Objective:To investigate the application of time series models in forecasting pre-hospital emergency ambulance trips in Handan City and develop the LPro ensemble model for improved prediction accuracy to support emergency resource allocation.Methods:Pre-hospital emergency data from Handan Emergency Medical Command Center (2019-2023) were retrospectively analyzed. From 324 799 original records, 289 949 valid records were included after cleaning. The training set (2019-2022: 215 918 records) included 35 527 records in 2019, 52 015 in 2020, 61 836 in 2021, and 66 540 in 2022. The validation set (2023) contained 74 031 records. ARIMA, linear trend seasonal, exponential smoothing, and Prophet models were fitted to the training set. The LPro ensemble model was constructed using MAPE-based weighting (linear trend seasonal model: 0.38, Prophet: 0.62). Performance metrics included MAPE, RMSE, MAE, and R 2. Results:Data showed annual growth (compound annual growth rate 23.27%) and seasonal patterns (October peaks, February troughs). Ambulance dispatches increased annually with monthly cyclical patterns. For 2023 validation predictions: ARIMA (MAPE 8.76%, RMSE 619, MAE 491, R 2 0.4563), linear trend seasonal (MAPE 9.83%, RMSE 671, MAE 545, R 2 0.3608), Prophet (MAPE 8.43%, RMSE 562, MAE 503, R 2 0.5513), exponential smoothing (MAPE 8.08%, RMSE 643, MAE 410, R 2 0.4124). LPro model showed superior performance (MAPE 7.05%, RMSE 491, MAE 393, R 2 0.6570), with 16.37% lower MAPE, 12.63% lower RMSE, 21.87% lower MAE, and 19.17% higher R 2 versus Prophet. Conclusion:The LPro ensemble model substantially enhances prediction accuracy and reliability, offering scientific support for emergency resource optimization and dispatch scheduling in Handan City.

Objective:To explore the related risk factors for systemic embolism (SE) in patients aged≥75 years with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).Methods:A case-control study. NVAF patients aged≥75 years who were hospitalized at the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University from October 2018 to October 2020 were divided into no SE ( n=1 127) and SE ( n=433) groups according to the occurrence of SE after NVAF. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze SE-related factors in patients with NVAF without anticoagulation treatment. Results:In the multivariate model, the following factors were associated with an increased risk of SE in patients with NVAF: history of AF≥5 years [odds ratio ( OR)=2.75, 95% confidence interval ( CI) 1.98-3.82, P<0.01], lipoprotein(a)>300 g/L ( OR=2.07, 95% CI 1.50-2.84, P<0.01), apolipoprotein (Apo)B>1.2 g/L ( OR=1.91, 95% CI 1.25-2.93, P=0.003), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) of 30%-49% ( OR=2.45, 95% CI 1.63-3.69, P<0.01), left atrial diameter>40 mm ( OR=1.54, 95% CI 1.16-2.07, P=0.003), and CHA 2DS 2-VASc score≥3 ( OR=15.14, 95% CI 2.05-112.13, P=0.01). ApoAI>1.6 g/L was negatively correlated with the occurrence of SE ( OR=0.28, 95% CI 0.15-0.51, P<0.01). Conclusions:History of AF≥5 years, lipoprotein(a)>300 g/L, elevated ApoB, left atrial diameter>40 mm, LVEF of 30%-49%, and CHA 2DS 2-VASC score≥3 are independent risk factors for SE whereas ApoAI>1.6 g/L is a protective factor against SE in patients with NVAF.

Objective:To explore the efficacy and safety of anti-B cell maturation antigen (BCMA) chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CAR-T) for the retreatment of relapsed and refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM).Methods:The clinical data of 10 RRMM patients who received anti-BCMA CAR-T therapy for the second time (CART2) in Henan Province Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine due to failure or recurrence after their first anti-BCMA CAR-T (CART1) therapy from January 2017 to June 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. The treatment, efficacy and adverse events of patients receiving CART2 therapy were summarized; and the objective response rate (ORR), median duration of response (DOR) and incidence of adverse reactions were compared between CART1 and CART2.Results:Among 10 patients, 8 were males and 2 were females, with a median age of 57 years (41-70 years). Patients' 3-month ORR after CART1 therapy was 90%, and the median DOR was 16.0 months (3.0-27.0 months). CART2 used human-derived anti-BCMA CAR-T to treat 6 cases and mouse-derived anti-BCMA CAR-T to treat 4 cases. The 3-month ORR of patients receiving CART2 therapy was 40%, and the median DOR was 8.5 months (3.0-11.0 months). Among 9 patients who received mouse-derived anti-BCMA CAR-T in CART1 therapy, 4 of them received the same product again and none of them showed curative effect. Among 6 patients retreated with human-derived anti-BCMA CAR-T, 4 patients (66.7%) of them achieved partial remission (PR) or better. During CART1 therapy, 10 patients developed grade 1-2 cytokine release syndrome (CRS), and 7 patients developed different degrees of decrease in leukocyte, neutrophil absolute count (ANC) and platelet. Among patients who achieved effective outcomes after receiving CART2 therapy, 4 patients of them developed grade 1-2 CRS, and different degrees of decrease in white blood cell, ANC and thrombocytopenia. Immune effector cell-related neurotoxicity syndrome was not observed.Conclusions:Anti-BCMA CAR-T is effective and safe to retreat RRMM. The ORR and DOR of patients receiving CART2 therapy are lower than those of patients receiving CART1 therapy. CRS and cytopenia are common adverse reactions.

Objective:To investigate the relationship between indicators of carotid atherosclerosis and onset of ischemic stroke in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).Methods:This is a case-control study, a total of 397 NVAF patients with newly diagnosed ischemic stroke (case group) and 3 038 NVAF patients without ischemic stroke (control group) from January 2015 to December 2017 were included in the study. Differences in general clinical features and carotid atherosclerosis indexes between the two groups were compared. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were used to analyze the correlation between carotid atherosclerosis indexes and ischemic stroke.Results:Proportions of patients with carotid intima thickening, carotid plaque, stable plaque, unstable plaque, and moderate to severe stenosis were higher in the ischemic stroke group than those in the control group (82.1% vs. 64.4%, 69.3% vs. 50.3%, 43.6% vs. 30.6%, 25.7% vs. 19.7%, and 7.3% vs. 4.0%, respectively, all P <0.05). After adjustment of age, gender, heart failure, hypertension, low density lipoprotein -cholesterol and drug use, multivariate analyses showed that subjects with carotid intima thickening, carotid plaque, stable plaque, unstable plaque, moderate to severe stenosis had 1.766, 2.111, 1.892, 2.256 and 1.824 times the risk for the development of ischemic stroke compared with the subjects without any carotid atherosclerosis indicators. Conclusion:Carotid atherosclerosis, especially with unstable carotid plaque, is associated with ischemic stroke in patients with NVAF.

Objective To explore the effect of regional synergistic treatment system on the treatment time and short-term prognosis of patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).Methods A retrospective analysis of the clinical data of STEMI patients who admitted to emergency center of Suzhou Kowloon Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine and underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) from January 2013 to January 2017 were conducted. All patients were divided into two groups, group A was the patients who underwent the PPCI before the establishment of the acute chest pain area co-treatment system (from January 2013 to December 2014), and group B was the patients who received the treatment after the establishment of the area co-treatment system (from January 2015 to January 2017). The length of time from onset of symptoms to the balloon dilatation (S2B), the length of time from the first medical contact to the balloon dilatation (FMC2B), the length of time from entering the gate of hospital to the balloon dilatation (D2B), and the incidence of 90-day end point events (including heart failure, all-cause death, and other related adverse events) were collected. The relations of the establishment of the acute chest pain area co-treatment system and the incidence of 90-day end point events were analyzed by multivariable Logistic regression analysis.Results Among the 221 enrolled patients with STEMI, 83 patients were in group A and 138 patients were in group B respectively. Compared with group A, S2B time [minutes: 180 (140, 210) vs. 201 (154, 225)], FMC2B time [minutes: 89 (78, 100) vs. 94 (83, 107)] and D2B time [minutes: 66 (62, 70) vs. 85 (72, 99)] were significantly shortened in group B (allP < 0.05), the incidence of 90-day end point events were significantly decreased (heart failure:20.3％ vs. 32.5％, all-cause death: 1.4％ vs. 7.2％, other related adverse events: 23.2％ vs. 36.1％, allP < 0.05). It was shown by multivariable Logistic regression analysis that the establishment of the acute chest pain area co-treatment system could lower the incidence of 90-day end point events [heart failure: odds ratio (OR) = 1.904, 95％ confidence interval (95％CI) = 0.968-1.004, P = 0.048; all-cause death:OR = 11.724, 95％CI = 0.955-1.048,P = 0.013; other related adverse events:OR = 1.925, 95％CI = 1.049-3.530,P = 0.034].Conclusion The construction of regional synergistic treatment system can shorten the emergency treatment time of STEMI patients and reduce the incidence of 90-day end point events including heart failure and death.

Objective To compare different methods for developing rat model of the syndrome of cold fluid retention in lung ( CFRL) , so as to find an easier and more reliable modeling method for CFRL. Methods Twenty rats were divided into 4 groups, namely normal group, lipopolysaccharide (LPS) group, tobacco group, and cold bath group, 5 rats in each group. Lipopolysaccharide group was given intratracheal drip of LPS, tobacco smoking and cold bath, tobacco group was given tobacco smoking and cold bath, and cold bath group was given cold bath and intragastric gavage of cold water. The modeling time in the three groups lasted for 15 days. After the experiment, we compared the general health state, body weight, sputum volume and pathological changes in rats of the four groups. Results (1) Compared with the normal group, activities of rats in the three modeling groups were lowered, body temperature decreased, and the signs of panting, cyanotic nose and lips with excretion, and sneezing (cough) were obvious. (2) Compared with the normal group, the decrease of body weight was obvious (P<0.01), expelling sputum volume was increased (P<0.05) in the model groups. However, the differences among the three model groups had no statistical differences ( P>0.05). ( 3) The results of lung tissue slice examination showed that the injury of lung tissue was severe in LPS group, mild in tobacco group and slight in cold bath group. Conclusion Rat model of CFRL has been established successfully in all of the three modeling groups, and in consideration with all respects, the method for tobacco group is the best.

Objective To evaluate the role of spinal AMP-activated protein kinase (AMPK) signaling pathway in reduction of neuropathic pain (NP) by dexmedetomidine in rats.Methods One hundred twenty adult male Sprague-Dawley rats, weighing 180-220 g, were randomly divided into 4 groups (n=30 each) using a random number table: sham operation group (group S);group NP;dexmedetomidine group (group Dex) and AMPK inhibitor group (group AI).The animals were anesthetized with intraperitoneal 10％ chloral hydrate 350 mg/kg.The right sciatic nerve was exposed, and 4 loose ligatures were placed on the sciatic nerve at 1 mm intervals with 4-0 silk thread in NP and Dex groups.In group Dex, dexmedetomidine 50 μg/kg was injected intraperitoneally once a day starting from the end of operation until the animals were sacrificed.In group AI, AMPK inhibitor Compound C 20 mg/kg was injected intraperitoneally at the end of operation, and the other treatments were similar to those previously described in group Dex.The equal volume of normal saline was given instead of dexmedetomidine in S and NP groups.The mechanical paw withdrawal threshold to von Frey filament stimulation (MWT) and thermal paw withdrawal latency (TWL) were measured at 1 day before operation (baseline) and 2, 8 and 14 days after operation (T0-3).Results Compared with group S, the MWT was significantly decreased, and the TWL was shortened at T1-3 in NP, Dex and AI groups (P＜0.05).Compared with group NP, the MWT was significantly increased, and the TWL was prolonged at T1-3 in group Dex (P＜0.05) , and no significant change was found in MWT and TWL in group AI (P＞0.05).Conclusion Spinal AMPK signaling pathway is involved in reduction of NP by dexmedetomidine in rats.

Objective To summarize the perioperational nursing strategies for patients undergoing mandibular defect repair by forearm flap composite fibula flap.Methods From January 2009 to December 2012,9 patients with mandibular defect and soft tissue defects after resection of malignant tumors received fibula flap and forearm flap.Before operation,the patient received psychological education and the preparation of donor flap and receptor area together with oral preparation was performed.After operation,the vital signs and blood circulation in the flap were observed.Results The fibula and forearm flaps in 8 patients survived.The fibula flap in one patient survived while the forearm flap developed with vascular crisis.The success rate for the transplanted flap was 89.9%. Conclusion The perioperative nursing strategies are key to increase survival rate of flaps and the success rate of operation.

Objective To investigate the potentiality of specific miRNA level in blood plasma of ovarian cancer patients as a molecular marker to predict sensitivity and response to platinum-based chemotherapy .Methods Quantitative polymerase chain reac-tion ( Q-PCR) was used to check the changing of miRNA level in blood plasma before and after chemotherapy , and explored the rela-tivity between variation and chemotherapy response and clinic outcome .Results Among preliminary screened 11 miRNAs, only 5 miRNAs were able to be detected in peripheral blood .There existed variations in 3 miRNAs ( miR-22, miR-106a, miR-142).Further detection of the changing of miRNA level in blood plasma before and after therapy , miR-22 was found significantly up-regulated in blood plasma that was underwent platinum-based chemotherapy .Meanwhile, ovarian cancer patients with high miR-22 level were most-ly sensitive to platinum-based therapy.Otherwise, miR-22 was positive relative to the clinic prognosis of patients with ovarian cancer . Conclusions miR-22, miR-106a, and miR-142 might participate in the generation and development of ovarian cancer .miR-22 in pe-ripheral blood was probably identified as a novel molecular marker of prediction of the sensitivity to platinum in ovarian cancer patients .

AIM To investigate the effect of recipient kidney function by CsA coadministration Ber used to induce immune tolerance in rats of allogenic cardiac transplantation. METHODS The authors established the SD to Wistar rats heterotopic cardiac transplantation model by Onos methods.Observe the cardiac allograft survival and levels of BUN and Cr in the recipients plasma. The recipients were classified into 5 groups randomly after heterotopic cardiac transplantation were performed. Group A (Wistar to Wistar)): Received placebo intraperitoneal injected for 21 days; Group B (SD to Wistar): Saline intraperitoneal injected for 21 days; Group C (SD to Wistar):CsA 2 mg?kg -1 ?d -1 intraperitoneal injected for 21 days; Group D(SD to Wistar):Ber 16 mg?kg -1 ?d -1 gastrointubation for 21 days; Group E(SD to Wistar): Ber 16 mg?kg -1 ?d -1 gastrointubation coadministration CsA 2 mg?kg -1 ?d -1 ip for 21 days. RESULTS The levels of BUN and Cr in recipint plasma is lower evidently compare with the group with CsA ip simply. CONCLUSION Ber can reduce the renal toxicity in recipients by CsA which was intraperitoneal injected (ip) over a long period time.