1.Effect of Tongbian Decoction (通便汤) on the VAPB-PTPIP51 Complex and Autophagy of Interstitial Cells of Cajal in the Colon of Slow Transit Constipation Model Rats
Chuyue WANG ; Jiacheng LI ; Yingqi YANG ; Sicheng SHEN ; Zhiyang CHEN ; Zhizhong XU ; Bensheng WU ; Meiyao CHEN ; Ziwei XIONG ; Jinhui GU ; Xiaopeng WANG
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;67(9):985-993
ObjectiveTo explore the possible mechanism of Tongbian Decoction (通便汤, TD) in treating slow transit constipation (STC). MethodsTwenty-four SD rats were randomly divided into normal group, model group, TD group, and mosapride group, with 6 rats per group. Except for the normal group, STC models were established by intragastric administration of loperamide hydrochloride combined with normal saline. On the day following successful model establishment, rats in the TD group received 18.63 g·kg⁻¹ of TD by gavage, while those in the mosapride group received 1.605 mg·d⁻¹ of mosapride, and those in the normal group and the model group received 10 ml·kg⁻¹ of normal saline by gavage. All treatments were administered once daily for 7 consecutive days. Twenty-four hours after the last administration, fecal pellet number and fecal water content were measured. After intragastric administration of a 10% activated charcoal suspension, the small intestinal transit rate was calculated 30 minutes later. Serum levels of gastrin (GAS) and motilin (MTL) were measured by ELISA. Colonic histopathology was observed by HE staining, and mucus secretion by Alcian blue-periodic acid-Schiff (AB-PAS) staining. Ultrastructure of colon tissue was examined using transmission electron microscopy. Protein expression levels of C-kit, stem cell factor (SCF), autophagy-related protein 5 (ATG5), Beclin1, vesicle-associated membrane protein B (VAPB), and protein tyrosine phosphatase interacting protein 51 (VAPB-PTPIP51) were measured by Western Blot, and the mRNA levels were detected by real-time PCR. Immunohistochemistry was used to detect SCF, C-kit, Beclin1, and ATG5 expression. The calcium content in colon tissue was determined by ELISA. ResultsCompared to the normal group, rats in the model group showed significantly reduced fecal pellet number, fecal water content, small intestinal transit rate, and serum GAS and MTL levels (P<0.01); the number of goblet cells decreased, and the mucosal and muscular layers of the colon became thinner; mRNA and protein expression levels of ATG5 and Beclin1 in colon tissue significantly increased, while calcium content decreased (P<0.05 or P<0.01); and electron microscopy revealed vacuolar degeneration and increased autophagosomes in colonic cells. Compared to the model group, both TD group and mosapride group showed increased fecal pellet number, fecal water content, small intestinal transit rate, serum GAS and MTL levels, and colonic calcium content, along with decreased Beclin1 and ATG5 protein levels (P<0.05 or P<0.01); the mucosal thickness and goblet cell number increased significantly, and autophagosomes decreased; in the TD group, ATG5 and Beclin1 mRNA levels decreased; in the mosapride group, SCF, VAPB, and PTPIP51 mRNA levels increased, while Beclin1 mRNA decreased (P<0.05 or P<0.01). Compared to the mosapride group, the TD group showed higher fecal pellet number, fecal water content, serum GAS levels, colonic calcium content, and C-kit expression, along with lower ATG5 and Beclin1 levels (P<0.05 or P<0.01). ConclusionTD may improve constipation symptoms by upregulating the VAPB-PTPIP51 complex during mitochondria-endoplasmic reticulum interactions, reducing autophagy of interstitial cells of Cajal, and promoting intestinal motility.
2.Effect of Tongbian Decoction (通便汤) on the VAPB-PTPIP51 Complex and Autophagy of Interstitial Cells of Cajal in the Colon of Slow Transit Constipation Model Rats
Chuyue WANG ; Jiacheng LI ; Yingqi YANG ; Sicheng SHEN ; Zhiyang CHEN ; Zhizhong XU ; Bensheng WU ; Meiyao CHEN ; Ziwei XIONG ; Jinhui GU ; Xiaopeng WANG
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;67(9):985-993
ObjectiveTo explore the possible mechanism of Tongbian Decoction (通便汤, TD) in treating slow transit constipation (STC). MethodsTwenty-four SD rats were randomly divided into normal group, model group, TD group, and mosapride group, with 6 rats per group. Except for the normal group, STC models were established by intragastric administration of loperamide hydrochloride combined with normal saline. On the day following successful model establishment, rats in the TD group received 18.63 g·kg⁻¹ of TD by gavage, while those in the mosapride group received 1.605 mg·d⁻¹ of mosapride, and those in the normal group and the model group received 10 ml·kg⁻¹ of normal saline by gavage. All treatments were administered once daily for 7 consecutive days. Twenty-four hours after the last administration, fecal pellet number and fecal water content were measured. After intragastric administration of a 10% activated charcoal suspension, the small intestinal transit rate was calculated 30 minutes later. Serum levels of gastrin (GAS) and motilin (MTL) were measured by ELISA. Colonic histopathology was observed by HE staining, and mucus secretion by Alcian blue-periodic acid-Schiff (AB-PAS) staining. Ultrastructure of colon tissue was examined using transmission electron microscopy. Protein expression levels of C-kit, stem cell factor (SCF), autophagy-related protein 5 (ATG5), Beclin1, vesicle-associated membrane protein B (VAPB), and protein tyrosine phosphatase interacting protein 51 (VAPB-PTPIP51) were measured by Western Blot, and the mRNA levels were detected by real-time PCR. Immunohistochemistry was used to detect SCF, C-kit, Beclin1, and ATG5 expression. The calcium content in colon tissue was determined by ELISA. ResultsCompared to the normal group, rats in the model group showed significantly reduced fecal pellet number, fecal water content, small intestinal transit rate, and serum GAS and MTL levels (P<0.01); the number of goblet cells decreased, and the mucosal and muscular layers of the colon became thinner; mRNA and protein expression levels of ATG5 and Beclin1 in colon tissue significantly increased, while calcium content decreased (P<0.05 or P<0.01); and electron microscopy revealed vacuolar degeneration and increased autophagosomes in colonic cells. Compared to the model group, both TD group and mosapride group showed increased fecal pellet number, fecal water content, small intestinal transit rate, serum GAS and MTL levels, and colonic calcium content, along with decreased Beclin1 and ATG5 protein levels (P<0.05 or P<0.01); the mucosal thickness and goblet cell number increased significantly, and autophagosomes decreased; in the TD group, ATG5 and Beclin1 mRNA levels decreased; in the mosapride group, SCF, VAPB, and PTPIP51 mRNA levels increased, while Beclin1 mRNA decreased (P<0.05 or P<0.01). Compared to the mosapride group, the TD group showed higher fecal pellet number, fecal water content, serum GAS levels, colonic calcium content, and C-kit expression, along with lower ATG5 and Beclin1 levels (P<0.05 or P<0.01). ConclusionTD may improve constipation symptoms by upregulating the VAPB-PTPIP51 complex during mitochondria-endoplasmic reticulum interactions, reducing autophagy of interstitial cells of Cajal, and promoting intestinal motility.
3.Meta-analysis of the efficacy and safety total glucosides of paeonia in the treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus
Xiangyan HAO ; Jiahui LENG ; Zhengqi LIU ; Xinchang WANG ; Cong HUANG ; Xiaopeng LI ; Yi LING
China Pharmacy 2026;37(2):232-237
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the efficacy and safety of total glucosides of paeonia (TGP) in the treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS Randomized controlled trial (RCT) about TGP combined with western medicine versus western medicine alone for SLE treatment were retrieved from PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, CNKI, VIP, Wanfang Data, and CBM. The search period spanned from the inception of each database to June 1, 2025. After literature screening, data extraction, and quality assessment of the included studies, Meta-analysis was performed using RevMan 5.4 software. RESULTS Fifteen RCTs, involving 1 318 patients, were included. Meta-analysis results showed that compared with western medicine alone, TGP combined with western medicine significantly improved clinical efficacy [OR=4.96, 95%CI(3.41, 7.23), P<0.000 01], complement 3 [MD=0.18, 95%CI (0.13, 0.23), P<0.000 01] and complement 4[MD=0.08, 般021) 95%CI (0.04, 0.11), P<0.000 01], and reduced the levels of immunoglobulin G (IgG) [MD=-3.10, 95%CI (-3.59,-2.62), P<0.000 01], IgA [MD=-0.68, 95%CI (-0.78, -0.58), P<0.000 01], IgM [MD=-0.43, 95%CI (-0.53,-0.34), P<0.000 01], systemic lupus erythematosus disease activity index (SLEDAI) [MD=-1.59, 95%CI (-2.20, -0.99), P<0.000 01], recurrence rate [OR=0.23, 95%CI (0.13, 0.42), P<0.000 01] and the incidence of adverse drug reactions [OR= 0.54, 95%CI (0.36, 0.82), P=0.004]. CONCLUSIONS TGP therapy can improve clinical efficacy of SLE patients, promote the restoration of immunoglobulins and complements, reduce SLEDAI and recurrence rate and has good safety.
4.Consistent Detection of Aquaporin-4 Antibodies:A Comparative Analysis Between Fixed and Live Cell-Based Assays
Jing WANG ; Linge WANG ; Xiaolin YANG ; Zhizhong LI ; Jinyu JIANG ; Qiao XU ; Siyuan HUANG ; Qing FU ; Yang YANG ; Rongrong ZHANG ; Lin YANG ; Ai CHEN ; Xiaopeng ZENG ; Ke XU ; Peng ZHENG ; Xinyue QIN ; Jinzhou FENG
Journal of Clinical Neurology 2026;22(2):212-220
Background:
and Purpose Live cell-based assays (LCBA) are increasingly used for serological antibody detection due to their ability to preserve antigen conformation, offering moderately higher sensitivity than fixed cell-based assays. However, the clinical necessity of prioritizing LCBA for the detection of aquaporin-4 immunoglobulin G (AQP4-IgG) in neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) remains unclear, especially when compared to its established role in diagnosing myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease.
Methods:
We compared the performance of live cell-based assays using immunofluorescence (LCBA-IF) and fixed cell-based assays using immunofluorescence (FCBA-IF) in detecting AQP4-IgG in 90 cases of NMOSD meeting 2015 International Panel for Neuromyelitis Optica Diagnosis criteria, alongside 40 controls. Additionally, we further investigated the relationship between AQP4-IgG titers as measured by LCBA-IF and FCBA-IF and clinical parameters in NMOSD patients.
Results:
Results showed 96.9% agreement between LCBA-IF and FCBA-IF (Cohen’s κ=0.935), with a strong Spearman correlation (0.977, p<0.001). Both methods demonstrated 100% specificity, with LCBA-IF showing slightly higher sensitivity compared to FCBA-IF. Within LCBAIF-tested groups, statistically significant differences in annualized relapse rates were observed across all pairwise comparisons (low-titer vs. moderate-titer, low-titer vs. high-titer, and moderate-titer vs. high-titer; all p<0.050). However, this association reached statistical significance in some FCBA-IF-tested groups.
Conclusions
Overall, there is a strong concordance between LCBA-IF and FCBA-IF in detecting AQP4-IgG, where LCBA-IF shows slightly higher sensitivity. Furthermore, there is a potential link between elevated AQP4-IgG titers and an increased risk of relapse, and this correlation may appear more pronounced when using LCBA-IF.
5.Design and practice of China-Africa public health capacity training programs based on the win-win concept
Lili WANG ; Xinyi ZHANG ; Mingfan PANG ; Yuting FENG ; Yuansheng FANG ; Xiaopeng QI
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2026;38(2):119-122
Since the founding of the People’s Republic of China, remarkable achievements have been gained in infectious disease prevention and control, and rich practical experiences have been accumulated. If these experiences are shared with developing countries, it will greatly contribute to global infectious disease control and global health security. Under the framework of Forum on China-Africa Cooperation, a series of China-Africa public health capacity training programs have been recently held in China, in order to help improve the capability of infectious disease control in African countries. This article summarized and refined good design concepts and practices from these programs, so as to provide insights into sustainable optimization of China-Africa public health capacity training and improvements of the training effectiveness.
6.Chinese Medicine in Treatment of Ulcerative Colitis by Regulating JAK2/STAT3 Signaling Pathway: A Review
Renxun ZHANG ; Jinwen LI ; Wang DING ; Yuanqing JI ; Jing CHEN ; Zhixia HU ; Xiaopeng DONG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(21):273-283
Ulcerative colitis (UC) is a chronic nonspecific inflammatory intestinal disease with a complex pathogenesis. Its recurrent attacks easily lead to persistent intestinal mucosal damage, resulting in a year-by-year increase in incidence and imposing a heavy burden on patients. Currently, the treatment of UC mainly relies on corticosteroids, immunosuppressants, and aminosalicylate preparations. However, these therapies are limited by significant side effects, strong drug resistance, and poor long-term prognosis. As one of the important inflammatory pathways, the Janus kinase 2 (JAK2)/signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (STAT3) signaling pathway can regulate the occurrence and development of UC through multiple pathways by modulating multiple downstream targets. Therefore, the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway offers a new research direction for the treatment of UC. Numerous studies have shown that the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway plays an important role in intestinal inflammatory responses, intestinal mucosal barrier damage, T helper cell 17 (Th17)/regulatory T cell (Treg) immune imbalance, intestinal epithelial cell apoptosis, and oxidative stress. Chinese medicine has attracted increasing attention because of its unique advantages, including fewer side effects, individualized diagnosis and treatment, and enhancement of efficacy with reduction of toxicity. In addition to traditional Chinese herbal formulas, more Chinese medicine monomers and extracts have played key roles because of their more precise therapeutic targets. In recent years, many studies have confirmed that Chinese medicine can exert therapeutic effects on UC by interfering with the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway, thereby alleviating intestinal inflammatory responses, repairing the intestinal mucosal barrier, regulating the balance of Th17/Treg immune cells, inhibiting intestinal epithelial cell apoptosis, and suppressing oxidative stress. This article summarizes and reviews recent research progress in this field from three aspects, including an overview of the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway, the relationship between the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway and UC, and the regulatory mechanisms of traditional Chinese medicine, with the aim of providing a theoretical basis for the future clinical treatment of UC and drug development.
7.Chinese Medicine in Treatment of Ulcerative Colitis by Regulating JAK2/STAT3 Signaling Pathway: A Review
Renxun ZHANG ; Jinwen LI ; Wang DING ; Yuanqing JI ; Jing CHEN ; Zhixia HU ; Xiaopeng DONG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(21):273-283
Ulcerative colitis (UC) is a chronic nonspecific inflammatory intestinal disease with a complex pathogenesis. Its recurrent attacks easily lead to persistent intestinal mucosal damage, resulting in a year-by-year increase in incidence and imposing a heavy burden on patients. Currently, the treatment of UC mainly relies on corticosteroids, immunosuppressants, and aminosalicylate preparations. However, these therapies are limited by significant side effects, strong drug resistance, and poor long-term prognosis. As one of the important inflammatory pathways, the Janus kinase 2 (JAK2)/signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (STAT3) signaling pathway can regulate the occurrence and development of UC through multiple pathways by modulating multiple downstream targets. Therefore, the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway offers a new research direction for the treatment of UC. Numerous studies have shown that the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway plays an important role in intestinal inflammatory responses, intestinal mucosal barrier damage, T helper cell 17 (Th17)/regulatory T cell (Treg) immune imbalance, intestinal epithelial cell apoptosis, and oxidative stress. Chinese medicine has attracted increasing attention because of its unique advantages, including fewer side effects, individualized diagnosis and treatment, and enhancement of efficacy with reduction of toxicity. In addition to traditional Chinese herbal formulas, more Chinese medicine monomers and extracts have played key roles because of their more precise therapeutic targets. In recent years, many studies have confirmed that Chinese medicine can exert therapeutic effects on UC by interfering with the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway, thereby alleviating intestinal inflammatory responses, repairing the intestinal mucosal barrier, regulating the balance of Th17/Treg immune cells, inhibiting intestinal epithelial cell apoptosis, and suppressing oxidative stress. This article summarizes and reviews recent research progress in this field from three aspects, including an overview of the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway, the relationship between the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway and UC, and the regulatory mechanisms of traditional Chinese medicine, with the aim of providing a theoretical basis for the future clinical treatment of UC and drug development.
8.Observation of the clinical efficacy of moxa-stick moxibustion in treating diarrhea-predominant irritable bowel syndrome
Jindan MA ; Guona LI ; Fangyuan SUN ; Qin QI ; Luyi WU ; Chen ZHAO ; Huirong LIU ; Yuan LU ; Xiaopeng MA ; Liming CHEN ; Zhaoqin WANG ; Cili ZHOU ; Huangan WU ; Jue HONG
Journal of Acupuncture and Tuina Science 2025;23(2):135-143
Objective:To observe the clinical efficacy of gentle moxibustion at different temperatures in treating people with diarrhea-predominant bowel syndrome(IBS-D)due to spleen deficiency.Methods:A total of 108 IBS-D patients were divided into two groups using the random number table method,with 54 participants in each group.Moxibustion group 1 received gentle moxibustion at(43±1)℃at bilateral Tianshu(ST25)and Zusanli(ST36),lasting 30 min each session;moxibustion group 2 received gentle moxibustion at(37±1)℃at the same points.Both groups received the intervention 3 times weekly for a total of 18 sessions.Abdominal pain intensity,stool form,pattern-based efficacy,quality of life,and mental health assessments were performed at weeks 0,3,6,and 8.Results:The total effective rate for abdominal pain intensity was 87.8%in moxibustion group 1 versus 51.1%in moxibustion group 2,and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).When the treatment finished,abdominal pain intensity,the Bristol score,IBS-symptom severity scale(IBS-SSS)score,self-rating anxiety scale(SAS)score,and self-rating depression scale(SDS)score dropped significantly in both groups(P<0.05),and the IBS-quality of life(IBS-QOL)score increased markedly(P<0.05).Between-group comparisons demonstrated that abdominal pain intensity,the Bristol general score,IBS-SSS score,traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)pattern score,and SDS score were significantly lower in moxibustion group 1 than in moxibustion group 2 at treatment week 6(P<0.05),and the IBS-QOL score was notably higher in moxibustion group 1(P<0.05).Conclusion:Whether at 43℃or 37℃,gentle moxibustion at Tianshu(ST25)and Zusanli(ST36)can improve abdominal pain,stool form,and quality of life,reduce disease severity,and mitigate TCM pattern in IBS-D patients;43℃gentle moxibustion performs better than 37℃gentle moxibustion in improving abdominal pain,stool form,disease severity,TCM pattern,quality of life,anxiety,and depression in IBS-D.
9.Relationship of insulin resistance and related indicators with early neurological deterioration in branch atheromatous disease
Jiaqi XIU ; Canyu YANG ; Yang WANG ; Bing LI ; Zhi XI ; Si CHEN ; Xiaopeng YANG
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2025;27(11):1526-1530
Objective To investigate the association of insulin resistance(IR)and its related indices,including triacylglycerol-glucose(TyG)index and metabolic score of insulin resistance(Mets-IR),with the occurrence of early neurological deterioration(END)in patients with branch atheromatous disease(BAD),and develop a risk prediction model based on these factors.Methods A total of 189 BAD patients were consecutively recruited from the Department of Neurology of the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University between March 2020 and August 2024.Based on the occurrence of END within 7 d after admission,the participants were stratified into END(75 cases)and non-END(114 cases)groups.Demographic characteristics,clinical parameters,TyG index and Mets-IR values were systematically collected and analyzed.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors for END in BAD-related stroke.Receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC)analysis was subsequently conducted to evaluate the predictive performance of significant variables,followed by construction of a nomogram prediction model.Results The END group exhibited significantly elevated fasting blood glucose[6.47(5.74,7.86)mmol/L vs 5.83(5.14,6.70)mmol/L]and triacylglycerol[1.65(1.21,2.04)mmol/L vs 1.27(0.99,1.57)mmol/L]levels,higher body mass index[25.02(23.88,26.67)kg/m2 vs 23.71(22.66,25.27)kg/m2]and TyG index(9.03±0.41 vs 8.71±0.45),and increased Mets-IR(39.98±4.23 vs 36.85±4.38)and NIHSS score[5.00(3.00,7.00)vs 3.00(2.00,5.00)]at admission when compared with the non-END group(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that high TyG index(OR=3.751,95%CI:1.592-9.202,P<0.01),Mets-IR(OR=1.146,95%CI:1.049-1.252,P<0.01),and NIHSS score at admission(OR=1.279,95%CI:1.128-1.451,P<0.01)were risk factors for the occurrence of END in BAD patients(P<0.05).ROC curve indicated that the AUC value of TyG index,Mets-IR,and NIHSS score at admission in predicting END occurrence was 0.698(95%CI:0.623-0.774,P<0.01),0.698(95%CI:0.620-0.775,P<0.01),and 0.666(95%CI:0.586-0.745,P<0.01),respectively.The nomogram prediction model based on these factors demonstrated significant clinical benefits by decision curve analysis and goodness of fit in internal calibration analysis.Conclusion IR shows significant association with END in BAD patients.The IR related indices,TyG index and Mets-IR,have certain predictive efficiency for occurrence and progression of END.
10.Construction and effectiveness assessment of a Harvard cancer index-based predictive model for perioperative venous thromboembolism in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture
Yifeng GUO ; Bingdu TONG ; Xin GUO ; Tingting GUO ; Yuchen MA ; Na GAO ; Xuan WANG ; Weinan LIU ; Xiaopeng HUO ; Yaping CHEN
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(5):501-509
Objective:To construct a Harvard cancer index-based risk predictive model for perioperative venous thromboembolism (VTE) in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture and assess its predictive effectiveness.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 610 elderly patients with femoral neck fracture admitted to Peking Union Medical College Hospital between January 2013 and December 2022, including 193 males and 417 females, aged 60-99 years [(77.3±9.0)years]. The patients were divided into VTE group ( n=125) and non-VTE group ( n=485) according to occurrence of VTE during the perioperative period. The two groups were compared in terms of gender, age, body mass index, smoking status, alcohol consumption, time from fracture to admission, surgical waiting time, comorbidities, perioperative electrolyte disorders, past or present history of malignancy, past history of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) or pulmonary embolism (PE), and preoperative use of oral anticoagulants. Univariate analysis and multivariable stepwise Logistic regression analysis were conducted to evaluate and identify independent risk factors for perioperative VTE in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture. A perioperative VTE risk predictive model for elderly patients with femoral neck fracture was constructed using the Harvard cancer index: (1) assigning a risk score to each variable according to the corresponding conversion criteria of the Harvard cancer index and risk score, based on the magnitude of their ORs; (2) determining the exposure rate of each risk factor based on the population distribution observed in this study; (3) calculating the average population risk score; (4) computing the individual VTE risk score; (5) deriving the ratio (X) of each individual ′s VTE risk score to the population average. Based on the Harvard cancer index classification criteria for disease risk levels, individual VTE risk categories were determined. The predictive performance of the risk stratification was evaluated by comparing the incidence of VTE across different risk levels. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated based on sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). The calibration of the model was assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test and internal validation was performed using the bootstrap resampling method with 1000 iterations. Results:Univariate analysis showed that gender, age, time from fracture to admission, surgical waiting time, previous cerebral infarction, stroke within the past month, Alzheimer′s disease, primary Parkinson′s syndrome, hysterectomy with bilateral adnexectomy, perioperative electrolyte disorders, history of DVT or PE, and preoperative use of oral anticoagulant drug were moderately associated with the occurrence of VTE in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture ( P<0.10). Multivariable stepwise logistic regression analysis demonstrated that female gender ( OR=2.26, 95% CI 1.34, 3.80, P<0.01), time from fracture to admission>1 day ( OR=3.70, 95% CI 2.24, 6.12, P<0.01), surgical waiting time>70 hours ( OR=2.06, 95% CI 1.29, 3.30, P<0.01), previous cerebral infarction ( OR=3.78, 95% CI 1.04, 13.76, P<0.05), stroke within the past month ( OR=11.57, 95% CI 1.21, 110.44, P<0.05), Alzheimer′s disease ( OR=3.26, 95% CI 1.12, 9.49, P<0.05), primary Parkinson ′s syndrome ( OR=3.47, 95% CI 1.22, 9.85, P<0.05), previous hysterectomy with bilateral adnexectomy ( OR=4.75, 95% CI 2.09, 10.80, P<0.01), perioperative electrolyte disorders ( OR=2.73, 95% CI 1.39, 5.35, P<0.01), and preoperative oral anticoagulant use ( OR=3.86, 95% CI 1.18, 12.67, P<0.05) were significantly associated with the occurrence of perioperative VTE in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture. Based on the above 10 risk factors, a perioperative VTE risk predictive model for elderly patients with femoral neck fracture was constructed with the Harvard cancer index. The formula was as follows: X=[10×(female gender)+25×(time from fracture to admission>1 day)+10×(surgical waiting time>70 hours)+25×(previous cerebral infarction)+50×(stroke within the past month)+25×(Alzheimer′s disease)+25×(primary Parkinson′s disease)+25×(previous hysterectomy with bilateral adnexectomy)+10×(perioperative electrolyte disorders)+25×(preoperative use of oral anticoagulant drug)]/33. Individualized VTE risk was classified into five levels: very low, low, moderate, high, and very high, with corresponding VTE rates of 4.8%, 11.8%, 14.9%, 32.3%, and 73.5%, respectively ( χ2=87.71, P<0.01). The VTE risk predictive model demonstrated an AUC of 0.74 (95% CI 0.69, 0.79, P<0.01), with a sensitivity of 63.2% and specificity of 74.8%. The H-L goodness-of-fit test indicated satisfactory model calibration ( P>0.05). The internal validation with the bootstrap method confirmed that the AUC remained 0.74. Conclusions:Female gender, time from fracture to admission>1 day, surgical waiting time>70 hours, previous cerebral infarction, stroke within the past month, Alzheimer′s disease, primary Parkinson′s syndrome, hysterectomy with bilateral adnexectomy, perioperative electrolyte disorders, and preoperative use of oral anticoagulant drug are independent risk factors for perioperative VTE in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture. Based on these factors, the perioperative VTE risk predictive model constructed using the Harvard cancer index demonstrates good clinical predictive value. Individualized VTE risk stratification can effectively identify high-, intermediate-, and low-risk populations, providing a valuable reference for tailoring anticoagulant prophylaxis strategies and enhancing postoperative surveillance.

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