1.Trends in disease burden due to childhood asthma from 1990 to 2021 and future projections in China
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(4):573-578
Objective:
To investigate the trends in disease burden due to childhood asthma in China from 1990 to 2021 and to project the disease burden from 2022 to 2035, so as to provide insights into formulation of the control interventions for childhood asthma in China.
Methods:
The prevalent case, agestandard prevalence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and agestandard DALYs rate of children with asthma at ages of 0 to 14 years and their 95% uncertainty interval (UI) in China from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database. The temporal trends in the disease burden of childhood asthma were evaluated with estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) and its 95% confidence interval (CI), and the disease burden due to asthma was projected among children at ages of 0 to 14 years in China using a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model from 2022 to 2035.
Results:
There were 9.368 3 million (95%UI=6.410 7 million to 14.026 1 million) prevalent cases of asthma among children at ages of 0 to 14 years in China in 2021, contributing to 0.387 9 million (95%UI=0.216 1 million to 0.668 8 million) DALYs loss. The prevalent cases and DALYs of asthma decreased by 37.28% and 52.55% among children at ages of 0 to 14 years in China in 2021 compared with 1990, and the agestandardized prevalence [EAPC=-0.70%, 95%CI=-1.26% to -0.13%)] and DALY rates [EAPC=-1.71%, 95%CI=-2.32% to -1.10%)] also appeared a tendency towards a decline. From 1990 to 2021, the prevalent cases, prevalence, DALYs and DALYs rate of asthma were all higher among male children than among female children, and the disease burden of asthma was higher among children at ages of 5 to 9 years than at other age groups. BAPC model predicted a decline in both prevalent cases and DALYs of asthma among children at ages of 0 to 14 years in China from 2022 to 2035, with 6.759 6 million prevalent cases and DALYs of 0.228 4 million personyears in 2035, while the prevalence and DALYs rates were projected to rise to 5 143.35/105 and 173.75/105 in 2035.
Conclusions
Despite a reduction in the disease burden of asthma among children at ages of 0 to 14 years in China from 1990 to 2021, the prevalence remained high. The disease burden due to asthma is projected to appear a decline among children at ages of 0 to 14 years in China from 2022 to 2035; however, the prevalence and DALYs rates still rise. Intensified control measures and targeted interventions are required to reduce the disease burden of childhood asthma.
2.Estimation of the excess cases of hand-foot-mouth disease in Beijing with adjusted Serfling regression model
Shuaibing DONG ; Ruitong WANG ; Da HUO ; Baiwei LIU ; Hao ZHAO ; Zhiyong GAO ; Xiaoli WANG ; Peng YANG ; Quanyi WANG ; Daitao ZHANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(3):206-209
ObjectiveTo establish an adjusted Serfling regression model to estimate the excess cases and the excess epidemic period of hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) in Beijing from 2011 to 2019, so as to provide data support and decision-making basis for HFMD prevention and control. MethodsThe weekly number of HFMD cases in Beijing from 2011 to 2019 was utilized for adjusted the Serfling regression model. Then the adjusted model was used to fit the baseline and epidemic threshold of HFMD in Beijing from 2011 to 2019, calculating the excess cases and determining the excess epidemic period. ResultsA total of 279 306 cases of HFMD were reported in Beijing from 2011 to 2019, with the climax of the disease occurring in summer and autumn. After adjusting the fitting R2 of the Serfling regression model to 0.773, a total of 10 excess epidemic periods totaling 92 weeks were estimated, mainly occurring in summer. The highest number of excess cases during an excess epidemic period was found in 2014 (1 272 cases, 95%CI: 990‒1 554), accounting for 65.04% of the actual cases (95%CI: 50.62%‒79.46%). ConclusionThe adjusted Serfling regression model fits well and can be utilized for early warning of HFMD and estimating the disease burden caused by HFMD.
3.Effects of shared decision-making oriented vocational training on the social function of patients with schizophrenia
Chunyan JIANG ; Jiuhong SHUAI ; Hongyuan DENG ; Junhua ZHENG ; Chunfeng GOU ; Xiaoli YANG ; Deying TONG ; Hao FENG ; Xia HUANG ; Ru GAO
Sichuan Mental Health 2025;38(3):229-234
BackgroundAs a high prevalence disorder, schizophrenia has caused significant burden to family and society due to the impairment of occupational and social function. Currently, the dominant vocational training model in China follows a paternalistic, clinician-led decision-making approach. Although it improves patients' social function to some extent, it undermines their autonomy and treatment adherence. Therefore, it is urgently necessary to explore a new intervention method to enhance treatment compliance and social function in patients. ObjectiveTo explore the impact of shared decision-making oriented vocational training on social function in hospitalized schizophrenia patients, so as to provide references for rehabilitation interventions. MethodsA total of 68 patients diagnosed with schizophrenia according to the International Classification of Diseases, tenth edition (ICD-10) criteria were consecutively enrolled from January to June 2024 at The Third People's Hospital of Wenjiang Distric, Chengdu. Participants were randomly allocated into the research group (n=34) and the control group (n=34) using a random number table method. Both groups received routine rehabilitation training, while the research group received shared decision-making oriented vocational training for 12 weeks, 2 times a week for 2 hours each time. Before and at the 4th and 12th week of intervention, two groups were evaluated by General Self-Efficacy Scale (GSES), Stigma Scale for Mental Illness (SSMI), Scale of Social function of Psychosis Inpatients (SSFPI) and Inpatient Psychiatric Rehabilitation Outcome Scale (IPROS). ResultsA total of 63 participants completed the study, with 30 cases in the research group and 33 cases in the control group. Repeated measures ANOVA revealed statistically significant time effects and interaction effects in both groups for GSES, SSMI, SSFPI and IPROS scores (F=20.451, 16.022; 26.193, 12.944; 23.957, 5.023; 11.776, 3.985, P<0.05 or 0.01), while no significant group effects were observed (F=0.188, 0.742, 1.878, 0.474, P>0.05). At the 12th week of intervention, there were statistically significant differences in GSES, SSMI, SSFPI and IPROS scores between the two groups. ConclusionShared decision-making oriented vocational training may help to improve social function in patients with schizophrenia. [Funded by 2023 Chengdu Medical Research Project (number, 2023468)]
4.Evidence-based evaluation of the global cancer-associated thromboembolism risk assessment tools
Xiaoli QIN ; Xiurong GAO ; Qin HE ; Shunlong OU ; Jing LUO ; Hua WEI ; Qian JIANG
China Pharmacy 2024;35(3):333-338
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the global cancer-associated thromboembolism risk assessment tools based on evidence- based methods, and to provide methodological reference and evidence-based basis for constructing a specific tool in China. METHODS A comprehensive search was conducted on 6 databases, including CNKI, Wanfang data, VIP, CBM, PubMed, and Embase, as well as on the websites of NCCN, ASCO, ESMO and so on with a deadline of June 30, 2022. Furthermore, a supplementary search was conducted in January 2023. The essential characteristics and methodological quality of included risk assessment tools were described and analyzed qualitatively, focusing on comparing each assessment stratification ability. RESULTS Totally 14 risk assessment tools were included in the study, with a sample size of 208-18 956 cases and an average age distribution of 53.1-74.0 years. The applicable population included outpatient cancer student@sina.com patients, lymphoma patients, and multiple myeloma patients,etc. The common predictive factors were body mass index, venous thromboembolism history, and tumor site. All tools had undergone methodological validation, with 9 presented in a weighted scoring format. Only seven tools were used simultaneously for specificity, sensitivity, negative predictive value (NPV), positive predictive value (PPV) and area under the curve (AUC) or C statistical analysis. CONCLUSIONS The risk of bias in constructing existing tools is high, and the heterogeneity of tool validation results is significant. The overall methodological quality must be improved, and its risk stratification ability must also be investigated. There are still certain limitations in clinical practice in China.
5.Temporal trend of tuberculosis burden among children under 5 years old in China from 1990 to 2021
TAO Luqiu, ZHANG Ziyu, TAN Gao, ZOU Yanzheng, PAN Li, ZHU Hongru, QIAN Yili, LIU Xiaoli, WANG Wei
Chinese Journal of School Health 2024;45(12):1792-1797
Objective:
To analyze the trends in disease burden of tuberculosis among children under 5 years of age in China from 1990 to 2021, so as to provide insights for future tuberculosis control measures among children in China.
Methods:
Based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 datasets, the incidence, prevalence, mortality and disability adjusted life year(DALY) of tuberculosis of children under 5 years of age in China and globally were collected from 1990 to 2021. The incidence, prevalence, mortality and DALY rate of tuberculosis were compared by genders and types. In addition,the annual percent change(APC) and the average annual percent change(AAPC) of children s tuberculosis burden in China and globally from 1990 to 2021 were calculated by using the Joinpoint regression model, and the changing trends were analyzed.
Results:
The numbers of incident, prevalent and dead tuberculosis cases were 9 700, 8 477 800 and 200 among children under 5 years of age in China in 2021, and the DALY due to tuberculosis were 27 100 person years. There were significant reductions in incidence, prevalence, mortality and DALY rate of tuberculosis among children under 5 years of age in China ( AAPC =-5.45%, -1.14%, -12.37%, -11.34 %) and globally( AAPC =-2.38%, -1.41%, -4.66%, -4.56%), and the reductions in the incidence, mortality and DALY rate were more significant in China than globally ( P <0.05).In 1992 and later, the numbers of incident, prevalent and dead tuberculosis cases and the DALY of tuberculosis were higher among male than among female. In addition, the disease burden of drug susceptible tuberculosis appeared a tendency of downward in China from 1990 to 2021, while the incidence and prevalence of extensively drug resistant tuberculosis rose since 2015.
Conclusions
The disease burden of tuberculosis remarkably reduced among children under 5 years of age in China from 1990 to 2021. However, the burden of disease due to multidrug resistant tuberculosis appeared an upward trend recently. Increased attention is required to be paid to the prevention and control of tuberculosis among children and improved diagnosis and treatment of drug resistant tuberculosis are recommended.
6.Study on characteristic chromatogram of Yao medicine Kadsura longipedunculata and its anwulignan content and anti-inflammatory activity
Binglan TANG ; Wei GAO ; Chengjian ZHAO ; Chunli OU ; Xiaoli HOU ; Lu CHEN ; Dandan MO
China Pharmacy 2024;35(14):1727-1731
OBJECTIVE To establish characteristic chromatogram of Yao medicine Kadsura longipedunculata and the method for the content determination of its main component anwulignan, and evaluate the anti-inflammatory activity of anwulignan. METHODS HPLC method was performed with acetonitrile-0.5% phosphoric acid solution as the mobile phase for gradient elution. The characteristic chromatogram of K. longipedunculata was established and similarity was evaluated by Similarity Evaluation System for Chromatographic Fingerprint of TCM (2012 edition). The content of anwulignan in K. longipedunculata was determined. Lipopolysaccharide induced RAW264.7 macrophages were selected as inflammatory cell model to investigate the effects of anwulignan on the levels of tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-1β (IL-1β) and IL-6. RESULTS The similarities of characteristic chromatogram for 10 batches of K. longipedunculata ranged 0.901-0.994, and 9 common peaks were determined; 3 components were identified, such as changnan schisantherin E, kadsulactone A, anwulignan. The contents of anwulignan were (0.72±0.05)-(1.21±0.03) mg/g(n=3). Anwulignan of 0.125-0.5 μg/mL greatly decreased the levels of TNF-α, IL-1β and IL-6 in the supernatant of inflammatory model cells (P<0.05 or P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS HPLC characteristic chromatogram of K. longipedunculata and the method for the content determination of anwulignan are all established, and anwulignan may be the active ingredient of anti-inflammatory effect in K. longipedunculata.
7.Cost-utility analysis of sacituzumab govitecan versus single-agent chemotherapy in the treatment of HR+/HER2- advanced metastatic breast cancer
Yinmei HE ; Xiao LI ; Xiaoli LIU ; Longzhou LI ; Yan GAO ; Jianguo YU ; Jiajie LUAN ; Yilai WU
China Pharmacy 2024;35(20):2493-2498
OBJECTIVE To estimate the cost-utility of sacituzumab govitecan (SG) versus single-agent chemotherapy in the treatment of hormone receptor-positive (HR+)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) advanced metastatic breast cancer. METHODS From the perspective of the Chinese medical system, a three-state partitioned survival model was constructed to examine the cost-utility of SG versus single-agent chemotherapy based on TROPiCS-02 trial. The cycle length was set to 1 month, and the time horizon was 10 years. The annual discount was 5%. The model output included total costs and quality adjusted life month (QALM), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated for cost-utility analysis, by setting willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold at 3 times gross domestic product (GDP) per capita of China in 2023 (22 340 yuan/QALM). Univariate sensitivity analyses, probability sensitivity analyses, and scenario analyses were performed to evaluate the robustness of the results and calculate the price threshold when SG had economic advantages. RESULTS SG group gained incremental 4.25 QALM and 561 570 yuan compared with single-agent chemotherapy, which resulted in an ICER of 132 102/QALM that was higher than WTP. The results of the univariate sensitivity analysis showed that the monthly average cost of SG had the greatest impact on the results; the results of probability sensitivity analysis showed that the probability of SG scheme being cost-effective at the WTP threshold was 0. The results of scenario analysis showed that the conclusions of this study were robust under different time horizons (5, 10, 15 years). The price threshold for SG being cost-effective was 1 344 yuan per 180 mg. CONCLUSIONS Based on the perspective of Chinese medical system, SG appears to be not cost-effective compared with single-agent chemotherapy for HR+/ HER2- advanced metastatic breast cancer at the price of 8 400 yuan per 180 mg. A substantial price cut should be taken to be cost- effective.
8.Joinpoint regression analysis of hand, foot, and mouth disease trends in Zhangjiakou City, Hebei Province from 2013 to 2022
Fei SUN ; Xiaoli HAN ; Tong SU ; Xiaoyan LUO ; Wen GAO ; Tianman WANG ; Qichen LIU ; Dong YAN ; Jinqin LI
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;36(9):858-861
ObjectiveTo analyze the epidemiological characteristics of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in Zhangjiakou City, Hebei Province from 2013 to 2022, so as to provide a basis for HFMD prevention, control, and evaluation of intervention effectiveness. MethodsHFMD data of Zhangjiakou City from 2013 to 2022 were collected. Descriptive statistics and the Joinpoint regression model were used to analyze the trend of the epidemic. ResultsThe incidence of HFMD in Zhangjiakou was predicted to decrease with APC=-14.86% in 2013‒2022. The top five regions with the highest incidence showed varying trends: Qiaodong District (APC=-26.21%), Qiaoxi District (APC=-18.29%), Xuanhua District (APC=-14.28%), Chicheng District (APC=-18.68%), and Zhuolu County (APC=51.43% in 2013‒2016, APC=-14.27% in 2016‒2022), indicating a downward trend. Three age groups showed an upward trend in incidence: the 0-year-old group (APC=-42.82% in 2013‒2016, APC=16.54% in 2016‒2022), the 7-year-old group (AAPC=9.60%), and the 9-year-old group (AAPC=12.76%). HFMD cases occurred throughout the year, peaking from June to August, with July being the most significant month. The male-to-female ratio was1.40∶1, with no statistical difference (χ2=5.932, P>0.05). A high incidence was in children under 5 years old, with those aged 1‒4 years being the main affected group. In terms of occupation, scattered children (6 245 cases, 57.65%) and preschool children (3 653 cases, 33.72%) were the most affected. A total of 504 laboratory-confirmed cases were reported, with a detection rate of 4.65% (504/10 832). The composition of confirmed cases included CoxA 16 (193 cases, 38.29%), EV71 (75 cases, 14.88%), and other enteroviruses (236 cases, 46.83%). ConclusionFrom 2013 to 2022, HFMD in Zhangjiakou City showed a downward trend with clear seasonal, regional, and occupational distributions. It is suggested that epidemic monitoring should be strengthened, etiological detection should be enhanced, and education efforts in key areas should be improved. High-incidence counties should analyze data and conduct risk assessments effectively.
9.The Multicenter Cross-sectional Study on the Distribution Characteristics of Traditional Chinese Medicine Syndrome Elements in Type 2 Diabetes Macroangiopathy
Yulin LENG ; Hong GAO ; Xiaoxu FU ; Gang XU ; Hongyan XIE ; Xingwei ZHUO ; Xiaoqin ZHOU ; Yi YANG ; Xiaoli YUAN ; Zhibiao WANG ; Chunguang XIE
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;65(17):1794-1801
ObjectiveTo explore the distribution characteristics of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) syndrome elements of macroangiopathy in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and the key elements of occurrence, development and progression of disease. MethodsA multicenter cross-sectional study was conducted to enroll 445 T2DM patients from five hospitals, and according to the presence or absence of macroangiopathy, the patients were divided into a T2DM group (120 cases) and a diabetic macroangiopathy (DM) group (325 cases). Patients in DM group were divided into grade Ⅰ, Ⅱ, Ⅲ and Ⅳ according to the peripheral vascular color Doppler ultrasound results and the vascular anomalies classification standard. The general data including gender, age, duration of T2DM and body mass index (BMI) were collected, and the data of four examinations were obtained for syndrome differentiation. According to the diagnostic criteria of TCM syndrome elements, the patients can be divided into 9 patterns including qi deficiency, blood deficiency, yin deficiency, yang deficiency, qi stagnation, blood stasis, excess heat, and excess cold. The general data and distribution of TCM syndrome elements were compared between the two groups. The distribution of TCM syndrome elements in different vascular anomalies grades in the DM group was analyzed. Logistic regression analysis was used to explore the influence of various TCM syndrome elements on the occurrence of macroangiopathy in T2DM. ResultsThere was no significant difference in gender and BMI between groups (P>0.05). The age and duration of diabetes in the DM group were older and longer than those in the T2DM group (P<0.01). With the increase of age and prolonged course of disease, the severity of diabetic macroangiopathy increases gradually (P<0.05 or P<0.01). There was no significant difference in BMI and course of disease among the different TCM syndrome elements (P>0.05). The average age of patients with blood stasis syndrome was the oldest (P<0.05). There was significant difference in gender distribution between the excess heat syndrome and yin deficiency syndrome (P<0.05). A total of 240 TCM syndrome elements were extracted from the T2DM group, while 731 TCM syndrome elements extracted from the DM group. The top two high-frequency syndrome elements in the two groups were qi deficiency and yin deficiency, with a frequency of larger than 50%. The distribution of phlegm-damp syndrome and blood-stasis syndrome were significantly higher in the DM group than in the T2DM group (P<0.01). There were significant differences in the distribution of qi deficiency syndrome, yin deficiency syndrome, phlegm-damp syndrome, blood stasis syndrome, and excess heat syndrome among different grades of vascular anomalies (P<0.01); qi deficiency and yin deficiency were both high-frequency TCM syndrome elements in patients at grades 0 to Ⅲ; phlegm-damp syndrome increased in frequency with the progression of the disease from grades 0 to Ⅳ, and the frequency of blood stasis syndrome showed an overall upward trend. The frequency of phlegm-dampness syndrome increased from grades 0 to Ⅳ with the progression of the disease, and the frequency of blood stasis syndrome showed an overall upward trend. Logistic regression analysis showed that phlegm-damp syndrome and blood stasis syndrome were important TCM syndrome elements related to the vascular anomalies degree of macrovascular disease in T2DM (P<0.05 or P<0.01). ConclusionQi deficiency and yin deficiency are the basic TCM syndrome elements throughout the whole process of T2DM and diabetic macrovascular disease. Phlegm-damp and blood stasis are related to the degree of vascular anomalies in diabetic macrovascular disease and are the key TCM syndrome elements in the progression of macroangiopathy in T2DM.
10.Therapeutic effect analysis of excessive dynamic airway collapse treated by laser(13 cases)
Yue WANG ; Yongping GAO ; Lei JING ; Xiaoli LI ; Fang QIN ; Jieli ZHANG ; Kuo LIU ; Yunzhi ZHOU
China Journal of Endoscopy 2024;30(3):73-80
Objective To evaluate the safety and effectiveness of excessive dynamic airway collapse(EDAC)treated by laser.Methods 13 patients with EDAC confirmed by bronchoscopy from January 2018 to August 2022 were selected and divided into a simple EDAC group(6 cases)and an EDAC combined with tracheobronchomalacia(TBM)group(7 cases)based on whether they were combined with TBM.All patients underwent laser tracheobronchoplasty under bronchoscope.Symptoms,airway collapse,oxygenation index,modified version of British Medical Research Council dyspnoea scale(mMRC)and 6 min walking test before and after treatment were compared to evaluate the therapeutic effect.Results 13 patients underwent 17 times of laser tracheobronchoplasty with laser power of 8~15 W,and 4 patients underwent 2 times of laser tracheobronchoplasty.After treatment,the clinical symptoms of cough,sputum,shortness of breath and dyspnea were improved in all patients.1 week post-treatment,the EDAC group showed a significant improvement in airway lumen stenosis,with a significant statistical difference(P<0.05),1 month post-treatment,enhancements were observed in airway stenosis,oxygenation index,FEV1%,6-minute walk test,and mMRC,which remained stable over a 6 month follow-up.In the EDAC + TBM group,significant enhancements in airway stenosis,oxygenation index,and mMRC were noted 1 week post-treatment,with statistical significance(P<0.05).Between 8 d~6 months post-treatment,some patients exhibited a recurrence of airway stenosis,necessitating comprehensive interventions like balloon dilation,cryotherapy,and stent insertion.Local necrosis and granuloma occurred in some patients after laser therapy,and no serious complications associated with laser intervention were found in all patients.Conclusion Laser tracheobronchoplasty is a safe and effective technique for the treatment of EDAC.For patients with EDAC alone,the therapeutic effect is good,but for patients with EDAC combined with TBM,the long-term effect is not good.


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