1.Analysis of follow-up and prognosis in pediatric rheumatic diseases associated with pulmonary embolism
Tong YUE ; Yuchun YAN ; Min KANG ; Jia ZHU ; Yingjie XU ; Dan ZHANG ; Ming LI ; Min WEN ; Feifei WU ; Jianming LAI
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2026;64(1):89-94
Objective:To explore the clinical characteristics, diagnosis and treatment strategies, and prognosis of pulmonary embolism (PE) complicating childhood rheumatic diseases.Methods:A retrospective case series study was performed on the demographic data, laboratory indicators, imaging features, treatment regimens, and follow-up data of 8 children with rheumatic diseases complicated by PE who were admitted to the Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Capital Center for Children′s Health, Capital Medical University from January 2014 to October 2023.Results:Among the 8 children, there were 4 boys and 4 girls, with an age of 12.0 (7.5, 13.0) years. Among the primary diseases, there were 3 cases of systemic lupus erythematosus, 2 cases of Beh?et′s disease, 2 cases of Takayasu arteritis, and 1 case of antiphospholipid syndrome. All children developed PE during the active phase of the primary disease. PE was detected at the onset of the primary disease in 3 cases, and the median time from the diagnosis of the primary disease to the development of PE was 10.0 (6.0, 25.0) months in the remaining 5 cases. Fever was present in all 8 children, 4 cases were accompanied by chest tightness, dyspnea, etc., and 2 cases only presented with fever. Laboratory examinations revealed the following results: erythrocyte sedimentation rate was 42.0 (17.0, 78.0) mm/1 h, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein was 12.7 (2.6, 78.7) mg/L, white blood cell count was 9.6 (7.2, 18.7)×10 9/L; D-dimer was 2.3 (0.9, 6.2) mg/L; and hemoglobin was (109±16) g/L.Imaging examinations revealed that 5 cases had involvement of the bilateral lower pulmonary arteries, 5 cases had peripheral embolism, and 3 cases had central PE. Complications included 3 cases of deep vein thrombosis, 2 cases of intracranial venous sinus thrombosis, and 1 case of mild pulmonary hypertension.In terms of treatment, 7 cases received anticoagulation with heparin followed by warfarin. Immunomodulation was mainly based on glucocorticoids combined with immunosuppressants, and 4 cases were combined with biological agents. The follow-up time of 4.17 (1.75, 7.17) years, the time for complete absorption of PE was 10.5 (6.0, 18.0) months; all 8 children had no target events, with no recurrence or chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension, and the pulmonary artery remodeling was good. Conclusions:PE complicating childhood rheumatic diseases is closely related to the activity of the primary disease. The clinical manifestations are insidious, with fever as the main symptom. Imaging examination is the key to diagnosis.Early adoption of heparin followed by warfarin anticoagulation and glucocorticoids combined with immunosuppressants and (or) biological agents to control the primary disease can achieve a favorable prognosis.
2.Preparation of polycaprolactone/low molecular weight fucoidan nanofibers by emulsion electrospinning and assessment of their biocompatibility
Ying WANG ; Yawen WANG ; Yingjie XU ; Yuanfei WANG ; Tong WU
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(2):433-442
BACKGROUND:The long-term patency rate of synthetic blood vessels remains a significant challenge that requires urgent attention.Enhancing the anticoagulant performance of small-caliber artificial blood vessels is crucial in ensuring their long-term efficacy.OBJECTIVE:To investigate the anticoagulation activity of polycaprolactone/low molecular weight fucoidan nanofibers with shell core structure and determine the effect on the activity of human umbilical vein endothelial cells.METHODS:Polycaprolactone nanofiber membranes and polycaprolactone/low molecular weight fucoidan nanofiber membranes with polycaprolactone as shell layer and low molecular weight fucoidan as core layer were prepared by emulsion electrospinning method(the mass ratio of low molecular weight fucoidan to polycaprolactone was 10%,25%,40%,and 55%,respectively).The morphology and structure of the fibers were characterized by scanning electron microscopy,fluorescence microscopy,and infrared spectroscopy.The mechanical strength of the fiber membranes was detected by tensile test.The loading rate and sustained release rate of low molecular weight fucoidan in the nanofibers were detected by 1,9-dimethylmethylene blue dye.The anticoagulant properties of the fiber membranes were verified by hemolysis test,dynamic coagulation test,plasma recalcification test,and platelet adhesion test.The five fiber membranes were co-cultured with human umbilical vein endothelial cells.The cell proliferation was detected by CCK-8 assay and the cell morphology was observed by fluorescence microscopy.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)Scanning electron microscope showed that the surface of polycaprolactone/low molecular weight brown algae polysaccharide nanofiber membrane was smooth,the fiber diameter was uniform,and there was no obvious beaded structure.With the increase of low molecular weight brown algae polysaccharide content in the fiber membrane,the diameter of the fiber membrane increased and the maximum tensile stress decreased,but it still met the mechanical properties requirements of small-caliber artificial blood vessels.Fluorescence images and infrared spectra confirmed that low molecular weight brown algae polysaccharide was successfully loaded into polycaprolactone nanofiber membrane,and the low molecular weight brown algae polysaccharide loaded in each group of fiber membranes was released suddenly within 12 hours and released at a relatively low rate after 48 hours.(2)Compared with polycaprolactone nanofiber membrane,polycaprolactone/low molecular weight brown algae polysaccharide nanofiber membrane had better anticoagulant activity,among which the group with a mass ratio of low molecular weight brown algae polysaccharide to polycaprolactone of 25%had the best anticoagulant effect.All five fiber membranes supported the growth and proliferation of human umbilical vein endothelial cells without affecting cell morphology and had no obvious cytotoxicity.(3)The results show that the polycaprolactone/low molecular weight brown algae polysaccharide nanofiber membrane has good anticoagulant function,blood compatibility,and cell compatibility.
3.Preparation of polycaprolactone/low molecular weight fucoidan nanofibers by emulsion electrospinning and assessment of their biocompatibility
Ying WANG ; Yawen WANG ; Yingjie XU ; Yuanfei WANG ; Tong WU
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(2):433-442
BACKGROUND:The long-term patency rate of synthetic blood vessels remains a significant challenge that requires urgent attention.Enhancing the anticoagulant performance of small-caliber artificial blood vessels is crucial in ensuring their long-term efficacy.OBJECTIVE:To investigate the anticoagulation activity of polycaprolactone/low molecular weight fucoidan nanofibers with shell core structure and determine the effect on the activity of human umbilical vein endothelial cells.METHODS:Polycaprolactone nanofiber membranes and polycaprolactone/low molecular weight fucoidan nanofiber membranes with polycaprolactone as shell layer and low molecular weight fucoidan as core layer were prepared by emulsion electrospinning method(the mass ratio of low molecular weight fucoidan to polycaprolactone was 10%,25%,40%,and 55%,respectively).The morphology and structure of the fibers were characterized by scanning electron microscopy,fluorescence microscopy,and infrared spectroscopy.The mechanical strength of the fiber membranes was detected by tensile test.The loading rate and sustained release rate of low molecular weight fucoidan in the nanofibers were detected by 1,9-dimethylmethylene blue dye.The anticoagulant properties of the fiber membranes were verified by hemolysis test,dynamic coagulation test,plasma recalcification test,and platelet adhesion test.The five fiber membranes were co-cultured with human umbilical vein endothelial cells.The cell proliferation was detected by CCK-8 assay and the cell morphology was observed by fluorescence microscopy.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)Scanning electron microscope showed that the surface of polycaprolactone/low molecular weight brown algae polysaccharide nanofiber membrane was smooth,the fiber diameter was uniform,and there was no obvious beaded structure.With the increase of low molecular weight brown algae polysaccharide content in the fiber membrane,the diameter of the fiber membrane increased and the maximum tensile stress decreased,but it still met the mechanical properties requirements of small-caliber artificial blood vessels.Fluorescence images and infrared spectra confirmed that low molecular weight brown algae polysaccharide was successfully loaded into polycaprolactone nanofiber membrane,and the low molecular weight brown algae polysaccharide loaded in each group of fiber membranes was released suddenly within 12 hours and released at a relatively low rate after 48 hours.(2)Compared with polycaprolactone nanofiber membrane,polycaprolactone/low molecular weight brown algae polysaccharide nanofiber membrane had better anticoagulant activity,among which the group with a mass ratio of low molecular weight brown algae polysaccharide to polycaprolactone of 25%had the best anticoagulant effect.All five fiber membranes supported the growth and proliferation of human umbilical vein endothelial cells without affecting cell morphology and had no obvious cytotoxicity.(3)The results show that the polycaprolactone/low molecular weight brown algae polysaccharide nanofiber membrane has good anticoagulant function,blood compatibility,and cell compatibility.
4.Analysis of follow-up and prognosis in pediatric rheumatic diseases associated with pulmonary embolism
Tong YUE ; Yuchun YAN ; Min KANG ; Jia ZHU ; Yingjie XU ; Dan ZHANG ; Ming LI ; Min WEN ; Feifei WU ; Jianming LAI
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2026;64(1):89-94
Objective:To explore the clinical characteristics, diagnosis and treatment strategies, and prognosis of pulmonary embolism (PE) complicating childhood rheumatic diseases.Methods:A retrospective case series study was performed on the demographic data, laboratory indicators, imaging features, treatment regimens, and follow-up data of 8 children with rheumatic diseases complicated by PE who were admitted to the Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Capital Center for Children′s Health, Capital Medical University from January 2014 to October 2023.Results:Among the 8 children, there were 4 boys and 4 girls, with an age of 12.0 (7.5, 13.0) years. Among the primary diseases, there were 3 cases of systemic lupus erythematosus, 2 cases of Beh?et′s disease, 2 cases of Takayasu arteritis, and 1 case of antiphospholipid syndrome. All children developed PE during the active phase of the primary disease. PE was detected at the onset of the primary disease in 3 cases, and the median time from the diagnosis of the primary disease to the development of PE was 10.0 (6.0, 25.0) months in the remaining 5 cases. Fever was present in all 8 children, 4 cases were accompanied by chest tightness, dyspnea, etc., and 2 cases only presented with fever. Laboratory examinations revealed the following results: erythrocyte sedimentation rate was 42.0 (17.0, 78.0) mm/1 h, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein was 12.7 (2.6, 78.7) mg/L, white blood cell count was 9.6 (7.2, 18.7)×10 9/L; D-dimer was 2.3 (0.9, 6.2) mg/L; and hemoglobin was (109±16) g/L.Imaging examinations revealed that 5 cases had involvement of the bilateral lower pulmonary arteries, 5 cases had peripheral embolism, and 3 cases had central PE. Complications included 3 cases of deep vein thrombosis, 2 cases of intracranial venous sinus thrombosis, and 1 case of mild pulmonary hypertension.In terms of treatment, 7 cases received anticoagulation with heparin followed by warfarin. Immunomodulation was mainly based on glucocorticoids combined with immunosuppressants, and 4 cases were combined with biological agents. The follow-up time of 4.17 (1.75, 7.17) years, the time for complete absorption of PE was 10.5 (6.0, 18.0) months; all 8 children had no target events, with no recurrence or chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension, and the pulmonary artery remodeling was good. Conclusions:PE complicating childhood rheumatic diseases is closely related to the activity of the primary disease. The clinical manifestations are insidious, with fever as the main symptom. Imaging examination is the key to diagnosis.Early adoption of heparin followed by warfarin anticoagulation and glucocorticoids combined with immunosuppressants and (or) biological agents to control the primary disease can achieve a favorable prognosis.
5.Pathogenesis and Treatment Approach of Cancer-Related Anorexia-Cachexia Syndrome Based on the Concept of "Blood Exhaustion" in The Inner Canon of Yellow Emperor (《黄帝内经》)
Jinbiao ZHU ; Mengyun YUAN ; Lu BAI ; Duorui NIE ; Mianhua WU ; Yingjie YAN ; Dawei DING
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;67(5):575-579
Based on the concept of "blood exhaustion" from The Inner Canon of Yellow Emperor (《黄帝内经》), a three-stage syndrome differentiation and treatment strategy for cancer-related anorexia-cachexia syndrome is proposeed. In the cancer-induced anorexia stage, the pathogenesis is characterized by cancer consuming the spleen and stomach, leading to stagnation of transportation and transformation in the middle jiao (焦). Treatment should focus on strengthening the spleen, promoting appetite, dispersing accumulation, and aiding digestion, with modified Zisheng Pills (资生丸) in Extensive Notes on Medicine from Xian Xing Studio (《先醒斋医学广笔记》) or Zisheng Decoction (资生汤) in Records of Chinese Medicine with Reference to Western Medicine (《医学衷中参西录》). In the pre-cachectic stage of malnutrition, the pathogenesis involves insufficient nourishment of blood and qi with essence depletion hindering production. Treatment should focus on nourishing blood and harmonizing ying (营), warming yang and supplementing qi, and modified Huangqi Jianzhong Decoction (黄芪建中汤) can be used. In the cachectic stage, the pathogenesis involves blood deficiency and essence exhaustion, with blood stasis obstructing the collaterals. The therapeutic approach should focus on tonifying deficiency and replenishing essence, unblocking collaterals, and removing stasis, and modified Buzhong Yiqi Decoction (补中益气汤) and Zuo Gui Beverage (左归饮) are suggested.
6.A new phenolic acid isolated from Salvia miltiorrhiza ameliorates OVA-induced allergic asthma by regulation of Th17/Treg cells and inflammation through the TLR4 pathway.
Zeng MENGNAN ; Wu YUANYUAN ; Ren YINGJIE ; Jiao XIANMIAN ; Chang FANGZHUO ; Wang YUANYUAN ; Feng WEISHENG ; Zheng XIAOKE
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(12):100007-100007
Salvia miltiorrhiza (S. miltiorrhiza) represents a crucial component of traditional Chinese medicine, demonstrating effects on blood circulation activation and stasis removal, and has been widely utilized in asthma treatment. This study isolated a novel phenolic acid (S1) from S. miltiorrhiza and investigated its anti-asthmatic activity and underlying mechanisms for the first time. An allergic asthma (AA) model was established using ovalbumin (OVA). The mechanism of S1's effects on AA was investigated using multi-factor joint analysis, flow cytometry, and co-culture systems to facilitate clinical asthma treatment. S1 (10 or 20 mg·kg-1) was administered daily to mice with OVA-induced AA (OVA-AA) during days 21-25. The study examined airway responsiveness, lung damage, inflammation, and levels of immunoglobulin E (IgE), PGD2, interleukins (IL-4, 5, 10, 13, 17A), tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α), GM-CSF, CXCL1, CCL11, and mMCP-1. Additionally, mast cell (MC) activation and degranulation were explored, along with T helper type 17 (Th17)/Treg immune cells and TLR4 pathway biomarkers. The antagonistic activity of that specific antagonist of TLR4 (TAK-242) (1 µmol·L-1), a specific TLR4 blocker, against S1 (10 µmol·L-1) was examined in co-cultured 16HBE cells and bone marrow-derived cells (BMDCs) or splenic lymphocytes (SLs) induced with LPS (1 µg·mL-1) to elucidate the TLR4 pathway's mediating role. S1 demonstrated reduced airway responsiveness, lung damage, and inflammation, with downregulation of IgE, PGD2, interleukins, TNF-α, GM-CSF, CXCL1, CCL11, and mMCP-1. It also impeded MC activation and degranulation, upregulated IL-10, and influenced Th17/Treg immune cell transformation following OVA challenge. Furthermore, S1 inhibited the TLR4 pathway in OVA-AA mice, and TLR4 antagonism enhanced S1's positive effects. Analysis using an OVA-AA mouse model demonstrated that S1 alleviates AA clinical symptoms, restores lung function, and inhibits airway response. S1's therapeutic effects occur through regulation of Th17/Treg immune cells and inflammation, attributable at least partially to the TLR4 pathway. This study provides molecular justification for S1 in AA treatment.
7.Isolation trend of Candida in a three-A hospital in Wuxi between 2021 and 2024
Shifan JIANG ; Yingjie ZHANG ; Juan LU ; Yongjuan DING ; Jin CHENG ; Xing WU
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(19):2995-2999
OBJECTIVE To investigate the distribution of Candida and predict the detection trend in the southern and northern campuses of Affiliated Hospital of Jiangnan University,Wuxi,between 2021 and 2024.METHODS A total of 27 056 patients with common Candida infections from the southern and northern campuses of Affiliated Hospital of Jiangnan University between 2021 and 2024 were selected to analyze the distribution of Candida species and predict the detection trend.RESULTS Among the 27 056 patients,there were 11 061 males and 15 995 fe-males,aged from 1 to 101 years,with a median age of 68 years.Over the past four years,the top five most com-monly detected Candida species in the hospital were Candida albicans,Candida glabrata,Candida tropicalis,Candida parapsilosis and Candida krusei.Statistically significant differences were found in infection characteris-tics among patients with C.albicans and C.glabrata in terms of gender,age,specimen source and related diseases(P<0.05).From 2021 to 2024,the number of detected cases declined in 2022 and then rebounded(P<0.001).Among the detected patients,those aged 70 and above accounted for the highest proportion.Regarding the distribution of specific diseases,the top three were vaginitis(4 176 cases,15.43%),bacterial pneumonia(1 842 cases,6.81%)and cancer(1 279 cases,4.73%).Patients with vaginitis were mainly infected with C.albicans,while patients with bacterial pneumonia were predominantly infected with C.albicans and C.glabrata.The LSTM model showed a good fit to the training set,with an root-mean-square error(RMSE)of 145.03 and an mean absolute error(MAE)of 131.19.Model predictions indicated that the number of patients with Candida in-fections in the hospital would remain low from Jan.to May 2025,which was basically consistent with actual clini-cal observations(RMSE=94.71,MAE=84.00).CONCLUSIONS The common diseases associated with Candi-da infections in the hospital include vaginitis,bacterial pneumonia and cancer.C.albicans and C.glabrata are the main pathogenic species,and the infection situation is relatively severe.The LSTM model performs well in short-term prediction and dynamic analysis of Candida detection trends.
8.Value of ultra high-frequency ultrasound measurement of artery intima thickness combined with monocyte to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio in predicting the severity of coronary artery stenosis in premature coronary artery disease
Chenjing XU ; Jianjun YUAN ; Lixia WANG ; Yingjie CHU ; Xijun ZHANG ; Ming WU ; Yanyan GUO ; Haige YU ; Haohui ZHU
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2025;34(2):114-121
Objective:To investigate the value of carotid,radial and podalic artery intima thickness(CIT,RIT,PIT)combined with monocyte to high-density lipoprotein ratio(MHR)in predicting the severity of coronary artery stenosis in patients with premature coronary artery disease(PCAD).Methods:A total of 80 patients with PCAD who received treatment in Henan Provincial People's Hospital from October 2023 to May 2024 were prospectively recruited,and they were divided into high group(≥41 score,40 cases)and low group(<41 score,40 cases)according to the median dichotomy of Gensini score. Thirty-four gender,age and body mass index(BMI)-matched healthy volunteers were selected as the control group. The CIT,RIT,PIT,media and intima media thickness of carotid,radial artery and podalic artery(CMT,RMT,PMT,CIMT,RIMT,PIMT)were measured using 24 MHz ultra-high frequency ultrasound probe,and the ratio of intima to media thickness(CIT/CMT,RIT/RMT,PIT/PMT)was calculated. The differences of general clinical data,laboratory indexes and ultrasonic parameters among the three groups were compared. Risk factors affecting the severity of coronary stenosis in PCAD patients were explored by binary logistic regression. Subject working characteristic curves were plotted,area under the curve(AUC)was calculated,and the values of each ultrasound parameter and MHR in the independent and combined diagnosis of the severity of coronary artery stenosis in PCAD patients were evaluated.Results:①There were no statistically significant differences in age,gender,BMI,total cholesterol,CMT,RMT and PMT among the three groups(all P>0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in the comparison of smoking,hypertension,diabetes mellitus,systolic blood pressure,diastolic blood pressure,low-density lipoprotein cholesterol,total cholesterol,and triglycerides between the two subgroups of the PCAD(all P>0.05). ②CIT,CIMT,CIT/CMT,RIT,RIMT,RIT/RMT,PIT,PIMT,PIT/PMT were thickened in the high group compared with the low group,and MHR was higher than in the low group(all P<0.05),the differences in the above parameters remained statistically significant when comparing the PCAD group with the control group(all P<0.05). ③The AUC values for MHR,CIT,RIT and PIT alone to predict the severity of coronary stenosis in patients with PCAD were 0.781,0.767,0.780 and 0.722,respectively. The combined diagnostic efficiency of the four parameters was better than the independent diagnostic efficiency(AUC = 0.885). Conclusions:CIT,RIT and PIT are thicker in PCAD patients with high Gensini score and the combination of artery intima thickness and MHR has good efficacy in predicting the severity of coronary artery stenosis in PCAD patients.
9.Research Paradigms and Methods in Integrated Imaging of Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine
Yingjie WU ; Nuan CUI ; Guojiang XIN ; Wanghua LIU ; Weixiong JIAN ; Hao LIANG
Chinese Journal of Information on Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;32(5):7-12
The integration of TCM and Western medicine in imaging aims to enrich the sources of diagnostic information by utilizing medical imaging technologies,focusing on key elements such as TCM imaging,Western medical imaging,diseases and TCM syndrome types,thereby facilitating the complementary strengths of both systems.With the advancement of digital imaging and artificial intelligence technologies,various research models and methodologies have emerged.This article discussed the development and application of integrated imaging of traditional Chinese and Western medicine,and proposed three primary research paradigms in this field:Analyzing TCM images(e.g.,tongue and face)through manual or image processing techniques to assist in the diagnosis of Western medical diagnosis;Mapping Western medical imaging signs(e.g.,computed tomography,magnetic resonance imaging and ultrasound imaging)to TCM syndrome patterns for objective evidence in TCM diagnosis and treatment;Applying imaging omics to extract and integrate features from both TCM and Western medical images for comprehensive diagnosis.This study reviewed the three paradigms,explained relevant concepts and technologies,and proposed a specific research workflow of integrated imaging omics of traditional Chinese and Western medicine,aiming to provide a reference for innovative development in this field.
10.Application of ARIMA in prediction of prevalence trend of carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae in ICU
Shifan JIANG ; Yingjie ZHANG ; Juan LU ; Jin CHENG ; Cejie LAN ; Xing WU
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(6):933-938
OBJECTIVE To explore the application of autoregressive integrated moving average model(ARIMA)in prediction of prevalence trends of carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae(CRKP)in intensive care unit(ICU)so as to provide scientific bases for formulating prevention strategies for CRKP infection in ICU.METHODS The number of CRKP strains that were monthly isolated from the ICU patients of Jiangnan University Affiliated Hospital between Jan.2021 and Jan.2024 was collected,the duplicate samples from the same patient were excluded,and totally 555 strains of CRKP were finally enrolled in the study.The time series differencing was performed by using R statistical software,the ARIMA model was established,the parameters of the model were determined by means of autocorrelation function(ACF)and partial autocorrelation function(PACF)images.The optimal model was screened out by Akaike information criterion(AIC)and root-mean-square error(RMSD),the robustness of the residual sequences was assessed by Box-Ljung test.The data that were detected from Sep.2023 to Jan.2024 were assigned as the validation set,the prediction accuracy of the model was assessed,and the dy-namic trend of the CRKP strains from Feb.2024 to Apr.2024 was predicted.RESULTS The isolation rate of CRKP strains in ICU showed dynamic change from 2021 to 2023(x2=66.906,P=0.001),sputum and midstream urine were the major sources.The minimal AIC of the optimal ARIMA model(8,1,10)was 222.1,with RMSE 3.67.Box-Ljung(x2=0.104,P=0.746)test indicated that there was no autocorrelation among the residual se-quences.Both the actual CRKP and the predictive value firstly rose then descended from Sep.2023 to Jan.2024,and the average relative error of the model was 9.62%for prediction.The number of isolated CRKP strains predic-ted by the model might reached to the lowest point in Feb.2024 and then showed an upward trend,and it might reach to a high peak in Apr.CONCLUSION ARIMA model is effective for short-term prediction and dynamic anal-ysis of prevalence trend of CRKP strains in the ICU so as to provide theoretical basis for early warning of hospital-associated infection and take corresponding prevention measures.

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