1.A nomogram model for predicting the 28-day death of patients with septic shock based on serum growth differentiation factor 11 and killer cell lectin-like receptor B1 was constructed.
Zhenzhen SANG ; Xiuyan PANG ; Jie CUI ; Weifeng WANG ; Xin RAO
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(10):909-915
OBJECTIVE:
To observe change in serum growth differentiation factor 11 (GDF11) and killer cell lectin-like receptor B1 (KLRB1), to construct a nomogram model for 28-day death in patients with septic shock, and to explore its predictive value.
METHODS:
A prospective observational study was conducted. The patients with septic shock admitted to the emergency intensive care unit (ICU) of Cangzhou Central Hospital from September 2023 to March 2025 were selected as the septic shock group, the patients with sepsis admitted to the emergency general ward during the same period were selected as the sepsis group, and healthy individuals undergoing physical examination during the same period were selected as the control group. On the day of hospital admission or physical examination for the research subjects, the levels of serum GDF11 and KLRB1 were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The patients with septic shock were divided into survival and death groups based on their 28-day survival status. The patients' gender, age, past medical history, infection site, severity of illness, mechanical ventilation, blood purification, infection indicators, biochemical indicators, coagulation function indicators, and blood lactic acid (Lac) were collected. The clinical data of the patients with septic shock between the two groups with different prognoses were compared. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to screen the risk factors for 28-day death in patients with septic shock, and bivariate Pearson correlation analysis was conducted. A nomogram model was constructed based on the risk factors for 28-day death in patients with septic shock. The discrimination and calibration of the nomogram model were evaluated using the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve), Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, and calibration curve. The clinical utility of the model was evaluated using clinical decision curve analysis (DCA).
RESULTS:
A total of 168 patients in the emergency ICU were enrolled in the septic shock group, 40 patients in the emergency general ward were enrolled in the sepsis group, and 40 healthy individuals were enrolled in the control group. Compared with the healthy control group, the serum GDF11 levels in the sepsis and septic shock groups were significantly increased (μg/L: 13.09±3.51, 19.28±5.36 vs. 4.17±0.92, both P < 0.05), and the serum KLRB1 levels were significantly decreased (ng/L: 57.36±11.28, 45.52±9.07 vs. 84.19±17.16, both P < 0.05), with more significant changes in the septic shock group (both P < 0.05). Among the 168 patients with septic shock, 96 survived and 72 died within 28 days. Compared with the survival group, the serum GDF11 level in the death group was significantly increased (μg/L: 24.24±4.81 vs. 15.56±4.62, P < 0.05), and the serum KLRB1 level was significantly decreased (ng/L: 28.53±8.69 vs. 58.26±9.45, P < 0.05). There were also statistically significant differences in sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHEII) score, procalcitonin (PCT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), D-dimer, and Lac between the two groups. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that SOFA score [odds ratio (OR) = 1.96, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.38-3.65), Lac (OR = 1.38, 95%CI was 1.09-2.01), GDF11 (OR = 1.54, 95%CI was 1.21-2.33) and KLRB1 (OR = 0.64, 95%CI was 0.41-0.78) were independent risk factors for 28-day death in patients with septic shock (all P < 0.05). Bivariate Pearson correlation analysis showed that SOFA score was significantly positively correlated with Lac and GDF11 (r value was 0.37 and 0.58, respectively, both P < 0.05), and significantly negatively correlated with KLRB1 (r = -0.72, P < 0.05). A nomogram model was constructed based on the risk factors for 28-day death in patients with septic shock. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the nomogram model for predicting 28-day death in patients with septic shock was 0.963 (95%CI was 0.929-0.990), indicating that the model had good discrimination and predictive ability. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test (χ 2 = 9.578, P = 0.295) and calibration curve indicated that the predicted values of the model were in good agreement with the actual values. DCA indicated that the model provided a high net benefit for clinical decision-making.
CONCLUSIONS
The serum GDF11 level was significantly increased and the KLRB1 level was significantly decreased in patients with septic shock. The nomogram model based on GDF11 and KLRB1 could more accurately evaluate the 28-day death of patients with septic shock.
Humans
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Shock, Septic/blood*
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Nomograms
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Prospective Studies
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Prognosis
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Male
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Female
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Middle Aged
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Aged
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Intensive Care Units
2.Promotion effect of chemokine CCL19-induced macrophage M1 polarization on chronic pancreatitis in mice and its mechanism
Lianzhi CUI ; Xiaowei ZHANG ; Yue ZHAI ; Yue PAN ; Xiuyan YU ; Hua ZHU
Journal of Jilin University(Medicine Edition) 2024;50(6):1587-1596
Objective:To discuss the promotion effect of chemokine C-C motif ligand 19(CCL19)induced macrophage M1 polarization on chronic pancreatitis of the mice,and to clarify its related mechanism.Methods:Ten male C57BL/6N mice were selected,and the pancreatic acinar cells and peritoneal macrophages were extracted from these mice to construct the macrophage-acinar cell co-culture system.The co-culture system cells were divided into control group,model group,and small interfering RNA CCL19(si-CCL19)group.The morphology of the acinar cells in various groups were observed under microscope.Forty mice were randomly selected and divided into normal group and chronic pancreatitis group,and there were 20 mice in each group.HE staining was used to observe the pathomorphology of pancreatic tissue of the mice in two groups;immunofluorescence staining was used to observe the expressions of cytokeratin 19(CK19),amylase,M1 macrophage-related markers inducible nitric oxide synthase(iNOS),and F4/80 in pancreatic tissue of the mice in two groups and morphology of follicular cells and the expressions of CK19,amylase in the co-culture system cells in various groups;enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA)was used to detect the levels of tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α),interleukin(IL)-6,and IL-1β in serum of the mice in two groups and in the co-culture system cells in various groups;immunohistochemistry was used to observe the expression of CCL19 protein in pancreatic tissue of the mice in two groups;Western blotting method was used to detect the expression levels of CCL19 protein and two nuclear factor-κB(NF-κB)signaling pathway-related proteins P65,phosphorylate P65(p-P65),kappa B inhibitor of kinase α/β(IKKα/β),phosphorylated IKKα/β(p-IKKα/β),IkBα,phosphorylated IκBα(p-IκBα)in pancreatic tissue of the mice in two groups and in the co-culture system cells in various groups.Results:The HE staining results showed that the acinar cells in pancreatic tissue of the mice in normal group were tightly arranged;compared with normal group,the acinar cells of the mice in chronic pancreatitis group showed obvious vacuolation and acinar cell ductal metaplasia,indicating successful preparation of the mouse pancreatitis model.The immunofluorescence staining results showed that compared with control group,the acinar cells in model group exhibited severe vacuolation,the CK19 expression was significantly increased,and the amylase expression was significantly decreased;compared with model group,the acinar cell ductal metaplasia in si-CCL19 group was decreased,the CK19 expression was significantly decreased,and the amylase expression was significantly increased;compared with normal group,the expression of amylase in pancreatic tissue of the mice in chronic pancreatitis group was significantly decreased,while the expressions of CK19 and M1 macrophage markers iNOS and F4/80 were significantly increased.The ELISA results showed that compared with normal group,the serum levels of TNF-α,IL-6,and IL-1β of the mice in chronic pancreatitis group were significantly increased(P<0.05);compared with control group,the levels of TNF-α,IL-6,and IL-1β in the cells in model group were significantly increased(P<0.05);compared with model group,the levels of TNF-α,IL-6,and IL-1β in the cells in si-CCL19 group were significantly decreased(P<0.05).The immunohistochemistry results showed that compared with normal group,the expression of CCL19 protein in pancreatic tissue of the mice in chronic pancreatitis group was significantly increased.The Western blotting results showed that compared with normal group,the expression levels of CCL19 protein and NF-κB signaling pathway-related proteins p-P65,p-IKKα/β,and p-IκBα in pancreatic tissue of the mice in chronic pancreatitis group were significantly increased(P<0.05);compared with control group,the expression levels of CCL19,p-IKKα/β,p-P65,and p-IκBα proteins in the cells in model group were significantly increased(P<0.05);compared with model group,the expression levels of CCL19,p-IKKα/β,p-P65,and p-IκBα proteins in the cells in si-CCL19 group were decreased(P<0.05).Conclusion:CCL19 promotes the macrophage M1 polarization through the NF-κB signaling pathway,induces the formation of inflammatory microenvironment,and promotes the occurrence and development of pancreatitis.
3.A multicenter study of fracture in patients with rheumatoid arthritis in China
Lizhi WANG ; Caihong WANG ; Xiaofeng LI ; Xiangcong ZHAO ; Wenpeng ZHAO ; Xiuru WANG ; Yin SU ; Yuan AN ; Yunshan ZHOU ; Ping ZHU ; Lina CHEN ; Guochun WANG ; Xin LU ; Hongtao JIN ; Yongfu WANG ; Rong YANG ; Zhuoli ZHANG ; Guangtao LI ; Xiangyuan LIU ; Lin SUN ; Fengxiao ZHANG ; Jiemei TAO ; Zhenbin LI ; Jing YANG ; Jinying LIN ; Meiqiu WEI ; Liufu CUI ; Rong SHU ; Xiaomin LIU ; Dan KE ; Shaoxian HU ; Cong YE ; Xiuyan YANG ; Hao LI ; Cibo HUANG ; Ming GAO ; Bei LAI ; Xingfu LI ; Lijun SONG ; Zhanguo LI
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2012;16(2):102-106
ObjectiveTo examine the clinical features of fractures and related risk factors in patients with rheumatoid arthritis(RA) in China.MethodsSix hundred and eighty-one RA patients were randomly selected from department of rheumatology of 18 hospitals of China.Data were obtained from the questionnaire,including age,sex,disease duration,the involvement of joints,treatment regimen,features of fractures etc.The possible risk factors of fracture in patients with RA were analyzed with a multi-variate Logistic regression analysis.Results① In 681 RA patients of the survey,48 patients had 54 fractures,and the incidence of fractures was about 8%.② Fractures occurred at various sites.Foot/ankle,femur,spine and wrist were the mostfrequent sites.③ The Logistic regression analysis showed that several factors increased the risk of fracture in RA patients,including long disease duration (OR:1.245,95%CI:0.987-1.570,P=0.065),male gender(OR:0.433,95%CI:0.199-0.942,P=0.035),more deformed joints(OR:1.042,95%CI:1.006-1.079,P=0.023),family history of RA (OR:2.201,95%CI:0.984-4.923,P=0.055),and high scores of SF-36(OR:1.017,95%CI:1.002-1.033,P=0.028).④ According to the degree of correlation from strong to weak,the risk factors of fracture were disease duration,SF-36,sex,number of deformed joints and family history of rheumatoid arthritis.ConclusionThe incidence of fracture is high in patients with rheumatoid arthritis.Several factors could increase the risk of fractures in RA patients,including long disease duration,male gender,more deformed joints,and family history of RA.In order to prevent the occurrence of fractures,cautions should be taken to prevent the development of fractures and treat the disease aggressively to suppress the disease activity of RA.
4.A multicenter study of costs of drugs in rheumatoid arthritis in China
Xiuru WANG ; Yin SU ; Yuan AN ; Yunshan ZHOU ; Lizhi WANG ; Caihong WANG ; Xiaofeng LI ; Lina CHEN ; Ping ZHU ; Xin LU ; Guochun WANG ; Hongtao JIN ; Rong YANG ; Yongfu WANG ; Guangtao LI ; Zhuoli ZHANG ; Lin SUN ; Xiangyuan LIU ; Jiemei TAO ; Fengxiao ZHANG ; Jing YANG ; Zhenbin LI ; Meiqiu WEI ; Jinying LIN ; Rong SHU ; Liufu CUI ; Dan KE ; Xiaomin LIU ; Cong YE ; Shaoxian HU ; Hao LI ; Xiuyan YANG ; Bei LAI ; Ming GAO ; Cibo HUANG ; Lijun SONG ; Xingfa LI ; Zhanguo LI
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2010;14(6):368-372
Objective To describe the distribution of medication costs of rheumatoid arthritis patients, and to analyze the factors that may affect the costs. Methods Data were obtained from a 12-month retrospective investigation of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) across China. Department of Rheuma-tology of 18 hospitals were randomly selected. The data about their social conditions, clinical conditions, medications associated with RA such as disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs), non -steroidal anti -inflammtory drugs (NSAIDs), steroids, biologic agents were collected, and the costs of drugs were calculated. A non-parameter test and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed. Results Six hundred and forty six patients were enrolled into the study, 435 completed data were chosen for analysis. The results demonstrated that the average costs per patient for medications in the past year was 8018 . The total medication costs were further subdivided into the following parts: DMARDs, (represented 20% of the total costs), biologic drugs (49%), NSAIDs (4%), herbal drugs (22%), steroids (1%). Data analysis showed that patients with higher education and higher incomes, with medical insurance,better health function status and outpatients paid more on DMARDs. Extra-articular manifestations increased the odds of the high-cost group (OR: 2.180, 95%CI: 1.335~3.558, P=0.002), while poor health function status increased the probability of paying high costs (OR: 1.373, 95%CI: 1.012~1.863, P=0.041). Conclusion High medication costs in RA do exist in RA patients. The costs of medication is associated with health function status and the presence of extra-articular manifestations.
5.Protective effects of physcion on cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury in rats
Ping ZHANG ; Likai SU ; Dechao WANG ; Yangchen ZHAO ; Xiaofang LI ; Zhangqun YANG ; Xiuyan CUI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2005;9(13):240-242
BACKGROUND: Interleukin-1 (IL-1β) and intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1 ) can mediate neutrophilic infiltration, which is closely relevant to cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury.OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effect of physcion on cerebral inflammatory reaction after ischemia-reperfusion injury.DESIGN: A completely randomized study based on animals.SETTING: Neurological department in a university hospital.MATERIALS: From September to December 2003, the study was conducted in the Animal Laboratory, Hebei Staff and Workers Medical College. Totally 91 healthy male SD rats, supplied by Laboratory Animal Center of Hebei Medical University, were used in the experiments. They were divided into sham operation (SO) group, ischemia-reperfusion group, normal control group, 20 mg/kg physcion group and 40 mg/kg physcion group.Each of the former two groups would be divided into 4 subgroups named as the 6th-hour-after-reperfusion group, the 12th-hour-after-reperfusion group, the 24th-hour-after-reperfusion group and the 48th-hour-after-reperfusion group. Each of the latter two groups were divided into 2 subgroups named as the 12thhour-after-reperfusion group and the 24th-hour-after-reperfusion group. Each subgroup contained 7 rats.INTERVENTIONS: Middle cerebral artery occlusion model (MCAO model) was applied, and IL-1β was measured by radioimmunoassay and ICAM-1 was detected by immunohistochemical staining.MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: The IL-1 β level and the positive expression of ICAM-1 in the rats' cerebella were observed.RESULTS: Cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury in the rats reached its peak 6 hours after reperfusion, and then it decreased gradually. In the 12-hour-after-reperfusion subgroup amd the 24-hour-after-reperfusion subgroup of the 40 mg/kg physcion group, and the 12-hour-after-reperfusion subgroup of the 20 mg/kg physcion group, IL-1β in the injured parts of the cerebella decreased dramatically, compared with MCAO model controls ( P< 0.01 ). In the normal control group and SO group, a small quantity of ICAM-1 was detected in rat' s cerebral cortex, and some fulvous staining substance was observed in the plasma and membrane of cerebral vascular endothelium cells. In the cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury group, positive staining substance could be observed 24 hours after the reperfusion, then darkened gradually (integral absorbency value: 31.89 ± 4.38, area density value: 0. 018 5 ± 0. 003 1). In the 12-hour-after-reperfusion subgroup of the 40 mg/kg physcion group (integral absorbency value: 13.33 ±6. 12, area density value: 0. 007 6 ± 0. 002 2) and the 24-hour-after-reperfusion subgroup of the 40 mg/kg physcion group (integral absorbency value: 20.04 ±4.65,area density value: 0. 012 9 ±0. 003 6), and in the 24-hour-after-reperfusion subgroup of the 20 mg/kg physcion group (integral absorbency value:23.73 ±4.51 area density value: 0. 014 1 ±0. 003 8), expressions of ICAM-1 around the infarctions significantly decreased as compared with those in the MCAO model controls respectively ( P < 0.01 or P < 0.05).CONCLUSION: Physcion tends to decrease the expressing of IL-1β and ICAM-1 in a cerebellum after ischemia-reperfusion injury, thus, it may help alleviate the ischemia-reperfusion injury.
6.Protective effects of physcion against cerebral injury induced by ischemiareperfusion in rats
Ping ZHANG ; Likai SU ; Huimin LI ; Yongchen ZHAO ; Zhangqun YANG ; Xiuyan CUI
Chinese Journal of Pathophysiology 1999;0(09):-
AIM: To explore the effect of physcion (P) on the level of IL-1? and expression of ICAM-1 and caspase-3 during cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury. METHODS: The 91 healthy adult SD rats were selected, and were randomly divided into normal group, sham-operated group, cerebral ischemia-reperfusion group (model), low-dose physcion (PLD) and high-dose physcion (PHD) treatment group. The level of IL-1? was detected by radioimmunoassay. The expression of ICAM-1 and caspase-3 was detected by immunohistochemistry. The changes of tissue pathology were also investigated. RESULTS: The level of IL-1? reached the peak at 6 h after ischemia-reperfusion (IR). The protein expression of ICAM-1 and caspase-3 reached the peak at 24 h after IR. The level of IL-1? and the protein expression of ICAM-1 and caspase-3 in PHD group decreased obviously compared with those in model group (P

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