1.Predicting intraoperative blood transfusion risk in hip fracture patients using explainable machine learning models
Fengting LU ; Xiaoming LI ; Dekui LI ; Xianyuan XIE ; Jiazhong WANG ; Qing YU ; Gan HUANG ; Jun SHEN
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(2):196-202
Objective: To investigate the factors influencing intraoperative blood transfusion in patients with hip fractures and to develop a machine learning (ML) model for predicting this risk. Methods: A total of 424 patients with hip fractures who underwent surgical treatment between November 2022 and March 2025 in our hospital were selected. Key feature variables of intraoperative blood transfusion risk were identified using the Boruta algorithm. Four different ML algorithms—support vector machine (SVM), linear discriminant analysis (LDA), mixed discriminant analysis (MDA), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)—were used to develop predictive models for intraoperative blood transfusion risk. The predictive performance of the four ML models were evaluated using accuracy, precision, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, precision-recall curves (PRC), precision-recall gain curves (PRGC), and F1 scores. Shapley additive interpretation (SHAP) was used to interpret the final model. Results: Among the 424 patients, 77(18.2%) received intraoperative blood transfusion. The Boruta algorithm identified albumin (ALB), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), types of anesthesia, types of fracture, and hemoglobin (Hb) as key feature variables for predicting intraoperative blood transfusion risk. In model evaluation, the SVM model outperforms the other three models across multiple metrics, including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), recall, recall gain, accuracy, precision, F1 score, and the area under the precision-recall curve (PRC-AUC). The SVM model, interpreted and visualized based on SHAP values, effectively predicted intraoperative blood transfusion risk in patients with hip fracture. A visual online application was developed based on the SVM model (https://pbo-nomogram.shinyapps.io/blood/). Conclusion: Preoperative low ALB and Hb levels, prolonged APTT, general anesthesia, and intertrochanteric fractures are risk factors for intraoperative blood transfusion in hip fracture patients. The risk prediction model for intraoperative blood transfusion constructed based on the SVM algorithm has optimal performance, which provides new ideas and methods for the clinical early identification of hip fracture patients with high transfusion risk and the implementation of targeted interventions.
2.Neuroprotective effect and mechanism of eleutheroside B on Parkinson’s disease model mice by regulating the IKKβ/NF-κB signaling pathway
Xiaoli WANG ; Hua RONG ; Siwen PAN ; Chunlei YU ; Tianjiao XU ; Yu SUN ; Huan CONG ; Yu PANG ; Gang CHEN ; Xiaoming LI
China Pharmacy 2026;37(8):998-1002
OBJECTIVE To investigate the neuroprotective effect and mechanism of eleutheroside B (ELB) on Parkinson’s disease (PD) model mice by regulating the IκB kinase β (IKKβ)/nuclear factor-κB (NF-κB) signaling pathway. METHODS Fifty mice were randomly divided into normal control group, model group, positive control group (selegiline hydrochloride, 10 mg/kg), and ELB low-dose and high-dose groups (80, 160 mg/kg), with 10 mice in each group. Each group was given relevant medicine or normal saline intragastrically for 14 consecutive days. Starting from the 10th day of administration, the model group and all administration groups were intraperitoneally injected with 1-methyl-4-phenyl-1,2,3,6-tetrahydropyridine (MPTP) 30 mg/kg, for five consecutive days to establish the chronic PD model. After the last administration for 24 h, six mice were randomly selected from each group to test their behavioral abilities; detect the levels of interleukin-1β (IL-1β), IL-10, tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) in brain tissue and their mRNA expressions were measured, and positive expression of tyrosine hydroxylase (TH), protein expressions of TH, α -synuclein ( α -syn), ionized calcium-binding adaptor molecule 1 (Iba-1), as well as phosphorylation levels of IKKβ and NF-κB p65 proteins in the brain tissue were detected. The ultrastructure of neurons in substantia nigra was observed. RESULTS Compared with the model group, rotarod endurance time and climbing score of each administration group (except for the ELB low-dose group) were increased significantly ( P <0.05), while the levels and mRNA expressions of IL-1β, TNF-α, α -syn, and Iba-1, as well as phosphorylation levels of IKKβ and NF-κB p65 proteins in brain tissue were decreased significantly (except for TNF-α in the ELB low-dose group). Conversely, the level and mRNA expression of IL-10 (except for the ELB low-dose group), TH positive expression and protein expressions were significantly increased ( P <0.05). Typical neurodegenerative pathological changes, such as neuronal karyopyknosis, mitochondrial swelling and vacuolization, and endoplasmic reticulum dilation, all showed varying degrees of improvement. CONCLUSIONS ELB may exert neuroprotective effects by inhibiting the activation of the IKKβ/NF-κB signaling pathway, alleviating inflammatory responses, reducing abnormal α -syn aggregation and neuronal loss, and further improving motor dysfunction in PD mice.
3.Establishment and clinical application of a method for the determination of three anti-tuberculosis drugs concentrations in plasma of patients with spinal tuberculosis
Yanhong MOU ; Xuehua WU ; Yongfang LI ; Xiaoming CHE
China Pharmacy 2026;37(1):72-76
OBJECTIVE To establish a method for simultaneously determining three anti-tuberculosis drugs in the plasma of patients with spinal tuberculosis and apply it in clinical practice. METHODS LC-MS/MS method was established for the quantitative determination of the concentrations of isoniazid, rifampicin and pyrazinamide in the plasma of patients with spinal tuberculosis, using diphenhydramine as the internal standard. The determination was carried out using Chemalink CM-C18T column, with mobile phase consisting of 0.1% formic acid-methanol solution (gradient elution), at the flow rate of 0.4 mL/min and an injection volume of 2 μL. Multiple reaction monitoring was conducted using an electrospray ionization source in positive ion mode. The ion pairs used for quantitative analysis were m/z 138.0→121.0( for isoniazid), m/z 823.3→791.3( for rifampicin), m/z 124.1→ 79.0 (for pyrazinamide), and m/z 256.0→167.0 (for diphenhydramine). Fifty-three patients diagnosed with spinal tuberculosis in Qinghai Provincial People’s Hospital from January 2023 to June 2025 were selected, and the plasma concentrations of isoniazid, rifampicin and pyrazinamide in these patients were measured using the above method. RESULTS The linear ranges for isoniazid, rifampicin and pyrazinamide were 0.5-16, 2-64, and 2.5-80 μg/mL, respectively (r≥0.998 7). The accuracy ranged from 90.20% to 108.64% (n=5). RSDs for intra-day precision were all less than 6.63% (n=5), while those for inter-day precision were all less than 8.42% (n=3). The matrix effects ranged from 88.60% to 115.41% (n=5). The relative deviations in the stability tests were all within the ±15% range, and the carry-over effect did not interfere with the determination. The results of clinical application showed that the mean plasma drug concentrations of isoniazid, rifampicin and pyrazinamide in patients with spinal tuberculosis were (3.62±2.80), (8.55±4.57), and (20.12±6.56) μg/mL, respectively. The incidences of plasma drug concentrations falling below the effective peak concentrations were 49.06%, 58.49% and 60.38%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS The method established in this study is rapid, accurate, and demonstrates good stability, making it suitable for clinical monitoring of the plasma concentrations of isoniazid, rifampicin and pyrazinamide in patients with spinal tuberculosis.
4.Jiawei Xiaoyao San exerts anti-liver cancer effects via exosomal miRNA pathway
Xiaoming LIU ; Jinlai CHENG ; Rushuang LI ; Niuniu LI ; Qiuyun QIN ; Meng XIA ; Chun YAO
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(19):4052-4062
BACKGROUND:Previous studies by our research group discovered that Jiawei Xiaoyao San has a significant anti-liver cancer effect,but the specific mechanism of action was unclear. OBJECTIVE:To investigate the regulatory effects of the traditional Chinese medicine formula Jiawei Xiaoyao San on the levels of miRNAs in plasma exosomes of rats with diethylnitrosamine chronically induced primary liver cancer,based on high-throughput sequencing combined with bioinformatics. METHODS:SD rats were randomly divided into a blank control group,a liver cancer model group,and a Jiawei Xiaoyao San treatment group.Liver cancer models were induced by continuous administration of diethylnitrosamine for 12 weeks.Starting from the 17th week,rats in the Jiawei Xiaoyao San treatment group were administered Jiawei Xiaoyao San once daily until the end of the 20th week,while rats in the blank control and liver cancer model groups were given an equivalent volume of saline.Anti-hepatocellular carcinoma effects were validated by assessing the morphological structure of rat liver tissues,along with the expression of the hepatocellular carcinoma markers,Glypican-3 protein and serum alpha-fetoprotein.Plasma exosomes from each group of rats were isolated using ultracentrifugation.High-throughput sequencing technology was used to screen for differentially expressed miRNAs in rat plasma exosomes.Bioinformatics was used to predict the potential biomarkers through which Jiawei Xiaoyao San exerts its anti-liver cancer effects via liver cancer-derived exosomal miRNAs,followed by functional analysis. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)Jiawei Xiaoyao San significantly improved the morphological structure of liver tissues in a rat model of liver cancer.Compared with the liver cancer model group,the expression of liver cancer markers Glypican-3 protein and serum alpha-fetoprotein was significantly reduced in the Jiawei Xiaoyao San treatment group.(2)Bioinformatics analysis showed that in the Jiawei Xiaoyao San group,upregulated miR-223-3p in the liver cancer model group had target binding sites with genes E2F1 and NCOA1,which were closely related to liver cancer survival and prognosis.Therefore,Jiawei Xiaoyao San has a therapeutic effect on liver cancer,possibly by targeting negative regulation of NCOA1/E2F1 through liver cancer plasma-derived exosomal miR-223-3p,thereby playing anti-liver cancer effect.
5.Analysis of the nonlinear relationship between hypothermic machine perfusion parameters and delayed graft function and construction of an optimized predictive model based on sampling algorithms
Boqing DONG ; Chongfeng WANG ; Yuting ZHAO ; Huanjing BI ; Ying WANG ; Jingwen WANG ; Zuhan CHEN ; Ruiyang MA ; Wujun XUE ; Yang LI ; Xiaoming DING
Organ Transplantation 2025;16(4):582-590
Objective To analyze the nonlinear relationship between hypothermic machine perfusion (HMP) parameters and delayed graft function (DGF) and optimize the construction of a predictive model for DGF. Methods The data of 923 recipients who underwent kidney transplantation from deceased donors were retrospectively analyzed. According to the occurrence of DGF, the recipients were divided into DGF group (n=823) and non-DGF group (n=100). Donor data, HMP parameters and recipient data were analyzed for both groups. The nonlinear relationship between HMP parameters and the occurrence of DGF was explored based on restricted cubic splines (RCS). Over-sampling, under-sampling and balanced sampling were used to address the imbalance in the proportion of DGF to construct logistic regression predictive models. The area under the curve (AUC) of each model was compared in the validation set, and a nomogram model was constructed. Results Donor BMI, cold ischemia time of the donor kidney, and HMP parameters (initial and final pressures, resistance, and perfusion time) were significantly different between the DGF and non-DGF groups (all P<0.05). The RCS analysis revealed a threshold-like nonlinear relationship between HMP parameters and the risk of DGF. Among the models constructed using different sampling methods, the balanced sampling model had the highest AUC. Using this model, a nomogram was constructed to stratify recipients based on risk scores. Recipients in the high-risk group had higher serum creatinine levels at 1, 6, and 12 months after kidney transplantation compared to those in the low-risk group (all P<0.05). Conclusions There is a nonlinear relationship between HMP parameters and the risk of DGF, and the threshold is helpful for organ quality assessment and monitoring of graft function after transplantation. The predictive model for DGF constructed on the base of balanced sampling algorithms helps perioperative decision-making and postoperative graft function monitoring of kidney transplantation.
6.Impact of cold spells on hospitalizations of residents in Hengyang City from 2017 to 2023: A time series study based on different definitions of cold spells
Xiaoming DENG ; Guanxiang ZOU ; Weixiong PENG ; Bin LI
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2025;42(7):808-813
Background The impact of cold spells on population health can be categorized into an independent main effect of extreme low temperatures and an added effect of prolonged low temperatures. However, studies on the added effects of cold spells on hospitalizations remain limited. Objective To investigate the added effects of cold spells on hospitalizations of residents in Hengyang City, Hunan Province, and to provide a scientific basis for establishing a cold spell early warning system. Methods Daily meteorological data, air pollutant data, and hospitalization data from six tertiary hospitals of four districts in Hengyang City from 2017 to 2023 were collected. A generalized linear model (GLM) combined with a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to assess the added effects of cold spells on non-accidental hospitalizations, as well as hospitalizations for circulatory system diseases and respiratory system diseases, after controlling the main effect of temperature. The modifying effects of cold spell characteristics (intensity and duration) and individual characteristics (gender and age) were also analyzed. Results Compared with non-cold spell periods, the relative risks (RRs) of total non-accidental hospitalizations and hospitalizations across disease categories, genders, and age groups were elevated during cold spells of varying intensities and durations. However, the total effects of cold spells exhibited a "U-shape" nonlinear relationship with intensity and decreased with prolonged duration. During high-intensity cold spells (daily average temperature < P5 and lasting ≥ 2 d), the RR (95%CI) for non-accidental hospitalizations was 1.71 (1.21, 2.42); the RRs (95%CIs) for males and females were 1.99 (1.38, 2.84) and 1.47 (1.00, 2.16), respectively; for individuals < 65 years and ≥ 65 years, the RRs (95%CIs) were 1.59 (1.12, 2.26) and 1.93 (1.27, 2.92), respectively; and for circulatory and respiratory system diseases, the RRs (95%CIs) were 1.84 (1.22, 2.79) and 1.07 (0.71, 1.60), respectively. No statistically significant differences were observed between the above subgroups. The single-day lagged effects of cold spells displayed a two-peaked pattern. The single-day lag RR for total non-accidental hospitalizations peaked at lag 1 d after cold spell exposure, declined thereafter, and began to rise again after lag 5 d, reaching a second peak at lag 12–13 d before gradually decreasing. The lagged effects remained statistically significant during lag 8–18 d. The lag patterns of cold spell associations across disease categories, genders, and age groups were largely consistent with those of total hospitalizations. Conclusion Cold spells have a significant impact on non-accidental hospitalizations of residents in Hengyang City, with notable lagged effects. The findings provide important theoretical support for establishing a more targeted cold spell early warning system.
7.Textual Research on Key Information of Famous Classical Formula Jiegengtang
Yang LEI ; Yuli LI ; Xiaoming XIE ; Zhen LIU ; Shanghua ZHANG ; Tieru CAI ; Ying TAN ; Weiqiang ZHOU ; Zhaoxu YI ; Yun TANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(7):182-190
Jiegengtang is a basic formula for treating sore throat and cough. By means of bibliometrics, this study conducted a textual research and analysis on the key information such as formula origin, decocting methods, and clinical application of Jiegengtang. After the research, it can be seen that Jiegengtang is firstly contained in Treatise on Febrile and Miscellaneous Disease, which is also known as Ganjietang, and it has been inherited and innovated by medical practitioners of various dynasties in later times. The origins of Chinese medicines in this formula is basically clear, Jiegeng is the dried roots of Platycodon grandiflorum, Gancao is the dried roots and rhizomes of Glycyrrhiza uralensis, the two medicines are selected raw products. The dosage is 27.60 g of Glycyrrhizae Radix et Rhizoma and 13.80 g of Platycodonis Radix, decocted with 600 mL of water to 200 mL, taken warmly after meals, twice a day, 100 mL for each time. In ancient times, Jiegengtang was mainly used for treating Shaoyin-heat invasion syndrome, with cough and sore throat as its core symptoms. In modern clinical practice, Jiegengtang is mainly used for respiratory diseases such as pharyngitis, esophagitis, tonsillitis and lung abscess, especially for pharyngitis and lung abscess with remarkable efficacy. This paper can provide literature reference basis for the modern clinical application and new drug development of Jiegengtang.
8.Textual Research on Key Information of Famous Classical Formula Jiegengtang
Yang LEI ; Yuli LI ; Xiaoming XIE ; Zhen LIU ; Shanghua ZHANG ; Tieru CAI ; Ying TAN ; Weiqiang ZHOU ; Zhaoxu YI ; Yun TANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(7):182-190
Jiegengtang is a basic formula for treating sore throat and cough. By means of bibliometrics, this study conducted a textual research and analysis on the key information such as formula origin, decocting methods, and clinical application of Jiegengtang. After the research, it can be seen that Jiegengtang is firstly contained in Treatise on Febrile and Miscellaneous Disease, which is also known as Ganjietang, and it has been inherited and innovated by medical practitioners of various dynasties in later times. The origins of Chinese medicines in this formula is basically clear, Jiegeng is the dried roots of Platycodon grandiflorum, Gancao is the dried roots and rhizomes of Glycyrrhiza uralensis, the two medicines are selected raw products. The dosage is 27.60 g of Glycyrrhizae Radix et Rhizoma and 13.80 g of Platycodonis Radix, decocted with 600 mL of water to 200 mL, taken warmly after meals, twice a day, 100 mL for each time. In ancient times, Jiegengtang was mainly used for treating Shaoyin-heat invasion syndrome, with cough and sore throat as its core symptoms. In modern clinical practice, Jiegengtang is mainly used for respiratory diseases such as pharyngitis, esophagitis, tonsillitis and lung abscess, especially for pharyngitis and lung abscess with remarkable efficacy. This paper can provide literature reference basis for the modern clinical application and new drug development of Jiegengtang.
9.Clinical analysis of 36 cases of cerebral venous sinus thrombosis in children
Zhen ZHOU ; Sai YANG ; Zeshu NING ; Liming YANG ; Xiaoming LI ; Zhenghui XIAO
Chinese Pediatric Emergency Medicine 2025;32(11):820-826
Objective:To investigate the clinical manifestations,etiology/triggers,treatment,and prognosis of children with cerebral venous sinus thrombosis(CVST).Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 36 children with CVST hospitalized at the Affiliated Children's Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine,Central South University(Hunan Children's Hospital)from May 2014 to January 2024.A centralized telephone follow-up was performed in May 2024,and clinical data including symptoms,imaging findings,treatments,and outcomes were collected.According to the prognosis,the children were divided into favorable-prognosis group and poor-prognosis group,and the differences of clinical characteristics between the two groups were compared.The univariate Logistic regression was applied to identify factors associated with prognosis.Results:Among the 36 cases,there were 29 males and 7 females,ranging in age from 1 month to 13 years and 3 months,with a median age of 4.6(1.0,8.3) years.The common clinical manifestations included headache(24/25,96.0%),consciousness disorder(25/36,69.4%),vomiting(22/36,61.1%),seizures(14/36,38.9%),limb dysfunction(11/36,30.6%).The leading etiologies were infection(14/36,38.9%),head trauma(8/36,22.2%),and tumors/chemotherapy(6/36,16.7%).All 36 children underwent MRI+MRV examination of the head,and all of them had different degrees of CVST,the most commonly involved site was transverse sinus (28/36,77.8%).The favorable-prognosis group( n=18)included 16 patients receiving anticoagulation and 2 trauma cases without anticoagulation.The poor-prognosis group( n=18)comprised 9 anticoagulated and 9 non-anticoagulated patients.There were no significant differences in age,sex,clinical manifestations,etiology/inducement and thrombus site between the two groups ( P>0.05).However,the proportion of anticoagulant therapy in the favorable-prognosis group was higher than that in the poor-prognosis group(88.9% vs 50.0%).Among the 25 children receiving anticoagulant therapy,16 had a good prognosis (64.0%),while among the 11 children receiving no anticoagulant therapy,only 2 had a good prognosis (18.2%).The prognosis of children receiving anticoagulant therapy was better than that of those receiving no anticoagulant therapy.The difference was statistically significant ( P<0.05).Fourteen children were admitted with intracranial hemorrhage,with 8 receiving anticoagulant therapy (7 with good prognosis,accounting for 87.5%) and 6 not receiving anticoagulant therapy (only 1 with good prognosis,accounting for 12.5%).The prognosis of children receiving anticoagulant therapy was better than that of those receiving no anticoagulant therapy,and the difference was statistically significant ( P=0.026),with no increasing in intracranial hemorrhage after anticoagulant therapy.Univariate Logistic regression analysis showed that inducement/etiology,intracranial hemorrhage before treatment and prognosis were not related( P >0.05),but anticoagulation treatment was associated with favorable outcomes( OR=0.125,95% CI 0.017-0.614, P=0.009). Conclusion:Infection is the primary etiology of pediatric CVST,with headache,lethargy,and vomiting as key symptoms.Transverse sinus is the most commonly involved site.Children suspected of CVST should be examined by MRI/MRV as soon as possible,and early anticoagulation therapy should be given after a clear diagnosis,so as to improve the prognosis.
10.Differential value of enhanced MRI combined with ADC between hepatic primary mucosa-associated lymphoid tissue lymphoma and hepatocellular carcinoma
Junshi XIE ; Xiaoming LI ; Yong MOU ; Fan CHEN
Journal of Army Medical University 2025;47(17):2053-2060
Objective To investigate the value of enhanced MRI image features combined with apparent diffusion coefficient(ADC)in the differential diagnosis of primary hepatic mucosa-associated lymphoid tissue(MALT)lymphoma and hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC).Methods The clinical data of 10 patients with pathology-confirmed primary MALT lymphoma admitted in our hospital from January 1997 to May 2025 were retrospectively collected.Their enhanced MRI images were analyzed,mainly including the number of lesions,morphology,signal characteristics,enhancement methods,and presence or absence of vessel floating signs,and the ADC value was calculated in order to screen statistically significant variables.Firth regression analysis was used to screen independent predictors of primary MALT lymphoma in the liver.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was plotted,and the area under the curve(AUC)was calculated to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy.Results Compared with the HCC group,the primary MALT lymphoma group had significantly higher incidence in the females(P=0.026),alpha-fetoprotein(AFP)<8 ng/mL(P<0.001),lower T2WI signal(P=0.001),lower ADC value(P<0.001),and mostly continuously enhanced lesions(P<0.001),and more vessel floating signs(P=0.008).Univariate Firth regression analysis showed that sex(95%CI:1.36~52.10,P=0.020),T2 value(95%CI:3.89~5 121.00,P<0.001),AFP(95%CI:0~0.21,P<0.001),ADC value(95%CI:0~0.21,P<0.001),and dynamic reinforcement(95%CI:0~0.23,P<0.001),and vessel floating sign(95%CI:0~0.40,P=0.004)were diagnostic predictors for primary MALT lymphoma of the liver.Multivariate Firth regression analysis indicated that ADC value(95%CI:0~0.62,P=0.006),AFP(95%CI:0~0.047,P=0.01),and dynamic reinforcement(95%CI:0~0.39,P=0.005)were independent predictors for primary MALT in the liver.ROC curve analysis indicated that the AUC value of ADC value in diagnosing primary MALT lymphoma was 0.96,with a sensitivity of 0.8 and a specificity of 1.0,and the AUC value of AFP level in diagnosing primary MALT lymphoma was 0.85,with a sensitivity of 1.0 and a specificity of 0.7.The AUC value of dynamic reinforcement in diagnosing primary MALT lymphoma was 0.85,with a sensitivity of 0.8,and a specificity of 0.9.Conclusion Dynamic reinforcement and ADC value can be used as differential markers for primary MALT lymphoma and HCC,providing reliable reference for clinical preoperative evaluation.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail