1.Application of time series and machine learning models in predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai
WANG Zhengzhong, ZHANG Zhe, ZHOU Xinyi, YUAN Linlin, ZHAI Yani, SUN Lijing, LUO Chunyan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(3):426-430
Objective:
To analyze the temporal variation patterns of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai, so as to explore models suitable for predicting peaks and intensity of absenteeism rates.
Methods:
The seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL) method was used to analyze the seasonal and long term trend changes in sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students from September 1 in 2010 to June 30 in 2018, in Shanghai. A hierarchical clustering method based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) was employed to classify absenteeism symptoms with similar temporal patterns. Based on historical data, the study constructed and evaluated different time series algorithms and machine learning models to optimize the accuracy of predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism.
Results:
During the research period, the average new absenteeism rate due to illness was 16.86 per 10 000 person day for every academic year, and the trend of sickness absenteeism exhibited both seasonality and a long term upward trend, reaching its highest point in the 2017 academic year (22.47 per 10 000 person day). The symptoms of absenteeism were divided into three categories: high incidence in winter and spring (respiratory symptoms, fever and general discomfort, etc.), high incidence in summer (eye symptoms, nosebleeds, etc.) and those without obvious seasonality (skin symptoms, accidental injuries, etc.).The constructed time series models effectively predicted the trend of absenteeism due to illness, although the accuracy of predicting peak intensity was relatively low. Among them, the multi layer perceptron (MLP) model performed the best, with an root mean squared error (RMSE) of 8.96 and an mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.37, reducing 36.51% and 39.02% compared to the baseline model.
Conclusion
Time series models and machine learning algorithms could effectively predict the trend of sickness absenteeism, and corresponding prevention and control measures can be taken for absenteeism caused by different symptoms during peak periods.
2.Modified Xiehuangsan Regulates Microglial Polarization and TLR4/MyD88/NF-κB Pathway to Treat Tic Disorders in Rats
Mengjie ZHAO ; Qiong ZHAO ; Cuiling YANG ; Hongyun ZHOU ; Xiangjuan SUN ; Xinyi GUO ; Sajiyue HUANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(4):10-18
ObjectiveTo explore the mechanism of modified Xiehuangsan in treating tic disorders (TD) based on microglial polarization and the Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4)/myeloid differentiation factor 88 (MyD88)/nuclear factor (NF)-κB pathway. MethodsSeventy-two Sprague-Dawley (SD) rats were randomly assigned into six groups: control, model, tiapride (0.025 g·kg-1), and low-, medium-, and high-dose (12, 24, 48 g·kg-1, respectively) modified Xiehuangsan, with 12 rats in each group. Except the control group, the other groups received intraperitoneal injection of 3,3'-iminodipropionitrile (IDPN) for 7 consecutive days for the modeling of TD. After successful modeling, the control and model groups were given normal saline via gavage, and the other groups were administrated with corresponding drugs by gavage. After 28 days of continuous intervention, rat behaviors were observed, and the modified Xiehuangsan group showing the best anti-TD effect was selected for deciphering the treatment mechanism. Hematoxylin and eosin staining was conducted to observe morphological changes in the rat striatum. Immunohistochemistry was employed to detect the expression of CD16 and CD206 in the striatum. Real-time PCR was employed to measure the mRNA levels of interleukin-1β (IL-1β), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), IL-4, TLR4, MyD88, and NF-κB p65 in the striatum. Western blot was employed to determine the protein levels of ionized calcium-binding adapter molecule 1 (Iba1), Fc receptor family for immunoglobulin (Ig)G type Ⅲ (CD16), mannose receptor (CD206), TLR4, MyD88, and NF-κB p65 in the striatum. ResultsCompared with the control group, the model group showed increased stereotyped behaviors, locomotor activity, total movement distance, and movement speed, shortened resting time (P<0.01), and noticeable pathological changes in the striatum. Compared with the model group, the tiapride group and modified Xiehuangsan groups exhibited reduced stereotyped behavior, locomotor activity, total movement distance, and movement speed, prolonged resting time (P<0.05, P<0.01), and alleviated pathological changes in the striatum. Among the modified Xiehuangsan groups, the high-dose group had the best intervention effect and the mildest pathological changes. Therefore, the high-dose group was selected for further research. Compared with the control group, the modeling of TD increased Iba1 and CD16 expression (P<0.05, P<0.01), up-regulated the mRNA levels of IL-1β and TNF-α (P<0.05, P<0.01), down-regulated the mRNA level of IL-4 (P<0.05), up-regulated the mRNA and protein levels of TLR4 and MyD88 (P<0.05, P<0.01), and up-regulated the protein level of NF-κB p65 (P<0.01). Compared with the model group, modified Xiehuangsan reduced Iba1 and CD16 expression (P<0.05, P<0.01), up-regulated the protein level of CD206 (P<0.05, P<0.01), down-regulated the mRNA levels of IL-1β and TNF-α (P<0.05), up-regulated the mRNA level of IL-4 (P<0.01), and down-regulated the mRNA and protein levels of TLR4, MyD88, and NF-κB p65 (P<0.05, P<0.01). ConclusionModified Xiehuangsan demonstrated a definite therapeutic effect on TD in rats. It may reduce neuroinflammation in TD rats by regulating the polarization of microglia in the striatum via the TLR4/MyD88/NF-κB signaling pathway.
3.Associations of adipokine with diabetic retinopathy among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus
SUN Xia ; DAN lingying ; ZHENG Peng ; CHEN Xinyi
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(3):248-252
Objective:
To examine the associations between three adipokines (omentin-1, nesfatin-1 and apelin) and diabetic retinopathy (DR) among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), so as to provide the basis for the prevention and control of DR.
Methods:
The T2DM patients hospitalized in Lishui TCM Hospital from August 2021 to May 2023 were selected and divided into three groups: no diabetic retinopathy (NDR) group, non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR) group, and proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) group based on fundus fluorescein angiography. Data on gender, age, and course of T2DM were collected through questionnaires, and serum omentin-1, nesfatin-1, apelin, and related blood biochemical indicators were measured. The associations of omentin-1, nesfatin-1 and apelin with DR were analyzed using a multinomial logistic regression model.
Results:
A total of 150 T2DM patients were enrolled, including 58 cases in the NDR group, 60 cases in the NPDR group, and 32 cases in the PDR group, with males accounting for 60.34%, 45.00% and 68.75%, respectively. The mean ages were (54.79±14.40), (57.03±12.20) and (57.72±10.70) years, respectively. The median (interquartile range) courses of T2DM were 7.00 (7.75), 10.00 (8.00) and 10.00 (5.00) years, respectively. Compared with the NDR group, the NPDR group had lower levels of omentin-1 and nesfatin-1 and higher level of apelin, while the PDR group had higher level of omentin-1 and lower level of apelin (all P<0.05). Compared with the NPDR group, the PDR group had higher levels of omentin-1 and nesfatin-1 and lower level of apelin (all P<0.05). Multinomial logistic regression analysis showed that omentin-1 level was statistically associated with NPDR (OR=0.503, 95%CI: 0.291-0.871) and PDR (OR=7.862, 95%CI: 2.956-20.910); nesfatin-1 (OR=0.971, 95%CI: 0.953-0.989) and apelin (OR=3.266, 95%CI: 1.817-5.868) levels were statistically associated with NPDR.
Conclusion
Serum levels of omentin-1, nesfatin-1 and apelin were associated with different stages of DR among T2DM patients.
4.Neutrophil activation is correlated with acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery under cardiopulmonary bypass
Tingting WANG ; Yuanyuan YAO ; Jiayi SUN ; Juan WU ; Xinyi LIAO ; Wentong MENG ; Min YAN ; Lei DU ; Jiyue XIONG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(3):358-367
[Objective] To explore the relationship between neutrophil activation under cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) and the incidence of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury (CS-AKI). [Methods] This prospective cohort study enrolled adult patients who scheduled for cardiac surgery under CPB at West China Hospital between May 1, 2022 and March 31, 2023. The primary outcome was acute kidney injury (AKI). Blood samples (5 mL) were obtained from the central vein before surgery, at rewarming, at the end of CPB, and 24 hours after surgery. Neutrophils were labeled with CD11b, CD54 and other markers. To assess the effect of neutrophils activation on AKI, propensity score matching (PSM) was employed to equilibrate covariates between the groups. [Results] A total of 120 patients included into the study, and 17 (14.2%) developed AKI. Both CD11b+ and CD54+ neutrophils significantly increased during the rewarming phase and the increases were kept until 24 hours after surgery. During rewarming, the numbers of CD11b+ neutrophils were significantly higher in AKI compared to non-AKI (4.71×109/L vs 3.31×109/L, Z=-2.14, P<0.05). Similarly, the CD54+ neutrophils counts were also significantly higher in AKI than in non-AKI before surgery (2.75×109/L vs 1.79×109/L, Z=-2.99, P<0.05), during rewarming (3.12×109/L vs 1.62×109/L, Z=-4.34, P<0.05), and at the end of CPB (4.28×109/L vs 2.14×109/L, Z=-3.91, P<0.05). An analysis of 32 matched patients (16 in each group) revealed that CD11b+ and CD54+ neutrophil levels of AKI were 1.74 folds (4.83×109/L vs 2.77×109/L, Z=-2.72, P<0.05) and 2.34 folds (3.32×109/L vs 1.42×109/L, Z=-4.12, P<0.05), respectively, of non-AKI at rewarming phase. [Conclusion] Neutrophils are activated during CPB, and they can be identified by CD11b/CD54 markers. The activated neutrophils of AKI patients are approximately 2 folds of non-AKI during the rewarming phase, with disparity reached peak between groups during rewarming. These findings suggest the removal of 50% of activated neutrophils during the rewarming phase may be effective to reduce the risk of AKI.
5.Immune-metabolic regulatory mechanism of the gut-eye axis of intestinal flora in dry eye and new treatment strategies
Xiaotong LIU ; Xinyi SUN ; Weiping GAO
International Eye Science 2025;25(11):1771-1776
Dry eye disease is a multifactorial chronic ocular surface disorder that is challenging to manage because its pathogenesis is not well understood. The gut-eye axis theory provides insights into its pathogenesis to guide prevention and treatment. Intestinal flora dysbiosis induces dry eye disease through complex mechanisms involving inflammation, ocular surface microbiota, nerve damage, and microbial metabolites. This article reviews the immunometabolic regulation of the gut-eye axis and summarizes gut flora-targeted interventions(fecal microbiota transplantation, probiotic supplementation, and dietary modification)to provide a theoretical basis for dry eye disease prevention and treatment.
6.Effect of neotropine against form deprivation myopia in guinea pigs and mechanism
Xinyi YANG ; Hongpeng HUANG ; Xiaoxuan GUO ; Zhenghao BAO ; Peng ZHANG ; Yuan LUO ; Lan SUN ; Yongan WANG
Chinese Journal of Pharmacology and Toxicology 2024;38(5):360-368
OBJECTIVE To investigate the modulating effect of neotropics on form deprivation myopia(FDM)in guinea pigs.METHODS Tricolour guinea pigs were randomly divided into normal control group,FDM model group,FDM+saline group,FDM+atropine group,and FDM+neotropine group,with eight animals in each group.Except for the normal control group,the right eyes of the guinea pigs were covered for 14 d to establish a guinea pig FDM model.The drug administration groups were injected with 10 μL of saline,1%atropine,or 1%neotropine into the vitreous cavity once every other day.The changes in the refractive error and axial length of both eyes were recorded for 1 d before the intervention and for 14 d after the intervention.Then,the eyeballs of guinea pigs were taken from the right eyes.HE staining was used to evaluate the histopathological structure of the sclera while sirius red staining was used to detect the collagen protein content in the sclera.RT-qPCR was used to detect the mRNA expressions of transforming growth factor-β1(TGF-β1),matrix metalloproteinase(MMP-2)and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase(TIMP-2)in guinea pigs'sclera.The protein expression levels of collagen type Ⅰ(Col-Ⅰ)and TGF-β1 in guinea pig sclera were detected by Western blotting while those of MMP-2,TIMP-2 and Ki-67 were detected by immunohistochemical staining.RESULTS Compared with the nor-mal control group,eyes of guinea pig in the FDM model group showed a significantly lower refractive error(P<0.01),significant elongation of the ocular axis(P<0.01),scattered distribution of scleral fibre bundles,sparse collagen cells,reduced scleral thickness(P<0.01),and a significantly lower collagen protein content(P<0.01).The mRNA and protein expressions of TIMP-2 and TGF-β1 were lower(P<0.05,P<0.01),and MMP-2 was higher(P<0.01)in scleral tissue.The protein expression level of Col-Ⅰwas lower(P<0.05)while that of Ki-67 was elevated(P<0.01)in scleral tissue.Compared with the FDM model group,there were no significant changes in any of the indexes in the FDM+saline group.The refractive error of the right eyes of guinea pigs in the FDM+neotropium group and the FDM+atropium group were significantly higher(P<0.05),the length of the ocular axis was significantly shorter(P<0.05),the collagen fibres were arranged more tightly,the fibre bundles were distributed more orderly,the distribution of the collagen cells was more uniform,and the thickness of the sclera was significantly increased(P<0.01).Collagen protein contents were significantly higher(P<0.05,P<0.01),the mRNA and protein expressions of TIMP-2 and TGF-β1 were significantly higher(P<0.01),MMP-2 mRNA and protein expressions were significantly lower(P<0.05,P<0.01).The protein expression level of Col-Ⅰwas higher(P<0.05,P<0.01),and that of Ki-67 was lower(P<0.05,P<0.01)in scleral tissue.CONCLU-SION The muscarinic antagonist neotropine inhibits the development of myopia in guinea pigs in the FDM model by reversing both the down-regulation of TGF-β1 and the up-regulation of MMP-2 in scleral tissues and inhibiting the remodeling of the scleral extracellular matrix.
7.Cognition and participation intention of patient-reported outcomes in patients with lower limb deep vein thrombosis: a qualitative study
Ranxun AN ; Yuan XU ; Lei WANG ; Yu WANG ; Haibo DENG ; Jianhua SUN ; Xiaojie WANG ; Liyun ZHU ; Qiaodan LU ; Xinyi ZHOU ; Yufen MA
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2024;30(1):95-100
Objective:To explore the cognition and intention of patients with lower limb deep vein thrombosis (DVT) to participate in patient-reported outcomes (PROs), so as to provide references for the promotion, application, and practice of PROs in lower limb DVT patients in China.Methods:This study adopted the phenomenological qualitative research method. From February to June 2023, 13 lower limb DVT patients admitted to Peking Union Medical College Hospital were selected for semi-structured in-depth interviews. Colaizzi 7-step analysis method was used for analyzing and summarizing data.Results:Thirteen patients with lower limb DVT highly recognized their own value in participating in PROs, namely health benefits, prevention of DVT complications, and reduction of disease uncertainty. Lower limb DVT patients expected to receive support from healthcare professionals, families, and portable and simplified reporting formats to promote their participation in PROs. From the patient 's own perspective, they perceived that insufficient attention to DVT caused by lack of awareness of the hazards of DVT and limited understanding of PROs made it difficult for them to participate in PROs. Conclusions:Lower limb DVT patients have a high intention to participate in PROs. The application and promotion of PROs in lower limb DVT patients in China require joint support from various sectors of society, among which strengthening effective health education for patients and their families and providing multi-channel reporting forms are the key to promoting of PROs.
8.Effects of cognitive behavioral therapy in elderly patients with depression: a Meta-analysis
Ye MAO ; Yubiao KANG ; Tian TIAN ; Dan FANG ; Xinyi YOU ; Junjie TAO ; Ye WANG ; Jiali SUN ; Bei WANG ; Jianing LI
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2024;30(2):153-160
Objective:To systematically evaluate the effect of cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) in elderly patients with depression.Methods:The randomized controlled trials on the effect of CBT in elderly patients with depression, published until December 15, 2022, were searched in PubMed, CINHAL, Cochrane Library, China Biology Medicine, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, WanFang Data, and VIP. Two researchers independently screened the literature, extracted data, and used the revised Cochrane risk of bias tool for randomized trials (ROB 2.0) to evaluate the quality of the included studies. Statistical analysis was conducted using Stata 16.0, and the quality of evidence was rated using Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation (GRADE) predictor software.Results:A total of 11 randomized controlled trials were included, with a total of 833 elderly patients with depression. Randomized effect models were used to analyze outcome indicators such as depression, anxiety, and quality of life by combining effect quantities. Meta-analysis and GRADE evidence quality showed that compared to the control group, medium quality evidence showed that CBT could relieve depression in elderly depression patients with a statistical difference [ SMD=-1.58, 95% CI (-2.16, -0.99), P<0.05]. Low quality evidence suggested that CBT could alleviate anxiety in elderly depression patients also with a statistical difference [ SMD=-2.25, 95% CI (-4.04, -0.47), P<0.05]. Very low quality evidence indicated that CBT did not significantly improve the quality of life in elderly depression patients compared to conventional or pharmacological treatment [ SMD=-0.09, 95% CI (-2.07, 1.88), P>0.05] . Conclusions:Existing evidence suggests that CBT can alleviate depression and anxiety in elderly depression patients, but its improvement in quality of life is not yet significant. Treatment feedback and forms of CBT may become a research focus in recent years on intervention for elderly depression patients.
9.Development of the PICC-related Thrombosis Prevention Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice Questionnaire for Nurses and its reliability and validity
Ning ZHANG ; Yuan XU ; Haibo DENG ; Lei WANG ; Liyun ZHU ; Qiaodan LU ; Ranxun AN ; Xinyi ZHOU ; Yu WANG ; Jianhua SUN ; Yufen MA ; Xiaojie WANG
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2024;30(4):453-460
Objective:To construct a tool to evaluate the knowledge, attitude, and practice of nurses in the prevention of thrombosis related to peripherally inserted central catheter (PICC) .Methods:From December 2022 to April 2023, based on the theory of knowledge, attitude, and practice, a preliminary draft of the PICC-related Thrombosis Prevention Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice Questionnaire for Nurses was formed through systematic literature review, two rounds of Delphi expert consultations, and pre-survey. In May 2023, convenience sampling was used to select 573 nurses from Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College Hospital as the research subject for a survey to conduct item analysis, validity testing, and reliability testing on the questionnaire.Results:The final version of the PICC-related Thrombosis Prevention Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice Questionnaire for Nurses included 20 knowledge items, 10 attitude items, and 10 practice items. In the content validity of the questionnaire, the average content validity index was 0.984, the overall consensus content validity index was 0.850, and the item level content validity index was 0.857 to 1.000. Exploratory factor analysis extracted three common factors with eigenvalues>1.000, with a cumulative variance contribution rate of 64.540% and factor loadings of 0.450 to 0.908 for each item. The total Cronbach's α coefficient of the questionnaire was 0.895, the half reliability coefficient was 0.947, and the retest reliability coefficient was 0.966.Conclusions:The PICC-related Thrombosis Prevention Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice Questionnaire for Nurses has good reliability and validity, and can be used to evaluate PICC-related thrombosis prevention knowledge, attitude, and practice among nurses.
10.Progress in research on quality-sensitive indicators for prevention nursing care of venous thromboembolism
Ning ZHANG ; Yuan XU ; Liyun ZHU ; Xinyi ZHOU ; Ranxun AN ; Qiaodan LU ; Yu WANG ; Haibo DENG ; Lei WANG ; Jianhua SUN ; Yufen MA ; Xiaojie WANG
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2024;30(8):1004-1009
Quality-sensitive indicators in nursing, as standards for evaluating nursing quality management, can quantitatively determine nursing outcomes. This article provides a comprehensive review of the framework and content of quality-sensitive indicators for venous thromboembolism (VTE) prevention nursing care. The indicators are discussed from three dimensions: structure, process, and outcome. The aim is to provide a reference for the future development of unified and standardized quality-sensitive indicators for VTE prevention nursing care, in order to guide clinical nurses in standardized preventive practices.


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