1.Application of optimized combination prediction model in the prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease
Weijie TIAN ; Qian GAO ; Kun YANG ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Jian CHEN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):58-62
Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.
2.Chinese expert consensus on the application of jejunal interposition for esophageal reconstruction in complex esophageal cancer surgery (2026 edition)
Wenshu CHEN ; Lilan ZHAO ; Zhaoxian LIN ; Debin OU ; Zhigang LI ; Chengchu ZHU ; Longqi CHEN ; Shuoyan LIU ; Xiangnan LI ; Chao CHENG ; Ni ZHANG ; Songping XIE ; Xufeng GUO ; Xu LI ; Xinyu MEI ; Xuefeng LENG ; Jianqun MA ; Zhijun HUANG ; Guojun GENG ; Lin ZHANG ; Hongyan WANG ; Yi ZHANG ; Weijie WANG ; Jiangbo LIN ; Jinbiao XIE ; Jun GUAN ; Rongqi HE ; Xing LIN ; Xiuhua TU ; Yong LI ; Lijie TAN ; Xiaojie PAN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(10):1527-1543
Objective Jejunal interposition is an important option for restoring gastrointestinal continuity in patients with complex esophageal cancer in whom the stomach is unavailable for reconstruction due to previous gastrectomy, tumor involvement, failed gastric conduit, or other constraints. Although the jejunum offers a caliber similar to the esophagus, a rich blood supply, and preserved peristaltic function, anatomical variations in mesenteric length and vascular arcades render long-segment and high-level reconstruction susceptible to excessive tension, mesenteric torsion, venous congestion, and inadequate distal perfusion. This consensus aims to provide standardized recommendations for the application of jejunal interposition in this specific patient population. Methods This consensus was developed in accordance with the WHO Handbook for Guideline Development and Chinese national guideline development standards, with reference to the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research & Evaluation Ⅱ(AGREE Ⅱ), Reporting Items for Practice Guidelines in Healthcare (RIGHT), and Scientific, Transparent and Applicable Rankings (STAR) checklists. The project was registered on the international practice guidelines registry platform (PREPARE-2026CN1384). The working group systematically searched Chinese and English evidence addressing 12 clinical questions. Evidence was graded using the Oxford Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine (OCEBM) 2009 system, with structured appraisal of risk of bias, inconsistency, indirectness, and imprecision. Recommendations were formulated through two rounds of Delphi surveys and a face-to-face consensus meeting, with an agreement threshold of ≥75%. Results The consensus generated 12 recommendations covering indications, selection between jejunum and colon, preoperative assessment, surgical approach and reconstruction route, pedicled jejunal interposition (PJI), supercharged pedicled jejunal interposition (SPJ), indocyanine green (ICG) perfusion assessment, perioperative nutrition, management of anastomotic leakage, long-term follow-up, and special treatment scenarios. Given that the available direct evidence is predominantly derived from single-center retrospective cohorts and case series, recommendations extrapolated from general esophagectomy or other gastrointestinal surgical evidence are deliberately phrased with caution. Conclusion Jejunal interposition is a safe and effective approach for digestive tract reconstruction in patients with complex esophageal cancer in whom the stomach is unavailable. This consensus emphasizes that clinical decision-making should be individualized based on the patient's prior treatment history, reconstruction height, vascular anatomy, technical availability, and institutional experience in the Chinese context.
3.Exploring the Potential Mechanism of Action of Licorice against COVID-19 Based on A Multidimensional Interaction Network of"Component-Disease-Symptom-Target"
Tian GONG ; Weijie LI ; Zhaoyin ZHOU ; Yute ZHONG ; Ping WANG ; Zhijie MA ; Haiyu XU
Journal of Nanjing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;41(11):1464-1479
OBJECTIVE To explore the potential mechanisms and bioactive compounds of licorice against COVID-19 based on a multidimensional interaction of"component-disease-symptom-target".METHODS Firstly,candidate target sets for licorice compo-nents were obtained from the ETCM2.0 database based on the Encyclopedia of Traditional Chinese Medicine,and the disease symp-toms and associated target sets for COVID-19 were derived from the GeneCards and HPO databases.And then a protein interaction network was constructed using the String database(version 12.0).By calculating topological eigenvalues and functional enrichment analysis,the potential mechanisms of action were explored.Combined with Schr?dinger molecular docking virtual screening,candidate pharmacodynamic substances were identified.Fluorescence resonance energy transfer was used for experimental verification.RESULTS Licorice might improve symptoms of COVID-19(fever,chest pain and so on)by regulating the imbalance of"immune-inflammation"network and signal transduction abnormalities during the development and progress of COVID-19,such as coronavirus disease-COVID-19,Toll-like receptor signaling pathway and NOD-like receptor signaling pathway.The components,such as Isos-chaftoside and Hesperidin,were identified to possess high binding affinity with the critical enzymes for viral replication.Isoschaftoside,Hesperidin,Isoliquiritin apioside and Vicenin-2 exhibited varying degrees of inhibition on the enzyme of 3CLpro at different concentra-tions while excluding the interference of the compounds' fluorescence.CONCLUSION Through experimental verification using a multidimensional interaction network of"component-disease-symptom-target",the key pharmacologically active substances of licorice in the fight against COVID-19 are preliminarily identified,and their mechanism of action through overall regulation is elucidated.
4.Analysis of factors for international normalized ratio levels>3.0 in patients undergoing warfarin anticoagulation therapy after mechanical heart valve replacement
Shengmin ZHAO ; Bo FU ; Fengying ZHANG ; Weijie MA ; Shourui HUANG ; Qian LI ; Huan TAO ; Li DONG ; Jin CHEN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2025;32(05):655-662
Objective To investigate the factors influencing international normalized ratio (INR)>3.0 in patients undergoing warfarin anticoagulation therapy after mechanical heart valve replacement. Methods A retrospective analysis was performed on the clinical data of patients who underwent mechanical heart valve replacement surgery and received warfarin anticoagulation therapy at West China Hospital of Sichuan University from January 1, 2011 to June 30, 2022. Based on the discharge INR values, patients were divided into two groups: an INR≤3.0 group and an INR>3.0 group. The factors associated with INR>3.0 at the time of discharge were analyzed. Results A total of 8901 patients were enrolled, including 3409 males and 5492 females, with a median age of 49.3 (43.5, 55.6) years. The gender, body mass index (BMI), New York Heart Association (NYHA) cardiac function grading, INR, glutamic oxaloacetic transaminase, and preoperative prothrombin time (PT) were statistically different between the two groups (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that lower BMI, preoperative PT>15 s, and mitral valve replacement were independent risk factors for INR>3.0 at discharge (P<0.05). Conclusion BMI, preoperative PT, and surgical site are factors influencing INR>3.0 at discharge in patients undergoing warfarin anticoagulation therapy after mechanical heart valve replacement. Special attention should be given to patients with lower BMI, longer preoperative PT, and mitral valve replacement to avoid excessive anticoagulation therapy.
5.Exploring the Potential Mechanism of Action of Licorice against COVID-19 Based on A Multidimensional Interaction Network of"Component-Disease-Symptom-Target"
Tian GONG ; Weijie LI ; Zhaoyin ZHOU ; Yute ZHONG ; Ping WANG ; Zhijie MA ; Haiyu XU
Journal of Nanjing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;41(11):1464-1479
OBJECTIVE To explore the potential mechanisms and bioactive compounds of licorice against COVID-19 based on a multidimensional interaction of"component-disease-symptom-target".METHODS Firstly,candidate target sets for licorice compo-nents were obtained from the ETCM2.0 database based on the Encyclopedia of Traditional Chinese Medicine,and the disease symp-toms and associated target sets for COVID-19 were derived from the GeneCards and HPO databases.And then a protein interaction network was constructed using the String database(version 12.0).By calculating topological eigenvalues and functional enrichment analysis,the potential mechanisms of action were explored.Combined with Schr?dinger molecular docking virtual screening,candidate pharmacodynamic substances were identified.Fluorescence resonance energy transfer was used for experimental verification.RESULTS Licorice might improve symptoms of COVID-19(fever,chest pain and so on)by regulating the imbalance of"immune-inflammation"network and signal transduction abnormalities during the development and progress of COVID-19,such as coronavirus disease-COVID-19,Toll-like receptor signaling pathway and NOD-like receptor signaling pathway.The components,such as Isos-chaftoside and Hesperidin,were identified to possess high binding affinity with the critical enzymes for viral replication.Isoschaftoside,Hesperidin,Isoliquiritin apioside and Vicenin-2 exhibited varying degrees of inhibition on the enzyme of 3CLpro at different concentra-tions while excluding the interference of the compounds' fluorescence.CONCLUSION Through experimental verification using a multidimensional interaction network of"component-disease-symptom-target",the key pharmacologically active substances of licorice in the fight against COVID-19 are preliminarily identified,and their mechanism of action through overall regulation is elucidated.
6.Study on protective effect of medical X-ray diagnosis equipment based on risk analysis of correlation
Lin SONG ; Jun HAN ; Weijie ZHU ; Bin BAI ; Debiao YAO ; Yongzhong MA
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(5):99-104
Objective:To formulate refined management strategies to improve the operation quality and protective effect of medical X-ray diagnosis equipment based on the risk analysis of the correlation of medical X-ray diagnostic equipment.Methods:The used 41 medical X-ray diagnosis equipment in Fuwai Hospital,Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences from January 2022 to December 2023 were selected.According to different management modes for equipment,they were managed respectively by the conventional management mode(20 units)and the management mode with risk analysis of the correlation(21 units).The risk grades of correlation of management mode with risk analysis of the correlation were classified on the basis of the probability of risk and the degree of harm in medical X-ray diagnosis equipment.The protection management of equipment was conducted from three aspects included the location of equipment,the staffs and subjects.A self-made questionnaire was used to investigate the satisfactions of engineers of using management for equipment,operators,and staffs of operating and maintaining equipment for the two kinds of management modes.The protection quality,failure rate of equipment,and qualification rate of protection of medical X-ray diagnosis equipment under different management modes were compared.Results:The quality scores of operation safety,regular inspection,maintenance and repair,and shielding protection for radiation of medical X-ray diagnosis equipment that adopted the management mode with risk analysis of the correlation were respectively(92.14±3.36),(91.47±2.41),(92.54±3.32)and(91.69±3.57)points,all of which were higher than those of the conventional management mode,and the differences of them were statistically significant(t=16.396,17.368,19.688,14.401,P<0.05).The failure rate of the 21 medical X-ray diagnosis equipment that adopted the management mode with risk analysis of correlation was 0,which was lower than 20.00%of the conventional management mode.The qualified rate of protection was 95.23%,which was higher than 70.00%of the conventional management mode,and the differences of them were statistically significant(x2=4.654,4.608,P<0.05).The satisfaction scores of engineers of using equipment,operators and staffs of operating and maintaining equipment for the protective effect of adopting the management mode with risk analysis of correlation were respectively(94.69±4.02),(93.21±4.36)and(92.54±3.47)points,all of which were higher than those of the conventional management mode,and the differences were statistically significant(t=16.902,11.291,12.020,P<0.05).Conclusion:The process-based protection management strategy on the basis of risk analysis of correlation for medical X-ray diagnosis equipment can prevent risks of medical X-ray diagnostic equipment,and improve the operation quality of the equipment,and reduce the operation risks of the equipment,and maximize the enhancement for management quality of medical X-ray diagnosis equipment.
7.Study on protective effect of medical X-ray diagnosis equipment based on risk analysis of correlation
Lin SONG ; Jun HAN ; Weijie ZHU ; Bin BAI ; Debiao YAO ; Yongzhong MA
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(5):99-104
Objective:To formulate refined management strategies to improve the operation quality and protective effect of medical X-ray diagnosis equipment based on the risk analysis of the correlation of medical X-ray diagnostic equipment.Methods:The used 41 medical X-ray diagnosis equipment in Fuwai Hospital,Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences from January 2022 to December 2023 were selected.According to different management modes for equipment,they were managed respectively by the conventional management mode(20 units)and the management mode with risk analysis of the correlation(21 units).The risk grades of correlation of management mode with risk analysis of the correlation were classified on the basis of the probability of risk and the degree of harm in medical X-ray diagnosis equipment.The protection management of equipment was conducted from three aspects included the location of equipment,the staffs and subjects.A self-made questionnaire was used to investigate the satisfactions of engineers of using management for equipment,operators,and staffs of operating and maintaining equipment for the two kinds of management modes.The protection quality,failure rate of equipment,and qualification rate of protection of medical X-ray diagnosis equipment under different management modes were compared.Results:The quality scores of operation safety,regular inspection,maintenance and repair,and shielding protection for radiation of medical X-ray diagnosis equipment that adopted the management mode with risk analysis of the correlation were respectively(92.14±3.36),(91.47±2.41),(92.54±3.32)and(91.69±3.57)points,all of which were higher than those of the conventional management mode,and the differences of them were statistically significant(t=16.396,17.368,19.688,14.401,P<0.05).The failure rate of the 21 medical X-ray diagnosis equipment that adopted the management mode with risk analysis of correlation was 0,which was lower than 20.00%of the conventional management mode.The qualified rate of protection was 95.23%,which was higher than 70.00%of the conventional management mode,and the differences of them were statistically significant(x2=4.654,4.608,P<0.05).The satisfaction scores of engineers of using equipment,operators and staffs of operating and maintaining equipment for the protective effect of adopting the management mode with risk analysis of correlation were respectively(94.69±4.02),(93.21±4.36)and(92.54±3.47)points,all of which were higher than those of the conventional management mode,and the differences were statistically significant(t=16.902,11.291,12.020,P<0.05).Conclusion:The process-based protection management strategy on the basis of risk analysis of correlation for medical X-ray diagnosis equipment can prevent risks of medical X-ray diagnostic equipment,and improve the operation quality of the equipment,and reduce the operation risks of the equipment,and maximize the enhancement for management quality of medical X-ray diagnosis equipment.
8.Expert opinions on operation rules of Morita therapy outpatient service
Jiangbo LI ; Zucheng WANG ; Yuhua CUI ; Yingzhi LU ; Weijie QU ; Haiyin ZHANG ; Fuqiang MAO ; Fengqing QIE ; Wanghong SHI ; Qinfeng ZHANG ; Lingyi PAN ; Ling ZHANG ; Jianzhong LI ; Guangcheng CUI ; Tongxian CHEN ; Xiuqing MA ; Wei RONG ; Jianjun ZHANG ; Qingfang ZHONG ; Yanchi ZHANG ; Boquan ZHANG ; Xinrui WANG ; Wenyou MA ; Qingtao REN ; Yongfa JING ; Huanzhong LIU ; Zhenjian YU ; Laitian ZHAO ; Tianming HAN ; Xue HAN
Chinese Mental Health Journal 2024;38(1):68-72
Morita therapy has been bom for more than 100 years.Inpatient Morita therapy is highly oper-able and easy to master.It can improve many refractory neuroses through four-stage treatment.But more neuroses are treated in outpatient clinics,and Morita therapy cannot be used in hospitalized patients.Therefore,the formula-tion of expert opinions on outpatient operations is particularly important.This paper is based on domestic and for-eign references,and after many discussions by domestic Morita therapy experts,and then drew up the first version of the expert opinions on operation of outpatient Morita therapy.Meanwhile the operation rule of Morita therapy in three stages of outpatient treatment was formulated:in the etiological analysis stage,under the theoretical guidance of Morita therapy,analyze the pathogenic factors,to improve treatment compliance and reduce resistance;during the operating stage,guide patients to engage in constructive and meaningful actions,realizing the achievement of letting nature take its course principle;in the cultivating character and enriching life stage,pay attention to positive infor-mation,expanding the scope and content of actions,improving the ability to adapt to complex life,and preventing recurrence caused by insufficient abilities.It will lay a foundation for the promotion of Morita therapy in domestic outpatient clinics,so that more patients with neurosis and other psychological diseases could receive characteristic Morita therapy treatment in outpatient clinics.
9.Variation of 137Cs activity concentration in aerosol in Beijing
Huan WANG ; Qinghua MENG ; Yun LOU ; Bin BAI ; Weijie ZHU ; Hongfang WANG ; Yuxia KONG ; Zechen FENG ; Shuguang ZHAI ; Jun YU ; Yaru SUN ; Yongzhong MA
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2024;41(9):1038-1042
Background 137Cs in atmospheric aerosol is the product of past nuclear weapon tests and nuclear accidents. When 137Cs is released into the atmosphere, it will deposit in dry land and marine environment, causing pollution of soil surface, water, agricultural products, and animal byproducts, and affecting public health. Objective To identify the variation pattern of 137Cs activity concentration in aerosol and its correlation with dust concentration in Beijing area from 2017 to 2020. Methods A total of 958 aerosol samples were collected from November 1, 2017 to June 30, 2020 in Beijing with a high volume air sampler at a sampling flow rate about 600 m3·h−1 and a collection time for each sample about 24 h. The activity concentration of 137Cs in the aerosol samples was determined with a low-background high-purity germanium γ spectrometer. The dust concentration was calculated using the difference in the mass of the aerosol filter before and after sampling. The detection rate of 137Cs and dust concentration in different seasons were compared. Spearman rank correlation test was used to analyze the correlation between 137Cs activity concentration and dust concentration. Results From 2017 to 2020, the 137Cs activity concentrations of 33 from 958 aerosol samples in Beijing were above the minimum detectable activityconcentration, the overall detection rate of 137Cs was 3.4%, and the activity concentration ranged from 1.86 to 45.53 μBq·m−3, with a median value of 4.85 μBq·m−3. The detection rate of 137Cs was highest in spring, followed by autumn, and lowest in winter and summer (8.4%, 3.0%, 1.1%, and 0.5%, respectively). The dust concentration ranged from 0.03 to 1.55 mg·m−3, with an average value of 0.18 mg·m−3. There was a statistically significant difference in the dust concentrations in spring, summer, autumn, and winter (F=45.51, P<0.05), and the highest value was 0.24 mg·m−3 in spring (P<0.05). The 137Cs activity concentration was positively correlated with the dust concentration (P<0.05). Conclusion The 137Cs activity concentration in aerosol in Beijing from 2017 to 2020 fluctuates within the range of background level, and its activity concentration is highest in spring, followed autumn, and lowest in summer and winter.
10.Investigation of Mechanisms Underlying Therapeutic Efficacies of Detumescence Analgesic Plaster Based on "Effect-target" Associations
Peng MAO ; Weijie LI ; Chunxia LI ; Wangming MA ; Yanqiong ZHANG ; Haiyu XU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2024;30(13):106-113
ObjectiveThe mechanisms underlying therapeutic efficacies of Detumescence Analgesic Plaster was analyzed based on "effect-target" associations. MethodBased on CNKI and PubMed databases, the chemical components of Artemisia seed, bastard speedwell, and menthol in Detumescence Analgesic Plaster were collected. The capacity of transdermal absorption was predicted based on the Encyclopedia of Traditional Chinese Medicine (ETCM 2.0). Golden Triangle of compounds with Accepted used for candidate target prediction based on the Integrative Pharmacology-based Research Platform of Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCMIP v2.0)according to the similarity of chemical structures. At the same time, the SoFDA data platform was employed to collect the symptoms related to the efficacy of Detumescence Analgesic Plaster and its related genes information. In addition, based on the interaction between the above-mentioned candidate targets and their efficacy-related genes, the "effect-target" interaction network of Detumescence Analgesic Plaster was constructed. The key targets by topological features calculation, and functional mining was carried out to explain the efficacy mechanism of Detumescence Analgesic Plaster. ResultA total of 165 candidate targets were obtained based on ETCM 2.0 and TCMIP v2.0 databases, and symptoms related to the efficacy of clearing heat, detumescence, and relieving pain, as well as 1 744 related genes were collected based on the SoFDA database. Network construction and analysis showed that the core effect targets of Detumescence Analgesic Plaster were mainly involved in regulating the "immune-inflammation" balance of the body and maintaining the homeostasis of material and energy metabolism, blood circulation, and nervous system functions, and they were closely related to the efficacy of this prescription in clearing heat, reducing detumescence, and relieving pain. Among them, the heat clearing group of Detumescence Analgesic Plaster had the functions of heat clearing, detoxifying, antibacteria, and anti-inflammation. The biological function of its key effect target group was related to correcting the imbalance of "immune-inflammation" induced by pathogens. The detumescence group of Detumescence Analgesic Plaster had the functions of reducing water and swelling and resolving hard lumps, and the biological function of its core effect target group was related to improving microcirculation disturbance. The pain relieving group of Detumescence Analgesic Plaster had the functions of removing stasis, promoting blood circulation, and relieving pain, and its core effect target group was related to correcting the nervous system and the disorder of material and energy metabolism. ConclusionThe heat clearing, swelling reducing, and pain relieving effects of Detumescence Analgesic Plaster may be closely related to its act on related candidate targets, so as to correct the imbalance of "nerve-immunity-vascular-axis", regulate neuronal excitability and inflammatory response, and intervene in material and energy metabolism. The relevant research results lay a theoretical foundation for clarifying the advantages of Detumescence Analgesic Plaster and assisting its clinical precise positioning.


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