1.A time-stratified case-crossover study on the relationship between meteorological factors and scarlet fever incidence in Xicheng District of Beijing
Di QIN ; Chunna MA ; Xiaokan WEI ; Xiugang GUAN ; Yanhui CHU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):83-87
Objective To explore the impact of meteorological factors on the incidence of scarlet fever in Xicheng District of Beijing, and to provide a scientific basis for formulating targeted prevention and control measures. Methods Daily scarlet fever incidence data and corresponding meteorological data from 2010 to 2019 in Xicheng District of Beijing were collected. Using year, month, and day of the week as time-stratified variables, a conditional logistic regression model with a time-stratified case-crossover design was employed to analyze the impact of different meteorological factors on the number of scarlet fever cases in Xicheng District, while controlling for long-term trends, seasonality and other confounding factors. Results From 2010 to 2019, a total of 3,195 cases of scarlet fever were reported in Xicheng District, with an average annual incidence rate of 24.17/100 000. The overall trend showed fluctuating decline, during which three incidence peaks occurred, with the highest incidence rate observed in 2011. No severe or fatal cases were reported. The incidence of scarlet fever exhibited a distinct seasonal bimodal distribution, primarily concentrated between April to June and November to January of the following year. The conditional logistic regression results showed that the average relative humidity and average temperature were positively correlated with scarlet fever cases (β=0.0203, β=0.0613, P<0.001), while the average vapor pressure was negatively correlated with scarlet fever cases (β=-0.1468, P<0.001). Increases average relative humidity and average temperature were risk factors for scarlet fever incidence (OR=1.0205,95%CI=1.0150 -1.0261;OR=1.0632,95%CI=1.0379 -1.0891). For every 1.00% increase in average relative humidity, the number of scarlet fever cases increased by 2.05% (1.50% –2.61%). Similarly, for every 1。C rise in average temperature, the number of cases increased by 6.32% (3.79% – 8.91%). In contrast, an increase in average vapor pressure had a protective effect against scarlet fever (OR=0.8635,95%CI=0.8392-0.8885). For every 1 hPa increase in average vapor pressure, the number of scarlet fever cases decreased by 13.65% (11.15%–16.08%). Conclusion The average relative humidity, average temperature and average vapor pressure are the primary meteorological factors influencing the incidence of scarlet fever in Xicheng District of Beijing, and can be utilized as indicators for the prevention, control, surveillance and early warning of scarlet fever.
2.Comorbidity and associated factors of overweight/obesity and dental caries among primary and secondary school students in Guangxi
LUO Yuemei, REN Yiwen, CHEN Li, DONG Yonghui, YUAN Wen, MA Jun, DONG Yanhui, LI Yan, ZHOU Weiwen
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(4):485-488
Objective:
To explore the comorbidity and associated factors of dental caries and overweight/obesity among primary and secondary school students in Guangxi, so as to provide a scientific basis for the development of targeted prevention strategies.
Methods:
A stratified cluster random sampling method was used to survey 178 700 students from the fourth grade of primary school to the third year of high school in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region from September to November 2023, including physical examination, oral screening, and questionnaire survey. Chisquare tests and binary Logistic regression analysis were employed to investigate the related factors of the cooccurrence of dental caries and overweight/obesity among students.
Results:
The comorbidity rate of dental caries and overweight/obesity was 9.55%, with urban areas (9.95%) higher than rural counties (9.24%), boys (10.54%) higher than girls (8.54%), primary school students (11.49%) higher than senior high school students (8.92%) and junior high school students (8.05%), and nonboarding students (11.44%) higher than boarding students (7.94%), and all differences were statistically significant (χ2=26.07, 207.91, 471.54, 629.14,P<0.01). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that consuming cereal for breakfast (OR=0.91, 95%CI=0.88-0.94), drinking milk in the past week (OR=0.89, 95%CI=0.83-0.95), meeting sleep standards (OR=0.95, 95%CI=0.91-0.99), and brushing teeth at least once a day (OR=0.82, 95%CI=0.73-0.93) had a lower risk of the comorbidity of dental caries and overweight/obesity. In contrast, drinking beverages in the past week (OR=1.14, 95%CI=1.09-1.20), consuming fried foods in the past week (OR=1.11, 95%CI=1.06-1.17), eating fruit ≥1 time every day (OR=1.06, 95%CI=1.02-1.11), consuming fruit ≥1 type every day (OR=1.07, 95%CI=1.01-1.12), and having fish, poultry, meat, or eggbased breakfasts (OR=1.03, 95%CI=1.05-1.13) had a higher risk of the comorbidity of dental caries and overweight/obesity (P<0.05).
Conclusions
Dietary habits and lifestyle behaviors are associated with the comorbidity of dental caries and overweight/obesity among primary and secondary school students in Guangxi. Guiding students to form healthy living habits is helpful to preven dental caries and overweight/obesity.
3.Spinal curvature abnormalities and related factors among primary and secondary school students in Guangxi in 2023
LUO Yuemei, LI Yan, REN Yiwen, DONG Yonghui, CHEN Li, ZHANG Dengcheng, ZHANG Yi, MA Jun, DONG Yanhui
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(5):712-716
Objective:
To investigate the prevalence and associated factors of spinal curvature abnormalities among primary and secondary school students in the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, so as to provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of such abnormalities.
Methods:
From September to November 2023, adopting a stratified cluster random sampling method, spinal curvature screenings and questionnaire surveys were conducted among 168 931 students from grade 4 of primary school to grade 12 of high school in 111 districts and counties across 14 cities in Guangxi. Chi square tests and binary Logistic regression analysis were used to analyze influencing factors of spinal curvature abnormalities.
Results:
In 2023, the detection rate of poor posture among students above grade 4 in Guangxi was 4.24% , and the detection rate of spinal curvature abnormalities was 2.13%. The detection rate was higher among urban students (2.84%) than rural students (1.66%), boarding students (2.61%) than non-boarding students (1.60%), and high school students (3.16%) than junior high (2.45%) and primary school students (1.15%), and the differences were statistically significant ( χ 2=269.85, 221.44, 565.10, P <0.01). A trend of increasing detection rates with higher grade levels was observed ( χ 2 trend =617.63, P <0.01). Binary Logistic regression analysis indicated that students without boarding at school ( OR =0.82, 95% CI =0.75-0.90), engaging in high-intensity physical activity for over 60 min per day ≥5 days per week ( OR =0.90, 95% CI =0.82-0.98), and adequate sleep ( OR =0.87, 95% CI =0.81-0.94) had lower risks of detecting spinal curvature abnormalities ( P <0.05).
Conclusions
The prevalence of spinal curvature abnormalities increases with grade level among primary and secondary school students in Guangxi. Regular moderate-to-vigorous physical activity demonstrates protective effects against spinal abnormalities.
4.Association between medium to long term ambient PM 2.5 exposure and overweight/obesity among primary and secondary school students
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(7):937-940
Objective:
To investigate the association between medium to long term PM 2.5 exposure around school areas and overweight/obesity among primary and secondary school students in Guangxi, providing data support and theoretical foundations for scientifically addressing overweight and obesity in primary and secondary school students.
Methods:
From September to November 2023, a stratified cluster random sampling method was employed to select 251 183 students aged 7-18 years (grade 1 to grade 12) from 14 prefecture level cities (111 districts and counties) in Guangxi. PM 2.5 mass concentration data were obtained from the Tracking Air Pollution in China (TAP) dataset. Preliminary comparative analysis was conducted using the Mann-Whitney U test, while binary Logistic regression models were applied to quantify the relationship between PM 2.5 exposure and overweight/obesity. Restricted cubic spline analysis was further utilized to examine the nonlinear association between PM 2.5 concentration and overweight/obesity risk.
Results:
The detection rate of overweight/obesity among Guangxi students in 2023 was 19.5%. The median PM 2.5 concentration in the year prior to the study was higher in the overweight/obesity group (23.22 μg/m 3) compared to the non overweight/obesity group (22.63 μg/m 3) ( Z=-15.66, P <0.01), and consistent trends were observed across gender (male/female) and educational stage (primary/junior/senior high school) subgroups (all P <0.01). Binary Logistic regression revealed that for every 10 μg/m 3 increase in the annual average PM 2.5 concentration, the risk of overweight/obesity increased by 12% ( OR=1.12, 95%CI=1.09- 1.15 , P <0.01). Restricted cubic spline analysis indicated a nonlinear relationship between monthly PM 2.5 levels and overweight/obesity risk ( P trend <0.01). Below 22.68 μg/m 3, PM 2.5 exposure showed no significant association with obesity risk; above the threshold, the risk increased with rising PM 2.5 levels.
Conclusion
Medium to long term PM 2.5 exposure around school environments is significantly associated with overweight/obesity among primary and secondary school students.
5.Association of dietary behaviors, physical activity and altitude with nutritional status among children and adolescents
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(10):1411-1415
Objective:
To analyze the association between altitudes and nutritional status of children and adolescents, and to explore the moderating effects of dietary behaviors and physical activity, so as to provide a scientific basis for developing lifestyle interventions tailored to local conditions.
Methods:
From September to November 2023, physical examinations and questionnaire surveys were conducted among children and adolescents aged 7-17 in two autonomous regions, Inner Mongolia and Xizang, with a final sample of 156 511 participants by the stratified cluster random sampling method. Height and weight were measured to calculate body mass index (BMI). Sociodemographic characteristics, dietary behaviors, and physical activity were collected via questionnaires, while the altitude of each participant s school was obtained using Amap. Logistic regression was performed to examine the relationship between altitudes and nutritional status. Interaction terms and stratified analyses were applied to assess the moderating effects of dietary behaviors and physical activity. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) were used for visualization.
Results:
In 2023, the prevalence of wasting and overweight/obesity among children and adolescents in Xizang were 9.7% and 9.0%, respectively, compared to 2.9% and 22.0% in Inner Mongolia. Logistic regression analysis results showed that for every 1 km increase in altitude, the risk of wasting increased, while the risk of overweight/obesity decreased ( OR =1.43, 0.19, both P <0.05). The results of the stratified analysis showed that compared to those living at altitudes <1 km, children and adolescents with healthy diets showed no significant association between altitudes (1-<2 and 2-<3 km) and wasting ( OR =1.22, 0.75, both P >0.05), whereas significant associations were observed at 3-<4 and ≥4 km altitudes ( OR =2.25, 2.89, both P <0.05). In contrast, unhealthy dietary groups showed statistically significant associations across altitudes ( OR =1.18-4.04, all P <0.05), consistent with RCS results. No moderating effects were observed for physical activity on the altitude wasting association or for dietary behaviors and physical activity combined on the altitude overweight/obesity association ( P interaction =0.63, 0.10, 0.53).
Conclusion
Healthy dietary behaviors play a critical role in improving the nutritional status of children and adolescents and reducing regional disparities, providing a scientific foundation for public health policy formulation and implementation.
6.Secular trend and projection of overweight and obesity among Chinese children and adolescents aged 7-18 years from 1985 to 2019: Rural areas are becoming the focus of investment.
Jiajia DANG ; Yunfei LIU ; Shan CAI ; Panliang ZHONG ; Di SHI ; Ziyue CHEN ; Yihang ZHANG ; Yanhui DONG ; Jun MA ; Yi SONG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(3):311-317
BACKGROUND:
The urban-rural disparities in overweight and obesity among children and adolescents are narrowing, and there is a need for long-term and updated data to explain this inequality, understand the underlying mechanisms, and identify priority groups for interventions.
METHODS:
We analyzed data from seven rounds of the Chinese National Survey on Students Constitution and Health (CNSSCH) conducted from 1985 to 2019, focusing on school-age children and adolescents aged 7-18 years. Joinpoint regression was used to identify inflection points (indicating a change in the trend) in the prevalence of overweight and obesity during the study period, stratified by urban/rural areas and sex. Annual percent change (APC), average annual percent change (AAPC), and 95% confidence interval (CI) were used to describe changes in the prevalence of overweight and obesity. Polynomial regression models were used to predict the prevalence of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents in 2025 and 2030, considering urban/rural areas, sex, and age groups.
RESULTS:
The prevalence of overweight and obesity in urban boys and girls showed an inflection point of 2000, with AAPC values of 10.09% (95% CI: 7.33-12.92%, t = 7.414, P <0.001) and 8.67% (95% CI: 6.10-11.30%, t = 6.809, P <0.001), respectively. The APC for urban boys decreased from 18.31% (95% CI: 4.72-33.67%, t = 5.926, P = 0.027) to 4.01% (95% CI: 1.33-6.75%, t = 6.486, P = 0.023), while the APC for urban girls decreased from 13.88% (95% CI: 1.82-27.38%, t = 4.994, P = 0.038) to 4.72% (95% CI: 1.43-8.12%, t = 6.215, P = 0.025). However, no inflection points were observed in the best-fit models for rural boys and girls during the period 1985-2019. The prevalence of overweight and obesity for both urban and rural boys is expected to converge at 35.76% by approximately 2027. A similar pattern is observed for urban and rural girls, with a prevalence of overweight and obesity reaching 20.86% in 2025.
CONCLUSIONS
The prevalence of overweight and obesity among Chinese children and adolescents has been steadily increasing from 1985 to 2019. A complete reversal in urban-rural prevalence is expected by 2027, with a higher prevalence of overweight and obesity in rural areas. Urgent action is needed to address health inequities and increase investments, particularly policies targeting rural children and adolescents.
Humans
;
Child
;
Adolescent
;
Female
;
Male
;
Rural Population/statistics & numerical data*
;
Overweight/epidemiology*
;
Prevalence
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Pediatric Obesity/epidemiology*
;
Obesity/epidemiology*
;
Urban Population
7.Impact of parental myopia on myopia in schoolchildren and adolescents in China: A national cross-sectional survey.
Xiaoran YU ; Huan WANG ; Sheng MA ; Yanhui DONG ; Yinghua MA ; Yi SONG ; Jun MA ; Zhiyong ZOU
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(23):3168-3175
BACKGROUND:
Parental myopia is an important risk factor for myopia in Chinese children and adolescents. This study aimed to assess the influence of parental myopia and the severity of myopia on offspring and to evaluate whether adopting healthy lifestyles can mitigate the effects of parental myopia on offspring.
METHODS:
This cross-sectional study analyzed data from children and adolescents aged 6-17 years with complete vision assessments and parental history of myopia from six provinces in China during 2013-2014. Parental demographic information, children's outdoor activity time, sleep time, and sedentary time were collected via questionnaire. Parental myopia was classified as no myopia, paternal myopia, maternal myopia, and both. The offspring were categorized into 10 groups based on parental myopia prescription. Associations of the above factors with myopia in children and adolescents were evaluated by logistic regression analysis.
RESULTS:
Among 40,864 children and adolescents (50.3% boys and 49.7% girls), 22,537 (55.2%) were diagnosed with myopia. In comparison to offspring devoid of parental myopia, children with one parent affected by myopia exhibited odds ratio (OR) of 1.75 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.62-1.88) for myopia, while those with both parents affected showed OR of 2.27 (95% CI: 2.02-2.55) after adjusted for lifestyle factors. The likelihood of myopia in offspring increased with increasing severity of parental myopia, with a 3.08-fold increase in risk observed when both parents presented high myopia. Nonetheless, children adhering to two or more healthy lifestyle factors demonstrated a diminished risk of myopia compared with those with fewer than two lifestyle factors, especially among offspring of non-myopic or mildly myopic parents.
CONCLUSIONS
Parental myopia has a dose-dependent association with their offspring. Healthy lifestyles may reduce the impact of parental factors on myopia in offspring. The observed associations suggest that although the genetic burden of parental myopia cannot be ignored, healthy lifestyles and nurturing are also very important.
Humans
;
Myopia/epidemiology*
;
Child
;
Male
;
Female
;
Adolescent
;
Cross-Sectional Studies
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Parents
;
Surveys and Questionnaires
;
Risk Factors
8.Analysis and Clinical Value of Lymphocyte Subsets and Various Cytokines of Peripheral Blood in Elderly Patients with COVID-19
Binyu LI ; Xihui MA ; Rui LI ; Yunqiang MI ; Yong HAN ; Xiangrui KONG ; Yanhui ZHANG
Journal of Modern Laboratory Medicine 2024;39(2):113-118,162
Objective To explore the application value of lymphocyte subsets combined with various cytokines in the disease progression of elderly patients with corona virus disease 2019(COVID-19).Methods From December 2022 to January 2023,146 elderly patients with COVID-19 diagnosed in the emergency ward of the Eighth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital were selected and divided into two groups according to the prognosis:127 cases in the COVID-19 survival group,19 cases in the COVID-19 death group.In addition,51 osteoporosis patients in geriatric medicine department were collected as control group.The proportion and absolute count of lymphocyte subsets(including T,B and NK cells),and 12 cytokines in plasma(including IL-1β,IL-2,IL-4,IL-5,IL-6,IL-8,IL-10,IL-12p70,IL-17,TNF-α and IFN-γ)were compared between the control group and COVID-19 group,survival group and death group.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to evaluate its prognostic value in elderly patients with COVID-19 infection.Results Compared with the control group:① The proportion of NK cells in COVID-19 group was decreased,while the proportion of B cells was increased,and the differences were statistically significant(Z=-3.386,-4.140,all P<0.01).There was no significant difference in the proportion of T,CD8+T and CD4+T cells,and the differences were not statistically significant(Z=-1.244,-1.770,-0.951,all P>0.05).② The absolute numbers of T,CD8+T,CD4+T,NK and B cells in COVID-19 group were decreased,and the differences were statistically significant(Z=-9.418~-6.539,all P<0.01).③ The concentrations of IL-2,IL-6,IL-1β,IFN-γ,IL-8,IL-17,IL-12P70 and IL-10 in COVID-19 group were all increased,and the differences were statistically significant(Z=-8.851~-1.986,all P<0.05).There was no significant difference in the concentrations of IL-5,IFN-α,TNF-α and IL-4,and the differences were not statistically significant(Z=-0.460~-0.217,all P>0.05).Compared with the survival group:① There was no significant difference in the proportion of T,CD8+T,CD4+T,NK and B cells in the death group(Z=-1.873~-0.422,all P>0.05).② The absolute numbers of T,CD8+T and CD4+T cells in the death group were all decreased,and the differences were statistically significant(Z=-2.667,-2.287,-2.556,all P<0.05),while there was no significant difference in absolute numbers of NK and B cellsm and the differences were not statistically significant(Z=-1.934,-0.532,all P>0.05).③ The concentrations of IL-6,IFN-γ,IL-8,IL-17 and IL-10 in the death group were all increased,and the differences were not statistically significant(Z=-4.211~-2.655,all P<0.05),and there was no significant difference in the concentrations of IL-5,IFN-α,IL-2,IL-1β,IL-12p70,TNF-α and IL-4 the differences were not statistically significant(Z=-1.329~-0.279,all P>0.05).ROC curve analysis for the prognostic value of lymphocyte subsets combined with cytokines in elderly patients with COVID-19 showed that:the areas of total T cells,B cells and NK cells under ROC curve for predicting the prognosis of COVID-19 infection were 0.94,0.80 and 0.93,respectively.The areas of CD4+T cells and CD8+T cells under ROC curve for predicting the prognosis of COVID-19 infection were 0.93 and 0.90,respectively.The areas of IL-6,IFN-γ,IL-8,IL-17 and IL-10 in cytokines under the ROC curve for predicting the prognosis of COVID-19 infection were 0.91,0.71,0.87,0.74 and 0.90,respectively.However,the area of combined lymphocyte subsets and cytokines under ROC curve for predicting the prognosis of COVID-19 infection reached 0.99.Conclusion The immune status of elderly patients with COVID-19 was generally low.Evaluation of immune status has important clinical guidance significance in disease diagnosis,disease observation and prognosis.
9.Effects of low-dose esketamine on the median effective dose of ciprofol for anesthesia induction in painless gastrointestinal endoscopy
Yanhui MA ; Yiwen LIAN ; Fangyan LIU ; Ke HUANG ; Yitong JIA ; Fanqi MENG ; Jie WU ; Tianlong WANG
The Journal of Clinical Anesthesiology 2024;40(5):458-462
Objective To assess the effects of low-dose esketamine on the median effective dose(ED50)of ciprofol for anesthesia induction in painless gastrointestinal endoscopy.Methods Fifty-nine pa-tients underwent elective painless gastrointestinal endoscopy,26 males and 33 females,aged 18-64 years,BMI 18-30 kg/m2,ASA physical status Ⅰ or Ⅱ,were divided into two groups by random number table method:esketamine combined with ciprofol group(group EC,n = 29)and ciprofol group(group C,n = 30).Group EC received intravenous injection of esketamine 0.3 mg/kg and group C received the same amount of normal saline 2 minutes before administration of ciprofol.The initial anesthesia induction dose of ciprofol was 0.4 mg/kg.If a positive reaction occurs during the examination,the next patient will receive an increase dose of propofol 0.04 mg/kg,otherwise will decrease by propofol 0.04 mg/kg.The positive reaction was defined that the patient's BIS can not be decreased to 60 2 minutes after anesthesia induction,or the cough or body movement reaction occur at level 2 or above when entering the mirror.The dosage of ciprofol,recovery time,discharge time,the occurrence of intraoperative and postoperative adverse reactions were recorded.The ED50,95%effective dose(ED95)and 95%confidence interval(CI)of the two groups were calculated by Probit probability regression analysis.Results Compared with group C,the dosage of ciprofol,the incidence of hypotension and frequency of administration of vasoactive drugs during the exami-nation process in group EC were significantly reduced(P<0.05).The ED50 of ciprofol for anesthesia in-duction in painless gastrointestinal endoscopy in group EC was 0.21 mg/kg(95%CI 0.12-0.25 mg/kg)and the ED95 was 0.32 mg/kg(95%CI 0.26-0.39 mg/kg).The ED50 of ciprofol for anesthesia induction in painless gastrointestinal endoscopy in group C was 0.37 mg/kg(95%CI 0.32-0.40 mg/kg)and the ED95 was 0.48 mg/kg(95%CI 0.43-0.54 mg/kg).The ED50 and ED95 of ciprofol for anesthesia induction in painless gastrointestinal endoscopy in group EC was significantly lower than that in group C(P<0.05).There was no significant difference in other frequency of adverse events between the two groups.Conclusion Esketamine 0.3 mg/kg can reduce the ED50 of ciprofol in painless gastrointestinal endoscopy and reduce the dosage of ciprofol during the examination process,which is safe for painless gastrointestinal endoscopy with stable intraoperative circulation.
10.Analysis of influential factors for residual low back pain in older adult patients with osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fractures after surgery and construction of a predictive model
Yan WANG ; Xiangcheng FAN ; Yanhui MA ; Yu ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Primary Medicine and Pharmacy 2024;31(10):1495-1501
Objective:To analyze the factors associated with residual low back pain in older adults with osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fractures after surgery, and to construct a predictive model based on the collected data and assess its effectiveness.Methods:The clinical data of 101 older adult patients with osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fractures who underwent surgical treatment at Xi 'an International Medical Center Hospital from January 2020 to December 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into two groups based on the presence or absence of low back pain after surgery: those with low back pain and those without.Postoperative pain intensity was recorded in detail. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent influential factors. In addition, a predictive model was constructed and its accuracy and prediction ability were tested.Results:Among 101 patients with osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fractures, 43 (42.57%) experienced low back pain after surgery, while 58 (57.43%) did not. Univariate analysis revealed that patients with low back pain were older compared with those without low back pain [(67.81 ± 3.65) years vs. (64.21 ± 3.11) years, t = 5.34]. Patients with low back pain had a higher level of education, with 62.79% holding a college degree or higher compared to 41.38% of patients without low back pain (χ2 = 4.52). The prevalence of psychological disorders was higher in patients with low back pain compared with those without low back pain (39.53% vs. 20.69%, χ2 = 4.28), as was the proportion of patients who smoke (34.88% vs. 13.79%, χ2 = 6.25). Additionally, the proportion of patients with a history of fractures was greater in patients with low back pain compared with those without low back pain (25.58% vs. 10.34%, χ2 = 4.09). The bone density in patients with low back pain was lower than that in patients without low back pain [(3.18 ± 0.48) g/cm3 vs. (3.67 ± 0.43) g/cm3, t = -5.38]. The American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification was also higher in patients with low back pain, with proportions of ASA Ⅰ, Ⅱ, Ⅲ, and Ⅳ being 18.60%, 25.58%, 32.56%, and 23.26% compared with 34.48%, 37.93%, 20.69%, and 6.90% in patients without low back pain (χ2 = 9.51). The volume of bone cement injected was lower in patients with low back pain than in those without low back pain [(4.62 ± 0.21) mL vs. (4.85 ± 0.18) mL, t = -5.91]. The incidence of cement leakage was higher in patients with low back pain than in those without low back pain (18.60% vs. 1.72%, χ2 = 6.71). All differences were statistically significant (all P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that age and cement leakage were independent risk factors for residual low back pain ( OR = 1.634, 3.379, both P < 0.05), while bone density and the amount of injected cement were protective factors against residual low back pain ( OR = 0.017, 0.003, both P < 0.05). Model validation showed that the regression model had good fit (Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 = 6.73, P > 0.05). A risk prediction model was constructed based on the selected variables, yielding a C-index of 0.792. Using the independent variables and P values, a receiver operating characteristic curve was generated to predict the likelihood of low back pain in patients, with areas under the curve of 0.749, 0.754, 0.754, 0.642, and 0.945, respectively. Conclusion:Residual low back pain after surgery in older adult patients with osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fractures is associated with age, bone density, volume of bone cement injected, and cement leakage. The constructed nomogram model, based on these factors, demonstrates good predictive capability for residual low back pain in this population.


Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail