Background/Aims: The World Health Organization set the goal of eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2030, with 80% and 65% reductions in HCV incidence and mortality rates, respectively. We aimed to evaluate the health benefits, cost-effectiveness and return on investment (ROI) of HCV elimination. Methods: Using an HCV transmission compartmental model, we evaluated the benefits and costs of different strategies combining screening and treatment for Chinese populations. We identified strategies to achieve HCV elimination and calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted for 2022–2030 to identify the optimal elimination strategy. Furthermore, we estimated the ROI by 2050 by comparing the required investment with the economic productivity gains from reduced HCV incidence and deaths. Results: The strategy that results in the most significant health benefits involves conducting annual primary screening at a rate of 14%, re-screening people who inject drugs annually and the general population every five years, and treating 95% of those diagnosed (P14-R4-T95), preventing approximately 5.75 and 0.44 million HCV infections and deaths, respectively, during 2022–2030. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $12,615, the P14-R4-T95 strategy is the most cost-effective, with an ICER of $5,449/DALY. By 2050, this strategy would have a net benefit of $120,997 million (ROI=0.868). Conclusions Achieving HCV elimination in China by 2030 will require significant investment in large-scale universal screening and treatment, but it will yield substantial health and economic benefits and is cost-effective.

Background/Aims: The World Health Organization set the goal of eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2030, with 80% and 65% reductions in HCV incidence and mortality rates, respectively. We aimed to evaluate the health benefits, cost-effectiveness and return on investment (ROI) of HCV elimination. Methods: Using an HCV transmission compartmental model, we evaluated the benefits and costs of different strategies combining screening and treatment for Chinese populations. We identified strategies to achieve HCV elimination and calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted for 2022–2030 to identify the optimal elimination strategy. Furthermore, we estimated the ROI by 2050 by comparing the required investment with the economic productivity gains from reduced HCV incidence and deaths. Results: The strategy that results in the most significant health benefits involves conducting annual primary screening at a rate of 14%, re-screening people who inject drugs annually and the general population every five years, and treating 95% of those diagnosed (P14-R4-T95), preventing approximately 5.75 and 0.44 million HCV infections and deaths, respectively, during 2022–2030. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $12,615, the P14-R4-T95 strategy is the most cost-effective, with an ICER of $5,449/DALY. By 2050, this strategy would have a net benefit of $120,997 million (ROI=0.868). Conclusions Achieving HCV elimination in China by 2030 will require significant investment in large-scale universal screening and treatment, but it will yield substantial health and economic benefits and is cost-effective.

Background/Aims: The World Health Organization set the goal of eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2030, with 80% and 65% reductions in HCV incidence and mortality rates, respectively. We aimed to evaluate the health benefits, cost-effectiveness and return on investment (ROI) of HCV elimination. Methods: Using an HCV transmission compartmental model, we evaluated the benefits and costs of different strategies combining screening and treatment for Chinese populations. We identified strategies to achieve HCV elimination and calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted for 2022–2030 to identify the optimal elimination strategy. Furthermore, we estimated the ROI by 2050 by comparing the required investment with the economic productivity gains from reduced HCV incidence and deaths. Results: The strategy that results in the most significant health benefits involves conducting annual primary screening at a rate of 14%, re-screening people who inject drugs annually and the general population every five years, and treating 95% of those diagnosed (P14-R4-T95), preventing approximately 5.75 and 0.44 million HCV infections and deaths, respectively, during 2022–2030. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $12,615, the P14-R4-T95 strategy is the most cost-effective, with an ICER of $5,449/DALY. By 2050, this strategy would have a net benefit of $120,997 million (ROI=0.868). Conclusions Achieving HCV elimination in China by 2030 will require significant investment in large-scale universal screening and treatment, but it will yield substantial health and economic benefits and is cost-effective.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the correlation between mechanical power normalized to dynamic lung compliance (Cdyn-MP) and weaning outcomes and prognosis in mechanically ventilated patients. METHODS: A prospective, observational cohort study was conducted. Patients who underwent invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) for more than 24 hours and used a T-tube ventilation strategy for extubation in the intensive care unit (ICU) of Lianyungang First People's Hospital and Lianyungang Second People's Hospital between January 2022 and December 2023 were enrolled. The collected data encompassed patients' baseline characteristics, primary causes of ICU admission, vital signs and laboratory indicators during the initial spontaneous breathing trial (SBT), respiratory mechanics parameters within the 4-hour period prior to the SBT, weaning outcomes and prognostic indicators. Mechanical power (MP) and Cdyn-MP were calculated using a simplified MP equation. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were utilized to determine the independent risk factors associated with weaning failure in patients undergoing mechanical ventilation. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis and Spearman rank-sum test were employed to investigate the correlation between Cdyn-MP and weaning outcomes as well as prognosis. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was constructed, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was computed to evaluate the predictive accuracy of Cdyn-MP for weaning outcomes in mechanically ventilated patients. RESULTS: A total of 366 patients undergoing IMV were enrolled in this study, with 243 cases classified as successful weaning and 123 cases classified as failed weaning. Among them, 23 patients underwent re-intubation within 48 hours after the successful withdrawal of the first SBT, non-invasive ventilation, or died. Compared with the successful weaning group, the patients in the failed weaning group had significantly increased levels of sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, body temperature and respiratory rate (RR) during SBT, and respiratory mechanical parameters within the 4-hour period prior to the SBT [ventilation frequency, positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP), platform pressure (Pplat), peak inspiratory pressure (Ppeak), dynamic driving pressure (ΔPaw), fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO₂), MP, and Cdyn-MP], dynamic lung compliance (Cdyn) was significantly reduced, and duration of IMV, ICU length of stay, and total length of hospital stay were significantly prolonged. However, there were no statistically significant differences in age, gender, body mass index (BMI), smoking history, main causes of ICU admission, other vital signs [heart rate (HR), mean arterial pressure (MAP), saturation of peripheral oxygen (SpO₂)] and laboratory indicators [white blood cell count (WBC), albumin (Alb), serum creatinine (SCr)] during SBT of patients between the two groups. Univariate Logistic regression analysis was conducted, and variables with P < 0.05 and no multicollinearity with Cdyn-MP were selected for inclusion in the multivariate Logistic regression model. The results demonstrated that SOFA score [odds ratio (OR) = 1.081, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.008-1.160, P = 0.030], and PEEP (OR = 1.191, 95%CI was 1.075-1.329, P = 0.001), FiO₂ (OR = 1.035, 95%CI was 1.006-1.068, P = 0.021) and Cdyn-MP (OR = 1.190, 95%CI was 1.086-1.309, P < 0.001) within the 4-hour period prior to the SBT were independent risk factors for weaning failure in patients undergoing IMV. The RCS analysis after adjusting for confounding factors showed that as Cdyn-MP within the 4-hour period prior to the SBT increased, the risk of weaning failure in patients undergoing IMV significantly increased (P < 0.001). The Spearman rank correlation test showed that Cdyn-MP within the 4-hour period prior to the SBT was positively correlated with respiratory mechanical parameters including ΔPaw and MP (r values were 0.773 and 0.865, both P < 0.01), and negatively correlated with Cdyn (r = -0.587, P < 0.01). Cdyn-MP within the 4-hour period prior to the SBT was positively correlated with prognostic indicators such as duration of IMV, length of ICU stay, and total length of hospital stay (r values were 0.295, 0.196, and 0.120, all P < 0.05). ROC curve analysis demonstrated that, within the 4-hour period preceding the SBT, Cdyn-MP, MP, Cdyn, and ΔPaw possessed predictive value for weaning failure in patients undergoing IMV. Notably, Cdyn-MP exhibited superior predictive capability, evidenced by an AUC of 0.761, with a 95%CI ranging from 0.712 to 0.810 (P < 0.001). At the optimal cut-off value of 408.5 J/min×cmH₂O/mL×10^-3, the sensitivity was 68.29%, and the specificity was 71.19%. CONCLUSION Cdyn-MP is related to weaning outcomes and prognosis in mechanically ventilated patients, and has good predictive ability in assessing the risk of weaning failure.
Humans ; Prospective Studies ; Ventilator Weaning ; Prognosis ; Respiration, Artificial ; Intensive Care Units ; Lung Compliance ; Female ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Aged

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the correlation between nucleated red blood cell (NRBC) level on the first day of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and 28-day mortality in adult septic patients, and to evaluate the value of NRBC as an independent predictor of death. METHODS: Single-cell transcriptomic analysis was performed using the GSE167363 dataset from the Gene Expression Omnibus (including 2 healthy controls, 3 surviving septic patients, and 2 non-surviving septic patients). A retrospective clinical analysis was conducted using the America Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) database, including adult patients (≥ 18 years) with first-time admission who met the Sepsis-3.0 criteria, excluding those without NRBC testing on the first ICU day. The demographic information, vital signs, laboratory test indicators, disease severity score and survival data on the first day of admission were collected. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) curve was used to determine the optimal cut-off value of NRBC for predicting 28-day mortality in patients. Patients were divided into low-risk and high-risk groups based on this cut-off value for intergroup comparison, with Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis conducted. Independent risk factors for 28-day mortality were analyzed using Logistic regression and Cox regression analysis, followed by the construction of regression models. RESULTS: NRBC were detected in the peripheral blood of septic patients by single-cell transcriptomic. A total of 1 291 sepsis patients were included in the clinical analysis, with 576 deaths within 28 days, corresponding to a 28-day mortality of 44.6%. RCS curve analysis showed a nonlinear relationship between the first-day NRBC level and the 28-day mortality. When NRBC ≥ 1%, the 28-day mortality of patients increased significantly. Compared to the low-risk group (NRBC < 1%), the high-risk group (NRBC ≥ 1%) had significantly higher respiratory rate, heart rate, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), and simplified acute physiology score II (SAPSII), and significantly lower hematocrit and platelet count. The high-risk group also had a significantly higher 28-day mortality [49.8% (410/824) vs. 35.5% (166/467), P < 0.05], and shorter median survival time (days: 29.8 vs. 208.6, P < 0.05). Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that compared with the low-risk group, the survival time of high-risk group was significantly shortened (Log-rank test: χ ² = 25.1, P < 0.001). After adjusting for potential confounding factors including body mass, temperature, heart rate, respiratory rate, mean arterial pressure, serum creatinine, pulse oximetry saturation, hemoglobin, hematocrit, Na⁺, K⁺, platelet count, and SOFA score, multivariate regression analysis confirmed that NRBC ≥ 1% was an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality [Logistic regression: odds ratio (OR) = 1.464, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.126-1.902, P = 0.004; Cox regression: hazard ratio (HR) = 1.268, 95%CI was 1.050-1.531, P = 0.013]. CONCLUSIONS NRBC ≥ 1% on the first day of ICU admission is an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality in septic patients and can serve as a practical indicator for early prognostic assessment.
Humans ; Sepsis/blood* ; Intensive Care Units ; Risk Factors ; Retrospective Studies ; Prognosis ; Male ; Female ; Hospital Mortality ; Middle Aged ; Aged

AIM: To assess the accuracy of predicting intraocular lens(IOL)power after myopic refractive surgery using the Pentacam system's true net power(TNP)in the 3 mm zone combined with the SRK/T formula [i.e. TNP 3 mm(SRK/T)].METHODS: Retrospective study. This study enrolled 35 cases(50 eyes)of patients undergoing cataract surgery after laser assisted in situ keratomileusis(LASIK)or photorefractive keratectomy(PRK)from July 2019 to December 2021. Preoperatively, IOL power of 50 eyes, 34 eyes and 41 eyes was calculated by TNP 3 mm(SRK/T), Barrett True-K and Olsen 2 formulas, respectively, with at least 2 formulas used to calculate IOL power for each patient. The actual diopter was recorded 3 mo postoperatively. Prediction errors(PE)of IOL power were compared among the three calculation methods, and the proportion of eyes with PE within ±0.5 D and ±1.0 D was analyzed.RESULTS: The PE at 3 mo postoperatively for TNP 3 mm(SRK/T), Barrett True-K, and Olsen 2 was -0.02±0.63, -0.54±0.80, and 0.25±0.80 D, respectively(P<0.001). The proportions of PE within ±0.5 D were 66%(33/50), 44%(15/34)and 37%(15/41), respectively(P<0.05); the proportions of PE within ±1.0 D were 88%(44/50), 71%(24/34)and 80%(33/41), respectively(P>0.05).CONCLUSION: The Pentacam TNP 3 mm(SRK/T)method is simple to operate and provides accurate calculation of IOL power after corneal refractive surgery.

Objective To investigate the antioxidant activity of bamboo stem extracts and the therapeutic effect of bamboo stem water extract on oxidative inflammation induced by tert butyl hydroperoxide (t-BHP) in human colon adenocarcinoma cells (Caco-2). Methods In this study, ABTS, DPPH, and FRAP assays were used to determine the extracellular antioxidant activity of petroleum ether extract, ethyl acetate extract, n-butanol extract, 95% ethanol extract, and distilled water extract from bamboo stems. The human intestinal Caco-2 cell line was used as the model cell, and t-BHP was selected as the oxidative stress modeling agent. The CCK-8 assay was used to detect cell viability and the optimal oxidative damage concentration of t-BHP. The content of MDA, 8-OHdG, TNF-α and IL-1β were detected to assess antioxidant stress effect. Results The five extracts of bamboo all had certain antioxidant activity, among which the water extract of bamboo stem had the best comprehensive antioxidant activity with high cell viability in Caco-2 cells. The optimal modeling concentration of t-BHP was 200 μMol/L. The water extract of bamboo stem significantly reduced the content of oxidative stress related biomarkers and inflammatory factors in Caco-2 cells induced by t-BHP. Conclusion The stem extracts of bamboo in Xianning City have strong in vitro antioxidant activity. Among them, the water extract of bamboo stem has a protective effect on t-BHP induced oxidative damage in Caco-2 cells, suggesting that the water extract possesses a potential to be developed as new antioxidant products for clinical prevention and treatment of oxidative damage related diseases.

Objective To explore the expression and clinical value of serum calprotectin and toll like receptor 2(TLR2)with type 2 diabetic kidney disease(DKD).Method According to the levels of UACR,90 T2DM patients treated in our hospital from January 2019 to January 2022 were divided into normal albuminuria group(Con,UACR<30 mg/g),microalbuminuria group(Micro,UACR 30～300 mg/g),and macroalbuminuria group(Macro,UACR>300 mg/g),30 cases per group.Result The levels of BMI,HbAlc,calprotectin,TLR2,and NLRP3 increased sequentially from Con,Micro to Macro groups(P<0.05),while eGFR in the Macro group was lower than that in the Con or Micro groups(P<0.05).Pearson correlation analysis showed that serum calprotectin was positively correlated with BMI,WC,SBP,FPG,HbAlc,TC,TG,Scr,UACR(P<0.05 or P<0.01),and negatively correlated with eGFR(P<0.01);NLRP3 is positively correlated with BMI,WC,SBP,FPG,HbAlc,TC,TG,Scr,SUA,and UACR(P<0.01),and negatively correlated with eGFR(P<0.01);TLR2 was positively correlated with BMI,WC,SBP,FPG,HbAlc,TC,TG,Scr and UACR(P<0.05 or P<0.01),and negatively correlated with eGFR(P<0.01).Multiple linear regression analysis showed that FPG,HbAlc,TC,Scr,calprotectin,and TLR2 were the influencing factors of UACR.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis showed that the area under the curve for diagnosing DKD with serum calprotectin and TLR2 was 0.883 and 0.961,with sensitivities of 73.33%and 96.67%,and specificity of 100.00%and 83.33%.Conclusion Serum calprotectin and TLR2 are closely related to the occurrence and development of DKD.The diagnostic value of TLR2 for DKD is superior to serum calprotectin.

Objective:To explore the predictive value of myocardial work echocardiography on short-term mortality of patients with sepsis and septic shock(SSS).Methods:Patients who hospitalized in the ICU department of the Affiliated Lianyungang Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from September 2022 to December 2023 were selected through prospective research.These patients,who need use vasopressor drugs,appeared clinical symptoms of sepsis and occurred septic shock.A total of 33 adult patients were continuously enrolled.According to whether patients with SSS died or survived within 28 days,they were divided into a survival group(23 cases)and a non-survival group(10 cases).The changes of myocardial function,serum lactic acid level,white blood cell(WBC)count,c-reactive protein(CRP)and other indexes were compared and assessed between the two groups after admission,and the predictive value of these parameters on short-term mortality in patients with sepsis and septic shock was investigated.Results:On the 3rd day after admission of patients with sepsis and septic shock,the heart rate,serum lactic acid level,white blood cell(WBC)count,global wasted work(GWW),and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin Ⅰ(hs-cTnⅠ)of non-survival group significantly higher than those of survival group(Z=-2.668,-2.550,-2.338,-2.175,-2.998,P＜0.05),and the global work efficiency(GWE)of non-survival group significantly decreased(Z=-2.311,P＜0.05).On the 5th day after admission,the heart rate,serum lactic acid level,WBC count,c-reactive protein(CRP)level of non-survival group significantly increased(Z=-3.073,-2.494,-3.408,-2.999,P＜0.05),and the pH value and global work index(GWI)of that significantly decreased(Z=-1.997,-2.546,P＜0.05).Serum lactic acid on the 3rd day and global work index on the 5th day were respectively independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in SSS patients after admission(OR=5.120,0.997,P＜0.05).On the 5rd GwI and serum lactic acid on the 3rd have similar values in predicting 28-day mortality in SSS patients[area under curve(AUC)value of receiver operating characteristics(ROC)curve of them were respectively 0.784 and 0.801,P＞0.05].Conclusion:Myocardial work echocardiography is helpful to identify the high risk of short-term death of SSS patients.Serum lactic acid of the 3rd day and global work index of the 5th day after admission are respectively independent risk factors for 28-day death in SSS patients.

Objective To explore the current status of post-traumatic stress disorder(PTSD)symptoms among military officers at high altitude,determine the effects of childhood trauma experiences on the symptoms,and investigate the role of parent-child alienation in the process.Methods A cross-section study was conducted on 238 male military officers at high altitude subjected with cluster sampling.All of them were surveyed with childhood trauma question(CTQ),inventor of alienation toward parents(IAP),and Post-traumatic Stress Disorder Checklist(PCL-C)in October 2021.Then the mediating effect of parent-child alienation on childhood trauma and PTSD symptoms was investigated.Results ①The prevalence of PTSD-positive symptoms was 8.5％among the military officers at high altitude.②The prevalence of PTSD-positive symptoms was 15.6％for the military officers with childhood trauma,which was significantly higher than that of those without childhood trauma(5.1％,Chi-square=7.27,P＜0.01).③ PTSD symptoms,childhood trauma experiences and parent-child alienation were significantly positively correlated with each other(r=0.35～0.76,P＜0.01).④ Both childhood physical abuse(β=1.05,P＜0.001)and parent-child alienation(β=0.39,P＜0.01)could positively predict the severity of PTSD symptoms for them.⑤Parent-child alienation played a partial mediating role in the association between physical abuse and PTSD symptoms(β=1.16,95％CI:0.54～1.75).Conclusion Military officers at high altitude with childhood trauma have a higher prevalence of PTSD-positive symptoms and more severe symptoms.Childhood physical abuse can not only directly affect PTSD symptoms,but also indirectly affect its severity through parent-child alienation.