1.Risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure and establishment of a predictive model
Jing SUN ; Tingji WANG ; Zhijiao DUAN ; Li ZHANG ; Yanmei LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(1):151-159
ObjectiveTo investigate the independent predictive factors for 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), to establish a risk predictive model, and to assess its predictive efficacy in comparison with MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 394 patients with ACLF who were admitted to The Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University and Hohhot Second Hospital from July 2018 to July 2024, and general information and laboratory markers on admission were collected from all patients. The independent-samples t test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of quantitative data between two groups, and the chi-square test or the adjusted chi-square test was used for comparison of qualitative data between two groups. The LASSO regression analysis was used to identify related variables, and the multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to establish a predictive model and generate a nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the area under the ROC curve (AUC), calibration curve, and clinical decision curve were used to assess the performance of the model. ResultsA total of 394 patients with ACLF were included in this study, with 136 patients in the training set, 58 in the internal validation set, and 200 in the external validation set. The cohort had a mean age of 52.9±11.7 years, among whom male patients accounted for 72.84% (287/394), the patients with HBV infection accounted for 22.33% (88/394), the patients with alcohol-related causes accounted for 45.94% (181/394), and the patients with other causes (including drug-induced and autoimmune diseases) accounted for 31.73% (125/394). The overall 90-day mortality rate was 27.41% (108/394). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that diabetes (odds ratio [OR]= 5.831, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.587 — 21.424, P=0.008), cystatin C (Cys-C) (OR=2.984, 95%CI: 1.501 — 5.933, P=0.002), and spontaneous peritonitis (SBP) (OR=5.692, 95%CI: 2.150 — 15.071, P<0.001) were independent risk factors, and a nomogram was generated based on these factors. This model had an AUC of 0.836 in the training set, 0.881 in the internal validation set, and 0.878 in the external validation set, showing a good discriminatory ability. The calibration curve showed a good degree of fitting, with a relatively high net clinical benefit. The subgroup analysis based on etiology showed that the model had an AUC of 0.850 in the patients with HBV infection, 0.858 in the patients with alcohol-induced ACLF, and 0.908 in the patients with other etiologies, indicating that the model had a good discriminatory ability across the populations with different etiologies. Compared with traditional scores, the model (AUC=0.836) had a significantly better predictive value than MELD (AUC=0.619, Z=3.197, P=0.001), MELD-Na (AUC=0.651, Z=2.998, P=0.003), MELD 3.0 (AUC=0.601, Z=3.682, P<0.001), and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ (AUC=0.719, Z=2.396, P=0.017) alone. ConclusionDiabetes, SBP, and Cys-C are independent risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with ACLF. Compared with MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ scores, this model has a higher predictive value for 90-day prognosis in patients with ACLF and is suitable for patients with ACLF caused by various etiologies.
2.Association between prenatal exposure to per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances and hormone levels in fetal umbilical cord blood
Kang'ao SUN ; Yanmei WU ; Hongbing FU ; Xia WANG ; Hong LIANG ; Jingchuan XUE
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2026;43(8):917-925
Background Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) are synthetic chemicals characterized by environmental persistence and have been ubiquitously detected in pregnant women. Although existing evidence suggests that PFAS may exert endocrine-disrupting effects, evidence remains limited regarding the associations of individual legacy and emerging PFAS congeners, as well as PFAS mixtures, with fetal hormonal homeostasis. Objective Based on the Jiashan Birth Cohort in China, to investigate the associations between maternal plasma concentrations of legacy and emerging PFAS in the second trimester and levels of multiple hormones in fetal cord blood. Methods A total of 336 women in the second trimester from the Jiashan Birth Cohort were enrolled. Concentrations of 53 legacy and emerging PFAS were measured in maternal plasma, and levels of eight key hormones were determined in fetal cord blood. Multiple linear regression, restricted cubic spline, and Bayesian kernel machine regression models were used to examine the linear, nonlinear, and joint associations of individual PFAS and PFAS mixtures with fetal cord blood hormone levels. Results Maternal plasma concentrations of perfluorononanoic acid, perfluorohexane sulfonic acid, perfluorooctanesulfonic acid, and 8:2 chlorinated perfluoroether sulfonic acid were positively associated with cord blood levels of insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF1), with β values of 0.040, 0.050, 0.040, and 0.030, respectively (all P<0.05). In contrast, perfluoroheptanoic acid was negatively associated with prolactin levels (β=−0.060, P<0.01). Restricted cubic spline models revealed a nonlinear dose–response relationship between perfluorobutane sulfonic acid and growth hormone (likelihood ratio test P=0.045), with a positive association in the intermediate concentration interval (β=0.261, P=0.010) that turned negative at higher concentrations (β=−0.425, P=0.048), as well as a nonlinear trend between 6:2 fluorotelomer sulfonic acid and prolactin (likelihood ratio test P=0.074). Bayesian kernel machine regression analysis indicated a negative trend between PFAS mixture exposure and cord blood prolactin levels. Conclusion Maternal PFAS exposure in the second trimester is associated with higher insulin-like growth factor 1 levels and lower prolactin levels in fetal cord blood. Prolactin appears to be consistently associated with both individual PFAS congeners and PFAS mixtures. These findings suggest that maternal PFAS exposure may affect fetal endocrine homeostasis by disrupting the hypothalamic-pituitary-prolactin regulatory axis.
3.Impact of sarcopenia on short-term prognosis of acute-on-chronic liver failure and the predictive gain of combining traditional scoring systems
Tingji WANG ; Jing SUN ; Zhijiao DUAN ; Li ZHANG ; Liping ZHAO ; Yuting YUN ; Yanmei LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(9):2154-2161
ObjectiveTo investigate the association between sarcopenia and short-term prognosis in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), to assess the value of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), MELD combined with serum sodium concentration (MELD-Na), MELD 3.0, and Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B (COSSH)-ACLF Ⅱ score in predicting the 90-day prognosis of ACLF patients, and to analyze the predictive gain of sarcopenia over traditional prognostic scoring models. MethodsA retrospective study was conducted among 219 patients with ACLF who were hospitalized in The Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University, No. 2 Hospital of Hohhot, Hohhot First Hospital, and Inner Mongolia People’s Hospital from July 2018 to July 2024. L3 skeletal muscle index (L3-SMI) was measured and calculated based on abdominal computed tomography images, and sarcopenia was diagnosed based on L3-SMI. According to 90-day prognosis, the patients with ACLF were divided into survival group with 124 patients and death group with 95 patients. The chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups; the independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups. The multivariate Cox regression analysis (stepwise backward approach) was used to identify independent risk factors for 90-day mortality in ACLF patients. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis, and the Log-rank test was used for comparison between groups. The receiver operating characteristic curve was plotted to evaluate the predictive performance of each model, and the DeLong test, bootstrap internal validation, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to assess the predictive gain of sarcopenia. ResultsThe multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that presence of sarcopenia (hazard ratio [HR]=3.385, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.722 — 6.657, P<0.05), older age (HR=1.036, 95%CI: 1.017 — 1.056, P<0.05), elevated alkaline phosphatase (HR=1.006, 95%CI: 1.004 — 1.009, P<0.05), elevated total bilirubin (HR=1.003, 95%CI: 1.001 — 1.005, P<0.05), elevated potassium (HR=1.581, 95%CI: 1.160 — 2.155, P<0.05), elevated serum creatinine (HR=1.015, 95%CI: 1.007 — 1.024, P<0.05), and prolonged prothrombin time (HR=1.035, 95%CI: 1.015 — 1.055, P<0.05) were independent risk factors for 90-day mortality in ACLF patients, while elevated albumin (HR=0.885, 95%CI: 0.837 — 0.935, P<0.05) was an independent protective factor against 90-day mortality. MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ scores had an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.569, 0.570, 0.632, and 0.659, respectively, for predicting the 90-day prognosis of ACLF patients, suggesting that these scores had unsatisfactory performance; after they were respectively combined with sarcopenia, the AUC was increased to 0.702, 0.687, 0.723, and 0.728, respectively. The DeLong test, NRI, and IDI analyses showed the combined models had significantly better predictive performance (all P<0.05). ConclusionSarcopenia is an independent risk factor for 90-day mortality in patients with ACLF. Traditional scoring models have limited predictive performance for 90-day prognosis in ACLF patients, and the combination with sarcopenia significantly improves predictive value, suggesting that sarcopenia can be used as an important supplementary indicator for prognostic evaluation of ACLF in clinical practice.
4.Investigation of incidence of gathering and eating Trogia venenata among populations in communities affected by the Yunnan unexplained sudden death
Yanmei XI ; Xue TANG ; Lin MA ; Mengyao SUN ; Yongpeng YANG ; Yi DONG ; Mingfang QIN ; Yuebing WANG
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(1):90-95
Objective:This study investigated the awareness and consumption of Trogia venenata among populations in regions affected by Yunnan unexplained sudden death (YUSD). The findings aim to support etiological research on YUSD and contribute to the formulation of preventive measures against Trogia venenata poisoning. Methods:This study was a case-control study. From 2018 to 2021, surveys were conducted in 90 villages across 25 counties within YUSD-affected areas in Yunnan Province. Households with YUSD cases were designated as case households, whereas households without YUSD cases served as controls, ande were selected through convenience sampling at a 3:1 ratio. An enhanced questionnaire was designed to collect information on the consumption of Trogia venenata, and symptoms following consumption. Frequency data were presented as percentages, and group comparisons were conducted using χ 2 tests or Fisher’s exact tests. Results:A total of 711 questionnaires were collected (response rate: 100%), comprising 175 case households and 536 control households. Trogia venenata was present in 80.82% of the villages surveyed. Among the 711 households, 15.89% reported consuming Trogia venenata, primarily through stir-frying (53.10%), followed by boiling (29.20%), boiling and stir-frying (15.93%), and steaming (1.77%). Most households (94.69%) consumed fresh fruiting bodies, with 69.02% consuming them fewer than three times annually. The consumption rates were higher among the case households than among the control households. Of the 113 households with a history of Trogia venenata consumption, 35.40% reported symptoms such as nausea, vomiting, and limb soreness. The proportions of affected families in each group were compared according to their source, cooking method, fruiting body status and consumption frequency. The proportion of affected families with high consumption frequency (≥3 times/year) was higher than that with low consumption frequency (<3 times/year). Among 421 YUSD cases, 63 cases (14.96%) had a history of Trogia venenata consumption before death, with 43 cases showing symptoms within the longest known latency period (14 d) for poisoning by this mushroom. Conclusions:Trogia venenata is prevalent in 80.82% of YUSD-affected regions, with 16.67% of the population reporting its consumption, predominantly as fresh fruiting bodies prepared by stir-frying or boiling. Confirmed Trogia venenata consumption was identified in 14.96% of YUSD cases, suggesting that mushroom poisoning is a significant risk factor for YUSD. Ongoing health education and interventions are critical for mitigating the risk of Trogia venenata poisoning.
5.Supplementing Denver model intervention with transcranial magnetic stimulation improves the treatment of young children with autism spectrum disorder
Wei LI ; Yanping TIAN ; Yanmei LAI ; Qinghong LI ; Qiao SUN ; Hong LI ; Xin ZHANG ; Zhihai LYU
Chinese Journal of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation 2025;47(4):359-363
Objective:To observe any effect of supplementing treatment according to the Early Start Denver model (ESDM) with repeated transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) in the treatment of children with autism spectrum disorder (ASD).Methods:Sixty-seven children on the autism spectrum aged 2 or 3 years were randomly divided into a control group of 33 and an observation group of 34. Both groups were treated as specified by the ESDM for 24 weeks, but the observation group additionally received rTMS. At 12 and 24 weeks, both groups were evaluated using the Autism Behavior Checklist, the Childhood Autism Rating Scale (CARS), the revised version of the Repetitive Behavior Scale (RBS-R), Gesell Development Schedules, and the Autism Treatment Evaluation Checklist (ATEC).Results:The CARS, Gesell, RBS-R and ATEC results of both groups had improved significantly after 12 weeks, with further improvements observed another 12 weeks later, when the average Autism Behavior Checklist scores had also improved significantly. At that point the results of the observation group were significantly better than those of the control group, on average.Conclusions:Combining ESDM and rTMS can significantly relieve the main symptoms of autism and improve the comprehensive development of children on the autism spectrum 2 or 3 years old. Therefore, such combination is worthy of application in clinical practice.
6.Machine learning research on the correlation between lifestyles and ovarian aging
Gaohui CAO ; Liangliang FAN ; Jieyi LONG ; Yanmei SUN ; Jishi LIU
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2025;44(11):1585-1589
Objective:With the aging of the population, the health of women's ovarian in China has received increasing attention.Ovarian aging not only affects reproductive health but also increases the risk of chronic diseases.This study aims to systematically explore the relationship between living habits and ovarian aging.Methods:Based on the data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study(CHARLS)from 2011 to 2018, 8 287 postmenopausal women were included.A retrospective cohort study was conducted using statistical analysis and machine learning methods to evaluate the impact of lifestyle factors such as smoking, drinking, sleep, and dietary patterns on the age of menopause.Results:It was found that adverse lifestyle factors such as reduced daily meal frequency [the early menopause group(2.85±0.38)times/day vs.the normal group(2.89±0.38)times/day, P=0.002], smoking [the smoking rate of the early menopause group(7.75%) vs.that of the normal group(6.15%), P=0.004], and high-frequency drinking [the early menopause rate of people who drink daily(19.76%(33/167)) vs.that of people who rarely or never drink(14.62%(1 162/7 949)), P=0.047]were associated with accelerated ovarian aging. Conclusions:Reasonable adjustment of living habits maybe help to delay the age of menopause and reduce related health risks.This study provides a scientific basis for optimizing women's healthy lifestyles, which is conducive to improving the quality of life and happiness of middle-aged and elderly women in China.
7.Association of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in ambient fine particulate matter with resident mortality: a case-crossover study
Sirong WANG ; Zhi LI ; Yanmei CAI ; Chunming HE ; Huijing LI ; Yi ZHENG ; Lu LUO ; Ruijun XU ; Yuewei LIU ; Huoqiang XIE ; Qinqin JIANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):6-11
Objective To quantitatively assess the association of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) with residents mortality. Methods A time-stratified case-crossover study was conducted from 2020 to 2022 among 10606 non-accidental residents by using the Guangzhou Cause of Death Surveillance System in Conghua District, Guangzhou. Exposure levels of PAHs in PM2.5 and meteorological data during the study period were obtained from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention in Conghua District and the China Meteorological Administration Land Data Assimilation System (CLDAS-V2.0), respectively. Conditional Poisson regression model was used to estimate the exposure-response association between PAHs and the mortality risk. Results Fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, benzo[a]pyrene, and indeno[1,2,3-cd]pyrene were significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality. For every one interquartile range increase in exposure levels, the non-accidental mortality risks increased by 8.33% (95% CI: 1.80%, 15.27%), 4.67% (95% CI: 1.86%, 7.57%), 6.07% (95% CI: 2.08%, 10.21%), 4.62% (95% CI: 1.85%, 7.47%), and 4.70% (95% CI: 0.53%, 9.03%), respectively. The estimated non accidental deaths attributable to exposure to fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluorine, benzo[a]pyrene and indine[1,2,3-cd]pyrene were 5.91%, 6.08%, 6.51%, 6.46%, and 4.21%, respectively. Conclusions Short-term exposure to PAHs in PM2.5, including fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, benzo[a]pyrene and indine[1,2,3-cd]pyrene, was significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality among residents.
8.Promoting international acceptance of clinical studies about traditional Chinese medicine interventions
Ling LI ; Xiaochao LUO ; Jiali LIU ; Minghong YAO ; Yanmei LIU ; Yu MA ; Luqi HUANG ; Xin SUN
Science of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;3(1):1-7
Promoting the international acceptance of clinical studies about traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) interventions is a key strategy for internationalization of TCM. However, the complexities of TCM interventions—in terms of the theories, practice patterns, and components—pose challenges to the design and implementation of clinical studies that are well accepted by the international community. This article summarized the current status of clinical studies about TCM interventions that were published in international journals, explored underlying barriers hindering the international acceptance, and discussed potential strategies for future development.
9.Promoting international acceptance of clinical studies about traditional Chinese medicine interventions
Ling LI ; Xiaochao LUO ; Jiali LIU ; Minghong YAO ; Yanmei LIU ; Yu MA ; Luqi HUANG ; Xin SUN
Science of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;3(1):1-7
Promoting the international acceptance of clinical studies about traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) interventions is a key strategy for internationalization of TCM. However, the complexities of TCM interventions—in terms of the theories, practice patterns, and components—pose challenges to the design and implementation of clinical studies that are well accepted by the international community. This article summarized the current status of clinical studies about TCM interventions that were published in international journals, explored underlying barriers hindering the international acceptance, and discussed potential strategies for future development.
10.Promoting international acceptance of clinical studies about traditional Chinese medicine interventions
Ling LI ; Xiaochao LUO ; Jiali LIU ; Minghong YAO ; Yanmei LIU ; Yu MA ; Luqi HUANG ; Xin SUN
Science of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;3(1):1-7
Promoting the international acceptance of clinical studies about traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) interventions is a key strategy for internationalization of TCM. However, the complexities of TCM interventions—in terms of the theories, practice patterns, and components—pose challenges to the design and implementation of clinical studies that are well accepted by the international community. This article summarized the current status of clinical studies about TCM interventions that were published in international journals, explored underlying barriers hindering the international acceptance, and discussed potential strategies for future development.


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