Objective: To investigate the prevalence of hepatitis B and hepatitis C in Hotan Prefecture, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, so as to provide insights into prevention and intervention strategies for viral hepatitis for these populations. Methods: Data on hepatitis B and hepatitis C cases in Hotan Prefecture from 2016 to 2022 were collected through the Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System. The temporal, demographic and regional distribution characteristics of hepatitis B and hepatitis C incidence were analyzed using the descriptively epidemiological method. The trends in the incidence of hepatitis B and hepatitis C from 2016 to 2022 were analyzed using average annual percent change (AAPC). Results: A total of 8 910 hepatitis B cases and 4 106 hepatitis C cases were reported in Hotan Prefecture from 2016 to 2022, with average annual incidences of 55.60/105 and 25.61/105, respectively. The average annual incidence of hepatitis B in males was 66.78/105, which was higher than that in females (43.83/105, P<0.05). The average annual incidence of hepatitis C in males was 25.70/105, while in females it was 25.36/105, with no statistically significant difference (P>0.05). With increasing age, the incidence of hepatitis B showed an "M"-shaped trend, with the highest average annual incidence in the age group of 20-<30 years (97.20/105); the incidence of hepatitis C first increased and then decreased, with the highest average annual incidence in the age group of 70-<80 years (102.50/105). The majority of the cases were farmers/migrant workers, with 5 610 (62.96%) and 2 963 cases (72.16%), respectively. The top three counties with higher average annual incidences of hepatitis B were Minfeng County (84.78/105), Karakax County (81.69/105) and Lop County (72.20/105), and the top three counties with higher average annual incidences of hepatitis C were Pishan County (46.92/105), Karakax County (35.62/105) and Hotan County (26.31/105). The incidences of hepatitis B and hepatitis C in Hotan Prefecture showed downward trends from 2016 to 2022 (AAPC=-10.711% and -16.594%, both P<0.05), with consistent trends observed in Hotan City, Hotan County, Pishan County and Qira County (all P<0.05). Conclusions From 2016 to 2022, the incidences of hepatitis B and hepatitis C in Hotan Prefecture both showed downward trends. Young and middle-aged adults, males, and farmers/migrant workers were the high-risk populations for hepatitis B, while middle-aged and elderly adults and farmers/migrant workers were the high-risk populations for hepatitis C.

Objective:To analyze the temporal trends of the incidence rate of tuberculosis (TB) in Shaanxi Province and provide a reference for WHO to control the prevalence of TB effectively.Methods:Joinpoint regression was used to analyze the trend of the incidence rate of TB in Shaanxi Province from 2004 to 2022, and the seasonal autoregressive moving average model was used to forecast the incidence rate of TB in Shaanxi Province to 2030.Results:The incidence rate of TB in Shaanxi Province decreased from 90.896/100 000 in 2004 to 35.364/100 000 in 2022, showing a general downward trend (AAPC=-7.72%, P<0.001). From 2014 to 2019, the reduction trend slowed down (APC=-0.69%, P=0.814), of which the largest decline occurred from 2019 to 2022 (APC=-13.26%, P=0.010). The predicted incidence rate of TB in Shaanxi Province from 2020 to 2022 was higher than the reported incidence rate, with the expected incidence rate of 51.342/100 000 in 2022 and 43.468/100 000 in 2030. Conclusion:The incidence rate of TB in Shaanxi Province shows a downward trend from 2004 to 2022, but the decline has shrunk in recent years. It is predicted that the downward trend will continue to slow down by 2030.

Objective:To analyze the temporal trends of the incidence rate of tuberculosis (TB) in Shaanxi Province and provide a reference for WHO to control the prevalence of TB effectively.Methods:Joinpoint regression was used to analyze the trend of the incidence rate of TB in Shaanxi Province from 2004 to 2022, and the seasonal autoregressive moving average model was used to forecast the incidence rate of TB in Shaanxi Province to 2030.Results:The incidence rate of TB in Shaanxi Province decreased from 90.896/100 000 in 2004 to 35.364/100 000 in 2022, showing a general downward trend (AAPC=-7.72%, P<0.001). From 2014 to 2019, the reduction trend slowed down (APC=-0.69%, P=0.814), of which the largest decline occurred from 2019 to 2022 (APC=-13.26%, P=0.010). The predicted incidence rate of TB in Shaanxi Province from 2020 to 2022 was higher than the reported incidence rate, with the expected incidence rate of 51.342/100 000 in 2022 and 43.468/100 000 in 2030. Conclusion:The incidence rate of TB in Shaanxi Province shows a downward trend from 2004 to 2022, but the decline has shrunk in recent years. It is predicted that the downward trend will continue to slow down by 2030.