Objective: To compare the predictive performance of the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, the Prophet model, and the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model in forecasting the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) , so as to provide a basis for optimizing the early warning system of this disease. Methods: Weekly incidence data of HFMD in Longgang District, Shenzhen City from 2014 to 2024 were collected. The HFMD incidence data from 2014-2019 and 2023 were used as the training set to construct SARIMA, Prophet, and BSTS models, while the data from 2024 were used as the test set to compare and evaluate the predictive performance of the three models. The technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) method was employed to calculate the C-value. This approach integrates multiple evaluation metrics, such as the mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE), to comprehensively assess model performance. Results: A total of 150 111 cases of HFMD were reported in Longgang District from 2014 to 2024, with an average annual incidence of 400.72/105. The weekly incidence fluctuated between 0 and 63.78/105, exhibiting a bimodal seasonal pattern characterized by a primary peak from May to July and a secondary peak from September to October. In the training set, all three models demonstrated a good fit to the bimodal epidemic trend of HFMD, with the BSTS model achieving the best fit. The BSTS model yielded performance metrics as follows: MAE=0.124, MSE=0.050, RMSE=0.223, SMAPE=0.021, and a C-value of 1.000. In the test set, all three models, including SARIMA, Prophet, and BSTS, performed well for short-term predictions (≤16 weeks), with the Prophet model showing relatively superior predictive performance. However, the prediction accuracy of all models declined as the forecast horizon extended. During the primary peak period (May-July), the Prophet model exhibited better predictive performance, whereas the BSTS model performed relatively better during the secondary peak period (September-October). Conclusions For the short-term forecasting of weekly HFMD incidence, the Prophet model outperformed both the SARIMA and BSTS models. During the primary peak period, the Prophet model demonstrated superior predictive performance, whereas the BSTS model exhibited better accuracy in forecasting the secondary peak period.

Objective:To identify latent categories in the developmental trajectories of kinesiophobia among postoperative rotator cuff injury patients and analyze the influencing factors associated with each trajectory.Methods:A convenience sampling method was used to recruit patients who underwent surgery for rotator cuff injury in the Department of Sports Medicine, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Capital Medical University from April to October 2024. Data were collected using a general information questionnaire, the Tampa Scale for Kinesiophobia-11, Visual Analogue Scale, General Self-Efficacy Scale, Self-rating Anxiety Scale, and Shoulder Pain and Disability Index. Latent class growth model (LCGM) was employed to identify potential categories of kinesiophobia trajectories, and multinomial Logistic regression analysis was used to explore factors influencing the identified trajectory classes.Results:A total of three latent trajectory classes of kinesiophobia were identified among 372 postoperative rotator cuff injury patients: low-level group (26.88%, 100/372), moderate-level group (42.20%, 157/372), and high-level group (30.91%, 115/372). Multinomial Logistic regression analysis showed that education level, employment status, pain, and anxiety were significant influencing factors for the different kinesiophobia trajectory classes ( P<0.05) . Conclusions:The developmental trajectories of kinesiophobia among postoperative rotator cuff injury patients exhibit population heterogeneity. Nursing staff should provide early, targeted interventions based on patients' kinesiophobia trajectories and influencing factors to reduce kinesiophobia levels.

Objective:To identify latent categories in the developmental trajectories of kinesiophobia among postoperative rotator cuff injury patients and analyze the influencing factors associated with each trajectory.Methods:A convenience sampling method was used to recruit patients who underwent surgery for rotator cuff injury in the Department of Sports Medicine, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Capital Medical University from April to October 2024. Data were collected using a general information questionnaire, the Tampa Scale for Kinesiophobia-11, Visual Analogue Scale, General Self-Efficacy Scale, Self-rating Anxiety Scale, and Shoulder Pain and Disability Index. Latent class growth model (LCGM) was employed to identify potential categories of kinesiophobia trajectories, and multinomial Logistic regression analysis was used to explore factors influencing the identified trajectory classes.Results:A total of three latent trajectory classes of kinesiophobia were identified among 372 postoperative rotator cuff injury patients: low-level group (26.88%, 100/372), moderate-level group (42.20%, 157/372), and high-level group (30.91%, 115/372). Multinomial Logistic regression analysis showed that education level, employment status, pain, and anxiety were significant influencing factors for the different kinesiophobia trajectory classes ( P<0.05) . Conclusions:The developmental trajectories of kinesiophobia among postoperative rotator cuff injury patients exhibit population heterogeneity. Nursing staff should provide early, targeted interventions based on patients' kinesiophobia trajectories and influencing factors to reduce kinesiophobia levels.

The “Technical Guideline for Epidemic Prevention and Control Disinfection in Large-Scale Events”(hereinafter referred to as “the Guideline”), organized and compiled by the National Disease Control and Prevention Administration, was officially released in April 2024. This guideline aims to ensure the effective implementation of large-scale group activities, mitigate the impact of infectious disease outbreaks on such events, and maintain hygiene and safety standards at event venues. During the compilation process, data were systematically collected in alignment with epidemic prevention requirements and disinfection principles, incorporating research findings from domestic and international disinfection practices. Information was gathered through field investigations, expert consultations in epidemiology and disinfection, and roundtable discussions with representatives from organizations responsible for disinfection operations at large-scale events, thereby ensuring the scientific rigor and practical applicability of the content. The Guideline provides comprehensive technical disinfection guidance for relevant authorities and event organizers, addressing critical aspects such as disinfection protocols, operational principles, emergency response strategies, and technical specifications. By standardizing hygiene assurance measures for large-scale events, including considerations of participant demographics, venue characteristics, and event scale, the guideline establishes a framework to proactively minimize the risk of infectious disease transmission.

This paper summarizes the achievements of China's venous thromboembolism specialized nursing career in the past decade in nursing management, clinical nursing, talent cultivation, and discipline construction, and puts forward the outlook for the future work, with a view to providing reference for promoting the high-quality development of China's venous thromboembolism specialized nursing career.

Objective:To investigate the current status of peripherally inserted central catheter (PICC) -associated thrombosis prevention nursing practices among surgical nurses, and to provide a scientific basis for targeted future interventions.Methods:A convenience sampling method was used to select 3 151 surgical nurses from tertiary hospitals in 11 provinces and municipalities who attended the Surgical Nursing Academic Symposium of the Chinese Nursing Association between April and May 2023. The survey utilized a standardized questionnaire assessing current practices in PICC-associated thrombosis prevention among clinical nurses.Results:A total of 3 151 questionnaires were distributed, and 2 341 valid responses were collected, yielding a valid response rate of 74.29% (2 341/3 151) . Among the respondents, the training rate on PICC-associated thrombosis prevention was only 62.45% (1 462/2 341) , and just 1.28% (30/2 341) had received full-time (off-duty) training. The usage rate of standardized procedures for PICC-related thrombosis prevention was 92.40% (2 163/2 341) , and the risk assessment rate was 79.79% (1 868/2 341) . Compared to urology and cardiothoracic surgery departments, breast surgery departments had significantly higher rates of thrombosis risk assessment ( P<0.05) . Additionally, 56.69% (1 327/2 341) of surgical nurses used risk assessment tools specific to PICC-associated thrombosis. Among non-pharmacological prevention measures, the implementation rate of encouraging patients to perform grip strength exercises was only 68.26% (1 598/2 341) . Conclusions:The current level of PICC-associated thrombosis prevention nursing among surgical nurses needs further improvement. Efforts should be strengthened in professional training, implementation of standardized protocols, risk assessment, and non-pharmacological interventions.

BACKGROUND:The mechanisms underlying the occurrence of pressure injuries are complex,and it is not entirely clear which factors play a central role in the development of pressure injuries and how these factors operate. OBJECTIVE:To investigate the relationship between Piezo-type mechanosensitive ion channel component 1(Piezo1)and the occurrence of pressure injuries. METHODS:(1)Cellular experiment:Human immortalized keratinocytes(HaCaT)were treated with Yoda1,a Piezo1 agonist,at different concentrations.Cell viability,calcium ion influx,Piezo1,and apoptosis-related protein expression were detected.(2)Animal experiment:Twelve Sprague-Dawley rats were randomly divided into a control group and three experimental groups,with three rats in each group.The control group was not subjected to pressure,while in the three experimental groups,magnets with a thickness of 1,2,and 3 mm were used to press on both sides of the rats'back for 1 hour,respectively,to establish the animal models of pressure injuries.After modeling,all traumatic tissues were excised and subjected to hematoxylin-eosin,Masson,immunofluorescence staining and western blot assay. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:Cellular experiments:The results of live/dead cell staining showed that HaCaT cell apoptosis increased with the increase of Yoda1 concentration(0,2.5,5,and 10 μmol/L),and calcium ion influx increased with the increase of Yoda1 concentration(0,5,and 10 μmol/L),as well as with the prolongation of treatment time.Western blot assay results showed an increase in the expression of BAX,TG2,and PIEZO1 and a decrease in the expression of the expression of Bcl-2 protein in HaCaT cells in 5 and 10 μmol/L Yoda1 groups compared with the control group(0 μmol/L Yoda1).Animal experiments:The results of hematoxylin-eosin and Masson staining showed that the skin structure of the three experimental groups was damaged at the compression site,there was subcutaneous fat liquefaction and necrosis,and collagen was sparse and disorganized,and damage to the skin structure at the compression site was aggravated with the increase of magnet thickness.Immunofluorescence staining and western blot results showed that compared with the control group,the expression of BAX,TG2,Yap1 and PIEZO1 proteins was elevated,and the expression of Bcl-2 proteins was lowered in the three experimental groups.Moreover,the expression of related proteins showed more significant changes with the increase of magnet thickness(pressure).To conclude,skin compression activates PIEZO1,leading to a significant influx of calcium ions.As the pressure increases,this ultimately results in cell apoptosis due to calcium overload.

Objective:To investigate the current status of peripherally inserted central catheter (PICC) -associated thrombosis prevention nursing practices among surgical nurses, and to provide a scientific basis for targeted future interventions.Methods:A convenience sampling method was used to select 3 151 surgical nurses from tertiary hospitals in 11 provinces and municipalities who attended the Surgical Nursing Academic Symposium of the Chinese Nursing Association between April and May 2023. The survey utilized a standardized questionnaire assessing current practices in PICC-associated thrombosis prevention among clinical nurses.Results:A total of 3 151 questionnaires were distributed, and 2 341 valid responses were collected, yielding a valid response rate of 74.29% (2 341/3 151) . Among the respondents, the training rate on PICC-associated thrombosis prevention was only 62.45% (1 462/2 341) , and just 1.28% (30/2 341) had received full-time (off-duty) training. The usage rate of standardized procedures for PICC-related thrombosis prevention was 92.40% (2 163/2 341) , and the risk assessment rate was 79.79% (1 868/2 341) . Compared to urology and cardiothoracic surgery departments, breast surgery departments had significantly higher rates of thrombosis risk assessment ( P<0.05) . Additionally, 56.69% (1 327/2 341) of surgical nurses used risk assessment tools specific to PICC-associated thrombosis. Among non-pharmacological prevention measures, the implementation rate of encouraging patients to perform grip strength exercises was only 68.26% (1 598/2 341) . Conclusions:The current level of PICC-associated thrombosis prevention nursing among surgical nurses needs further improvement. Efforts should be strengthened in professional training, implementation of standardized protocols, risk assessment, and non-pharmacological interventions.

Objective: Data on syncopal donation-related vasovagal reaction (DRVR) collected from 74 blood centers between 2020 and 2023 was statistically analyzed to provide a reference for developing preventive strategies against syncopal DRVR. Methods: Data on blood donation adverse reactions and basic information of donors from 2020 to 2023 were collected through the information management system at monitoring sentinel sites. Statistical analysis was performed on the following aspects of syncopal DRVR: characteristics of donors who experienced syncope, reported incidence, triggers, duration, presence and occurrence time of syncope-related trauma, clinical management including outpatient and inpatient treatment, and severity grading. Results: From 2020 to 2023, 45 966 donation-related adverse reactions were recorded. Of these, 1 665 (3.72%) cases were syncopal DRVR. The incidence of syncopal DRVR decreased with age, being the highest in the 18-22 age group. Incidence was significantly higher in female donors than male donors, in first-time donors than repeat donors, and in university and individual donors than group donors (all P<0.05). There was no statistically significant difference among different blood donation locations (P>0.05). The top three triggers were tension, fatigue, and needle phobia or fear of blood. Among syncopal DRVR cases, 60.36% occurred during blood collection, 87.63% lasted for less than 60 seconds, and 5.05% were accompanied by trauma. Notably, 57.14% of these traumas occurred after donor had left the blood collection site. Syncope severity was graded based on required treatment: grade 1 (fully recovered without treatment, 95.50%); grade 2 (recovered after outpatient treatment, 4.02%); and grade 3 (recovered after inpatient treatment, 0.48%). Conclusion: By analyzing the data of syncopal DRVR cases, it is possible to provide a reference for formulating blood donor safety policies.

The “Technical Guideline for Epidemic Prevention and Control Disinfection in Large-Scale Events”(hereinafter referred to as “the Guideline”), organized and compiled by the National Disease Control and Prevention Administration, was officially released in April 2024. This guideline aims to ensure the effective implementation of large-scale group activities, mitigate the impact of infectious disease outbreaks on such events, and maintain hygiene and safety standards at event venues. During the compilation process, data were systematically collected in alignment with epidemic prevention requirements and disinfection principles, incorporating research findings from domestic and international disinfection practices. Information was gathered through field investigations, expert consultations in epidemiology and disinfection, and roundtable discussions with representatives from organizations responsible for disinfection operations at large-scale events, thereby ensuring the scientific rigor and practical applicability of the content. The Guideline provides comprehensive technical disinfection guidance for relevant authorities and event organizers, addressing critical aspects such as disinfection protocols, operational principles, emergency response strategies, and technical specifications. By standardizing hygiene assurance measures for large-scale events, including considerations of participant demographics, venue characteristics, and event scale, the guideline establishes a framework to proactively minimize the risk of infectious disease transmission.