1.Comparative study of SARIMA and seasonal index model in predicting non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning
Wantong HAN ; Yongqiang ZHANG ; Shichang DU ; Wei WANG ; Kai QU ; Xin HE ; Cixian XU ; Xiumei SUN ; Qiran SUN ; Jinyao ZHANG ; Fan BU ; Xingui SUN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):12-16
Objective To establish a prediction model for the occurrence of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events in Beijing, and to provide scientific basis and theoretical support for the prevention and warning of poisoning events. Methods Based on the monitoring data of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events in Beijing from 2016 to 2024, the seasonal ARIMA model and seasonal index model were established to analyze the data and predict the occurrence of events. Results Between 2016 and 2024, a total of 436 cases of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning were reported in Beijing, showing a downward trend. The established SARIMA model and seasonal index model were SARIMA (1,0,0) (1,1,0) 12, Yt = (-0.0339t+5.8863) × St, and the average relative errors were 65.42% and 29.19%, respectively. In terms of months, the SARIMA model had better predictive performance during April and summer (June to August), while the seasonal index model was superior in other months. By combining the two models, the predicted number of events in 2025 was as follows: 3, 2, 2, 3, 1, 5, 2, 7, 1, 1, 1, and 2. Conclusion The seasonal index model has the best prediction effect on the non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events in Beijing throughout the year, and the number of summer events predicted by SARIMA model is closer to the actual values. The two models can be combined to predict the trend of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning, which provides a scientific basis for the prevention and control of carbon monoxide poisoning in the future.
2.Electroacupuncture at neuro-arterial stimulation points for post-stroke shoulder-hand syndrome: a randomized controlled trial.
Man ZHANG ; Zhifang XU ; Meidan ZHAO ; Xiumei YIN ; Jiazhu WU ; Zhixin LIU ; Yuanhao DU
Chinese Acupuncture & Moxibustion 2025;45(9):1241-1247
OBJECTIVE:
To compare the clinical efficacy of electroacupuncture (EA) at neuro-arterial stimulation points with topical western medication in treating post-stroke shoulder-hand syndrome (SHS).
METHODS:
A total of 72 patients with post-stroke SHS were randomly assigned to an observation group (n=36, 2 cases dropped out) and a control group (n=36, 3 cases dropped out). Both groups received standard neurological treatment, comprehensive rehabilitation, and physical therapy. The observation group received EA at neuro-arterial stimulation points, including the ipsilateral stellate ganglion point, vagus nerve trunk and auricular branch (left side), and stimulation points of the radial and ulnar arteries, radial nerve, ulnar nerve, and median nerve, once daily for 4 weeks. The control group was treated with topical diclofenac diethylamine emulgel, and mucopolysaccharide polysulfate cream was added for patients with pronounced early-stage edema, twice a day for 4 weeks. The VAS pain score and hand edema volume were recorded before treatment, at 2 and 4 weeks during treatment, and 2 weeks after treatment completion (follow-up). Musculoskeletal ultrasound was used to measure the thickness of the dorsal hand and middle finger skin on the affected side before and after 4 weeks of treatment.
RESULTS:
Compared before treatment, the VAS pain scores and edema volume of the affected hand in both groups were decreased at week 2, week 4, and follow-up (P<0.05). At week 4, both groups showed lower VAS pain scores and edema volume than those at week 2 (P<0.05); during follow-up, both VAS pain scores and edema volume were further reduced compared to those at week 4 (P<0.05). At week 2, week 4, and follow-up, the VAS scores and edema volume of the affected hand in the observation group were lower than those in the control group (P<0.05). Compared before treatment, the dorsal hand skin thickness and middle finger skin thickness on the affected side were decreased in both groups after 4 weeks of treatment (P<0.05). Compared with the control group, the observation group showed thinner dorsal hand and middle finger skin thickness after 4 weeks of treatment (P<0.05).
CONCLUSION
EA at neuro-arterial stimulation points effectively alleviates pain and edema in patients with post-stroke SHS, and demonstrates superior efficacy compared to topical western medication.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Electroacupuncture
;
Aged
;
Stroke/complications*
;
Acupuncture Points
;
Adult
;
Reflex Sympathetic Dystrophy/physiopathology*
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Hand
3.Exploration on the Mechanism of Mild Moxibustion Intervention on Gynecological Cold Coagulation and Blood Stasis Syndrome Based on GnRH and Its Receptor Mediated HPO Axis
Xuan ZHANG ; Jiaxin LIU ; Chen XIA ; Yanfen SHE ; Xiumei CHENG ; Xinhua LI ; Di WANG
Chinese Journal of Information on Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;32(2):113-119
Objective To observe the effect of mild moxibustion at"Qihai","Guanyuan"and"Zhongji"on GnRH and its receptor in rats with gynecological cold coagulation and blood stasis syndrome(CCBS);To explore the mechanism of moxibustion on reproductive function of gynecological CCBS.Methods Totally 48 female SD rats were randomly divided into blank group,model group,moxibustion group,inhibitor group,inhibitor+moxibustion group and angonist group,with 8 rats in each group.The gynecological CCBS model was prepared by ice bath and adrenalin injection.GnRHant or GnRHa injection and mild moxibustion intervention were given to each treatment group.The score of CCBS symptoms and the amount of microcirculation blood perfusion in uterus were detected,the morphology of ovarian tissue and uterine tissue were observed by HE staining,serum reproductive hormones(GnRH,FSH,LH)and neurotransmitters(DA,GABA)contents were detected by ELISA,the expressions of GnRHR,FSHR and LHR mRNA and protein in ovarian and uterine tissue were detected by immunohistochemistry,RT-qPCR and Western blot.Results Compared with the blank group,the symptom score of CCBS in model group was significantly increased,the amount of microcirculation blood perfusion in uterus was decreased,the ovarian follicles were decreased,and the endometrial epithelium was thinner and the structure was chaotic,the contents of serum GnRH,FSH,LH,GABA decreased,DA content increased;the mRNA and protein expressions of GnRHR,FSHR and LHR in ovarian tissue decreased(P<0.01).Compared with the model group,the symptom score of CCBS in each intervention group were significantly decreased,the amount of microcirculation blood perfusion in uterus increased,ovarian follicles increased,endometrium thickened and glands increased,the contents of serum GnRH,FSH,LH,GABA increased,DA content decreased;the mRNA and protein expressions of GnRHR,FSHR and LHR were increased(P<0.05,P<0.01).Conclusion Moxibustion can regulate GnRH and its receptor and improve HPO axis function by regulating neurotransmitters,so as to improve the general state and reproductive function of gynecological CCBS model rats.
4.MRI quantified uterine indictors in late pregnancy for predicting uterine inertia in delivery
Xin ZHANG ; Nannan LI ; Juju LI ; Xiumei KOU ; Chunqi XU ; Rui YAN
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging Technology 2025;41(1):109-112
Objective To observe the value of MRI quantified uterine indictors in late pregnancy for predicting uterine inertia in delivery.Methods A total of 182 pregnant women were retrospectively collected and were divided into uterine inertia group(inertia group,n=67)and non-uterine inertia group(non-inertia group,n=115)based on delivery or cesarean section records.MRI quantified uterine indicators were compared between groups,and those being statistically different were included to build a multivariate logistic regression model for predicting uterine inertia in delivery.The predictive performance of this model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and the area under the curve(AUC).Results The inertia group had more previous uterine surgeries,also higher proportion of in vitro fertilization and embryo transfer(IVF-ET)and cesarean sections compared to the non-inertia group(all P<0.05).In late pregnancy,the longitudinal diameter of the uterus,cervical length and the thickness of the myometrium at the placental attachment site in inertia group were larger than those in non-inertia group(all P<0.05).Increased times of previous uterine surgeries,undergoing IVF-ET,as well as increased longitudinal diameter of the uterus and cervical length in late pregnancy were all independent predictors of uterine inertia in delivery(all P<0.05).AUC of the multivariate logistic regression model established based on the above factors for predicting uterine inertia in delivery was 0.733.Conclusion MRI quantified uterine indictors in late pregnancy could be used to predict uterine inertia in delivery.
5.Effect of UGT8 on colorectal cancer cell proliferation and migration and its correlation with SOX9 expression
Pang YIXIN ; Li WENQING ; Yao QILONG ; Wang YU ; Zhang XIUMEI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Oncology 2025;52(12):595-602
Objective:To investigate the effect of uridine diphosphate ceramide galactosyltransferase 8(UGT8)on colorectal cancer(CRC)cell growth and migration,elucidate an underlying mechanism,and assess the potential regulatory role of SRY-box transcription factor 9(SOX9)on UGT8.Methods:UGT8 and SOX9 mRNA expression levels in CRC tissues,and correlation between their expression levels,were analyzed using GEPIA2,UALCAN,and TIMER 2.0 online databases.UGT8 and SOX9 protein expression in CRC and adjacent tissues was detec-ted using immunohistochemistry,and relationships between their expression and clinicopathological characteristics were analyzed.Impact of UGT8 knockdown on CRC cell proliferation was assessed using a CCK-8 assay,and cell migration was evaluated using Transwell and wound healing assays.Western blot was performed to detect expression of epithelial-mesenchymal transition(EMT)markers(E-cadherin and ZEB1).RT-qPCR and Western blot were used to measure UGT8 mRNA and protein expression levels after SOX9 knockdown.The JASPAR online database was used to assess SOX9 potential for binding to the UGT8 promoter.Results:Bioinformatics analyses revealed significantly higher mRNA expression levels of both UGT8 and SOX9 in CRC tissues than in normal tissues.Positive correlation was observed between expres-sion levels.Immunohistochemistry results showed that tumor UGT8 and SOX9 protein levels were significantly higher than those in adjacent tissues.UGT8 protein level was found to correlates with N stage,and SOX9 protein level correlated with T stage.A positive correlation was observed between UGT8 and SOX9 expression levels.Following UGT8 knockdown,cell proliferation capacity was attenuated and cell migra-tion ability was reduced.E-cadherin expression concurrently increased and ZEB1 expression decreased.RT-qPCR and Western blot results showed that SOX9 knockdown significantly reduced UGT8 mRNA and protein levels.The JASPER website predicts that SOX9 will bind to the UGT8 promoter.Conclusions:UGT8 and SOX9 are highly expressed in CRC tissues,and their expression levels correlate with clinicopatholo-gical features.UGT8 and SOX9 expression levels display significant positive correlation.Mechanistically,UGT8 promotes CRC cell prolifera-tion and migration by facilitating epithelial-mesenchymal transition(EMT).SOX9 enhances UGT8 mRNA and protein expression and may bind to the UGT8 promoter region.
6.Progress of research on clinical treatment of renal tuberculosis
Xiaoshan LI ; Yuyang ZHANG ; Xiumei LI ; Tiantian HOU ; Panfeng SHANG
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(15):2395-2400
Drug therapy and surgical treatment are the two primary methods for treating renal tuberculosis.With the increase in drug-resistant strains,some novel anti-tuberculosis drugs,such as Delamanid and Bedaquiline,are being developed and gradually applied in clinical practice.Surgical treatment is suitable for patients with poor re-sponses to drug therapy and those who develop complications.Surgical methods include nephrectomy and partial nephrectomy.As the goal of preserving renal function as much as possible becomes more important,minimally in-vasive treatments have been adopted,with significant contributions from percutaneous nephrostomy and ureteral stent placement.Additionally,immunotherapy has emerged as a new direction,with immunomodulators such as interferons and interleukins under investigation.This article discusses the status and research progress in the treat-ment of renal tuberculosis,aiming to provide a theoretical basis for future treatments.
7.Staging system for renal tuberculosis and prognostic analysis of treatment at different stages
Chenhao GUO ; Xiao LU ; Yuyang ZHANG ; Rui ZHANG ; Wei QIN ; Linping QI ; Xiumei LI ; Panfeng SHANG
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(8):581-586
Objective:To investigate the staging criteria of renal tuberculosis,and to analyze the diagnostic and therapeutic characteristics as well as prognostic outcomes at different stages.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 134 patients with renal tuberculosis who were admitted to the Second Hospital of Lanzhou University between January 2019 and December 2023.The study cohort included 62 males and 72 females,with a mean age of(46.63 ± 13.52)years and a mean body mass index(BMI)of(22.85 ± 3.73)kg/m 2. A total of 107 patients resided in rural areas. Sixty patients had a history of pulmonary tuberculosis. Tuberculous lesions were located in the left kidney in 72 cases and in the right kidney in 62 cases. The main presenting complaints included irritative lower urinary tract symptoms in 85 patients and systemic symptoms in 92 patients. Ureteral involvement was observed in 97 patients,bladder involvement in 32 patients,and genital involvement in 9 patients. Based on computed tomography(CT)findings,the number,extent,and degree of renal destruction caused by tuberculous lesions were comprehensively evaluated in axial,coronal,and sagittal planes. The primary staging criteria included lesion diameter(2 cm)and the proportion of renal volume involved by the lesion(one-third,one-half,and two-thirds). Renal tuberculosis was classified into three stages and six subtypes:Stage Ⅰa,a solitary lesion with a diameter ≤ 2 cm;Stage Ⅰb,a solitary lesion >2 cm or multiple lesions confined within one-third of the renal volume;Stage Ⅱa,lesions involving more than one-third but confined within one-half of the renal volume;Stage Ⅱb,lesions involving more than one-half but confined within two-thirds of the renal volume;Stage Ⅲa,lesions involving more than two-thirds of the renal volume with a glomerular filtration rate(GFR)of the affected kidney <10 ml/min;and Stage Ⅲb,complete renal calcification,presenting as an “autonephrectomy”. Among the 134 patients included in this study,7 were classified as Stage Ⅰa,17 as Stage Ⅰb,20 as Stage Ⅱa,19 as Stage Ⅱb,62 as Stage Ⅲa,and 9 as Stage Ⅲb. The severity of hydronephrosis was graded as follows:mild,renal pelvic separation <2 cm;moderate,2-3 cm;and severe,>3 cm. Prior to treatment,the mean renal pelvic separation was(1.76 ± 0.92)cm in Stage Ⅰa,(1.69 ± 0.81)cm in Stage Ⅰb,and(1.10 ± 0.82)cm in Stage Ⅱa,corresponding to mild to moderate hydronephrosis. All 7 patients in Stage Ⅰa underwent ureteroscopic examination and double-J stent placement,combined with a 6-month short-course anti-tuberculosis regimen consisting of isoniazid,rifampicin,pyrazinamide,and ethambutol for 2 months(intensive phase),followed by isoniazid and rifampicin for 4 months(continuation phase). Among the 17 patients in Stage Ⅰb,13 presented with hydronephrosis and underwent ureteroscopic examination and double-J stent placement in combination with 6 months of anti-tuberculosis therapy,while 4 patients with isolated renal tuberculosis received anti-tuberculosis therapy alone for 6 months.Of the 20 patients in Stage Ⅱa,4 with hydronephrosis underwent ureteroscopic examination and double-J stent placement plus 6 months of anti-tuberculosis therapy,whereas 16 underwent nephroureterectomy. All 19 patients in Stage Ⅱb underwent nephroureterectomy. Among the 62 patients in Stage Ⅲa,60 underwent nephroureterectomy,while 2 refused surgery and were treated with the 6-month short-course anti-tuberculosis regimen. Of the 9 patients in Stage Ⅲb,8 underwent nephroureterectomy;in 1 patient,surgery was not performed due to severe adhesions in the operative field,and the patient received the 6-month short-course anti-tuberculosis regimen instead. Follow-up assessments included clinical symptoms,erythrocyte sedimentation rate(ESR),serum creatinine,degree of renal pelvic separation,and imaging findings from urinary tract CT. Efficacy was evaluated according to the following criteria:Cure was defined as clinical stability with all of the following conditions:① improvement of systemic symptoms,including absence of flank pain,fever,and lower urinary tract irritative symptoms,with normalization of erythrocyte sedimentation rate(ESR);② negative urine culture for Mycobacterium tuberculosis;and ③ complete calcification of renal lesions and/or no evidence of tuberculous lesions at other sites. Stable disease was defined as no change in the size or extent of renal tuberculosis lesions. Progressive disease was defined as enlargement or increase in the number of tuberculous lesions or involvement of additional sites. Results:Among the 7 patients in Stage Ⅰa,follow-up imaging after treatment showed a mean renal pelvic separation of(0.44 ± 0.56)cm,which was significantly reduced compared with baseline( t = 3.909, P = 0.008). Five patients achieved cure,1 remained stable,and 1 showed disease progression and subsequently underwent nephroureterectomy,resulting in postoperative cure. In Stage Ⅰb,among 13 patients with hydronephrosis,post-treatment imaging showed a mean renal pelvic separation of(0.8 ± 0.75)cm,a statistically significant improvement from baseline( t = 5.633, P < 0.01). Six patients were cured,4 remained stable,and 3 experienced disease progression and underwent nephroureterectomy. Of the 4 patients with isolated renal tuberculosis,2 were controlled,and 2 progressed and underwent nephroureterectomy. In Stage Ⅱa,among 4 patients with tuberculous hydronephrosis,post-treatment renal pelvic separation was(1.20±0.98)cm,with no significant difference from baseline( t = -1.675, P = 0.193);these patients underwent nephroureterectomy 1-2 years later. The remaining 16 patients without hydronephrosis underwent nephroureterectomy and were cured. All 19 patients in Stage Ⅱb underwent nephroureterectomy;17 were cured,and 2 developed ipsilateral perirenal fluid collections 3 months postoperatively,which resolved spontaneously with the standard 6-month anti-tuberculosis regimen. Among 62 patients in Stage Ⅲa,60 underwent nephroureterectomy. Of these,54 were cured;1 developed a urinary tract infection within 2 weeks postoperatively;3 showed contralateral renal disease progression at 3 months;and 1 developed ipsilateral perirenal fluid at 3 months,which resolved spontaneously with standard anti-tuberculosis therapy. One patient developed solitary kidney failure 7 months postoperatively and underwent ureteral stent placement,with disease remaining stable thereafter. Two patients refused surgery and received only anti-tuberculosis therapy;during follow-up,1 patient experienced disease progression and died of disseminated tuberculosis after 1 year,while the other developed contralateral renal involvement at 3 months and received standard 6-month therapy,with disease remaining stable. Among 9 patients in Stage Ⅲb,8 underwent nephroureterectomy and were cured. One patient,with severe adhesions precluding surgery,received anti-tuberculosis therapy alone,and disease remained stable over a 2-year follow-up. Conclusions:The CT-based staging system for renal tuberculosis proposed in this study(three stages and six subtypes)effectively reflects the severity of renal lesions and clearly delineates the clinical characteristics and prognostic outcomes at each stage. Stage Ⅰ patients treated with anti-tuberculosis drugs combined with double-J stent placement demonstrated favorable outcomes and high renal preservation rates. In contrast,Stages Ⅱ and Ⅲ patients showed poor responses to anti-tuberculosis therapy combined with drainage,with a higher risk of disease progression and relatively worse prognosis,highlighting the recommendation for early nephroureterectomy of the affected kidney.
8.Study on the predictive value of ICH-LR2S2 score and ICH-APS score for stroke-associated pneumonia in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage
Yan LIU ; Xiumei ZOU ; Lishang LIAO ; Jianfei HUANG ; Ling ZHANG ; Yu RAN ; Guangzhen LI
Chongqing Medicine 2025;54(5):1111-1117
Objective To study the predictive value of the Prognostic Assessment Scale for Patients with Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage(ICH-LR2S2)and the Prehospital Risk Assessment Scale for Prehospital Deterioration Risk Assessment Scale(ICH-APS)for the development of stroke-associated pneu-monia(SAP)in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage.Methods A total of 349 patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage who were hospitalized for the first time in this hospital from July 2023 to July 2024 were selected as the research subjects.The general demographic data and medical documentations of the patients were collected,and ICH-LR2S2 score and ICH-APS score were carried out within 48 hours after admission.According to whether pneumonia occurred within 7 days after admission,the patients were divided into the SAP group and the non-SAP group,and the diagnostic efficiency of the ICH-LR2S2 score and ICH-APS score for SAP in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage was evaluated.Results Among the 349 patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage,98 patients(28.08%)had pneumonia.The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age,history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD),nasogastric tube,tracheal intubation,National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale(NIHSS)score,Glasgow Coma Scale(GCS)score,C-reactive protein,fasting blood glucose,dysphagia,ICH-LR2S2 score,ICH-APS-A score,and ICH-APS-B score were independent influencing factors for SAP in patients with spontane-ous intracerebral hemorrhage(P<0.05).The results of the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve showed that the ICH-LR2S2 score had the highest diagnostic efficiency for SAP in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage,with an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.837,a sensitivity of 0.827,a specificity of 0.783,and a Youden index of 0.610.Conclusion ICH-LR2S2 score has a high predictive value for the occur-rence of SAP in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage.
9.Evaluation of the Applicability of the Dampness Syndrome Scale of Chinese Medicine(DSSCM)in Patients with Atopic Dermatitis
Li'an ZHU ; Liu ZHONG ; Yu ZHANG ; Siqi YE ; Xiumei MO
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;42(10):2367-2373
Objective To evaluate the applicability of the Dampness Syndrome Scale of Chinese Medicine(DSSCM)in patients with atopic dermatitis(AD).Methods A cross-sectional study was conducted 204 AD patients.Demographic data and scores of the DSSCM,Patient-Oriented Eczema Measure(POEM),Atopic Dermatitis Control Tool(ADCT),Scoring Atopic Dermatitis(SCORAD),Eczema Area and Severity Index(EASI),and Investigator's Global Assessment(IGA)were collected.SPSS and AMOS were used to analyze the reliability and validity of the DSSCM and then the correlation between dampness syndrome and clinical AD indicators was explored.Results The overall Cronbach's α coefficient of DSSCM was 0.90,and the Spearman-Brown split-half reliability coefficient was 0.81.Content validity results indicated that,except for items DSSCM 25,DSSCM 26,DSSCM 27,DSSCM 28,and DSSCM 29(with correlation coefficients<0.30),all other items showed correlation coefficients>0.40 with their respective dimensions and the total scale score.The success rates of convergent and discriminant validity tests exceeded 80%,and confirmatory factor analysis demonstrated good fit in the indices of x2/df and RMSEA.Correlation analysis revealed that DSSCM scores were significantly correlated with body mass index(BMI),Dermatology Life Quality Index(DLQI)scores,POEM scores,ADCT scores,pruritus scores,sleep scores,or SCORAD scores(P<0.05 or P<0.01).However,no significant correlations were observed between DSSCM scores and disease duration,age,IGA scores,or EASI scores(P>0.05).Conclusion The DSSCM demonstrates good reliability and validity in AD patients and its scores are correlated with clinical AD indicators,making it a suitable tool for assessing dampness syndrome in this population.
10.Construction and validation of a predictive model for supportive care needs within 24 hours after surgical anesthesia recovery in breast cancer patients
Wuhui ZHANG ; Yaya XU ; Xiumei LYU ; Qian ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Medicine in Practice 2025;29(15):52-57
Objective To construct and validate a precise predictive model for supportive care needs within 24 hours after surgical anesthesia recovery in breast cancer patients.Methods A retro-spective analysis was conducted on data of 156 breast cancer patients who underwent surgical treat-ment in the hospital from June 2022 to June 2024.Based on their supportive care needs within 24 hours after surgical anesthesia recovery,the patients were divided into no and low demand group(n=41)and moderate and high demand group(n=115).Clinical data of the two groups were compared using one-way analysis of variance.Binary Logistic regression analysis was employed to identify fac-tors influencing supportive care needs within 24 hours after surgical anesthesia recovery in breast cancer patients,and a predictive model was constructed accordingly.Results Binary Logistic re-gression analysis revealed that sources of medical expenses(non-urban medical insurance),occupa-tion(worker),primary caregiver(spouse),the M.D.Anderson Symptom Inventory(MDASI)score,and Quality of Recovery(QoR)score were all influencing factors for supportive care needs within 24 hours after surgical anesthesia recovery in breast cancer patients(P<0.05).Receiver op-erating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis showed that the area under the curve(AUC)for predic-ting supportive care needs within 24 hours after surgical anesthesia recovery in breast cancer patients was 0.635 for sources of medical expenses,0.723 for occupation,0.618 for primary caregiver,0.742 for MDASI score,and 0.749 for QoR score,respectively.The AUC of the predictive model for sup-portive care needs within 24 hours after surgical anesthesia recovery in breast cancer patients was 0.965,with a sensitivity of 93.0%and a specificity of 90.2%.Internal validation of the model using the Bootstrap method with B=1,000 self-sampling times demonstrated an overall predictive accuracy of 88.5%,indicating good predictive performance.Conclusion Sources of medical ex-penses(non-urban medical insurance),occupation(worker),primary caregiver(spouse),MDASI score,and QoR score are all influencing factors for supportive care needs within 24 hours after surgi-cal anesthesia recovery in breast cancer patients.The predictive model constructed based on these factors exhibits good predictive value and can serve as a quantitative decision-making tool for optimi-zing postoperative nursing pathways.


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