1.Application of time series and machine learning models in predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai
WANG Zhengzhong, ZHANG Zhe, ZHOU Xinyi, YUAN Linlin, ZHAI Yani, SUN Lijing, LUO Chunyan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(3):426-430
Objective:
To analyze the temporal variation patterns of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai, so as to explore models suitable for predicting peaks and intensity of absenteeism rates.
Methods:
The seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL) method was used to analyze the seasonal and long term trend changes in sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students from September 1 in 2010 to June 30 in 2018, in Shanghai. A hierarchical clustering method based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) was employed to classify absenteeism symptoms with similar temporal patterns. Based on historical data, the study constructed and evaluated different time series algorithms and machine learning models to optimize the accuracy of predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism.
Results:
During the research period, the average new absenteeism rate due to illness was 16.86 per 10 000 person day for every academic year, and the trend of sickness absenteeism exhibited both seasonality and a long term upward trend, reaching its highest point in the 2017 academic year (22.47 per 10 000 person day). The symptoms of absenteeism were divided into three categories: high incidence in winter and spring (respiratory symptoms, fever and general discomfort, etc.), high incidence in summer (eye symptoms, nosebleeds, etc.) and those without obvious seasonality (skin symptoms, accidental injuries, etc.).The constructed time series models effectively predicted the trend of absenteeism due to illness, although the accuracy of predicting peak intensity was relatively low. Among them, the multi layer perceptron (MLP) model performed the best, with an root mean squared error (RMSE) of 8.96 and an mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.37, reducing 36.51% and 39.02% compared to the baseline model.
Conclusion
Time series models and machine learning algorithms could effectively predict the trend of sickness absenteeism, and corresponding prevention and control measures can be taken for absenteeism caused by different symptoms during peak periods.
2.Study on the effect of fluoride exposure on dyslipidemia in the elderly
Wenfeng LI ; Fang LI ; Dandan ZHANG ; Yani DUAN ; Yushan CUI ; Yang WANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(4):55-59
Objective To explore the association between different levels of fluoride exposure and dyslipidemia in elderly people, and to analyze the influencing factors and their interactions. Methods A total of 1 143 elderly people over 60 years old were randomly selected from historical high water fluorosis areas and control areas in Tianjin. Logistic regression model and classification tree model were used to analyze the influencing factors of dyslipidemia, and to analyze the interaction between high fluoride exposure and relevant influencing factors on dyslipidemia. Results The prevalence of elevated low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) was 5.69% (65/1 143). There was a significant difference in the prevalence of high LDL-C in different fluoride-exposed areas (2 = 0.092,P = 0.762). Multivariate logistic analysis showed that high fluoride exposure (OR=2.306,95%CI:1.185-4.491) and abdominal obesity (OR=2.274,95%CI:1.299-3.978) were risk factors for high LDL-C, while type B personality (OR=0.529,95%CI:0.308-0.908) was a protective factor for high LDL-C. The results of classification tree model showed that abdominal obesity contributed the most to the prevalence of high LDL-C in the elderly, followed by high fluoride exposure and hyperglycemia. There was a significant multiplicative interaction between high fluoride exposure and abdominal obesity on dyslipidemia (OR=5.191,95%CI:1.609-16.745,P=0.006). Conclusion High fluoride exposure may increase the risk of high LDL-C, and there is a multiplicative interaction between high fluoride exposure and abdominal obesity on dyslipidemia.
3.Comparative study of dry and wet extrusion granulation of Five-Juice Decoction granules
Siyi WANG ; Yani XIE ; Guangyu CHEN
China Pharmacist 2024;27(5):756-761
Objective To optimize the dry granulation technology of Five-Juice Decoction granules.Methods The granule yield was used as the evaluation index to optimize the dry granulation process parameters of Five-Juice Decoction granules by Box-Behnken design-response surface design test.The granule yield,repose angle,dissolve time,humidity absorption rate and particle roundness were used as evaluation indexes,and three batches of validation tests were conducted to compare the difference between the dry granules optimized in this study and the wet extruded granules optimized in previous studies.Results The optimal technological parameters for dry granulation of Five-Juice Decoction granules were as follows:the pressure of the hydraulic system was 3.5 Mpa,the wheel speed was 5.4 r/min,the feeding speed was 7.2 r/min,and the granulation speed was 80 r/min.The technological parameters of wet granulation were as follows:the soft material was made from 90%ethanol,extruded through a 10-mesh sieve for granulation,and dried under reduced pressure at 50 °C to a moisture content of<5%.The granule yield and humidity absorption rate of dry granulation were better than those of wet extruded granules.Conclusion Dry granulation process is better than wet extrusion process of Five-Juice Decoction granules.The optimized dry granulation process is stable and feasible,which can provide a reference for industrial production.
4.Effect of vitamin D3 supplementation in combination with adefovir dipivoxil and lamivudine on liver fibrosis indicators and cellular immunity in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis
Yajuan MU ; Xiaoxia GAO ; Meng WANG ; Yani HE
Chinese Journal of Primary Medicine and Pharmacy 2024;31(6):858-862
Objective:To analyze the effect of vitamin D3 supplementation in combination with adefovir dipivoxil and lamivudine on liver fibrosis indicators and cellular immunity in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis.Methods:A total of 150 patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis who received treatment at The First Hospital of Yulin from February 2021 to April 2023 were included in this study. They were randomly divided into two groups using the random number table method, with 75 patients in each group. Both groups received treatment with adefovir dipivoxil and lamivudine, but the observation group also received vitamin D3 supplementation. Before and after treatment, liver function indicators, liver fibrosis indicators, and cellular immunity were measured and compared between the two groups to evaluate the efficacy of the treatments. Adverse reactions such as gastrointestinal bleeding, hypophosphatemia, and headache were observed.Results:After treatment, alanine aminotransferase and aspartate aminotransferase levels in the observation group were significantly lower compared with the control group [(30.81 ± 3.24) U/L vs. (39.82 ± 4.07) U/L, (31.78 ± 3.19) U/L vs. (37.96 ± 3.89) U/L, t = 15.00, 10.64, both P < 0.001]. After treatment, the levels of serum hyaluronic acid and laminin in the observation group were significantly lower than those in the control group ( t = 4.13, 8.45, both P < 0.001). After treatment, the levels of CD 4+ and CD 4+/CD 8+ in the observation group were significantly higher than those in the control group, while the level of CD 8+ was significantly lower ( t = 6.32, 14.10, 8.10, all P < 0.001). The total response rate in the observation group was significantly higher than that in the control group [89.33% (67/75) vs. 70.67% (53/75), χ2 = 8.17, P < 0.05]. There was no statistically significant difference in the total incidence of adverse reactions such as gastrointestinal bleeding and headache between the control and observation groups ( χ2 = 0.32, P > 0.05). Conclusion:Vitamin D3 supplementation in combination with adefovir dipivoxil and lamivudine is remarkably effective in the treatment of hepatitis B cirrhosis. The combined therapy can efficiently correct cellular immune disorders in patients, mitigate liver fibrosis, enhance liver function, and is considered highly safe.
5.Progress in epidemiological research on hepatitis E virus in wild ruminant animals
Tongbao SUN ; Chenyu WU ; Zhaowen REN ; Na LI ; Yani WANG ; Xiaohu WANG ; Qiuyue WANG
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2024;44(10):2301-2308
Hepatitis E virus(HEV)is one of the most common pathogens in acute viral hepatitis.There are at least eight distinct genotypes of HEV.Only humans can contract HEV genotypes 1 and 2,but zoonotic viruses like genotypes 3 and 4 are mostly spread by eating undercooked or in-fected pork in some affluent nations.As a result,boars,both domestic and wild,are typically regar-ded as primary hosts of HEV.Nevertheless,during the past few years,a growing body of research has demonstrated that a number of other wild ruminant animals,such as wild deer and goats,are also susceptible to HEV infection.Determining their participation in the epidemiological cycle of hepatitis E thus requires an understanding of the risk variables that influence the transmission be-tween wild ruminants and humans.With an emphasis on published serological and molecular re-search,this review offers a broad summary of the body of knowledge currently available on the epi-demiology of HEV in wild ruminants.It addresses potential risk factors that could impact the spread of HEV among animals as well as their potential to serve as a source of infectious zoonotic illnesses.It presents an overview of the most recent developments in the epidemiology of HEV in wild ruminants and offers a framework for HEV prevention and management based on science.
6.Identification of parrot roundworms and analysis of its mitochondrial genome
Na LI ; Zhaowen REN ; Yani WANG ; Pian ZHANG ; Tongbao SUN ; Ziguo YUAN ; Xi-Aohu WANG
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2024;44(11):2379-2385
To identify the intestinal roundworms of Eclectus roratus and Psittacula alexandri from the Guangdong region by morphological analysis and molecular biology techniques,and to amplify the mitochondrial genome of parrot roundworms using PCR,as well as to carry out phylogenetic analyses based on the sequences of their mitochondrial genes.The results showed that the parrot roundworms identified in this identification belongs to Ascaridia.nymphii and its mitochondrial genome consists of 12 protein coding genes,22 tRNA genes,2 ribosomal RNA genes and two non-coding regions.Phylogenetic analyses showed that A.nymphii identified in this study is located in the same evolutionary branch as the previously reported Ascaridia sp.,is closely related and con-stitutes a separate clade of avian ascarids with pigeon roundworms and chicken roundworms.This study provides important data for the classification,molecular epidemiology and population genetic evolution of parrot roundworms.
7.Characteristics of Cerebral Blood Flow in Sleep Deprivation Based on Arterial Spin Labeling
Xiaolei WANG ; Leilei LI ; Bo HAN ; Zeheng SUN ; Keke XIN ; Gang LIN ; Rong ZHANG ; Yuanqiang ZHU ; Yani BAI
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging 2024;32(7):653-658
Purpose To investigate the difference of cerebral blood flow between sleep deprivation and rest wakefulness.Materials and Methods Fifty subjects were recruited from universities in Xi'an from October 2020 to December 2021.The psychomotor vigilance test(PVT)task was used to measure sustained attention.Arterial spin labeling technique was used to analyze and compare the relative cerebral blood flow(rCBF)between sleep deprivation and rest wakefulness.The correlation between altered rCBF of specific brain regions and PVT task performance after sleep deprivation was analyzed.Results Compared with rest wakefulness,rCBF in bilateral dorsolateral prefrontal lobe,bilateral parietal lobule,left orbital middle frontal gyrus,bilateral middle temporal gyrus,right posterior central gyrus,and bilateral angular gyrus was significantly decreased after sleep deprivation.The rCBF of bilateral thalamus,left precuneus,right medial prefrontal lobe,left posterior cingulate gyrus,and left inferior temporal gyrus was significantly increased(FDR corrected,P<0.05,cluster size≥20 voxels).The changes of rCBF in left dorsolateral prefrontal lobe and right parietal lobule were significantly negatively correlated with the PVT task performance(r=-0.56,P<0.001;r=-0.64,P<0.001),and the change of rCBF of left precuneus was significantly positively correlated with the PVT task performance(r=0.72,P<0.001).Conclusion The abnormal changes of CBF in default mode network,frontoparietal network-related brain regions and thalamic may be the important neural mechanism of sustained attentional decline after sleep deprivation.
8.Association between biorhythm disorders and the co occurrence of health risk behaviors in adolescence
ZHAI Yani, WANG Xuelai, WAN Yuhui, TAO Fangbiao, SHEN Juhua, SUN Chongxiu, SUN Lijing, LUO Chunyan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2024;45(4):470-474
Objective:
To elucidate the association between biorhythm disorders and health risk behaviors in adolescence, so as to provide reference for appropriate interventions.
Methods:
From March to April 2023, 2 381 adolescents in Shanghai were selected as research objects using convenience sampling and stratified random cluster sampling methods. The Self rating Questionnaire of Biological Rhythm Disorders for Adolescents (SQBRDA) and the self report health risk behaviors questionnaire were used to investigate the status of adolescent biorhythm disorders and nine kinds of health risk behaviors, while a multivariate Logistic regression model was employed to analyze the association between the two variables.
Results:
The average SQBRDA score was (68.25±0.42) The incidence and detection rates of health risk behaviors in the groups with no co occurrence, mild co occurrence, moderate co occurrence, and severe co occurrence were 234(9.83%), 1 176(49.39%), 830(34.86%) and 141(5.92%), respectively. The total SQBRDA score was positively correlated with the risk of co occurrence of health risk behaviors. The risk of mild co occurrence, moderate co occurrence, and severe co occurrence of health risk behaviors was 9.05 times (95% CI =4.25-19.15, P <0.01), 44.55 times (95% CI =20.75-96.05, P <0.01) and 110.05 times (95% CI =40.65-297.95, P <0.01) higher, respectively, among adolescents with higher scores of biorhythm disorders compared to adolescents with lower scores of biorhythm disorders.
Conclusions
Health risk behaviors among adolescents in Shanghai draw attention to a serious phenomenon whereby biorhythm disorders are positively correlated with the risk of co occurrence. Comprehensive interventions aimed at addressing adolescent health risk behaviors should focus on regulating biorhythm disorders.
9.Influencing factors on thyroid volume in school-age children aged 8-10 years in Tianjin
Yani DUAN ; Yang WANG ; Yushan CUI ; Dandan ZHANG ; Yunfeng LI ; Fang LI
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2024;35(3):59-62
Objective To investigate the status and the influencing factors of thyroid volume of children aged 8-10 years in Tianjin. Methods Among the 1-2 primary schools were randomly selected from 12 districts in Tianjin. A total of 1 090 children were selected by class cluster sampling method (half male and half female, with a balanced age distribution). A questionnaire survey was conducted. Children’s height, weight and thyroid volume were measured, and their salt iodine content and urinary iodine content were detected. Results I n this study, the median urinary iodine in children was 161.35 µg/L, the mean thyroid volume was 2.56 mL, and the goiter rate was 3.58%. Univariate analysis showed that age, BSA, salt iodine content, urinary iodine content, eating habits, food taste, eating lunch at school, father's work, anxiety and depression, pressure, and different regional grouping were the influencing factors of thyroid volume (P<0.05). Multivariate linear regression showed that BSA, age, food taste, and urinary iodine content had significant independent effects on thyroid volume (P<0.05). Conclusion In Tianjin, the iodine nutrition level of children aged 8-10 years is at an appropriate level. When evaluating the thyroid volume of children, in addition to age factors, other factors such as physical development level and iodine intake should also be considered.
10.Corrective effect of femtosecond laser assisted laser in situ keratomileusis Xtra on patients with moderate to high myopia after 2a postoperatively
Jinxiao LI ; Di SHEN ; Kun ZHOU ; Xiyu SUN ; Yani WANG ; Wei WEI
International Eye Science 2024;24(2):295-300
AIM:To evaluate corrective effect and stability of corneal morphology in patients with moderate to high myopia after 2a treatment of femtosecond laser assisted laser in situ keratomileusis(FS-LASIK)Xtra.METHODS:Retrospective case-control study. A total of 30 cases(58 eyes)Patients with moderate to high myopia combined with astigmatism who planned to undergo refractive surgery in our hospital from August 2019 to August 2020 were included, and different types of surgery were performed respectively based on the relevant index of keratoconus screening in the preoperative corneal topography. They were divided into FS-LASIK group and Xtra group, with 15 cases(29 eyes)in each group. Uncorrected visual acuity(UCVA), best corrected visual acuity(BCVA), spherical equivalent(SE)and the corneal curvature of the anterior and posterior surfaces of different diameters(3, 5 and 7 mm)measured by Sirius three-dimensional corneal topography were observed preoperatively and 3 mo, 1 and 2 a postoperatively.RESULTS: The UCVA of the two groups of patients at different time points after surgery was significantly increased compared with preoperatively(both P<0.01), and there was no difference in UCVA and SE between the two groups(P>0.05). After 2 a postoperatively, residual astigmatism was -0.25-0 D in 25 eyes(86%)of the FS-LASIK Xtra group and 24 eyes(83%)of the FS-LASIK group. The actual corrected SE and expected corrected SE of both groups were positively correlated(both P<0.05). There were differences in corneal curvature on the surface of different diameter areas(3, 5, and 7 mm)between the two groups at 3 mo, 1, and 2 a postoperatively compared with preoperatively. After 1 and 2 a postoperatively, the corneal posterior surface curvature of the FS-LASIK Xtra group with corneal diameter of 3 and 5 mm was higher than that of the FS-LASIK group(P<0.05).CONCLUSIONS:FS-LASIK Xtra has good safety, efficacy and predictability in correcting patients with moderate to high myopia.


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