1.Research on the equity of maternal health service utilization in Changning District, Shanghai
Ying HUANG ; Wenli FANG ; Fang BU ; Ye SHEN ; Ning QIAN ; Xuelin BAI ; Shuo YU ; Ji LIANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):137-141
Objective To understand the equity and influencing factors of maternal health service utilization in Changning District, Shanghai. Methods A convenience sampling method was used to conduct a questionnaire survey among mothers of children aged 1 to 1.5 years old who received health services from the child health care clinics and EPI clinics of 10 community health service centers in Changning District, Shanghai from March to April 2022. Count data was expressed by frequency and percentage. Chi-square analysis, binomial logistic regression analysis, and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to analyze fairness-related factors. Rate difference, rate ratio and concentration index were used to represent fairness. Results A total of 696 subjects were investigated, with an average age of (33.35±4.76) years. There were statistically significant differences in service utilization among women with different household registrations only in early pregnancy registration (χ2=11.026, P=0.001) and postpartum visits (χ2=4.989, P=0.026). Women with a career showed differently in folic acid supplement (χ2=6.247, P=0.012), early pregnancy registration (χ2=12.989, P=0.002), physical examination in 42 days postpartum (χ2=4.446, P=0.035) and postpartum contraception (χ2=4.061, P=0.044), and the differences were statistically significant. Women with different monthly family income had a statistically significant difference in pre-pregnancy examination (χ2=8.977, P=0.030) and postpartum visit (χ2=16.114, P=0.001). There was a statistically significant difference between women with maternity insurance or not in the early pregnancy registration (χ2=10.576, P=0.001) and physical examination in 42 days postpartum (χ2=8.166, P=0.004). The results of the multivariate analysis showed that occupation (OR=2.616, 95% CI: 1.142-5.990) and maternity insurance (OR=4.490, 95% CI: 1.992~10.120) affected the utilization of service in early pregnancy registration. The monthly household income (OR=0.278, 95% CI: 0.124-0.625) affected the utilization of services in postpartum visit. At the same time, the monthly household income (10,000-19,999: OR=0.286, 95% CI: 0.090-0.907; ≥30,000: OR=0.180, 95% CI: 0.041-0.801) also affected the utilization of service in physical examination in 42 days postpartum. Conclusion The equity of maternal health care service utilization overall is good in central area in Shanghai, but there is still room for improvement. It is necessary to strengthen community mobilization, propagandize maternal health services, and expand the coverage of maternity insurance to improve the equity of maternal health service utilization and provide equal access to maternity health services.
2.Safety and effectiveness of lecanemab in Chinese patients with early Alzheimer's disease: Evidence from a multidimensional real-world study.
Wenyan KANG ; Chao GAO ; Xiaoyan LI ; Xiaoxue WANG ; Huizhu ZHONG ; Qiao WEI ; Yonghua TANG ; Peijian HUANG ; Ruinan SHEN ; Lingyun CHEN ; Jing ZHANG ; Rong FANG ; Wei WEI ; Fengjuan ZHANG ; Gaiyan ZHOU ; Weihong YUAN ; Xi CHEN ; Zhao YANG ; Ying WU ; Wenli XU ; Shuo ZHU ; Liwen ZHANG ; Naying HE ; Weihuan FANG ; Miao ZHANG ; Yu ZHANG ; Huijun JU ; Yaya BAI ; Jun LIU
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(22):2907-2916
INTRODUCTION:
Lecanemab has shown promise in treating early Alzheimer's disease (AD), but its safety and efficacy in Chinese populations remain unexplored. This study aimed to evaluate the safety and 6-month clinical outcomes of lecanemab in Chinese patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or mild AD.
METHODS:
In this single-arm, real-world study, participants with MCI due to AD or mild AD received biweekly intravenous lecanemab (10 mg/kg). The study was conducted at Hainan Branch, Ruijin Hospital Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine. Patient enrollment and baseline assessments commenced in November 2023. Safety assessments included monitoring for amyloid-related imaging abnormalities (ARIA) and other adverse events. Clinical and biomarker changes from baseline to 6 months were evaluated using cognitive scales (mini-mental state examination [MMSE], montreal cognitive assessment [MoCA], clinical dementia rating-sum of boxes [CDR-SB]), plasma biomarker analysis, and advanced neuroimaging.
RESULTS:
A total of 64 patients were enrolled in this ongoing real-world study. Safety analysis revealed predominantly mild adverse events, with infusion-related reactions (20.3%, 13/64) being the most common. Of these, 69.2% (9/13) occurred during the initial infusion and 84.6% (11/13) did not recur. ARIA-H (microhemorrhages/superficial siderosis) and ARIA-E (edema/effusion) were observed in 9.4% (6/64) and 3.1% (2/64) of participants, respectively, with only two symptomatic cases (one ARIA-E presenting with headache and one ARIA-H with visual disturbances). After 6 months of treatment, cognitive scores remained stable compared to baseline (MMSE: 22.33 ± 5.58 vs . 21.27 ± 4.30, P = 0.733; MoCA: 16.38 ± 6.67 vs . 15.90 ± 4.78, P = 0.785; CDR-SB: 2.30 ± 1.65 vs . 3.16 ± 1.72, P = 0.357), while significantly increasing plasma amyloid-β 42 (Aβ42) (+21.42%) and Aβ40 (+23.53%) levels compared to baseline.
CONCLUSIONS:
Lecanemab demonstrated a favorable safety profile in Chinese patients with early AD. Cognitive stability and biomarker changes over 6 months suggest potential efficacy, though high dropout rates and absence of a control group warrant cautious interpretation. These findings provide preliminary real-world evidence for lecanemab's use in China, supporting further investigation in larger controlled studies.
REGISTRATION
ClinicalTrials.gov , NCT07034222.
Humans
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Alzheimer Disease/drug therapy*
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Male
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Female
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Aged
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Middle Aged
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Cognitive Dysfunction/drug therapy*
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Aged, 80 and over
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Amyloid beta-Peptides/metabolism*
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Biomarkers
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East Asian People
3.Conditional Tnfaip6-Knockout in Inner Ear Hair Cells Does not Alter Auditory Function.
Yue QIU ; Song GAO ; Xiaoqiong DING ; Jie LU ; Xinya JI ; Wenli HAO ; Siqi CHENG ; Haolinag DU ; Yajun GU ; Chenjie YU ; Cheng CHENG ; Xia GAO
Neuroscience Bulletin 2025;41(3):421-433
Noise-induced hearing loss is a worldwide public health issue that is characterized by temporary or permanent changes in hearing sensitivity. This condition is closely linked to inflammatory responses, and interventions targeting the inflammatory gene tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNFα) are known to mitigate cochlear noise damage. TNFα-induced proteins (TNFAIPs) are a family of translucent acidic proteins, and TNFAIP6 has a notable association with inflammatory responses. To date, there have been few reports on TNFAIP6 levels in the inner ear. To elucidate the precise mechanism, we generated transgenic mouse models with conditional knockout of Tnfaip6 (Tnfaip6 cKO). Evaluation of hair cell morphology and function revealed no significant differences in hair cell numbers or ribbon synapses between Tnfaip6 cKO and wild-type mice. Moreover, there were no notable variations in hair cell numbers or hearing function in noisy environments. Our results indicate that Tnfaip6 does not have a substantial impact on the auditory system.
Animals
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Mice, Knockout
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Hair Cells, Auditory, Inner/pathology*
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Mice
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Mice, Transgenic
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Hearing Loss, Noise-Induced
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Evoked Potentials, Auditory, Brain Stem/physiology*
4.Study on the preference for"Internet+TCM Nursing Services"among colorectal cancer patients
Yun-hong DU ; Wenli RONG ; Lili SUN ; Yu WANG ; Shujun WANG ; Li WANG
Chinese Journal of Nursing 2025;60(12):1413-1419
Objective To explore the preferences and needs of colorectal cancer patients for"Internet+TCM nursing services",aiming to provide a basis for the improvement of service quality and the formulation of relevant policies,so as to better meet the needs of patients.Methods A total of 189 patients with colorectal cancer who were admitted to a tertiary A Chinese Medicine hospital in Qingdao from September 2023 to July 2024 were selected as the research subjects.A general data questionnaire and Questionnaire on"Internet+Traditional Chinese Medicine Nursing Service"Preference of Colorectal Cancer Patients were used with 6 attributes,including average out-of-pocket cost,nurse qualification,service waiting time,service mode,comprehensiveness of service content,and platform service evaluation,each attribute with 2 to 3 levels.The preference,payment intention of"Internet+TCM nursing services"were analyzed by constructing a mixed Logit model,and the influencing factors of choice preference of different colorectal cancer patients was explored through subgroup analysis.Results Totally 189 questionnaires were sent out,and 156 valid questionnaires were collected,with an effective recovery rate of 82.54%.Among the respondents,112 patients(71.79%)actively accepted"Internet+TCM nursing services",and the attributes of"Internet+TCM nursing services"such as payment fee,service evaluation,service content and nurse qualification had an impact on nursing service preference of colorectal cancer patients(P<0.05).Based on willingness to pay,the ranking of attributes was service evaluation,service content and nurse qualification.Factors such as education level and the presence of ostomy also affected the preference of"Internet+TCM nursing services"in patients with colorectal cancer(P<0.05).Conclusion Patients with colorectal cancer prefer"Internet+TCM nursing services",which has an average service cost of 50 yuan per time,excellent platform service evaluation,comprehensive service content,specialized TCM nurses.The preferences and specific characteristics of patients with colorectal cancer can be considered to optimize the allocation of nursing resources and provide services in line with their preferences.
5.Relationship between intraoperative hypothermia and early postoperative pulmonary complications in pediatric patients undergoing living donor liver transplantation
Guicheng ZHANG ; Yunxia LIU ; Hongli YU ; Wenli YU
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2025;45(3):281-285
Objective:To evaluate the relationship between intraoperative hypothermia and early postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) in pediatric patients undergoing living donor liver transplantation (LDLT).Methods:This was a retrospective study. Medical records of pediatric patients of either sex, aged 4-24 months, diagnosed with congenital biliary atresia who underwent LDLT from January 2021 to March 2023 were collected from the electronic medical record system of Tianjin First Central Hospital. The collected data included general characteristics, intraoperative conditions, and PPCs such as postoperative pediatric acute respiratory distress syndrome, pneumonia, pleural effusion, atelectasis, and pulmonary edema within 1 week after operation. Additional indicators comprised the difference in systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) between 1 day before surgery and at the end of surgery (ΔSII), concentration of hypersensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) at the end of surgery, postoperative mechanical ventilation time, and duration of intensive care unit stay. Pediatric patients were divided into PPCs group and non-PPCs group based on the development of PPCs. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the relationship between factors associated with intraoperative hypothermia and PPCs.Results:A total of 226 pediatric patients were included in the study, with 126 cases in PPCs group and 100 cases in non-PPCs group. The results of logistic regression analysis showed that pre-reperfusion hypothermia, duration of hypothermia, ΔSII and concentrations of hs-CRP at the end of operation were independent risk factors for the occurrence of PPCs ( P<0.05). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of pre-reperfusion hypothermia and duration of hypothermia in predicting PPCs was 0.594 (95% confidence interval [ CI] 0.521-0.668, P=0.015) and 0.702 (95% CI 0.634-0.770, P<0.001), respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of combination of factors associated with hypothermia (pre-reperfusion hypothermia, duration of hypothermia) and inflammatory indicators (ΔSII, plasma hs-CRP concentration at the end of surgery) in predicting PPCs was 0.977 (95% CI 0.959-0.995, P<0.001). Conclusions:Pre-reperfusion hypothermia and duration of hypothermia are independent risk factors for early PPCs in infants, and their predictive value for the development of PPCs is higher when combined with ΔSII and plasma hs-CRP concentration in pediatric patients undergoing LDLT.
6.Relationship between AT1-AA levels in uterine fluid and the thickness of endometrium in infertile women with chronic endometritis
Jiahui ZHOU ; Guifang YANG ; De SONG ; Yinan ZHANG ; Yao CHEN ; Xuemin LI ; Yana YU ; Yuhui SHI ; Wenli ZHU ; Xiaoli YANG
Chinese Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology 2025;60(7):520-527
Objective:To investigate the relationship between the level of angiotensin Ⅱ type 1 receptor autoantibody (AT1-AA) in the uterine fluid and the thickness of endometrium in infertile women with chronic endometritis.Methods:A case-control study was conducted to select 122 patients who underwent hysteroscopy and endometrial tissue biopsy at Assisted Reproduction Center, Taiyuan Central Hospital due to infertility from March 2023 to January 2024 as the study subjects. According to the results of hysteroscopy and endometrial tissue biopsy, the patients were divided into 52 cases in the infertility group with normal endometrium (NE infertility group) and the chronic endometritis combined with infertility group (CE infertility group) with 70 cases. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was used to detect the level of AT1-AA in uterine fluid of the two groups. General clinical data, AT1-AA absorbance value of uterine fluid and uterine related indexes of the two groups were analyzed, and the correlations between AT1-AA level and the variation of indexes were analyzed.Results:Gravidity (median: 1 vs 1; Z=7.029, P=0.030) and parity (median: 0 vs 0; Z=12.258, P=0.002) in CE infertility group were higher than those in NE infertility group. There was AT1-AA in the uterine fluid, and the level of AT1-AA in CE infertility group was significantly higher than that in NE infertility group (median: 2.07 vs 1.44; Z=3.099, P=0.029). The endometrial thickness of CE infertility group was lower than that of NE infertility group (median: 6.0 vs 7.0 mm; Z=-2.179, P=0.029), and there were no statistical differences in other indexes between the two groups (all P>0.05). Further correlation analysis showed that there were no correlation between the level of AT1-AA in uterine fluid and parity, endometrial thickness, gravidity in NE infertility group (all P>0.05). However, the level of AT1-AA in uterine fluid of CE infertility group was positively correlated with parity (Spearman′s r=0.339, P=0.004), and negatively correlated with endometrial thickness (Spearman′s r=-0.499, P<0.001), but not correlated with gravidity ( P>0.05). Conclusions:AT1-AA is present in the uterine fluid of infertile women. The elevated level of AT1-AA in uterine fluid of infertile women with CE is related to the thinning of the endometrium.
7.Multicenter survey on the co-occurrence patterns of psychosocial and behavioral problems in children
Minjun LI ; Feiyong JIA ; Yunjing ZHAO ; Xiaoyan KE ; Wenli WANG ; Li CHEN ; Yan HAO ; Ling LI ; Yu LING ; Jie ZHANG ; Lin WANG ; Tingyu LI
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2025;63(9):985-991
Objective:To investigate the co-occurrence patterns of psychosocial and behavioral problems among children and to identify associated influencing factors.Methods:A multicenter cross-sectional survey was conducted in 2023. A cluster random sample of 19 176 children aged 6-16 years was recruited from middle-income areas across 10 provincial capitals and municipalities in China. Psychological and behavioral problems, including anxiety, compulsive behavior, social withdrawal, depression, somatic complaints, social problems, schizoid, delinquent behaviors, hyperactivity, sexual issues, and aggression, were assessed using the Achenbach Child Behavior Checklist parent version. Co-occurrence was defined as ≥2 concurrent problems. Children were divided into 4 groups by gender and age: boys aged 6-11 years, girls aged 6-11 years, boys aged 12-16 years, and girls aged 12-16 years. Those children who had psychosocial and behavioral problems were further categorized into the single-problem group, and the co-occurrence group based on assessment results. High-frequency co-occurrence phenotypes of children′s psychosocial and behavioral problems were identified. Demographic factors, such as parental employment, education, as well as psychosocial factors like parent-child relationship, screen time and outdoor activity, were investigated. χ 2 test was used to analyze differences between groups. Multivariate Logistic regression modeling was conducted to identify potential factors. Results:Among 14 711 children (7 501 boys, 7 210 girls) who provided effective questionnaires, the detection rates of single problem in the boys aged 6-11 years, girls aged 6-11 years, boys aged 12-16 years, and girls aged 12-16 years groups were 4.9% (171/3 461), 6.2% (193/3 120), 3.9% (158/4 040), and 5.1% (208/4 090), respectively; the detection rates of co-occurrence were 7.6% (262/3 461), 7.7% (241/3 120), 4.9% (199/4 040), and 5.7% (234/4 090), respectively. The overall detection rates of co-occurrence was higher than that of single problem ( χ2=25.47, P<0.001). Among children with co-occurrence, there were varied manifestations: in the boys aged 6-11 years group, the detection rates of social withdrawal (69.8% (183/262)), schizoid-like behavior (68.3% (179/262)), and compulsive behavior (67.6% (177/262)) were relatively high; in the girls aged 6-11 years group, the detection rates of schizoid-compulsive behavior (69.3% (167/241)), delinquent behavior (65.6% (158/241)), and hyperactivity (58.9% (142/241)) were relatively high; in the boys aged 12-16 years group, the detection rates of hyperactivity (78.9% (157/199)), compulsive behavior (67.3% (134/199)), and immature behavior (57.3% (114/199)) were relatively high; in the girls aged 12-16 years group, the detection rates of schizoid-like behavior (89.7% (210/234)), immature behavior (59.0% (138/234)), and cruelty (57.7% (135/234)) were relatively high. Maternal bachelor′s degree or higher ( OR=0.78, 95% CI 0.61-0.99, P=0.038) served as co-occurrence protective factors, whereas having 1 or more siblings, increased parent-child conflict and decreased parent-child interaction time ( OR=1.24, 1.41, 1.36; 95% CI 1.02-1.52, 1.15-1.73, 1.02-1.82, all P<0.05) were co-occurrence risk factors. Conclusions:Children exhibit strong co-occurrence tendencies in psychosocial and behavioral problems. Compulsive and schizoid traits are the predominant co-occurring phenotypes for childhood and girls respectively. ?Familial environment plays a critical role, necessitating ?multidimensional clinical assessments and ?family-centered interventions.
8.Changes in the intestinal microbiota structure of patients with colorectal adenoma
Meng SIJIA ; Li JIQIU ; Wang DAN ; Liu CHEN ; Li CHUNYAN ; Zhao JING ; Wang YU ; Du MEIZHI ; Wang YUAN ; Lu WENLI ; Zhu YUN ; Zhang KEMING
Chinese Journal of Clinical Oncology 2025;52(4):177-182
Objective:To investigate gut microbiota differences between individuals with and without colorectal adenoma(CRA)and to identify gut microbes associated with CRA.Methods:This cross-sectional study analyzed the gut microbiota of 100 patients with CRA and 68 individuals without CRA(aged 40-75 years)who underwent colonoscopies between March 2021 and March 2022 at Tianjin Nankai Hospital.Fecal samples were sequenced for the V3-V4 region of the bacterial 16S rRNA gene using the Illumina NovaSeq platform.Results:Compared to the non-CRA group,the CRA group exhibited reduced relative abundances of identified and unidentified Lachnospiraceae,with increased Faecalibacterium and Streptococcus.In the non-CRA group,the relative abundances of Coprococcus,unidentified Clostridiaceae,and Clostridium were higher.LEfSe analysis revealed significant enrichment of Gammaproteobacteria,Proteobacteria,Enterobacteriales,and Faecalibacterium in the CRA group,while the non-CRA group was enriched for Moraxellaceae,Acinetobacter,and Anaerostipes.Conclusions:These findings suggest a discernible disparity in the gut microbiota structure between CRA patients and individuals without adenoma.The enrichment of potential pathogenic taxa,such as Faecalibacterium and Streptococcus,in the CRA group suggests a possible association with adenoma development.
9.Study on Correlation Between Traditional Chinese Medicine Syndrome Elements and Risk Factors in Patients with Type Ⅱ Cardio-renal Syndrome
Rong YU ; Hanchao HUANG ; Huan DENG ; Wenli DING ; Yanping ZENG
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;42(7):1568-1573
Objective To investigate the correlation between traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)syndrome elements and risk factors in patients with type Ⅱ cardio-renal syndrome(CRS).Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the medical records of 116 patients with type Ⅱ CRS.The distribution of TCM syndrome elements was analyzed,and the correlation between the syndrome elements and risk factors of gender,age,smoking history,alcohol consumption history,coronary heart disease,hypertension,diabetes,and anemia were evaluated.Results(1)The analysis of syndrome elements of 116 patients with type Ⅱ CRS showed that the main disease-location elements were heart(96 cases,82.76%),lung(89 cases,76.72%),kidney(81 cases,69.83%),spleen(71 cases,61.21%),and liver(25 cases,21.56%);the main disease-nature elements were qi deficiency(113 cases,97.41%),blood deficiency(96 cases,82.76%),yang deficiency(95 cases,81.89%),phlegm(94 cases,81.03%),yin deficiency(90 cases,77.59%),dampness(61 cases,52.59%),water retention(55 cases,47.41%),and blood stasis(47 cases,40.52%).(2)The analysis of age groups of 116 patients with type Ⅱ CRS showed that the majority of the patients were middle-aged and elderly individuals over 60 years old,and the age groups covered<60 years old(4 cases,3.45%),61-70 years old(10 cases,8.62%),71-80 years old(28 cases,24.14%),81-90 years old(64 cases,55.17%),and>90 years old(10 cases,8.62%).(3)The analysis of gender of 116 patients with type Ⅱ CRS showed that 46 cases(39.66%)were male,and 70 cases(60.34%)were female,the female outnumbering the male.(4)The exploration of correlation between TCM syndrome elements and risk factors with Logistic regression analysis showed that blood deficiency was positively correlated with alcohol consumption,hypertension,and anemia(P<0.05 or P<0.01),yang deficiency was positively correlated with anemia(P<0.05),yin deficiency was positively correlated with smoking and diabetes(P<0.05),dampness was positively correlated with smoking and anemia(P<0.01),water retention was positively correlated with gender and protein abnormalities(P<0.05 or P<0.01),and blood stasis was positively correlated with hypertension(P<0.05).Conclusion The illness of type Ⅱ CRS is located in the heart,involving the five organs,and is closely related to the lungs and kidneys.The general pathogenesis of type Ⅱ CRS is characterized by being deficiency of qi and yang in the root cause,and having the symptom manifestations of phlegm and blood stasis.In type Ⅱ CRS patients,men are more likely to suffer water retention,smokers are more likely to suffer yin deficiency and dampness,drinkers are more likely to suffer blood deficiency,individuals with hypertension are more likely to suffer blood deficiency and blood stasis,individuals with diabetes are more likely to suffer yin deficiency,individuals with anemia are more likely to suffer blood deficiency,yang deficiency and dampness,and individuals with protein abnormalities are more likely to suffer water retention.
10.Development and validation of a clinical prediction model for postoperative pulmonary complications in elderly patients following general anesthesia
Jingjun ZHANG ; Lili JIA ; Mingwei SHENG ; Ying SUN ; Mei DING ; Weihua LIU ; Hongxia LI ; Yiqi WENG ; Wenli YU
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(9):1237-1244
Objective:To develop and validate a clinical prediction model for assessing the risk of postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) in elderly patients undergoing surgery with general anesthesia.Methods:This prospective observational study enrolled patients aged ≥65 years who underwent general anesthesia with mechanical ventilation duration >3 hours across six tertiary hospitals between December 2022 and August 2023. Based on follow-up outcomes (until discharge or postoperative day 7), patients were categorized into a non-PPCs group and a PPCs group. Detailed records included baseline patient characteristics, preoperative comorbidities, surgical information (type, duration), and bedside lung ultrasound scores (LUS) assessed within 24 hours postoperatively using a standardized 12-zone protocol. Predictor selection was performed using LASSO regression. Significant predictors identified were incorporated into a multivariate logistic regression analysis to build the prediction model, visualized as a nomogram. Internal validation was conducted via bootstrap resampling (1 000 repetitions). Model performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for discrimination, calibration curves for calibration accuracy, and decision curve analysis (DCA) for clinical utility.Results:A total of 130 eligible elderly surgical patients were included. PPCs occurred in 17 patients (incidence rate: 13.1%). Multivariate analysis identified LUS ( OR=1.248, 95% CI: 1.099-1.417, P=0.001) and elective surgery type ( OR=0.206, 95% CI: 0.043-0.988, P=0.048) as independent predictors of PPCs. The nomogram model demonstrated an AUC of 0.867 (95% CI: 0.775-0.959) upon initial testing. Internal validation confirmed good discrimination (AUC=0.863, 95% CI: 0.778-0.972). Calibration curves indicated excellent agreement between predicted probabilities and observed outcomes. Decision curve analysis demonstrated significant clinical net benefit across a wide range of threshold probabilities (0.03-0.89). Conclusions:The clinical prediction model, developed using early postoperative LUS scores and surgical type, effectively predicts the risk of postoperative pulmonary complications in elderly patients following surgery under general anesthesia. The model exhibits strong discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility, providing clinicians with a reliable tool for individualized risk assessment to support clinical decision-making and potentially reduce PPC incidence.


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