1.Application of optimized combination prediction model in the prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease
Weijie TIAN ; Qian GAO ; Kun YANG ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Jian CHEN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):58-62
Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.
2.Construction of a prediction model for early hormone remission after prolactinoma surgery based on machine learning
Yanxia DENG ; Jiahui LIU ; Jing XU ; Weijie WANG ; Kun SUN ; Lianshu DING ; Jian JIANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2026;33(3):406-413
Objective To explore factors associated with early postoperative hormonal remission in patients with prolactinoma and to develop prediction models based on clinical and radiological features. Methods Data from 107 patients with prolactinoma who underwent transsphenoidal surgery at The First People’s Hospital of Huai’an, Nanjing Medical University between January 2020 and December 2024 was collected, included general clinical characteristics, preoperative laboratory indicators, and imaging features. Based on whether early postoperative prolactin (PRL) levels normalized, patients were divided into a remission group (n=76) and a non-remission group (n=31). Univariate logistic regression was used for preliminary evaluation of candidate variables, followed by LASSO regression for feature selection. Multiple machine learning models were constructed, including logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, K-nearest neighbors, naive Bayes, decision tree, neural network, and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT). All models were trained and evaluated using ten-fold cross-validation, with comprehensive assessment of model performance based on the area under the ROC curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, and F1 score. Results The maximum diameter of tumors in the non remission group was larger than that in the remission group (P=0.019), and the incidence of tumor stroke and preoperative PRL levels were significantly higher than those in the remission group (P<0.001). Univariate analysis showed that sex, maximum tumor diameter, tumor stroke, and preoperative PRL levels were influencing factors for early postoperative hormone response in patients with prolactinoma (P<0.05). The comparison results of machine learning models show that the neural network model performs the best (AUC=0.921) and has good clinical application value, followed by the GBDT model (AUC=0.893) and the support vector machine model (AUC=0.884). Other models also show certain predictive ability. Conclusions Sex, preoperative PRL levels, maximum tumor diameter, Hounsfield unit value, and tumor stroke are important factors affecting early hormone response after prolactinoma surgery. The machine learning model constructed based on the above variables has good predictive performance, and performs the best and has good clinical application value.
3.A novel anti-ischemic stroke candidate drug AAPB with dual effects of neuroprotection and cerebral blood flow improvement.
Jianbing WU ; Duorui JI ; Weijie JIAO ; Jian JIA ; Jiayi ZHU ; Taijun HANG ; Xijing CHEN ; Yang DING ; Yuwen XU ; Xinglong CHANG ; Liang LI ; Qiu LIU ; Yumei CAO ; Yan ZHONG ; Xia SUN ; Qingming GUO ; Tuanjie WANG ; Zhenzhong WANG ; Ya LING ; Wei XIAO ; Zhangjian HUANG ; Yihua ZHANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(2):1070-1083
Ischemic stroke (IS) is a globally life-threatening disease. Presently, few therapeutic medicines are available for treating IS, and rt-PA is the only drug approved by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in the US. In fact, many agents showing excellent neuroprotection but no blood flow-improving activity in animals have not achieved ideal clinical efficacy, while thrombolytic drugs only improving blood flow without neuroprotection have limited their wider application. To address these challenges and meet the huge unmet clinical need, we have designed and identified a novel compound AAPB with dual effects of neuroprotection and cerebral blood flow improvement. AAPB significantly reduced cerebral infarction and neural function deficit in tMCAO rats, pMCAO rats, and IS rhesus monkeys, as well as displayed exceptional safety profiles and excellent pharmacokinetic properties in rats and dogs. AAPB has now entered phase I of clinical trials fighting IS in China.
4.Guidelines for vaccination of kidney transplant candidates and recipients in China
Jian Zhang ; Jun Lin ; Weijie Zhang ; Xiaoming Ding ; Xiaopeng Hu ; Wujun Xue
Organ Transplantation 2025;16(2):177-190
In order to further standardize the vaccination of kidney transplant candidates and recipients in China, the Branch of Organ Transplantation of Chinese Medical Association has organized experts in kidney transplantation and infectious diseases. Based on the "Vaccination of Solid Organ Transplant Candidates and Recipients: Guidelines from the American Society of Transplantation Infectious Diseases Community of Practice", and in combination with the clinical reality of infectious diseases and vaccination after organ transplantation in China, as well as referring to relevant recommendations from home and abroad in recent years, these guidelines are formulated from aspects such as epidemiology, types of vaccines, vaccination principles, target population, and specific vaccine administration. The "Guidelines for Vaccination of Kidney Transplant Candidates and Recipients in China" aims to provide theoretical reference for medical workers in the field of kidney transplantation in China, regarding the vaccination of kidney transplant candidates and recipients. It is expected to better guide the vaccination of kidney transplant candidates and recipients, reduce the risk of postoperative infection, and improve survival outcomes.
5.Analysis of surgical outcomes of congenital cataract treated with different surgical approaches and minimally invasive techniques
Weijie ZHANG ; Hong YAN ; Jian ZHANG
International Eye Science 2025;25(5):775-780
Congenital cataract is a leading cause of childhood blindness worldwide. By inducing visual impairment from birth, it disrupts the normal development of the visual system and profoundly impacts patients' quality of life. Therefore, timely diagnosis and the implementation of effective, safe interventions, particularly during the critical period of visual development, are of paramount clinical importance. Cataract extraction is a cornerstone therapeutic intervention. The success of the surgery, as well as postoperative visual recovery and the incidence of complications in pediatric patients, largely depends on the selected surgical approach and instrumentation. Surgical approaches are primarily categorized into the anterior approach(via corneal or limbal incision)and the posterior approach(via pars plana). Surgical instruments are typically classified by the gauge of the vitreous cutter, such as 20 G, 23 G, and 25 G. The choice of surgical approach not only directly influences the incidence of postoperative complications but also significantly impacts visual recovery. This article reviews and analyzes these critical aspects to provide valuable guidance for clinical practice.
6.Study on dosimetric characteristics of proton radiotherapy in 3 cases of head and neck tumors
Weijie LI ; Tianyuan DAI ; Man HU ; Shizhang WU ; Chengqiang LI ; Cheng TAO ; Jinghao DUAN ; Jinhu CHEN ; Tong BAI ; Guohui WEI ; Jian ZHU
Journal of International Oncology 2025;52(10):646-652
Objective:To investigate the dosimetric characteristics of intensity modulated proton therapy (IMPT) and photon volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT) in typical head and neck malignant tumors.Methods:Three types of typical head and neck tumors (nasopharyngeal carcinoma, parotid gland carcinoma, laryngeal carcinoma) treated at Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute from December 2023 to December 2024 were taken as research subjects. IMPT and VMAT radiotherapy plans were created according to clinical prescription requirements of target and organs at risk limits respectively. The conformity index (CI), homogeneity index (HI) and gradient index (GI) for target coverage of two radiotherapy plans were evaluated for 3 patients, as well as the dosimetric indicators of organs at risk.Results:The CI of IMPT for nasopharyngeal carcinoma, parotid gland carcinoma and laryngeal carcinoma were 0.70, 0.72 and 0.67, respectively. The HI were 0.11, 0.08 and 0.08, respectively. The GI were 3.08, 2.49 and 3.75, respectively. The CI of VMAT plans were 0.77, 0.82 and 0.91, respectively. The HI were 0.12, 0.10 and 0.04, respectively. The GI were 3.67, 2.63 and 3.45, respectively. The results showed that CI of IMPT plan was slightly lower than that of VMAT plan, and HI of IMPT plan was comparable to that of VMAT plan, the GI of the IMPT plan for patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma and parotid gland carcinoma was lower than that of the VMAT plan, and the GI of the IMPT plan for patient with laryngeal carcinoma was higher than that of the VMAT plan, and all were within the clinically acceptable range. The IMPT plan has demonstrated significant dose advantages in the treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma, parotid gland carcinoma and laryngeal carcinoma. For patient with nasopharyngeal carcinoma, the IMPT plan reduced the D max of the left and right crystals by 54.1% and 50.4%, respectively, compared to VMAT plan, and reduced the D mean of the oral and laryngeal tissues by 40.5% and 49.6%, respectively. For patient with parotid gland carcinoma, IMPT plan reduced the D max of the brainstem and spinal cord by 66.2% and 40.5%, respectively, compared to VMAT plan. For patient with laryngeal carcinoma, IMPT reduced spinal cord D max by 77.0%, while thyroid cartilage D mean increased by 8.0% compared to VMAT plan. For the additional dose in the patients' body, taking the absolute volumes occupied by the prescribed dose areas of 10%, 30%, and 50% in the patients' body as examples, IMPT plan of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patient decreased by 29.7%, 29.6%, and 34.9% compared to VMAT plan, respectively. IMPT plan of parotid gland carcinoma patient decreased by 61.0%, 39.7%, and 17.4% compared to VMAT plan, respectively. IMPT plan of laryngeal carcinoma patient decreased by 63.9%, 31.7%, and 4.1% compared to VMAT plan, respectively. Conclusions:Compared with VMAT plan, IMPT plan can effectively reduce the irradiation dose of most organs at risk near the target of head and neck tumors, but the dose of string organs close to the target area may be higher, which needs attention.
7.Epigenetic characteristics of hepatogenic differentiation of mesenchymal stem cells in three-dimensional culture
Haina HUANG ; Yanrong YU ; Jian BI ; Miao HUANG ; Weijie PENG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(36):7848-7855
BACKGROUND:Hepatocyte-like cells induced by mesenchymal stem cells are promising seed cells for liver regeneration or liver tissue engineering.The efficiency of traditional two-dimensional culture for hepatocyte induction is low,and more and more research is focused on three-dimensional culture for inducing hepatocyte differentiation.OBJECTIVE:To summarize three-dimensional culture models for the hepatic induction of mesenchymal stem cells,focus on research progress on the epigenetic regulation mechanisms of mesenchymal stem cell hepatogenic differentiation,providing a theoretical basis for improving the differentiation efficiency of mesenchymal stem cells.METHODS:Relevant articles in the PubMed and other databases such as CNKI were searched,using Chinese and English search terms"mesenchymal stem cell,3D culture,hepatogenic differentiation,hepatocyte-like cells,epigenetics."Additionally,the literature tracing method was employed to find some of the literature for a comprehensive review and analysis.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)Common three-dimensional culture models for the hepatogenic differentiation of mesenchymal stem cells currently include spheroids,biological scaffolds,bioprinting,and microfluidic chips.Each of these models has its own advantages and disadvantages in the process of inducing hepatogenic differentiation.(2)During the differentiation of mesenchymal stem cells into hepatocyte-like cells,epigenetic regulation plays a key role,primarily involving histone modification,DNA methylation,and the regulation of non-coding RNAs.(3)Under three-dimensional culture conditions,epigenetic modifications,especially histone acetylation,play an important role in promoting the hepatogenic differentiation of mesenchymal stem cells.
8.Epigenetic characteristics of hepatogenic differentiation of mesenchymal stem cells in three-dimensional culture
Haina HUANG ; Yanrong YU ; Jian BI ; Miao HUANG ; Weijie PENG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(36):7848-7855
BACKGROUND:Hepatocyte-like cells induced by mesenchymal stem cells are promising seed cells for liver regeneration or liver tissue engineering.The efficiency of traditional two-dimensional culture for hepatocyte induction is low,and more and more research is focused on three-dimensional culture for inducing hepatocyte differentiation.OBJECTIVE:To summarize three-dimensional culture models for the hepatic induction of mesenchymal stem cells,focus on research progress on the epigenetic regulation mechanisms of mesenchymal stem cell hepatogenic differentiation,providing a theoretical basis for improving the differentiation efficiency of mesenchymal stem cells.METHODS:Relevant articles in the PubMed and other databases such as CNKI were searched,using Chinese and English search terms"mesenchymal stem cell,3D culture,hepatogenic differentiation,hepatocyte-like cells,epigenetics."Additionally,the literature tracing method was employed to find some of the literature for a comprehensive review and analysis.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)Common three-dimensional culture models for the hepatogenic differentiation of mesenchymal stem cells currently include spheroids,biological scaffolds,bioprinting,and microfluidic chips.Each of these models has its own advantages and disadvantages in the process of inducing hepatogenic differentiation.(2)During the differentiation of mesenchymal stem cells into hepatocyte-like cells,epigenetic regulation plays a key role,primarily involving histone modification,DNA methylation,and the regulation of non-coding RNAs.(3)Under three-dimensional culture conditions,epigenetic modifications,especially histone acetylation,play an important role in promoting the hepatogenic differentiation of mesenchymal stem cells.
9.A dual-crosslinked injectable hydrogel derived from muscular decellularized matrix promoting myoblasts proliferation and myogenic differentiation.
Shaohua ZHAO ; Xiaoliang HAO ; Yanpeng JIAN ; Yigong WANG ; Weijie LIU ; Xinwei SHAO ; Jun FAN ; Songshan XU
Chinese Journal of Reparative and Reconstructive Surgery 2023;37(12):1514-1522
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the feasibility of a dual-crosslinked injectable hydrogel derived from acellular musclar matrix (AMM) for promoting myoblasts proliferation and myogenic differentiation.
METHODS:
Firstly, hyaluronic acid was oxidized with NaIO 4 and methylated to prepare methacrylamidated oxidized hyaluronic acid (MOHA). Then, AMM obtained by washing enzymatically treated muscle tissue was aminolyzed to prepare aminated AMM (AAMM). MOHA hydrogel and AAMM were crosslinked using Schiff based reaction and UV radiation to prepare a dual-crosslinked MOHA/AAMM injectable hydrogel. Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR) was used to characterize MOHA, AAMM, and MOHA/AAMM hydrogels. The injectability of MOHA/AAMM hydrogel were evaluated by manual injection, and the gelation performance was assessed by UV crosslinking. The rheological properties and Young's modulus of the hydrogel were examined through mechanical tests. The degradation rate of the hydrogel was assessed by immersing it in PBS. The active components of the hydrogel were verified using immunofluorescence staining and ELISA assay kits. The promotion of cell proliferation by the hydrogel was tested using live/dead staining and cell counting kit 8 (CCK-8) assays after co-culturing with C2C12 myoblasts for 9 days. The effect of the hydrogel on myogenic differentiation was evaluated by immunofluorescence staining and real time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR).
RESULTS:
FTIR spectra confirmed the successful preparation of MOHA/AAMM hydrogel. The hydrogel exhibited good injectability and gelation ability. Compared to MOHA hydrogel, MOHA/AAMM hydrogel exhibited higher viscosity and Young's modulus, a reduced degradation rate, and contained a higher amount of collagen (including collagen type Ⅰ and collagen type Ⅲ) as well as bioactive factors (including epidermal growth factor, fibroblast growth factor 2, vascular endothelial growth factor, and insulin-like growth factor 1). The live/dead cell staining and CCK-8 assay indicated that with prolonged incubation time, there was a significant increase in viable cells and a decrease in dead cells in the C2C12 myoblasts within the MOHA/AAMM hydrogel. Compared with MOHA hydrogel, the difference was significant at each time point ( P<0.05). Immunofluorescence staining and RT-qPCR analysis demonstrated that the deposition of IGF-1 and expression levels of myogenic-related genes (including Myogenin, Troponin T, and myosin heavy chain) in the MOHA/AAMM group were significantly higher than those in the MOHA group ( P<0.05).
CONCLUSION
The MOHA/AAMM hydrogel prepared based on AMM can promote myoblasts proliferation and myogenic differentiation, providing a novel dual-crosslinked injectable hydrogel for muscle tissue engineering.
Hydrogels
;
Hyaluronic Acid/pharmacology*
;
Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor A/metabolism*
;
Tissue Engineering/methods*
;
Cell Differentiation
;
Myoblasts/metabolism*
;
Cell Proliferation
10.Conservative Treatment of Fetal Goitrous Hypothyroidism Due to Thyroglobulin Mutations: A Case Report and Literature Review
Shiping LIU ; Wei BAI ; Ying GAO ; Chunyan SHI ; Lixin FAN ; Junya CHEN ; Jian SHI ; Weijie SUN ; Xinlin HOU ; Huixia YANG
Maternal-Fetal Medicine 2023;05(3):182-186
With the advances in fetal medicine, there will be more cases of congenital hypothyroidism (CH) diagnosed in the fetal period. However, there is no consensus on the management protocol. We present a successful case of conservatively managed fetal goitrous hypothyroidism due to compound heterozygous TG mutations. Goiter was observed in a fetus at 23 weeks of gestation. Because there was no evidence of transplacental passage of antithyroid antibody and drugs, iodine overload, and iodine deficiency, the fetus was highly suspected to have CH. Considering the potential risks of amniocentesis/cordocentesis, and lack of available parenteral levothyroxine in China, the fetus was closely monitored thereafter. A male neonate was delivered vaginally without complications at 39 weeks of gestation. We verified severe hypothyroidism in the infant and immediately initiated levothyroxine therapy. His growth and mental development were normal at the age of 8 month. Whole-exome sequencing showed that the neonate had two compound heterozygous mutations in the TG gene. We also performed a literature review of the prognosis of postnatal treatment of CH due to TG mutations and the result showed that postnatal treatment of CH due to TG mutations has a favorable prognosis. However, further prospective studies are warranted to verify this conclusion.


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