1.Clinical Efficacy and Economic Evaluation of 1293 Non-Severe Adult Patients with Community-Acquired Pneumonia Treated by the Jiangsu Traditional Chinese Medicine Diagnosis and Treatment Protocol for Dominant Diseases:A Multicenter,Retrospective Real-World Cohort Study
Ye MA ; Yeqing JI ; Zhichao WANG ; Fanchao FENG ; Mingzhi PU ; Hong LYU ; Xiaodong HU ; Gaohua FENG ; Xiaoqian FANG ; Guicai ZHANG ; Yanfen TANG ; Yeqing ZHANG ; Yao ZHUFU ; Wenpan PENG ; Hao WANG ; Cheng GU ; Zhichao ZHANG ; Shuang YANG ; Xinyu SUN ; Qi ZHAO ; Aojie GUO ; Xin TONG ; Zhuoyue WU ; Xiaoxiao WANG ; Jia LIU ; Hailang HE ; Xianmei ZHOU
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;67(9):966-974
ObjectiveTo evaluate the clinical efficacy and economic value of the Jiangsu Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) Diagnosis and Treatment Protocol for Dominant Diseases (abbreviated as the Diagnosis and Treatment Protocol) in adult patients with non-severe community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) based on real-world clinical data. MethodsA retrospective real-world cohort study was conducted using electronic medical records of adult patients hospitalized for non-severe CAP from September 1st, 2023 to December 31st, 2024 across 10 TCM hospitals in Jiangsu province. Patients were classified into an exposure group and a non-exposure group based on whether they received Chinese herbal medicine (CHM) according to the Diagnosis and Treatment Protocol. The non-exposure group received only conventional western medicine, while the exposure group additionally received differentiated CHM for at least five consecutive days. Outcomes were compared between two patient groups, including cough resolution rate, sputum resolution rate (assessed by volume, color, and consistency), incidence of abnormal C-reactive protein (CRP), incidence of abnormal white blood cell (WBC) count, and radiographic resolution rate of pulmonary infiltrates on chest imaging. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify factors influencing clinical efficacy. Subgroup analyses were conducted according to age, gender, smoking status, history of hypertension, and pneumonia severity score (CURB-65), and the efficacy of treatment for cough and sputum was analyzed within each subgroup. Cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted using cough resolution rate as the outcome measure, evaluating the pharmacoeconomics of the two groups. ResultsA total of 1688 patients were included with 1293 in the exposure group and 395 in the non-exposure group. Compared to the non-exposure group, the exposure group demonstrated significantly higher resolution rates of cough, sputum volume, color, and consistency, as well as a significantly lower incidence of abnormal CRP (P<0.05). No statistically significant difference was observed between the groups in terms of abnormal WBC count and radiographic resolution rate of pulmonary infiltrates (P>0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that the cough resolution rate in the exposure group was 1.83 times that of the non-exposure group, while the probabilities of resolution in sputum volume, color, and consistency were 1.37, 2.09, and 1.56 times those of the non-exposure group, respectively (P<0.05). Subgroup analyses showed that the exposure group achieved significantly higher cough resolution rates across most subgroups except for populations with a CURB-65 score ≥2 or those with a history of hypertension (P<0.05). Specifically, among females, patients aged ≥18 and <65 years, non-smokers, those without hypertension, and those with a CURB-65 score of 0, the exposure group showed a higher cough resolution rate than the non-exposure group (P<0.05). From an economic perspective, total hospitalization cost, length of stay, antibiotic cost, and CHM cost all differed significantly between groups (P<0.05). The cost-effectiveness ratio (CER) was 10,788.80 CNY/case in the exposure group, while 22,513.80 CNY/case in the non-exposure group. This implies that, compared with the exposure group, the non-exposure group incurred an additional 17,302.27 CNY to achieve one case of cough resolution. When the willingness-to-pay threshold ranged from 0 to 50,000 CNY, the probability of economic advantage was consistently higher in the exposure group than in the non-exposure group. ConclusionOn the basis of conventional western medicine, the addition of CHM in accordance with the Diagnosis and Treatment Protocol can effectively improve clinical symptoms, reduce inflammatory markers, promote clinical recovery, and is more cost-effective in treating adults with non-severe CAP.
2.Efficacy and Economic Evaluation of Weishi Qingjin Formula (苇石清金方)in the Treatment of Adult Community-Acquired Pneumonia with Phlegm-Heat Obstructing the Lung Syndrome:A Multicenter Retrospective Real-World Cohort Study
Yeqing JI ; Ye MA ; Zhichao WANG ; Fanchao FENG ; Mingzhi PU ; Hong LYU ; Xiaodong HU ; Gaohua FENG ; Xiaoqian FANG ; Guicai ZHANG ; Yanfen TANG ; Yeqing ZHANG ; Yao ZHUFU ; Wenpan PENG ; Hao WANG ; Cheng GU ; Zhichao ZHANG ; Shuang YANG ; Xinyu SUN ; Qi ZHAO ; Aojie GUO ; Xin TONG ; Zhuoyue WU ; Xiaoxiao WANG ; Jia LIU ; Hailang HE ; Xianmei ZHOU
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;67(9):975-984
ObjectiveTo observe the real‑world effectiveness and economic outcomes of Weishi Qingjin Formula (苇石清金方, WQF) in the treatment of adult community‑acquired pneumonia (CAP) with phlegm‑heat obstructing the lung syndrome. MethodsBased on a multicenter, real-world retrospective cohort study, clinical data were collected from hospitalized adult patients diagnosed with non‑severe CAP and phlegm‑heat obstructing the lung syndrome in 10 traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) hospitals in Jiangsu province. Patients were divided into an exposure group (those who received oral WQF) and a non‑exposure group (those who did not). The following outcomes were compared between the two groups before and after treatment, which were remission rates of clinical symptoms including cough, expectoration (sputum volume, color, consistency), and chest pain, levels of inflammatory markers including C‑reactive protein (CRP) and white blood cell count (WBC), and the rate of pulmonary inflammatory absorption on chest CT. Subgroup analyses were performed based on age, gender, smoking status, presence of hypertension, and the severity of community-acquired pneumonia (CURB‑65) score, comparing the two groups in terms of cough remission rate, chest pain remission rate, and chest CT absorption rate. For health economic evaluation, cost‑effectiveness analysis was used to calculate the cost‑effectiveness ratio (CER) and incremental cost‑effectiveness ratio (ICER). Univariate sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to test the robustness of the results. ResultsA total of 647 patients in the exposure group and 1491 patients in the non-exposure group were included in the final statistical analysis. There was no statistically significant difference in length of hospital stay, gender, marital status, smoking history, bronchoscopy history, and comorbidities between the groups (P>0.05), but age, CURB-65 score, and antibiotic use. The exposure group had significantly higher remission rates of cough and sputum consistency than the non-exposure group (P<0.05). After adjusting for confounders using propensity score matching and logistic regression, the cough remission rate in the exposure group was 1.49 times that of the non-exposure group (P<0.01). No significant difference was observed between groups in the reduction rates of CRP and WBC, and in the rate of pulmonary inflammatory absorption on chest CT (P>0.05). Subgroup analyses revealed that the cough remission rate in the exposure group was significantly better than that in the non-exposure group except for patients aged ≥65 years, smokers, hypertensive patients, those using other type antibiotics or not using antibiotics, and those with a CURB-65 score ≥1 (P<0.05). Among smokers, the chest pain remission rate in the exposure group was 4.38 times that of the non-exposure group (P<0.01). No significant difference in chest CT absorption rate was found between groups across subgroups of gender, age, hypertension status, or antibiotic type (P>0.05). In terms of economic evaluation, CER was 10,877.60 CNY/case in the exposure group and 16,773.10 CNY/case in the non-exposure group. Compared to the exposure group, the non-exposure group incurred an additional 15,034.26 CNY to achieve one case of cough resolution, indicating a more favorable cost-effectiveness profile. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis yielded results consistent with the cost-effectiveness analysis, confirming the robustness of the findings. ConclusionWQF demonstrates significant efficacy in improving cough symptoms in the treatment of adult CAP with phlegm-heat obstructing the lung syndrome, and also exhibits favorable economic benefits.
3.Clinical Efficacy and Economic Evaluation of 1293 Non-Severe Adult Patients with Community-Acquired Pneumonia Treated by the Jiangsu Traditional Chinese Medicine Diagnosis and Treatment Protocol for Dominant Diseases:A Multicenter,Retrospective Real-World Cohort Study
Ye MA ; Yeqing JI ; Zhichao WANG ; Fanchao FENG ; Mingzhi PU ; Hong LYU ; Xiaodong HU ; Gaohua FENG ; Xiaoqian FANG ; Guicai ZHANG ; Yanfen TANG ; Yeqing ZHANG ; Yao ZHUFU ; Wenpan PENG ; Hao WANG ; Cheng GU ; Zhichao ZHANG ; Shuang YANG ; Xinyu SUN ; Qi ZHAO ; Aojie GUO ; Xin TONG ; Zhuoyue WU ; Xiaoxiao WANG ; Jia LIU ; Hailang HE ; Xianmei ZHOU
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;67(9):966-974
ObjectiveTo evaluate the clinical efficacy and economic value of the Jiangsu Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) Diagnosis and Treatment Protocol for Dominant Diseases (abbreviated as the Diagnosis and Treatment Protocol) in adult patients with non-severe community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) based on real-world clinical data. MethodsA retrospective real-world cohort study was conducted using electronic medical records of adult patients hospitalized for non-severe CAP from September 1st, 2023 to December 31st, 2024 across 10 TCM hospitals in Jiangsu province. Patients were classified into an exposure group and a non-exposure group based on whether they received Chinese herbal medicine (CHM) according to the Diagnosis and Treatment Protocol. The non-exposure group received only conventional western medicine, while the exposure group additionally received differentiated CHM for at least five consecutive days. Outcomes were compared between two patient groups, including cough resolution rate, sputum resolution rate (assessed by volume, color, and consistency), incidence of abnormal C-reactive protein (CRP), incidence of abnormal white blood cell (WBC) count, and radiographic resolution rate of pulmonary infiltrates on chest imaging. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify factors influencing clinical efficacy. Subgroup analyses were conducted according to age, gender, smoking status, history of hypertension, and pneumonia severity score (CURB-65), and the efficacy of treatment for cough and sputum was analyzed within each subgroup. Cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted using cough resolution rate as the outcome measure, evaluating the pharmacoeconomics of the two groups. ResultsA total of 1688 patients were included with 1293 in the exposure group and 395 in the non-exposure group. Compared to the non-exposure group, the exposure group demonstrated significantly higher resolution rates of cough, sputum volume, color, and consistency, as well as a significantly lower incidence of abnormal CRP (P<0.05). No statistically significant difference was observed between the groups in terms of abnormal WBC count and radiographic resolution rate of pulmonary infiltrates (P>0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that the cough resolution rate in the exposure group was 1.83 times that of the non-exposure group, while the probabilities of resolution in sputum volume, color, and consistency were 1.37, 2.09, and 1.56 times those of the non-exposure group, respectively (P<0.05). Subgroup analyses showed that the exposure group achieved significantly higher cough resolution rates across most subgroups except for populations with a CURB-65 score ≥2 or those with a history of hypertension (P<0.05). Specifically, among females, patients aged ≥18 and <65 years, non-smokers, those without hypertension, and those with a CURB-65 score of 0, the exposure group showed a higher cough resolution rate than the non-exposure group (P<0.05). From an economic perspective, total hospitalization cost, length of stay, antibiotic cost, and CHM cost all differed significantly between groups (P<0.05). The cost-effectiveness ratio (CER) was 10,788.80 CNY/case in the exposure group, while 22,513.80 CNY/case in the non-exposure group. This implies that, compared with the exposure group, the non-exposure group incurred an additional 17,302.27 CNY to achieve one case of cough resolution. When the willingness-to-pay threshold ranged from 0 to 50,000 CNY, the probability of economic advantage was consistently higher in the exposure group than in the non-exposure group. ConclusionOn the basis of conventional western medicine, the addition of CHM in accordance with the Diagnosis and Treatment Protocol can effectively improve clinical symptoms, reduce inflammatory markers, promote clinical recovery, and is more cost-effective in treating adults with non-severe CAP.
4.Efficacy and Economic Evaluation of Weishi Qingjin Formula (苇石清金方)in the Treatment of Adult Community-Acquired Pneumonia with Phlegm-Heat Obstructing the Lung Syndrome:A Multicenter Retrospective Real-World Cohort Study
Yeqing JI ; Ye MA ; Zhichao WANG ; Fanchao FENG ; Mingzhi PU ; Hong LYU ; Xiaodong HU ; Gaohua FENG ; Xiaoqian FANG ; Guicai ZHANG ; Yanfen TANG ; Yeqing ZHANG ; Yao ZHUFU ; Wenpan PENG ; Hao WANG ; Cheng GU ; Zhichao ZHANG ; Shuang YANG ; Xinyu SUN ; Qi ZHAO ; Aojie GUO ; Xin TONG ; Zhuoyue WU ; Xiaoxiao WANG ; Jia LIU ; Hailang HE ; Xianmei ZHOU
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;67(9):975-984
ObjectiveTo observe the real‑world effectiveness and economic outcomes of Weishi Qingjin Formula (苇石清金方, WQF) in the treatment of adult community‑acquired pneumonia (CAP) with phlegm‑heat obstructing the lung syndrome. MethodsBased on a multicenter, real-world retrospective cohort study, clinical data were collected from hospitalized adult patients diagnosed with non‑severe CAP and phlegm‑heat obstructing the lung syndrome in 10 traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) hospitals in Jiangsu province. Patients were divided into an exposure group (those who received oral WQF) and a non‑exposure group (those who did not). The following outcomes were compared between the two groups before and after treatment, which were remission rates of clinical symptoms including cough, expectoration (sputum volume, color, consistency), and chest pain, levels of inflammatory markers including C‑reactive protein (CRP) and white blood cell count (WBC), and the rate of pulmonary inflammatory absorption on chest CT. Subgroup analyses were performed based on age, gender, smoking status, presence of hypertension, and the severity of community-acquired pneumonia (CURB‑65) score, comparing the two groups in terms of cough remission rate, chest pain remission rate, and chest CT absorption rate. For health economic evaluation, cost‑effectiveness analysis was used to calculate the cost‑effectiveness ratio (CER) and incremental cost‑effectiveness ratio (ICER). Univariate sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to test the robustness of the results. ResultsA total of 647 patients in the exposure group and 1491 patients in the non-exposure group were included in the final statistical analysis. There was no statistically significant difference in length of hospital stay, gender, marital status, smoking history, bronchoscopy history, and comorbidities between the groups (P>0.05), but age, CURB-65 score, and antibiotic use. The exposure group had significantly higher remission rates of cough and sputum consistency than the non-exposure group (P<0.05). After adjusting for confounders using propensity score matching and logistic regression, the cough remission rate in the exposure group was 1.49 times that of the non-exposure group (P<0.01). No significant difference was observed between groups in the reduction rates of CRP and WBC, and in the rate of pulmonary inflammatory absorption on chest CT (P>0.05). Subgroup analyses revealed that the cough remission rate in the exposure group was significantly better than that in the non-exposure group except for patients aged ≥65 years, smokers, hypertensive patients, those using other type antibiotics or not using antibiotics, and those with a CURB-65 score ≥1 (P<0.05). Among smokers, the chest pain remission rate in the exposure group was 4.38 times that of the non-exposure group (P<0.01). No significant difference in chest CT absorption rate was found between groups across subgroups of gender, age, hypertension status, or antibiotic type (P>0.05). In terms of economic evaluation, CER was 10,877.60 CNY/case in the exposure group and 16,773.10 CNY/case in the non-exposure group. Compared to the exposure group, the non-exposure group incurred an additional 15,034.26 CNY to achieve one case of cough resolution, indicating a more favorable cost-effectiveness profile. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis yielded results consistent with the cost-effectiveness analysis, confirming the robustness of the findings. ConclusionWQF demonstrates significant efficacy in improving cough symptoms in the treatment of adult CAP with phlegm-heat obstructing the lung syndrome, and also exhibits favorable economic benefits.
5.Discussion on Current Research Status and Developmental Paths of Animal Models Based on "Pattern Identification by Formula"
Lichong MENG ; Ziyi WANG ; Xiaoqian LIAO ; Jiahao YE ; Zhixi HU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(19):269-278
"Pattern identification by formula" originates from the formula-pattern correspondence theory in traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), with its core being the reverse inference of the pattern attributes of models through pharmacodynamic responses after formula intervention. With the advancement of TCM modernization, stable and reliable pattern models have become an important bridge connecting basic research and clinical practice, and "pattern identification by formula" has provided a feasible approach to enhance the authenticity and clinical translational value of these models. In recent years, notable progress has been achieved in its application to single-pattern models (such as phlegm-stasis pattern, Yang deficiency pattern, and spleen-Qi deficiency pattern) as well as disease-pattern combination models involving the respiratory, digestive, circulatory, and nervous systems. It has not only verified the pattern attributes of the models but also revealed the pattern differentiation regularity of "different diseases with the same pattern" and "the same pattern treated with different formulas". On this basis, this study further conducts a commonality analysis of pattern models, summarizes them into two major categories (deficiency patterns and excess patterns), and embodies the pathological connotation of "deficiency results from essence-Qi consumption, and excess arises from pathogen abundance". This not only reveals the internal connections between different models but also provides a basis for the summary of formula-pattern rules and research on pattern standardization. However, current studies still suffer multiple problems such as non-standardized naming of patterns, lack of rationality in modeling methods, simplified design of control experiments, and insufficient description of macroscopic patterns in evaluation indicators, which affect the scientific rigor and reproducibility of the research. Future research needs to promote the unification of nomenclature and evaluation criteria of patterns, optimize modeling methods, strengthen the design of control experiments, and establish a multi-dimensional model evaluation system integrating macro- and micro-level indicators. This aims to improve the rigor and strength of evidence for "pattern identification by formula" studies, strengthen interdisciplinary integration and clinical feedback, and promote the development of TCM pattern models towards standardization and scientification. This study not only provides theoretical reference and methodological support for improving the system of TCM pattern animal models but also offers an important pathway for the experimental interpretation and modernization of TCM theories.
6.Periodontitis exacerbates pulmonary hypertension by promoting IFNγ+T cell infiltration in mice
Meng XIAOQIAN ; Du LINJUAN ; Xu SHUO ; Zhou LUJUN ; Chen BOYAN ; Li YULIN ; Chen CHUMAO ; Ye HUILIN ; Zhang JUN ; Tian GUOCAI ; Bai XUEBING ; Dong TING ; Lin WENZHEN ; Sun MENGJUN ; Zhou KECONG ; Liu YAN ; Zhang WUCHANG ; Duan SHENGZHONG
International Journal of Oral Science 2024;16(2):359-369
Uncovering the risk factors of pulmonary hypertension and its mechanisms is crucial for the prevention and treatment of the disease.In the current study,we showed that experimental periodontitis,which was established by ligation of molars followed by orally smearing subgingival plaques from patients with periodontitis,exacerbated hypoxia-induced pulmonary hypertension in mice.Mechanistically,periodontitis dysregulated the pulmonary microbiota by promoting ectopic colonization and enrichment of oral bacteria in the lungs,contributing to pulmonary infiltration of interferon gamma positive(IFNγ+)T cells and aggravating the progression of pulmonary hypertension.In addition,we identified Prevotella zoogleoformans as the critical periodontitis-associated bacterium driving the exacerbation of pulmonary hypertension by periodontitis,and the exacerbation was potently ameliorated by both cervical lymph node excision and IFNγ neutralizing antibodies.Our study suggests a proof of concept that the combined prevention and treatment of periodontitis and pulmonary hypertension are necessary.
7.Impact of male body mass index on pregnancy complications in their partners and offspring birth outcomes
Xiaoqian XU ; Ye ZHENG ; Longfeng XU ; Rong TANG
Chinese Journal of Perinatal Medicine 2024;27(12):1083-1087
The influence of female pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI) on maternal and neonatal outcomes is well recognized. Similarly, the role of male BMI on pregnancy complications in their partners and offspring birth outcomes has also caught increasing public attention. Male obesity may negatively affect their partners and fetuses through a variety of mechanisms, such as changes in semen composition, sperm morphology and physiology, and epigenetic modifications. Unhealthy lifestyles shared by couples can also contribute to these issues. Some animal studies have attempted to explore the related mechanisms. This article reviews the effect of male BMI on female pregnancy complications and neonatal outcomes, and investigations into the potential mechanisms involved using animal models. This study emphasizes the importance of taking paternal factors into diagnostic evaluations for healthcare professionals and the significance of male BMI control for better protecting their partners and offspring.
8.Impact of male body mass index on pregnancy complications in their partners and offspring birth outcomes
Xiaoqian XU ; Ye ZHENG ; Longfeng XU ; Rong TANG
Chinese Journal of Perinatal Medicine 2024;27(12):1083-1087
The influence of female pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI) on maternal and neonatal outcomes is well recognized. Similarly, the role of male BMI on pregnancy complications in their partners and offspring birth outcomes has also caught increasing public attention. Male obesity may negatively affect their partners and fetuses through a variety of mechanisms, such as changes in semen composition, sperm morphology and physiology, and epigenetic modifications. Unhealthy lifestyles shared by couples can also contribute to these issues. Some animal studies have attempted to explore the related mechanisms. This article reviews the effect of male BMI on female pregnancy complications and neonatal outcomes, and investigations into the potential mechanisms involved using animal models. This study emphasizes the importance of taking paternal factors into diagnostic evaluations for healthcare professionals and the significance of male BMI control for better protecting their partners and offspring.
9.Influencing factors and predictive model construction of recurrence within one year after discontinuation of medication in children with cough variant asthma after regular treatment
Ye QIU ; Xiaoqian YANG ; Yachuan CAO ; Ying CUI
Journal of Clinical Medicine in Practice 2023;27(24):42-47
Objective To analyze the influencing factors of recurrence within one year after dis-continuation of regular treatment of children's cough variant asthma(CVA)and to construct a predic-tive model,in order to provide guidance for doctors to evaluate the risk of recurrence after CVA treat-ment in children and develop prevention strategies.Methods A total of 215 children with CVA were selected as the study objects.According to whether recurrence occurred within one year after discontin-uation of regular treatment,the patients were divided into recurrence group(n=89)and non-recur-rence group(n=126).Data of two groups were collected for univariate and multivariate Logistic re-gression analysis to screen out the influencing factors of recurrence in children with CVA.The GBM prediction model was constructed by using R software to run the gradient boosting model(GBM)algo-rithm.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to analyze and compare the predictive efficiency of GBM model and Logistic regression model.Results The recurrence rate of 215 children with CVA within one year after regular treatment was 41.40%(89/215).Allergy history(OR=2.870,95%CI,1.442 to 5.714),repeated respiratory infection history(OR=4.132,95%CI,2.045 to 8.348),parents'cognitive level of CVA prevention and control(OR=1.063,95%CI,1.011 to 1.118),eosinophils(OR=0.801,95%CI,0.674 to 0.952),forced expiratory flow at 50%of vi-tal capacity(FEF50)(OR=1.055,95%CI,1.012 to 1.099),maximal midexpiratory flow rate 75/25(MMEF75/25)(OR=1.054,95%CI,1.009 to 1.102),and fractional exhaled nitric oxide(FeNO)(OR=0.883,95%CI,0.834 to 0.935)were influencing factors for recurrence within one year after regular treatment of children's CVA(P<0.05).According to ROC curve analysis,the area under the curve of GBM model was 0.872,which was larger than 0.827 of Logistic regression model.Conclusion GBM prediction model is established based on the influencing factors of recur-rence within one year after regular treatment of CVA in children,which can be used as a reference for clinical measures to prevent recurrence in children after treatment of CVA.
10.Influencing factors and predictive model construction of recurrence within one year after discontinuation of medication in children with cough variant asthma after regular treatment
Ye QIU ; Xiaoqian YANG ; Yachuan CAO ; Ying CUI
Journal of Clinical Medicine in Practice 2023;27(24):42-47
Objective To analyze the influencing factors of recurrence within one year after dis-continuation of regular treatment of children's cough variant asthma(CVA)and to construct a predic-tive model,in order to provide guidance for doctors to evaluate the risk of recurrence after CVA treat-ment in children and develop prevention strategies.Methods A total of 215 children with CVA were selected as the study objects.According to whether recurrence occurred within one year after discontin-uation of regular treatment,the patients were divided into recurrence group(n=89)and non-recur-rence group(n=126).Data of two groups were collected for univariate and multivariate Logistic re-gression analysis to screen out the influencing factors of recurrence in children with CVA.The GBM prediction model was constructed by using R software to run the gradient boosting model(GBM)algo-rithm.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to analyze and compare the predictive efficiency of GBM model and Logistic regression model.Results The recurrence rate of 215 children with CVA within one year after regular treatment was 41.40%(89/215).Allergy history(OR=2.870,95%CI,1.442 to 5.714),repeated respiratory infection history(OR=4.132,95%CI,2.045 to 8.348),parents'cognitive level of CVA prevention and control(OR=1.063,95%CI,1.011 to 1.118),eosinophils(OR=0.801,95%CI,0.674 to 0.952),forced expiratory flow at 50%of vi-tal capacity(FEF50)(OR=1.055,95%CI,1.012 to 1.099),maximal midexpiratory flow rate 75/25(MMEF75/25)(OR=1.054,95%CI,1.009 to 1.102),and fractional exhaled nitric oxide(FeNO)(OR=0.883,95%CI,0.834 to 0.935)were influencing factors for recurrence within one year after regular treatment of children's CVA(P<0.05).According to ROC curve analysis,the area under the curve of GBM model was 0.872,which was larger than 0.827 of Logistic regression model.Conclusion GBM prediction model is established based on the influencing factors of recur-rence within one year after regular treatment of CVA in children,which can be used as a reference for clinical measures to prevent recurrence in children after treatment of CVA.

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