the suitable habitats for O. hupensis snails appear an overall tendency towards expansion. Low-vulnerability snail habitats are mainly distributed along the shores of Poyang Lake and the Yangtze River in Jiangxi Province, partially overlapping with nature reserves. Intensified surveillance of O. hupensis snails is recommended in these areas in the future.
4.Progress of schistosomiasis control in the People’s Republic of China in 2025
Junyi HE ; Lijuan ZHANG ; Suying GUO ; Shizhen LI ; Yinlong LI ; Fan YANG ; Chunli CAO ; Jing XU ; Shizhu LI
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2026;38(3):223-231
To understand the progress of, summarize experiences from, and analyze problems in the national schistosomiasis elimination programme, this article presented the national schistosomiasis epidemiology and surveillance in the People’s Republic of China in 2025. By the end of 2025, Shanghai Municipality, Zhejiang Province, Fujian Province, Guangdong Province and Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region maintained the achievement of schistosomiasis elimination, and 7 provinces of Jiangsu, Sichuan, Yunnan, Hubei, Hunan, Anhui and Jiangxi remained at the criteria of schistosomiasis transmission interruption. In 2025, there were 450 counties (cities, districts), 3 203 townships and 26 029 villages endemic for schistosomiasis in China, with a total population of 73.598 million in endemic villages. Among the 450 endemic counties (cities, districts), 421 (93.56%) achieved the criteria of schistosomiasis elimination and 29 (6.44%) reached the criteria of transmission interruption. In 2025, a total of 3 630 874 residents received immunological tests for schistosomiasis across endemic areas in China, with 31 588 seropositives identified (seroprevalence, 0.87%), and a total of 154 293 individuals received parasitological examinations, with 5 egg-positives detected. A total of 26 688 advanced schistosomiasis cases were recorded in China by the end of 2025. Of 529 683 bovines raised in schistosomiasis-endemic villages in China in 2025, 101 637 bovines received immunological tests for schistosomiasis, with 183 seropositives detected (seroprevalence, 0.18%), and 165 654 bovines received parasitological examinations, with no egg-positives identified. In 2025, Oncomelania hupensis snail survey was performed covering an area of 667 524.82 hm2 in China, and 176 378.64 hm2 O. hupensis snail habitats were identified, including 123.77 hm2 emerging O. hupensis snail habitats and 953.71 hm2 re-emerging O. hupensis snail habitats. A total of 19 283 schistosomiasis cases received chemotherapy with praziquantel in China in 2025, and 477 450 person-times and 304 279 herd-times received expanded chemotherapy, respectively. In addition, O. hupensis snail control with chemical treatment covered 116 475.10 hm2 snail habitats across China in 2025, with an actual area with chemical control covering 68 510.93 hm2 and an area with environmental improvements covering 1 101.84 hm2. The national schistosomiasis surveillance results indicated that the mean prevalence of Schistosoma japonicum infections was both 0 among humans and bovines in 2025, and no S. japonicum infection was detected in O. hupensis snails. These data showed that the prevalence of schistosomiasis remained low in China in 2025; however, the area of O. hupensis snail habitats stayed high, with an increase in emerging and reemerging O. hupensis snail habitats. It is recommended to improve the surveillance and forecast mechanism for schistosomiasis and precisely implement the O. hupensis snail control programme in high-risk areas.
5.Progress of schistosomiasis control in the People’s Republic of China in 2024
Junyi HE ; Lijuan ZHANG ; Fan YANG ; Hui DANG ; Yinlong LI ; Suying GUO ; Shizhen LI ; Chunli CAO ; Jing XU ; Shizhu LI
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2025;37(3):223-231
To understand the progress of, summarize the lessons learned from and analyze the challenges in the national schistosomiasis elimination program of China in 2024, this article presented the endemic situation of schistosomiasis and national schistosomiasis surveillance results in the People’s Republic of China in 2024. By the end of 2024, Shanghai Municipality, Zhejiang Province, Fujian Province, Guangdong Province and Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region continued to consolidate schistosomiasis elimination achievements, and 7 provinces of Jiangsu, Sichuan, Yunnan, Hubei, Hunan, Anhui and Jiangxi maintained the criteria of schistosomiasis transmission interruption. A total of 450 counties (cites, districts) were found to be endemic for schistosomiasis in China in 2024, including 26 061 endemic villages covering 73 630 500 residents at risk of infections. Among the 450 counties (cities, districts) endemic for schistosomiasis, 388 (86.22%) achieved the criteria of schistosomiasis elimination and 62 (13.78%) achieved the criteria of transmission interruption. In 2024, a total of 4 102 624 individuals received immunological tests for schistosomiasis in China, with 44 823 sero-positives identified (1.09% seroprevalence), and a total of 169 722 individuals received parasitological examinations, with 1 egg-positives detected. A total of 27 321 cases with advanced schistosomiasis were documented in China by the end of 2024. In 2024, a total of 575 686 bovines were raised in schistosomiasis-endemic villages of China, and 113 842 bovines received immunological tests, with 235 sero-positives detected (0.21% seroprevalence), while no egg-positives were identified among the 167 475 bovines receiving parasitological examinations. In 2024, snail survey was performed covering an area of 680 498.27 hm2 in China, and 190 778.66 hm2 snail habitats were identified, including 59.09 hm2 emerging snail habitats and 704.23 hm2 reemerging snail habitats. In 2024, a total of 19 665 schistosomiasis patients receiving chemotherapy with praziquantel in China, and expanded chemotherapy was given to humans at 571 722 person-times and to bovines at 306 740 herd-times. In addition, snail control with chemical treatment covered 117 111.37 hm2 snail habitats across China in 2024, and the actual area of chemical treatment was 66 562.95 hm2, while environmental improvements were performed in snail habitats covering an area of 1 374.26 hm2. The national schistosomiasis surveillance results showed that the mean prevalence rates of Schistosoma japonicum infections were both 0 among humans and bovines in China in 2024, and no S. japonicum infection was detected in snails. These data demonstrated that the prevalence of schistosomiasis remained at a low level in China in 2024; however, the areas of snail habitats remained high and the number of fenced cattle showed a slight increase. To address these risks, it is imperative to maintain the integrated strategy with an emphasis on management of the source of S. japonicum infection and intensified snail control in high-risk areas, and to reinforce schistosomiasis surveillance and forecast and snail control in high-risk areas.
6.Obstacle detection and safe operation of mobile robots in healthcare scenarios
Tao FU ; Yuanhao LIU ; Yinlong ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Physics 2025;42(11):1478-1487
To realize speed regulation and safe distance maintenance of mobile robots based on obstacle detection in dynamic healthcare scenarios,a novel real-time obstacle segmentation and safe operation framework for healthcare robots is proposed.A tightly-coupled approach utilizing wheel encoders and monocular RGB images to calculate the robot's linear velocity is adopted.Concurrently,a healthcare scenario end-to-end obstacle segmentation network(HS-EOSN)model is established for precise obstacle segmentation,supplemented by a noise filtering method to accurately estimate obstacle distance.Finally,an adaptive control strategy is designed to dynamically regulate the robot's speed,thereby ensuring safety.The algorithm is tested on a developed mobile robot platform.Experimental results show that the proposed method achieves a velocity estimation error below 10%.For obstacle segmentation task,the mean average precision and mean intersection over union reach 96.87%and 94.35%,respectively;and the mean depth error is within 0.24 m.
7.Obstacle detection and safe operation of mobile robots in healthcare scenarios
Tao FU ; Yuanhao LIU ; Yinlong ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Physics 2025;42(11):1478-1487
To realize speed regulation and safe distance maintenance of mobile robots based on obstacle detection in dynamic healthcare scenarios,a novel real-time obstacle segmentation and safe operation framework for healthcare robots is proposed.A tightly-coupled approach utilizing wheel encoders and monocular RGB images to calculate the robot's linear velocity is adopted.Concurrently,a healthcare scenario end-to-end obstacle segmentation network(HS-EOSN)model is established for precise obstacle segmentation,supplemented by a noise filtering method to accurately estimate obstacle distance.Finally,an adaptive control strategy is designed to dynamically regulate the robot's speed,thereby ensuring safety.The algorithm is tested on a developed mobile robot platform.Experimental results show that the proposed method achieves a velocity estimation error below 10%.For obstacle segmentation task,the mean average precision and mean intersection over union reach 96.87%and 94.35%,respectively;and the mean depth error is within 0.24 m.
8.Risk factors for new-onset atrial fibrillation after off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Nan MU ; Qiuyu HE ; Minggui CHEN ; Yinlong QIU ; Yuqing LI ; Mingxin WANG ; Xiaoxuan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2024;31(08):1206-1214
Objective To systematically evaluate the risk factors for new-onset atrial fibrillation after off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (OPCABG). Methods PubMed, EMbase, The Cochrane Library, CNKI, Wanfang, VIP, SinoMed were searched to collect published literature on risk factors for new-onset atrial fibrillation after OPCABG from inception to September 2022. Two authors independently screened, extracted data and evaluated the quality. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) was used to evaluate the quality of the included studies, and Stata 12.0 and RevMan 5.4 softwares were used for meta-analysis. Results A total of 18 researches were included, including 6 354 patients of OPCABG. The NOS scores of the included studies were 6-8 points. Meta-analysis showed that age [MD=2.56, 95%CI (1.61, 3.52), P<0.001], hypertension [OR=1.77, 95%CI (1.18, 2.66), P<0.001], EuroSCORE Ⅱ score [MD=0.70, 95%CI (0.34, 1.06), P<0.001], frequent atrial premature beats or atrial tachycardia [OR=3.77, 95%CI (2.13, 6.68), P<0.001], left atrium diameter (LAD) [MD=1.64, 95%CI (0.26, 3.03), P=0.010], left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) [MD=−1.84, 95%CI (−2.85, −0.83), P<0.001], right coronary stenosis [OR=2.49, 95%CI (1.29, 4.81), P=0.006], three-vessel coronary artery lesions [OR=0.73, 95%CI (0.54, 0.97), P=0.030], not using β blockers [OR=0.81, 95%CI (0.69, 0.96), P=0.010], operation time [MD=10.13, 95%CI (8.15, 12.10), P<0.001], duration of mechanical ventilation [OR=2.85, 95%CI (1.79, 3.91), P<0.001] were risk factors for new-onset atrial fibrillation after OPCABG. Conclusion Advanced age, hypertension, high EuroSCOREⅡ score, frequent atrial premature beats or atrial tachycardia, increased LAD, decreased LVEF, right coronary stenosis, three-vessel coronary artery lesions, not using β blockers, prolonged operation time and mechanical ventilation are risk factors for new-onset atrial fibrillation after OPCABG. Due to factors such as the methodology, content and quality of the included literature, the conclusion of this study need to be supported by more high-quality studies.
9.Pharmaceutical care for a patient with rhino-orbito-cerebral mucormycosis
Xia WU ; Yinlong ZHAO ; Zhiqing ZHANG ; Weichong DONG
China Pharmacy 2024;35(12):1533-1538
OBJECTIVE To provide ideas for clinical diagnosis, treatment and pharmaceutical care of rhino-orbito-cerebral mucormycosis (ROCM). METHODS The diagnosis and treatment of 1 case of ROCM in which clinical pharmacists participated were analyzed. Combined with treatment guidelines, the actual situation of drug accessibility and economy, clinical pharmacists recommend amphotericin B colloidal dispersion in combination with posaconazole to treat fungal infections. The clinical efficacy, liver and kidney function and electrolytes were monitored. To increase the local concentration of amphotericin B deoxycholate (AmB-D), clinical pharmacists assisted physicians in determining the dosage and formulation of AmB-D for intrathecal injection, intranasal and eye drops based on the results of blood and cerebrospinal fluid examinations. In response to the situation that the plasma trough concentration of posaconazole had not reached the target, clinical pharmacists recommended that Posaconazole oral suspension was replaced with Posaconazole enteric-coated tablets, and provided the patient with therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM), individualized medication guidance, and long-term follow-up after discharge. RESULTS The clinician adopted the advice of the clinical pharmacists. After treatment, the patient was discharged from the hospital with medicine after her condition improved. CONCLUSIONS Clinical pharmacists develop individualized treatment protocols for ROCM patients by adjusting dose and dosage forms, providing medication monitoring and TDM to ensure the safety of drug use for patients.
10.Progress of schistosomiasis control in People’s Republic of China in 2023
Lijuan ZHANG ; Junyi HE ; Fan YANG ; Hui DANG ; Yinlong LI ; Suying GUO ; Shizhen LI ; Chunli CAO ; Jing XU ; Shizhu LI
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2024;36(3):221-227
To understand the progress of national schistosomiasis elimination program of China in 2023 and summarize the lessons and experiences, data on the endemic status of schistosomiasis and national schistosomiasis surveillance results in the People’s Republic of China were collected and analyzed at a national level. By the end of 2023, Shanghai Municipality, Zhejiang Province, Fujian Province, Guangdong Province and Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region continued to consolidate the achievements of schistosomiasis elimination, and Sichuan and Jiangsu provinces maintained the criteria of transmission interruption, while Yunnan and Hubei provinces were identified to achieve the criteria of transmission interruption in 2020, and Anhui, Jiangxi and Hunan provinces achieved the criteria of transmission interruption in 2023. A total of 451 counties (cites, districts) were found to be endemic for schistosomiasis in China in 2023, including 26 250 endemic villages covering 73 034 500 residents at risk of infections. Among the 451 endemic counties (cities, districts), 78.49% (354/451) achieved the criteria of schistosomiasis elimination and 21.51% (97/451) achieved the criteria of transmission interruption, respectively. In 2023, a total of 4 216 643 individuals received immunological tests, with 47 794 sero-positives identified, and a total of 184 216 individuals received parasitological examinations, with 4 egg-positives detected. A total of 27 768 cases with advanced schistosomiasis were documented in China by the end of 2023. In 2023, 539 548 bovines were raised in schistosomiasis-endemic areas of China, and 125 440 bovines received immunological tests, with 124 sero-positives detected, while no egg-positives were identified among the 133 508 bovines receiving parasitological examinations. In 2023, snail survey was performed at an area of 641 339.53 hm2 and 184 819.77 hm2 snail habitats were identified, including 51.53 hm2 emerging snail habitats and 642.25 hm2 reemerging snail habitats. In 2023, there were 20 198 schistosomiasis patients receiving praziquantel chemotherapy, and 598 183 person-time individuals and 283 954 herdtime bovines were given expanded chemotherapy. In 2023, snail control with chemical treatment was performed in 116 347.95 hm2 snail habitats, and the actual area of chemical treatment was 65 690.89 hm2, while environmental improvements were performed in snail habitats covering an area of 1 334.62 hm2. The national schistosomiasis surveillance results showed that the mean prevalence of Schistosoma japonicum infections were both zero among humans and bovines in 2023, and no S. japonicum infection was detected in snails. These data demonstrated that transmission interruption of schistosomiasis had been achieved across all endemic provinces in China in 2023, and the endemic status of schistosomiasis tended to be stable, while advanced cases were predominant among all schistosomiasis cases. However, the areas of snail habitats remained high and cattle re-raising was very common in some regions. Intensified schistosomiasis surveillance and forecast and snail control in high-risk areas are needed.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail